here is what would happen if I left crypto...it is how I roll...I always 'assume' I will sell or buy at the wrong time....so...assuming I crack up and ...
yeah... I can see me panic selling BTC like a 12-year-old child...taking 25% hit say (15% cap gains and 10% state)...then putting it into the stock market and recession
a normal recession is 20% loss...thus now down 45%....but with Trump in office and the long time since last recession....call it 40% correction. Say recession takes
the usual 7 years to come back.....and in that time...I'm watching Crypto and/or Gold going at LEAST sideways if not ups...
so I hodl..worse case..I blow all my crypto at 1K or less BTC and still stay retired till 65 years (and start living off traditional investments 1 year early and have medicare already)
so ...people can beat me up on my $5,131.80 KNC Jupiter BTC miner from 2013...where all this came from, and me not selling at the right time...I can at least state
that and retired 3 years early...certainly nothing I ever expected getting that unit in 2013...and I will call it a win in my mind....if nothing else.
but damn, a 40% deep recession (likely IMHO) and 25% tax hit and be 65% down in fiat...if such happened with stocks/Edward Jones...THEN watch
crypto go sideways or up ...say like gold...naw....best to just ride it in the ground.....better story anyway, when they stick me in the nursing home someday...the currency
of nursing homes is 'stories' ....chump or champ..this was a doozy
(sorry to expose everyone to my convoluted logic)
So anyway..in HODL mode...riding it down...my current 'theory' is EVERYTHING IS A FRIGGING BUBBLE and BTC is just the first crack in the ice....thus my logic on this....warped
thou it may be!
brad
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My plan is, from what I gather, similar to Bob's. I'd like to sell just under 50% of my crypto, put the proceeds in stocks, withdraw the standard 4% or so per annum, and let the remaining corn ride. I will only do so when I can maintain or increase my current income. Bitcoin will be used for cars, airfare, and hookers.
I'm reluctant to invest in stocks. This is one of the longest stretches without a crash, and given that we live in a world with record-breaking debt, that's not a great place to be. yeah... I can see me panic selling BTC like a 12-year-old child...taking 25% hit say (15% cap gains and 10% state)...then putting it into the stock market and recession a normal recession is 20% loss...thus now down 45%....but with Trump in office and the long time since last recession....call it 40% correction. Say recession takes the usual 7 years to come back.....and in that time...I'm watching Crypto and/or Gold going at LEAST sideways if not ups... so I hodl..worse case..I blow all my crypto at 1K or less BTC and still stay retired till 65 years (and start living off traditional investments 1 year early and have medicare already) so ...people can beat me up on my $5,131.80 KNC Jupiter BTC miner from 2013...where all this came from, and me not selling at the right time...I can at least state that and retired 3 years early...certainly nothing I ever expected getting that unit in 2013...and I will call it a win in my mind....if nothing else. but damn, a 40% deep recession (likely IMHO) and 25% tax hit and be 65% down in fiat...if such happened with stocks/edward jones...THEN watch crypto go sideways or up ...say like gold...naw....best to just ride it in the ground.....better story anyway, when they stick me in the nursing home someday...the currency of nursing homes is 'stories' ....chump or champ..this was a doozy (sorry to expose everyone to my convoluted logic)
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Can anyone dispute this
MT Gox
Recovered approximate 160000 BTC
1/5 of all BTC that was stolen
MT Gox have announced approximate 1/5 return of peoples investments
If the price when stolen was $1000 USD
and when the price hits $5000 USD
Every Mt Gox account could be reimbursed their initial USD value?
No-one loses, but the ones with the coins
NO..from what I understand? you would be reimbursed in fiat at the time the BTC was seized...it seems you can, however, get it in fiat or BTC it seems... from my point of view, allowing people to choose BTC for payment ..even at the old 'rates' is good...those folk may HODL still for the hell of it... when the mt. gox trustee was liquidating all to USD or whatever...that was a 100% hit to the market .it was ALL out of crypto ...so market effects of IF most take BTC will be minimal IMHO I can't remember but I think the original value of all the BTC if there had been NO mt. gox meltdown would be 23 billion dollars now at least the owner of mt. gox 'supposedly' is not getting any of this (i kinda still doubt he is not getting a taste of some..but unsure on these details)
