Bitcoin Forum
July 06, 2024, 10:22:38 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: « 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 [21] 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 ... 445 »
401  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Spot ETF Tracker on: March 13, 2024, 02:19:32 AM
what the...that's weird. They want to move to an entirely different ETF?? Why don't they just lower the fee on their existing ETF?
My guess is they have current terms with their customers who already signed contracts with them.

They apply the new Grayscale Mini Bitcoin Trust ETF for new customers or current customers who are ready to close current positions and switch to Mini one. Who will want to do this if they have to be charged tax?

In the quote, they have idea and plans (still in discussion) for current investors too but nothing is finalized yet.
You can read the Form S-1 filing here. Most notably, this new ETF would be designed to have a materially lower fee than GBTC and through the innovative mechanics of a GBTC “spin-off” — which means a certain amount of the Bitcoin backing GBTC shares (as of a to-be-determined record date in the future) would be utilized to ‘seed’ the new Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust, subject to appropriate regulatory approvals. If approved:
  • We believe this would be net-positive for existing GBTC investors, who would benefit from a lower blended fee with the same exposure to Bitcoin, spanning ownership of shares of both GBTC and BTC.
  • This would be an exciting innovation for the ETF wrapper, because while ‘spin-offs’ are commonplace, the market has never experienced a spin-off of a commodity-based ETF.
Importantly, both the launch of Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust and the GBTC spinoff are subject to regulatory review. The Grayscale team will share additional information as soon as possible. No action is required of current or future GBTC shareholders.
402  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Spot ETF Tracker on: March 13, 2024, 02:07:10 AM
appears grayscale want to dismantle/deplete GBTC and open a new smaller etf offering as a new etf entity

https://www.grayscale.com/blog/general-updates/what-is-grayscale-bitcoin-mini-trust
They saw their unstoppable bleeding and they saw a spike on inflow of Vanguard Spot ETF after it decided to waive service fee.

Grayscale seems to see no other way to stop bleeding on their current Spot ETF and they have to give customers another choice, less expensive in fee.

Another view on impacts of Bitcoin Spot ETFs on Bitcoin Network Flows. The sharp increase of Bitcoin Network Flow is $2B by Bitcoin Spot ETF impacts.

It is taken from Bitcoin on-chain data so it includes not only Bitcoin Spot ETFs but surely we see the impacts here.
403  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: March 12, 2024, 06:11:00 AM
Ronaldo can't win the Saudi League trophy alone, he needs the team work. He can be the top scorer but he won't win the trophy if they have weak team work. Al Nassr also has low quality on the defense players. It is very obvious because they already got too many conceded goals. Although Mitrovic isn't as skillful as Ronaldo but he can optimize his ability because the team work. The striker needs the supports from all lines to perform optimally.
They worked together but not good enough so they fail in Saudi Professional League and can not win it in this season. Mitrovic is a discovery in Al Hilal and Saudi Professional League this season. By his surprising good season, he contributes a lot to his club domination in the league.

Quote
The end of the league is not so long, there are still few remaining matches only. However, it is very unlikely for Al Nassr to overtake Al Hilal because the point gap is too large. Al Nassr only can expect to win the title of AFC but sadly they must face Al Hilal there as well. It won't be easy for Al Nassr, they even are behind 1 goal from Al Ain in AFC. It is rather shameful for Al Nassr.  Grin



https://www.goal.com/en-ae/lists/saudi-pro-league-top-scorers-2023-24/bltbf87fb6b46ca717c#cs585c6939ed0d36f2
AFC?

Al Nassr were kicked out by Al Ain hours ago. Again that match shows their defensive weakness as they scored four goals but got three conceded goals. Cristiano Ronaldo missed a very good chance when he was about 3 meters from the net. If their defense system is stronger, they would beat Al Ain already.

