Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

[freedomno1]

Thanks for the effort

[RationalSpeculator]

Yes, thanks for the update

Amount of bets is accelerating the past few days.

If this continues sdice might break the record of total amount of bets done in a month. That would confirm that growth is still strong.  

[ebruwifxnx]

Been watching this thread for a couple weeks or so now, just joined so I had the ability to post. Great job on the charts and effort put in btw! I have around 400 usd invested in Satoshi Dice, but I think the site needs to expand or it will eventually die out. The problem with betting bitcoins is many who mine them use them as investments or flat out sell them to those who use them as investments. Imo bitcoin has become too expensive of a commodity and SatoshiDice needs to branch out with other coins like LTC or FTC for example. With the lack of places to use these coins, those who mine them have a lot less worth for them and have less of a problem gambling them away. The key to a site like Satoshidice is the law of averages which basically states the more bets taken results in a percentage closer to the 1.9% profit. This is just my two cents, but I strongly believe if satoshidice either mined a base amount of altcoins or bought them, then allowed people to play with them, the coin prices would not only go up (instant advantage for satoshidice), but monthly we would see more profit. This is just my opinion, but feel free to respond to it.

[freedomno1]

Been watching this thread for a couple weeks or so now, just joined so I had the ability to post. Great job on the charts and effort put in btw! I have around 400 usd invested in Satoshi Dice, but I think the site needs to expand or it will eventually die out. The problem with betting bitcoins is many who mine them use them as investments or flat out sell them to those who use them as investments. Imo bitcoin has become too expensive of a commodity and SatoshiDice needs to branch out with other coins like LTC or FTC for example. With the lack of places to use these coins, those who mine them have a lot less worth for them and have less of a problem gambling them away. The key to a site like Satoshidice is the law of averages which basically states the more bets taken results in a percentage closer to the 1.9% profit. This is just my two cents, but I strongly believe if satoshidice either mined a base amount of altcoins or bought them, then allowed people to play with them, the coin prices would not only go up (instant advantage for satoshidice), but monthly we would see more profit. This is just my opinion, but feel free to respond to it.

Fair point trading the alt currencies might produce some revenue if they live long enough Maybe go to the main satoshidice thread and add it to the suggestion box for ever to check out

[romerun]

I don't see it happens soon since EV said it before that LTC does not excite him.

[freedomno1]

whale is back

Sorry for the noobie question this is probably somewhere but what is this whale?
Also how long ago did EV say that, alternate currency's are volatile like heck so depends on their valuations probally but thanks for the reply rome did not know that he made a comment on that already

[nebulus]

what is this whale?

Someone who bets a lot...

[dooglus]

Sorry for the noobie question this is probably somewhere but what is this whale?

See the first sentence of http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High_roller:

A high roller, also referred to as a whale in the casino industry, is a gambler who wagers large amounts of money.

[freedomno1]

Sorry for the noobie question this is probably somewhere but what is this whale?

See the first sentence of http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High_roller:

A high roller, also referred to as a whale in the casino industry, is a gambler who wagers large amounts of money.

Thanks neb and doug not to familiar with the term so a High-Stakes Roller then

[dooglus]

Thanks neb and doug not to familiar with the term so a High-Stakes Roller then

In poker circles the term usually implies that the player is bad as well as a high roller.

http://www.worldfreepoker.com/poker-glossary.html#W

But since it's impossible to be bad at satoshidice...

[dooglus]

Mon May 20 10:50:14 2013 <32768 237047 dfdf94d8835a5f4c:0  1PH6caSTMY8FffbZnRNzBcpZo4As6KG9ZD BET   100.00000000 WIN     95.70000000
Mon May 20 17:40:46 2013 <32000 237083 54a85fa4fa6e1d29:0  1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET   100.00000000 LOSE   -99.50000000
Mon May 20 18:21:26 2013 <32000 237086 782863daff3437cf:0  1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET   200.00000000 WIN    200.76960000

