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2181  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 02, 2019, 04:56:07 PM
Masterluc's projected future doesn't sound too bad. I could live with that. He's been falsified several times, but only on short-mid term predictions. His original long term prediction, still in the neighborhood of "valid", has been uncannily accurate in the past.

Live and see, I guess. As usual. Hodl.
2182  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 01, 2019, 09:20:50 PM
there is one reason (besides many others) why BTCitcoin will succeed: printing infinite FIAT money to avoid the next recession

While recessions are part of the fiat game by design, aren't they?
I think recessions are part of the economy since the old times - when fiat didn't exist and money was hard (metals). Soft money just made things worse, quicker and more subject to the dishonest whim of central monetary authorities.
2183  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 01, 2019, 09:08:30 PM
-snip-
Halving is EXTREMELY bullish and the price will start rising before the halving and will go parabolic after the halving.

your certainty makes me uncertain  Grin

If it is a given why is nobody front-running the event ?

Indeed, I think it is happening. The extent of the front-running is of course uncertain. It could be limited to the noticeable accumulation by strong handed hodlers and fresh handed newcomers with a fat bankroll. But tomorrow's money isn't money until it hits your wallet, so the risk incurred by front running or accumulating is real. And what is rewarded by tomorrow's money is exactly today's risk.

As we're below PlanB's stock to flow model current value, I now question the front-running thesis. It seemed like we were front running for a while there, but maybe it was just "buy the rumor, sell the news" for Libra and Bakkt.
That's a good objection that makes me think. However, embracing it implies believing that the stock to flow model is valid. Which is definitely possible IMHO. The difference between "possible" and "proven" is the difference between a big future reward and a null one... hmm...  Huh  Roll Eyes ... more thinking required
2184  Economy / Economics / Re: Everything you wanted to know about BTC futures but were afraid to ask! on: October 01, 2019, 08:30:47 PM
Exactly.
This is a beginner section posts, and books have been written of futures, and careers have been built on them. So I eventually have to draw a line on the sand!

Please use your hands (or feet), regardless of your nicknames  Cool
2185  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 01, 2019, 08:22:25 PM
At NeuroticFish's request, I made this:

All posts in the Wall Observer thread in the past 1h, 24h and 7d
All posts in the past 1 hour: WallObserver.tk/1h.html (updated every 3 minutes).
All posts in the past 24 hours: WallObserver.tk (updated every 30 minutes).
All posts in the past 7 days: WallObserver.tk/7d.html (updated every 2 hours).

Domain WallObserver.tk expires a year from now, I'll see by then if anyone uses it.
All times are set to Amsterdam time.

Limitations:
Images still go through Bitcointalk's image proxy, and they don't load when there are too many on one page. In Firefox a fix is to go to the URL-bar a few times, and press Enter. Just "Reload" doesn't help.
I'm just leaving it here in case anyone things this is useful Smiley If not, please ignore it.

Thank you Loyce. I think this is a real service to people taking part in the biggest bitcoin conversation there is. Given your inhuman amount of merit, my puny few are better spent with people in need (sublegendaries, mostly). But please have one very valuable

+1 WOsMerit

only awarded in this thread after Toxic2040 mined the first one!
2186  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 01, 2019, 08:15:54 PM
-snip-
Halving is EXTREMELY bullish and the price will start rising before the halving and will go parabolic after the halving.

your certainty makes me uncertain  Grin

If it is a given why is nobody front-running the event ?

Indeed, I think it is happening. The extent of the front-running is of course uncertain. It could be limited to the noticeable accumulation by strong handed hodlers and fresh handed newcomers with a fat bankroll. But tomorrow's money isn't money until it hits your wallet, so the risk incurred by front running or accumulating is real. And what is rewarded by tomorrow's money is exactly today's risk.
2187  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 01, 2019, 08:06:01 PM

We move in weekly now, so a short here might still be a good play.

Would be surprised if we don't see sub $7k before we go up.


Edit:

and I thought I was an asshole

Don't worry. You are.


Fuck you fatty!

 I think you're onto something here Arriemoller.

We already have Thursday set aside for JJG appreciation day but Tuesday is wide open.   We could designate Tuesdays as "Fuck you Fatty Tuesday" and have our own weekly Mardi Gras with beads 'n shit.
Alternatively, we could designate Fridays as "Fuck You Fatty Friday" for the alliteration since that rolls of the tongue nicely.
FWIW, I vote for Friday, for the phonetic reasons you so well explained.

Quote
Whatever happens, we should probably get infofront to change the OP again to reflect the new special days.  I would hate to think of what might happen if a newbie were to happen upon this thread and become confused and as we know, Fatman3001 is quite anal about accuracy in attribution while quoting others (when convenient).  Make sure you spell his name right infofront!  It has two tees.
Nott his name tthough - tthe ttwo ttee's are in whatt we give aboutt big blocker rantts (a ratt's ass).

