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Question: Price Target for Nov. 30, 2024:
<$75K - 4 (2.7%)
$75K to $80K - 1 (0.7%)
$80K to $85K - 2 (1.4%)
$85K to $90K - 10 (6.8%)
$90K to $95K - 15 (10.3%)
$95K to $100K - 29 (19.9%)
>$100K - 85 (58.2%)
Total Voters: 146

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26735116 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Last of the V8s
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Be a bank


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April 09, 2018, 11:03:53 AM

In Bitcoin, Bitcoin bans itself.
d_eddie
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April 09, 2018, 11:06:55 AM

The argument for taint and title is strong
http://www.cl.cam.ac.uk/~rja14/Papers/making-bitcoin-legal.pdf
The authors don't detail much experimental evidence about their new taint model (basically FIFO accounting for taint), but they do offer a couple of numbers which, if supported by more testing, would be quite impressive. At any rate, there's ample food for thought.

If the legislative landscape they hint at really comes into being, I don't know where I'd stand on the line between "hard" and "soft" approaches. Bitcoin enthusiasts? Investors? Law enforcement? All of these positions would entail both "good" and "bad" practical consequences from my self-interested point of view.

Nice piece of work. Computer scientists discussing legal implications with a practical, technically sound background. A rarity.

Tasty find merited.

MERlT
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April 09, 2018, 11:11:26 AM

How unexpected! A plunge on Monday. I'd have thought it wouldn't happen before, say, tomorrow or better yet Wednesday.


The bad news distraction dump https://www.c[Suspicious link removed]m/2018/04/09/deutsche-banks-reshuffle-leaves-analysts-questioning-its-future-direction.html

so predictable and quite funny really watching the banks attempting to plug the holes  Grin
HairyMaclairy
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April 09, 2018, 11:13:38 AM
Last edit: April 09, 2018, 11:24:30 AM by HairyMaclairy

Real estate conference explains why you shouldn’t invest in Bitcoin. 


kurious
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April 09, 2018, 11:14:39 AM

The only way is down now
no chance we are reaching 8k for a very long time.

The way I see it, in this particular moment it's very hard to name a "no chance" event.

Merited. Wise words.  While catching up on this thread gradually you see how unwise and price prediction in any direction is, on any near/medium term time frame.

TA / price analysis is fun to see, but so much of it is as accurate as a stopped clock, as all we can do is to try to set up for whatever happens.  I was watching your 'short insurance' strategy, seemed to make sense - may I ask how it has panned out?  Or is it just too much work to keep on top of it?
HairyMaclairy
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April 09, 2018, 11:17:58 AM

Buy one, get four more free

Last of the V8s
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April 09, 2018, 11:18:58 AM
Merited by HairyMaclairy (1)

Tasty find merited.
realr0ach
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April 09, 2018, 11:21:28 AM



What a joke.  Everything about bitcoin is completely arbitrary based on magic numbers with nothing objectively needed to be a certain way whatsoever.  They claim a designed to centralize, non-fungible scam token is better than precious metals.  So by their perverse logic, all you need to do is fork bitcoin into a new scamcoin fork #5001 and that new, completely arbitrary scamcoin will also be better than gold and silver!  Bitcoin scammers are so fucking stupid it's painful to watch.
HairyMaclairy
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April 09, 2018, 11:21:56 AM

It’s embarassing how much that made me laugh in public.
supremnoob
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Bored....


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April 09, 2018, 11:24:51 AM


What kind of cat is this ?
conty
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April 09, 2018, 11:26:49 AM

Stupid fake sell walls ;/

fake buy walls are smarter?
Last of the V8s
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April 09, 2018, 11:27:19 AM

The best kind - Pallas's
supertee
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April 09, 2018, 11:27:53 AM

What kind of cat is this ?

A hungry one?
d_eddie
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April 09, 2018, 11:28:39 AM

The only way is down now
no chance we are reaching 8k for a very long time.

The way I see it, in this particular moment it's very hard to name a "no chance" event.