Total of 26 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-May-20 02:55pm (up to block 237105)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    24017 |   21690 (0.97861) |     474 |    1853 |   25563.07 |   25137.08 |   241.34 |    425.99 |  98.334
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   148102 |  134732 (0.91575) |   12395 |     975 |   80331.27 |   79136.11 |     2.42 |   1195.16 |  98.512
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    95125 |   80823 (0.85686) |   13502 |     800 |   86010.03 |   85230.53 |   401.35 |    779.49 |  99.094
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    99850 |   78706 (0.79400) |   20420 |     724 |   67671.22 |   65980.20 |  1188.24 |   1691.02 |  97.501
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   434094 |  318228 (0.73479) |  114859 |    1007 |  316669.58 |  308889.30 |  6173.34 |   7780.27 |  97.543
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   783170 |  390449 (0.49973) |  390872 |    1849 |  724647.40 |  707455.58 |  6524.04 |  17191.82 |  97.628
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1305707 |  636322 (0.48811) |  667327 |    2058 |  936236.77 |  917557.44 |  2926.59 |  18679.33 |  98.005
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   308138 |  112963 (0.36746) |  194453 |     722 |  599924.49 |  591210.43 |  1013.82 |   8714.06 |  98.547
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   316842 |   77125 (0.24402) |  238931 |     786 |  384279.48 |  369844.91 |  2323.32 |  14434.56 |  96.244
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   132345 |   24174 (0.18360) |  107495 |     676 |  183097.47 |  184611.93 |  3315.43 |  -1514.45 | 100.827
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   233362 |   28605 (0.12292) |  204107 |     650 |  104663.00 |  104258.83 |   101.14 |    404.17 |  99.614
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    62440 |    5655 (0.09139) |   56225 |     560 |   17620.80 |   19361.56 |     7.70 |  -1740.75 | 109.879
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    40443 |    2485 (0.06210) |   37534 |     424 |    8050.93 |    7962.83 |    31.47 |     88.09 |  98.906
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    32988 |    1507 (0.04640) |   30970 |     511 |   10215.78 |   11231.95 |    25.47 |  -1016.17 | 109.947
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |   103123 |    3131 (0.03050) |   99533 |     459 |   45477.20 |   40587.21 |     9.61 |   4889.98 |  89.247
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    27983 |     642 (0.02328) |   26940 |     401 |    8126.92 |    8715.85 |    15.23 |   -588.93 | 107.247
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   160654 |    2466 (0.01542) |  157504 |     684 |   44393.62 |   39597.97 |     2.67 |   4795.65 |  89.197
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    41533 |     326 (0.00800) |   40410 |     797 |    8526.14 |    6976.03 |    10.36 |   1550.11 |  81.819
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    27878 |     117 (0.00426) |   27335 |     426 |    6118.73 |    8664.73 |    13.31 |  -2545.99 | 141.610
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    22877 |      42 (0.00188) |   22315 |     520 |    2450.66 |    1583.25 |    48.58 |    867.40 |  64.605
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    31549 |      35 (0.00113) |   30956 |     558 |    2212.79 |    1740.53 |   117.14 |    472.26 |  78.658
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    31012 |      13 (0.00043) |   30542 |     457 |    1682.27 |    1831.03 |     1.60 |   -148.75 | 108.842
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    25036 |       5 (0.00020) |   24538 |     493 |     890.00 |     606.68 |    22.21 |    283.31 |  68.167
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    25855 |       5 (0.00020) |   25294 |     556 |     618.39 |     433.94 |    14.66 |    184.44 |  70.173
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |    15083 |       2 (0.00014) |   14545 |     536 |     216.78 |     320.41 |    18.48 |   -103.62 | 147.802
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |    13303 |       0 (0.00000) |   12717 |     586 |     183.07 |       0.50 |    28.70 |    182.57 |   0.276
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   147119 |       3 (0.00002) |  144544 |    2572 |    1871.80 |    3843.86 |   177.25 |  -1972.05 | 205.355
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  4563547 | 1863518           | 2677683 |   22346 |  885856.61 |  870220.74 |   349.39 |  15635.87 |  98.235
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   126081 |   56733           |   69054 |     294 | 2781893.18 | 2722550.04 | 24406.21 |  59343.13 |  97.867
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  4689628 | 1920251           | 2746737 |   22640 | 3667749.80 | 3592770.78 | 24755.60 |  74979.01 |  97.956
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      74979.01211241 BTC (2.044%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        3935.70217500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       71043.30993741 BTC (1.937%)
Pending Liabilities:           -0.94568605 BTC
Final SD Profit:            71044.25562346 BTC (1.937%)
Profit This Month:           -559.15272116 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 15271055  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  8613327  (56.4%)
Blockchain MB:   6707.2  :  SatoshiDice MB:   3552.8  (53.0%)

