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5501  Economy / Speculation / Re: What goes up must come down on: May 21, 2021, 04:23:16 AM
This is the 3rd or 4th time Bitcoin has Shot up to ATHs nearly vertical and then corrected itself. Should not be surprising to anyone at this point.

I have been saying for months that Bitcoin will most likely drop back down to the 20k range. Just look at the chart from 2018!

...
What do you people expect from this last bull run?

I think you are presuming that this cycle will be essentially similar to the past, as is often the case, and it doesn't have to be. People who make forward-looking predictions based on the charts of the past often forget one little thing:

Reality.

The institutional adoption we are having this cycle has never happened before, and I don't think it's going to stop because of Musk or China. The Bitcoin price does not follow a deterministic pattern that we can calculate based on past price performance. It is the events that are happening that drive the price.

Personally I still believe we will pass $100k at the very least.
5502  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin - Medium of Exchange Vs Store of Value? on: May 21, 2021, 04:17:22 AM
I personally doubt that Bitcoin will become a medium of exchange, especially as long as fiat currencies exist. By Gresham's law, people tend to spend the bad currency and keep the one that is a store of value. If we were to reach a hyperinflation scenario in which the main currencies collapse and disappear, then yes, it could become a medium of exchange, but as long as there are bad currencies to spend on a daily basis, I think people will tend to keep Bitcoin rather than spend it.

5503  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Poker Freerolls or Tournaments with Guaranteed Prize? Or what's your preference? on: May 19, 2021, 06:25:15 AM
Freerolls are a good way to get started and build up a small bankroll. In my case, I have been playing for many years, and I earn money regularly, I am only interested in tournaments with guaranteed prizes and not much either, since my main source of income is cash, but from time to time I do play a tournament. I don't like them so much because of the variance. Cash is a relatively constant source of income.
5504  Economy / Speculation / Re: Fastest growing asset on: May 19, 2021, 06:18:34 AM
What's lacking for the ones who sell?

FOMO. They are selling for FUD now, and when it turns around and we beat ATHs again, especially when we pass the 100K barrier, they will be buying like crazy again. Bitcoin history is like that, and those who don't know history are doomed to repeat it.
5505  Other / Politics & Society / Re: No to RACISM be fair into each other. on: May 19, 2021, 03:36:30 AM
No to  RACISM be fair into each other.

Racism is like borders. I have no problem whatsoever with the races, as long as they stay within their borders, and allow me to stay within mine. We need more racism.

The problem comes about with trying, "No to  RACISM be fair far into each other."

Cool

It seems to me that you have a very 19th century mentality, or even earlier, because from other things you say, it is clear that you have not overcome the conflict between reason and faith.

Today there are no "races" belonging to borders. In all the countries of the world, people are mixed, in some places more than in others, but the tendency is to mix more and more as time goes by.

And it would be better to speak of ethnicity than of races, because races in the Darwinian sense do not exist in humans.

5506  Other / Politics & Society / Re: "Good morning ladies and gentlemen" on: May 19, 2021, 03:31:32 AM
-snip

Regarding what we have been talking about, I would like to ask your opinion about a curious phenomenon that I have been observing for years and that I have come to call the leftist paradox. On the one hand, we must be tolerant of other cultures. And on the other hand, we have to adopt measures to achieve 100% equality between women and men or between gays and straights, for example.

I don't know how this is compatible with the growing muslim population in the UK and other countries. I know that not all Muslims are as radical as others, but I would say that in general they don't exactly have an egalitarian view of the roles of men and women, not to mention homosexuals. The Muslim world has not overcome the conflict between reason and faith, which in the Western world began to be overcome with the condemnation of Galileo and I would say that had its highest peak during the Enlightenment.

When I see criticisms of patriarchy, I see that they are more directed at patriarchy of Judeo-Christian origin, but not so much at the Muslim worldview.

So, this is the paradox that I see: we are tolerant of other cultures, but in this case the Muslim culture has a vision that is not egalitarian of the roles between men and women or of homosexuals, something that conflicts with our principles, but in this case we either keep quiet or minimize it.