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Well, the whole Obelisk Sc-1 thing may pretty much be moot and a wash..this is what I get 1 month before the units supposedly ship... using what to mine calc with data hall rates and elec included (14c kwh in my case) So a whopping 54c a day profit per unit or for 30 days that would be $16.20! I suppose others with better electric would get closer to $1 a day...but again with ASIC's and I anticipate difficulty rise that may well disappear in a month (again, unless their supposed decentralized network is up to speed to hit the road, as they have claimed, at 10c a $1 to Amazon's centralized storage) Again, I have my doubts....anyway, for those who were wise enough not to get any of these units..where it the decentralized network by Sia at the ASIC side. https://whattomine.com/asic?utf8=%E2%9C%93&factor%5Bsha256_hr%5D=14000.0&factor%5Bsha256_p%5D=1370.0&factor%5Bscrypt_hash_rate%5D=1000.0&factor%5Bscrypt_power%5D=1600.0&factor%5Bx11_hr%5D=34000.0&factor%5Bx11_p%5D=2100.0&bk2bf=true&factor%5Bbk2b_hr%5D=800.0&factor%5Bbk2b_p%5D=500.0&factor%5Bqk_hr%5D=3300.0&factor%5Bqk_p%5D=120.0&factor%5Bqb_hr%5D=3300.0&factor%5Bqb_p%5D=130.0&factor%5Bmg_hr%5D=3.3&factor%5Bmg_p%5D=50.0&factor%5Bsk_hr%5D=1.7&factor%5Bsk_p%5D=40.0&factor%5Blbry_hr%5D=20.0&factor%5Blbry_p%5D=200.0&factor%5Bbk14_hr%5D=80.0&factor%5Bbk14_p%5D=205.0&factor%5Bpas_hr%5D=20.0&factor%5Bpas_p%5D=105.0&factor%5Bx11g_hr%5D=0.45&factor%5Bx11g_p%5D=70.0&factor%5Bcn_hr%5D=55.0&factor%5Bcn_p%5D=140.0&factor%5Bcost%5D=0.14&sort=Profitability24&volume=0&revenue=24h&factor%5Bexchanges%5D%5B%5D=&factor%5Bexchanges%5D%5B%5D=binance&factor%5Bexchanges%5D%5B%5D=bitfinex&factor%5Bexchanges%5D%5B%5D=bittrex&factor%5Bexchanges%5D%5B%5D=cryptobridge&factor%5Bexchanges%5D%5B%5D=cryptopia&factor%5Bexchanges%5D%5B%5D=hitbtc&factor%5Bexchanges%5D%5B%5D=poloniex&factor%5Bexchanges%5D%5B%5D=yobit&dataset=&commit=CalculateName(Tag) Algorithm Block Time Block Reward Last Block Difficulty NetHash Est. Rewards Est. Rewards 24h Exchange Rate Market Cap Volume Rev. BTC Rev. 24h Rev. $ Profit Profitability Current | 24h 3 days | 7 days Sia(SC) Blake (2b) BT: 10m 50s BR: 139,562.00 LB: 160,438 44,021,320T 67.73 Ph/s -4.7% 219.1304 208.8625 0.00000171 (Bittrex) 0.3% $372,574,115 217.57 BTC 0.00037 0.00036 $2.21 $0.53 53% | 51% 51% | 48%
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Time to polish the old resume.
Well we need under 1K btc for me to unretire from my early 3 years ahead on such. So riding btc to the bottom holds little risk vs working for some smuck again. Bitcoin giveth, Bitcoin taketh away. Yo verily, the crypto gods are cruel indeed!
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4th AnniversaryFujicoin celebrated its 4th anniversary. Looking back on this one year, we were able to achieve various improvements. · Activation of SegWit: This opens the way to lightning network and atomic swap. · Enriching the wallet: electrum-FJC, Coinomi Android & i-OS, TREZOR. These have greatly improved the usability of Fujicoin. · Enriching official pool: We have launched 4 pools. · Enhanced communication: fujicoin slack, and reddit. · Anti 51% attack: Deployed in version v 0.16.1. These improvements were achieved through the support of community members. Please look forward to the strong growth of Fujicoin in the future. But as far as I can tell. Fujicoin is just a direct clone of btc but using scrypt n. So What does it have to offer over any of the other hundreds of also copied clones in the same Manner? I see no hook to differentiate this coin from btc, but for it being later than btc protocol As a copy and scrypt n
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funny how some of this guys still believe(or hope) they will get a fgpa miner sorry for all that got taken by this...i am sorry for your loss...but the $$$ are gone I'm afraid on a side note: dwarfminer logon has not been on since 6/20/18...so 3 days down and counting ...me thinks still..he has split the thread and is off to make new scams...
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Let me know what you have ! Thanks
pm me what you are willing to pay with bitmain psu's if you wish as well.... have 2 of the beasties....need escrow or you can accept me with my trust rating...won't do anything without to me first (on my trust rating) or other option is escrow...firm on that (too many attempts to scam...me ...scar tissue) Searing
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Good volume means it is a good bottom..
(‿ˠ‿)
The price is crashing because infofront isn't posting enough bottom pix to hold it up. INFO I BLAME YOU! Local bottom is in ah...to have 18k BTC again...so I could afford the upkeep on that.....not enough BTC vs price to rev that up
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Back to my point...if ASIC's are needed for the decentralized network they plan and the NETWORK IS NOT IN PLACE YET to compete with Amazon
at the supposed 10c to 1.00 format, etc...and IF the siacoin price NOW is based on scarcity..it won't matter...no one will turn on equip of any flavor
asic, gpu or otherwise for a coin that has no value in that it is 1) no longer based on scarcity for price (esp if 5x the ASIC's driving up difficulty and coin
production) and 2) no network for these ASIC's to contribute to.
you can't have both the coin is either 1) valuable because of scarcity vs use or 2) valutble for use in their decentralized network
I'm just saying I see no such decentralized network in place in any manner large enough nor complete enough to pull the price out of the dumps ..indeed
it will make it worse for price of siacoin in the obvious fact of no network in place and a lot of asic's sitting about..folk will NOT run their asic's at an electrial
loss....price of siacoin will not stay up just on speculaltion of network coming and previous scarcity ..thus plunk
if you doubt that look at the amount of asic's that were dumped vs the LTC price as of today...difficulty overstepped the value of the coin (LTC) ...
so a muddled mess indeed..hope it won't happen....but not hearing a lot of the decentralized network hitting the world at the same time as all the asic's
hit the siacoin world either
sure, amount of sia coin will be 'the same' but a lot of coin does not mean it keeps value....
