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Author Topic: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis  (Read 177021 times)
dooglus
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July 01, 2013, 09:58:28 AM
 #1521

2013/05/31 71460.17903700
2013/06/30 77050.44901334

Profits for June = 5590.26997634 BTC.

Quote
Sat Jun 29 19:54:11 2013 <2000  243975 4aed7abfa03c4723:2  1Mbk4tX5wqg6S4u3FAEnUoZEBgJEjS9PTk BET     8.00000000 WIN    247.89254400
Sat Jun 29 20:14:06 2013 <8000  243979 87ca5a23f142d19c:1  1Mbk4tX5wqg6S4u3FAEnUoZEBgJEjS9PTk BET    18.00000000 WIN    126.00705600
Sat Jun 29 20:47:10 2013 <1000  243981 2f9c0a08c8383a98:3  1Mbk4tX5wqg6S4u3FAEnUoZEBgJEjS9PTk BET     3.00000000 WIN    188.90440800
Sat Jun 29 22:21:28 2013 <2000  243991 90cfad202eb61040:1  1Mbk4tX5wqg6S4u3FAEnUoZEBgJEjS9PTk BET     7.00000000 WIN    216.90597600
Sat Jun 29 22:21:28 2013 <8000  243991 f0448f77e030db11:1  1Mbk4tX5wqg6S4u3FAEnUoZEBgJEjS9PTk BET    28.00000000 WIN    196.01097600
Sat Jun 29 22:36:38 2013 <8000  243993 9d4aec516184ed4e:1  1Mbk4tX5wqg6S4u3FAEnUoZEBgJEjS9PTk BET    18.00000000 WIN    126.00705600

Quote
Total of 13 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Jul-01 02:23am (up to block 244224)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    25234 |   22844 (0.97867) |     498 |    1892 |   26370.75 |   25931.08 |   241.48 |    439.67 |  98.333
1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   185625 |  168986 (0.91554) |   15590 |    1049 |   92682.03 |   91397.63 |     2.82 |   1284.39 |  98.614
1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |   110899 |   94265 (0.85653) |   15789 |     845 |   92137.02 |   91226.78 |   401.50 |    910.24 |  99.012
1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |   117663 |   92795 (0.79386) |   24096 |     772 |   74857.16 |   73008.19 |  1188.42 |   1848.96 |  97.530
1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   494419 |  362465 (0.73469) |  130893 |    1061 |  332177.14 |  324154.92 |  6173.61 |   8022.21 |  97.585
1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   888175 |  442682 (0.49953) |  443508 |    1985 |  795071.14 |  773830.37 |  6524.60 |  21240.76 |  97.328
1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1407580 |  686007 (0.48811) |  719425 |    2148 |  978691.65 |  958430.99 |  2926.96 |  20260.65 |  97.930
1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   333567 |  122222 (0.36724) |  210588 |     757 |  604076.99 |  595291.68 |  1013.96 |   8785.31 |  98.546
1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   353677 |   86125 (0.24410) |  266703 |     849 |  407163.67 |  391989.14 |  2323.62 |  15174.52 |  96.273
1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   145586 |   26555 (0.18329) |  118322 |     709 |  185858.18 |  186623.34 |  3315.55 |   -765.15 | 100.412
1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   272208 |   33287 (0.12260) |  238228 |     693 |  136776.19 |  136153.22 |   101.28 |    622.97 |  99.545
1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    69016 |    6253 (0.09139) |   62166 |     597 |   18310.60 |   19996.78 |     7.81 |  -1686.17 | 109.209
1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    42737 |    2630 (0.06217) |   39674 |     433 |    8244.36 |    8208.90 |    31.49 |     35.46 |  99.570
