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1401  Economy / Speculation / Re: Calling top at $16500 (New speculation: Guess the price 19 Feb 2021!) on: February 16, 2021, 07:23:12 PM
I'm also unflinching in my wondering of why Peter McCoremack has dropped the defence of "truth".



Something something "no proof", something something "need signed message", perhaps?

1402  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 16, 2021, 07:18:53 PM
1403  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 16, 2021, 06:49:32 PM

https://twitter.com/PeterSchiff/status/1361717952102469634

"A permanent move down to zero is inevitable..."

1404  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 16, 2021, 01:47:47 AM
Always make sure your house has a fireplace. Friend in Texas is -3 temps and no power. A miserable heat pump won't do squat in that case.

... right, doesn't need to be wood fire just something that burns, when all else fails the ancient way to combat ice is with fire

... diesel, oil, gas, propane, wood, plastic ... anything that burns to survive, fuck these greenie idiots who've never lived in a true time of want or need

Yeah but propane prices are through the roof rn. What happens if they keep going up?
1405  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 16, 2021, 01:46:41 AM
The pessimist complains about the wind;
the optimist expects it to change;
the realist adjusts the sails.

-William Arthur Ward
1406  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 16, 2021, 01:45:08 AM
Quote
ECB took to their Twitter account on Valentine's Day to Tweet out a love poem about monetary policy.

    Roses are red
    Violets are blue
    We’ll keep financing conditions favourable
    ‘Til the crisis is through#ECBmyvalentine #ValentinesDay
    — European Central Bank (@ecb) February 14, 2021

... the delusion grows strong with these ones

"Favourable to whom?" is the appropriate response.

And are they implying that they will change financial conditions back to "unfavorable" when the crisis is over? Lol
1407  Economy / Speculation / Re: Calling top at $16500 (New speculation: Guess the price 19 Feb 2021!) on: February 15, 2021, 06:32:37 PM

But not the one thing that would unequivocally prove it.  Wink
1408  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 15, 2021, 05:53:33 PM
the combination of the best performing asset in the history of finance being also the by far most volatile asset in history is a heavy weight to lift.  we are not specially trained, hardened professional traders with balls of steel. most of us are regular guys who would have never chosen becoming traders. with selling the entire stash being just a mouseclick away, hodling btc is like trading - you choose not to sell, every new moment, every new day, every new wave of FUD.

We had no choice but to grow balls of steel ourselves. when your life savings can literally evaporate overnight, getting up in the morning, checking the price would be hyper stressful for a someone not used to it. it became routine for us. but it takes time for those balls to harden. and sometimes, for example when reaching a certain threshold money figure like $100 000 or even 1mio, even seasoned btc hodlers can experience high stress levels again.

I definitely recommend taking a little profit and treating yourself now and again. Not too much cause it hurts when the price goes up and the toy you bought for $50 would have got you $500 or even $5000 (though this in itself is good training to hodl) but it's definitely nice to know that even if everything went to 0, you'd still be ahead. Another thing is to make a plan and stick to it and remember that you can't predict the future, only make the most of probabilities. Also, you can't take it with you.

Just take your initial investment back as that relieves any stress.

Nothing beats Playing with House Money. Cheesy

I agree with this. Hodl until you can take out your initial investment and still have plenty left over, and then liquidate it into some other deflationary asset like a house, land, a business, PMs, etc. And pay off any debts you owe.

That way no matter where Bitcoin goes from there, you can always say, "Well at least I have [X/Y/Z] to show for it."

(But for the love of god don't buy an expensive car with it, that's just stupid)
1409  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 15, 2021, 05:03:24 PM
Way to go, City of Miami! Awesome bitcoin news! (yes old news but I missed it)

https://twitter.com/FrancisSuarez/status/1360069847971954690
1410  Economy / Speculation / Re: Calling top at $16500 (New speculation: Guess the price 19 Feb 2021!) on: February 15, 2021, 04:31:01 PM
<snip>...bitcoin to continue to produce its various kinds of foundational "utility"...</snip>

By jove JJG I think you've grokked it!

If you can set aside your Craig Derangement Syndrome for a second and take an objective look at what BSV is doing you would see that this "foundational utility" is at it's core (pun intended).

BSV has merely reverted to the original design of bitcoin. Restoring SCRIPT, removing the unnecessary (can be done in SCRIPT) P2SH, removing various limits that allow it to scale. As it *always* could.

So this foundational utility is in Bitcoin *right now*. It always has been. Remember SCRIPT was there at the beginning, core disabled it. (which is why Vitalek made Ethereum... you do remember all this stuff right?)