What happened in penalty shoot-outs are simply nightmare for Al Nassr. They have four shots and succeed only one by Ronaldo, three other players failed, Brozovic, Telles and Otávio. Brozovic is very experienced with his national team Croatia in penalty shoot-outs so this failed shot is so surprising.
404  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Spot ETF Tracker on: March 12, 2024, 06:02:02 AM
however with bitcoin adding demand(etf) and reward halving next month. the cost of mining and the demand for BTC is on a 2024-2025 rise
in short btc up gold down

and so people are selling gold etf and buying btc etf
Yes, it is the point in long term, not only around the halving.

People smell chance to gain profit in Bitcoin and if they invest in Gold ETF, they will switch to Bitcoin ETF. It's natural!
 Smiley
405  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Spot ETF Tracker on: March 12, 2024, 04:50:56 AM
The institutionalization of Bitcoin

Some interesting points from it.
  • About 11% of future supply is the % owned by Institutions and Spot ETFs are quickly growing.
  • Both Bitcoin and gold make new all time highs but Bitcoin Spot ETFs got massive positive net flows while oppositely Gold ETFs are bleeding with negative net flows. It signals changes in thinking and practice of people, investors on how they store their asset and do investment.



Grayscale continues to be bleeding but yesterday is a green day for Bitcoin.


The fee war continues and because lack of interest from investors, ETFs like Vanguard started to waive their service fee until 31st, 2025.

IMPORTANT UPDATE!

Because we believe in bitcoin so much, starting tomorrow, you can invest in VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) with no fees until March 31st, 2025.*

*During the period commencing on March 12, 2024, and ending on March 31, 2025, the Sponsor will waive the entire Sponsor Fee for the first $1.5 billion of the Trust’s assets. If the Trust’s assets exceed $1.5 billion prior to March 31, 2025, the Sponsor Fee charged on assets over $1.5 billion will be 0.20%. All investors will incur the same Sponsor Fee, which is the weighted average of those fee rates. After March 31, 2025, the Sponsor Fee will be 0.20%.

Learn more: http://vaneck.com/HODL
Prospectus: http://vaneck.com/hodlprospectus/
406  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin trend accumulation score by cohorts on: March 12, 2024, 04:37:02 AM
People are continuing their Bitcoin accumulations and the blue is dominating all bands and expands more with time.


Another on-chain data source, from CryptoQuant, we have some additional information about accumulation from Retail Cohorts.
 
They are back but their on-chain activities still are not enough to identify that the bull run already hits its peak. Two used metrics are BTC Unrealized Profit Ratio for Retail Cohorts; and Realized Cap < 1 Month (%).

With the first metric, he said Bitcoin probably already is half of its way to Euphoria area that I agree with because my target price would be somewhere around $120,000.

I don't exclude that with Bitcoin Spot ETF capital and impacts, Bitcoin might do more than doubling its 2021 ATH.

407  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin price history, ATHs and bottoms. on: March 11, 2024, 04:24:46 PM
It is not surprising that we have such a bull run considering that the SEC finally approved spot ETFs after a year of rejection, and when BlackRock entered the game, it was a sign that things would change. All those who knew how powerful that company was already then had a clear sign that they should start buying BTC, and today we see that they were right.
I know Black Rock and Bitcoin Spot ETF success mean a lot for Bitcoin market but things are happening actually unpredictable too. It is too fast if we see after Gold Spot ETFs, it takes many months to start rising in price. Bitcoin is different, better than gold, and moves up faster than gold.

Who could have known that a scammer named Do Kwon would appear almost at the same time as the incompetent Bankman and that together they would cause damage that was measured over $100 billion? Without those two, my personal opinion is that the price of BTC would have stayed at around $30 000.
I agree for sure.

Two black swan events in 2022 caused the price fell down a lot like described above. Without these black swan events, Bitcoin would have not fallen below $20,000.

By the way, let me share one more graphics from CryptoQuant, that can be helpful for newbies who will surely be fearful with corrections along a bull run.

The All time Average Drawdown in bull markets is -15%.

408  Other / Meta / Re: Why Do Some Posts Disappear? on: March 11, 2024, 03:41:15 PM
I have noticed that some interesting posts disappear after a while. Similarly, my own posts have vanished after receiving responses for about two weeks.
Why is that?
Two possible reasons.