1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    34334 |    1570 (0.04644) |   32234 |     530 |   10890.42 |   11639.56 |    25.51 |   -749.14 | 106.879
1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |   119530 |    3620 (0.03041) |  115421 |     489 |   71307.68 |   67662.24 |     9.74 |   3645.43 |  94.888
1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    29010 |     663 (0.02320) |   27916 |     431 |    8177.32 |    8735.41 |    15.37 |   -558.09 | 106.825
1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   183632 |    2804 (0.01533) |  180079 |     749 |   56553.92 |   52723.32 |     2.95 |   3830.59 |  93.227
1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    42855 |     335 (0.00797) |   41703 |     817 |    8569.52 |    6992.49 |    10.41 |   1577.02 |  81.597
1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    29087 |     119 (0.00416) |   28517 |     451 |    6151.03 |    8717.36 |    13.38 |  -2566.32 | 141.722
1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    24043 |      44 (0.00187) |   23447 |     552 |    2476.00 |    1603.37 |    48.66 |    872.62 |  64.757
1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    32941 |      36 (0.00111) |   32317 |     588 |    2252.65 |    1750.72 |   117.25 |    501.92 |  77.719
1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    34568 |      15 (0.00044) |   34074 |     479 |    1760.08 |    1871.40 |     1.67 |   -111.32 | 106.325
1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    27133 |       5 (0.00019) |   26619 |     509 |     940.05 |     606.93 |    22.26 |    333.12 |  64.564
1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    27840 |       5 (0.00018) |   27269 |     566 |     657.49 |     434.14 |    14.70 |    223.34 |  66.030
1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |    16090 |       2 (0.00013) |   15529 |     559 |     240.68 |     320.53 |    18.58 |    -79.85 | 133.178
1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |    14017 |       0 (0.00000) |   13409 |     608 |     197.88 |       0.58 |    30.85 |    197.30 |   0.294
1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   164205 |       3 (0.00002) |  161475 |    2727 |    2152.75 |    3845.32 |   189.81 |  -1692.56 | 178.624
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  5087786 | 2096421           | 2967814 |   23551 |  967075.88 |  948927.92 |   368.17 |  18147.96 |  98.123
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   137885 |   59916           |   77675 |     294 | 2957668.58 | 2894218.61 | 24406.21 |  63449.97 |  97.855
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  5225671 | 2156337           | 3045489 |   23845 | 3924744.47 | 3843146.53 | 24774.38 |  81597.93 |  97.921
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      81597.93176376 BTC (2.079%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        4497.68597500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       77100.24578876 BTC (1.964%)
Pending Liabilities:           40.64072652 BTC
Final SD Profit:            77059.60506224 BTC (1.963%)
Profit This Month:              9.15604890 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 17283624  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  9602595  (55.6%)
Blockchain MB:   7614.1  :  SatoshiDice MB:   3964.8  (52.1%)




