Bitcoin Forum
May 24, 2024, 12:17:55 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: « 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 [48] 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 ... 184 »
941  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2022, 05:00:11 AM

Is bitcoinity done? Sad

I have been wondering the same.. .it's been down for a few days...

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Ran out of batslaps?
Bitcoin is down about 92.5% since i got in, on the reverse time scale...  Wink

EDIT: Seems we have a new wall-of-text contender? death_wish  Grin Welcome, BTW!
942  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 09, 2022, 07:24:12 PM
Wait for it, we're gonna bounce any minute now. It's gonna be strong. A real trend reversal. Bullish phase incoming.

OK, now I'm getting scared.
For the first time in many many months price goes below my DCA and the local Llama spots out this???
Is this what they were talking about as "Max Pain?"

I see a lot of sell orders disappear in the order books.
Time to take a breath.
943  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 09, 2022, 07:06:04 PM
Will always be a BTC’er

Bought a big DIP (for my personal budget)

But damn didn’t saw BTC as annoying as now

Also cause I bought my DIP to early

Didn’t  wanna miss out on it….

Hahaha  Cheesy
Familiar feelings.
I bought most of the dips in december-january until i ran out of spare fiat early february Grin
944  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 09, 2022, 08:03:12 AM

Bullshit about tether.


Link or it didn't happen.


Prove it yourself you lazy entitled gen-x-y-z-millennial that expects only freebies.  Roll Eyes  Roll Eyes

You prove that the Federal Reserve Bank is not the owner of Tether.   Shocked   Shocked

My dick is 5 inch longer than yours.


but YOU have to provide the proof that it's not, you lazy cunt  Cheesy

 Huh Roll Eyes

Tis that time to sow the seed. ( ie...the sticky icky)

Grand Daddy Purple this year.
They will look nice next to the new garage.

Aaaaw, cute lil babies  Smiley



Yeah, critical for my bank account balance  Tongue

Quote
Peter Shiff is explaining lower bitcoin with whales being whales.
Peter Schiff just being Peter Schiff  Wink

Quote
Some DeFI expert is explaining lower bitcoin with a concentrated attack to the TERRA/LUNA ecosystem, forcing LFG to sell their stash.

DeFi "expert"? Didn't know there are any, though.

Quote
Fillippone explain this with bitcoin just being bitcoin: the price discovery in the next paradigm shift in value transfer protocol cannot be a straight line. 

Seconded.
945  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 08, 2022, 08:43:02 AM
Who's our next Mindrust?

Was just thinking about him the other day.

I would hope the lot of us has matured more since then, and learned to embrace this volatility.

Bitcoin is much more than fiat gains.
That's the mindset that helped me a lot dealing with volatility.
946  Economy / Speculation / Re: Automated posting on: May 08, 2022, 07:16:52 AM

Dude, don't diss our beloved ChartBuddy  Angry
It's just a mirror to your feelings.
Knowing that, you know what you have to do now, right?
947  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 07, 2022, 11:45:23 PM
Hello bois.



Hello  Grin
Do you wanna try my long, green dildo?  Kiss

948  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 07, 2022, 03:23:42 PM
Like children. Too dumb to tell convincing lies Cheesy

(edited)
949  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 07, 2022, 10:47:38 AM
not this time, buddy  Kiss
950  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 07, 2022, 10:41:39 AM
It seems alliances seen in current war were formed 2 years ago

https://peoplesdispatch.org/2020/12/21/us-ukraine-vote-against-un-resolution-against-nazism/

Probably unrelated:

Quote
Before the vote, a statement was made by the representative of the Russian
Federation; statements in explanation of vote were made by the representatives of the
United States and Ukraine.

while in meeting #15, on the very next day, the vote called

"A global call for concrete action for the elimination of
racism, racial discrimination, xenophobia and related intolerance and the
comprehensive implementation of and follow-up to the Durban Declaration and
Programme of Action"

Ukraine obstained, while USA voted "N" (No).

I think there has to be shed further light on this issue, because the reasonings of Ukraine and USA of voting "No" for draft resolution  "A/C.3/75/L.49" (70a) are not given in context here. I admit, this looked strange to me as well, but further investigation is needed to get more detail.
If USA and Ukraine would have voted the same in similar drafting votes (as outlined above), this would look like a no-brainer, but this way it's worth to investigate before blaming or accusing anyone. Nobody knows why the US and UA voted against this draft, but the details could be clarifying.

