Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

[dooglus]

Total of 16 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Jun-23 02:20pm (up to block 243007)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    25130 |   22748 (0.97870) |     495 |    1887 |   26343.33 |   25904.10 |   241.46 |    439.23 |  98.333
1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   180558 |  164340 (0.91549) |   15170 |    1048 |   92336.32 |   91062.32 |     2.81 |   1273.99 |  98.620
1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |   109286 |   92898 (0.85657) |   15555 |     833 |   90919.35 |   90084.62 |   401.46 |    834.73 |  99.082
1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |   114671 |   90429 (0.79392) |   23473 |     769 |   73524.41 |   71644.91 |  1188.42 |   1879.50 |  97.444
1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   486261 |  356497 (0.73474) |  128707 |    1057 |  330615.68 |  322638.96 |  6173.59 |   7976.71 |  97.587
1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   876471 |  436985 (0.49969) |  437520 |    1966 |  792658.93 |  771484.16 |  6524.53 |  21174.77 |  97.329
1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1392892 |  678892 (0.48815) |  711858 |    2142 |  973791.64 |  953237.07 |  2926.93 |  20554.57 |  97.889
1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   329733 |  120776 (0.36712) |  208208 |     749 |  603483.11 |  594695.46 |  1013.94 |   8787.64 |  98.544
1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   347862 |   84746 (0.24421) |  262272 |     844 |  403705.65 |  388874.57 |  2323.60 |  14831.08 |  96.326
1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   143793 |   26255 (0.18348) |  116838 |     700 |  185510.07 |  186341.58 |  3315.51 |   -831.51 | 100.448
1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   269030 |   32884 (0.12254) |  235471 |     675 |  132203.38 |  131339.32 |   101.23 |    864.05 |  99.346
1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    68475 |    6208 (0.09144) |   61681 |     586 |   18197.10 |   19778.91 |     7.79 |  -1581.81 | 108.693
1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    42504 |    2610 (0.06204) |   39461 |     433 |    8218.66 |    8177.01 |    31.49 |     41.64 |  99.493
1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    34199 |    1566 (0.04650) |   32110 |     523 |   10750.45 |   11446.01 |    25.50 |   -695.55 | 106.470
1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |   117474 |    3567 (0.03049) |  113418 |     489 |   69029.51 |   65615.47 |     9.74 |   3414.03 |  95.054
1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    28843 |     662 (0.02329) |   27760 |     421 |    8164.15 |    8734.92 |    15.31 |   -570.77 | 106.991
1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   179175 |    2748 (0.01540) |  175685 |     742 |   55767.68 |   52178.64 |     2.93 |   3589.04 |  93.564
1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    42662 |     335 (0.00801) |   41511 |     816 |    8565.88 |    6992.48 |    10.41 |   1573.39 |  81.632
1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    29011 |     119 (0.00417) |   28442 |     450 |    6147.94 |    8717.34 |    13.37 |  -2569.40 | 141.793
1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    23951 |      44 (0.00188) |   23357 |     550 |    2473.60 |    1603.36 |    48.66 |    870.24 |  64.819
1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    32511 |      36 (0.00113) |   31893 |     582 |    2239.27 |    1750.65 |   117.23 |    488.61 |  78.180
1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    32933 |      15 (0.00046) |   32446 |     472 |    1718.21 |    1871.19 |     1.65 |   -152.98 | 108.904
1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    25982 |       5 (0.00020) |   25468 |     509 |     909.31 |     606.78 |    22.26 |    302.52 |  66.730
1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    26706 |       5 (0.00019) |   26135 |     566 |     635.19 |     434.03 |    14.70 |    201.16 |  68.330
1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |    15991 |       2 (0.00013) |   15431 |     558 |     238.80 |     320.52 |    18.58 |    -81.72 | 134.220
1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |    13927 |       0 (0.00000) |   13319 |     608 |     196.31 |       0.57 |    30.85 |    195.73 |   0.292
1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   161363 |       3 (0.00002) |  158648 |    2712 |    2115.89 |    3845.12 |   186.07 |  -1729.22 | 181.726
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  5014894 | 2065821           | 2925680 |   23393 |  957921.88 |  940146.13 |   363.94 |  17775.75 |  98.144
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   136500 |   59554           |   76652 |     294 | 2942538.05 | 2879234.09 | 24406.21 |  63303.96 |  97.849
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  5151394 | 2125375           | 3002332 |   23687 | 3900459.94 | 3819380.22 | 24770.15 |  81079.71 |  97.921
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      81079.71319088 BTC (2.079%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        4419.83357500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       76659.87961588 BTC (1.965%)
Pending Liabilities:           -1.65098211 BTC
Final SD Profit:            76661.53059799 BTC (1.965%)
Profit This Month:           5201.35156099 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 16969037  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  9469263  (55.8%)
Blockchain MB:   7475.4  :  SatoshiDice MB:   3908.0  (52.3%)

[dooglus]

Are people still interested in these reports I make?  It's been a while since anyone commented, so I don't know if I'm just wasting my time or not.

