Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

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Topic: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis (Read 192896 times)

jamesg

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

August 24, 2012, 07:11:47 PM

#221

Quote from: CoinAd on August 24, 2012, 07:07:38 PM

Quote from: dooglus on August 23, 2012, 07:38:35 PM

Although it is true that your lucky number will keep going up until it goes down. Unless it stays the same.

You almost got me there. Grin

dooglus only speaks the truth. Wink

dooglus

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

August 24, 2012, 08:36:21 PM

#222

Quote from: gigavps on August 24, 2012, 07:11:47 PM

Quote from: CoinAd on August 24, 2012, 07:07:38 PM

Quote from: dooglus on August 23, 2012, 07:38:35 PM

Although it is true that your lucky number will keep going up until it goes down. Unless it stays the same.

You almost got me there. Grin

dooglus only speaks the truth. Wink

A more honest way of speaking the same truth would be to say that us humans are very good at spotting patterns. Even in random sequences.

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dooglus

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

August 24, 2012, 09:21:14 PM

#223

Quote

Results: 2012-Aug-24 02:11pm (up to block 195520)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 15344 | 0 (0.00000) | 15037 | 307 | 111.03 | 0.01 | 23.13 | 111.01 | 0.017
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 1399 | 0 (0.00000) | 1328 | 71 | 20.78 | 0.00 | 6.58 | 20.78 | 0.008
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 1943 | 0 (0.00000) | 1908 | 35 | 24.14 | 0.02 | 3.22 | 24.11 | 0.107
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 2070 | 1 (0.00049) | 2028 | 41 | 46.59 | 8.06 | 4.15 | 38.53 | 17.306
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 2241 | 1 (0.00045) | 2205 | 35 | 84.54 | 4.24 | 7.40 | 80.30 | 5.017
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 4876 | 2 (0.00041) | 4863 | 11 | 369.08 | 103.43 | 1.29 | 265.65 | 28.024
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 7093 | 8 (0.00113) | 7063 | 22 | 616.16 | 124.33 | 55.64 | 491.83 | 20.178
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 8849 | 19 (0.00216) | 8780 | 50 | 1566.56 | 1274.61 | 44.25 | 291.95 | 81.363
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 8850 | 42 (0.00475) | 8794 | 14 | 1216.75 | 1277.23 | 13.11 | -60.48 | 104.971
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 12029 | 90 (0.00749) | 11932 | 7 | 2396.30 | 1739.38 | 9.35 | 656.92 | 72.586
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 23770 | 354 (0.01490) | 23409 | 7 | 7826.24 | 7311.11 | 1.80 | 515.13 | 93.418
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 12365 | 284 (0.02298) | 12075 | 6 | 4515.60 | 4670.04 | 15.00 | -154.43 | 103.420
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 21182 | 663 (0.03130) | 20516 | 3 | 5325.84 | 4511.52 | 9.24 | 814.32 | 84.710
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 13733 | 641 (0.04670) | 13085 | 7 | 6639.46 | 7952.25 | 24.99 | -1312.78 | 119.772
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 14103 | 874 (0.06199) | 13225 | 4 | 4472.92 | 3947.67 | 31.20 | 525.24 | 88.257
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 18537 | 1740 (0.09392) | 16786 | 11 | 9399.76 | 9493.13 | 7.01 | -93.36 | 100.993
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 71601 | 8819 (0.12320) | 62761 | 21 | 8671.61 | 7617.68 | 0.00 | 1053.92 | 87.846
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 18840 | 3550 (0.18850) | 15283 | 7 | 7560.89 | 7677.31 | 14.50 | -116.42 | 101.540
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 56912 | 13844 (0.24332) | 43053 | 15 | 24943.46 | 25163.41 | 347.79 | -219.94 | 100.882
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 45224 | 16636 (0.36816) | 28551 | 37 | 19981.95 | 19494.16 | 212.63 | 487.79 | 97.559
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 410817 | 200255 (0.48766) | 210389 | 173 | 239567.86 | 238578.77 | 2173.21 | 989.08 | 99.587
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 158293 | 78768 (0.49808) | 79374 | 151 | 91889.58 | 89127.31 | 1045.21 | 2762.27 | 96.994
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 130149 | 95761 (0.73618) | 34318 | 70 | 125804.33 | 123792.33 | 467.98 | 2011.99 | 98.401
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 7092 | 5635 (0.79501) | 1453 | 4 | 16859.28 | 16747.14 | 400.00 | 112.13 | 99.335
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 5560 | 4741 (0.85362) | 813 | 6 | 6422.20 | 6289.76 | 400.00 | 132.44 | 97.938
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 2628 | 2403 (0.91613) | 220 | 5 | 3789.63 | 3795.32 | 0.00 | -5.69 | 100.150
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 6804 | 6536 (0.97932) | 138 | 130 | 15170.99 | 14892.67 | 239.20 | 278.32 | 98.165
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 1049542 | 425103 | 623396 | 1043 | 252097.97 | 244496.05 | 139.64 | 7601.91 | 96.985
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 32762 | 16564 | 15991 | 207 | 353195.73 | 351096.95 | 5418.35 | 2098.77 | 99.406
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 1082304 | 441667 | 639387 | 1250 | 605293.70 | 595593.01 | 5558.00 | 9700.69 | 98.397
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 9700.69396420 BTC (1.603%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 545.18237500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 9155.51158920 BTC (1.513%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 3477978 : SatoshiDice Tx: 1993272 (57.3%)
Blockchain MB: 1448.7 : SatoshiDice Tx: 815.9 (56.3%)

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dooglus

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⇾ Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

August 24, 2012, 09:33:07 PM

#224

This looks like the major contributor to the most recent SD profits - another martingale disaster:

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rocks

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

August 25, 2012, 06:49:32 AM

#225

Great work putting this together, thanks.

The link to the code you refer to in the initial post "sample_armory_code.py", is no longer working. I'd love to check it out and try building/running it myself. Is there anywhere else where the code is posted?

etotheipi (OP)

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

August 25, 2012, 06:12:27 PM

#226

Quote from: rocks on August 25, 2012, 06:49:32 AM

Okay, I had never updated the script with the latest under-the-hood changes. I just updated it now and committed it to the master branch. Checkout/pull and try again.

Btw, did you compile the C++ libraries?

