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Author Topic: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis  (Read 177373 times)
Bugpowder
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January 17, 2013, 01:40:17 PM
 #701

THE WHALES HAVE RETURNED!

http://satoshidice.com/lookup.php?tx=&limit=300&min_bet=10&status=ALL
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Bowjob
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January 17, 2013, 03:09:02 PM
 #702

hah time for some whale oil




It seemed like a good idea at the time.
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January 17, 2013, 08:11:45 PM
 #703

I think I must have the worst statistics or luck...

Placed 10 bets in either 91 or 97%, didn't win a single one.  I would almost think that would be statistically worthy of a loser pay out lol.

The odd thing is, I was unable to find my bets/results on the site (via lookup query and 7 digits of my blockchain wallet, 1DyvXuXwBBQMBNHE8HbuAikzRG7akdnq2R).

Checked blockchain.info and other bets were payed out from seconds to 8min or so...

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January 17, 2013, 08:25:31 PM
 #704

I think I must have the worst statistics or luck...

Placed 10 bets in either 91 or 97%, didn't win a single one.  I would almost think that would be statistically worthy of a loser pay out lol.

The odd thing is, I was unable to find my bets/results on the site (via lookup query and 7 digits of my blockchain wallet, 1DyvXuXwBBQMBNHE8HbuAikzRG7akdnq2R).

Checked blockchain.info and other bets were payed out from seconds to 8min or so...

At the time I am replying to you...
Your address had 10 BTC sent to it. Then you placed your first bet using this unconfirmed transaction. Change was returned to the same address.
Then all other bets were place with the same unconfirmed transactions.

First, I would wait for a few confirmations. You might find out that you won after all.
Bets sent from unconfirmed transactions don't show up on the site and are held until it does confirm.

And, it looks like you can thank Mt Gox for not including any TX fee on your first transaction. You might have to wait a while.
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January 18, 2013, 01:14:37 AM
 #705

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Total of 63 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Jan-17 05:12pm (up to block 216953)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |       Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP  
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    68806 |      0 (0.00000) |   67594 |    1212 |     634.81 |       0.01 |    93.01 |    634.79 |   0.003
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     3647 |      0 (0.00000) |    3155 |     492 |      55.74 |       0.00 |    16.23 |     55.74 |   0.008
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     5736 |      1 (0.00019) |    5316 |     419 |      77.92 |     159.96 |     8.46 |    -82.03 | 205.273
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     8319 |      2 (0.00025) |    7896 |     421 |     119.60 |      16.09 |    10.02 |    103.51 |  13.453
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    10097 |      1 (0.00010) |    9688 |     408 |     288.60 |       4.51 |    18.65 |    284.08 |   1.565
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    10831 |      3 (0.00029) |   10437 |     391 |     572.78 |     303.51 |     1.36 |    269.26 |  52.990
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    12793 |     12 (0.00097) |   12381 |     400 |     820.08 |     155.69 |    55.70 |    664.39 |  18.985
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    15773 |     30 (0.00195) |   15316 |     427 |    1894.45 |    1373.98 |    48.31 |    520.46 |  72.527
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    17527 |     74 (0.00431) |   17078 |     375 |    2185.89 |    3275.17 |    13.16 |  -1089.27 | 149.832