I don't know if you have any statistics in this regard. You do have some good reasoning for sure.
5507  Other / Politics & Society / Re: No to RACISM be fair into each other. on: May 18, 2021, 09:59:09 AM
Ideally, in the world we should treat each other fairly, but that doesn't just come down to racism. There will always be bad people, psychopaths, people who put certain ideals or lust for power, etc. above all else. Moreover, it will never be 100% achieved, although we should strive for it.
5508  Other / Politics & Society / Re: "Good morning ladies and gentlemen" on: May 18, 2021, 09:53:32 AM
For the last few hundred years this was a common way to start a speech. What should be wrong with it now? The only thing that comes to mind would be that we are offending all these "non binary" sexes which came to life recently.

That is precisely what is supposedly wrong. It is taken as a symbol of the so-called heteropatriarchal society, macho, therefore. Add to that the fact that the road to equality is being taken more as a fight than a collaboration, and we see senseless consequences like this.
5509  Other / Politics & Society / Re: "Good morning ladies and gentlemen" on: May 18, 2021, 06:54:20 AM
But surely it is better to be concerned about those who are oppressed or treated unfairly than to simply say 'This doesn't affect me personally, so I'm not interested'?

I don't say that.

Have you ever donated money to a charity?

Of course and just this week I donated money in person to a person who needed it.

You know how much I love posting charts and links to data...

Yes, of course I know. As I was saying, statistics do not serve to prove in most cases but if you support your arguments on them at least you give them more strength.

The vast majority of demonstration events associated with the BLM movement are non-violent (see map below). In more than 93% of all demonstrations connected to the movement, demonstrators have not engaged in violence or destructive activity. Peaceful protests are reported in over 2,400 distinct locations around the country. Violent demonstrations,4 meanwhile, have been limited to fewer than 220 locations — under 10% of the areas that experienced peaceful protests. In many urban areas like Portland, Oregon, for example, which has seen sustained unrest since Floyd’s killing, violent demonstrations are largely confined to specific blocks, rather than dispersed throughout the city (CNN, 1 September 2020).
https://acleddata.com/2020/09/03/demonstrations-political-violence-in-america-new-data-for-summer-2020

I would add to this that any prominent and well-publicised demonstration, on whatever subject, is likely to be joined by some people who don't care about the cause but just want to fight the police.



Yeah, well, I don't know if you think that 220 violent demostrations are not many. Although I understand that you don't support the violent demonstrations, but you do support the majority that were non-violent, is that right?

Going back to what I was saying, they went out to the street to demonstrate and I don't demostrate. I'm just expressing my opposition in writing.

By the way, I enjoy the debate although in this case it does not look like we are going to reach points of agreement. The only thing is that you give me a lot of work to answer you, and I am tempted to stop debating with you and start shitposting instead.

 Grin


5510  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What's the motive behind the anti gambling campaign on: May 18, 2021, 06:36:26 AM
I suppose it is at least partly due to puritanism (in a broad sense). Gambling, alcohol or casual sexual relations have always had enemies and those who criticize them have taken the negative cases to paint a black picture about those activities. Yes, there are people who gamble fortunes and lose everything, just as there are people who destroy their lives with alcohol, but the vast majority of people gamble or drink responsibly.
5511  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Fully vaccinated individuals now spared of masks in the casinos in Vegas on: May 18, 2021, 06:31:53 AM
As far as I know, even if you are vaccinated, there is still a chance you will get the virus, but it won't be life-threatening anymore even if you are 60+ years old or a person with comorbidity. Vaccines only prevent the virus to be more dangerous. I don't agree with what they did on that casino on Vegas, many people goes on those type of places and that is definitely a hotspot for the virus. It would only take 1 superspreader just to infect many people again. Plus, we all know that there are different variants of covid now, I hope people there still do safety precautions even if things start to get back to normal.

There is still a chance that you will get the virus but a low one. Studies have shown that vaccines reduce transmission by more than 90%, and also prevent the development of a severe clinical picture. I don't know if this decision is a bit hasty, but people are dying to be able to return to normal life.
5512  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in-$200 FreeBTC⭐Win Lambo🔥0.2BTC DailyJackpot🏆$32,500 Wager Contest on: May 18, 2021, 06:27:17 AM
Today i activated 1000% bonus in free btc bonus through rewards claim, and as everyone knows that the base free btc claim is 4 sat, and after activating the 1000% bonus i am getting only 40 sat ,

can anyone explain me the calculation because as per my calculation it should be 400 or 4000 sat if i activate the 1000% bonus