I too have consistently talked about how utility value eventually outweighs speculative value. In that post (7 years old now, btw and I'm *still* saying the same thing. *Exactly* the same thing) I talk of "the adoption curve" this is driven by utility. I've already banged that same drum in this very thread!

So it's refreshing to hear others starting to see this.

I think your talk of me "giving up on his stupid-ass ideas" is wishful thinking, or perhaps even projection. I do wonder that some of the things I am saying might eventually seep through the thick skulls around here ;p


Sorry to piss on your "utility" parade sgbett, but:

As long exchanges charge 1-2% just to purchase BSV, another 1-2% to sell it, and (in the U.S. anyway) the IRS wants to tax it for either short term (income) or long term gains (15-20%), coupled with the fact that no merchants want to accept it for any goods or services, I'm afraid that your dream of BSV "utility" as a worldwide daily currency is completely DOA. There is zero incentive to buy and use BSV over just using fiat accounts for daily purchases.

Add in the fact that the fraud CSW is at the helm of it all, and basically BSV is already a zombie coin that will never go anywhere. Like, ever.

But keep dreaming...delusion can run soooo deep.
1411  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 14, 2021, 09:25:51 PM
I missed the hat thing. I haven't asked what it's about but I am curious. If it has anything to do with the UASF hats, I'm not interested.

It has nothing to do with UASF. The hats thing is just a fun thing given to hi merited, perhaps worthy frequent flyer contributors to the WO thread.
1412  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 14, 2021, 09:23:21 PM
OT: China back at it building ghost cities fueled with debt, this time around even more expensive ones:

https://www.cnn.com/style/article/chengdu-future-city-design-competition-masterplan/index.html
1413  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 14, 2021, 05:07:40 PM
The world's reserve currency, the paper fiat USD, has lost fungibility in Venezuela.

https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/venezuelan-collapse-scam-damaged-us-dollar-bills-being-exchanged-less-actual-value

It's happening.
1414  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 14, 2021, 05:05:59 PM
I'm not even implying it is necessary to use blockchains in tracking deliveries. I'm just pointing out a field of application where it might be useful to use some kind of blockchain

No, if a blockchain is not a necessary component of the use case (because a cheaper, faster, or more efficient technology can be used instead and it works fine), then it is not even useful. Period.
1415  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 14, 2021, 04:20:45 PM
i think he is pissed about bitcoin because of this:

Quote
It was taken over by Covid denying sociopaths w/the sophistication of amoebas

which is an impression on could get when seeing bitcointwitter and nothing else. there is a very vocal group, even guys like tone vays went down this shithole.

but: if my political opponent is getting rich isnt it my duty to also get rich? an asshole finding out about a great tool does not make me want to not use the great tool. of course i keep using it. cant let the opponent have the benefits just for him.


Universal money has no ties or affiliation to any political group, religion, tribe, association, or other, nor should it. It is completely agnostic and ambivalent to who uses it.
1416  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 14, 2021, 04:13:46 PM
Of course, a certain fraction of bogus data makes a database worthless if you can't locate it and fix or erase it.
I'm trying to make a different point: legitimate uses of blockchains - unlike THE blockchain: maybe not permissionless, not PoW based etc - for specific application. An example: tracking deliveries.

You talk about tracking deliveries as if it is necessary and mission-critical that that use case have blockchain tech attached to it.

The last 30+ years of our working "global parcel delivery system" would like to have a word with you.

Blockchain not bitcoin: solution looking for a problem that either doesn't exist, or isn't that critical.

Bitcoin solves a problem and the problem is what Bitcoin solves.

Statement of the century.
1417  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 14, 2021, 02:58:52 PM
https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1360276917992230919?s=20

Btw what the F*** is happened with this guy.

Always respected him a lot, changing at the moment though.

Someone must have gotten to him. Or he has lost his mind.

If he bought BTC thinking it would make a great stable "currency", then he is truly a fkn idiot.

1418  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 14, 2021, 02:23:15 PM
Exactly this.  Blockchains applications which are not currencies are worthless because any extraneous data added to the blockchain can be fake.  Only currencies do not require anything to be added.  