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    25964 |    193 (0.00763) |   25096 |     675 |    4334.12 |    3975.74 |     9.96 |    358.38 |  91.731
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    77949 |   1188 (0.01533) |   76322 |     439 |   19579.96 |   17221.25 |     1.91 |   2358.71 |  87.953
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    20076 |    470 (0.02383) |   19257 |     349 |    6406.22 |    6449.67 |    15.07 |    -43.45 | 100.678
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    46725 |   1448 (0.03124) |   44900 |     377 |   20918.86 |   18742.12 |     9.31 |   2176.73 |  89.594
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    23227 |   1055 (0.04624) |   21760 |     412 |    8416.25 |    9468.79 |    25.10 |  -1052.53 | 112.506
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    28860 |   1748 (0.06134) |   26748 |     364 |    6308.50 |    5953.21 |    31.26 |    355.29 |  94.368
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    33820 |   3140 (0.09392) |   30292 |     388 |   13627.91 |   15172.47 |     7.11 |  -1544.56 | 111.334
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   138110 |  16959 (0.12318) |  120714 |     437 |   54241.07 |   52803.97 |   100.19 |   1437.10 |  97.351
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    53823 |   9887 (0.18516) |   43510 |     426 |   86187.07 |   84232.27 |  3314.64 |   1954.79 |  97.732
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   165833 |  40322 (0.24383) |  125049 |     462 |  186831.28 |  186955.15 |  1617.03 |   -123.86 | 100.066
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   149159 |  54719 (0.36807) |   93945 |     495 |  185897.77 |  182732.65 |  1012.90 |   3165.12 |  98.297
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   873455 | 425944 (0.48842) |  446137 |    1374 |  577101.22 |  568327.81 |  2924.01 |   8773.41 |  98.480
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   392564 | 195641 (0.49940) |  196108 |     815 |  413821.19 |  403960.86 |  5720.21 |   9860.33 |  97.617
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   253649 | 186262 (0.73581) |   66875 |     512 |  248029.99 |  242441.36 |  5454.79 |   5588.63 |  97.747
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    47106 |  37105 (0.79447) |    9599 |     402 |   49507.15 |   48531.50 |  1187.14 |    975.64 |  98.029
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    35353 |  29872 (0.85556) |    5043 |     438 |   46473.18 |   45862.26 |   400.14 |    610.91 |  98.685
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |    45169 |  40987 (0.91593) |    3762 |     420 |   52017.71 |   51647.47 |     0.13 |    370.24 |  99.288
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    12235 |  11346 (0.98106) |     219 |     670 |   21714.49 |   21350.54 |   239.50 |    363.95 |  98.324
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  2494277 | 1018480           | 1462085 |   13712 |  569705.00 |  557579.00 |   211.74 |  12126.00 |  97.872
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    82329 |  39929           |   42112 |     288 | 1438358.96 | 1413539.12 | 22123.70 |  24819.84 |  98.274
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  2576606 | 1058409           | 1504197 |   14000 | 2008063.97 | 1971118.12 | 22335.44 |  36945.84 |  98.160
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      36945.84613213 BTC (1.840%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        1772.53127500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       35173.31485713 BTC (1.752%)
Pending Liabilities:            7.15822324 BTC
Final SD Profit:            35166.15663389 BTC (1.751%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  8440955  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  4740761  (56.2%)
Blockchain MB:   3592.7  :  SatoshiDice MB:   1945.8  (54.2%)