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dooglus
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July 04, 2013, 06:12:27 AM
 #1522

Quote
Total of 22 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Jul-03 10:59pm (up to block 244689)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    25268 |   22876 (0.97865) |     499 |    1893 |   26378.13 |   25938.39 |   241.48 |    439.73 |  98.333
1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   186335 |  169630 (0.91551) |   15655 |    1050 |   92734.14 |   91448.53 |     2.82 |   1285.61 |  98.614
1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |   111026 |   94368 (0.85649) |   15812 |     846 |   92161.41 |   91250.02 |   401.50 |    911.38 |  99.011
1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |   118053 |   93106 (0.79388) |   24174 |     773 |   74938.82 |   73093.20 |  1188.43 |   1845.62 |  97.537
1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   496157 |  363745 (0.73470) |  131351 |    1061 |  332542.11 |  324533.17 |  6173.61 |   8008.94 |  97.592
1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   890762 |  443946 (0.49950) |  444826 |    1990 |  795672.82 |  774422.80 |  6524.63 |  21250.01 |  97.329
1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1410005 |  687168 (0.48810) |  720685 |    2152 |  979784.33 |  959619.63 |  2926.98 |  20164.69 |  97.942
1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   334516 |  122546 (0.36717) |  211211 |     759 |  604221.13 |  595365.43 |  1013.96 |   8855.70 |  98.534
1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   354864 |   86416 (0.24410) |  267596 |     852 |  408489.49 |  393197.20 |  2323.62 |  15292.28 |  96.256
1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   146625 |   26729 (0.18318) |  119186 |     710 |  185929.94 |  186732.56 |  3315.56 |   -802.62 | 100.432
1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   273705 |   33476 (0.12262) |  239532 |     697 |  137722.16 |  137059.93 |   101.28 |    662.23 |  99.519
1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    69106 |    6267 (0.09148) |   62240 |     599 |   18337.35 |   20042.70 |     7.82 |  -1705.35 | 109.300
1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    42776 |    2631 (0.06214) |   39710 |     435 |    8246.46 |    8209.07 |    31.50 |     37.38 |  99.547
1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    34363 |    1571 (0.04644) |   32260 |     532 |   10915.72 |   11639.90 |    25.52 |   -724.17 | 106.634
1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |   119938 |    3629 (0.03038) |  115820 |     489 |   71750.17 |   68149.77 |     9.74 |   3600.39 |  94.982
1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    29051 |     663 (0.02317) |   27956 |     432 |    8178.36 |    8735.42 |    15.37 |   -557.05 | 106.811
1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   184263 |    2811 (0.01532) |  180702 |     750 |   56697.43 |   52891.92 |     2.95 |   3805.51 |  93.288
1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    42902 |     335 (0.00796) |   41750 |     817 |    8570.87 |    6992.50 |    10.41 |   1578.36 |  81.585
1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    29103 |     119 (0.00415) |   28533 |     451 |    6151.58 |    8717.36 |    13.38 |  -2565.78 | 141.709
1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    24077 |      44 (0.00187) |   23481 |     552 |    2476.50 |    1603.37 |    48.66 |    873.12 |  64.744
1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    33001 |      36 (0.00111) |   32376 |     589 |    2253.29 |    1750.73 |   117.25 |    502.55 |  77.697
1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    34843 |      16 (0.00047) |   34347 |     480 |    1763.32 |    1891.41 |     1.67 |   -128.08 | 107.264
1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    27204 |       5 (0.00019) |   26690 |     509 |     941.13 |     606.94 |    22.26 |    334.19 |  64.491
1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    27856 |       5 (0.00018) |   27284 |     567 |     657.76 |     434.14 |    14.71 |    223.61 |  66.004
1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |    16107 |       2 (0.00013) |   15546 |     559 |     240.85 |     320.54 |    18.58 |    -79.68 | 133.084
1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |    14035 |       0 (0.00000) |   13427 |     608 |     198.10 |       0.58 |    30.85 |    197.52 |   0.294
1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   165101 |       3 (0.00002) |  162370 |    2728 |    2165.02 |    3845.38 |   189.82 |  -1680.35 | 177.613
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  5102846 | 2102151           | 2977109 |   23586 |  969086.52 |  950874.19 |   368.29 |  18212.32 |  98.121
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   138196 |   59992           |   77910 |     294 | 2961031.99 | 2897618.52 | 24406.21 |  63413.47 |  97.858
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  5241042 | 2162143           | 3055019 |   23880 | 3930118.52 | 3848492.72 | 24774.51 |  81625.80 |  97.923
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      81625.80266050 BTC (2.077%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        4513.85537500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       77111.94728550 BTC (1.962%)
Pending Liabilities:            0.31425360 BTC
Final SD Profit:            77111.63303190 BTC (1.962%)
Profit This Month:             61.18401856 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 17392151  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  9630902  (55.4%)
Blockchain MB:   7660.7  :  SatoshiDice MB:   3976.5  (51.9%)




dooglus
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July 07, 2013, 12:24:54 AM
 #1523

Quote
Thu Jul  4 15:00:40 2013 <2000  244760 a8cdb68d89c76a9a:2  19gQo7vdhipm5BQiPfmWeniPtxAbnY5Kmi BET     4.00000000 WIN    123.94627200
Sat Jul  6 00:59:37 2013 <2000  245012 fd21bb1b3f601249:2  19gQo7vdhipm5BQiPfmWeniPtxAbnY5Kmi BET     4.00000000 WIN    123.94627200
Sat Jul  6 17:28:06 2013 <32000 245135 18d9effc58d5160e:0  1BpenLeGL2jV9KPrPrMoWMLMHPrPG7ETyR BET   104.00000000 WIN    104.40019200