Again, even if it dropped back to GPU mining and the ASIC's are off the electric use is the same more or less....the coin will not survive if they
say they made a mess of ASIC's for their decentralized solution to storage...and 'guess what' it is not there or they postpone it for a year
and the current crop of asic's are of no use to run....speculators will walk, gpu miners will not compete with asic's that also are going to go
off or in a dismal state...it is like the old paycoin cloud mining viewpoint...if the rug is pulled out from under the concept..than it won't matter
how many coin there are....the consumers will go to more successful coins, that would not have the damage of the above from a late
network launch and asic's in the tank unable to be used for anything of note, because price of siacoin tanks on the above fiasco.
Sure the network would survive, sure sia-tech would likely survive even such a missed launch...but could siacoin ever recover after such
a fiasco...doubtful...money talks and bullsh*t walks....folk would walk with eventual coin being worth nothing in their vision was not up to
speed on the storage solution when they said and with the asic dump (investment) of equipment not able to be used....ie coin would tank
and likely stay tanked in price IMHO, would be too much of a boat anchor on development etc, folk would move on to other projects with
such a failure, again IMHO.
You miss the point...look at your LTC example...people give up, difficulty drops, remaining people earn more...then people that gave up come back, and back-forth few times, it settles at perfect point for most people involved As for SIA coin and its future purpose...you described 98% coins on the market...wheres monaco VISAcard? Wheres OmiseGO network? Do STORJ have finished product? etc We can only hope (and technically savvy maybe check for themselves) that team is doing right and folowing its roadmap ah, I was unclear, with LTC and scrypt-pow 90% of all the miners that are on that network are Bitmain L3+'s THE SAME MODEL AND GENERATION OF MINERS, thus some folk contact me they are losing 12c a day on such a unit and myself I'm losing at 14c kwh in a data hall 64c a day. BUT EVERYONE IS LOSING AND UNDER WATER ...THE SAME. Thus when diff goes down, don't' matter everyone is up, when diff goes down everyone shuts down..but the price never changes because ALL THE SAME TYPE AND GENERATION OF EQUIPMENT...so we can go along and follow difficulty up and down..but if there is MORE equipment at the high difficulty than there is coin ..that people want to buy (LTC and all scrypt pow coins now) then EVENTUALLY, everyone will turn off the miners, because at every difficulty drop or rise they are on/off thus difficulty for scrypt pow anyway..which is calculated every 3 days...never REALLY goes down...same unicorns...all mining at a loss at $120 LTC I was losing 45c a day at 88 LTC I'm losing 67c a day..see....all the same units involved. same thing with siacoin....IF you have a lot of ASIC's and NO reason for the price of siacoin because the decentralized network is not up when the ASIC's are turned on they are NOT turned on...IF there is a profit ..even briefly, they ALL turn on, thus negating your price...you have to pay electric on your units..so eventually, you just don't pay the electric and no one mines at a loss...their vision has to be up and hitting the world in stride to compete in the next 2 weeks or so, i don't see this as likely. this is IF they don't have the decentralized network using ASIC's at 10c to $1.00 amazon prices in place...if the price of siacoin is based on this idea of this network being up and running and the ASIC's need it up and running to at least break even on electric..the whole thing fails...because the current price is based on this idea it will be up (speculation) and with ASIC's the scarcity of coin issue goes away as difficulty goes up rapidly as everyone mines. My premise is they HAVE TO WANT TO KEEP AND HODL SIACOIN ..the NON-ASIC miners....and the ASIC miners need a price to pay electric at least to break even and some extra siacoin in the bank for their troubles...NONE of this will be possible if you simply have a mess of ASIC'S making coin and the decentralized network and their siacoin storage solution is not in place and getting folk to buy it..if is not in place..that is called FAILURE and the NON-Miner's who are buying and holding siacoin will stop doing so...and the coin will dump to dust. So the faith in the coin is based on their vision and the investment on that vision by folk who got ASIC's you take that away, because their supposed decentralized network is not in place for the folk that invested in the ASIC'S ..WHAT DO YOU THINK WILL HAPPEN? PLUNK DOWN SHE GOES can't have it both ways, the blockchain does not exist just because the coin exists....the coin exist as its vision dictates ..the shafting of say those who got ASIC's and any big delay in getting their decentralized network to MAKE $$$$ to compete against amazon as their vision....will also add to the tanking or failure of their coin...I just don't see any real promotion or communication that they can jump into JULY 2018 and take enough cloud storage away from folk to make money and get the ASIC's up to mine the network for this to work out of the box. You can't state the coin does such and such, and the network will be ready by so and so, and not deliver to folk who already have sia-coin (HODL) and have invested in specific ASIC's and not be able to even make electric costs back...the coin will tank in