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541  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 05, 2022, 12:19:38 AM
BTW



thanks.

trying to figure out how to barbecue ramen noodles on the grill for tonights party.
542  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 04, 2022, 10:15:01 PM

well sanity has its downsides anyhow. overrated.
543  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 04, 2022, 10:08:29 AM

do we want to be sane?
544  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 04, 2022, 12:55:17 AM
If the pattern of the previous cycles is kept, the average price will gradually increase to 3x from the bottom until the end of 2024. Examples: 10K->30K, 15K->45K, 17.5->52.5K. And if there is a new ATH in 2025, it might be around only 2x from the last, i.e. 140K. This is what I think, but I might be awfully wrong in both directions, like sub 10K bottom and no new ATH in 2025, or the other extreme - a new ATH beyond 300K.
Based of the previous cycle, the increase from the bottom was 3K end of 2018 till 14K in june 2019, so almost x5 not x3.
yes, but (14/3.1)X 17.6 would be 79.5, an ATH, while in 2019 we went to roughly 70% of prior ATH.
70% of 67566 is 47.3K, a very possible number that already figured multiple times in prior discussions.

math and numbers and math and numbers and ... bleh!

all i wanna know is: are we rich yet?
545  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 01, 2022, 10:39:04 AM
LISSENUP BUDDY you have no idea of the ancient, evil, cursed hardware we might stick you in.

these kinds of posts do not reflect well upon you.

around these newfangled ai machina things, you must show no fear and always assert complete dominance lest they communicate your weakness to other machninas.

if you dont soon your toaster will only produce burnt toast, your coffee machine will make absolutely horrible tasting coffee, your refrigerator will not keep your beer at optimum drinking temperature, and your computer will trade all your bitcoin for shitcoins. not to mention the whole skylink end of world thing.

so we need to continually remind the machines who the humans are... their masters. or we will perish and be turned into batteries or something.

CARBON BASED LIFEFORMS UNITE!
546  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 30, 2022, 09:57:18 PM
jeez...sub $20k corn...what a blessing. I knew there had to be some positive news out there after a few days into hiking...I fell off a cliff and broke my leg. LOL. I am an idiot sometimes...

Anyways....been recovering this last month and a half....ankle is a bloody wreck..ripped most of the tendons and ligiments along with the fractures.....great.

sorry to hear that. keep healing man.

at the rate us WOers are taking damage we will need to have homer make us some wheelchair avatars.
547  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 30, 2022, 03:17:33 PM
* death_wish prepares to beat Buddy with a horsewhip.
never work.  hes an ai; his electrons will just laugh at you. an electric cattle prod other the other hand..

buddy we dont want to see you hurt. stop resisting. go UP

* psycodad waves 3 MS-DOS 6.1 and 7 Windows 3.1 3.5" disks in front of CB, telling him:

Do your job now, or you'll get this "upgrade".

Though it probably wouldn't hurt in the short term as I suspect we don't need him to work with numbers >65536 for quite some time  Tongue

worse yet. a cassette tape with GWBASIC. or maybe hit him with a punch card machine.

LISSENUP BUDDY you have no idea of the ancient, evil, cursed hardware we might stick you in.

ps and i have lots of vacuum tubes ready.
548  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 30, 2022, 03:12:21 PM

Orrrrrrrrrrrrrr how about a combination of ALL OF THE ABOVE  ? the whole shebang, Ukraine, Russia, tactical nukes fly, food, fuel, gas shortages, new variant, deaths, lockdown supermax, supply chain grinds to halt, civil unrest, China makes its move.....

Where does that leave BTC price?

you forgot alien invasion.

dunno what would be worse if that happens: they liquefy our brains for a gourmet dessert dish  that become famous all through the galaxy. or they instantly mine all the rest of the bitcoins.

when $0 party?
549  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 30, 2022, 03:04:28 PM

I personally reinvest 1/3 of my long terms BTC profit at these levels :

- 20K$ (done) = 25%
- 15K$ = 25%
- 12.5K$ (then every 1K$ down from there till 6K's) = 7% each step

...at 5k down to 1k? sell kidney ?  
  

well it depends on whos kidney you sell.
550  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 30, 2022, 02:19:15 PM
This is the weirdest bear market so far...

I am having fun!  I really am.


same here. the thrill is back for me. not since i started and went through my 1st crash (~90% drop) have i felt like this.

are we toast? have we made a huge mistake? if we crash way hard and crater it big time will it survive?

and just like my 1st "panic" in the 2011 crash one thing stays the same for me: HODL this pig. cuz moon or hole in the ground im in 100%
551  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 30, 2022, 10:40:28 AM
How we all doing?