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

August 25, 2012, 10:05:15 PM

#227

Quote

Results: 2012-Aug-25 02:42pm (up to block 195663)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 15438 | 0 (0.00000) | 15131 | 307 | 112.68 | 0.01 | 23.13 | 112.66 | 0.017
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 1426 | 0 (0.00000) | 1355 | 71 | 20.95 | 0.00 | 6.58 | 20.95 | 0.008
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 1955 | 0 (0.00000) | 1920 | 35 | 24.20 | 0.02 | 3.22 | 24.17 | 0.107
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 2084 | 1 (0.00049) | 2042 | 41 | 46.68 | 8.06 | 4.15 | 38.62 | 17.273
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 2252 | 1 (0.00045) | 2216 | 35 | 84.60 | 4.24 | 7.40 | 80.36 | 5.013
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 4921 | 2 (0.00041) | 4908 | 11 | 369.28 | 103.43 | 1.29 | 265.85 | 28.009
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 7106 | 8 (0.00113) | 7076 | 22 | 616.28 | 124.33 | 55.64 | 491.94 | 20.175
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 8887 | 19 (0.00215) | 8818 | 50 | 1567.17 | 1274.61 | 44.25 | 292.56 | 81.332
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 8873 | 42 (0.00474) | 8817 | 14 | 1217.91 | 1277.24 | 13.11 | -59.33 | 104.871
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 12057 | 91 (0.00755) | 11959 | 7 | 2397.38 | 1754.37 | 9.35 | 643.00 | 73.179
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 23949 | 358 (0.01495) | 23584 | 7 | 7888.08 | 7349.88 | 1.80 | 538.19 | 93.177
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 12374 | 284 (0.02296) | 12084 | 6 | 4515.71 | 4670.04 | 15.00 | -154.32 | 103.418
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 21189 | 663 (0.03129) | 20523 | 3 | 5326.37 | 4511.52 | 9.24 | 814.85 | 84.702
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 13787 | 641 (0.04652) | 13139 | 7 | 6643.00 | 7952.25 | 24.99 | -1309.24 | 119.709
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 14130 | 875 (0.06194) | 13251 | 4 | 4475.46 | 3948.48 | 31.20 | 526.97 | 88.225
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 18579 | 1745 (0.09400) | 16818 | 16 | 9414.16 | 9505.99 | 7.01 | -91.82 | 100.975
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 72005 | 8870 (0.12322) | 63114 | 21 | 8729.95 | 7683.20 | 0.00 | 1046.75 | 88.010
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 18990 | 3573 (0.18827) | 15405 | 12 | 7605.15 | 7718.45 | 14.50 | -113.30 | 101.490
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 57430 | 13980 (0.24349) | 43435 | 15 | 25124.50 | 25352.20 | 347.79 | -227.70 | 100.906
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 46224 | 17026 (0.36864) | 29160 | 38 | 20690.46 | 20245.36 | 212.63 | 445.09 | 97.849
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 415529 | 202560 (0.48768) | 212796 | 173 | 243291.96 | 242124.36 | 2173.21 | 1167.60 | 99.520
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 159167 | 79230 (0.49825) | 79786 | 151 | 92802.44 | 90085.34 | 1045.21 | 2717.09 | 97.072
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 130730 | 96182 (0.73612) | 34478 | 70 | 126547.25 | 124450.67 | 467.98 | 2096.58 | 98.343
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 7156 | 5681 (0.79432) | 1471 | 4 | 16974.82 | 16858.80 | 400.00 | 116.02 | 99.316
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 5677 | 4837 (0.85309) | 833 | 7 | 6471.49 | 6340.47 | 400.00 | 131.02 | 97.975
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 2881 | 2637 (0.91690) | 239 | 5 | 4035.93 | 4052.29 | 0.00 | -16.35 | 100.405
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 6839 | 6571 (0.97943) | 138 | 130 | 15251.96 | 14973.98 | 239.20 | 277.98 | 98.177
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 1058450 | 429094 | 628301 | 1055 | 255572.37 | 247900.86 | 139.64 | 7671.50 | 96.998
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 33185 | 16783 | 16195 | 207 | 356673.56 | 354468.81 | 5418.35 | 2204.74 | 99.382
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 1091635 | 445877 | 644496 | 1262 | 612245.93 | 602369.68 | 5558.00 | 9876.25 | 98.387
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 9876.25330569 BTC (1.613%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 549.87382500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 9326.37948069 BTC (1.523%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 3512863 : SatoshiDice Tx: 2011384 (57.3%)
Blockchain MB: 1462.1 : SatoshiDice Tx: 823.3 (56.3%)

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Draino

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

August 25, 2012, 10:14:30 PM

#228

hope i'm not messing up your thread, but it's weird what you were saying about masking profits, and now they seem to be skyrocketing after the IPO announcement

etotheipi (OP)

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

August 25, 2012, 10:59:03 PM

#229

Quote from: dooglus on August 24, 2012, 09:33:07 PM

This looks like the major contributor to the most recent SD profits - another martingale disaster:

I wish I could remember the quote I once read about martingale betting -- it was something like:

Quote from: Unknown

Martingale betting is a fun concept, but it doesn't work. In order to guarantee success, a Martingale bettor needs access to an infinite bankroll... and infinite balls. Unfortunately for the bettor, all bankrolls are finite but infinite balls is very, very possible.

I've scoured the internet, and I can't find any (relevant) quotes with "infinite balls" in it. So I guess I can claim credit for it

(though, the original version had a much better delivery)

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

August 26, 2012, 01:59:30 AM

#230

Quote from: Draino on August 25, 2012, 10:14:30 PM

hope i'm not messing up your thread, but it's weird what you were saying about masking profits, and now they seem to be skyrocketing after the IPO announcement

I can't think of any way that it would be possible for anyone to prove either way whether the profits are real or fake. The owners of the site can place winning or losing bets of their own at any time to skew the profit/loss graph as they wish, and any such bets are indistinguishable from 'real' bets.

So yeah, all we can say is "it's weird".

