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Author Topic: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis  (Read 177346 times)
Equilux
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June 26, 2013, 05:20:46 PM
 #1501

I too quietly read your reports as soon as they appear, and appreciate the effort you put in them! But daily rapports are definitely not a must. I'd be very happy with reports once or twice a week! Smiley

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June 26, 2013, 10:46:24 PM
 #1502

You could publish or sell the script, so anyone with armory and gnuplot(?) can just create them on their own.

https://bitfinex.com <-- leveraged trading of BTCUSD, LTCUSD and LTCBTC (long and short) - 10% discount on fees for the first 30 days with this refcode: x5K9YtL3Zb
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June 27, 2013, 12:31:07 AM
 #1503

I love them too, but i'd be okay with weekly instead of daily.

https://www.canadianbitcoins.com for quick & easy buy/sell with $CAD
Canada's Oldest Bitcoin Brokerage.  Serving Canadian Bitcoiners since 2011!
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June 27, 2013, 12:34:35 AM
 #1504

Not a share holder but enjoy seeing those stats. Good work!
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June 27, 2013, 01:00:39 AM
 #1505

same here, watching it everyday.
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June 27, 2013, 01:13:58 AM
 #1506

I check this thread religiously every day.
I'm sure no one would complain if you chose a time frame that's suitable for yourself.
I wouldn't as it still a great service you're providing for us investors.  Smiley

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June 27, 2013, 07:10:27 AM
 #1507

I check the thread once every few days; I highly appreciate the work you put in it. Do you think it would be possible to automate the whole process? Are there instructions anywhere on how you generate all this data?

Electrum: the convenience of a web wallet, without the risks | Bytesized Seedboxes BTC/LTC supported
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June 27, 2013, 07:20:08 AM
 #1508

I check this every day or two as well. Really appreciate the effort you put into creating them!
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June 27, 2013, 07:30:13 AM
 #1509

What a sockpuppet   Grin
I also appreciate these works of art (Chart love Cheesy)

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June 27, 2013, 08:19:55 AM
 #1510

Quote
Total of 25 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Jun-26 11:52pm (up to block 243527)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    25174 |   22787 (0.97870) |     496 |    1891 |   26351.67 |   25912.46 |   241.48 |    439.20 |  98.333
1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   182787 |  166371 (0.91544) |   15367 |    1049 |   92467.24 |   91182.38 |     2.82 |   1284.85 |  98.610
1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |   110188 |   93663 (0.85651) |   15691 |     834 |   91648.06 |   90786.72 |   401.46 |    861.33 |  99.060
1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |   116766 |   92085 (0.79387) |   23910 |     771 |   74684.57 |   72825.26 |  1188.42 |   1859.31 |  97.510
1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   490048 |  359294 (0.73477) |  129695 |    1059 |  331285.14 |  323304.33 |  6173.60 |   7980.80 |  97.591
1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   882579 |  439971 (0.49962) |  440635 |    1973 |  794130.09 |  772939.15 |  6524.56 |  21190.94 |  97.332
1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1400564 |  682634 (0.48815) |  715785 |    2145 |  976450.68 |  956055.91 |  2926.95 |  20394.76 |  97.911
1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   331895 |  121613 (0.36725) |  209528 |     754 |  603686.91 |  594904.24 |  1013.95 |   8782.67 |  98.545
1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   350230 |   85292 (0.24412) |  264092 |     846 |  405225.68 |  390308.12 |  2323.60 |  14917.56 |  96.319
1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   144676 |   26406 (0.18341) |  117567 |     703 |  185698.33 |  186476.22 |  3315.53 |   -777.89 | 100.419
1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   270700 |   33102 (0.12259) |  236911 |     687 |  134915.70 |  134579.21 |   101.26 |    336.49 |  99.751
1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    68646 |    6222 (0.09142) |   61836 |     588 |   18204.93 |   19785.97 |     7.79 |  -1581.03 | 108.685
1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    42597 |    2621 (0.06216) |   39543 |     433 |    8225.57 |    8186.48 |    31.49 |     39.08 |  99.525
1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    34265 |    1568 (0.04648) |   32169 |     528 |   10842.21 |   11638.78 |    25.51 |   -796.57 | 107.347
1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |   118771 |    3598 (0.03042) |  114684 |     489 |   70363.46 |   67044.91 |     9.74 |   3318.55 |  95.284
1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    28915 |     662 (0.02324) |   27826 |     427 |    8165.38 |    8734.93 |    15.35 |   -569.54 | 106.975
1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   180918 |    2763 (0.01534) |  177407 |     748 |   56239.14 |   52266.12 |     2.95 |   3973.02 |  92.935
1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    42758 |     335 (0.00799) |   41606 |     817 |    8568.01 |    6992.49 |    10.41 |   1575.52 |  81.612
1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    29060 |     119 (0.00416) |   28490 |     451 |    6150.57 |    8717.36 |    13.38 |  -2566.78 | 141.732
1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    24004 |      44 (0.00188) |   23410 |     550 |    2475.22 |    1603.37 |    48.66 |    871.85 |  64.777
1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    32708 |      36 (0.00112) |   32085 |     587 |    2246.68 |    1750.69 |   117.25 |    495.99 |  77.923
1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    33591 |      15 (0.00045) |   33100 |     476 |    1735.97 |    1871.28 |     1.66 |   -135.31 | 107.795
1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    26917 |       5 (0.00019) |   26403 |     509 |     934.44 |     606.91 |    22.26 |    327.53 |  64.949
1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    27306 |       5 (0.00019) |   26735 |     566 |     647.37 |     434.09 |    14.70 |    213.27 |  67.055
1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |    16049 |       2 (0.00013) |   15488 |     559 |     239.52 |     320.53 |    18.58 |    -81.01 | 133.822
1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |    13957 |       0 (0.00000) |   13349 |     608 |     196.91 |       0.57 |    30.85 |    196.33 |   0.293
1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   162583 |       3 (0.00002) |  159859 |    2721 |    2132.01 |    3845.21 |   188.81 |  -1713.19 | 180.356
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  5051396 | 2081451           | 2946470 |   23475 |  962678.36 |  944591.09 |   366.93 |  18087.27 |  98.121
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   137256 |   59765           |   77197 |     294 | 2951233.23 | 2888482.70 | 24406.21 |  62750.52 |  97.874
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  5188652 | 2141216           | 3023667 |   23769 | 3913911.60 | 3833073.80 | 24773.14 |  80837.79 |  97.935
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      80837.79735938 BTC (2.065%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        4458.87877500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       76378.91858438 BTC (1.951%)
Pending Liabilities:           -2.59127614 BTC
Final SD Profit:            76381.50986052 BTC (1.952%)
Profit This Month:           4921.33082352 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 17119232  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  9536672  (55.7%)
Blockchain MB:   7540.9  :  SatoshiDice MB:   3936.5  (52.2%)