[dooglus]

Tue May 21 04:15:55 2013 <8000  237140 f45ffa8ff8903fca:0  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    15.00000000 WIN    105.00588000
Tue May 21 04:30:23 2013 <1000  237143 2a1fba7257796d71:2  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET     6.00000000 WIN    377.80881600
Tue May 21 05:13:22 2013 <2000  237150 efc8bb2b4e288b8d:1  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    10.00000000 WIN    309.86568000
Tue May 21 05:41:46 2013 <8000  237153 984d4380711e16df:0  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    17.00000000 WIN    119.00666400
Tue May 21 06:04:51 2013 <2000  237156 465a834130550f06:0  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    15.00000000 WIN    464.79852000
Tue May 21 06:38:50 2013 <8000  237158 24d05fd47a78a13b:1  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    24.00000000 WIN    168.00940800
Tue May 21 06:54:14 2013 <8000  237162 2a19fa5a8f95963d:0  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    19.00000000 WIN    133.00744800
Tue May 21 07:16:44 2013 <8000  237163 5fc2596b3c9ce19b:0  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    27.00000000 WIN    189.01058400
Tue May 21 07:51:57 2013 <8000  237164 d6c33e8479b10bf5:1  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    22.00000000 WIN    154.00862400
Tue May 21 08:06:53 2013 <8000  237166 d1721c97f75fffdf:0  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    17.00000000 WIN    119.00666400
Tue May 21 08:06:53 2013 <2000  237166 9d3834f1d9801ea0:3  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET     9.00000000 WIN    278.87911200
Tue May 21 08:40:56 2013 <2000  237171 b2714a71eb65d9b5:1  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET     9.00000000 WIN    278.87911200
Tue May 21 09:07:59 2013 <2000  237173 eb53e59a9738128d:1  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET     8.00000000 WIN    247.89254400
Tue May 21 10:02:17 2013 <2000  237181 681c8921197f735e:2  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    12.00000000 WIN    371.83881600
Tue May 21 12:12:14 2013 <8000  237194 3e4f383b83fac5a3:0  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    21.00000000 WIN    147.00823200
Tue May 21 13:44:39 2013 <1000  237204 170d88e9dc8392be:2  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET     6.00000000 WIN    377.80881600
Tue May 21 13:44:39 2013 <32000 237204 ed62b5180232d179:0  1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET   100.00000000 WIN    100.38480000
Tue May 21 13:44:39 2013 <32000 237204 8b47e954b4586833:0  1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET   160.00000000 WIN    160.61568000
Tue May 21 14:04:52 2013 <1000  237207 8dca4c69e9dd0c83:3  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET     6.00000000 WIN    377.80881600
Tue May 21 17:18:12 2013 <2000  237229 80c77bf6ab1f6d40:2  1PJys7Md1ZDuwMU6punAsdgqXhX7VrUUkU BET     8.00000000 WIN    247.89254400
Wed May 22 01:11:54 2013 <1000  237278 d355d5c771eb931d:3  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET     8.00000000 WIN    503.74508800