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dooglus

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

August 26, 2012, 10:24:38 PM

#231

Quote

Results: 2012-Aug-26 03:08pm (up to block 195840)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 15587 | 0 (0.00000) | 15272 | 315 | 113.40 | 0.01 | 23.13 | 113.39 | 0.017
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 1434 | 0 (0.00000) | 1363 | 71 | 21.10 | 0.00 | 6.58 | 21.10 | 0.008
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 1961 | 0 (0.00000) | 1926 | 35 | 24.31 | 0.02 | 3.22 | 24.28 | 0.106
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 2092 | 1 (0.00049) | 2049 | 42 | 46.75 | 8.06 | 4.15 | 38.68 | 17.248
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 2255 | 1 (0.00045) | 2219 | 35 | 84.72 | 4.24 | 7.40 | 80.48 | 5.006
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 4930 | 2 (0.00041) | 4917 | 11 | 369.75 | 103.43 | 1.29 | 266.32 | 27.974
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 7113 | 8 (0.00113) | 7083 | 22 | 616.33 | 124.33 | 55.64 | 492.00 | 20.173
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 8896 | 19 (0.00215) | 8827 | 50 | 1568.05 | 1274.61 | 44.25 | 293.44 | 81.286
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 8883 | 42 (0.00474) | 8827 | 14 | 1218.37 | 1277.24 | 13.11 | -58.87 | 104.832
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 12136 | 91 (0.00750) | 12036 | 9 | 2403.39 | 1754.38 | 9.35 | 649.01 | 72.996
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 24099 | 360 (0.01494) | 23732 | 7 | 7889.31 | 7350.07 | 1.80 | 539.24 | 93.165
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 12397 | 284 (0.02292) | 12107 | 6 | 4517.84 | 4670.04 | 15.00 | -152.20 | 103.369
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 21211 | 663 (0.03126) | 20545 | 3 | 5328.21 | 4511.52 | 9.24 | 816.68 | 84.672
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 13814 | 644 (0.04664) | 13163 | 7 | 6644.20 | 7952.31 | 24.99 | -1308.11 | 119.688
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 14161 | 876 (0.06188) | 13281 | 4 | 4480.93 | 3950.09 | 31.20 | 530.83 | 88.153
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 18644 | 1752 (0.09405) | 16876 | 16 | 9422.25 | 9513.83 | 7.01 | -91.58 | 100.972
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 72226 | 8892 (0.12315) | 63313 | 21 | 8777.82 | 7725.56 | 0.00 | 1052.26 | 88.012
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 19111 | 3596 (0.18828) | 15503 | 12 | 7631.13 | 7732.67 | 14.50 | -101.54 | 101.331
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 58174 | 14164 (0.24355) | 43993 | 17 | 26263.28 | 26425.78 | 347.79 | -162.49 | 100.619
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 46773 | 17213 (0.36831) | 29522 | 38 | 20869.87 | 20360.76 | 212.63 | 509.10 | 97.561
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 419382 | 204433 (0.48766) | 214776 | 173 | 248412.06 | 247090.26 | 2173.21 | 1321.79 | 99.468
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 160171 | 79763 (0.49846) | 80257 | 151 | 93691.08 | 91100.31 | 1045.21 | 2590.77 | 97.235
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 131132 | 96476 (0.73612) | 34584 | 72 | 126941.89 | 124849.71 | 467.98 | 2092.17 | 98.352
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 7278 | 5786 (0.79544) | 1488 | 4 | 17081.20 | 16980.81 | 400.00 | 100.39 | 99.412
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 5739 | 4890 (0.85325) | 841 | 8 | 6625.93 | 6474.33 | 400.00 | 151.60 | 97.712
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 2989 | 2728 (0.91452) | 255 | 6 | 4481.66 | 4485.88 | 0.00 | -4.22 | 100.094
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 6845 | 6576 (0.97945) | 138 | 131 | 15255.16 | 14977.19 | 239.20 | 277.96 | 98.178
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 1065809 | 432263 | 632473 | 1073 | 258014.30 | 250304.36 | 139.64 | 7709.93 | 97.012
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 33624 | 16997 | 16420 | 207 | 362765.82 | 360393.20 | 5418.35 | 2372.61 | 99.346
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 1099433 | 449260 | 648893 | 1280 | 620780.12 | 610697.56 | 5558.00 | 10082.55 | 98.376
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 10082.55703361 BTC (1.624%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 553.81272500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 9528.74430861 BTC (1.535%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 3543403 : SatoshiDice Tx: 2026652 (57.2%)
Blockchain MB: 1474.2 : SatoshiDice Tx: 829.5 (56.3%)

Just-Dice

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

August 27, 2012, 01:10:26 AM

#232

Some of these Martingale chains and bets of 250 a pop make my head hurt. But hey, if you got the flow... Wink

Oh Loaded, who art up in Mt. Gox, hallowed be thy name! Thy dollars rain, thy will be done, on BTCUSD. Give us this day our daily ~~10%~~ 30%, and forgive the bears, as we have bought their bitcoins. And lead us into quadruple digits

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

August 27, 2012, 07:48:41 PM

#233

Quote

Results: 2012-Aug-27 12:30pm (up to block 195966)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 15806 | 0 (0.00000) | 15489 | 317 | 115.29 | 0.01 | 23.23 | 115.27 | 0.017
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 1448 | 0 (0.00000) | 1377 | 71 | 21.12 | 0.00 | 6.58 | 21.12 | 0.008
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 1999 | 0 (0.00000) | 1964 | 35 | 24.35 | 0.02 | 3.22 | 24.33 | 0.106
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 2124 | 1 (0.00048) | 2080 | 43 | 46.78 | 8.06 | 5.15 | 38.72 | 17.236
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 2272 | 1 (0.00045) | 2236 | 35 | 84.74 | 4.24 | 7.40 | 80.50 | 5.005
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 4953 | 2 (0.00040) | 4940 | 11 | 369.88 | 103.43 | 1.29 | 266.45 | 27.964
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 7141 | 8 (0.00112) | 7111 | 22 | 616.44 | 124.33 | 55.64 | 492.10 | 20.170
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 8908 | 19 (0.00214) | 8839 | 50 | 1568.07 | 1274.61 | 44.25 | 293.46 | 81.285
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 8895 | 42 (0.00473) | 8839 | 14 | 1218.98 | 1277.24 | 13.11 | -58.25 | 104.779
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 12159 | 91 (0.00749) | 12059 | 9 | 2404.13 | 1754.38 | 9.35 | 649.74 | 72.974
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 24162 | 360 (0.01490) | 23795 | 7 | 7890.91 | 7350.07 | 1.80 | 540.83 | 93.146
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 12403 | 284 (0.02291) | 12113 | 6 | 4518.06 | 4670.04 | 15.00 | -151.98 | 103.364
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 21215 | 663 (0.03126) | 20549 | 3 | 5328.22 | 4511.52 | 9.24 | 816.69 | 84.672
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 13819 | 644 (0.04663) | 13168 | 7 | 6645.44 | 7952.32 | 24.99 | -1306.88 | 119.666
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 14175 | 878 (0.06196) | 13293 | 4 | 4482.09 | 3951.73 | 31.20 | 530.36 | 88.167
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 18663 | 1755 (0.09412) | 16892 | 16 | 9424.60 | 9515.02 | 7.01 | -90.41 | 100.959
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 72340 | 8898 (0.12304) | 63421 | 21 | 8794.45 | 7726.04 | 0.00 | 1068.41 | 87.851
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 19154 | 3604 (0.18828) | 15538 | 12 | 7646.55 | 7750.68 | 14.50 | -104.12 | 101.362
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 58863 | 14327 (0.24347) | 44519 | 17 | 26775.29 | 26841.25 | 347.79 | -65.96 | 100.246
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 47018 | 17307 (0.36839) | 29673 | 38 | 21013.85 | 20420.52 | 212.63 | 593.32 | 97.177
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 422620 | 205996 (0.48763) | 216450 | 174 | 251304.81 | 249786.04 | 2173.21 | 1518.77 | 99.396
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 161651 | 80504 (0.49848) | 80996 | 151 | 96212.83 | 93640.14 | 1045.21 | 2572.69 | 97.326
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 131785 | 96943 (0.73602) | 34770 | 72 | 127594.23 | 125460.84 | 467.98 | 2133.38 | 98.328
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 7396 | 5880 (0.79545) | 1512 | 4 | 17149.70 | 17056.16 | 400.00 | 93.54 | 99.455
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 5828 | 4971 (0.85412) | 849 | 8 | 6671.19 | 6523.71 | 400.00 | 147.48 | 97.789
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 3009 | 2746 (0.91442) | 257 | 6 | 4573.28 | 4581.64 | 0.00 | -8.35 | 100.183
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 6853 | 6583 (0.97932) | 139 | 131 | 15268.22 | 14990.20 | 239.20 | 278.01 | 98.179
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 1072556 | 435278 | 636201 | 1077 | 261209.78 | 253353.51 | 140.74 | 7856.26 | 96.992
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 34103 | 17229 | 16667 | 207 | 366553.88 | 363920.86 | 5418.35 | 2633.01 | 99.282
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 1106659 | 452507 | 652868 | 1284 | 627763.66 | 617274.37 | 5559.10 | 10489.28 | 98.329
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 10489.28801753 BTC (1.671%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 557.44615000 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 9931.84186753 BTC (1.582%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 3571194 : SatoshiDice Tx: 2040827 (57.1%)
Blockchain MB: 1485.3 : SatoshiDice Tx: 835.2 (56.2%)