It's simply that you don't understand math very well. If your base reward is 4 sat, 100% increase would be 4 sat. 1000% increase is ten times that, so 40 sat. If you want to know more, tell us how you do the calculations and we will tell you where you are wrong.
5513  Other / Politics & Society / Re: "Good morning ladies and gentlemen" on: May 17, 2021, 10:30:00 AM
How many of those blacks killed were NBA players? Or doctors of quantum physics? Maybe we don't have to count only the variable of ethnicity but take into account socio-cultural and economic factors as well.
I'm not sure if this has been studied much, so the evidence is largely made up of many individual cases, such as the gold-medal winning black athlete who was stopped by police because 'black people in fancy cars are suspicious', or when black billionaire Oprah Winfrey was looking at an expensive handbag, and was told she couldn't afford it.

I have also been stopped in my car when I was young simply for being young, playing loud music and looking a certain way.

If we do not have reliable data, we can only speculate.

Nowadays if you want to experience victimisation,
You'd better have a socialist mentality, or left-wing, or liberal in the US, whatever you want to call it. That way you will feel a victim no matter what your condition is (female, gay etc.) and you'll believe that the state has to come to rescue you.
I would say I'm left-wing, but I don't feel that I'm a victim at all.

You don't feel you are a victim but you tend to see others as victims, women, blacks, Amazon workers...


'Better than ever' is relative, and as you say we are not yet 100% equal... for which the evidence is overwhelming. As an example, some data released today on the situation in the UK:

Quote
68% of LGBT+ young people had experienced suicidal thoughts, compared with 29% of young people who were not LGBT+.
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2021/may/17/lgbt-youths-twice-as-likely-to-contemplate-suicide-survey-finds

Well, I guess we are not going to agree on this, unlike other times. For me, this loose statistics thing proves little. Certain statistics can be used to support an opinion but little else. It would be necessary to see what the difference is due to.

Which I think just goes back to my original point. People being irritated by revised terminology is not the biggest problem here.

It goes to your original point but not the point of this thread. Do you support the BLM movement? If they can vandalize and riot I don't see why it is wrong that I and others express our disagreement with the politically correct trend.
5514  Other / Meta / Re: Don't you think some people in the forum are giving too much importance to Elon? on: May 17, 2021, 10:26:47 AM
Is it good to lock your topic?  Smiley

I usually lock my topics, when I see there is no much to be added. I'm not going to do it yet but you can report it and let the moderators decide. Apart from that, the thread might die by itself (by nobody else replying).
5515  Other / Meta / Don't you think some people in the forum are giving too much importance to Elon? on: May 17, 2021, 09:38:45 AM
Screenshot of the Bitcoin Discussion board



I could have red-flagged a couple more, considering that the recent dip can be attributed at least in part to Elon.

5516  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: That feeling having your first merit on Bitcointalk on: May 17, 2021, 06:43:09 AM
Yeah, congratz. The only thing I would add to what the others have said, is that you make more posts like the one that has been merited if you want to progress in this forum.

Come on, no offense but I don't think we can call this hard work.. 32 posts in total out of which 10 are in off-topic, 2 are bounty registrations and the majority of others are quite useless .. There's so much space left for you to grow, merits don't come from bounty registrations or useless posts!

Try to actively participate in the community with some useful stuff if you want merits. Read and learn new stuff about Bitcoin and whenever you see some newbie asking a question you know an answer to, jump in and help. If I were to count all your posts since December, you'd have about 6-7 posts per month.. that's 1, max 2 per week! How do you expect merits to come when you don't even post much at all? Cheesy

Good luck m8, but I really suggest you to spend more time here if you want to receive some merit Tongue

In my opinion, this is not the best way to encourage newcomers, as I think your comment belittles an achievement that he is very proud of. We must educate, not intimidate newcomers.