To sum it up: Don't judge based on the first look of something.
951  Economy / Speculation / Re: Only 150 transactions were made on day one of Coinbase's NFT marketplace on: May 07, 2022, 08:14:42 AM
Its starting to dawn on them all they bought literal shit and it will be a race to the bottom.

I totally agree with you here. Unfortunately all the noise in the 'Crypto' sphere, I believe, detracts from what bitcoin is trying to become, the new world reserve currency, where you can safely store your value and know that nobody can take that from you.
It takes a certain kind of mind to see that and understand the difference from other shitcoins.
Average Joe, however, is just trying to make as much FIAT as possible by jumping on to the bandwagon of the latest shiny new "bitcoin killer". When that doesn't work out and they get rekt it leaves a bitter taste which is then associated with anything crypto (I fear I may receive a batslap soon by jjg) related, even bitcoin.
It is likely to slow the adoption of bitcoin but I don't believe it will halt it. It just might take longer to get to where we are going.
Just a theory though from a pleb that doesn't know much!

It's mostly always a mess as soon as the mainstream starts to rush in. But as so often, i'd really point out the high probabilistic chance that we well laugh about these now times as things settle down and Bitcoin established itself as a stable, reliable protocol in everday use. This may be 10 or 20 years from now, but when you look back, and count the many Bitcoin obituaries, compared to where it stands today, it grew too big to become a short lived mainstream trend. By that time, most altcoins will be distant memories of the wild-west aera of cryptocurrency...

Just my 2 cents  Grin
952  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 07, 2022, 07:58:41 AM
Interesting article about the current state of the russian army involved in UA "special military operation" and in general (german, use google translate for convenience):

https://www.nzz.ch/international/ukraine-russland-hat-fuer-den-krieg-zu-wenig-soldaten-ld.1682506

On the other hand, there have been interviews that raise concern that ukrainian's smartphones are searched by soldiers for "anti russian" content and people are checked for their opinions on russian politics. Based on their answers and smartphone findings they are detained to be sent to russian "reeducation camps" (like Uigurs in China), otherwise being handed a paper that allows them to move freely in Ukraine as well to immigrate to Russia.
De-Nazification at its best...  Roll Eyes


Sounds like typical propaganda targeting standard-grade retards.

What I would guess would be happening would be, yes, people are analyzed as well as possible to see who, of the obvious civilians, is fervently anti-Russian and likely to be a security problem in the new SE Russian client-state areas.  They would be considered undesirables and strongly encouraged to head West.

Of course there are Nazi-ish fighters, mercenaries, foreign 'advisers', etc dressing up like civilians and trying to escape.  These are probably what the above propaganda are 'accidentally' mis-identifying in their article.  I'm sure they are being taken away to 'camps', but I doubt that there is a lot of 're-education' going on in said camps.  At least not re-education going on under design and dedicated efforts of the Russians.

Seems like civilians are dropping through whatever filters are in place by the millions and free to do what they wish.  A tiny fraction of them seem to be getting on buses heading for Zelensky-ville.  Seems like in areas in which combat has mostly ceased, the peeps are just getting back to life.



So many "seems", but no sources. Do you want me to take this seriously?
That said, you're whole argumentation spins around distracting from the contents of the linked article.
As of the alleged camps, this was featured in many western media

And to make it clear: "Free" is a concept virtually non existent in a totalitarian "democracy" like Russia. It's pretty bold to claim people are " free to do what they wish" in such setting. Regarding re-education you might be right, when i cynically draw a comparison to the "occasional" not-reeducating taken place on the streets and in the homes of temporarily occupied cities. But, you would probably see a mass-grave of murdered civilians as an "alternative, completely trouble-free form of existence, for thousands of people in their new important community-role of biologically feeding the worms serving duty for the creation of fruitful soils"?

WTF; man, WT actual F?  Shocked
953  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 06, 2022, 10:01:03 PM
Interesting article about the current state of the russian army involved in UA "special military operation" and in general (german, use google translate for convenience):

https://www.nzz.ch/international/ukraine-russland-hat-fuer-den-krieg-zu-wenig-soldaten-ld.1682506

On the other hand, there have been interviews that raise concern that ukrainian's smartphones are searched by soldiers for "anti russian" content and people are checked for their opinions on russian politics. Based on their answers and smartphone findings they are detained to be sent to russian "reeducation camps" (like Uigurs in China), otherwise being handed a paper that allows them to move freely in Ukraine as well to immigrate to Russia.
De-Nazification at its best...  Roll Eyes



A very factual article indeed.