calaber24p
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June 27, 2013, 01:16:19 PM
 #1511

i check this everyday You are not wasting your time. In regards to the profit at the bottom, how much of that do we actually see as profit ?
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June 27, 2013, 06:13:58 PM
 #1512

Are people still interested in these reports I make?  It's been a while since anyone commented, so I don't know if I'm just wasting my time or not.
I like them and read them, but there are little to comment on. It would be nice with expected monthly profit, now I estimate from the chart.
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June 27, 2013, 07:01:51 PM
 #1513

Are people still interested in these reports I make?  It's been a while since anyone commented, so I don't know if I'm just wasting my time or not.

I think these are great.

Are you going to create something similar for just-dice?

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June 27, 2013, 09:57:48 PM
 #1514

Are people still interested in these reports I make?  It's been a while since anyone commented, so I don't know if I'm just wasting my time or not.


dooglus : I read your graphs and reports almost daily, so yes I am interested in these reports and grateful that you take the time and effort to make them. So definitely not wasting your time.  Many thanks.





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June 28, 2013, 07:42:06 AM
 #1515

Dooglus, aren't you promoting your competitor? You have your own dice site now.

While reading what I wrote, use the most friendliest and relaxing voice in your head.
BTW, Things in BTC bubble universes are getting ugly....
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June 28, 2013, 09:29:02 AM
 #1516

Dooglus, aren't you promoting your competitor? You have your own dice site now.

Know your competition perhaps?
JD < SD already according to Dabs  Wink

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June 28, 2013, 11:36:50 PM
 #1517

I think these are great.

Are you going to create something similar for just-dice?

It would be a shame not to.  There's lots more important stuff to do for Just-Dice first though I think.

Dooglus, aren't you promoting your competitor? You have your own dice site now.

I don't know if I'm promoting it.  It's just a habit I got into, and I'm kinda OCD like that.

Maybe I'll just add the Just-Dice lines to the same charts - though currently they're not the same scale at all, so it wouldn't work well.  JD has lots more bets but lots less volume than SD.

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June 28, 2013, 11:37:28 PM
 #1518

Doh!  Forgot to include the report!  Smiley

Quote
Fri Jun 28 00:08:43 2013 <6000  243670 9ee485c6d7c659f1:0  1JfdZLG1rCw2nuMewL4C3Rjzx8P1DrCccc BET    18.00000000 WIN    173.97940800

