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1221  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 11, 2021, 04:05:54 PM
The finance world is stirring with news, fake news, hints and innuendos. Interesting times indeed.

SEC Commissioner Peirce Says Market Is Ready for a Bitcoin ETP

Quote

U.S capital markets are ready for a bitcoin exchange-traded product, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commissioner Hester Peirce said on CoinDesk TV Thursday.
  • The regulator playfully known as "crypto mom" said people are already eager to trade a bitcoin ETP, "and so if we don’t give them the natural way, which I think would be an ETP, they are going to look for other (less optimal) ways to do it."
  • Peirce also pushed back in her interview against an emerging government narrative that cryptocurrency is a dangerous rail for terrorist financing. She cast doubt on the size of the alleged problem and insisted there was no way to ban bitcoin outright.
  • Pierce said she looks forward to working with SEC chairman nominee Gary Gensler once the former MIT digital currency professor is confirmed by the Senate.

Oh well. NOW that the cat is out of the bag, they could be ready for an ETF/ETP. Just when we feel we don't need it any more.

An ETF/ETP could be an additional way for mainstream finance to manipulate the price. Imagine the fun they could have with naked shorting.

I suggest writing to our representatives suggesting the time is ripe blah blah, protect the small investors from shady exchanges blah blah, BUT only if the ETF/ETP is payable in kind only. No paper, just plain underlying sweet bitcoin. Let anybody try to short the corn then. They'll learn what a honey badger does when badgered.
1222  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 11, 2021, 03:47:50 PM
It didn't make too much sense as it was.

Excellent scouting!
1223  Economy / Economics / Re: Tesla Bought 1.5 B in Bitcoins on: February 11, 2021, 02:52:55 PM
I think this news is by far the most important news in a long time, by far more important than PayPal. (I don't know if your "after Paypal" is meant on a chronological or importance order).
This is because not the effect on other CFO is they cannot ignore anymore the BTC option for their investment. One thing is a semi-obscure MicroStrategy share. Now we are talking about Tesla, one of the most knows brand in the world.

First of all, I was thinking about the importance in terms of general media coverage - because PayPal and Tesla sell news much better than, say, MicroStrategy or Grayscale - and we saw the effect literally in the first minutes after the news was published. Given Tesla’s reputation and the fact that Musk has over 40 million followers on Twitter this news spread with incredible speed and resulted in a price increase of 20% in the last 24 hours.

Now it will be interesting to see how long this positive wave will last, because probably like all other positive news it will weaken at some point - which means we can expect a price correction, what do you think about that?



It's also always possible that BTC will crash. In particular, the higher the price gets, the more likely it is that governments see BTC as a high-priority threat that they need to take out of the picture. It's not easy to make Bitcoin technically unusable, but there are probably actions that the Biden administration could unilaterally take which would crash BTC to sub-$5k, for example

Anyone who understands how powerful the state's mechanisms are (especially when it comes to the US) must keep in mind that the world's leading power will not allow Bitcoin to threaten the US dollar in any way - which is regardless of who is in power has always been and will be a political constant. I always remember Congressman Brad Sherman who said during the Libra debate that “Bitcoin is a small baby here.", which during 2019 did not seem so far from the truth.

An even more significant statement by the former U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin came during 2020 when he stated ‘We want a stable dollar,’ says U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin: ‘It is the reserve currency of the world and we’re going to protect that’.

Hard to do, even for a well loved, uncontroversial president. Crashing, or at least hitting hard, the companies that invested in btc - including space exploring, tech innovating, financially ripping, US poster child Tesla? Quite unpopular move. Wall Street, fresh VC, tech innovators would take note. Not good. Small investors who are in these companies only for "the tendies" wouldn't be happy, either. If I were Biden, I'd go to great lengths to avoid a shitshow like that.
1224  Economy / Economics / Re: SWISS NATIONAL BANK is the first Central Bank to own Bitcoin (via TSLA and MSRT) on: February 11, 2021, 02:19:11 PM

As for German banks, the news I want to hear is "Bundesbank has bought bitcoin."  Wink


Don't hold your breath!:

Re: SWISS NATIONAL BANK is the first Central Bank to own Bitcoin (via TSLA and MSRT)

Yes, I'd read about that, but I'd missed your later post:

Chistine felt the right thing was to make a statement to counter my Tweet:

ECB president Christine Lagarde says it's 'very unlikely' that central banks will hold bitcoin in the near future
-snip-

Yes, Chrissie, you could even ban European banks from holding btc by decree. You could base your ruling on volatility, induced instability on sovereign (Euro) currency, drug trafficking, child porn or Proudhon warnings.
All Swiss banks would have to comply immediately. Right?

Uh wait...  Roll Eyes
1225  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 11, 2021, 02:03:49 PM
Pump to 48K is being driven by this uncontrolled rumor coming from bitcoin Magazine:

Quote

DEUTSCHE BANK is preparing to buy Bitcoin - source n/a

@Bitcoin_Magazine

DYOR

in any case:
my body is ready.


Deutsche Bank has been an inverse Midas a long time already: everything they touch becomes shit.
They're in deep trouble.
Maybe they finally picked bitcoin as their lifeline?
It's not as big a piece of news as Tesla. Or if, say, Amazon or Apple jumped on the bandwagon.

As for German banks, the news I want to hear is "Bundesbank has bought bitcoin."  Wink
1226  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 11, 2021, 01:01:57 PM
This is big. It may be "just an African country", but it's a central bank. I just wonder how do they expect to be able to manipulate money supply without being able to inflate it? My guess is they'll use it for reserve only.

