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Author Topic: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker  (Read 1811501 times)
simonk83
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March 29, 2013, 01:23:12 AM
 #16641

Hello. I see that you've predicted that the $/btc will be less than $50 in two weeks. You seem like a very intelligent man. Would you like to make a small bet with me?

How about a large bet? Smiley

How much is large?

Would 20 btc  each be large enough?

I'm in. Signed and sealed.

See you on April 12th.

We need escrow.

I'll get in on that as well. 20BTC that the price won't dip below $50 before April 12th.
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The Bitcoin network protocol was designed to be extremely flexible. It can be used to create timed transactions, escrow transactions, multi-signature transactions, etc. The current features of the client only hint at what will be possible in the future.
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Zangelbert Bingledack
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March 29, 2013, 01:24:15 AM
 #16642

You're wasting your time, underground_. BitcoinTip was caught lying several times in the past few days, red-handed. He or she is not gonna pay into escrow unless its one of the sockpuppets.
Zangelbert Bingledack
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March 29, 2013, 01:34:53 AM
 #16643

Are we into the Cryptocurrency Wars now? Litecoin advocates tryna step up?
The-Real-Link
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March 29, 2013, 01:39:12 AM
 #16644

Bidding Wars!!  Bitcoin Edition.

Whole episode is just people screaming at their monitors, typing and clicking pretty fast, etc.

Hey, for what passes these days as reality and things like Storage Wars, you have to someone out there would like it!

Oh Loaded, who art up in Mt. Gox, hallowed be thy name!  Thy dollars rain, thy will be done, on BTCUSD.  Give us this day our daily 10% 30%, and forgive the bears, as we have bought their bitcoins.  And lead us into quadruple digits
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March 29, 2013, 01:46:06 AM
 #16645

I think it's interesting that we see these flash crashes but not so much the opposite, the price running up crazy followed by a rapid return to normal. I'm sure it means something, probably about psychology & stuff. If I believed in TA, I might name it something and spout some mumbo jumbo...

I think this behavior is evidence that the distribution of coins is still skewed towards a few hundred early adopters who had the foresight to stockpile. After every major climb some cashing out is done. This is encouraging though:
https://blockchain.info/charts/bitcoin-days-destroyed-min-year?showDataPoints=false&timespan=&show_header=true&daysAverageString=7&scale=0&address=


Why don't you check the all-time chart? At this price the recent peak values should have been way higher than the 2011 peaks, but the truth is the opposite.

Because the long-term chart may be even more misleading. Reason is that the cashing-out done in 2011 will have put coins from very large stockpiles into the hands of new buyers. Some of whom will also have stockpiled, but generally that peak created many smaller stockpiles in many more hands. Ideally we need a 2-year filter on blockchain.info which would help give a clearer picture.

Bitobsessed
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March 29, 2013, 01:48:06 AM
 #16646

Not a huge order, but still interesting nonetheless...

https://twitter.com/PaulSproge/status/317440064323981313

Are we into the Cryptocurrency Wars now? Litecoin advocates tryna step up?

Look closely between 3PM and 7:30PM...

someone(people) knew...

may be a good indicator of imminent corrections going forward.

Yeah, bots are real smart. 

EDIT: Woah!  And you call yourself a Bitcoin analyst!
oakpacific
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March 29, 2013, 01:51:14 AM
 #16647

I think it's interesting that we see these flash crashes but not so much the opposite, the price running up crazy followed by a rapid return to normal. I'm sure it means something, probably about psychology & stuff. If I believed in TA, I might name it something and spout some mumbo jumbo...

I think this behavior is evidence that the distribution of coins is still skewed towards a few hundred early adopters who had the foresight to stockpile. After every major climb some cashing out is done. This is encouraging though:
https://blockchain.info/charts/bitcoin-days-destroyed-min-year?showDataPoints=false&timespan=&show_header=true&daysAverageString=7&scale=0&address=


Why don't you check the all-time chart? At this price the recent peak values should have been way higher than the 2011 peaks, but the truth is the opposite.

Because the long-term chart may be even more misleading. Reason is that the cashing-out done in 2011 will have put coins from very large stockpiles into the hands of new buyers. Some of whom will also have stockpiled, but generally that peak created many smaller stockpiles in many more hands. Ideally we need a 2-year filter on blockchain.info which would help give a clearer picture.


Yes, so you are essentially saying that coins transferred from ealry adopters into the hands of later adopters, right?

A clearer picture could be done if we use the power function of time factor in the calculation of the days destroyed metric instead.

https://tlsnotary.org/ Fraud proofing decentralized fiat-Bitcoin trading.
thefiniteidea
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March 29, 2013, 01:58:55 AM
 #16648

Yeah, bots are real smart. 

EDIT: Woah!  And you call yourself a Bitcoin analyst!

So now we know who it was...

Nice job  Wink
Bitobsessed
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March 29, 2013, 02:00:52 AM
 #16649

Yeah, bots are real smart. 

EDIT: Woah!  And you call yourself a Bitcoin analyst!

So now we know who it was...