Tue Jun 25 11:34:00 2013 <2000  243243 1b6be1c44dcca3a4:2  1BV2j5YHys1oLQHQq92tYcMY5PycMLt38n BET     6.00000000 WIN    185.91940800
Tue Jun 25 11:44:13 2013 <8000  243245 e3ed6245588fca94:1  1BV2j5YHys1oLQHQq92tYcMY5PycMLt38n BET    16.00000000 WIN    112.00627200

Total of 11 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Jun-25 11:44pm (up to block 243383)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    25166 |   22780 (0.97869) |     496 |    1890 |   26351.32 |   25912.11 |   241.48 |    439.20 |  98.333
1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   182326 |  165953 (0.91547) |   15324 |    1049 |   92436.11 |   91151.61 |     2.82 |   1284.50 |  98.610
1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |   110038 |   93534 (0.85650) |   15671 |     833 |   91597.21 |   90734.33 |   401.46 |    862.88 |  99.058
1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |   116185 |   91630 (0.79392) |   23784 |     771 |   74365.40 |   72560.34 |  1188.42 |   1805.05 |  97.573
1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   489118 |  358595 (0.73473) |  129466 |    1057 |  331064.45 |  323091.42 |  6173.59 |   7973.02 |  97.592
1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   880552 |  438990 (0.49966) |  439591 |    1971 |  793457.69 |  772373.81 |  6524.55 |  21083.87 |  97.343
1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1398263 |  681507 (0.48814) |  714612 |    2144 |  975830.44 |  955414.09 |  2926.94 |  20416.34 |  97.908
1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   331472 |  121456 (0.36725) |  209263 |     753 |  603652.37 |  594865.51 |  1013.95 |   8786.85 |  98.544
1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   349390 |   85104 (0.24417) |  263440 |     846 |  405121.45 |  390202.70 |  2323.60 |  14918.75 |  96.317
1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   144549 |   26386 (0.18343) |  117461 |     702 |  185660.34 |  186460.88 |  3315.52 |   -800.53 | 100.431
1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   270403 |   33058 (0.12257) |  236660 |     685 |  134877.61 |  134541.44 |   101.25 |    336.16 |  99.751
1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    68614 |    6220 (0.09143) |   61808 |     586 |   18203.26 |   19781.59 |     7.79 |  -1578.33 | 108.671
1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    42584 |    2619 (0.06213) |   39532 |     433 |    8225.39 |    8186.16 |    31.49 |     39.22 |  99.523
1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    34251 |    1568 (0.04650) |   32156 |     527 |   10841.93 |   11638.78 |    25.50 |   -796.85 | 107.350
1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |   118539 |    3591 (0.03042) |  114459 |     489 |   70354.58 |   67038.15 |     9.74 |   3316.43 |  95.286
1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    28904 |     662 (0.02325) |   27817 |     425 |    8165.29 |    8734.93 |    15.34 |   -569.63 | 106.976
1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   179992 |    2753 (0.01536) |  176492 |     747 |   56138.75 |   52188.55 |     2.95 |   3950.19 |  92.964
1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    42734 |     335 (0.00799) |   41582 |     817 |    8567.35 |    6992.48 |    10.41 |   1574.86 |  81.618
1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    29031 |     119 (0.00416) |   28461 |     451 |    6149.23 |    8717.35 |    13.38 |  -2568.12 | 141.763
1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    23979 |      44 (0.00188) |   23385 |     550 |    2473.96 |    1603.36 |    48.66 |    870.60 |  64.810
1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    32576 |      36 (0.00113) |   31954 |     586 |    2239.93 |    1750.66 |   117.24 |    489.26 |  78.157
1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    33022 |      15 (0.00046) |   32532 |     475 |    1719.27 |    1871.20 |     1.66 |   -151.92 | 108.837
1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    26006 |       5 (0.00020) |   25492 |     509 |     909.55 |     606.78 |    22.26 |    302.77 |  66.712
1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    26720 |       5 (0.00019) |   26149 |     566 |     635.50 |     434.03 |    14.70 |    201.47 |  68.297
1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |    16033 |       2 (0.00013) |   15472 |     559 |     239.21 |     320.53 |    18.58 |    -81.31 | 133.991
1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |    13947 |       0 (0.00000) |   13339 |     608 |     196.79 |       0.57 |    30.85 |    196.21 |   0.293
1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   162032 |       3 (0.00002) |  159309 |    2720 |    2125.24 |    3845.17 |   188.81 |  -1719.92 | 180.928
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  5039240 | 2077238           | 2938547 |   23455 |  961097.11 |  943152.13 |   366.86 |  17944.98 |  98.133
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   137186 |   59732           |   77160 |     294 | 2950502.62 | 2887866.54 | 24406.21 |  62636.08 |  97.877
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  5176426 | 2136970           | 3015707 |   23749 | 3911599.73 | 3831018.67 | 24773.07 |  80581.06 |  97.940
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      80581.06338627 BTC (2.060%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        4446.07717500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       76134.98621127 BTC (1.946%)
Pending Liabilities:            0.07325217 BTC
Final SD Profit:            76134.91295910 BTC (1.946%)
Profit This Month:           4674.73392210 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 17074445  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  9515408  (55.7%)
Blockchain MB:   7521.1  :  SatoshiDice MB:   3927.4  (52.2%)