Just-Dice

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dooglus

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Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333

Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

August 28, 2012, 08:37:46 PM

#234

Quote

Results: 2012-Aug-28 01:29pm (up to block 196123)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 15866 | 0 (0.00000) | 15537 | 329 | 115.83 | 0.01 | 23.88 | 115.81 | 0.017
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 1471 | 0 (0.00000) | 1400 | 71 | 21.25 | 0.00 | 6.58 | 21.25 | 0.008
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 2065 | 0 (0.00000) | 2030 | 35 | 24.51 | 0.02 | 3.22 | 24.49 | 0.105
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 2145 | 1 (0.00048) | 2101 | 43 | 46.99 | 8.06 | 5.15 | 38.93 | 17.158
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 2289 | 1 (0.00044) | 2253 | 35 | 85.65 | 4.24 | 7.40 | 81.40 | 4.956
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 4974 | 2 (0.00040) | 4961 | 11 | 370.00 | 103.43 | 1.29 | 266.56 | 27.955
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 7184 | 8 (0.00112) | 7154 | 22 | 616.71 | 124.33 | 55.64 | 492.38 | 20.160
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 8933 | 19 (0.00214) | 8864 | 50 | 1568.21 | 1274.61 | 44.25 | 293.60 | 81.278
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 8911 | 42 (0.00472) | 8855 | 14 | 1219.08 | 1277.24 | 13.11 | -58.15 | 104.771
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 12224 | 92 (0.00753) | 12123 | 9 | 2406.25 | 1755.64 | 9.35 | 650.61 | 72.962
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 24279 | 361 (0.01487) | 23911 | 7 | 7893.46 | 7356.47 | 1.80 | 536.98 | 93.197
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 12416 | 284 (0.02288) | 12126 | 6 | 4518.43 | 4670.05 | 15.00 | -151.61 | 103.355
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 21248 | 664 (0.03125) | 20581 | 3 | 5329.60 | 4511.83 | 9.24 | 817.76 | 84.656
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 13843 | 645 (0.04662) | 13191 | 7 | 6647.32 | 7953.39 | 24.99 | -1306.06 | 119.648
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 14207 | 880 (0.06196) | 13323 | 4 | 4483.54 | 3952.06 | 31.20 | 531.47 | 88.146
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 18781 | 1769 (0.09427) | 16996 | 16 | 9459.25 | 9544.79 | 7.01 | -85.54 | 100.904
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 72489 | 8920 (0.12309) | 63548 | 21 | 8802.88 | 7741.69 | 0.00 | 1061.18 | 87.945
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 19225 | 3620 (0.18842) | 15592 | 13 | 7749.15 | 7868.69 | 14.50 | -119.53 | 101.543
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 59762 | 14527 (0.24315) | 45218 | 17 | 27324.80 | 27395.74 | 347.79 | -70.94 | 100.260
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 47649 | 17533 (0.36826) | 30078 | 38 | 21266.54 | 20551.65 | 212.63 | 714.88 | 96.638
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 426604 | 207912 (0.48756) | 218518 | 174 | 255962.64 | 254384.53 | 2173.21 | 1578.11 | 99.383
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 162857 | 81106 (0.49848) | 81600 | 151 | 97452.80 | 94820.36 | 1045.21 | 2632.44 | 97.299
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 132212 | 97250 (0.73596) | 34890 | 72 | 127742.90 | 125613.00 | 467.98 | 2129.89 | 98.333
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 7591 | 6034 (0.79531) | 1553 | 4 | 17257.88 | 17162.53 | 400.00 | 95.34 | 99.448
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 6158 | 5265 (0.85624) | 884 | 9 | 7003.67 | 6866.56 | 400.00 | 137.11 | 98.042
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 3110 | 2839 (0.91463) | 265 | 6 | 4985.72 | 5005.71 | 0.00 | -19.98 | 100.401
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 6880 | 6609 (0.97926) | 140 | 131 | 15275.55 | 14997.54 | 239.20 | 278.00 | 98.180
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 1080795 | 438904 | 640800 | 1091 | 264130.42 | 256165.16 | 141.39 | 7965.26 | 96.984
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 34578 | 17479 | 16892 | 207 | 371500.32 | 368779.13 | 5418.35 | 2721.19 | 99.268
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 1115373 | 456383 | 657692 | 1298 | 635630.74 | 624944.29 | 5559.75 | 10686.45 | 98.319
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 10686.45610678 BTC (1.681%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 561.83687500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 10124.61923178 BTC (1.593%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 3603221 : SatoshiDice Tx: 2057805 (57.1%)
Blockchain MB: 1498.1 : SatoshiDice Tx: 842.0 (56.2%)

Just-Dice

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1% House Edge

dooglus

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Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333

Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

August 29, 2012, 08:10:38 PM

#235

Quote

Results: 2012-Aug-29 01:06pm (up to block 196292)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 16068 | 0 (0.00000) | 15739 | 329 | 116.87 | 0.01 | 23.88 | 116.85 | 0.017
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 1490 | 0 (0.00000) | 1419 | 71 | 21.44 | 0.00 | 6.58 | 21.43 | 0.008
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 2076 | 0 (0.00000) | 2041 | 35 | 24.57 | 0.02 | 3.22 | 24.54 | 0.105
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 2161 | 1 (0.00047) | 2117 | 43 | 47.04 | 8.06 | 5.15 | 38.97 | 17.142
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 2296 | 1 (0.00044) | 2260 | 35 | 85.65 | 4.24 | 7.40 | 81.41 | 4.956
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 4991 | 3 (0.00060) | 4977 | 11 | 370.91 | 303.31 | 1.29 | 67.59 | 81.775
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 7209 | 8 (0.00111) | 7179 | 22 | 628.82 | 124.38 | 55.64 | 504.43 | 19.781
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 8999 | 19 (0.00212) | 8930 | 50 | 1568.80 | 1274.61 | 44.25 | 294.19 | 81.247
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 9020 | 42 (0.00466) | 8964 | 14 | 1232.15 | 1277.27 | 13.11 | -45.11 | 103.662
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 12411 | 94 (0.00758) | 12308 | 9 | 2441.39 | 1780.73 | 9.35 | 660.65 | 72.940
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 24716 | 363 (0.01469) | 24346 | 7 | 7993.43 | 7369.63 | 1.80 | 623.80 | 92.196
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 12613 | 287 (0.02277) | 12320 | 6 | 4553.03 | 4699.99 | 15.00 | -146.96 | 103.228
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 21418 | 667 (0.03115) | 20748 | 3 | 5376.11 | 4534.36 | 9.24 | 841.74 | 84.343
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 13980 | 654 (0.04680) | 13319 | 7 | 6665.11 | 7977.74 | 24.99 | -1312.63 | 119.694
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 14441 | 894 (0.06192) | 13543 | 4 | 4499.14 | 3962.94 | 31.20 | 536.19 | 88.082
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 18914 | 1782 (0.09430) | 17116 | 16 | 9477.74 | 9559.97 | 7.01 | -82.22 | 100.868
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 73008 | 8985 (0.12310) | 64002 | 21 | 8834.23 | 7758.09 | 0.00 | 1076.14 | 87.819
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 19250 | 3622 (0.18828) | 15615 | 13 | 7757.09 | 7871.24 | 14.50 | -114.15 | 101.472
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 61025 | 14848 (0.24338) | 46159 | 18 | 27562.23 | 27658.35 | 347.79 | -96.11 | 100.349
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 48248 | 17748 (0.36814) | 30462 | 38 | 21465.43 | 20764.54 | 212.63 | 700.89 | 96.735
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 429316 | 209248 (0.48760) | 219894 | 174 | 257872.09 | 256150.72 | 2173.21 | 1721.36 | 99.332
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 164268 | 81810 (0.49849) | 82307 | 151 | 98651.01 | 96014.05 | 1045.21 | 2636.96 | 97.327
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 132685 | 97603 (0.73600) | 35009 | 73 | 127879.64 | 125752.50 | 467.98 | 2127.14 | 98.337
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 7749 | 6159 (0.79522) | 1586 | 4 | 17327.91 | 17218.79 | 400.00 | 109.11 | 99.370
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 6340 | 5419 (0.85595) | 912 | 9 | 7104.04 | 6968.31 | 400.00 | 135.73 | 98.089
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 3183 | 2906 (0.91470) | 271 | 6 | 5019.06 | 5034.28 | 0.00 | -15.22 | 100.303
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 6890 | 6618 (0.97914) | 141 | 131 | 15279.73 | 15001.72 | 239.20 | 278.00 | 98.181
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 1089980 | 442197 | 646690 | 1093 | 266581.19 | 258594.01 | 141.40 | 7987.18 | 97.004
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 34785 | 17584 | 16994 | 207 | 373273.59 | 370475.99 | 5418.35 | 2797.60 | 99.251
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 1124765 | 459781 | 663684 | 1300 | 639854.78 | 629070.00 | 5559.75 | 10784.78 | 98.314
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 10784.78667003 BTC (1.686%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 566.55907500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 10218.22759503 BTC (1.597%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 3637252 : SatoshiDice Tx: 2075046 (57.0%)
Blockchain MB: 1511.2 : SatoshiDice Tx: 849.1 (56.2%)

Just-Dice

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dooglus

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Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333

Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

August 30, 2012, 04:18:13 PM

#236

Quote

Results: 2012-Aug-30 09:08am (up to block 196421)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 16256 | 0 (0.00000) | 15927 | 329 | 117.98 | 0.01 | 23.88 | 117.96 | 0.016
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 1509 | 0 (0.00000) | 1438 | 71 | 21.73 | 0.00 | 6.58 | 21.73 | 0.008
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 2087 | 0 (0.00000) | 2052 | 35 | 24.60 | 0.02 | 3.22 | 24.57 | 0.105
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 2170 | 1 (0.00047) | 2126 | 43 | 47.05 | 8.06 | 5.15 | 38.98 | 17.138
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 2312 | 1 (0.00044) | 2276 | 35 | 86.08 | 4.24 | 7.40 | 81.84 | 4.931
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 5004 | 3 (0.00060) | 4990 | 11 | 371.95 | 303.32 | 1.29 | 68.63 | 81.548
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 7240 | 8 (0.00111) | 7210 | 22 | 629.05 | 124.38 | 55.64 | 504.66 | 19.774
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 9032 | 19 (0.00212) | 8962 | 51 | 1568.93 | 1274.61 | 44.25 | 294.32 | 81.240
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 9033 | 42 (0.00466) | 8977 | 14 | 1232.19 | 1277.27 | 13.11 | -45.07 | 103.658
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 12461 | 95 (0.00763) | 12357 | 9 | 2444.44 | 1791.86 | 9.35 | 652.57 | 73.304
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 24912 | 365 (0.01466) | 24540 | 7 | 7995.76 | 7370.59 | 1.80 | 625.17 | 92.181
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 12618 | 287 (0.02276) | 12325 | 6 | 4553.04 | 4699.99 | 15.00 | -146.95 | 103.228
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 21474 | 669 (0.03116) | 20802 | 3 | 5376.27 | 4534.83 | 9.24 | 841.44 | 84.349
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 13985 | 654 (0.04679) | 13324 | 7 | 6665.12 | 7977.74 | 24.99 | -1312.62 | 119.694
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 14471 | 896 (0.06193) | 13571 | 4 | 4499.68 | 3963.50 | 31.20 | 536.18 | 88.084
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 18953 | 1786 (0.09431) | 17151 | 16 | 9480.81 | 9561.17 | 7.01 | -80.36 | 100.848
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 73309 | 9016 (0.12302) | 64272 | 21 | 8847.72 | 7766.62 | 0.00 | 1081.09 | 87.781
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 19281 | 3626 (0.18819) | 15642 | 13 | 7759.05 | 7871.76 | 14.50 | -112.71 | 101.453
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 61671 | 14980 (0.24298) | 46672 | 19 | 27797.24 | 27922.14 | 347.79 | -124.90 | 100.449
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 48748 | 17944 (0.36838) | 30766 | 38 | 21926.91 | 21337.34 | 212.63 | 589.57 | 97.311
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 432346 | 210708 (0.48756) | 221464 | 174 | 258948.45 | 257296.16 | 2173.21 | 1652.29 | 99.362
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 164840 | 82099 (0.49851) | 82590 | 151 | 99270.03 | 96651.30 | 1045.21 | 2618.72 | 97.362
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 133351 | 98101 (0.73606) | 35177 | 73 | 128529.49 | 126489.87 | 467.98 | 2039.61 | 98.413
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 7975 | 6346 (0.79614) | 1625 | 4 | 17919.73 | 17880.49 | 400.00 | 39.24 | 99.781
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 6650 | 5688 (0.85650) | 953 | 9 | 7414.22 | 7281.45 | 400.00 | 132.77 | 98.209
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 3212 | 2934 (0.91516) | 272 | 6 | 5044.70 | 5060.79 | 0.00 | -16.09 | 100.319
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 6909 | 6637 (0.97920) | 141 | 131 | 15338.56 | 15060.81 | 239.20 | 277.75 | 98.189
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 1096818 | 445182 | 650541 | 1095 | 268634.43 | 260620.95 | 141.40 | 8013.47 | 97.017
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 34991 | 17723 | 17061 | 207 | 375276.47 | 372889.49 | 5418.35 | 2386.97 | 99.364
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 1131809 | 462905 | 667602 | 1302 | 643910.90 | 633510.44 | 5559.75 | 10400.45 | 98.385
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 10400.45695513 BTC (1.615%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 570.10700000 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 9830.34995513 BTC (1.527%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 3661341 : SatoshiDice Tx: 2088284 (57.0%)
Blockchain MB: 1520.8 : SatoshiDice Tx: 854.5 (56.2%)

