It's mostly always a mess as soon as the mainstream starts to rush in. But as so often, i'd really point out the high probabilistic chance that we well laugh about these now times as things settle down and Bitcoin established itself as a stable, reliable protocol in everday use. This may be 10 or 20 years from now, but when you look back, and count the many Bitcoin obituaries, compared to where it stands today, it grew too big to become a short lived mainstream trend. By that time, most altcoins will be distant memories of the wild-west aera of cryptocurrency...

Just my 2 cents 

So many "seems", but no sources. Do you want me to take this seriously?
That said, you're whole argumentation spins around distracting from the contents of the linked article.
As of the alleged camps, this was featured in many western media

And to make it clear: "Free" is a concept virtually non existent in a totalitarian "democracy" like Russia. It's pretty bold to claim people are " free to do what they wish" in such setting. Regarding re-education you might be right, when i cynically draw a comparison to the "occasional" not-reeducating taken place on the streets and in the homes of temporarily occupied cities. But, you would probably see a mass-grave of murdered civilians as an "alternative, completely trouble-free form of existence, for thousands of people in their new important community-role of biologically feeding the worms serving duty for the creation of fruitful soils"?

WTF; man, WT actual F? 

Didn't Russia make that mistake before (possibly Afghanistan)?
Also, AFAIK as an invader, to fully take over and hold a country, you'd need 4 times more soldiers than the victim country.
This is probably the reason to draw another 20k soldiers from Moldavia into UA, "borrowing" tens of thousands of foreign figthers from Syria, Iran. They have to cover their personell deficits in the army. They need experienced fighters with stamina, because the young recruits we falling like flies in face of a well trained enemy.
Chances may be that Putin already is all-in as soon as he involves Moldavia. I dnn't think he can keep the russian families calm when he starts mobilizing their russian sons and fathers. That might get interesting. He can't detain half of the population...

I can only agree so much, as that the small stack has to play overly tight and conservative, has a greater risk to be eliminated faster by blinds/antes, so there is some variation to this rule regarding the type of poker game, height of stakes and limits, to name a few variables. But by pure math probability, the conservative player is generally more profitable in the long run, which doesn't necessarily include the aspect of deepness of the players pockets, so this one was substracted from my approach of a comparison.

Interesting article about the current state of the russian army involved in UA "special military operation" and in general (german, use google translate for convenience):

https://www.nzz.ch/international/ukraine-russland-hat-fuer-den-krieg-zu-wenig-soldaten-ld.1682506

On the other hand, there have been interviews that raise concern that ukrainian's smartphones are searched by soldiers for "anti russian" content and people are checked for their opinions on russian politics. Based on their answers and smartphone findings they are detained to be sent to russian "reeducation camps" (like Uigurs in China), otherwise being handed a paper that allows them to move freely in Ukraine as well to immigrate to Russia.
De-Nazification at its best... 

Thanks for clarification, so i was really meaning mobilization, then. My dictionary translated "draft" like "to draw in", that explains the confusion.
I hope you used that special-military-operation quotes for use on the term "officially" 

This drummer's got a funny grip, sticks held like with german grip but palms turned in like american grip. Just saying, because i used to play german and recently incorporated more french/american grip styles, mainly for faster double strokes.
Funny musical comment on the Bitcoin chart, btw 
 

Yes, after looking up "draft" in a dictionary. Every russian man capable of serving the army will be drafted. I'm not a native speaker, btw.


How much do you get paid for shilling russian war propaganda?
Putin's troll army is not a secret anymore, you might have noticed already....

Retrospectively.
Example: A distinct, defined chart pattern was followed by trend continuation, usually on a few selected timeframe charts,  more often than trend reversal.
So the probability is higher that the same pattern will be completed by a continuation move.

It's like winning/losing probabilities of a poker hand, but you can almost always be beaten with the strongest hand on the turn by your opponent when the river card is drawn. So if you play strict probability poker for a long time, you should be in profit, compared to high "volatility" when playing a little against these odds. But, playing short and loose agressive play, like daytrading, might get you bigger single gains.


That's one candle i was waiting for, if you followed my posts here.
Well, it could be orchestrated with some effort by a group of whales, but i think chances are better for a growing market again. We'll see shortly, anyway.
One thing is certain, there is buying interest and there is growing attention when it comes to Bitcoin. This may be the factor that didn't make this correction after last ATH as flashy-crashy as we used to see before, recover faster and build a stronger foundation for another rise. We didn't have that before, but Bitcoin always does the opposite of what most people expect it to do.

chart analysis? Or technical analysis as such, like analysis done by the help of technology?

EDIT: For the former... My try: Drawing patterns and lines that help deciding for trading options based on probabilities.

EDIT2: I know, could have expressed it in a more precise way (finding levels, mapping past chart movements and so on)

 

Back to topic:
Bitcoin broke the lower boundary of the uptrend channel starting october last year. That didn't end well last time, could be worse, though. Can be the start of something completely opposite.
We already know the market. What goes up must come down, and vice versa. The days of derivative juggling and leveraging are counted, as laid out by on-chain analysis.
Patience needed. I stopped all micro-tradings and just hodl since March.

