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1021  Economy / Speculation / Re: Walls crumbling under buying pressure for hours on end on: July 09, 2012, 11:26:21 PM
This is what depth looked like on July 9, 2012...



That'll fill in soon enough.

you need to remove the BEAR.

Nah, not yet.

That bear's gonna have to go away when we hit $8, proudhon...
1022  Economy / Speculation / Re: Walls crumbling under buying pressure for hours on end on: July 09, 2012, 10:11:32 PM
This is what depth looked like on July 9, 2012...

1023  Economy / Speculation / Re: RALLY! on: July 09, 2012, 10:04:39 PM
We have now entered the no depth zone!  There's literally nothing stopping us from going to $8 now.
1024  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: July 09, 2012, 09:54:49 PM
We just broke $7, hitting a high of $7.04 Smiley
1025  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: July 09, 2012, 09:31:56 PM
wall down, rally time! 8614 BTC to $7
1026  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: July 09, 2012, 08:59:23 PM

quick update, bitcoin is looking bullish at 6 point crazy!

bitcoin is going to 8 point crazy soon Cheesy
1027  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: July 09, 2012, 07:13:28 PM


This is odd.  MtGox reported $7+ for a while, but there really wasn't any change in volume.  I think something isn't working right, or almost all the asks were removed and somebody bought anyway, or some combination.

I've see this frequently the past 3 weeks.  The last price on the mtgox website is higher than anything reported on mtgoxlive or bitcoin charts.  It must be a glitch.

Trades on non-USD markets are converted to USD and included in the homepage stats, but Gox charges a currency exchange fee, increasing the price for buys on those markets.
1028  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [ANN] Introducing the Mt.Gox Trusted Vendor Program on: July 09, 2012, 03:34:30 PM
Another good step in the right direction would be to actually pay people the funds they withdrew.  Roll Eyes
1029  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [Payout Updates] Bitcoinica site is taken offline for security investigation on: July 09, 2012, 03:48:39 AM
there will be unforeseen consequences//

consequences will never be the same Shocked
1030  Economy / Gambling / Re: [BITLOTTO] 1VqGSH... just won 197.25 BTC!!! **Next draw is Aug 3!** on: July 08, 2012, 02:20:49 AM
It seems like Otoh really made an impact on the size of this lotto by putting his 100 in every month.  Too bad he's gone...
1031  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: July 08, 2012, 12:16:10 AM
This one's called, "lol, jk!"

I think he's going to say "lol, jk" about this wall, too, in time Wink
1032  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: July 07, 2012, 10:01:12 PM
just when are u going to take down that Bear?

When bitcoin gets more use as a currency than a speculative vehicle.

Even USD is used more as a speculative vehicle than a currency.

LOL, nice!

Touché.  Ok, how about this - When the market cap is in the billions.

so you'll stop being a bear once the price goes up?

O.o
1033  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: July 07, 2012, 08:14:03 PM
close to 4x bid to ask, LOL!

Record low number of asks (116864 BTC)... and $1.742 mil in bids! Grin

edit: Depth chart!
1034  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: July 07, 2012, 08:00:17 PM
this is the week we've been waiting for since January 15 Smiley
1035  Economy / Speculation / Re: Walls crumbling under buying pressure for hours on end on: July 07, 2012, 07:36:56 PM
$7 today?!
1036  Economy / Speculation / Re: Walls crumbling under buying pressure for hours on end on: July 07, 2012, 06:58:35 PM
holy shit...
1037  Economy / Speculation / Re: Walls crumbling under buying pressure for hours on end on: July 07, 2012, 06:11:28 PM
@ inau: I think you missed the first resistance at 7.00$ coming down to somwhere in the 30k-40k BTC area, before being reinforced.

Probably happened overnight, wasn't aware.  I think the resistance at $6.75 went up by 5k.  Will update...

Quote
2. Why dont you post your facts in the Wall Observer thread?
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=85687.0

I thought the large buy/sell volume disparity was worth noting, and that part didn't really belong in that thread. 
1038  Economy / Speculation / Walls crumbling under buying pressure for hours on end on: July 06, 2012, 07:29:27 PM
It's been what, 72 hours since the first wall went up?  Since the huge 20k BTC sell, we've seen nothing but buys.  There have been stretches of 6 hours with 500 BTC of selling activity vs. thousands in buys.  Today's volume is 3600 in sells vs 21000 in buys.  It seems like no matter how many askwalls are put up, endless buying pressure continues to erode them.

Update: 7/7 volumes: Sell 4k, buy 8.5k.

I've also been tracking the ask depth to $7.  It shot up to 60k, but large buys pushed that down to 25k.  It shot up to 70k in asks yesterday after more walls were put up, but the erosion has pushed it down to under 50k.  In fact, the depth to $7 has failed to maintain a level of more than 50k for more than 24 hours at a time for the last month, and usually erodes to 25k before a selloff.

Update: 7/7: depth to $7 is now 40k exactly.
Update: 7/7: prepare for takeoff, 25k to $7 again.

Eventually, it's going to hit 25k one last time, and instead of more walls, we'll get a breakout.  At least that's what happened to $5.5, which has since been left in the dust Smiley <-- it's happening!

Walls that went down
30k BTC total in 10k walls at 6.45, 6.5, 6.55.
20k BTC total in 5k walls at 6.6, 6.65, 6.7, 6.75.
Most other walls have been taken down

Remaining walls to $7
5k at 6.7 aaaaaaaaand it's gone!
7.5k 12.5k at 6.75 -- reinforced as of 7/7 back to 7.5k at 6.75 GONE
10k 5k at 6.8
7k 3k at 6.85
5k at 7
1039  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Putting your money where Pirate's mouth is. on: July 06, 2012, 05:58:52 PM
I hope you remember the day you let your emotions get the best of you.  

Ready when you are.

Sure! How's this for the terms:

Both I and you (Pirateat40) place 5000 BTC each into an escrow held by Nanotube. If after 2013-10-01, that's the first of October 2013, BS&T has not defaulted on payments, Pirateat40 gets the funds. In the case of a default, I (Vandroiy) get the funds.

A default is identified by customers' funds being locked down for two consecutive weeks.

Something among these lines?

Perfect and I don't think you could have picked a better escrow.  When your funds hit the escrow let me know.

O.o

This deal is too good... correct me if I'm wrong, but Vandroiy is at least doubling his coins risk-free... (if he deposits too)
1040  Economy / Securities / Re: BS&T -- Are you staying or leaving? on: July 06, 2012, 01:06:04 AM
One of the interesting facts about pirate is that he pays very large interest payments every Monday.  15 weeks would be enough to bankrupt him if deposits stall (if BTCST is a ponzi). 

Example (Jun 18 2012 payments)
http://blockchain.info/tx-index/9782336/11bd062981e13d6e20f765b1a9770f3dd89493f09f9b4f8da15ff523ecfabe53
http://blockchain.info/tx-index/9782978/f11b9e1e61b56762f0370c38fd9ad4c4fdfa6b825f332dbce410b3ade439a30e

Subtract the largest address (change) -> still 10000 BTC of payments, and these are partial.  It may be as high as 20000... or 30000...

Let's assume Pirate runs when deposits stall.  This means that he takes in 5 digits worth of *new* coins (minus withdrawals) every week on average to keep it going (since he hasn't run away yet).  Is this feasible?  I don't know, it seems borderline impossible to me. 
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