purpose/project and price. AS this relates to current difficulty with scrypt-pow and LTC ...again, all the same equipment...with the same issues as sia-tech equipment, no one has any advantage side point on the LTC ..they are all the same equipment (L3+'s) NO ONE HAS AN ADVANTAGE MINING IT IS ALL AT A LOSS. AS to Bitmain units that do blake2b at 815mh and 1,375 watts....with the majority of Bitmain units PROBABLY out of the running at 1,375 watts for 815mh....the remaining units of which Obelisk sc-1's at 800mh and 500 watts are probably a good 90% of all the equipment ..THAT CURRENTLY CAN RUN AT THESE SIACOIN PRICES...thus.waiting for the decentralized network it is THE SAME AS THE CURRENT scrypt-pow and L3+ miners...NO ONE HAS ANY ADVANTAGE IN EQUIPMENT OVER ANYONE ELSE with rising difficulty..thus all go off and on at the same time ...especially if they are mining at an electrical loss...a future/supposed NEXT GENERATION EQUIPMENT may work as you state...it does not exist ..at least from other mnfgs at a price point vs mining vs electric that would make any difference..that I can tell now, .indeed it could be just GPU miners doing it on the side..but at prices an ASIC can make siacoin vs the price ..even that would not make sense..in ASIC's are more efficient ..that also IMHO, would be very short lived. again, the whole thing has to come together to cover the ASIC network, sia coin storage vision in place, to keep/get the price to a point that the ASIC's can maintain the network of decentralized storage at a price that makes sense over electric..again if that is not met ..and EVERYONE has the same equipment and NO advantage, again, IMHO, it never gets off the ground, price tanks, and the project dies. again, can't have your cake and eat it too....all have to come together UNLESS a new more eff miner comes out...but then again, once burnt by these now previous never to ROI miners that are behind the curve even before the launch...no one would buy... so tell me the network is ready and in place to compete with Amazon centralized storage and the rest via siacoins vision of decentralized storage, competing from the get go with siacoin ASIC'S can make more than they use in electric and all is well...but not seeing enough noise/hype etc on this happening...again, deafening silence in that the majority of ASIC's by Sia-Tech are to be dumped into the world by the July 15th, 2018. Again, using the scrypt-pow and LTC universe and the same type of equipment as an example..the ASIC's in that coin universe ran difficulty up to such a point with the same equipment, (thus no advantage due to no competition) that now the price can't catch up and the network is in danger of collapsing and super sizing the price down even further. Again, without their vision in place and running alongside the ASIC's and competing with the Amazon centralized storage and a real good reason with the price less, to be a great alternative to Amazon Storage...or the whole endeavor..well, it will all not get off the ground...stuck anyway, perhaps I'm incorrect...but again, not seeing it... and again, hope I'm wrong (I'm 5 obelisks into their vision and competition..really want to be wrong) brad
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thanks, trying to catch up on where this ecosystem is at now?
The short and sweet of it is... A bunch of us have been doing this privately for the past year or so on leased machines. We were using private tools and private bitstreams. It became public knowledge with another developer making a long post about it. That allowed / forced us to go public about and we started trying to put something together that would allow everyone to benefit. We've managed to negotiate a good deal for access to chips from Xilinx and now we're trying to rapidly develop the ecosystem surrounding the cards so all of the software tools, support structure, etc is there. We've released a bunch of our private code that we've been using (urls below) and we're working on developing more professional software and tools (aka stable / well written) tools for community use. https://github.com/sense-it/rtlhttps://github.com/sprocket-fpga/FPGA_Mining_AWShttps://github.com/sense-it/fpgaminerok, thanks for the heads up. All is above my head on this so far, but I will lurk and watch. I will dump 8,000mh of scrypt-pow miners (Bitmain L3+'s) currently losing NEGATIVE -$300.00 PLUS after electric a month, so that boat has sailed, will be done in full and all off, by July 4th, 2018. So am, at the current panic prices of all crypto, don't pay to mine, so out of any mining of any note at that date. It was a good run from 2013 until then but just makes no sense anymore. Thus will be back into Hobby mode as a miner, (liked that better anyway), so in the future will look into this and for now lurk on the sidelines. thanks brad
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A late good morning Bitcoinland. I see we had a pretty good dip... currently $6175USD/$8225CAD (Bitcoinaverage). I wish I had more spare cash on hand to take advantage of this. Oh well. what is with the meme? THAT IS THE EXACT PROBLEM DAMN IT...I WANT MORE, MORE, MORE... (been in this since 2013..don't want to go thru another 2 year bear market..yech..)
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Completely unfair comparisons. Dwarf is a noob with zero reputation. The hardware in both of the comparison instances you site is absolutely known to exist.
Also, I haven't been following the other thread as closely but has senseless actually taken any payments from people?