Merited. Wise words.  While catching up on this thread gradually you see how unwise and price prediction in any direction is, on any near/medium term time frame.

TA / price analysis is fun to see, but so much of it is as accurate as a stopped clock, as all we can do is to try to set up for whatever happens.  I was watching your 'short insurance' strategy, seemed to make sense - may I ask how it has panned out?  Or is it just too much work to keep on top of it?

Thanks for the appreciation.

My insurance is doing fine! With today's dip, I'm comfortably in the money. With the latest fluctuations, I'd already managed to nurse it to a higher entry point with incidental small profit. My aim isn't maximum profit, but maximum comfort, as JayJuanGee said. This makes it a little easier, but it's still hard work for me. Of course there's a different "hard work" threshold for each one of us. With the position moving to a higher entry point, the amount of work decreases.

However, if it doesn't hurt at times, I feel I'm doing it wrong. It's supposed to hurt a little now and then, unless you're magically able to spot either tops or bottoms (which would make hedging moot anyway).

I'm not closing it yet. Bring it down to 5k or 3k, will you? Please??  Tongue

I've also worked out a "pain threshold" in advance. That's where I'll close the insurance hedge (at a loss) before liquidation if I don't manage to close gradually on the way up while still in the money. The numbers are good: by the time we reach that threshold, it will be Carolina Train time around here.

That's just my play money, of course. If it was my stash at stake, I wouldn't be so detached or cool headed in making difficult decisions.
Globb0
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April 09, 2018, 11:34:31 AM

Buy one, get four more free



Oh that is a shame, they finally have something in stock but its dud


Jacques_Bittard
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April 09, 2018, 11:34:58 AM

Took about 10h longer then I thought, but rest is on the mark. Everyone who didn't sell on the weekend pump, are greedy little pigs and they get what they deserve.
Market movement was quite interesting though. Lowering volume, thin books, strong gravity for sideways. Maybe we are lucky and will see a truly deep drop this week.
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April 09, 2018, 11:40:24 AM

I did a search for 'Carolina Train' and found mostly images of train wrecks.
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April 09, 2018, 11:41:11 AM

Why do so many here fail to see the significance of this chart?
 Huh


kurious
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April 09, 2018, 11:44:58 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

The argument for taint and title is strong
http://www.cl.cam.ac.uk/~rja14/Papers/making-bitcoin-legal.pdf
The authors don't detail much experimental evidence about their new taint model (basically FIFO accounting for taint), but they do offer a couple of numbers which, if supported by more testing, would be quite impressive. At any rate, there's ample food for thought.

If the legislative landscape they hint at really comes into being, I don't know where I'd stand on the line between "hard" and "soft" approaches. Bitcoin enthusiasts? Investors? Law enforcement? All of these positions would entail both "good" and "bad" practical consequences from my self-interested point of view.

Nice piece of work. Computer scientists discussing legal implications with a practical, technically sound background. A rarity.

Tasty find merited.



And where do you short, if you don't mind - if you don't want to say, it's fine. 

I am wondering about trying the same.  I'm pretty much all in, so cannot easily buy any more drops.  Insurance might keep me amused (or at least feeling less 'passive').  I just wondered, Finex or..?
realr0ach
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April 09, 2018, 11:48:03 AM

Why do so many here fail to see the significance of this chart?
 Huh

https://i62.servimg.com/u/f62/16/11/23/28/dump11.png

Why are you not intelligent enough to know the significance of what you posted?  The caption on your picture claims they took control of the market right when the CME opened their doors and then crashed it into the ground.  BZZZT WRONG ANSWER.  They did not magically gain control of the market when the CME that nobody even trades on opened.  They already controlled the market beforehand and were the ones who pumped it then dumped it in the first place.

They were on both sides of the trade.  While you were typing "bitcoin is the new internets of money!!111", they were typing "wow, these guys are fucking delusional idiots - the perfect targets to fleece".  Or perhaps you forgot people like (((Goldman Sachs))) were the main owners of things like the Ethereum IPO.
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