2188  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 01, 2019, 07:59:57 PM
Is the easiest way to gain merit really just posting Moonboy content ?

Maybe i should make a second acc.

Quality moonboy content is rewarded here, indeed - but it must have a sparkle of originality, or some humor, or something else to stand above the huge moonboy crowd that gathers around here.

Quality contrarian material can be rewarded too, if it's thought out and presented well. It's a tougher route, though.

You don't need a second account if you adhere to the above directives.

I promise you a merit for a good post - something worth reading, that gets me to think or makes me see something new. I mean a contrarian post.

Good luck.
2189  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 01, 2019, 10:34:47 AM
For your longs to be healthy, you must have had them open since the 3k levels earlier this year. Is that so?

I don't get it. I'd say all it takes for a long to be healthy is having been open below the current price, but maybe it's just me.
2190  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 01, 2019, 09:37:09 AM
Ps: How do i get a Profile picture ?

You get to full member (120 activity, 100 merit).

To get a hat, on the other hand...  Tongue
2191  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 01, 2019, 09:34:19 AM
as long your #HODL positions are larger than your short positions I would say it's just greed and not blasphemy.

Grin

My shorts sometimes overpower my longs indeed, but it's just greedy (rational) gameplay.

The whole of my play money is only a small fraction of my HODL stash anyway. I don't gamble with my future Smiley
2192  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 01, 2019, 09:15:51 AM
He (Ed: r0ach) recently find out that his birth certificate is an apology letter from Condom Company  Tongue

You made me laugh  Grin
You deserved my next to last merit!
2193  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 01, 2019, 09:11:10 AM
ASSEMBLE THE AARMYYYY!

We are taking 200DMA back from the BEARS!
so don't stop now.

My orders sitting around 8420 (because reasons) and didn't get filled yet.

200DMA @8441
I hope you are ready to short shiteboy.  Don’t let us down now.

Whiteboy420's BTC shorting orders should have filled.  That is if he is actually putting his money where his BIG mouth is, as many WO regulars would likely doubt to be the case, since most troll/shill nocoiner bitcoin naysayers fail/refuse to put their money where their frequently too BIG for their britches mouthes are.
Disclosure: I have a short open too, as a hedge. At the moment it's about half the size of my still painful long, and with patient scalping and rebuilding it has already paid me about 25% of the suffering. I will let it go if I can close it in the green (which is still totally possible), or when my stop hits - that is, when the long position's loss gets about half of what it is.

There are attitude differences between shills/nocoiners and me, though.

- I just do it when/because I feel I need to, so that I can reduce losses incurred or improve profits made on the long side. I am always fundamentally long, because I think it's just a matter of time until it eventually pays out.

- I am wary of shorting the corn. It's bad karma, and her cruelty to shorters can be wanton. Well, to longers too occasionally.

- I feel a tingle of shame when I reveal my short positions here  Roll Eyes
2194  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 01, 2019, 08:53:49 AM
This dildo won’t hurt a bit
As long as we don't stick it where it does.

IOW: we have seen a few short liqs already (thanks Bawb), and a few more may come along.
2195  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 01, 2019, 12:12:26 AM
Are we ready for some dildos?
As long as they're of the right color.
2196  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 30, 2019, 11:28:37 PM
The Possible Bakkt Effect has been disappointing for many ... There is still a long way to go, there are many events that can happen.

CME launched at the height of the frenzy. They also deal in dollars which will be way more attractive to the people likely to sign up.

I hope Bakkt have the gumption to keep going until it does pay off. Many places give up before then whereas if they'd stuck around for a few more months they would've have money pouring out their arses.

Circle are good at that.

This.

+1 WOsMerit
2197  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 30, 2019, 11:27:34 PM
Wow Arrie, you really got mad at that fat guy. He doesn't seem to be terribly bright. Not worth the anger if you ask me. I did like your poetic impetus though!  Grin
2198  Economy / Speculation / Re: Q4 -Quarter 4 speculation thread, where will 2019 end, join the LIST on: September 30, 2019, 11:24:03 PM
End of December
five months to the halvening
twelve hundred fifteen


(12015)


#haiku


Don't worry Arrie, they will pour out of you - without any conscious effort  Cool
2199  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 30, 2019, 02:42:54 PM

Just a few haikus...
Fatman gets triggered, ignores!
I founded the club.



#haiku
2200  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 29, 2019, 11:47:23 PM
Sane Arriemoller
haku'ed Fatman agape
Sunday's not over
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