  • Your posts are shit posts and were deleted by moderators. With this reason, you will receive a notification in your inbox for post deletion from moderator.
  • Your posts belong to shit topics which were deleted by moderators. They trash all the topics, include your posts. With this reason, you will not receive any notification from moderator.

This discussion is not about Bitcoin so your topic is on a wrong board. It can be in Reputation board or Beginners & Help board.
409  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: What Application do you use to monitor crypto movements daily? on: March 11, 2024, 07:11:08 AM
If it is daily, you can use Coinmarketcap, Coingecko like some posters recommended and you can bookmark those pages for Bitcoin price tracking on daily basis. You can bookmark pages of other cryptocurrencies too and don't have to open many tabs and let your device in hypernate mode day by day.

You can use Trading View.
https://www.tradingview.com/

Some portfolio trackers.
https://coinmarketcap.com/portfolio-tracker/
https://www.coingecko.com/en/portfolio
Portfolio Performance [Open Source] - Keep track of your Crypto Portfolio!
https://blockchair.com/markets
410  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin price history, ATHs and bottoms. on: March 11, 2024, 07:00:09 AM
Interesting thing to note that during the latest bear market the price went below the level of the ATH of the previous cycle when in dipped below $20k. This happened for the first time and it could be interpreted as a dangerous signal, but now we have reaching ATH level before the halvening, which also happened for the first time and is a positive signal.
In latest years, 2022 and 2024, we witness something never happened before in Bitcoin history. In a bear market in 2022, it drops to below a previous all time high and in 2024, even before the halving, it has a first time ever to make its new all time high.

In history of Bitcoin, it only makes new all time high after its halving and even several months after a halving. We are witnessing something strange but interesting this year with Bitcoin fourth halving.

Quote
The moral here is that Bitcoin is still quite unpredictable and its patterns are broken all the time.
It's unpredictable. Very few people expected / predicted Bitcoin will drop below $20,000 in 2022 and make a new all time high in early 2024.
411  Economy / Gambling / Re: MetaWin.com | The First WEB3 Casino on: March 10, 2024, 12:07:30 PM
True and I agree. Long-term promotions are great at determining success.
It is true for all platforms, all marketing types and not only true for Cryptocurrency market or Crypto Gambling Industry.

Quote
This forum is not the most active on Reddit or other platforms, but the impact of carrying out long-term promotions on this forum can enable the company to continue to survive, especially when it comes to crypto, even though it depends on the size of the dedicated budget.
I never like how Reddit structured, it is too complicated but can not prevent shit posters on their platform. They went hard with cryptocurrency advertisements but after all, I don't see they succeed to make their platform better in quality.

Quote
For example, there are several large and active casino companies that are still continuing to carry out campaigns here. If there are no benefits for the casino, then the casino will not continue to promote for a long time.
Big or small casino, they will only run a long lasting advertisement like via a signature campaign, if they see benefit from it. If benefit they see from campaign assessment is big, they will potentially let their campaign running a long time.
412  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🚀-Sportsbet.io-🚀 Official Partner of Newcastle United Football Club on: March 10, 2024, 11:59:31 AM
It seems that Manchester City will also have difficulty getting the full three points in today's big match because playing at Anfield is clearly very difficult for Guardiola and his team, but I also believe that Manchester City is quite strong at the moment if they play with all their key players, of course it will also be difficult for Liverpool. to steal the full three points, Guardiola certainly couldn't sleep for this match, arranging a strategy to beat Klopp and his team, clearly this is a very interesting match even though many will predict a draw.
Both teams want to win this match and they will fight for a win but they do know that their opponent will not let them get three points easily. I don't think any team will dominate in this match and it will be a balancing game but if there is a winner after all, they will win it by an individual super star moment or a terrible mistake from their opponent.