[medicine]

I enjoy seeing them each day.  I am a small shareholder and I appreciate it, but if it takes more then a few minutes to generate then if I were you I'd stop for a few days and see if there are many responses. 

Maybe cut back to posting every few days instead of daily?

[BTCdude007]

I am a shareholder too and really appreciate the work that you put into generating these reports!

[dooglus]

I enjoy seeing them each day.  I am a small shareholder and I appreciate it, but if it takes more then a few minutes to generate then if I were you I'd stop for a few days and see if there are many responses. 

Maybe cut back to posting every few days instead of daily?

It only takes me a few minutes, but it takes the laptop half an hour of using all available RAM and generally being slow and unpleasant to use.  I guess I need to be a little less obsessive about it.  Maybe post more regularly towards the end of the month, and less often early on?

[RationalSpeculator]

I get a lot value out of your daily reports. I am planning to donate in the future.

If you were to reduce them I would value most having a report in the middle of month (as I already have one on each end of the month). After that I would value most getting a report every 10th day of the month, this way I would have 3 updates. After that every 5th day, this way I would have 6 reports.

[ColdHardMetal]

I think your reports are great. That said, you probably don't need to do the daily. Once a week/5 days would probably be fine.

[Korbman]

I enjoy seeing them each day.  I am a small shareholder and I appreciate it, but if it takes more then a few minutes to generate then if I were you I'd stop for a few days and see if there are many responses. 

Maybe cut back to posting every few days instead of daily?

Maybe post more regularly towards the end of the month, and less often early on?

I think I'd be fine with once or twice a week, though I do enjoy seeing the daily progression of SD's bankroll and bet stats.

I'm not entirely sure how you generate / pull the data, but maybe it's something that could be passed off to someone else?

[wtfvanity]

Are people still interested in these reports I make?  It's been a while since anyone commented, so I don't know if I'm just wasting my time or not.

dooglus.

I am not a share holder. I was previously. But, I check your chart every day. It's interesting information.

[Equilux]

I too quietly read your reports as soon as they appear, and appreciate the effort you put in them! But daily rapports are definitely not a must. I'd be very happy with reports once or twice a week!

[Sukrim]

You could publish or sell the script, so anyone with armory and gnuplot(?) can just create them on their own.

[lightbox]

I love them too, but i'd be okay with weekly instead of daily.

[01BTC10]

Not a share holder but enjoy seeing those stats. Good work!

[romerun]

same here, watching it everyday.

[tulkos]

I check this thread religiously every day.
I'm sure no one would complain if you chose a time frame that's suitable for yourself.
I wouldn't as it still a great service you're providing for us investors. 

[Tachikoma]

I check the thread once every few days; I highly appreciate the work you put in it. Do you think it would be possible to automate the whole process? Are there instructions anywhere on how you generate all this data?

[Zaih]

I check this every day or two as well. Really appreciate the effort you put into creating them!

