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2661  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling site access and italian regulations on: August 25, 2018, 07:07:40 PM
There's nothing that's going to be done to change the fact that regulatory issues are going to be a burden to the gambling industry. The gambling industry is one which preys on people, and I think regulating this isn't something which should be frowned upon. I don't think kids being given the ability to gamble online is something which many would support.

But yeah, if you want to get around it use a VPN -- though, you're still breaking the law and the company could cancel any winnings which you incur on the site because you're using a VPN. It's a win-win for them, as they won't do the reverse with losses.
2662  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Win-win bets strategy in roulette on: August 25, 2018, 05:44:05 PM
I am still shocked and surprised every single time someone comes up and says they found a way to win in gambling.
There is no way of winning on gambling because you are playing against a house edge that tips the advantage towards the casino itself.

Because of the zero on the roll there is no way you are at an advantage while gambling on roulette, you can try any strategy you want and you can bet however weirdly you want but in the end house always wins on the long run because there is a house edge. You need to find a place with negative house edge to find a winning strategy and that just doesn't exists at all.

It's the mind of a gambler, they want to be able to convince themselves that they've found out the way to win -- and in their mind, it is the way to win, while they're winning at least. Sadly enough all of this will end at a certain point, and all of it will come crashing down on them when they lose it all.

This is a cycle where these people keep trying to crack the code -- though they don't understand that the code they're trying to crack is a code which is set up to beat them.
2663  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Should UBI Replace all Welfare Systems? on: August 25, 2018, 05:11:29 PM
If UBI is set in place, and if you want to accept it, read the fine print in the agreement, and use your head.

What I mean is, when you paid into Social Security, you did so thinking that you understood what SS was all about. You were wrong, of course, which can be used to nullify any agreement you had with SS. The point is that your property went into SS first, so you deserve it returned to you.

Your property doesn't go into UBI. You simply get UBI freely. This means that you will have to pay later. Even if it isn't written like this in the formal paperwork, it is standard law that is written in basics in The Uniform Commercial Code.

Look at the difficulties that Social Security is having regarding maintaining their ability to pay out. Do you think that you will have it any easier when UBI money is demanded back from you? Rather, you will pay with your life and soul.

Cool

These difficulties that Social Security is having isn't because of problems in the program, it's because Politicians never wanted to change the program as it should have been in order to adjust for old age. As Social Security (when it was started) was pretty much a gift to people who could live long enough to be able to get what they put into the program. I'm not saying that we should change the program to fit like it was. What we should do is admit that politicans failed the program as a whole.

They took money from the Social Security fund and loaned it to themselves in order to pay into the mass amounts of programs that they needed to pay for.

Check out this link, it'll be a nice read - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_Security_Trust_Fund
2664  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Trump's campaign manager Manafort and his lawyer Cohen guilty of 8 felonies each on: August 25, 2018, 04:13:28 PM
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It might also be fair to say that Manafort might not be in trouble if he wasn't committing felonies?  I guess criminals really are stupid in the end, who in the fuck takes a high profile job like that when engaged in felonies.

I guess one could suppose that the reason Manafort was associated with trump in the first place is because he was good at "stuff, wink wink" or would at least do them LOL.

I mean, nothing that Manafort did under Trump is being called under question as of right now. The only thing that is under question in all of the crimes that he's been found guilty of (and the crimes that there was a hung jury on) are crimes that have nothing to do with President Trump -- the have to do with Manaforts lobbying from 5 or so years ago. Which was under his own lobbying company.

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I'm curious if Manafort is taking it for Trump with something else still in his back pocket hoping he will get a pardon to keep quite on the rest?

Or maybe he has nothing on Trump and just has to swallow his pride and take whatever the court gives him. Though this will probably just end up in appeals anyway, and who knows what the Manafort legal time will be able to do.

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What is interesting to me is that if the left gets their wish and Trump is somehow impeached, Pence is probably fucking 10 times worse.

AH I SAID THIS BEFORE, NICE CATCH LIBERALS!!!!!

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This is all fake news. The more fake news express high negativity for Trump, the more certain factions are happy. As the Russia Collusion fabrications fade away, replace with New Bad Trumpies.