Quote
Total of 16 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Jul-06 01:30pm (up to block 245165)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    25300 |   22906 (0.97864) |     500 |    1894 |   26379.40 |   25939.65 |   241.48 |    439.74 |  98.333
1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   188095 |  171240 (0.91550) |   15805 |    1050 |   92894.94 |   91607.82 |     2.82 |   1287.11 |  98.614
1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |   111229 |   94539 (0.85646) |   15844 |     846 |   92185.77 |   91273.56 |   401.50 |    912.20 |  99.010
1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |   118383 |   93375 (0.79394) |   24234 |     774 |   74993.20 |   73142.06 |  1188.43 |   1851.14 |  97.532
1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   499426 |  366126 (0.73466) |  132238 |    1062 |  333224.36 |  325153.80 |  6173.61 |   8070.55 |  97.578
1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   894122 |  445622 (0.49951) |  446504 |    1996 |  796180.37 |  774863.68 |  6524.65 |  21316.68 |  97.323
1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1413265 |  688766 (0.48810) |  722339 |    2160 |  980821.26 |  960692.64 |  2927.02 |  20128.62 |  97.948
1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   335448 |  122887 (0.36717) |  211797 |     764 |  604333.19 |  595489.70 |  1013.98 |   8843.48 |  98.537
1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   356050 |   86707 (0.24411) |  268487 |     856 |  408857.84 |  393627.12 |  2323.65 |  15230.72 |  96.275
1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   147291 |   26840 (0.18311) |  119738 |     713 |  185964.80 |  186757.05 |  3315.57 |   -792.25 | 100.426
1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   274424 |   33566 (0.12263) |  240156 |     702 |  137862.19 |  137127.53 |   101.30 |    734.65 |  99.467
1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    69673 |    6321 (0.09151) |   62752 |     600 |   18358.61 |   20067.96 |     7.83 |  -1709.35 | 109.311
1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    42915 |    2641 (0.06217) |   39839 |     435 |    8250.69 |    8212.08 |    31.50 |     38.60 |  99.532
1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    34397 |    1572 (0.04642) |   32293 |     532 |   10918.90 |   11640.34 |    25.52 |   -721.44 | 106.607
1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |   120303 |    3641 (0.03039) |  116173 |     489 |   71788.50 |   68409.08 |     9.74 |   3379.42 |  95.293
1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    29082 |     664 (0.02318) |   27985 |     433 |    8179.67 |    8735.85 |    15.38 |   -556.18 | 106.800
1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   184590 |    2815 (0.01531) |  181024 |     751 |   56747.72 |   52896.01 |     2.95 |   3851.71 |  93.213
1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    42931 |     335 (0.00795) |   41779 |     817 |    8571.57 |    6992.50 |    10.41 |   1579.06 |  81.578
1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    29124 |     119 (0.00415) |   28553 |     452 |    6152.10 |    8717.37 |    13.38 |  -2565.26 | 141.697
1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    24115 |      44 (0.00187) |   23519 |     552 |    2476.96 |    1603.38 |    48.66 |    873.58 |  64.732
1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    33099 |      36 (0.00111) |   32474 |     589 |    2255.14 |    1750.74 |   117.25 |    504.39 |  77.633
1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    35177 |      17 (0.00049) |   34679 |     481 |    1767.47 |    1911.42 |     1.67 |   -143.94 | 108.144
1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    27294 |       5 (0.00019) |   26780 |     509 |     943.14 |     606.95 |    22.26 |    336.19 |  64.354
1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    27877 |       5 (0.00018) |   27305 |     567 |     657.99 |     434.14 |    14.71 |    223.84 |  65.981
1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |    16132 |       2 (0.00013) |   15570 |     560 |     241.22 |     320.54 |    18.58 |    -79.31 | 132.879
1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |    14058 |       0 (0.00000) |   13450 |     608 |     198.45 |       0.58 |    30.85 |    197.86 |   0.295
1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   165926 |       3 (0.00002) |  163170 |    2753 |    2173.74 |    3845.43 |   191.50 |  -1671.68 | 176.903
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  5121427 | 2110766           | 2987010 |   23651 |  971232.89 |  952959.71 |   370.14 |  18273.17 |  98.119
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   138299 |   60028           |   77977 |     294 | 2962146.43 | 2898859.39 | 24406.21 |  63287.03 |  97.863
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  5259726 | 2170794           | 3064987 |   23945 | 3933379.32 | 3851819.11 | 24776.35 |  81560.21 |  97.926
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      81560.21284274 BTC (2.074%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        4533.32697500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       77026.88586774 BTC (1.958%)
Pending Liabilities:           -2.43102051 BTC
Final SD Profit:            77029.31688825 BTC (1.958%)
Profit This Month:            -21.13212509 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 17487514  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  9664818  (55.3%)
Blockchain MB:   7702.4  :  SatoshiDice MB:   3990.5  (51.8%)





dooglus
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July 07, 2013, 12:28:32 AM
 #1524

I just noticed I forgot to move the green line up.

It will be moved for the next report.

