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1421
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: December 30, 2020, 02:15:28 PM
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I think the r0ach might be gone for good. It doesn't make me happy though.
Maybe he was just trolling us with his right-wing bullshit, wasn't really a no-coiner, and was secretly accumulating a massive Bitcoin stash. Maybe he's retired to a life of Lambos, hookers, and blow.  I always thought he was just trolling. I even suspected he's a cultivated jew. He used to know and understand way too much to be the typical right-wing extremist he appeared to be. However, deep in my heart I suspect lambos, hookers and blow are not where he's at right now. |
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1422
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: December 30, 2020, 01:48:02 PM
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That's what I said. Put an "innocent bystander" (e.g., a harmless pregnant woman) on the front and attack from the back. Robot can't react.
I don't get it, why should a robot not defend itself against a pregnant woman? First law. Women are humans too. And the innocent fetus could be counted too, depending on point of view, advancement of pregnancy, and other parameters. Let's not go there now.That sounds like Roach! The regular print or the small one?  BTW, I think the r0ach might be gone for good. It doesn't make me happy though. |
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1423
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: December 30, 2020, 01:19:18 PM
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That's what I said. Put an "innocent bystander" (e.g., a harmless pregnant woman) on the front and attack from the back. Robot can't react.
I don't get it, why should a robot not defend itself against a pregnant woman? First law. Women are humans too. And the innocent fetus could be counted too, depending on point of view, advancement of pregnancy, and other parameters. Let's not go there now. |
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1425
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: December 30, 2020, 12:19:29 PM
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Holy fuck. Based on that, I think we will have will have humanoid robots in our homes by 2030. A buddy has a robot mower for his lawn. And it’s starting to make sense to replace our lawn guy with a robot... "holy fuck" was also the first thing that came into my mind watching this. how long will it take for those things to stop you at some intersection and ask for drivers license and some sats? scary creatures. when we will meet them in real life i bet them are not dancing for us. it will be other way around...  I am scared. I, too, have read the Asimov short stories as a kid. The Three Laws are a good idea but a practical impossibility because of the way they are coded. Consider a robocop that fines you. That is damaging a human. Do the Laws only cover physical harm? What if the fined human chooses to destroy the robot? It should succumb voluntarily. Will it or...? Will they code anti-burglar/anti-vandal response into the robots? How far can they go? Is a pregnant woman the same as a gang of thugs? Can a gang of thugs acquire relative immunity by hiring a pregnant woman as a robofront? |
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1429
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: December 29, 2020, 10:21:35 PM
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SEC is not a BTC risk. There is a huge difference between XRP and BTC. Ripple Labs is a corporation that prints and controls XRP. There is no equivalent in BTC (and no Blockstream is not the same).
The SEC is doing us a favour by killing off competing shitcoins. Bitcoin dominance will soar further.
I also see it like this. I doubt the SEC is going to target ETH though. The case is not as easy as it is for XRP, and interest in ETH is probably already widespread enough (among largish companies and potential lobbyists) to have crossed the too big to fail threshold. |
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1430
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: December 29, 2020, 09:14:47 PM
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Old poll results:  Please consider this as a future poll for a change from the usual numeric estimates. My TA says we are running too hot right now. Currently we are at the March 2021 price and it’s only December so we are roughly three months ahead of schedule.
Likely scenarios are:
1. My TA is shit
2. We are aiming for a 2013 crash (although I would say we have not yet gone parabolic so this is a lower risk)
3. We will stagnate at this price for 3 months and everyone will get bored
4. This time it is differentTM and This Is Gentlemen please pick the colour of your helicopter (no black helicopters please)
5. We are going to have a mild dump heading into early January and then bounce.
Personally I’m going with option 5. Again I am not trading this - it’s not worth the risk.
Edit: If we make it to 15 January without a meaningful drop, options 2 & 4 become more prominent (never forgetting option 1).
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1432
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: December 29, 2020, 07:56:26 PM
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People "should" root for a correction because we are already overextended on a temporary basis and if we would keep going vertically UP, then we will reach the "blue" NUPL sooner than later and undergo a large correction. This ALWAYS happened before.
Having a "nice" 19% correction to 23Kish would allow up to keep going much further.
... and allow some wise bitcoiner to hoard a little bit moar. (Not to mention degenerates.) |
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1433
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: December 29, 2020, 07:39:28 PM
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Great suggestion, Hueristic, thanks. I already have Ublock Origins installed. Do I have to pick overlays on each site separately, or is there a catch-all option I haven't noticed?