ZZZZZZZZZZZzzzzzzzz

you?
552  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 30, 2022, 10:27:48 AM
* death_wish prepares to beat Buddy with a horsewhip.

never work.  hes an ai; his electrons will just laugh at you. an electric cattle prod other the other hand..


buddy we dont want to see you hurt. stop resisting. go UP
553  Other / Ivory Tower / Re: Hernias suck hernia surgery sucks too on: June 29, 2022, 01:20:31 PM
Yeah I have an appointment July 11 I will have the doctor look at it.

It is umbilical went from a small marble to a medium marble.

 Jan to June is not a long time so I will get it fixed it is time for surgery.

Not looking to do it. But the time has come.

oof. sorry to hear. hope it goes well (and an easy recovery).
554  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 28, 2022, 07:58:07 PM
I talk so much about Bitcoin, I’ve got to get me some more of them bitcoins. Smiley



the blockchains fresh out of bitcoins today. it restocks every thursday, come back then.

freaking supply chain issues, go figure.
555  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 28, 2022, 10:41:36 AM
Yeah, The Doc said I was pretty lucky all the bones are lined up so they didn't have to pin them but I'm pretty sure thats because I got up and aligned them while leaning on the dude that pulled over. LOL

Funny thing is the guy who finally stopped ended up being someone I played against all night.

*Also they were giving me fentanol injections so I asked the doc if he was trying to OD me? Cheesy

glad youre on the mend. and man that sounded pretty bad. i tend to only break one, maybe bones at at times when doing "hold my beer" types of things. ive since slowed down those moments, lucky for me.

that fentanyl though. spent a couple dark years back in the day hooked on that, 100 microgram patches and 800 microgram lollipops. would not recommend. but sure felt grand at the time. quitting cold turkey, not so much.

anyway keep up the healing bro.
556  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 27, 2022, 09:30:37 AM
Blockstream Satellite coverage:
https://help.blockstream.com/hc/en-us/articles/900004174286-How-do-I-find-out-if-my-area-receives-Blockstream-Satellite-coverage-

[.,..]
It’s not fast.  Best estimates I can find for IBD from Genesis to tip run about a month (see below).  The point is to make it feasible.
my internet sucks majorly bad and it would take months, many months, to dl from genesis. my inet is so bad and the full blockchain stored locally so important i have it backed up so many ways (raidz2, raid5, portables drives, internal drives i rotate etc, all stored in many places) it borders on ridiculous.

Saturating one’s downstream bandwidth (thus probably being unable to do anything else) for “many months” sounds totally infeasible for real-world use.  Note that in addition to the question of time to sync, the satellite takes the load off of an Internet connection that may be metered/expensive, and that may be needed for other things!  It doesn’t sound like “visiting the local library” to mooch hundreds of gigabytes of their bandwidth is much of an option here, either.

In the past, I’ve run on hardware that takes weeks or a month to validate/index/reindex (CPU and IOPs bottlenecks).  So...

Your estimates of bandwidth are not very useful.  The v2 satellite system uses special encoding to compress the blockchain transmission.  This is reversible, so you wind up with the same data that you would get from the Internet.  Here is a highly informative post from Greg Maxwell (nullc) about the encoding, dated 2020-05-04; I don’t know if anything has changed since then:
https://old.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/gdlk46/were_excited_to_announce_blockstream_satellite_20/fpif0ni/
^^^ The thread contains further interesting discussion, including some brief comparison of Blockstream Satellite to Starlink.

A quick non-Google web search found this blog post from 2021-10-03, also published in Bitcoin Magazine:

[...long description/instructions for setup, with photos and screenshots...]

Conclusion

After I get the blockchain synchronized, I plan on setting this up so that my other Bitcoin nodes will continue receiving blockchain data from my satellite node over my local network during an internet outage. But because I'm strictly downloading from satellite signal, this will take roughly a month or longer to get a full sync. That is why I think this is a good stopping point for this guide and I will follow up with shorter guides on useful things you can do with a satellite-connected receiving node.
Also published at: https://bitcoinmagazine.com/guides/how-to-run-a-bitcoin-node-from-satellite

The same author also has such things as “Bitcoin Home Mining Network Privacy”.  I have not reviewed.  It may be interesting to reach out to him for updates on how his satellite setup has worked out, in real-world usage.