I agree. It is better to be constructive and try to motivate him to write posts like the one that has been merited.
5517  Other / Off-topic / Re: Love and money on: May 17, 2021, 06:36:10 AM
Attraction works somewhat differently in men and women, however much the progressive discourse insists on denying it. It has to do with our biology and millions of years of evolution. While men are more visual, women tend to consider things like the ability to provide resources for offspring. It's nature and that's it.
5518  Other / Politics & Society / Re: "Good morning ladies and gentlemen" on: May 17, 2021, 06:20:52 AM
The problem is more complex than boiling it down to statistics like assuming it is simply due to racism, which I suppose it will be in some cases, but if you are a cop patrolling in a mostly black hood I say you will be more nervous and fear for your life than if you are in a predominantly white middle class neighborhood.

chicken or egg
blacks fear cops in their neighbourhood more then white folk fear cops in white neighbourhoods
the solution is not about black or white neighbourhoods.. the solution is integrating people together and uniting people so that there is no separate neighbourhoods


I partly agree, but how would you do it? I'm far from believing that the solution lies in a politician making laws to force mixing people in neighborhoods.

putting aside that debate
there is also aot of pressure being put on about slavery.. and yet there is not one single person alive today that was a slave or slave master.
100+ years ago. all living slaves got compensated. and all slave masters no longer had slaves.
...
blacks dont want segregation. LGBTQ dont want segregation... but the SJW are the idiots who are promoting labels and classifications to segregate people

I think this is the first time in all this time that I completely agree with you.
5519  Other / Politics & Society / Re: "Good morning ladies and gentlemen" on: May 16, 2021, 06:59:02 PM
I was obviously talking about the media and political correctness and not so much about painful realities like that.

Yes, that's my point, really. The distinction about feeling annoyed because of political correctness and feeling annoyed because you are more likely to be murdered.

First of all, you are only comparing feeling annoyed by one thing or another but you are not comparing the reaction. BLM caused riots in the streets, with arson, looting, etc. I am just complaining in an internet forum. I don't know if you mean my reaction is overreacting or something.

Moreover, do you really think this is going to make blacks feel less upset about having a higher probability of being killed?



Source: Billy Porter reinvents the fairy godmother as 'the Fab G' in Kay Cannon's Cinderella: First look

The problem is more complex than boiling it down to statistics like assuming it is simply due to racism, which I suppose it will be in some cases, but if you are a cop patrolling in a mostly black hood I say you will be more nervous and fear for your life than if you are in a predominantly white middle class neighborhood.

How many of those blacks killed were NBA players? Or doctors of quantum physics? Maybe we don't have to count only the variable of ethnicity but take into account socio-cultural and economic factors as well.

Nowadays if you want to experience victimisation,

You'd better have a socialist mentality, or left-wing, or liberal in the US, whatever you want to call it. That way you will feel a victim no matter what your condition is (female, gay etc.) and you'll believe that the state has to come to rescue you.

harassment, bullying and general unfair treatment because of your sexuality, you better be trans or gay.

Not really. Are you talking about Afghanistan? I don't think so, and neither do I, since I referred to developed countries. In the vast majority of developed countries, such as the UK where you say you live, gays are better off than ever, have more rights than ever, are harassed less than ever and are treated better than ever. This is not the case in all developed countries, and we are not yet 100% equal, but we are on the way.

The purpose of 'political correctness' is not to evoke slight annoyance from the traditionalists who like bias because it's in their favour. The purpose is to address historic wrongs, and if sometimes there is an inadvertent degree of overcompensation, then surely this is a price worth paying?

I don't know if you have noticed but I am not a traditionalist, at least I don't consider myself one. I am an atheist, and in moral issues, I could be considered a leftist, because, for example, I think it is good that two people of the same sex can marry on equal terms as other marriages (of opposite sexes).

The problem I see is not that there is a small compensation with respect to traditional discrimination, but that in a historical moment where minorities are less discriminated against than ever, and where even if the public authorities did nothing, they would be increasingly normalized, certain measures that are taken, are a rather big compensation.
5520  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Crypto-Casinos and KYC on: May 16, 2021, 09:27:23 AM
I have 2 questions which I would like everyone to please answer and based on the answers can we can have a clear picture.

1- Would you gamble at a crypto-casino knowing it would ask you for KYC documents before withdrawal?

No. I mainly play poker and the crypto poker offer does not appeal to me. If on top of that I had to go through a KYC process even less.

2-  Do you feel safe giving out your KYC to online crypto-casinos?

Well, kinda. As someone has pointed out before, in a hypothetical situation, that I had to provide my data if it were a casino with a long history and a great reputation I might feel somewhat safe.
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