Of course it's not the same thing. I'm just pointing the fact that just because the OP doesn't respond for two days is not a valid argument for raising the "it's a scam !" flag I'm sorry...I should have been clearer....my view is that this is now the tail end of the scam on this thread ...traditionally the OP then just 'disappears' thus I'm saying from a 'unicorn spotting point of view' that I suspect he has ridden his unicorn and scam riches over the hill in the dead of night and will not post anymore...thus the 2 days and counting comment maybe, I'm wrong, just sticking a stick in the ground stating this as a guess...we will see but again, if it as I suspect the 'end game' of the scam..the OP is cleaning up loose ends and will abandon this avatar and move on to other scams so I am claiming 'black hole end of the scam started 2 days ago' by my claim ...oops, he is gone! We will see if I am correct or premature on this. But in the past, it is how they roll..the scammers and fake threaders of bitcointalk brad this is getting stranger if this is true, there will be many posts of memes of me 'eating crow' on this thread as a result and such comments as "yo verily, I did not believe, etc... I doubt it, but hope for the sake of those who got units I'm wrong and will happily 'eat crow' for such folk....again, I dont' think so, we will see.
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As far as I understand it...sia-tech was NEVER interested in the siacoin price in that it was based on SCARCITY...they wanted sia to be used by their
ASIC's in a network for the ASIC security...these coins would gain their worth from the use in the ASIC network and the 30% inflation was needed
to expand this decentralized ...cheap 10c to the $1.00 alternative to Amazon and other centralized networks...
thus..it was always assumed by me (at least) that as soon as these ASIC's hit their decentralized network..the network would determine the worth
of siacoin no longer the scarcity from GPU mining etc. What confuses me is IF this was really their goal then why they did not fork siacoin to retain
control over the amount of ASIC miners is a mystery to me...it will be much more than 30% coin inflation a month now...
The good news is IF, they have the sia-tech ready to go for when these ASIC's hit in July and start to firm up the backbone for their vision..no issues
but I hear NOTHING about HOW they plan to convert folk from known centralized storage like Amazon into their vision with NO promotion I'm aware of...
also, no mention of what they are going to do with 5x the ASIC's they expected (if you take out the bitmain units as no longer profitable..a bit iffy that)
right now on coin price...if I had my units NOW I'd make $1 a day...per obelisk unit....thus....the network vision they have tried to do has to come
up to speed and take up the slack or NO ASIC miners will run their network if it costs more than the present siacoin price to run them
but, hey, they got a lot of BTC from the pre-orders last year ..the ave price was like 0.97 BTC in my case....back last July 2017 or so....they did not fork
the coin..after bitmain equipment dump....so maybe they have siacoin in hand and/or the BTC still in hand to cover all the equipment/research etc in the
ASIC's they put out ..so no risk to them there....I just don't see sia-tech having anything on the line with all this either as getting their network up in
time..nor on their 4 batches of obelisks, none of them have shipped yet, where is the hype? where are the promo's? how are you gonna take on Amazon?
deafening silence....
just wonder if they will just watch the ASIC network all kick in...and they will dwadle around half-assed wait and not get their network up in any legit time frame
and it will fail...(a big ho hum from them) and no real risk to them, with all risk on those who are speculating in siacoin and those who bought their line on their ASIC
network vision of 'competing' with Amazon...damn hard to compete if the folk gonna buy in have never heard of your vision/option and no scale-up at all!
from sia-tech already paid for..probably many times over if they kept some of the payments in bitcoin...asic miners left holding the bag
1) ASIC's from obelisk and others, come up...can't mine at present prices...no network of any note to support such..ASIC buyers left holding the bag...
2) folk speculating on siacoin, price can't support itself from all the ASIC's driving up difficulty and price..no more scarcity for price....are left holding the bag
3) after the dust settles ..they can go the new algo route on the letter they sent out with different algo makers and put their decentralized network or
use this now defunct protocol with other asic's in the future...after all the above crashes...lots of options..or they can just fold shop and walk with no issues.
...on that...if it takes them another year to get up to speed to launch anything....see 1) and 2) above of those screwed...but as to the devs and sia-tech
as a whole...no real risk.....called having your cake and eat it too...as an asic maker and or a dev....by that I mean the network gets up..when the network
gets up....dev is set for life as a crypto holder....like luke jr. of bitcoin core...screw everybody...it gets up when they feel like it ..ie again no risk /pressure...
rinse/wash/repeat ..seen this before with projects
so the question remains...if the price is not in the speculation of siacoins for scarcity etc because a crapload of siacoin ASIC's from different mnfg's and
Obelisk ASIC's are going to turn on ...if in sia-tech obelisk's case...middle of July 2018....is their vision/network up to the task of keeping these beasties up
to even support the network...or are you just mining promised and air? ...again, likely future 'bag holder'
you have to have use/volume and their decentralized network 'in play' to pay electric and make extra coin for yourself via the network or all is moot..
or again, is the project not ready, and it is not in their control and thus they are just gonna watch it implode....blame bitmain, blame other mnfg's with blake2b ASIC's and
kick the can down the road...as a re-do? or hell just fold up the project..take whatever income or profits made in the last year or so and walk?
again, seen this before on projects
again, deafening silence on any/all of the above issues
thats how i understand stuff at this point in time anyway...they have to hit the ground running or come the end of July when the ASIC's hit ..I just have
a mess of Obelisk doorstops...