Just-Dice

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1% House Edge

dooglus

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Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333

Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

August 31, 2012, 04:21:34 PM

#237

Quote

Results: 2012-Aug-31 09:11am (up to block 196561)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 16455 | 0 (0.00000) | 16126 | 329 | 118.66 | 0.01 | 23.88 | 118.64 | 0.016
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 1527 | 0 (0.00000) | 1456 | 71 | 21.83 | 0.00 | 6.58 | 21.83 | 0.008
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 2111 | 0 (0.00000) | 2076 | 35 | 24.74 | 0.02 | 3.22 | 24.71 | 0.104
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 2188 | 1 (0.00047) | 2144 | 43 | 47.12 | 8.06 | 5.15 | 39.05 | 17.113
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 2329 | 1 (0.00044) | 2292 | 36 | 86.14 | 4.24 | 7.40 | 81.90 | 4.927
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 5024 | 3 (0.00060) | 5010 | 11 | 372.16 | 303.32 | 1.29 | 68.84 | 81.502
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 7276 | 8 (0.00110) | 7246 | 22 | 629.33 | 124.38 | 55.64 | 504.95 | 19.765
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 9058 | 19 (0.00211) | 8984 | 55 | 1569.06 | 1274.61 | 44.25 | 294.45 | 81.234
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 9057 | 42 (0.00464) | 9001 | 14 | 1233.27 | 1277.27 | 13.11 | -43.99 | 103.567
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 12498 | 95 (0.00761) | 12394 | 9 | 2445.63 | 1791.86 | 9.35 | 653.77 | 73.268
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 25031 | 367 (0.01467) | 24657 | 7 | 7997.27 | 7371.29 | 1.80 | 625.98 | 92.173
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 12634 | 287 (0.02273) | 12341 | 6 | 4553.21 | 4699.99 | 15.00 | -146.77 | 103.224
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 21497 | 669 (0.03112) | 20825 | 3 | 5376.51 | 4534.83 | 9.24 | 841.68 | 84.345
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 14010 | 656 (0.04685) | 13347 | 7 | 6665.61 | 7978.08 | 24.99 | -1312.46 | 119.690
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 14517 | 901 (0.06208) | 13612 | 4 | 4513.03 | 3980.68 | 31.20 | 532.34 | 88.204
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 19089 | 1800 (0.09437) | 17273 | 16 | 9496.87 | 9575.90 | 7.01 | -79.02 | 100.832
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 73589 | 9051 (0.12303) | 64517 | 21 | 8870.48 | 7773.35 | 0.00 | 1097.12 | 87.632
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 19346 | 3641 (0.18833) | 15692 | 13 | 7770.45 | 7882.33 | 14.50 | -111.87 | 101.440
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 62096 | 15080 (0.24292) | 46997 | 19 | 27964.39 | 28190.14 | 347.79 | -225.75 | 100.807
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 49390 | 18181 (0.36839) | 31171 | 38 | 22588.47 | 22070.58 | 212.63 | 517.88 | 97.707
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 439228 | 214083 (0.48760) | 224971 | 174 | 260417.51 | 258871.21 | 2173.21 | 1546.30 | 99.406
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 165645 | 82516 (0.49861) | 82976 | 153 | 100270.14 | 97458.14 | 1045.21 | 2811.99 | 97.196
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 134208 | 98732 (0.73606) | 35403 | 73 | 129408.30 | 127358.92 | 467.98 | 2049.38 | 98.416
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 8302 | 6610 (0.79658) | 1688 | 4 | 18481.68 | 18362.27 | 400.00 | 119.40 | 99.354
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 6822 | 5834 (0.85630) | 979 | 9 | 7700.95 | 7564.23 | 400.00 | 136.72 | 98.225
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 3302 | 3019 (0.91596) | 277 | 6 | 5063.71 | 5080.43 | 0.00 | -16.71 | 100.330
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 6940 | 6668 (0.97929) | 141 | 131 | 15517.05 | 15240.07 | 239.20 | 276.97 | 98.215
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 1107846 | 450334 | 656410 | 1102 | 271502.72 | 263430.76 | 141.40 | 8071.96 | 97.027
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 35323 | 17930 | 17186 | 207 | 377700.98 | 375345.58 | 5418.35 | 2355.40 | 99.376
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 1143169 | 468264 | 673596 | 1309 | 649203.71 | 638776.34 | 5559.76 | 10427.36 | 98.394
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 10427.36850934 BTC (1.606%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 575.80767500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 9851.56083434 BTC (1.517%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 3702714 : SatoshiDice Tx: 2110247 (57.0%)
Blockchain MB: 1536.9 : SatoshiDice Tx: 863.2 (56.2%)