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July 07, 2013, 05:02:04 AM
 #1525

I just noticed I forgot to move the green line up.

It will be moved for the next report.
Unforgivable.  Never post again. 

J/k, thanks for the report. Are you posting every 2 days now then?

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July 07, 2013, 05:51:19 AM
 #1526

does just-dice has any impact on S.DICE betting volume yet? Looks like JD volume and frequency rises much quicker, at least at this time, when there are just a few bets per minute in S.DICE and it looks pretty dead.
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July 07, 2013, 07:06:02 AM
 #1527

J/k, thanks for the report. Are you posting every 2 days now then?

I bought a new laptop recently.  It has 6 GB of RAM whereas the previous one had only 4 GB.  I'm running the same OS, and all the same software on it.  But it has an AMD CPU.  I never bought one of those before.

It sucks at generating SatoshiDice charts.  It takes probably more than half an hour. and grinds the hard drive the whole time, making the laptop painful to use for anything other than reading.  That makes me not want to generate the report very often.  I'm also very busy with Just-Dice, which also keeps me from remembering about the report.

I still set it running when I know I'm not going to be using the computer for half an hour, but that's not very often recently.

dooglus
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July 07, 2013, 07:07:51 AM
 #1528

does just-dice has any impact on S.DICE betting volume yet? Looks like JD volume and frequency rises much quicker, at least at this time, when there are just a few bets per minute in S.DICE and it looks pretty dead.

I didn't compare the activity on the two sites.  They're quite different things, what with SatoshiDice being blockchain only, and Just-Dice being real-time, off the blockchain.  This month's SatoshiDice chart does look rather flat so far though doesn't it?

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July 07, 2013, 01:32:48 PM
 #1529

does just-dice has any impact on S.DICE betting volume yet? Looks like JD volume and frequency rises much quicker, at least at this time, when there are just a few bets per minute in S.DICE and it looks pretty dead.

I didn't compare the activity on the two sites.  They're quite different things, what with SatoshiDice being blockchain only, and Just-Dice being real-time, off the blockchain.  This month's SatoshiDice chart does look rather flat so far though doesn't it?

Erik turned the bots off, after that last 2.6M share dump.

Smiley
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July 09, 2013, 05:16:29 PM
 #1530

I'm finally out of SDICE.  Sold yesterday.  Lost 70% of investment.  Sad

Hopefully now the coins are in Just-Dice I'll make up the losses.