Quote
The Russian active armed forces comprise around 900,000 men, plus 2 million former conscripts who could be called up as reservists

Now, Putin can use those 900k soldiers more or less "freely" in terms of legal decisions. However, it is evident to all that mobilising, logistics and training do not seem a strong point of Putin's army.

The Chief Psychos of Putin have a way of waging war that assumes that they can grind forever and have no hurry. However, that is the least economical way of waging a war, particularly when a number of countries are focused on devising new ways of inflicting more and more economic pain and supply Ukraine with more means. Under this circumstances, time is not on Putin's side.

Now, let's say that the Chief Psychos decide that they need to have a significant advantage in troops - like most military doctrines dictate when invading and entrenched, motivated and resourceful enemy. How many troops would they "mobilise" ... another 50k young unready soldiers? Too little. Maybe, a figure around 100k to 200k  would be more realistic from a military sense.

Putin would then have 300k - 400k soldiers in the field. I think that most people can figure out the burden of feeding, moving, supplying and providing fighting means to a troop of 300 o 400k soldiers. If time was running against the Russian Army's psychos, that would hasten the clock even more.

Yet rumours are that Putin is ordering an "all in" - which is something that leaders just do not do unless they are desperate.

On the political front, Putin would need to make a convincing argument to keep the support he enjoys. Even with all the media more controlled than ever, bodies in dead bags are noticed.

Didn't Russia make that mistake before (possibly Afghanistan)?
Also, AFAIK as an invader, to fully take over and hold a country, you'd need 4 times more soldiers than the victim country.
This is probably the reason to draw another 20k soldiers from Moldavia into UA, "borrowing" tens of thousands of foreign figthers from Syria, Iran. They have to cover their personell deficits in the army. They need experienced fighters with stamina, because the young recruits we falling like flies in face of a well trained enemy.
Chances may be that Putin already is all-in as soon as he involves Moldavia. I dnn't think he can keep the russian families calm when he starts mobilizing their russian sons and fathers. That might get interesting. He can't detain half of the population...
954  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 06, 2022, 08:01:30 PM
It's like winning/losing probabilities of a poker hand, but you can almost always be beaten with the strongest hand on the turn by your opponent when the river card is drawn.
This is of little matter. The problem with poker, which probably applies to TA too, is that it's a matter of time until the richest wins. Whether you've analyzed the game, whether you're counting the cards, your winning rate drops exponentially the less money you've already inserted to.

I can only agree so much, as that the small stack has to play overly tight and conservative, has a greater risk to be eliminated faster by blinds/antes, so there is some variation to this rule regarding the type of poker game, height of stakes and limits, to name a few variables. But by pure math probability, the conservative player is generally more profitable in the long run, which doesn't necessarily include the aspect of deepness of the players pockets, so this one was substracted from my approach of a comparison.
955  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 06, 2022, 07:28:40 PM
Interesting article about the current state of the russian army involved in UA "special military operation" and in general (german, use google translate for convenience):

https://www.nzz.ch/international/ukraine-russland-hat-fuer-den-krieg-zu-wenig-soldaten-ld.1682506

On the other hand, there have been interviews that raise concern that ukrainian's smartphones are searched by soldiers for "anti russian" content and people are checked for their opinions on russian politics. Based on their answers and smartphone findings they are detained to be sent to russian "reeducation camps" (like Uigurs in China), otherwise being handed a paper that allows them to move freely in Ukraine as well to immigrate to Russia.
De-Nazification at its best...  Roll Eyes

956  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 06, 2022, 07:14:08 PM
EDIT: I still hope Putin won't call out general mobilization of forces, for your own sake. No Bitcoiner (noone, really) should be foced to serve to kill.

Does general mobilization basically just mean a draft?

Yes, after looking up "draft" in a dictionary. Every russian man capable of serving the army will be drafted. I'm not a native speaker, btw.

Draft (conscription) is usually an annual event to sign up 18-year-olds for training (6-12 months). Few countries still have mandatory draft, including Russia. Most countries don't have it (instead relying on voluntary/contract/professional forces), but e.g. in the US men are still required to register for it, and draft can be re-instated in the event of a war.

Mobilization is assembling a military force for a specific purpose (e.g. a war) and it involves everyone of military age (18-60 or so), so it's much more than a draft.

Mobilization is ongoing in Ukraine right now, but not in Russia, since it's "officially" not at war.