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

September 02, 2012, 12:36:58 AM

#238

Quote

Results: 2012-Sep-01 05:28pm (up to block 196777)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 16731 | 0 (0.00000) | 16402 | 329 | 119.96 | 0.01 | 23.88 | 119.94 | 0.016
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 1557 | 0 (0.00000) | 1486 | 71 | 21.99 | 0.00 | 6.58 | 21.98 | 0.008
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 2133 | 0 (0.00000) | 2098 | 35 | 24.91 | 0.02 | 3.22 | 24.88 | 0.104
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 2209 | 1 (0.00046) | 2165 | 43 | 47.15 | 8.06 | 5.15 | 39.08 | 17.102
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 2349 | 1 (0.00043) | 2312 | 36 | 86.26 | 4.24 | 7.40 | 82.02 | 4.920
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 5043 | 3 (0.00060) | 5029 | 11 | 372.23 | 303.32 | 1.29 | 68.90 | 81.488
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 7300 | 8 (0.00110) | 7270 | 22 | 629.37 | 124.38 | 55.64 | 504.99 | 19.763
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 9083 | 19 (0.00210) | 9009 | 55 | 1570.24 | 1274.61 | 44.25 | 295.62 | 81.173
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 9129 | 42 (0.00461) | 9073 | 14 | 1238.29 | 1277.27 | 13.11 | -38.97 | 103.147
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 12597 | 95 (0.00755) | 12493 | 9 | 2453.47 | 1791.86 | 9.35 | 661.60 | 73.034
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 25343 | 373 (0.01472) | 24963 | 7 | 8027.78 | 7391.32 | 1.80 | 636.46 | 92.072
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 12808 | 294 (0.02297) | 12508 | 6 | 4581.89 | 4759.80 | 15.00 | -177.91 | 103.883
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 21674 | 679 (0.03133) | 20992 | 3 | 5405.87 | 4589.30 | 9.24 | 816.56 | 84.895
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 14225 | 671 (0.04719) | 13547 | 7 | 6696.91 | 8034.67 | 24.99 | -1337.76 | 119.976
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 14759 | 918 (0.06222) | 13837 | 4 | 4541.58 | 4023.12 | 31.20 | 518.46 | 88.584
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 19361 | 1829 (0.09455) | 17516 | 16 | 9536.45 | 9613.66 | 7.01 | -77.20 | 100.810
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 75252 | 9245 (0.12289) | 65986 | 21 | 9450.93 | 8082.72 | 0.00 | 1368.20 | 85.523
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 19421 | 3657 (0.18843) | 15751 | 13 | 7781.83 | 7905.94 | 14.50 | -124.10 | 101.595
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 62570 | 15199 (0.24299) | 47352 | 19 | 28180.74 | 28372.17 | 347.79 | -191.43 | 100.679
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 50563 | 18610 (0.36833) | 31915 | 38 | 23763.55 | 23131.67 | 212.63 | 631.88 | 97.341
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 446568 | 217681 (0.48764) | 228713 | 174 | 270084.69 | 268429.43 | 2173.21 | 1655.25 | 99.387
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 166693 | 83036 (0.49861) | 83500 | 157 | 101314.90 | 98570.84 | 1045.21 | 2744.05 | 97.292
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 136215 | 100241 (0.73630) | 35901 | 73 | 131286.08 | 129289.42 | 467.98 | 1996.65 | 98.479
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 8699 | 6917 (0.79551) | 1778 | 4 | 18723.74 | 18610.12 | 400.00 | 113.62 | 99.393
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 7029 | 6013 (0.85655) | 1007 | 9 | 7810.99 | 7671.70 | 400.00 | 139.28 | 98.217
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 3383 | 3095 (0.91649) | 282 | 6 | 5086.29 | 5102.54 | 0.00 | -16.25 | 100.320
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 6961 | 6689 (0.97936) | 141 | 131 | 15529.25 | 15252.32 | 239.20 | 276.93 | 98.217
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 1123648 | 457059 | 665483 | 1106 | 277144.94 | 269270.42 | 141.40 | 7874.51 | 97.159
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 36007 | 18257 | 17543 | 207 | 387222.52 | 384344.22 | 5418.35 | 2878.30 | 99.257
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 1159655 | 475316 | 683026 | 1313 | 664367.47 | 653614.65 | 5559.76 | 10752.82 | 98.381
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 10752.82061139 BTC (1.619%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 584.13672500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 10168.68388639 BTC (1.531%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 3758438 : SatoshiDice Tx: 2141265 (57.0%)
Blockchain MB: 1558.7 : SatoshiDice Tx: 876.0 (56.2%)

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dooglus

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Merit: 1333

Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

September 03, 2012, 03:40:05 AM

#239

Quote

Results: 2012-Sep-02 08:36pm (up to block 196966)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 16907 | 0 (0.00000) | 16567 | 340 | 120.38 | 0.01 | 24.98 | 120.36 | 0.016
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 1582 | 0 (0.00000) | 1511 | 71 | 23.20 | 0.00 | 6.58 | 23.20 | 0.008
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 2141 | 0 (0.00000) | 2106 | 35 | 25.04 | 0.02 | 3.22 | 25.02 | 0.104
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 2224 | 1 (0.00046) | 2180 | 43 | 48.27 | 8.06 | 5.15 | 40.21 | 16.704
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 2360 | 1 (0.00043) | 2323 | 36 | 86.94 | 4.24 | 7.40 | 82.69 | 4.882
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 5078 | 3 (0.00059) | 5064 | 11 | 372.88 | 303.32 | 1.29 | 69.56 | 81.344
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 7352 | 8 (0.00109) | 7322 | 22 | 633.36 | 124.38 | 55.64 | 508.98 | 19.639
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 9174 | 19 (0.00208) | 9100 | 55 | 1576.84 | 1274.61 | 44.25 | 302.23 | 80.833
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 9273 | 42 (0.00454) | 9217 | 14 | 1261.12 | 1277.33 | 13.11 | -16.20 | 101.285
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 12738 | 96 (0.00754) | 12633 | 9 | 2473.78 | 1804.40 | 9.35 | 669.37 | 72.941
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 25594 | 376 (0.01469) | 25211 | 7 | 8060.81 | 7398.01 | 1.80 | 662.80 | 91.777
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 13219 | 303 (0.02293) | 12910 | 6 | 4618.24 | 4790.18 | 15.00 | -171.93 | 103.723
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 21798 | 682 (0.03129) | 21112 | 4 | 5438.46 | 4611.79 | 9.24 | 826.66 | 84.800
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 14324 | 673 (0.04701) | 13644 | 7 | 6726.83 | 8047.58 | 24.99 | -1320.74 | 119.634
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 14919 | 930 (0.06235) | 13985 | 4 | 4598.08 | 4096.88 | 31.20 | 501.19 | 89.100
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 19605 | 1854 (0.09464) | 17735 | 16 | 9607.78 | 9703.66 | 7.01 | -95.87 | 100.998
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 75768 | 9309 (0.12290) | 66438 | 21 | 9615.00 | 8306.91 | 0.00 | 1308.08 | 86.395
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 19591 | 3700 (0.18899) | 15878 | 13 | 7808.65 | 7939.04 | 14.50 | -130.39 | 101.670
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 63812 | 15503 (0.24302) | 48290 | 19 | 30332.20 | 30390.28 | 347.79 | -58.07 | 100.191
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 51262 | 18862 (0.36823) | 32362 | 38 | 24792.24 | 24120.40 | 212.63 | 671.84 | 97.290
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 451059 | 219857 (0.48761) | 231028 | 174 | 279095.33 | 277760.35 | 2173.21 | 1334.98 | 99.522
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 168027 | 83721 (0.49873) | 84146 | 160 | 102459.48 | 99539.96 | 1045.21 | 2919.52 | 97.151
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 137814 | 101409 (0.73623) | 36332 | 73 | 132747.03 | 130723.81 | 467.98 | 2023.21 | 98.476
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 9093 | 7232 (0.79569) | 1857 | 4 | 18889.41 | 18766.89 | 400.00 | 122.52 | 99.351
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 7347 | 6286 (0.85664) | 1052 | 9 | 7957.39 | 7812.50 | 400.00 | 144.88 | 98.179
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 3568 | 3264 (0.91634) | 298 | 6 | 5125.77 | 5140.26 | 0.00 | -14.48 | 100.283
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 7110 | 6833 (0.97922) | 145 | 132 | 15658.82 | 15381.99 | 239.20 | 276.83 | 98.232
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 1135613 | 462187 | 672304 | 1122 | 282114.95 | 274158.74 | 142.50 | 7956.20 | 97.180
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 37126 | 18777 | 18142 | 207 | 398038.51 | 395168.23 | 5418.35 | 2870.28 | 99.279
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 1172739 | 480964 | 690446 | 1329 | 680153.47 | 669326.98 | 5560.86 | 10826.49 | 98.408
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 10826.49172167 BTC (1.592%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 590.71480000 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 10235.77692167 BTC (1.505%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 3797306 : SatoshiDice Tx: 2164138 (57.0%)
Blockchain MB: 1574.5 : SatoshiDice Tx: 885.4 (56.2%)