legitnick
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January 18, 2013, 10:19:44 AM
 #706

What's stopping the person who runs SD from placing large amounts of bets to make it look like the odds are really what they are but in the end making it less likely for the end user to actually win?

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organofcorti
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January 18, 2013, 10:31:02 AM
 #707

As usual, thanks for the time you put into this, dooglus.

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January 18, 2013, 11:49:29 AM
 #708

What's stopping the person who runs SD from placing large amounts of bets to make it look like the odds are really what they are but in the end making it less likely for the end user to actually win?

Nothing stops the owners playing their own game.  They can even tell before placing a bet whether it will win or not, and decide not to place the losing ones.

What the can't do is make your bets lose more than they should, since the result of your bet is determined in an exact way from the days secret (known only to the site) and your bet's transaction ID and its output number within that transaction.

In other words, there's nothing to stop them placing their own bets (to cheat their shareholders, perhaps), but the laws of mathematics stop them cheating their end users.

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January 18, 2013, 08:32:25 PM
 #709

As usual, thanks for the time you put into this, dooglus.

You're welcome.  Thanks for temporarily reposting yesterday's report with the correct font!

Quote
Total of 8 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Jan-18 12:29pm (up to block 217054)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |       Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    69036 |      0 (0.00000) |   67813 |    1223 |     638.95 |       0.01 |    93.22 |    638.93 |   0.003
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     3657 |      0 (0.00000) |    3165 |     492 |      55.93 |       0.00 |    16.23 |     55.93 |   0.008
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     5746 |      1 (0.00019) |    5326 |     419 |      78.20 |     159.96 |     8.46 |    -81.75 | 204.538
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     8327 |      2 (0.00025) |    7904 |     421 |     119.68 |      16.09 |    10.02 |    103.59 |  13.444
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    10102 |      1 (0.00010) |    9692 |     409 |     288.68 |       4.51 |    18.65 |    284.16 |   1.564
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    10840 |      3 (0.00029) |   10446 |     391 |     573.00 |     303.51 |     1.36 |    269.48 |  52.970
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    12904 |     12 (0.00096) |   12491 |     401 |     821.59 |     155.69 |    55.71 |    665.90 |  18.950
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    15792 |     30 (0.00195) |   15335 |     427 |    1900.13 |    1374.01 |    48.31 |    526.12 |  72.311
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    17631 |     74 (0.00429) |   17182 |     375 |    2187.02 |    3275.17 |    13.16 |  -1088.14 | 149.754
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    26013 |    193 (0.00762) |   25145 |     675 |    4335.66 |    3975.74 |     9.96 |    359.91 |  91.699
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    78158 |   1191 (0.01532) |   76527 |     440 |   19702.77 |   17235.24 |     1.91 |   2467.53 |  87.476
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    20103 |    470 (0.02379) |   19284 |     349 |    6406.58 |    6449.67 |    15.07 |    -43.09 | 100.673
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    46996 |   1455 (0.03121) |   45164 |     377 |   21221.11 |   18809.09 |     9.31 |   2412.02 |  88.634
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    23259 |   1056 (0.04622) |   21791 |     412 |    8417.50 |    9469.01 |    25.10 |  -1051.50 | 112.492
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    28881 |   1749 (0.06133) |   26767 |     365 |    6308.76 |    5953.36 |    31.27 |    355.39 |  94.367
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    33971 |   3156 (0.09398) |   30426 |     389 |   13694.14 |   15231.13 |     7.12 |  -1536.99 | 111.224
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   138414 |  16982 (0.12308) |  120994 |     438 |   54908.18 |   53046.35 |   100.19 |   1861.83 |  96.609
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    54123 |   9937 (0.18506) |   43759 |     427 |   87765.54 |   84966.31 |  3314.64 |   2799.23 |  96.811
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   166507 |  40474 (0.24376) |  125568 |     465 |  189094.08 |  189494.73 |  2056.04 |   -400.64 | 100.212
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   150076 |  55052 (0.36805) |   94527 |     497 |  187994.79 |  185596.09 |  1012.91 |   2398.70 |  98.724
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   876499 | 427417 (0.48841) |  447704 |    1378 |  579146.64 |  570362.73 |  2924.03 |   8783.90 |  98.483
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   394882 | 196830 (0.49949) |  197230 |     822 |  415461.28 |  405870.42 |  5720.23 |   9590.85 |  97.692
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   255453 | 187607 (0.73589) |   67331 |     515 |  248851.30 |  243309.66 |  5454.80 |   5541.64 |  97.773
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    47985 |  37802 (0.79449) |    9778 |     405 |   49715.79 |   48741.29 |  1187.15 |    974.50 |  98.040
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    35510 |  29995 (0.85536) |    5072 |     443 |   48686.69 |   48020.32 |   400.15 |    666.36 |  98.631
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |    45535 |  41321 (0.91596) |    3791 |     423 |   52157.63 |   51784.78 |     0.14 |    372.84 |  99.285
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    12286 |  11389 (0.98105) |     220 |     677 |   21724.07 |   21359.98 |   239.52 |    364.09 |  98.324
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  2506008 | 1024108           | 1468134 |   13766 |  572657.65 |  560393.26 |   212.06 |  12264.38 |  97.858
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    82678 |  40091           |   42298 |     289 | 1449598.19 | 1424571.71 | 22562.70 |  25026.47 |  98.274
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  2588686 | 1064199           | 1510432 |   14055 | 2022255.84 | 1984964.98 | 22774.76 |  37290.86 |  98.156
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      37290.86132760 BTC (1.844%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        1784.68387500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       35506.17745260 BTC (1.756%)
Pending Liabilities:            0.76647025 BTC
Final SD Profit:            35505.41098235 BTC (1.756%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  8479897  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  4763365  (56.2%)
Blockchain MB:   3610.0  :  SatoshiDice MB:   1955.1  (54.2%)




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January 18, 2013, 11:32:00 PM
 #710

dooglus, does etotheipi's software recorded the bet size in more groups than > 4 btc and < 4 btc ? It would be interesting to see the distribution of bet size and how it changes over time.

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January 19, 2013, 06:52:12 PM
 #711

I was playing dice earlier and to my horror, the fee was 0.0335 BTC.. WTF??

The satoshi client has this code to calculate the required fee:

Code:
int64 nMinFee = (1 + (int64)nBytes / 1000) * nBaseFee;

nBaseFee is 0.0005 BTC.  So that's saying the fee is 0.0005 BTC per 1000 bytes (or part 1000 bytes) of transaction size.