brad
I think you miss some fundamentals here...with influx of ASICS, NOTHING changes with amount of sia coins produced...1 billion ASICS would produce same number of coins as 3 GPUs (if network would drop down to 3 GPUs level, that is)...only difficulty rises, making it harder to stay competitive Back to my point...if ASIC's are needed for the decentralized network they plan and the NETWORK IS NOT IN PLACE YET to compete with Amazon at the supposed 10c to 1.00 format, etc...and IF the siacoin price NOW is based on scarcity..it won't matter...no one will turn on equip of any flavor asic, gpu or otherwise for a coin that has no value in that it is 1) no longer based on scarcity for price (esp if 5x the ASIC's driving up difficulty and coin production) and 2) no network for these ASIC's to contribute to. you can't have both the coin is either 1) valuable because of scarcity vs use or 2) valuable for use in their decentralized network I'm just saying I see no such decentralized network in place in any manner large enough nor complete enough to pull the price out of the dumps ..indeed it will make it worse for price of siacoin in the obvious fact of no network in place and a lot of asic's sitting about..folk will NOT run their asic's at an electrial loss....price of siacoin will not stay up just on speculation of network coming and previous scarcity ..thus plunk if you doubt that look at the amount of asic's that were dumped vs the LTC price as of today...difficulty overstepped the value of the coin (LTC) ... so a muddled mess indeed..hope it won't happen....but not hearing a lot of the decentralized network hitting the world at the same time as all the asic's hit the siacoin world either sure, amount of siacoin will be 'the same' but a lot of coin does not mean it keeps value... Again, even if it dropped back to GPU mining and the ASIC's are off the electric use is the same more or less....the coin will not survive if they say they made a mess of ASIC's for their decentralized solution to storage...and 'guess what' it is not there or they postpone it for a year and the current crop of ASIC's are of no use to run....speculators will walk, GPU miners will not compete with ASIC's that also are going to go off or in a dismal state...it is like the old paycoin cloud mining viewpoint...if the rug is pulled out from under the concept..than it won't matter how many coin there are....the consumers will go to more successful coins, that would not have the damage of the above from a late network launch and asic's in the tank unable to be used for anything of note, because the price of siacoin tanks on the above fiasco. Sure the network would survive, sure sia-tech would likely survive even such a missed launch...but could siacoin ever recover after such a fiasco...doubtful...money talks and bullsh*t walks....folk would walk with the eventual coin being worth nothing in their vision was not up to speed on the storage solution when they said and with the ASIC dump (investment) of equipment not able to be used....ie coin would tank and likely stay tanked in price IMHO, would be too much of a boat anchor on development etc, folk would move on to other projects with such a failure, again IMHO. very pleased to read!!! Attaboy! subscribe to the channel ASIATECH. and as soon as the video comes out. write whatever you think in the comments first. I'm sure they'll read it. I want them to hear people's opinions. AGAIN, I HOPE I am DEAD WRONG! but they can't have BOTH, but the kind of investment into blake2b siacoin and say it is based on a network being in place when such ASIC's hit the world and MISS such, having it not in place. That is a significant investment in the future of siacoin 'tossed away' if you can't even turn them on due to siacoin price (again, without such a network in place ...a network in place and I'm wrong...I'm saying I see now hype or network in place to hit the ground running to compete against amazon etc...and feel that needs to be so) so anyway, with such a significant amount of folk investing in such equipment and you can't even run it due to the electric..the price of siacoin would further dump and thus all that potential investment from equipment in asic's and siacoin 'cheerleaders' on price and promotion is lost...and with such a boat anchor the coin itself likely would not recover..this is the fear...a working up to speed network ready for the ASIC's to hit the siacoin universe and I'm incorrect which I hope.but as of now ..not seeming to me to be likely from what I've heard. as to the ASIATECH quote above...not sure what was meant..no bitcointalk thread by that name I can find...sent a pm to clarify. brad
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As far as I understand it...sia-tech was NEVER interested in the siacoin price in that it was based on SCARCITY...they wanted sia to be used by their
ASIC's in a network for the ASIC security...these coins would gain their worth from the use in the ASIC network and the 30% inflation was needed
to expand this decentralized ...cheap 10c to the $1.00 alternative to Amazon and other centralized networks...
thus..it was always assumed by me (at least) that as soon as these ASIC's hit their decentralized network..the network would determine the worth
of siacoin no longer the scarcity from GPU mining etc. What confuses me is IF this was really their goal then why they did not fork siacoin to retain
control over the amount of ASIC miners is a mystery to me...it will be much more than 30% coin inflation a month now...
The good news is IF, they have the sia-tech ready to go for when these ASIC's hit in July and start to firm up the backbone for their vision..no issues
but I hear NOTHING about HOW they plan to convert folk from known centralized storage like Amazon into their vision with NO promotion I'm aware of...
also, no mention of what they are going to do with 5x the ASIC's they expected (if you take out the bitmain units as no longer profitable..a bit iffy that)
right now on coin price...if I had my units NOW I'd make $1 a day...per obelisk unit....thus....the network vision they have tried to do has to come
up to speed and take up the slack or NO ASIC miners will run their network if it costs more than the present siacoin price to run them
but, hey, they got a lot of BTC from the pre-orders last year ..the ave price was like 0.97 BTC in my case....back last July 2017 or so....they did not fork
the coin..after bitmain equipment dump....so maybe they have siacoin in hand and/or the BTC still in hand to cover all the equipment/research etc in the
ASIC's they put out ..so no risk to them there....I just don't see sia-tech having anything on the line with all this either as getting their network up in
time..nor on their 4 batches of obelisks, none of them have shipped yet, where is the hype? where are the promo's? how are you gonna take on Amazon?
deafening silence....
just wonder if they will just watch the ASIC network all kick in...and they will dwadle around half-assed wait and not get their network up in any legit time frame
and it will fail...(a big ho hum from them) and no real risk to them, with all risk on those who are speculating in siacoin and those who bought their line on their ASIC
network vision of 'competing' with Amazon...damn hard to compete if the folk gonna buy in have never heard of your vision/option and no scale-up at all!
from sia-tech already paid for..probably many times over if they kept some of the payments in bitcoin...asic miners left holding the bag
1) ASIC's from obelisk and others, come up...can't mine at present prices...no network of any note to support such..ASIC buyers left holding the bag...