It is a stressful match and a big test for two coaches and all players engage in this match so it's naturally if one of players make mistake that causes a loss for their team. Who will be Man of the Match and who will be the opposite (Worse Man of the Match)?
413  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🚀-Sportsbet.io-🚀 Official Partner of Newcastle United Football Club on: March 10, 2024, 11:53:42 AM
Biggest game of the season in the Premier League at Anfield today.

Am I confident? No but with the power of the fans at Anfield and with Salah, Szoboszlai & Nunez back fit we can hurt them.

They are probably the best club team in the world at the moment so they can hurt us too. Should be a great game for a neutral.
Both teams are strong and similar in strength and quality so it's hard to predict this match. I know you are a Liverpool fan for years so you surely are in their support but I agree with you because with a home stadium support, it is good advantage for Liverpool to think of a win against Manchester City.

Returns of some key players bring more belief that they will be able to beat Manchester City, one of two most dangerous competitors in this season for the title. I consider Manchester City are more dangerous for Liverpool than Arsenal and this match, if any team win it, will get a big booster to the finish line.

I wonder will this match have many goals and exciting to see or it will be a very tight match so that it will be against our expectation and become a boring match?

My guess is Klopp is not a type of defensive seriously so he will let his team playing attacking tactics.
414  Economy / Speculation / Re: We are still early in this bull run. Retails have yet come back massively! on: March 10, 2024, 11:16:16 AM
But one thing you left out, you yourself said that bitcoin triggered the bull run and many altcoins are still at -90%, which means the chances of them being dumped or falling more is very low. So, buying altcoins now will not be as risky as when we are in the 2022 bear season. Also, look at what's been going on in the past few days, shiba is up 3x since the bottom, pepe is up 7x since the bottom...and many other altcoins.
I pointed out that if you are altcoin enthusiast and joined this market in 2021, 2022 and did not sell your altcoins, it's very probably you are still in loss even many altcoins pumped hard recent weeks.

This fact from the past will reappear in future, in next bear market like next two years. That is vital point I want to warn newbies who see so high potential in altcoins.

A tip is altcoins are only potential at the start of bull run or at the end of bear market. In middle of a bull market or middle of a bear market, you will possibly be rekted by altcoins.
415  Economy / Speculation / Bitcoin price history, ATHs and bottoms. on: March 10, 2024, 11:05:55 AM
In finance and TradFi (Traditional Finance), we have saying like "This time will be different". That is true and untrue.

True by nothing in life will repeat itself 100% accurately.
Untrue by there are always things to be different, just in small or big scale.

Let's see Bitcoin Price History with past bottoms and ATHs. You can do your own calculation with data from Coinmarketcap and run your own sheet or can simply look at this source.


Details are in the graphical chart so I don't type it here. Let me know what you feel most meaningful for you and your future investment in Bitcoin?

For me, it is % dip from ATHs, that are -93%, -85%, -84% and -77%.

Note:
  • I did not compare information in the chart with my calculation as I only made a first one for price change from $32 to $1242, it is 38x, not 32x, so probably there are some minor inaccuracies but let's skip them and see an overview picture.
416  Economy / Speculation / Re: We are still early in this bull run. Retails have yet come back massively! on: March 09, 2024, 09:18:39 AM
Plus those altcoins are pumping? Because Bitcoin is pumping. If Bitcoin crashes, I'm very confident that they will also crash and the crash will be heavier up to -90%.
Newbies in this market will learn their lessons by falling in love with altcoins soon.

Even altcoins pumped hard recent months, because Bitcoin triggered the market bull run, many of them are still -80 %, -90% of their all time highs. I believe this screenshot can help newbies to see risk of altcoins if they find this post.

417  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: March 09, 2024, 09:07:42 AM
Bologna vs Inter is the most important match for me today... Bologna are in fourth place in the standings for a reason... But Inter also have the lead with a huge gap... Inter have a return game against Atletico in the Champions League soon, so I wouldn't be surprised if there is a draw today, but I think both teams will score...
This is an important match for Bologna but with Inter Milan, it is not or less important because they will have to reserve best things for a second match with Atletico Madrid in Champions League. In Serie A, Inter Milan already have very big difference against Juventus and they won't have to use best players for the match with Bologna.