Quote
Tue Jul  9 05:19:32 2013 <2000  245605 d061de963eb75fe8:2  19gQo7vdhipm5BQiPfmWeniPtxAbnY5Kmi BET     6.00000000 WIN    185.91940800
Tue Jul  9 06:31:16 2013 <8000  245614 88a6a62544f7a910:1  19gQo7vdhipm5BQiPfmWeniPtxAbnY5Kmi BET    19.00000000 WIN    133.00744800
Tue Jul  9 06:31:16 2013 <2000  245614 88a6a62544f7a910:2  19gQo7vdhipm5BQiPfmWeniPtxAbnY5Kmi BET     6.00000000 WIN    185.91940800
Tue Jul  9 06:31:16 2013 <8000  245614 859a800c612adab8:1  19gQo7vdhipm5BQiPfmWeniPtxAbnY5Kmi BET    19.00000000 WIN    133.00744800
Tue Jul  9 07:02:19 2013 <8000  245617 6a87c77d8bd876cd:1  19gQo7vdhipm5BQiPfmWeniPtxAbnY5Kmi BET    19.00000000 WIN    133.00744800
Tue Jul  9 07:46:44 2013 <2000  245627 50ca23782554d4c9:2  19gQo7vdhipm5BQiPfmWeniPtxAbnY5Kmi BET     7.00000000 WIN    216.90597600
Tue Jul  9 08:45:08 2013 <8000  245634 bfb8201689303777:1  19gQo7vdhipm5BQiPfmWeniPtxAbnY5Kmi BET    18.00000000 WIN    126.00705600
Tue Jul  9 09:10:22 2013 <16000 245637 bd203bf26d3feaf2:0  19gQo7vdhipm5BQiPfmWeniPtxAbnY5Kmi BET    39.00000000 WIN    117.10514400
Tue Jul  9 11:10:21 2013 <8000  245653 af6cdb3a967911dd:3  1LPfqFasQT1K7qeJyKp9NssFkBHuTNeTDr BET    16.00000000 WIN    112.00627200
Tue Jul  9 11:59:25 2013 <8000  245658 da8cb0ffa35454f7:1  19gQo7vdhipm5BQiPfmWeniPtxAbnY5Kmi BET    19.00000000 WIN    133.00744800
Tue Jul  9 12:09:02 2013 <8000  245660 6abf38bdb9281d9f:1  19gQo7vdhipm5BQiPfmWeniPtxAbnY5Kmi BET    18.00000000 WIN    126.00705600
Tue Jul  9 12:36:44 2013 <8000  245663 41dcbc8087c6e3a8:1  19gQo7vdhipm5BQiPfmWeniPtxAbnY5Kmi BET    22.00000000 WIN    154.00862400
Tue Jul  9 12:41:18 2013 <8000  245664 beed1b689efbb2de:1  19gQo7vdhipm5BQiPfmWeniPtxAbnY5Kmi BET    32.00000000 WIN    224.01254400
Tue Jul  9 13:05:36 2013 <8000  245667 77e7937ee636f3a4:1  19gQo7vdhipm5BQiPfmWeniPtxAbnY5Kmi BET    29.00000000 WIN    203.01136800
Tue Jul  9 13:15:00 2013 <2000  245670 af4670bfcea71546:1  19gQo7vdhipm5BQiPfmWeniPtxAbnY5Kmi BET    16.00000000 WIN    495.78508800
Tue Jul  9 13:59:46 2013 <2000  245681 ef5d504ff904d549:1  19gQo7vdhipm5BQiPfmWeniPtxAbnY5Kmi BET    12.00000000 WIN    371.83881600
Tue Jul  9 14:37:26 2013 <8000  245687 d8581f446c05358f:1  19gQo7vdhipm5BQiPfmWeniPtxAbnY5Kmi BET    34.00000000 WIN    238.01332800
Tue Jul  9 15:08:32 2013 <1     245692 7d152ebda3e3efc3:0  1AeikmvZ38eUEdwDoT2ZnMrswnJsFfzyMo BET     0.01000000 WIN    639.99000000
Tue Jul  9 16:02:39 2013 <8000  245701 622d6f7a0d3a2146:1  1FfV591tPUjnS4K3mXSQ7589taaji45PRS BET    19.00000000 WIN    133.00744800
Tue Jul  9 16:06:22 2013 <8000  245702 e3fb0171d4b08d4f:0  1FfV591tPUjnS4K3mXSQ7589taaji45PRS BET    26.00000000 WIN    182.01019200