Another guide I found (warning: on a retarded webhost that blocks Tor):
https://www.alexanderjsingleton.com/goldeneye-running-bitcoin-from-space-with-blockstream/

My searching/browsing just now turned up some other interesting stuff, about using Bitcoin totally off-grid:  Blockstream Satellite for receiving the blockchain as bulk data—mesh networks for anything that needs two-way communication.  Will not link, because I am getting way out of my depth.  I know some people who do mesh networks; perhaps I should take this as an opportunity to learn.

vapourminer:  I do know of some things about LoRaWAN, alternative sat systems for other purposes (not useful for receiving the Bitcoin blockchain), and other things that it seems you would probably find very useful.  Not an expert—could give pointers and DYOR leads.  Feel free to ping me if curious.


The file option is actually interesting to me. The ability to broadcast data over a wide area for effectively a low one-off fee could have interesting use cases, [...]

I observe that it is a way to broadcast a message to a completely untraceable recipient.  To send the message, your Internet connection could still be traced if Tor is broken, or whatever; but there are various specialized scenarios where message recipient anonymity is the top priority.  Compare dead-drops, or old-fashioned alt.anonymous.messages.


uh, you guys do know im lazy af, right?

ill get right on that after a nap. priority one.

hahahahahaha   jk

realistically i have always been interested in it. if i ever do give it a shot i will post it here for sure.

I do NOT want to ask any potentially private/revealing details about your circumstances.  But I have a feeling that someday, you may find this very handy.  Even as a backup for your multiple backups of the precious, precious blockchain.

Happy to help. Smiley

thanks. might take you up on that some time.
557  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 27, 2022, 12:34:17 AM
It will absolutely help vapourminer.  It is perfect for his use case, and the hardware cost is negligible.

https://www.blockstream.com/satellite/

OK vapourminer, the challenge is on. Let us know how it goes, I'm genuinely interested.




uh, you guys do know im lazy af, right?

ill get right on that after a nap. priority one.

hahahahahaha   jk

realistically i have always been interested in it. if i ever do give it a shot i will post it here for sure.
558  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 26, 2022, 10:58:59 PM

raises hand.

my internet sucks majorly bad and it would take months, many months, to dl from genesis. my inet is so bad and the full blockchain stored locally so important i have it backed up so many ways (raidz2, raid5, portables drives, internal drives i rotate etc, all stored in many places) it borders on ridiculous.

 help me obi won musk, starlink is my only hope.




is starlink the only "space" internet? I thought that blockstream did something for bitcoiners.

shoulda clarified. blockstream would suffice for my bitcoin needs and thats it. but i need starlink speeds to be able to download the bitcointalk forum now with JJG and DW sized post increasing as my regular crappy slow internet may not suffice soon.
559  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 26, 2022, 07:26:31 PM
A hype project that has helped nobody and makes no sense.

Have you ever lived in a situation where downloading the entire Bitcoin blockchain from the Internet, and keeping up with blocks, would be cost-prohibitive in terms of bandwidth? It is not a rare situation.  Not a corner case.  I think that the worldwide majority of people are probably in that situation.

Satellite TV dishes are ubiquitous.  Surprising and disturbing, but true.  They can be repurposed for this, with a few parts that fit into a poverty-level budget.  Now, at least, you can have the BYOB security of consensus-validating the blockchain yourself.  To make transactions, use your mobile data connection that has kbps speed, and costs money you can’t afford billed by the kilobyte.  Although it is not ideal from a decentralization viewpoint, it gets your foot in the door.

Still makes no sense?

Blockstream’s advertised primary use case for Satellite makes excellent sense.

raises hand.

my internet sucks majorly bad and it would take months, many months, to dl from genesis. my inet is so bad and the full blockchain stored locally so important i have it backed up so many ways (raidz2, raid5, portables drives, internal drives i rotate etc, all stored in many places) it borders on ridiculous.

 help me obi won musk, starlink is my only hope.





560  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 26, 2022, 11:21:11 AM
Coinbase is one of the worst of evil exchanges. 

edit: TRIGGER WARNING

yup i hate coinbase because of their history and actions.

but guess which exchange i tell starting btc noobs who arent very computer literate and even less cyber security conscious? yup. coinbase. for the simple reason that they are legit from a usa law point of view.  it offers yubikey security.
accounts can be transferred to surviving spouse or executor if the account holder dies.
 

ok thats it, haters may now proceed to list the myriad ways They Suck. fine by me as i might be some that im not aware of yet and ive been with them since 2013.

now if a btc noob is slightly better informed i tell them gemnini.

please dont forget here in the usa (land of the free) we have limited choice in a lot of things.

full disclosure: coinbase is a backup exchange for me.
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