Just-Dice

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dooglus

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

September 04, 2012, 05:42:35 PM

#240

Quote

Results: 2012-Sep-04 10:35am (up to block 197196)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 17253 | 0 (0.00000) | 16905 | 348 | 123.92 | 0.01 | 25.08 | 123.90 | 0.016
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 1626 | 0 (0.00000) | 1555 | 71 | 23.56 | 0.00 | 6.58 | 23.56 | 0.007
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 2199 | 0 (0.00000) | 2164 | 35 | 26.60 | 0.02 | 3.22 | 26.57 | 0.098
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 2267 | 1 (0.00045) | 2223 | 43 | 49.03 | 8.06 | 5.15 | 40.97 | 16.444
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 2413 | 1 (0.00042) | 2376 | 36 | 88.79 | 4.24 | 7.40 | 84.54 | 4.781
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 5194 | 3 (0.00058) | 5180 | 11 | 374.17 | 303.32 | 1.29 | 70.84 | 81.066
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 7453 | 8 (0.00108) | 7423 | 22 | 635.46 | 124.38 | 55.64 | 511.07 | 19.574
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 9436 | 19 (0.00203) | 9362 | 55 | 1584.57 | 1274.62 | 44.25 | 309.94 | 80.440
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 9395 | 43 (0.00458) | 9338 | 14 | 1273.65 | 1302.33 | 13.11 | -28.67 | 102.251
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 12902 | 98 (0.00760) | 12795 | 9 | 2494.37 | 1840.67 | 9.35 | 653.70 | 73.793
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 25813 | 379 (0.01469) | 25427 | 7 | 8082.98 | 7439.63 | 1.80 | 643.34 | 92.041
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 14022 | 321 (0.02290) | 13695 | 6 | 4644.07 | 4810.26 | 15.00 | -166.18 | 103.579
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 21947 | 683 (0.03113) | 21260 | 4 | 5452.13 | 4612.47 | 9.24 | 839.65 | 84.599
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 14525 | 673 (0.04636) | 13845 | 7 | 6751.54 | 8047.64 | 24.99 | -1296.10 | 119.197
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 15068 | 934 (0.06200) | 14130 | 4 | 4619.41 | 4104.29 | 31.20 | 515.12 | 88.849
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 19833 | 1867 (0.09421) | 17950 | 16 | 9636.89 | 9727.32 | 7.01 | -90.42 | 100.938
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 76278 | 9354 (0.12266) | 66903 | 21 | 9679.70 | 8351.32 | 0.00 | 1328.37 | 86.277
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 19770 | 3728 (0.18869) | 16029 | 13 | 7843.42 | 7957.22 | 14.50 | -113.80 | 101.451
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 65015 | 15778 (0.24275) | 49218 | 19 | 30845.47 | 30795.19 | 347.79 | 50.28 | 99.837
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 52166 | 19211 (0.36854) | 32917 | 38 | 26077.18 | 25447.72 | 212.63 | 629.45 | 97.586
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 460195 | 224293 (0.48758) | 235724 | 178 | 283975.20 | 282265.39 | 2173.21 | 1709.80 | 99.398
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 169001 | 84185 (0.49861) | 84656 | 160 | 103474.30 | 100329.27 | 1045.21 | 3145.02 | 96.961
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 140486 | 103382 (0.73627) | 37031 | 73 | 134618.99 | 132586.72 | 467.98 | 2032.26 | 98.490
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 9350 | 7436 (0.79563) | 1910 | 4 | 19080.02 | 18968.81 | 400.00 | 111.21 | 99.417
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 7800 | 6668 (0.85586) | 1123 | 9 | 8338.60 | 8186.58 | 400.00 | 152.01 | 98.177
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 3683 | 3363 (0.91460) | 314 | 6 | 5177.35 | 5189.53 | 0.00 | -12.17 | 100.235
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 7228 | 6949 (0.97956) | 145 | 134 | 15662.57 | 15385.69 | 239.21 | 276.87 | 98.232
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 1154654 | 470359 | 683159 | 1136 | 287487.26 | 279356.22 | 142.61 | 8131.04 | 97.172
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 37664 | 19018 | 18439 | 207 | 403146.78 | 399706.61 | 5418.35 | 3440.17 | 99.147
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 1192318 | 489377 | 701598 | 1343 | 690634.05 | 679062.83 | 5560.97 | 11571.22 | 98.325
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 11571.22351559 BTC (1.675%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 600.54257500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 10970.68094059 BTC (1.588%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 3857008 : SatoshiDice Tx: 2200629 (57.1%)
Blockchain MB: 1599.2 : SatoshiDice Tx: 900.2 (56.3%)

Just-Dice

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Bitcoin Forum > Economy > Marketplace > Service Discussion > Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

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