Total of 34 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-May-21 06:32pm (up to block 237280)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    24042 |   21711 (0.97859) |     475 |    1856 |   25564.50 |   25138.04 |   241.34 |    426.46 |  98.332
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   148414 |  135012 (0.91573) |   12424 |     978 |   80387.54 |   79182.48 |     2.44 |   1205.05 |  98.501
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    95937 |   81515 (0.85685) |   13618 |     804 |   86153.54 |   85371.03 |   401.37 |    782.50 |  99.092
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |   100440 |   79172 (0.79398) |   20543 |     725 |   68106.55 |   66420.43 |  1188.24 |   1686.11 |  97.524
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   435751 |  319446 (0.73480) |  115293 |    1012 |  316969.96 |  309210.65 |  6173.36 |   7759.30 |  97.552
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   786952 |  392332 (0.49972) |  392765 |    1855 |  725705.06 |  708651.93 |  6524.06 |  17053.13 |  97.650
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1310388 |  638534 (0.48805) |  669791 |    2063 |  938221.94 |  919622.52 |  2926.62 |  18599.41 |  98.018
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   308714 |  113172 (0.36745) |  194818 |     724 |  600231.69 |  591585.29 |  1013.83 |   8646.40 |  98.559
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   317541 |   77298 (0.24404) |  239451 |     792 |  386374.12 |  371716.25 |  2323.36 |  14657.86 |  96.206
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   132786 |   24242 (0.18350) |  107865 |     679 |  183943.98 |  185048.43 |  3315.43 |  -1104.45 | 100.600
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   234518 |   28755 (0.12295) |  205113 |     650 |  107090.58 |  106665.86 |   101.14 |    424.71 |  99.603
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    62708 |    5687 (0.09151) |   56461 |     560 |   17644.65 |   19384.20 |     7.70 |  -1739.55 | 109.859
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    40479 |    2486 (0.06206) |   37569 |     424 |    8051.44 |    7963.07 |    31.47 |     88.36 |  98.902
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    33036 |    1507 (0.04633) |   31018 |     511 |   10223.08 |   11231.99 |    25.47 |  -1008.90 | 109.869
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |   103537 |    3147 (0.03053) |   99929 |     461 |   47043.47 |   43132.56 |     9.62 |   3910.90 |  91.687
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    27993 |     642 (0.02327) |   26950 |     401 |    8127.15 |    8715.85 |    15.23 |   -588.70 | 107.244
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   161067 |    2473 (0.01542) |  157909 |     685 |   45289.70 |   41267.78 |     2.67 |   4021.92 |  91.120
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    41573 |     327 (0.00802) |   40448 |     798 |    8528.80 |    6977.30 |    10.36 |   1551.50 |  81.809
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    27909 |     117 (0.00426) |   27364 |     428 |    6120.33 |    8664.73 |    13.33 |  -2544.40 | 141.573
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    23118 |      42 (0.00186) |   22551 |     525 |    2453.95 |    1583.27 |    48.58 |    870.68 |  64.519
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    31606 |      35 (0.00113) |   31013 |     558 |    2213.58 |    1740.53 |   117.14 |    473.05 |  78.630
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    31038 |      13 (0.00043) |   30568 |     457 |    1682.64 |    1831.03 |     1.60 |   -148.38 | 108.819
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    25064 |       5 (0.00020) |   24564 |     495 |     890.29 |     606.68 |    22.22 |    283.60 |  68.144
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    25879 |       5 (0.00020) |   25317 |     557 |     619.20 |     433.95 |    14.67 |    185.25 |  70.081
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |    15114 |       2 (0.00014) |   14572 |     540 |     218.04 |     320.42 |    18.50 |   -102.37 | 146.950
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |    13357 |       0 (0.00000) |   12762 |     595 |     185.65 |       0.51 |    29.50 |    185.13 |   0.279
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   147707 |       3 (0.00002) |  145113 |    2591 |    1879.14 |    3843.89 |   178.21 |  -1964.75 | 204.556
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           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  4579818 | 1870804           | 2686584 |   22430 |  888259.24 |  872615.60 |   351.39 |  15643.63 |  98.239
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   126850 |   56876           |   69680 |     294 | 2791661.47 | 2733695.21 | 24406.21 |  57966.25 |  97.924
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                                |  4706668 | 1927680           | 2756264 |   22724 | 3679920.71 | 3606310.81 | 24757.61 |  73609.89 |  98.000
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      73609.89264569 BTC (2.000%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        3953.73457500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       69656.15807069 BTC (1.893%)
Pending Liabilities:         -123.15694673 BTC
Final SD Profit:            69779.31501742 BTC (1.896%)
Profit This Month:          -1824.09332720 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 15334103  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  8645834  (56.4%)
Blockchain MB:   6736.1  :  SatoshiDice MB:   3566.2  (52.9%)

[romerun]

I rather see this than a straight stable boring line 

[RationalSpeculator]

Thx for the update dooglus!

I was watching the realtime transactions on blockchain yesterday and saw some of these 300btc large amounts pass by. I thought it were bets placed, but from your post with large transactions it looks like they were all winnings, is that correct? (or have there also been 300btc bets placed?)

Is there a way to know when you are watching blockchain transactions whether it's a bet placed or a winning?