Nice job  Wink

Not sure if serious...
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March 29, 2013, 02:06:07 AM
 #16650

Yes, so you are essentially saying that coins transferred from ealry adopters into the hands of later adopters, right?

A clearer picture could be done if we use the power function of time factor in the calculation of the days destroyed metric instead.

Agreed.
I think a power function was suggested a couple of months ago, but I have not seen stats done. Would be much more useful info for Bitcoin than the exhaustive analysis of SD bets/returns which goes on.

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March 29, 2013, 02:16:09 AM
 #16651

Hello. I see that you've predicted that the $/btc will be less than $50 in two weeks. You seem like a very intelligent man. Would you like to make a small bet with me?

How about a large bet? Smiley

How much is large?

Would 20 btc  each be large enough?

I'm in. Signed and sealed.

See you on April 12th.

We need escrow.

I can escrow these bets for you using Casascius' escrow system as used in this bet between mrb and micon if anyone's interested.

I doubt BitcoinTip is serious; he seems to just like the attention his words get him.  But if anyone wants me to escrow a bet, I'll do it for free.

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thefiniteidea
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March 29, 2013, 02:44:39 AM
 #16652

Hello. I see that you've predicted that the $/btc will be less than $50 in two weeks. You seem like a very intelligent man. Would you like to make a small bet with me?

How about a large bet? Smiley

How much is large?

Would 20 btc  each be large enough?

I'm in. Signed and sealed.

See you on April 12th.

Seems like someone is about to get a scammer tag!

mccorvic
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March 29, 2013, 02:45:42 AM
 #16653

Bid depth is as high if not a tad higher than when we began the bear-o-coaster of brown.

Offering Video/Audio Editing Services since 2011 - https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=77932.0
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March 29, 2013, 02:45:53 AM
 #16654



Barely made a dent in the bids.
Zangelbert Bingledack
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March 29, 2013, 03:02:47 AM
 #16655

Are we into the Cryptocurrency Wars now? Litecoin advocates tryna step up?

Look closely between 3PM and 7:30PM...

someone(people) knew...

may be a good indicator of imminent corrections going forward.

Yeah I'm thinking the Litecoiners are trying to orchestrate selloffs to boost Litecoin's value. They've been very aggressive on /r/Bitcoin recently. They must include some early Bitcoin adopters who are envious that they weren't the super-early adopters, so they may still have a ton of Bitcoin to play with.
mccorvic
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March 29, 2013, 03:11:02 AM
 #16656

Are we into the Cryptocurrency Wars now? Litecoin advocates tryna step up?

Look closely between 3PM and 7:30PM...

someone(people) knew...

may be a good indicator of imminent corrections going forward.

Yeah I'm thinking the Litecoiners are trying to orchestrate selloffs to boost Litecoin's value. They've been very aggressive on /r/Bitcoin recently. They must include some early Bitcoin adopters who are envious that they weren't the super-early adopters, so they may still have a ton of Bitcoin to play with.

This is a possibility.  Anyone who tries to "promote" litecoins are either stupid or trying to take advantage of stupid people.  There is no other type.

Offering Video/Audio Editing Services since 2011 - https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=77932.0
thefiniteidea
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March 29, 2013, 03:11:28 AM
 #16657

Are we into the Cryptocurrency Wars now? Litecoin advocates tryna step up?

Look closely between 3PM and 7:30PM...

someone(people) knew...

may be a good indicator of imminent corrections going forward.

Yeah I'm thinking the Litecoiners are trying to orchestrate selloffs to boost Litecoin's value. They've been very aggressive on /r/Bitcoin recently. They must include some early Bitcoin adopters who are envious that they weren't the super-early adopters, so they may still have a ton of Bitcoin to play with.

Possibly... hadn't even thought of that.

I was thinking more along the lines of someone smartening up and using LTC as a hedge against BTC without having to deal with goxx issues and pay less fee's. In all honesty, I'll probably start testing this out.

 Smiley
mccorvic
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March 29, 2013, 03:27:22 AM
 #16658

Man, bids so close to 10mil USD.  Again, despite being a bull I'm surprised at this bullishness.

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March 29, 2013, 03:30:57 AM
 #16659

That's what Litecoin's good for.
oakpacific
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March 29, 2013, 03:38:24 AM
 #16660

Are we into the Cryptocurrency Wars now? Litecoin advocates tryna step up?

Look closely between 3PM and 7:30PM...

someone(people) knew...

may be a good indicator of imminent corrections going forward.

Yeah I'm thinking the Litecoiners are trying to orchestrate selloffs to boost Litecoin's value. They've been very aggressive on /r/Bitcoin recently. They must include some early Bitcoin adopters who are envious that they weren't the super-early adopters, so they may still have a ton of Bitcoin to play with.

Possibly... hadn't even thought of that.

I was thinking more along the lines of someone smartening up and using LTC as a hedge against BTC without having to deal with goxx issues and pay less fee's. In all honesty, I'll probably start testing this out.

 Smiley

I disagree, that would be suicidal.

https://tlsnotary.org/ Fraud proofing decentralized fiat-Bitcoin trading.
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