Quote
Total of 47 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Jun-28 04:14pm (up to block 243832)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    25206 |   22818 (0.97868) |     497 |    1891 |   26355.84 |   25916.61 |   241.48 |    439.23 |  98.333
1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   184022 |  167522 (0.91556) |   15451 |    1049 |   92552.89 |   91270.92 |     2.82 |   1281.96 |  98.615
1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |   110608 |   94015 (0.85649) |   15753 |     840 |   92016.93 |   91150.37 |   401.49 |    866.55 |  99.058
1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |   117267 |   92478 (0.79383) |   24018 |     771 |   74804.90 |   72957.78 |  1188.42 |   1847.12 |  97.531
1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   492272 |  360906 (0.73473) |  130306 |    1060 |  331813.32 |  323814.24 |  6173.60 |   7999.08 |  97.589
1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   885204 |  441248 (0.49959) |  441980 |    1976 |  794568.97 |  773311.28 |  6524.57 |  21257.69 |  97.325
1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1404263 |  684420 (0.48813) |  717697 |    2146 |  977848.27 |  957488.75 |  2926.95 |  20359.51 |  97.918
1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   332698 |  121906 (0.36725) |  210037 |     755 |  603849.75 |  595089.86 |  1013.95 |   8759.89 |  98.549
1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   352229 |   85774 (0.24410) |  265608 |     847 |  406188.39 |  391205.31 |  2323.61 |  14983.08 |  96.311
1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   145133 |   26476 (0.18332) |  117950 |     707 |  185760.48 |  186562.30 |  3315.54 |   -801.81 | 100.432
1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   271370 |   33175 (0.12256) |  237503 |     692 |  135626.23 |  134947.22 |   101.27 |    679.01 |  99.499
1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    68903 |    6248 (0.09147) |   62060 |     595 |   18308.52 |   19996.24 |     7.81 |  -1687.71 | 109.218
1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    42649 |    2626 (0.06220) |   39590 |     433 |    8227.83 |    8187.87 |    31.49 |     39.96 |  99.514
1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    34302 |    1568 (0.04643) |   32206 |     528 |   10879.03 |   11638.97 |    25.51 |   -759.94 | 106.985
1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |   119198 |    3606 (0.03038) |  115103 |     489 |   70840.00 |   67057.05 |     9.74 |   3782.94 |  94.660
1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    28994 |     662 (0.02318) |   27903 |     429 |    8175.81 |    8734.98 |    15.36 |   -559.16 | 106.839
1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   183046 |    2796 (0.01534) |  179501 |     749 |   56430.90 |   52440.63 |     2.95 |   3990.27 |  92.929
1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    42817 |     335 (0.00798) |   41665 |     817 |    8569.07 |    6992.49 |    10.41 |   1576.58 |  81.602
1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    29085 |     119 (0.00416) |   28515 |     451 |    6150.82 |    8717.36 |    13.38 |  -2566.53 | 141.727
1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    24028 |      44 (0.00187) |   23433 |     551 |    2475.72 |    1603.37 |    48.66 |    872.35 |  64.764
1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    32899 |      36 (0.00111) |   32275 |     588 |    2252.21 |    1750.72 |   117.25 |    501.48 |  77.734
1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    34215 |      15 (0.00044) |   33724 |     476 |    1753.51 |    1871.37 |     1.66 |   -117.86 | 106.722
1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    27126 |       5 (0.00019) |   26612 |     509 |     939.87 |     606.93 |    22.26 |    332.94 |  64.576
1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    27713 |       5 (0.00018) |   27142 |     566 |     654.80 |     434.13 |    14.70 |    220.67 |  66.299
1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |    16085 |       2 (0.00013) |   15524 |     559 |     240.43 |     320.53 |    18.58 |    -80.10 | 133.315
1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |    13999 |       0 (0.00000) |   13391 |     608 |     197.49 |       0.57 |    30.85 |    196.91 |   0.294
1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   163630 |       3 (0.00002) |  160902 |    2725 |    2145.30 |    3845.28 |   189.81 |  -1699.97 | 179.242
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  5071358 | 2088954           | 2958891 |   23513 |  965174.80 |  946830.69 |   368.04 |  18344.10 |  98.099
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   137603 |   59854           |   77455 |     294 | 2954452.64 | 2891082.54 | 24406.21 |  63370.09 |  97.855
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  5208961 | 2148808           | 3036346 |   23807 | 3919627.44 | 3837913.24 | 24774.25 |  81714.20 |  97.915
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      81714.20253469 BTC (2.085%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        4480.20017500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       77234.00235969 BTC (1.970%)
Pending Liabilities:           -5.34346899 BTC
Final SD Profit:            77239.34582868 BTC (1.971%)
Profit This Month:           5779.16679168 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 17201229  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  9572594  (55.7%)
Blockchain MB:   7576.9  :  SatoshiDice MB:   3952.0  (52.2%)




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June 29, 2013, 12:44:59 AM
 #1519

looks like competition is good for business so far  Wink

https://localbitcoins.com/?ch=80k | BTC: 1LJvmd1iLi199eY7EVKtNQRW3LqZi8ZmmB
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June 29, 2013, 07:32:13 AM
 #1520

These are some very interesting stats, actually. Quite a good insight.
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