[dooglus]

Is there a way to know when you are watching blockchain transactions whether it's a bet placed or a winning?

I don't think there have been any bets near 300 BTC recently.  And I don't think you can tell bets from winnings on the blockchain.info front page unless you click on the transaction.  If the 1dice is on the right (an output), it's a bet, else it's a payout.

[RationalSpeculator]

Is there a way to know when you are watching blockchain transactions whether it's a bet placed or a winning?

I don't think there have been any bets near 300 BTC recently.  And I don't think you can tell bets from winnings on the blockchain.info front page unless you click on the transaction.  If the 1dice is on the right (an output), it's a bet, else it's a payout.

You are right! Thanks!

[dooglus]

Ugh.

Wed May 22 04:36:02 2013 <2000  237297 76394733d34f166a:2  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    12.00000000 WIN    371.83881600
Wed May 22 05:02:43 2013 <8000  237299 f6aa34fc4bfe2c49:1  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    18.00000000 WIN    126.00705600
Wed May 22 05:22:25 2013 <2000  237301 d87a1d4276904100:2  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    11.00000000 WIN    340.85224800
Wed May 22 05:24:44 2013 <8000  237302 cf6834c0c1edb844:1  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    18.00000000 WIN    126.00705600
Wed May 22 05:24:44 2013 <2000  237302 cf6834c0c1edb844:2  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    11.00000000 WIN    340.85224800
Wed May 22 07:30:01 2013 <8000  237317 50566f12e9fe4d7c:1  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    18.00000000 WIN    126.00705600
Wed May 22 07:30:01 2013 <2000  237317 0e819dca89595bc1:2  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    11.00000000 WIN    340.85224800
Wed May 22 09:07:43 2013 <1000  237331 9100361f21a81b5e:3  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    12.00000000 WIN    755.61763200
Wed May 22 09:07:43 2013 <8000  237331 d282f8dc8c52ca39:1  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    18.00000000 WIN    126.00705600
Wed May 22 09:48:13 2013 <8000  237334 7facb8acbcc658a8:1  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    18.00000000 WIN    126.00705600
Wed May 22 10:35:29 2013 <8000  237340 c95c2cae573cbee0:0  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    21.00000000 WIN    147.00823200
Wed May 22 10:42:15 2013 <8000  237342 2ca0f0cf15012b8c:1  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    18.00000000 WIN    126.00705600
Wed May 22 11:58:39 2013 <8000  237354 edfcf1ea3ca35757:1  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    19.00000000 WIN    133.00744800
Wed May 22 13:24:12 2013 <32768 237364 1b097888a8d1ff76:0  12jBUhb9aZQET6icY9VeZ62tkVYLaXtaHj BET   100.02353318 LOSE   -99.52341552
Wed May 22 13:37:47 2013 <32000 237367 496bb148f5376b38:0   1PNkjS8PoaqFPHfpmQd3igLr8py9t3zbZ BET   205.00000000 WIN    205.78884000
Wed May 22 14:43:43 2013 <2000  237375 50340e55a6affa8a:2  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET     8.00000000 WIN    247.89254400