Quote
Total of 62 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Jul-09 10:05am (up to block 245709)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    25337 |   22943 (0.97867) |     500 |    1894 |   26381.88 |   25942.15 |   241.48 |    439.73 |  98.333
1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   189554 |  172577 (0.91551) |   15926 |    1051 |   93084.12 |   91794.77 |     2.82 |   1289.34 |  98.615
1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |   111552 |   94801 (0.85633) |   15905 |     846 |   92265.76 |   91327.50 |   401.50 |    938.26 |  98.983
1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |   118867 |   93757 (0.79394) |   24334 |     776 |   75116.61 |   73268.34 |  1188.43 |   1848.27 |  97.539
1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   502268 |  368151 (0.73454) |  133049 |    1068 |  333792.22 |  325733.19 |  6173.64 |   8059.02 |  97.586
1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   897161 |  447084 (0.49945) |  448075 |    2002 |  796674.34 |  775274.69 |  6524.67 |  21399.65 |  97.314
1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1417538 |  690882 (0.48813) |  724487 |    2169 |  983097.39 |  963646.41 |  2927.04 |  19450.97 |  98.021
1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   337436 |  123621 (0.36719) |  213044 |     771 |  604620.23 |  595754.53 |  1014.02 |   8865.70 |  98.534
1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   357878 |   87164 (0.24415) |  269853 |     861 |  411167.56 |  396048.20 |  2323.67 |  15119.36 |  96.323
1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   148014 |   26977 (0.18315) |  120321 |     716 |  186083.68 |  186811.27 |  3315.58 |   -727.59 | 100.391
1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   275357 |   33666 (0.12258) |  240982 |     709 |  140361.82 |  140015.19 |   101.32 |    346.62 |  99.753
1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    70265 |    6380 (0.09158) |   63285 |     600 |   18554.61 |   20085.31 |     7.83 |  -1530.69 | 108.250
1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    42983 |    2645 (0.06217) |   39903 |     435 |    8253.91 |    8214.22 |    31.50 |     39.69 |  99.519
1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    34425 |    1573 (0.04641) |   32319 |     533 |   10976.84 |   11725.91 |    25.52 |   -749.07 | 106.824
1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |   120921 |    3658 (0.03037) |  116772 |     491 |   73042.97 |   69925.04 |    57.74 |   3117.93 |  95.731
1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    29129 |     664 (0.02314) |   28032 |     433 |    8182.38 |    8735.86 |    15.38 |   -553.48 | 106.764
1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   185130 |    2819 (0.01529) |  181557 |     754 |   57080.23 |   52903.14 |    31.31 |   4177.08 |  92.682
1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    43015 |     335 (0.00794) |   41863 |     817 |    8573.97 |    6992.52 |    10.41 |   1581.45 |  81.555
1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    29142 |     119 (0.00415) |   28571 |     452 |    6154.61 |    8717.38 |    13.38 |  -2562.76 | 141.640
1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    24148 |      44 (0.00186) |   23552 |     552 |    2479.41 |    1603.39 |    48.66 |    876.02 |  64.668
1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    33156 |      36 (0.00111) |   32531 |     589 |    2255.76 |    1750.74 |   117.25 |    505.02 |  77.612
1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    35404 |      17 (0.00049) |   34906 |     481 |    1770.18 |    1911.43 |     1.67 |   -141.25 | 107.980
1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    27324 |       5 (0.00019) |   26809 |     510 |     943.56 |     606.95 |    22.27 |    336.60 |  64.326
1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    27902 |       5 (0.00018) |   27330 |     567 |     659.01 |     434.15 |    14.71 |    224.86 |  65.879
1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |    16145 |       2 (0.00013) |   15582 |     561 |     241.34 |     320.54 |    18.58 |    -79.19 | 132.813
1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |    14076 |       0 (0.00000) |   13465 |     611 |     198.64 |       0.58 |    31.15 |    198.06 |   0.295
1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   166759 |       4 (0.00002) |  163898 |    2857 |    2181.85 |    4485.47 |   196.62 |  -2303.61 | 205.581
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  5142063 | 2119793           | 2998462 |   23808 |  974389.93 |  956448.16 |   375.74 |  17941.76 |  98.159
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   138823 |   60136           |   78389 |     298 | 2969805.09 | 2907580.83 | 24482.57 |  62224.25 |  97.905
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  5280886 | 2179929           | 3076851 |   24106 | 3944195.02 | 3864029.00 | 24858.32 |  80166.02 |  97.967
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      80166.02792236 BTC (2.033%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        4555.64477500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       75610.38314736 BTC (1.917%)
Pending Liabilities:         -121.48652151 BTC
Final SD Profit:            75731.86966887 BTC (1.920%)
Profit This Month:          -1318.57934447 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 17589503  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  9702779  (55.2%)
Blockchain MB:   7747.6  :  SatoshiDice MB:   4007.1  (51.7%)




ar9
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July 09, 2013, 10:18:24 PM
 #1531

'Grats on getting out Dooglus.
Probably hurts, but it's probably a very liberating feeling.

I'm hoping to get out ASAP, but posts like these make it worse for me as I'm trying to mitigate my losses.  Catch-22... I want to empathize and be happy for people while not devaluing S.DICE.

Thanks again for the report. 

 
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July 10, 2013, 12:12:58 AM
 #1532

'Grats on getting out Dooglus.
Probably hurts, but it's probably a very liberating feeling.

I'm hoping to get out ASAP, but posts like these make it worse for me as I'm trying to mitigate my losses.  Catch-22... I want to empathize and be happy for people while not devaluing S.DICE.

Thanks again for the report. 

I've been waiting and waiting for the promised announcement of new features, but it doesn't look like it's going to happen, so I gave up.

I'll continue posting the reports as long as there's any interest.  I got a new laptop today with more RAM and a faster processor, so hopefully it won't be too painful to generate them in the future.

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July 10, 2013, 12:32:17 AM
 #1533

Please do keep posting - if SatoshiDice is losing popularity we want to see the stats showing the decline.

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July 10, 2013, 12:46:58 AM
 #1534

'Grats on getting out Dooglus.
Probably hurts, but it's probably a very liberating feeling.