0.0335 / 0.0005 = 67, so I'm guessing your transaction was between 66001 and 67000 bytes.

Probably you spent hundreds of tiny amounts in a single transaction.  Maybe all you had left in your wallet was all the dust you got back from previous losing satoshidice bets.

I just checked the blockchain.  There have been 17 satoshidice bets with 0.0335 BTC fees paid in the last day or so.  16 of them look like they're from the same person who just chose to pay a big fee for some reason:  1, 2, 3 are some examples.  The 17th is probably yours, here, but it's not as big as I thought it would be, so I don't understand why the fee is so high.

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January 19, 2013, 06:57:04 PM
 #712

Quote
Results: 2013-Jan-19 10:44am (up to block 217186)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |       Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    72963 |      0 (0.00000) |   71738 |    1225 |     686.30 |       0.01 |    94.22 |    686.28 |   0.003
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     3674 |      0 (0.00000) |    3182 |     492 |      56.18 |       0.00 |    16.23 |     56.18 |   0.008
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     5755 |      1 (0.00019) |    5335 |     419 |      78.30 |     159.96 |     8.46 |    -81.65 | 204.277
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     8440 |      3 (0.00037) |    8016 |     421 |     121.87 |     175.99 |    10.02 |    -54.12 | 144.410
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    10169 |      1 (0.00010) |    9759 |     409 |     290.66 |       4.51 |    18.65 |    286.15 |   1.554
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    10984 |      3 (0.00028) |   10590 |     391 |     576.18 |     303.51 |     1.36 |    272.66 |  52.677
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    12935 |     12 (0.00096) |   12522 |     401 |     823.56 |     155.69 |    55.71 |    667.86 |  18.905
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    15847 |     30 (0.00195) |   15389 |     428 |    1901.66 |    1374.01 |    48.31 |    527.65 |  72.253
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    17662 |     75 (0.00434) |   17212 |     375 |    2188.40 |    3287.66 |    13.16 |  -1099.25 | 150.231
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    26040 |    193 (0.00761) |   25171 |     676 |    4336.16 |    3975.74 |     9.96 |    360.41 |  91.688
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    79288 |   1208 (0.01532) |   77639 |     441 |   19902.16 |   17360.56 |     1.91 |   2541.60 |  87.230
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    20112 |    470 (0.02378) |   19293 |     349 |    6406.82 |    6449.67 |    15.07 |    -42.85 | 100.669
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    47703 |   1473 (0.03112) |   45853 |     377 |   21362.10 |   18879.12 |     9.31 |   2482.98 |  88.377
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    23289 |   1058 (0.04625) |   21818 |     413 |    8420.95 |    9479.68 |    25.10 |  -1058.73 | 112.573
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    28894 |   1751 (0.06138) |   26778 |     365 |    6309.24 |    5954.02 |    31.27 |    355.22 |  94.370
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    34010 |   3162 (0.09405) |   30458 |     390 |   13710.45 |   15270.35 |     7.12 |  -1559.89 | 111.377
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   139207 |  17074 (0.12304) |  121695 |     438 |   55208.16 |   53189.21 |   100.19 |   2018.95 |  96.343
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    54474 |  10000 (0.18503) |   44046 |     428 |   88072.01 |   85305.86 |  3314.64 |   2766.14 |  96.859
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   167394 |  40697 (0.24380) |  126230 |     467 |  189547.16 |  189924.73 |  2056.04 |   -377.57 | 100.199
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   152333 |  55912 (0.36825) |   95921 |     500 |  189365.21 |  186969.14 |  1012.91 |   2396.07 |  98.735
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   879879 | 429096 (0.48844) |  449403 |    1380 |  581825.48 |  572534.91 |  2924.03 |   9290.57 |  98.403
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   396559 | 197655 (0.49947) |  198075 |     829 |  417799.90 |  407898.79 |  5720.25 |   9901.10 |  97.630
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   256463 | 188334 (0.73583) |   67613 |     516 |  254071.99 |  248450.96 |  5454.80 |   5621.02 |  97.788
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    48569 |  38268 (0.79462) |    9891 |     410 |   49804.85 |   48831.31 |  1187.16 |    973.54 |  98.045
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    35713 |  30176 (0.85557) |    5094 |     443 |   48899.85 |   48263.83 |   400.15 |    636.01 |  98.699
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |    46301 |  42019 (0.91591) |    3858 |     424 |   52335.62 |   51960.91 |     0.14 |    374.71 |  99.284
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    12321 |  11419 (0.98110) |     220 |     682 |   21737.38 |   21373.33 |   239.52 |    364.04 |  98.325
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  2524015 | 1029879           | 1480336 |   13800 |  575657.47 |  563487.79 |   213.12 |  12169.68 |  97.886
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    82963 |  40211           |   42463 |     289 | 1460181.27 | 1434045.81 | 22562.70 |  26135.46 |  98.210
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  2606978 | 1070090           | 1522799 |   14089 | 2035838.75 | 1997533.60 | 22775.83 |  38305.15 |  98.118
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      38305.15491667 BTC (1.882%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        1803.04317500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       36502.11174167 BTC (1.793%)
Pending Liabilities:            0.66213367 BTC
Final SD Profit:            36501.44960800 BTC (1.793%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  8532274  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  4798159  (56.2%)
Blockchain MB:   3632.0  :  SatoshiDice MB:   1968.9  (54.2%)