High negativity makes the media money, they're going to keep doing this in order to keep their bottom line nice, fat, and green. They'll keep doing this to get more and more clicks to continue to pad their bottom lines.

Maybe the people will notice that the media can't be trusted, but maybe they won't.





2665  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Is Trump just a puppet? on: August 25, 2018, 03:48:43 PM
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The leader of the freeworld? You mean the Western Block? Or do you mean all non-communist countries? Donald Trump is the president of one country, the United States of America. He is not the leader of any "world". You don't believe that the president of the US has ever been a puppet? The idea is that huge companies finance and hugely influence the government leaders. They get the government to implement policies that will be beneficial to them.

Yes, he is still the leader of the freeworld. While he may only(if you want to say only for god sake) be the President, the alliances of the United States, the trade of the united states, and the people of United States -- he is the President of the Free World

Being the President of the United States means a lot, and if people are going to try to say that it doesn't mean anything they're obviously delusional.
2666  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Should UBI Replace all Welfare Systems? on: August 25, 2018, 03:32:52 PM
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The only way I'd agree with UBI is if part of the money is automatically "saved" somewhere, meaning even if the person receiving the stipend is rather lazy or a spendthrift, he/she would still end up with some savings, which can only be accessed upon reaching a certain age or for medical emergencies.

I'm not so sure about the idea of limiting the UBI by income. That would just bring us back to the same problem we have now with cash transfers to the poor, they reach a certain income level, they lose their allowance, making some people just not try harder.

I think that at the levels we're thinking at about income limits then it's not going to be something which is the same problem we have now (as the problem we have now set the limit too low, something around 24,000 which makes the gain from not working harder outweighs the benefits)

I don't think we should establish where these people spend their money, this is their own decision on what they're going to be doing with their money.

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I did. It's clickbait. He doesn't address any practical challenges facing AI implementations and how these could be overcome. AIs are still very bad at some very basic tasks, such as pattern recognition. This is far more than Facebook's creepy photo tagging. We as humans have billions of years of evolution behind us, which allows us to hit the brakes when we see an object on or near the road that shouldn't be there. CGP Grey instead proclaims that self-driving cars is a done deal and that was 4 years ago. Can't take it seriously.

Having said that, AI engineer is one of the best jobs to have right now. I know folks who got $200k straight out of college. Good option for anyone worried about job security over the next 50 years.

Ah, Suchmoon -- we agree on so much around here!

CGP Grey is usually a pretty good source, but sometimes these people abuse their audience as a way to throw them fake news. People have been saying that AI is going to take over all of the jobs of the world for years now, but it's never going to happen at least to the degree that people think it will.

This is fear mongering that is happening by so many people to push their own bottom line today.. as a way to freak people out for tomorrow.



2667  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Pennsylvania Catholic Church covers up 300 chomo priests on: August 25, 2018, 03:21:25 PM
The Catholic church needs to reform in this modern day. It just doesn't make any sense that a priest cannot get married like any sane person. That's why in my opinion, only pedophile and gay will become a priest. Just allow marriage so they won't gather in the church and misuse God's name to do molestation. I've watched so many documentaries about this issue and it's so disturbing.

I wouldn't go this far, though. You can't just go ahead and say that the only people that are going to become priests are gays and pedophiles I'm not going to be the one that defends the Catholic church for the atrocities that they have committed over the years, it's just not something that is possible to justify.

But yes, I do agree with at least one point in this -- I agree that the priests in the church should be allowed to marry. I don't really understand why they aren't allowed to do this already, but maybe someone can enlighten me on the issues of them getting married or something along these lines.

I would hope that prosecutors come down on the Catholic Church and finally show them that this type of behavior has to be rooted out of the church. They should be punished and scrub all of this forever, though who knows if they ever will.z
2668  Other / Politics & Society / Re: USA Verses Russia-Military power on: August 25, 2018, 03:04:38 PM
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Nobody wins in a nuclear war...

This is what people should understand, we don't want to see Russia and the United States ever go to a real full-scale war -- if this was to ever be the case the world would be obliterated as we know it.