(sorry for multiple edits, my browser is having one of those days)

Thanks for clarification, so i was really meaning mobilization, then. My dictionary translated "draft" like "to draw in", that explains the confusion.
I hope you used that special-military-operation quotes for use on the term "officially"  Tongue
957  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 06, 2022, 07:08:30 PM

This drummer's got a funny grip, sticks held like with german grip but palms turned in like american grip. Just saying, because i used to play german and recently incorporated more french/american grip styles, mainly for faster double strokes.
Funny musical comment on the Bitcoin chart, btw  Cheesy
 
958  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 06, 2022, 06:46:19 PM
EDIT: I still hope Putin won't call out general mobilization of forces, for your own sake. No Bitcoiner (noone, really) should be foced to serve to kill.

Does general mobilization basically just mean a draft?

Yes, after looking up "draft" in a dictionary. Every russian man capable of serving the army will be drafted. I'm not a native speaker, btw.

The fronts are not moving. If any, Ukraine has made some minor advancements and Putin keeps sending unready troops to die for nothing. The number of artillery batteries sent now to Ukraine is starting to range in the hundreds, not to mention air defences and civil support. The tactical situation is looking grim for Putin.
The fronts are moving, just slowly. Russia moves at its own pace, using its strengths to compensate for its weaknesses. Ukraine has already carried out three waves of mobilization, while Russia has not carried out a single one. For Ukraine, this is a people's war, and Russia is conducting a special operation with the forces of the peacetime army. All military successes of Ukraine are either fictitious, or are connected with the navy, which it does not have itself, or are connected with Turkish drones. In the East, the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are slowly being minced by artillery and Ukraine cannot do anything about this due to problems with logistics. Russian missiles disable railway electrical substations so that only diesel locomotives operate, this allows you to save infrastructure, but drastically reduce the amount of traffic on the railway.

Putin's army is unable to make any decisive advance. What you call grinding is in fact stagnating.
Decisive offensives mean great sacrifices, you confuse inability and unwillingness.

How much do you get paid for shilling russian war propaganda?
Putin's troll army is not a secret anymore, you might have noticed already....
959  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 06, 2022, 06:29:25 PM
My try: Drawing patterns and lines that help deciding for trading options based on probabilities.
But, are there actually patterns? Is it, indeed, a matter of probabilities?

Or, formulated more properly: Can you prove that it's a matter of probabilities?

Retrospectively.
Example: A distinct, defined chart pattern was followed by trend continuation, usually on a few selected timeframe charts,  more often than trend reversal.
So the probability is higher that the same pattern will be completed by a continuation move.

It's like winning/losing probabilities of a poker hand, but you can almost always be beaten with the strongest hand on the turn by your opponent when the river card is drawn. So if you play strict probability poker for a long time, you should be in profit, compared to high "volatility" when playing a little against these odds. But, playing short and loose agressive play, like daytrading, might get you bigger single gains.

Many things have happened, suddenly the fear of many was seized, but finally the price of BTC is recovering, some think that the BTC bearish movement was necessary:

Quote
“That smells like capitulation to me or at least some serious signals overall,” Van de Poppe commented.

He noted that the dip had also produced the highest-volume 4-hour candle since early December on BTC/USD. As Cointelegraph recently reported, volume was a key aspect that needed to return in order to produce a more convincing capitulation event.




Apart from these indices show the following:

Quote
The S&P 500 finished the day down 3.5%, while the Nasdaq 100 ended down 5%. Outside stocks, U.S. 10-year Treasury futures shed 1%, a rare combination that gave some market participants pause for thought.

Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/someone-is-blowing-up-bitcoin-sees-2022-volume-record-amid-hopes-capitulation-is-over

I think this "capitulation" is only part of what can be come, some are preparing for a bullish oviment, when they expect a Bearish movement, most likely, the opposite happens. I was able to go up this time.



That's one candle i was waiting for, if you followed my posts here.
Well, it could be orchestrated with some effort by a group of whales, but i think chances are better for a growing market again. We'll see shortly, anyway.
One thing is certain, there is buying interest and there is growing attention when it comes to Bitcoin. This may be the factor that didn't make this correction after last ATH as flashy-crashy as we used to see before, recover faster and build a stronger foundation for another rise. We didn't have that before, but Bitcoin always does the opposite of what most people expect it to do.
960  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 06, 2022, 04:49:50 PM
Define me technical analysis in the shortest way possible.

chart analysis? Or technical analysis as such, like analysis done by the help of technology?

EDIT: For the former... My try: Drawing patterns and lines that help deciding for trading options based on probabilities.

EDIT2: I know, could have expressed it in a more precise way (finding levels, mapping past chart movements and so on)
Pages: « 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 [48] 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 ... 184 »
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!