[freedomno1]

What a sockpuppet   
I also appreciate these works of art (Chart love )

[dooglus]

Total of 25 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Jun-26 11:52pm (up to block 243527)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    25174 |   22787 (0.97870) |     496 |    1891 |   26351.67 |   25912.46 |   241.48 |    439.20 |  98.333
1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   182787 |  166371 (0.91544) |   15367 |    1049 |   92467.24 |   91182.38 |     2.82 |   1284.85 |  98.610
1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |   110188 |   93663 (0.85651) |   15691 |     834 |   91648.06 |   90786.72 |   401.46 |    861.33 |  99.060
1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |   116766 |   92085 (0.79387) |   23910 |     771 |   74684.57 |   72825.26 |  1188.42 |   1859.31 |  97.510
1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   490048 |  359294 (0.73477) |  129695 |    1059 |  331285.14 |  323304.33 |  6173.60 |   7980.80 |  97.591
1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   882579 |  439971 (0.49962) |  440635 |    1973 |  794130.09 |  772939.15 |  6524.56 |  21190.94 |  97.332
1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1400564 |  682634 (0.48815) |  715785 |    2145 |  976450.68 |  956055.91 |  2926.95 |  20394.76 |  97.911
1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   331895 |  121613 (0.36725) |  209528 |     754 |  603686.91 |  594904.24 |  1013.95 |   8782.67 |  98.545
1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   350230 |   85292 (0.24412) |  264092 |     846 |  405225.68 |  390308.12 |  2323.60 |  14917.56 |  96.319
1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   144676 |   26406 (0.18341) |  117567 |     703 |  185698.33 |  186476.22 |  3315.53 |   -777.89 | 100.419
1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   270700 |   33102 (0.12259) |  236911 |     687 |  134915.70 |  134579.21 |   101.26 |    336.49 |  99.751
1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    68646 |    6222 (0.09142) |   61836 |     588 |   18204.93 |   19785.97 |     7.79 |  -1581.03 | 108.685
1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    42597 |    2621 (0.06216) |   39543 |     433 |    8225.57 |    8186.48 |    31.49 |     39.08 |  99.525
1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    34265 |    1568 (0.04648) |   32169 |     528 |   10842.21 |   11638.78 |    25.51 |   -796.57 | 107.347
1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |   118771 |    3598 (0.03042) |  114684 |     489 |   70363.46 |   67044.91 |     9.74 |   3318.55 |  95.284
1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    28915 |     662 (0.02324) |   27826 |     427 |    8165.38 |    8734.93 |    15.35 |   -569.54 | 106.975
1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   180918 |    2763 (0.01534) |  177407 |     748 |   56239.14 |   52266.12 |     2.95 |   3973.02 |  92.935
1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    42758 |     335 (0.00799) |   41606 |     817 |    8568.01 |    6992.49 |    10.41 |   1575.52 |  81.612
1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    29060 |     119 (0.00416) |   28490 |     451 |    6150.57 |    8717.36 |    13.38 |  -2566.78 | 141.732
1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    24004 |      44 (0.00188) |   23410 |     550 |    2475.22 |    1603.37 |    48.66 |    871.85 |  64.777
1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    32708 |      36 (0.00112) |   32085 |     587 |    2246.68 |    1750.69 |   117.25 |    495.99 |  77.923
1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    33591 |      15 (0.00045) |   33100 |     476 |    1735.97 |    1871.28 |     1.66 |   -135.31 | 107.795
1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    26917 |       5 (0.00019) |   26403 |     509 |     934.44 |     606.91 |    22.26 |    327.53 |  64.949
1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    27306 |       5 (0.00019) |   26735 |     566 |     647.37 |     434.09 |    14.70 |    213.27 |  67.055
1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |    16049 |       2 (0.00013) |   15488 |     559 |     239.52 |     320.53 |    18.58 |    -81.01 | 133.822
1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |    13957 |       0 (0.00000) |   13349 |     608 |     196.91 |       0.57 |    30.85 |    196.33 |   0.293
1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   162583 |       3 (0.00002) |  159859 |    2721 |    2132.01 |    3845.21 |   188.81 |  -1713.19 | 180.356
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           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  5051396 | 2081451           | 2946470 |   23475 |  962678.36 |  944591.09 |   366.93 |  18087.27 |  98.121
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   137256 |   59765           |   77197 |     294 | 2951233.23 | 2888482.70 | 24406.21 |  62750.52 |  97.874
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                                |  5188652 | 2141216           | 3023667 |   23769 | 3913911.60 | 3833073.80 | 24773.14 |  80837.79 |  97.935
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SD Profit before fees:      80837.79735938 BTC (2.065%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        4458.87877500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       76378.91858438 BTC (1.951%)
Pending Liabilities:           -2.59127614 BTC
Final SD Profit:            76381.50986052 BTC (1.952%)
Profit This Month:           4921.33082352 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 17119232  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  9536672  (55.7%)
Blockchain MB:   7540.9  :  SatoshiDice MB:   3936.5  (52.2%)

[ebruwifxnx]

i check this everyday You are not wasting your time. In regards to the profit at the bottom, how much of that do we actually see as profit ?