EDIT: My currently biggest first world problem to share: Finding a skatebord deck with stunning artwork or attractive pattern graphics. Most people like to hang paintings or photographs onto their home's walls for decoration, while mine are populated by great looking, 3D shaped boards, made of canadian hickory plywood 
Now i chose one to ride for one of my sons and i can't find a good looking replacement 

And even if you repeat this nonsense a thousand times, doesn't make it true. It's war, and it's also a russian war against their own country's citiziens, by sending brainwashed soldiers and clueless sons of russian mothers straight into death. Sovjet Union is over, it's only exisiting in the sick minds of the criminals who run your government. Something to be proud of, no?

Churchill said the next Nazis will be Anti-Nazis. Sounds 100% right to me.

EDIT: I still hope Putin won't call out general mobilization of forces, for your own sake. No Bitcoiner (noone, really) should be foced to serve to kill.

LOL
I caught a cold and i can only see clouds and wet surfaces all around my place  

EDIT: moved the reply to here from above:


Fuck...
Most contractors will probably tell you anything to get hired for a project. Before you choose them, look at their references and talk to the according customers. Most time, if you find a competent contractor, he will likely only rely on sufficiently skilled subcontractors, which he worked with successfully in the past.
Yes, it takes more time in the beginning, but generally saves a lot of frustration, time and unexpected cost later.
I hope there's a finished farmhouse already, where you and R can enjoy living and escape from the frustration of stuck projects a little.
Focus on the end result. Every day. Remember: Bad times are usually followed by good times. You know your goal, so you will get there  

We also have huge availability issues over here in europe, and also pricing got a big issue. More and more projects are put on hold or are delayed, no builder can give any price guarantee anymore, which scares off future private home owners. I see piles of processed steel and parts at various companies, as well as processed wood, which are both short on order since months now. The builders that were able to hold/put material on stock will be the ones that survive on the local market, if the situation won't ease soon.

If i were you, i'd divide the project into subprojects, give priorities to each and define smaller steps from start to finish. Then try to realize them / get them build by priority, step by step, if possible some parallel in time. This should deliver constant results that don't give you the impression the whole thing "just stops".
It would be good if you have somebody you can trust, who has some expertise, to look over and manage the process constantly.

If possible, let the builder give you a list of needed material. You (or the "manager") can check where you can buy the material from at a good price in time, so the builder can start when you have most important stuff available at site.
Where i live, workers and building companies have started to let the customer buy and organize needed materials, so nobody can blame them for "overpriced" services. This reduced the number of customers not willing to pay on time. Better for the companies to get work done faster, and also a reality check for customers pricing assumptions.



EDIT: Moved a bit downwards, because the recipient already read the original post before i got his part in...

It's always good to know when to look for help.
I suggest a full break in near future, if you can do this, being in the middle of your current project(s). Two weeks minimum, with minimal touching points to the stupid space rock population, in a comfy place, for example a cottage in the lower mountains.
Lately, i started experimenting with electrostimulation of selected nerve branches, which already gave me some benficial results that i have to try to falsify now.
I'll keep you uptdated. If i'll be about sure that it's actually helpful and not only the fucking ole placebo fx.

EDIT: I did stick bright white LED into my ears in the past (which was definitely a placebo), don't ask  
But i'll probably never stop trying things to improve my short dumb life on this damn planet.

Off to RL for some hours, got a mild flu, have to bury a chicken, because the damn fox doesn't show up...

Past the $35.xxx downward spike?
I would carefully start picking up some sats now.

As long as this goes on, it can't go on forever.
We had way shittier times within the last 5 years. All noobs are pussies (like i was when i started getting into BTC)  


Don't worry about Russia. Brilliant times ahead for their nation! They will rise to Great North Korean standards soon. *imagine trumpet orchestra playing heroic theme here*


Zen

My neighbor's wife is russian (studied in europe), his brother's girlfriend is ukrainian.
Both say all russians are routinely brainwashed, practically after given birth.
Right after that statement i could perfectly understand be.open's reasonings.
He's a victim, similar to the boys that died in "military training outside the borders of UA" recently.

Russia is a bubble.

^The best satire you can find on the internet as a Bitcoiner.

Seconded. And a strong nominee for the next poll!

A breitbeard, possibly?


You're right. And then i read it up, which revealed that you're making up "facts" by mixing similar words with different meanings. They weren't even defined in nearly the same times of history. Now, when you take the original connection to monotheism, you could as easily shout out "Everybody believing in a single god-like entity is semitic, so the ancient greeks were antisemites as well", for lack of a better example. You could just say ANYTHING to make Lavrov's dumb statements seem wise, but there's no way to find something actually true to achieve this.

I started to play insane Cryptotourist's game now, and you're EXPOSED!
You didn't even try to deny my accusations. "But i never said that i'm not a Nazi..." - i already heard enough of that in the past.

EDIT:
Putin and his pack are the new Nazis now.
They are talking and doing Nazi things.
Coincidentially, the far right parties of Europe are all playing the "Russia's claims might actually be true" card.
A higher level of retardness.