dooglus
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January 20, 2013, 09:51:42 PM
 #713

Quote
Total of 4 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Jan-20 01:47pm (up to block 217339)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |       Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    73131 |      0 (0.00000) |   71900 |    1231 |     688.46 |       0.01 |    94.23 |    688.44 |   0.003
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     3693 |      0 (0.00000) |    3200 |     493 |      56.58 |       0.00 |    16.53 |     56.57 |   0.008
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     5779 |      1 (0.00019) |    5359 |     419 |      79.36 |     159.96 |     8.46 |    -80.59 | 201.549
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     8479 |      3 (0.00037) |    8054 |     422 |     123.48 |     176.00 |    10.02 |    -52.51 | 142.529
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    10189 |      1 (0.00010) |    9778 |     410 |     291.98 |       4.51 |    18.65 |    287.47 |   1.547
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    10998 |      3 (0.00028) |   10604 |     391 |     577.97 |     303.52 |     1.36 |    274.44 |  52.515
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    13011 |     12 (0.00095) |   12597 |     402 |     830.88 |     155.70 |    55.71 |    675.17 |  18.740
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    15876 |     30 (0.00194) |   15418 |     428 |    1909.86 |    1374.04 |    48.31 |    535.82 |  71.945
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    17680 |     76 (0.00439) |   17229 |     375 |    2201.36 |    3537.57 |    13.16 |  -1336.20 | 160.699
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    26140 |    193 (0.00758) |   25269 |     678 |    4364.35 |    3975.87 |     9.96 |    388.48 |  91.099
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    80031 |   1219 (0.01532) |   78370 |     442 |   19975.28 |   17385.11 |     1.92 |   2590.17 |  87.033
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    20156 |    471 (0.02378) |   19336 |     349 |    6443.00 |    6454.10 |    15.07 |    -11.10 | 100.172
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    48015 |   1483 (0.03113) |   46155 |     377 |   21462.65 |   19279.64 |     9.31 |   2183.00 |  89.829
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    23331 |   1062 (0.04634) |   21855 |     414 |    8479.38 |    9718.28 |    25.10 |  -1238.90 | 114.611
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    28937 |   1756 (0.06146) |   26815 |     366 |    6434.03 |    6092.14 |    31.27 |    341.88 |  94.686
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    34064 |   3166 (0.09402) |   30508 |     390 |   13826.62 |   15401.07 |     7.12 |  -1574.45 | 111.387
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   139773 |  17147 (0.12306) |  122187 |     439 |   55461.05 |   53697.84 |   100.19 |   1763.20 |  96.821
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    54754 |  10040 (0.18481) |   44285 |     429 |   88432.89 |   85835.27 |  3314.64 |   2597.62 |  97.063
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   168199 |  40878 (0.24371) |  126854 |     467 |  190083.58 |  190439.23 |  2056.04 |   -355.65 | 100.187
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   154627 |  56737 (0.36813) |   97387 |     503 |  193726.17 |  191646.89 |  1012.92 |   2079.27 |  98.927
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   883685 | 430948 (0.48844) |  451353 |    1384 |  583097.25 |  573648.84 |  2924.04 |   9448.40 |  98.380
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   399218 | 198991 (0.49950) |  199393 |     834 |  418586.11 |  408593.64 |  5720.26 |   9992.47 |  97.613
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   257961 | 189434 (0.73583) |   68008 |     519 |  254881.21 |  249265.63 |  5454.82 |   5615.57 |  97.797
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    48937 |  38556 (0.79459) |    9967 |     414 |   50028.16 |   49060.49 |  1187.16 |    967.67 |  98.066
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    35860 |  30302 (0.85563) |    5113 |     445 |   49282.98 |   48657.34 |   400.16 |    625.64 |  98.731
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |    46899 |  42555 (0.91565) |    3920 |     424 |   52520.15 |   52135.97 |     0.14 |    384.17 |  99.269
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    12371 |  11454 (0.98115) |     220 |     697 |   21776.89 |   21413.00 |   239.55 |    363.88 |  98.329
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  2538249 | 1036077           | 1488319 |   13853 |  579170.22 |  567141.64 |   213.53 |  12028.58 |  97.923
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    83545 |  40441           |   42815 |     289 | 1466451.59 | 1441270.15 | 22562.70 |  25181.43 |  98.283
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  2621794 | 1076518           | 1531134 |   14142 | 2045621.82 | 2008411.80 | 22776.23 |  37210.01 |  98.181
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      37210.01794633 BTC (1.819%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        1817.90177500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       35392.11617133 BTC (1.730%)
Pending Liabilities:           -1.29542998 BTC
Final SD Profit:            35393.41160131 BTC (1.730%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  8579833  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  4825802  (56.2%)
Blockchain MB:   3652.0  :  SatoshiDice MB:   1980.1  (54.2%)