2) folk speculating on siacoin, price can't support itself from all the ASIC's driving up difficulty and price..no more scarcity for price....are left holding the bag
3) after the dust settles ..they can go the new algo route on the letter they sent out with different algo makers and put their decentralized network or
use this now defunct protocol with other asic's in the future...after all the above crashes...lots of options..or they can just fold shop and walk with no issues.
...on that...if it takes them another year to get up to speed to launch anything....see 1) and 2) above of those screwed...but as to the devs and sia-tech
as a whole...no real risk.....called having your cake and eat it too...as an asic maker and or a dev....by that I mean the network gets up..when the network
gets up....dev is set for life as a crypto holder....like luke jr. of bitcoin core...screw everybody...it gets up when they feel like it ..ie again no risk /pressure...
rinse/wash/repeat ..seen this before with projects
so the question remains...if the price is not in the speculation of siacoins for scarcity etc because a crapload of siacoin ASIC's from different mnfg's and
Obelisk ASIC's are going to turn on ...if in sia-tech obelisk's case...middle of July 2018....is their vision/network up to the task of keeping these beasties up
to even support the network...or are you just mining promised and air? ...again, likely future 'bag holder'
you have to have use/volume and their decentralized network 'in play' to pay electric and make extra coin for yourself via the network or all is moot..
or again, is the project not ready, and it is not in their control and thus they are just gonna watch it implode....blame bitmain, blame other mnfg's with blake2b ASIC's and
kick the can down the road...as a re-do? or hell just fold up the project..take whatever income or profits made in the last year or so and walk?
again, seen this before on projects
again, deafening silence on any/all of the above issues
thats how i understand stuff at this point in time anyway...they have to hit the ground running or come the end of July when the ASIC's hit ..I just have
a mess of Obelisk doorstops...
brad
I think you miss some fundamentals here...with influx of ASICS, NOTHING changes with amount of sia coins produced...1 billion ASICS would produce same number of coins as 3 GPUs (if network would drop down to 3 GPUs level, that is)...only difficulty rises, making it harder to stay competitive Back to my point...if ASIC's are needed for the decentralized network they plan and the NETWORK IS NOT IN PLACE YET to compete with Amazon at the supposed 10c to 1.00 format, etc...and IF the siacoin price NOW is based on scarcity..it won't matter...no one will turn on equip of any flavor asic, gpu or otherwise for a coin that has no value in that it is 1) no longer based on scarcity for price (esp if 5x the ASIC's driving up difficulty and coin production) and 2) no network for these ASIC's to contribute to. you can't have both the coin is either 1) valuable because of scarcity vs use or 2) valutble for use in their decentralized network I'm just saying I see no such decentralized network in place in any manner large enough nor complete enough to pull the price out of the dumps ..indeed it will make it worse for price of siacoin in the obvious fact of no network in place and a lot of asic's sitting about..folk will NOT run their asic's at an electrial loss....price of siacoin will not stay up just on speculaltion of network coming and previous scarcity ..thus plunk if you doubt that look at the amount of asic's that were dumped vs the LTC price as of today...difficulty overstepped the value of the coin (LTC) ... so a muddled mess indeed..hope it won't happen....but not hearing a lot of the decentralized network hitting the world at the same time as all the asic's hit the siacoin world either sure, amount of sia coin will be 'the same' but a lot of coin does not mean it keeps value.... Again, even if it dropped back to GPU mining and the ASIC's are off the electric use is the same more or less....the coin will not survive if they say they made a mess of ASIC's for their decentralized solution to storage...and 'guess what' it is not there or they postpone it for a year and the current crop of asic's are of no use to run....speculators will walk, gpu miners will not compete with asic's that also are going to go off or in a dismal state...it is like the old paycoin cloud mining viewpoint...if the rug is pulled out from under the concept..than it won't matter how many coin there are....the consumers will go to more successful coins, that would not have the damage of the above from a late network launch and asic's in the tank unable to be used for anything of note, because price of siacoin tanks on the above fiasco. Sure the network would survive, sure sia-tech would likely survive even such a missed launch...but could siacoin ever recover after such a fiasco...doubtful...money talks and bullsh*t walks....folk would walk with eventual coin being worth nothing in their vision was not up to speed on the storage solution when they said and with the asic dump (investment) of equipment not able to be used....ie coin would tank and likely stay tanked in price IMHO, would be too much of a boat anchor on development etc, folk would move on to other projects with such a failure, again IMHO.