Bologna actually need to get points from this match if they don't want to see Roma and Atalanta move closer.

Not sure if Inter Milan will lose to Bologna even though we know the home team has always performed well in recent matches but in terms of statistics, Inter Milan will remain superior.
Inter Milan less likely will lose to Bologna even they will not use their best squad for this match.

Quote
Are you ready to bet on Inter Milan? As I believe Inter will win, I will bet with the stump bet odds @2.07 which is pretty good. Maybe it will be a parlay bet I think it will be better.
With uncertainty about Inter Milan debut in this match, it's safer to not bet on them and don't bet on Bologna too. I don't really believe Inter Milan will have a defeat by Bologna but if you bet on Inter Milan, a draw will cost you a lot. Betting on Bologna is very risky as Inter Milan surely can beat Bologna.
418  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Spot ETF Tracker on: March 09, 2024, 05:28:12 AM
You guys don't know a script on trading view to get Bitcoin Spot ETF volumes cumulatively and individually.

BlackRock now has more bitcoins than MicroStrategy, after only 40 days of trading since an approval from SEC.
419  Other / Archival / Re: Just another question. on: March 08, 2024, 11:40:41 PM
I guess everyone will have the same answers here that it doesn't decay or disappear when an account is banned.
Sendable merits can only be used if an account is not banned. You are right that both Merit and Sendable Merit of a banned account will not decay or disappear. It's just sMerit in a banned account will no longer be allowed to send (circulate) more.

Because a banned account can only use the forum in read mode. Can receive PMs but can not send PMs, I recalled some topics discuss about it too.

Banned Accounts and their Merit Status.
Merited Banned Account

Two bans, temporary and permanent, see messages.
Sorry BitcoinFX, you are banned from posting or sending personal messages
how to recover a ban account???

Quote
Sorry BitcoinFX, you are banned from posting or sending personal messages on this forum.
PM spam. (If you send a bulk PM and any recipient reports it, then it is spam.) 30 days

Quote
Sorry Helen_1, you are banned from posting or sending personal messages on this forum.
You have been permanently banned by a forum moderator, probably due to spam or plagiarism. You may appeal here, but your chances are not good: banappeals...@bitcointalk.org
420  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: March 08, 2024, 02:10:38 AM
Qarabağ made a surprise by eliminating Braga in the previous round. Can Qarabağ make another surprise? Bayer Leverkusen earned a 2-2 draw in the Round of 16 first leg away to Qarabag. Xabi Alonso’s Bayer Leverkusen are on course for a first Bundesliga title, 10 points clear of Bayern Munich at the top of the table.
Leverkusen nearly lost the match and their unbeatable streak was nearly broken but finally Schick helped them to equalize the match and avoid a loss. Leverkusen will play a second match as a host in Germany. It will be their advantage but through this first match, Qarabağ actually warned Leverkusen that they won't easily accept a loss in Germany.

Liverpool always shows performance that exceeds everyone's expectations. Although everyone was worried that Liverpool might be a little weaker because Salah might not play in that match. But it turns out Liverpool remained strong even before Salah played. I was also happy to see Salah able to play again even though he only played for approximately 16 minutes. But it could be preparation for him for a tougher match against Man City in the EPL. In the European League, it seems Liverpool is safe. Because in the second leg Liverpool will definitely play without any emotional burden. Because they can play more comfortably and it is even possible that Liverpool will score more goals when they host the second leg.
Playing home away without a best squad because of player injuries, Liverpool still destroyed Sparta Prague and they will have an easy second leg match at home. This big win will help Liverpool to more easily prepare for a second match and they will have more focus on Premier League matches which are more important for them.

Klopp is going to have a good season with Liverpool but still titles at the end will decide it is a successful season and happy ending for him in Anfield. Anyway, Klopp with his years in Anfield and in this season, actually contributes a lot to grow up many young players in Liverpool. These young players will be future of Liverpool when they will no longer have Klopp as their coach.
Pages: « 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 [21] 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 ... 445 »
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!