Yes as far as I know but then it is saved except for a few sites like pinterest that write code to make new JS overlays every time you load the page (no surprise as they are theifs that steal all their content and manipulate the site to force you to pay). Great thanks!
NP  Thanks, I assume you mean there is a catch-all. Next time one of those pesky JS overlay comes up, I'll be sure to punish it with Ublock Origins. As for pinterest, I loathe that site. Even asking me to register to view content is too much. Still proudly no Spotify here, for example. And they do not simply copy-paste. |
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1434
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: December 29, 2020, 07:16:32 PM
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Moving is complicated. A big problem is you may have family/friends/whatnot at the old place who you can fall back on if things go weird short-term. Move to a new place and that's not there. So the lack of any kind of a safety net (social or financial) keeps people from just being able to "move".
That's totally not counting the xenophobic nature of people to reject anyone new in their community.
TL;DR Arrie the xenophobe says Africans are stupid for living where they live. Should they move to cooler climates, they're sure to find friendly landmines to welcome them. |
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1436
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: December 29, 2020, 04:22:14 PM
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Seriously, if you are counting on a single cheap NAS it's better to give your data to Bowsette....  She'll take care of it. I wouldn't mind her taking care of some of my data. Oh yeah. Whenever I hear "give us your bitcoins and we will take care of it!" I think of an image like this. Bitcoins? Who said anything about bitcoins? I was thinking about different types of corn. But I'm sure you see. |
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1437
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: December 29, 2020, 03:35:35 PM
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On the one hand, I find this terrible; running RAID-less storage units.
On the other hand, you are duplicating NAS A onto NAS B at regular intervals.
My brain is beginning to cook just a little bit.
Technically he is doing disk duplexing: Two disks, two controllers, two channels. I always found custom raid controllers to be the worst possible idea: Not only are you reliant on the N+1 disks, you're relying on the controller not blowing a hole in itself and sinking everything. Bonus if you can't get a new controller/same version. Super bonus fuckage if the controller stores all the disk information in its eeprom instead of on-disk. Custom raid controllers are bad. In my limited and unhappy experience, soft raid controllers (as found in some BIOSes) are also unreliable. N+1 is bad, too! Apart from the ugly performance, when one disk fails, the others are not that far behind, which exposes you to data loss. Also, resilvering (rebuilding the mirror when a new disk replaces the dead one) takes forever and stresses the rest of the array. The KISS principle says the "best" way to have effective redundancy in a "single" device is a simple 1+1 mirror. What I like about zfs is that it provides mirroring as a high level software service, so the hardware/controller thing becomes a non-issue. The disks and controllers are turned into a fungible commodity, which is where I aim to be. Seriously, if you are counting on a single cheap NAS it's better to give your data to Bowsette.... She'll take care of it. I wouldn't mind her taking care of some of my data. |
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1438
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: December 29, 2020, 03:09:21 PM
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Well that was fun... Shut down my Synology NAS today to do some electrical work around the house. Powered it back on and was greeted with a flashing blue power light and not much else. Turns out the NAS itself has shat the bed and not the hard drives; common issue with the DS415+ apparently (not that that helps me much) So now I've got to buy another NAS tomorrow and HOPE that my 24GB of data isn't all fucking gone when I plug the disks into the new NAS. If it is gone it isn't the end of the world (mostly TV shows and movies on it) but I've spent years collecting it all. I know it's off topic but just had to rant. Told my wife and she wasn't too interested  On topic however... these last two days have been good consolidation I think. Things were getting a bit too heated, nice to catch our breaths a bit before the next leg up. Hope everyone has a better day than I Mirroring? If you're going to build from scratch, I advise you to consider XigmaNAS, open source based on FreeBSD. That zfs file system is the shit. EDIT - The mainboard died on me once, it was an AsRock, a little brittle IME. I had to get a new one, hard to find. If it dies again, I'll rebuild with some other cheapish brand (Gigabyte likely). Advice: don't skimp on RAM. zfs likes it, and it's put to good use. Only once I had to recover a disk, it was from another system that died (disk was good in itself). Format was UFS. Plugged it in... recognized in no time. Copied the data over to another, mirrored zfs pool, reformatted the old UFS disk - which is still working as one half of a different mirror now. |
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