dooglus
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January 21, 2013, 09:22:34 PM
 #714

Quote
Total of 91 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Jan-21 01:17pm (up to block 217471)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |       Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP  
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    73505 |      0 (0.00000) |   72273 |    1232 |     693.42 |       0.01 |    94.23 |    693.40 |   0.003
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     3698 |      0 (0.00000) |    3205 |     493 |      56.63 |       0.00 |    16.53 |     56.62 |   0.008
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     5786 |      1 (0.00019) |    5366 |     419 |      79.46 |     159.96 |     8.46 |    -80.49 | 201.295
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     8489 |      3 (0.00037) |    8063 |     423 |     123.59 |     176.00 |    10.02 |    -52.40 | 142.402
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    10232 |      1 (0.00010) |    9820 |     411 |     293.34 |       4.51 |    18.66 |    288.82 |   1.541
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    11030 |      3 (0.00028) |   10636 |     391 |     578.91 |     303.52 |     1.36 |    275.38 |  52.430
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    13040 |     12 (0.00095) |   12626 |     402 |     832.14 |     155.70 |    55.71 |    676.43 |  18.712
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    15889 |     30 (0.00194) |   15429 |     430 |    1912.09 |    1374.05 |    48.32 |    538.04 |  71.861
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    17687 |     76 (0.00439) |   17236 |     375 |    2203.49 |    3537.58 |    13.16 |  -1334.08 | 160.544
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    26181 |    196 (0.00769) |   25307 |     678 |    4368.32 |    3992.12 |     9.96 |    376.19 |  91.388
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    80338 |   1226 (0.01535) |   78668 |     444 |   20007.19 |   17413.95 |     1.92 |   2593.24 |  87.038
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    20159 |    471 (0.02378) |   19339 |     349 |    6448.30 |    6454.13 |    15.07 |     -5.83 | 100.090
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    48257 |   1490 (0.03112) |   46390 |     377 |   21494.44 |   19304.43 |     9.31 |   2190.01 |  89.811
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    23346 |   1063 (0.04635) |   21869 |     414 |    8489.23 |    9739.64 |    25.10 |  -1250.41 | 114.729
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    28970 |   1756 (0.06139) |   26848 |     366 |    6443.17 |    6092.18 |    31.27 |    350.98 |  94.553
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    34081 |   3168 (0.09403) |   30523 |     390 |   13841.49 |   15405.01 |     7.12 |  -1563.51 | 111.296
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   140099 |  17177 (0.12299) |  122481 |     441 |   55525.24 |   53811.18 |   100.19 |   1714.06 |  96.913
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    55026 |  10086 (0.18474) |   44510 |     430 |   88536.74 |   85979.45 |  3314.64 |   2557.29 |  97.112
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   168834 |  41036 (0.24373) |  127331 |     467 |  190357.70 |  190654.95 |  2056.04 |   -297.25 | 100.156
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   155736 |  57131 (0.36803) |   98102 |     503 |  195257.06 |  193127.81 |  1012.92 |   2129.24 |  98.910
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   886312 | 432236 (0.48844) |  452689 |    1387 |  584716.51 |  575295.22 |  2924.05 |   9421.28 |  98.389
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   401427 | 200082 (0.49947) |  200505 |     840 |  419573.36 |  409586.96 |  5720.28 |   9986.40 |  97.620
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   258734 | 189999 (0.73582) |   68215 |     520 |  255272.95 |  249693.18 |  5454.82 |   5579.76 |  97.814
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    49079 |  38668 (0.79459) |    9996 |     415 |   50331.15 |   49407.14 |  1187.16 |    924.00 |  98.164
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    37144 |  31411 (0.85598) |    5285 |     448 |   49499.20 |   48862.05 |   400.16 |    637.14 |  98.713
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |    47533 |  43143 (0.91581) |    3966 |     424 |   52828.71 |   52452.39 |     0.14 |    376.32 |  99.288
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    12402 |  11479 (0.98119) |     220 |     703 |   21862.76 |   21499.23 |   239.56 |    363.52 |  98.337
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  2549179 | 1041336           | 1493960 |   13883 |  581832.13 |  569725.38 |   213.60 |  12106.75 |  97.919
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    83835 |  40608           |   42938 |     289 | 1469794.59 | 1444757.13 | 22562.70 |  25037.46 |  98.297
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  2633014 | 1081944           | 1536898 |   14172 | 2051626.73 | 2014482.51 | 22776.31 |  37144.22 |  98.190
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      37144.22370410 BTC (1.810%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        1829.13547500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       35315.08822910 BTC (1.721%)
Pending Liabilities:           53.42699373 BTC
Final SD Profit:            35261.66123537 BTC (1.719%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  8618950  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  4847450  (56.2%)
Blockchain MB:   3668.5  :  SatoshiDice MB:   1988.7  (54.2%)