Though we shouldn't underestimate the ability of proxy wars, as we are having proxy wars around the world as of right now -- as these two nations would never actually go to war against one another but they're going to use other nations in between them.

If we were ever to see the two of them go toe to toe, the US would remove them from the earth. The US has the tech, the capacity, and the willpower to win all of this out. Though we only know so much of what the capacity of some of these nations REALLY are (as there is covert stuff)

 
2669  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Trump's campaign manager Manafort and his lawyer Cohen guilty of 8 felonies each on: August 25, 2018, 01:16:55 PM
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Although Cohen and Manafort both seem like highly unethical characters AFAICT (Cohen was secretly recording his clients in order to collect dirt on them, and Manafort apparently worked for an evil Ukrainian regime), the specifics of these cases make them look more like a move against Trump. For example, it's extremely unusual for anyone to be pursued for bank fraud in which the bank didn't actually lose any money, or criminally for this sort of campaign finance stuff. And the campaign finance thing seems like a real stretch, since Trump has buried personally-damaging stories like this on several occasions before he was running for president. It'd be like saying that spending personal money to renovate your house was a campaign contribution because it'd look bad campaign-wise if you had a run-down-looking house; it's very tangential.

This is more of what I mean when I'm talking about these cases, as I do think that these cases are only being looked into due to the relation with Trump. If these were people who had no relation to Trump in the slightest, the penalties wouldn't be as stiff nor would anyone really care too much.

Campaign finance violation is without a doubt a reach, and it's something that Trump knows. He knows that other politicans have got in trouble for campaign finance-related activities -- and all it has lead to was some fines (nothing actually criminally)

I think all of this just helps Trump as he's going to cast the AG (DOJ) as working against him and the special counsel as meddling in things he has no business in.
2670  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Trump's campaign manager Manafort and his lawyer Cohen guilty of 8 felonies each on: August 25, 2018, 04:09:13 AM
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Removing the POTUS would require (1) impeachment by a simple majority in the House, which could be possible, and (2) conviction by two thirds in the Senate, which is extremely unlikely.

There is one hypothetical scenario if Democrats win the House and/or (very unlikely) the Senate. Republicans might rush to impeach Trump during the lame duck session as this would allow them to:

1) claim the high ground, law and order, etc;
2) craft the impeachment with all sorts of poison pills;
3) bonus: avoid the possibility of Democrats impeaching Trump AND Pence and putting Pelosi into the White House LOL.

People also don't understand the fact that if you remove Trump, who is someone who is HATED by the Democrats (and some moderates) by his strong stance on immigration, abortion, and so on and so forth. But when you're replacing someone like Trump I would assume people would want a push to moderate, but with removing him they're going to be getting Mike Pence

Mike Pence isn't anything close to moderate, and I think it would be fact for most people that Pence is much farther right then Trump on many things.

But I guess, back onto the topic.

I do think that people must remember that the crimes that Manafort committed had nothing to do with President Trump, and he is showing that he isn't going to flip (maybe because he has nothing to flip on, or maybe there's something that we're all not seeing at the moment) Though with Cohen, his crimes did relate to Donald Trump-- though I don't think the crimes that he committed were anything that should concern the President at all

I mean, Campaign Finance laws are laws without a doubt -- but the only thing I see coming out of this is a fine, which is what has happened to other politicians campaigns in the past. Though Muellers end game is to just try and flip people, though I would think that after this long something would have been dug up.

Lets see what will happen... I guess.
2671  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Feminism : A valid cause? on: August 25, 2018, 03:16:10 AM
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You're making the error of grouping all women into one group that want the same things, which obviously isn't the case, just like all men don't want the same things. There are some women who are happy to stay at home and be a housekeeper and raise children all their life and that's pretty much it, whereas there are women who want a career or to start their own business etc, but what path they choose should be there's and nothing should ever be forced or expected of them, just like it shouldn't be for men. If a man wants to stay at home and look after the kids instead of going to work then there shouldn't be anything wrong with that or any shame in it either. Of course, some women will benefit from the expected system that they're meant to stay at home if they're happy to do that, but not if that's not what they want. Luckily a lot of countries have moved past that expectation but there are still some countries and cultures that lag behind where women are pretty much expected to stay at home and cook and clean and I don't think that's right if they don't have any say in the matter.