Not necessarily worthless. You can add a fake piece of information, but it's timestamped. What matters more, it forces you to fake later info related to the first fake piece. You can't go back and fix the logs after the fact. This can be valuable even if the info itself could be fake.


if the "honesty" of the data cannot be enforced, what good is it to have fake data, that can´t be altered? and also: who is saying that time stamped data cannot be altered anyway? if it is a public blockchain, a 51% attack is always theoretically possible, making the entire endeavor useless from the get go. then better use a private blockchain? well, that is even worse, now you have created an extra slow and inefficient database with no better security than any other shared database.

there is a reason why it took satoshi nakamoto only 3 months between publishing a concept paper (white-paper) and rolling out the functioning public blockchain called bitcoin and for the next 13 years no one was able to come up with any other "blockchain product" (except for the all useless copy cats called shitcoins, which none are truly decentralized)
the entire Blockchain-not bitcoin narrative did not get a single use case identified, despite billions of dollars invested and years of research.

bitcointechnology is a one trick pony. blockchain is not a technology, it is a buzzword. imagine astronauts discovering some living creature on mars. it lives. the want to know what makes it "work" . if those astronauts were "blockchain-not bitcoin" dudes, they would identify some part of it as being the most important and cut it out. the creature dies and they wonder why. they think that "living" is a function of the part they cut out. but "living" is an emergent property of the entire organism that went through its evolution cycle. it is not a mere function of any identifiable part, that can be used without the rest of the creatures body.

we should discuss this topic down to the teeth. it is 2021 and this is a bitcoin elite grade forum. if we cant get it sorted no one ever will.
 Cheesy


I remember years ago, anytime someone showed up on this thread shilling shitcoins or blockchain-only tech, I challenged them to debate about it. To go down the rabbit hole of rational, logical thought in order to unpack why "blockchain not bitcoin" will never, ever work. None would even try. It's like they want to remain happily ignorant and stupid about it. (Either that or they secretly know the truth).

And the media, they want the public to remain haplessly stupid about it too, not even quite at the Mt. Stupid level of knowledge. That way the media can continue selling the narrative of shitcoins/blockchain, and the haplessly stupid will continue to buy their shit tokens and fund their silly projects that will go nowhere.

It's all been a massive, global, media-fueled social engineering campaign to steer the dumb masses away from Bitcoin. And by all accounts, it has worked for over a decade.
1419  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 14, 2021, 01:46:27 AM
Without bitcoin there is no crypto, no digital currency and no use case of blockchain technology.

To be fair, I think a few use cases for blockchain technology exist - like cryptographically reliable timestamping of certain transactions. The shipment industry could be an example, or the stock market and the clearinghouses behind the curtains, where strict timing and prioritization of trades could be made transparent. The only important property is that you can't touch a past block without invalidating later ones.

However, such an unwieldy, inefficient, slow thing as a non-permissioned, fully distributed blockchain, with PoW, ...well, then of course there would be no need. Except for bitcoin  Wink

the problem is that the only thing that is unforgeable is the transaction history of the used decentralized token. the only thing that a bitcoin protocol can guarantee AND enforce is the genuineness of the token.  it cannot enforce anything outside of the protocol. they are called token because all they can do is represent.  the tokens can not be attached to any thing in the physical world. supply chains or transport chains cannot be trusted only because some software is used. a bad actor can always just betray the system, the software cannot enforce anything. the bitcoin protocol can enforce the the rules that make a bitcoin a bitcoin. this is a closed system. since it represents money (which is an abstract concept, that is why has so far reaching consequences) we get a money that is not forgeable, cannot be censored, etc, etc.  the bitcoin protocol could not represent a container or an egg to make it a "honest" egg or container.

Yep...I think of all the millions of $$$ paid by corporations all over the world to so-called "Blockchain consultants", and after 4-6 months of going round and round internally with them of how said corp could possibly "leverage blockchain", the reality sinks in as they come to this exact conclusion.

And then suddenly they realize all the money they wasted on this crap, as they sunset the Blockchain pilot project.  Cheesy
1420  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 13, 2021, 08:02:39 PM
Any conspiracy theorists here?

Why would both India (expected) and Nigeria (unexpected) suddenly lurched toward banning or limiting all cryptocurrencies?
These two countries have quite a few people, lol.

My conspiratorial explanation is that as WS is getting into bitcoin, it does not want competition for the precious corn.
Nigerians were quite into bitcoin, I hear.

Say, a few massive wealth managers quietly talk to IMF or whatever other Central central bank there is, the IMF 'people' whisper something into India and Nigeria regulator's ears and voila-new policies are being enacted and competition to buy corn is lessened. US based hedgies/wealthies probably figured... less for them, more for us.

This all is just a product of my wild imagination, of course.


The only thing I can think of, is that the Govt/CB of those respective countries know that their people can go crazy viral with financial PnDs, especially with such corruption amongst their wealthy elite that may want to FOMO drive such frenzies. So this may be an effort to curb that public enthusiasm for a while. (And allow the wealthy elite there time to take up Bitcoin positions, of course). I doubt it would last though.

It's not unlike what the Chinese govt/ PBC did to curb/nerf public enthusiasm for Bitcoin back in the 2013-2015 time frame (aka "China bans Bitcoin!").
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