dooglus
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January 22, 2013, 07:11:05 PM
 #715

Quote
Total of 2 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Jan-22 10:59am (up to block 217598)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |       Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    73728 |      0 (0.00000) |   72470 |    1258 |     698.53 |       0.01 |    96.06 |    698.51 |   0.003
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     3704 |      0 (0.00000) |    3211 |     493 |      56.69 |       0.00 |    16.53 |     56.68 |   0.008
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     5795 |      1 (0.00019) |    5375 |     419 |      79.55 |     159.96 |     8.46 |    -80.40 | 201.068
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     8496 |      3 (0.00037) |    8069 |     424 |     123.66 |     176.00 |    10.03 |    -52.33 | 142.322
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    10239 |      1 (0.00010) |    9826 |     412 |     293.43 |       4.51 |    18.66 |    288.91 |   1.540
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    11073 |      3 (0.00028) |   10679 |     391 |     579.41 |     303.52 |     1.36 |    275.88 |  52.385
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    13049 |     12 (0.00095) |   12635 |     402 |     834.60 |     155.71 |    55.71 |    678.88 |  18.658
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    15902 |     30 (0.00194) |   15442 |     430 |    1916.85 |    1374.07 |    48.32 |    542.78 |  71.684
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    17696 |     76 (0.00439) |   17245 |     375 |    2212.71 |    3537.62 |    13.16 |  -1324.90 | 159.877
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    26208 |    196 (0.00768) |   25334 |     678 |    4383.63 |    3992.19 |     9.96 |    391.43 |  91.071
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    80873 |   1232 (0.01532) |   79197 |     444 |   20251.88 |   17578.07 |     1.92 |   2673.80 |  86.797
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    20172 |    472 (0.02381) |   19351 |     349 |    6476.46 |    6458.53 |    15.07 |     17.92 |  99.723
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    48448 |   1496 (0.03112) |   46575 |     377 |   21926.23 |   20058.42 |     9.31 |   1867.81 |  91.481
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    23363 |   1063 (0.04632) |   21886 |     414 |    8535.90 |    9739.87 |    25.10 |  -1203.96 | 114.105
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    29019 |   1759 (0.06139) |   26894 |     366 |    6623.89 |    6173.71 |    31.27 |    450.18 |  93.204
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    34111 |   3171 (0.09404) |   30549 |     391 |   13905.12 |   15608.41 |     7.12 |  -1703.28 | 112.249
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   140484 |  17228 (0.12302) |  122815 |     441 |   55959.16 |   54153.50 |   100.19 |   1805.65 |  96.773
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    55222 |  10121 (0.18472) |   44671 |     430 |   89629.51 |   86745.21 |  3314.64 |   2884.30 |  96.782
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   169278 |  41139 (0.24370) |  127672 |     467 |  196013.47 |  197943.53 |  2056.04 |  -1930.05 | 100.985
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   157505 |  57808 (0.36820) |   99192 |     505 |  204694.43 |  203938.68 |  1012.93 |    755.75 |  99.631
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   888168 | 433110 (0.48841) |  453668 |    1390 |  589658.27 |  580231.97 |  2924.06 |   9426.29 |  98.401
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   403436 | 201062 (0.49942) |  201529 |     845 |  423940.95 |  413241.32 |  5720.30 |  10699.62 |  97.476
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   259967 | 190888 (0.73575) |   68558 |     521 |  255919.59 |  250238.27 |  5454.82 |   5681.32 |  97.780