Ah, thank god I found someone on this board who I share the same views with. People don't understand that the first wave of feminism WAS about equality among women, but this new wave of feminism doesn't follow these same ideals. This new wave of feminism is one which hates men and hates everything about them. They're trying to remove the masculinity from men, and that's the plan in the end.

But yes, not all women are represented by this 'hate men' campaign -- which is something I don't think the feminists understand at all.

Feminism is a valid cause when defined as the equality of all women. But when it is defined as a campaign which hates men, then it's something I can't agree with in the least.



2672  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Water Shortage in England on: August 25, 2018, 02:55:03 AM
Even though the media is going to try to spin this in a way which means that England is going to run out of water, this just simply isn't going to happen. People have to understand that this isn't the case -- even if England does run out of water, there is going to be other ways of getting water into the country. If this is really an issue, there is going to be some advancements in science that is going to lead to getting water from other sources, business is going to advance as they see an ability to make money off of this -- and they're going to compete in order to bring water to England (if this is REALLY an issue)

Though I don't think it is an issue in the least, people, have to understand that.
2673  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Venezuela, a fable about socialism. Part 1/2 on: August 25, 2018, 02:22:37 AM
You missed the part where this isn't the 'real socialism' and that they failed in their 'development' and the 'wrong people are in charge'

People don't understand that this is what a government FULLY entrenched in socialism is a government that is ALWAYS going to end up like Venezuela.

I do hope that they go down in flames, and I really do hope that people learn from this -- though I don't know if this is going to end up being the case. It always seems to end up being that people are going to say that this isn't the 'real way' and they're going to try it again somewhere else. It's usually a nation that was beautiful and booming before too, sad.....
2674  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russia vs the world??? on: August 25, 2018, 02:06:20 AM
I've heard this time and time again, the imminent war between the world powers which is going to come -- but weirdly enough never does. People don't seem to understand that these world nations are never going to go to war if they ever do the entire world would be destroyed and that would be the end of humanity as we know it. These world nations, through geopolitics, may seem like they're always on the way to war -- but they're not.

It's a scare tactic as a way to keep people at bay -- mostly within the authoritarian countries of Russia, China, and so on and so forth. The United States MAY use this as well -- though I don't think this is used to the same degree as countries that really do need it in order to use scare tactics against their citizens.

Russia is given a good amount of space in their own little 'sphere of influence' though, so people must remember this.

People also forget that Russia has a large amount of influence in the European area -- check out this link (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russia_in_the_European_energy_sector)
2675  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Fire jeff sessions, move pam bondi on: August 25, 2018, 01:14:33 AM
I'm not going to comment on anything you said before, it seems to be surrounded and shrouded with a good amount of conspiracy theories that I don't even want to comment on.

Though what I do want to comment on is the issue of Jeff Sessions. I do think that President should be able to have an Attorney General that is on the same wavelength as them. I don't think it's fair to President Trump to have an AG who is openly working against him. At this moment we even have Senators coming out and saying the same things that I'm saying right now.

Take some of these as an example
Quote from: Bloomberg News
“The president’s entitled to an attorney general he has faith in, somebody that’s qualified for the job, and I think there will come a time, sooner rather than later, where it will be time to have a new face and a fresh voice at the Department of Justice,” Graham told reporters.
- This is from Lindsey Grahm, one who has now changed on the issue.
Quote from: Bloomberg News
Senator Chuck Grassley of Iowa, the Judiciary Committee’s chairman, also changed his position on Thursday, saying in an interview that he’d be able to make time for hearings for a new attorney general after saying in the past that the panel was too busy to tackle that explosive possibility.


I know a good amount of Democrats are going to equate this to some Nixon level shit, but with an attorney general who is pretty much going rogue on the President in public, this is something that shouldn't be looked at as something other than a rogue member of the administration.
2676  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Is Trump just a puppet? on: August 20, 2018, 07:41:28 AM
I really don't even understand how people come for conclusions like this, how is the leader of the freeworld a puppet which is controlled by somoene else? Makes no sense to me personally.