I'm hoping to get out ASAP, but posts like these make it worse for me as I'm trying to mitigate my losses.  Catch-22... I want to empathize and be happy for people while not devaluing S.DICE.

Thanks again for the report. 

I've been waiting and waiting for the promised announcement of new features, but it doesn't look like it's going to happen, so I gave up.

I'll continue posting the reports as long as there's any interest.  I got a new laptop today with more RAM and a faster processor, so hopefully it won't be too painful to generate them in the future.

Wait - another new laptop? Do you eat them, or practice your chainsaw skills on them?

Bitcoin network and pool analysis 12QxPHEuxDrs7mCyGSx1iVSozTwtquDB3r
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July 10, 2013, 12:53:13 AM
 #1535

[...] I got a new laptop today with more RAM and a faster processor, so hopefully it won't be too painful to generate them in the future.

Ha, I like how your solution to upgrading a laptop's RAM and processor is to buy a new laptop altogether Tongue

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July 10, 2013, 04:27:28 AM
 #1536

How come you made 70% percent loss on S.DICE. Did you not buy at IPO prices? I have like 80% percent back on dividends + I did some day trading with S.DICE shares, but if you bought at IPO you should have like 50% back on dividends (I'm too lazy to search for exact numbers though, so anyone correct me, if I'm wrong).
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July 10, 2013, 05:31:14 AM
 #1537

How come you made 70% percent loss on S.DICE. Did you not buy at IPO prices? I have like 80% percent back on dividends + I did some day trading with S.DICE shares, but if you bought at IPO you should have like 50% back on dividends (I'm too lazy to search for exact numbers though, so anyone correct me, if I'm wrong).

I don't know.  I put 80 BTC onto bitfunder and got 28.3309509 BTC back (including dividends).  Turns out it's only a 64.6% loss.

Here's how the magic happened, using my patented "buy high, sell low" technique:


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July 10, 2013, 05:38:42 AM
 #1538

[...] I got a new laptop today with more RAM and a faster processor, so hopefully it won't be too painful to generate them in the future.

Ha, I like how your solution to upgrading a laptop's RAM and processor is to buy a new laptop altogether Tongue

The last one turned out to be a lemon.  It crashes randomly if I look at it wrongly.  I think there must be a hardware fault with it.  I'll return it for repair, but can't be without a laptop while that's happening.  So I figured I should get another one.  Always good to have a spare, right?  Also, the AMD graphics on it aren't really supported by the OS I run, it crashes about 10% of the time when I try to resume from suspend.  All in all I regret buying it, but left it too long to return it.

The old one is now permanently offline, acting as Just-Dice cold storage, so that's not an option.

wtfvanity
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WTF???


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July 10, 2013, 03:10:16 PM
 #1539

How come you made 70% percent loss on S.DICE. Did you not buy at IPO prices? I have like 80% percent back on dividends + I did some day trading with S.DICE shares, but if you bought at IPO you should have like 50% back on dividends (I'm too lazy to search for exact numbers though, so anyone correct me, if I'm wrong).

I don't know.  I put 80 BTC onto bitfunder and got 28.3309509 BTC back (including dividends).  Turns out it's only a 64.6% loss.

Here's how the magic happened, using my patented "buy high, sell low" technique:




Ouch, my numbers weren't as big, but had a similar scenario on bitfunder. I bought in around the same price, but I dumped mine about .0035 so it didn't hurt quite as bad, and I only lost about 3 BTC. Sorry dooglus. Hope just-dice is making it back for you.

          WTF!     Don't Click Here              
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RationalSpeculator
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July 10, 2013, 05:39:07 PM
 #1540

How come you made 70% percent loss on S.DICE. Did you not buy at IPO prices? I have like 80% percent back on dividends + I did some day trading with S.DICE shares, but if you bought at IPO you should have like 50% back on dividends (I'm too lazy to search for exact numbers though, so anyone correct me, if I'm wrong).

I don't know.  I put 80 BTC onto bitfunder and got 28.3309509 BTC back (including dividends).  Turns out it's only a 64.6% loss.

Here's how the magic happened, using my patented "buy high, sell low" technique:




I'm sorry for your loss Sad

Yes it was a horrible run since February. In USD SDICE lost -40%, dividends included! It's rightful to feel bad about that.
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