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Well...THANKFULLY...I seem to be DEAD WRONG on my view that mt. gox will pay back with fiat..thus being more of a disaster for BTC and downward price pressure, this if various articles are correct and BTC from the mt. gox bankruptcy will be given out as BTC in 2019. IMHO, that would mean 'more' folk would HODL on any BTC that gets returned, and will thus have less of an effect on driving BTC price into the dirt, etc, etc. here is the link https://cointelegraph.com/news/mt-gox-crypto-exchange-begins-civil-rehabilitation-proceedings-ends-bitcoin-sell-offsStill, getting a few mixed messages on this, but the combo of no more BTC dumping until 2019 for USD and perhaps when BTC is moved, it is to the mt. gox folk direct and even if mt. gox trustee does not sell the BTC, and the users get BTC and then sell it anyway, IMHO, it would be likely in a more gradual manner. Again, I think most folk would be 'thrilled' to get back BTC and would just go to HODL mode, but maybe that is just me....and my guess. Anyway, as always, love to be wrong....now if I can just be wrong about this 'bear market' continuing into 2019...as well brad
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Creditors normally means businesses owed something. Users come much further down and get nothing. Heres to hoping.
all of those debts have long been met completely. this is the leftovers. it otherwise would've gone straight back to mark karpeles. It will be in fiat...sorry guys.....they don't have a clue on how to return it as BTC to the people who need it back from the mt. gox crash if they shoot 1.4 billion in USD equiv of BTC in fiat...before the end of the year say..we may be looking at 3k BTC or lower as to me, I think now everything is a 'bubble' so will just HODL my btc and live off my alts (as the plan off alts for next 3 years till 66 and take traditional retirement plan and soc sec) does not seem prudent to cash out crypto (BTC) now and lose 50% from ATH to just put it in fiat and stocks and traditional investments for the coming (whopper) of a recession I expect (40%) dump, (I mean Trump and other USA mess ups)....thus just gonna ride it all down the next 3 years and hope that IF/when we have a recession in the USA, BTC, and crypto will act like gold and at least go sideways and or up as a store of value well, chump to champ, I'll (we) will be the first to know if HODL is tulip farming or HODL is unicorn ranching later brad Well...THANKFULLY...I seem to be DEAD WRONG on the above, if various articles are correct and BTC from the mt. gox bankruptcy will be given out as BTC in 2019. IMHO, that would mean 'more' folk would HODL on any BTC that gets returned, and will thus have less of an effect on driving BTC price into the dirt, etc, etc. here is the link https://cointelegraph.com/news/mt-gox-crypto-exchange-begins-civil-rehabilitation-proceedings-ends-bitcoin-sell-offsStill, getting a bit of mixed messages on this, but the combo of no more BTC dumping until 2019 for USD and perhaps when BTC is moved, it is to the mt. gox folk direct and even it they do sell the BTC, it would be likely in a more gradual manner. Again, I think most folk would be 'thrilled' to get back BTC and would just go to HODL mode, but maybe that is just me....and my guess. Anyway, as always, love to be wrong....now if I can just be wrong about this 'bear market' continuing into 2019...as well brad
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Creditors normally means businesses owed something. Users come much further down and get nothing. Heres to hoping.
all of those debts have long been met completely. this is the leftovers. it otherwise would've gone straight back to mark karpeles. It will be in fiat...sorry guys.....they don't have a clue on how to return it as BTC to the people who need it back from the mt. gox crash if they shoot 1.4 billion in USD equiv of BTC in fiat...before the end of the year say..we may be looking at 3k BTC or lower as to me, I think now everything is a 'bubble' so will just HODL my btc and live off my alts (as the plan off alts for next 3 years till 66 and take traditional retirement plan and soc sec) does not seem prudent to cash out crypto (BTC) now and lose 50% from ATH to just put it in fiat and stocks and traditional investments for the coming (whopper) of a recession I expect (40%) dump, (I mean Trump and other USA mess ups)....thus just gonna ride it all down the next 3 years and hope that IF/when we have a recession in the USA, BTC, and crypto will act like gold and at least go sideways and or up as a store of value well, chump to champ, I'll (we) will be the first to know if HODL is tulip farming or HODL is unicorn ranching later brad
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Update:
For those of you who purchased your fpga through us but wish to host with mineority will be given the opportunity to do so. We'll send out an email and update with details when we have them.
Awesome. Please do keep us posted - I will very likely take you up on this. Ownership + hosting + included power + optimised bitstreams. What's not to like? Ok..I admidt it I'm frigging lost... these FGPA cards is there even anything they can mine yet? I mean that makes at least enough sense to rent them for 1 year or buy a card? Or is this all in the experimental stage? Regardless, if you can mine these puppies, what coins, what is the payback (if any) and any crypto calculators to follow thru on this thanks, trying to catch up on where this ecosystem is at now? brad
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I think Dwarfminer has left the thread last on 6/20/18 2 days gone and counting... (such a scam..beyond any doubt) Really? A scam? if only there were some warning... yeah, I know, I mention this often...but it is sooooooo fluffy a scam! (I mean talk about imaginary unicorns!) hard to resist... anyway, countdown dwarfminer has been gone 2 days...will he return with more bullsh*t or will he now disappear? (damn, I really need a life) brad
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