Does Trump even have any real power or is he just another puppet controlled by the illumanati?

What are you opinions?
I would like to remind you that Trump operates a chain of hotels world wide. Each of these has Illuminati hiding in it, usually in the closets. They are only one small part of his forces.

Illuminati are also moved around between locations in 55 gallon drums, from which they can be released as needed. There are a million of these drums in the hotel basements.

<<<yes, it is being fabricated sentence by sentence>>>

But yeah, ILLUMININATI RUNS ALL OF HIS HOTELS AND DONALD J TRUMP JR is a spawn of Satan. Am I doing this right?
2677  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Do governments lose taxes with cryptocurrencies? on: August 20, 2018, 07:38:39 AM
It's so interesting that everybody here is talking about tax laws. Some are talking about tax fraud. Squatz1 is the only one that mentioned anything about a country, when he said "Americans". Don't you guys realize that every country has it's own laws? There are actually countries with no capital gains taxes. I think it's key to point out what country you're talking about when you start talking about laws. Of course all governments would love to have some more money, but they can't lose something they never had.

While most countries do have their own laws, and when I was talking I was talking about the United States most countries tax laws are going to be pretty similar when it comes to short term capital gains vs long term capital gains. Most countries do have their own sort of capital gains, and long term is the best capitals gains to have (speaking on a tax savings way of thinking here)

But yes, some countries don't charge capital gains tax at all - though typically this is done for people that are foreigners to the country, and not the people living in the country itself. I don't know of many countries which have no capital gains tax for their own citizens and for foreigners.

Back on topic here, don't take tax advice from some random guy on the internet. Read into stuff yourself and consult a tax professional in your area.
2678  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What about Ethereum-based gambling games? on: August 20, 2018, 04:27:02 AM
I mean I would understand the using of ETH during times where Bitcoin TX fees are high, and the volatility with Bitcoin is higher. But that right now, just isn't the case in the least. As ETH is on a long ways down, and the bitcoin TX fees are dirt cheap right now.

Don't know why'd you want to use ETH when you're going to get access to more sites when you're using bitcoin. I don't see a difference (at all) in the gambling sites that offer the two as well. Why not just use the REAL coin and not have to work with some BS alts.
2679  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Single Bet Roulette Strategy on: August 20, 2018, 02:59:02 AM
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Newcomers are often make a gross mistake, making several bets at the same time. In fact, it is much more profitable to make only one bet in each round.

I wouldn't go this far in saying that it's MUCH MORE PROFITABLE to make only one bet in each round. You may have better chances of winning yes, but you have no more chance to have more profitability.

When it comes to better, you're going to either be lucky or you're not going to be lucky. The house edge may be the factor in you being lucky or not (given if you make more bets or not) but in the end, you're either going to get lucky or you don't, and more times then not you're not going to end up lucky and the house is going to win.

I'd recommend understanding that there is no good gambling strat, and you're going to have to just bet for pleasure and not for gain.
2680  Economy / Gambling / Re: Cloudbet delayed withdrawals (over and over again). Avoid them! on: August 19, 2018, 09:57:41 PM
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More like it wouldn't make a big difference. There have been several accusations against them in the past and they are always too late to respond. Their account is highly active on bitcointalk but the withdrawal process itself is time-consuming. You know the general strategy all these sites use when a high amount withdrawal is requested: - Pull the KYC card! Cheesy

To be honesty, I really don't understand your logic. Lets just say that these gambling sites use the KYC card as a way to hold money longer -- this is due to make the users of their site hate them, and then put shitty feedback about them all over the internet, and then report them to consumer financial authorities in their own country -- which is most likely going to lead to the country telling the company that they're unlicensed and can't service their country with online gambling.

Now through all of this, they held one customer's funds, and now they have lost out on an ENTIRE COUNTRIES people due to it. I don't see that logic at all.

I think KYC holding of funds has to be done for a reason, any other way is just going to lead to the demise of the company at some point.
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