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    49431 |  38949 (0.79462) |   10067 |     415 |   52210.24 |   51262.71 |  1187.16 |    947.52 |  98.185
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    37714 |  31917 (0.85649) |    5348 |     449 |   52093.55 |   51574.09 |   400.17 |    519.46 |  99.003
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |    48224 |  43778 (0.91588) |    4021 |     425 |   53058.91 |   52681.53 |     0.15 |    377.37 |  99.289
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    12450 |  11523 (0.98127) |     220 |     707 |   21945.74 |   21582.56 |   239.56 |    363.17 |  98.345
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  2559062 | 1045999           | 1499134 |   13929 |  584494.16 |  572290.39 |   215.48 |  12203.77 |  97.912
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    84693 |  41039           |   43365 |     289 | 1499528.31 | 1476623.71 | 22562.70 |  22904.59 |  98.473
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  2643755 | 1087038           | 1542499 |   14218 | 2084022.48 | 2048914.11 | 22778.18 |  35108.37 |  98.315
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      35108.37745485 BTC (1.685%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        1840.01187500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       33268.36557985 BTC (1.596%)
Pending Liabilities:           -0.05999998 BTC
Final SD Profit:            33268.42557983 BTC (1.596%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  8656364  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  4867515  (56.2%)
Blockchain MB:   3685.1  :  SatoshiDice MB:   1997.2  (54.2%)




dooglus
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January 22, 2013, 07:29:45 PM
 #716

There was a bigger than usual volume of betting over the last 24 hours.  I was curious to see how the rule change of Jan 3rd affected the volume.  It does look like the December whales stopped playing just as the rule changed, but maybe they're back now:


Bugpowder
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January 22, 2013, 10:05:37 PM
 #717

There was a bigger than usual volume of betting over the last 24 hours.  I was curious to see how the rule change of Jan 3rd affected the volume.  It does look like the December whales stopped playing just as the rule changed, but maybe they're back now:


The whales are definitely back.

And it appears they have lost 10,000 BTC since your update!  (block 217599 - 217616)
dooglus
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January 23, 2013, 04:49:23 AM
 #718

The whales are definitely back.

And it appears they have lost 10,000 BTC since your update!  (block 217599 - 217616)

Indeed - and they're still playing...

Quote
Results: 2013-Jan-22 08:42pm (up to block 217651)

SD Profit before fees:      46089.86961885 BTC (2.153%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        1847.76947500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       44242.10014385 BTC (2.066%)
Pending Liabilities:         -682.69538813 BTC
Final SD Profit:            44924.79553198 BTC (2.098%)

Bowjob
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January 23, 2013, 04:56:15 AM
 #719

Very nice. S.Dice shares should appreciate by quite a bit if it stops there now. Heh.

It seemed like a good idea at the time.
Bugpowder
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January 23, 2013, 05:06:32 AM
 #720

The whales are definitely back.

And it appears they have lost 10,000 BTC since your update!  (block 217599 - 217616)

Indeed - and they're still playing...

Quote
Results: 2013-Jan-22 08:42pm (up to block 217651)

SD Profit before fees:      46089.86961885 BTC (2.153%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        1847.76947500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       44242.10014385 BTC (2.066%)
Pending Liabilities:         -682.69538813 BTC
Final SD Profit:            44924.79553198 BTC (2.098%)

And going....

Over 13,000BTC profit up to 217654....
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