Total of 44 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-May-22 02:15pm (up to block 237411)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP  
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    24056 |   21725 (0.97860) |     475 |    1856 |   25566.37 |   25139.92 |   241.34 |    426.45 |  98.332
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   148865 |  135425 (0.91575) |   12460 |     980 |   80419.27 |   79214.32 |     2.45 |   1204.95 |  98.502
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    96284 |   81802 (0.85678) |   13674 |     808 |   86217.49 |   85432.60 |   401.39 |    784.88 |  99.090
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |   100936 |   79557 (0.79393) |   20649 |     730 |   68532.40 |   66858.46 |  1188.26 |   1673.94 |  97.557
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   437282 |  320541 (0.73474) |  115724 |    1017 |  317307.72 |  309522.52 |  6173.39 |   7785.20 |  97.546
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   789027 |  393352 (0.49970) |  393817 |    1858 |  726936.61 |  709965.73 |  6524.07 |  16970.88 |  97.665
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1312258 |  639386 (0.48801) |  670807 |    2065 |  939753.13 |  921172.75 |  2926.64 |  18580.38 |  98.023
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   309051 |  113289 (0.36743) |  195036 |     726 |  600364.68 |  591669.00 |  1013.84 |   8695.67 |  98.552
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   318353 |   77505 (0.24406) |  240055 |     793 |  387767.73 |  372836.00 |  2323.36 |  14931.73 |  96.149
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   133251 |   24338 (0.18359) |  108232 |     681 |  183979.11 |  185085.60 |  3315.45 |  -1106.49 | 100.601
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   235277 |   28839 (0.12292) |  205786 |     652 |  108336.82 |  107959.12 |   101.14 |    377.69 |  99.651
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    62818 |    5698 (0.09152) |   56560 |     560 |   17659.01 |   19387.47 |     7.70 |  -1728.46 | 109.788
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    40488 |    2487 (0.06208) |   37577 |     424 |    8051.82 |    7963.24 |    31.47 |     88.58 |  98.900
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    33047 |    1507 (0.04632) |   31029 |     511 |   10223.72 |   11231.99 |    25.47 |  -1008.27 | 109.862
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |   104177 |    3165 (0.03052) |  100551 |     461 |   47790.06 |   44836.37 |     9.62 |   2953.69 |  93.819
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    28004 |     642 (0.02326) |   26961 |     401 |    8128.32 |    8715.86 |    15.23 |   -587.53 | 107.228
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   161788 |    2481 (0.01540) |  158621 |     686 |   45991.12 |   42076.39 |     2.68 |   3914.73 |  91.488
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    41594 |     328 (0.00804) |   40467 |     799 |    8531.04 |    6978.56 |    10.37 |   1552.48 |  81.802
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    27922 |     117 (0.00426) |   27377 |     428 |    6120.59 |    8664.73 |    13.33 |  -2544.14 | 141.567
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    23253 |      42 (0.00185) |   22682 |     529 |    2455.31 |    1583.28 |    48.59 |    872.03 |  64.484
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    31623 |      35 (0.00113) |   31030 |     558 |    2213.88 |    1740.53 |   117.14 |    473.34 |  78.619
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    31059 |      13 (0.00042) |   30588 |     458 |    1683.25 |    1831.04 |     1.61 |   -147.78 | 108.779
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    25083 |       5 (0.00020) |   24583 |     495 |     891.11 |     606.69 |    22.22 |    284.42 |  68.082
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    25891 |       5 (0.00020) |   25329 |     557 |     619.87 |     433.95 |    14.67 |    185.91 |  70.007
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |    15128 |       2 (0.00014) |   14585 |     541 |     218.31 |     320.42 |    18.51 |   -102.10 | 146.769
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |    13379 |       0 (0.00000) |   12781 |     598 |     186.09 |       0.52 |    30.29 |    185.56 |   0.280
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   148173 |       3 (0.00002) |  145569 |    2601 |    1884.70 |    3843.92 |   178.63 |  -1959.22 | 203.954
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  4590796 | 1875321           | 2692996 |   22479 |  889957.43 |  874159.89 |   352.77 |  15797.53 |  98.225
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   127271 |   56968           |   70009 |     294 | 2797872.23 | 2740911.19 | 24406.21 |  56961.03 |  97.964
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  4718067 | 1932289           | 2763005 |   22773 | 3687829.67 | 3615071.09 | 24758.98 |  72758.57 |  98.027
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      72758.57812125 BTC (1.973%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        3965.80937500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       68792.76874625 BTC (1.865%)
Pending Liabilities:           -1.24112049 BTC
Final SD Profit:            68794.00986674 BTC (1.865%)
Profit This Month:          -2809.39847788 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 15376296  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  8666430  (56.4%)
Blockchain MB:   6755.4  :  SatoshiDice MB:   3574.9  (52.9%)

[wtfvanity]

Wow. That's when the conspiracy theories start.

I'll go first. The "secret" is being handed out to buddies.

[dooglus]

Wow. That's when the conspiracy theories start.

I'll go first. The "secret" is being handed out to buddies.

See how crazy the profit line was in December and January?  The last two days are nothing in comparison.  <1000 and <2000 are high variance bets.  When someone starts throwing large amounts of money at them, you're going to see some wiggliness on the profit line.

But if you want conspiracy theories, I heard SDICE recent changed sysadmins.  The previous one probably had access to the secrets.

[romerun]

we a approaching the 1.9 line.