Quote from: WSJ
The custody bank said Thursday it will hold, transfer and issue bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies on behalf of its asset-management clients.
Issue bitcoin? Someone's being delirious at BNY Mellon. Or some WSJ journalist doesn't have a clue about bitcoin and should do some basic reading.


+1 WOsMerit
1227  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 09, 2021, 05:14:29 PM


Kraken's main server.

EDIT - Oops, Wekkel beat me to it  Angry
1228  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 08, 2021, 09:33:24 PM
I also have too much time on my hand so I looked into the Levan Polkka.
It's a Finnish polka about a girl who goes out partying against her parent's will.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7yh9i0PAjck

It then apparently somehow made it to Japan

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TU4wnVrZXo4

And was then picked up by a Turkish blind drummer sitting on a bench drumming, and that then got a life of it's own, resulting in the video we all love.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CAyWN9ba9J8

there is also tropical/eastern european techo-Levan Polkka:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Utud81Xc-fA

and a farmer version (old):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L8fW2n_ma9Y

some WO's are trying to counterfeit it.  Grin

https://youtu.be/0eVauFwBS4g

This doesn't look like a live recording though: it must be staged. Listen to the (effective!) stereo placement of the voices. It can't be achieved by a single microphone, much less if it's single diaphragm. This was recorded with individual mics.
1229  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 08, 2021, 03:25:07 PM
Next step - integrate Bitcoin mining in Tesla while driving.

Maybe redesign the climate system to use an ASIC as a source of heat? Not so effective in warm climates though. Not to mention the impact on battery life... it looks like a tough engineering problem.  Cheesy
1230  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 08, 2021, 01:15:30 PM
EDIT:
I hope the damn f2pool shortdumpers won't kill this beautiful daily candle!

They could.

All they need is $1.5B bitcoin to dump  Tongue
1231  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 08, 2021, 01:05:17 PM
Red on Sunday in the present context makes me think someone wants to go shopping from Monday on. They're just massaging the price a little.

Seems like my SOMA system got this right  Wink
1232  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 07, 2021, 10:58:15 PM
Red on Sunday in the present context makes me think someone wants to go shopping from Monday on. They're just massaging the price a little.
1233  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 07, 2021, 05:19:50 PM
Did some idiot start his selling bot? Who was it? It's Sunday no fiat flow into an exchange for me.

Don't worry. Monday first thing in the morning, Michal & Ross have two juicy orders ready  Wink

Michael Saylor/Ross Stevens bitcoin discussion at the MicroStrategy conference. Ross is a very eloquent speaker and made few points that should help companies on the fence see the light.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wA_fI-wUqnw
1234  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 07, 2021, 05:06:19 PM
Apologies if a link to this video has been provided previously.

Michael Saylor/Ross Stevens bitcoin discussion at the MicroStrategy conference. Ross is a very eloquent speaker and made few points that should help companies on the fence see the light.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wA_fI-wUqnw

The same video is available at MicroStrategy website as well.

A very eloquent speaker indeed. Rational bullishness from a guy in traditional finance - a risk management firm. If I had a few millions to take care of, I'd be itching to put it in bitcoin tomorrow. Or, wait, I could start today.

I'm out of merit, but will fix you ASAP.

+1 WOsMerits


EDIT - Fixed after a few days  Wink
1235  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 07, 2021, 01:27:36 PM
Off topic: GME's shorts are still not covered by far (50%), and a delay of weeks is to be considered, before hedgies will cover. They covered about 2% on friday, as it seems, and the price rose by a tad under 20%. Coincidence?

Maybe it's a coincidence; maybe not. What I can say is that Friday, as the previous Wednesday, the NYSE disallowed shorting that stock at prices lower than the best bid. This 'circuit breaker' rule is triggered whenever a stock's price declines over 10%. It is meant to allow "real" long sellers to sell their long stocks before "fake" (short) sellers can push the price further down. It was established by the SEC in 2010.

https://www.sec.gov/news/press/2010/2010-26.htm
1236  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 06, 2021, 11:07:30 PM
~

Is that all the gold you need to buy 1BTC? Imagine all the space you need  Lips sealed

yes. 1 BTC = 22 oz Gold currently.

if you have to leave the country your anus is to small for all the Gold!  Grin



https://nypost.com/2020/10/16/plane-passenger-caught-smuggling-gold-in-rectum-to-avoid-taxes/

The gentleman's choice. Rusty pipes are for plebs.
1237  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 06, 2021, 10:26:50 PM
No lambo for Joe!
1238  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 06, 2021, 05:04:00 PM
https://www.farmonline.com.au/story/7110658/china-stuns-market-with-monster-corn-purchases/

Quote
WORLD grain markets are struggling to make sense of a monster corn buying spree from China.

Simple explanation: they follow the WO. I blame it on Google Translate.

你好中国人,这是你要买的其他玉米! 玉米在这里是指比特币。
1239  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 06, 2021, 03:00:12 PM
I wonder if 'F2Pool' will shit all over the market to make their short futures contracts profitable again?

As very well presented (with plenty of evidence) here : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FpvbJ_Tokes

Very interessting!

Even F2pool can only have so many BTC to dump before they run low/out.

I don't think how many they have is relevant any more. There's a black hole of deep pockets ready to eat anything up. I hope to sneak my way as a minnow and chomp some of the goodies at a better-than-deserved price.

In other words: F2pool, bring it on please. Pretty please!
1240  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 03, 2021, 11:23:32 PM


Strictly speaking, the third point alone could be enough.

Yeah I believe he added that part for some extra pompousness and grandeur...  Grin

...unless by "wake up early" he meant a metaphorical "wake up (from fiat) early (say, before the first halving)"

The earlier the better indeed.
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