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1161  Economy / Speculation / Re: 100 bitcoins. Will I be a millionaire by 2020? on: March 17, 2015, 12:49:25 PM
I have 100 bitcoins. Its 2015. I'm already a millionaire... Do I win £5?

No ,because a million isnt much thesedays
there isnt even a small  house in my area for under a million

it takes several million to have a good life thesedays especially if you have a wife and kids  
1162  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BurtW arrested on: March 17, 2015, 04:56:28 AM
Is Burt not responding in this thread because he's in jail without bail? Charlie was responding to people here with an ankle bracelet on under house arrest.

He's not able to respond.
Wait, according to what is generally accepted as of the end of this thread, and according to his wife's website Burt was released two days after his arrest after being held in solitary confinement.

Did theymos receive some kind of USA patroit act subpoena/"request" to restrict access to the BurtW account?

Burt was on the site very recently, this particular thread might be problematic for direct communications. 



when you get arrested the first thing a lawyer usually says is dont talk about the case ,it could make defending the charges more difficult later in court if burt clarified any details about the case here so hes probbaly better off saying nothing until he gets the verdict
1163  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Bitcoin Wallet Starting Issue on: March 16, 2015, 08:53:02 PM
i leave it running 24/7 normally but it was closed for some reason

opened it today and the fucking chain is corrupted again
5 years and 26 weeks to be re-indexed (not downloaded ) but still
 a pain in the ballz

this needs fixing ASAP ,the older version was bulletproof and the new seems to be incapable of running longer than 3 days without crashing
1164  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Does martingale really works? on: March 16, 2015, 10:32:43 AM
I don't argue with your examples, I know what you say perfectly well myself. But you give examples which are not the same as successive rolls. If you pick a queen of hearts from a deck, will the probability of picking another queen of hearts from the same deck (provided there is only one queen of hearts in the deck) be of the same kind as the probability of picking next a king of spades?

the probabilty of picking a 2nd queen of hearts from the deck is 0 irrespective of everything else
(magic tricks excluded)

As you might have noticed (in fact, actually failed to notice), I didn't ask what the probability of picking a second queen of hearts was. I ask if this probability is of the same kind as the probability of picking next any other card but the queen of hearts. Can you say for sure that these probabilities are alike, or, in a more broad sense, are there different types of probabilities?

I think these are different types of probabilities, and this can be proven

i think youve lost the plot already .......its not improbable to pick a 2nd queen of hearts ,its IMPOSSIBLE

yes ,these are different probabilities since any other card is still probable to some degree if its still in the deck ........
Thus, in a sense, previous outcomes affect the probability of future rolls...

but they dont ....

lets make this easy to understand

flip a coin 100 times ,last 20 flips were heads
getting ready to flip it for 101,what do you predict the odds will be  for heads again ?
its still 50/50 no matter how many times you play

1165  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: CLOUDBET.COM IS A SCAM!! STOLE MY 25 BTC FOR NO REASON, RIP OFF BE CAREFUL!!! on: March 16, 2015, 10:24:39 AM
CAN YOU TELL ME WHAT EXACTLY MAKE SENSE TO YOU..  ARE YOU JEALOUS YOU CAN"T MAKE SO MUCH MONEY OR SOMETHING? WHY WOULD YOU EVEN SAY BLAH, JUST TO SAY IT???

You broke their terms and conditions. It's as simple as that, what don't you understand? Now you're being investigated and you're BTC will be tied up until they're finished. This is your OWN fault. You could have avoided this mess completely by not creating a bunch of accounts, depositing and betting using your own referral link.

Like I said before, try doing this at ANY legit sports book and see what happens.

This is just innocent mistake and I did not mean to make 0.2 BTC out of 60 BTC I spent back... Do you see, this is ridiculous.... Why would someone call me a scam? I am not in the business of scamming 0.2 BTC from Cloudbet.com....

You know what pissed me off, they could have just resolve it with simple phone call, chat or email. Now I have to deal with losses of money.... Seems like f**ed up situation for me and they are not doing anything to resolve it quick, considering my VIP status.... Any respectable casino would take care of it immediately and release my funds...

any respectable casino would let you cheat the affiliate program for your own financial gain ?? WTF  r u smoking ?
if i were the cloudbet operator  i would keep your  btc just to teach you a lesson
1166  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Let me know if I am getting this right. on: March 16, 2015, 10:03:09 AM
You might evade tracking for a while but if someone is looking they can find you and it all goes back to how careful you are too.  Are you a social butterfly?  People will ask questions.  It's not always as simple as a secure digital wallet or the latest hashing technology.

If DPR didnt  fuck up by using his real name to do stuff at the start silkroad 1 might still be running to this day  

online  payments can be obscured in many ways but real life fuck ups can take you down
1167  Other / Politics & Society / Re: PUTIN: Russia prepared to raise nuclear readiness over Crimea on: March 16, 2015, 09:46:48 AM
When Ukraine gave back their Atomic Arsenal it was the biggest mistake in their history. Now Russia is free to reign. Balance in region has shifted and we have one problem after another... It is a good lesson for other countries. Do not let go of your atomic weapons. It will keep you safe.

Ukraine's history of looking after nuclear material makes me quite happy that they don't have nuclear weapons to be honest.
To the story: This is all hypothetical now anyway, Russia took Crimea without much bloodshed (any?) and didn't need to use or threaten nuclear war. 

Now if America starts sending troops to fight in Eastern Ukraine, it might be a different story.

american troops would get slaughtered on the russian border ,its a bad idea even sending them there
1168  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Does martingale really works? on: March 16, 2015, 09:32:49 AM
It's a pity that you can't think outside the box. You multiply the two chances, so they are already related, being of the same kind, right? Therefore they are not truly independent of each other since each of them is still dependent on something else common for them. You can't multiply a number with something which is not a number. This is likely not a very good example, but still...

As to me, your example is not relevant to successive rolls

Pick one card from each of two decks then. It doesn't change anything. What's the chance you get a queen from the first and a heart from the 2nd?

Now, of course, the "heart, then red" events *are* independent, and so 1/8 is the chance of the first card being a heart and the 2nd being red.

Why do you think that multiplying the probabilities of two independent events causes the events to stop being independent?

I don't argue with your examples, I know what you say perfectly well myself. But you give examples which are not the same as successive rolls. If you pick a queen of hearts from a deck, will the probability of picking another queen of hearts from the same deck (provided there is only one queen of hearts in the deck) be of the same kind as the probability of picking next a king of spades?

the probabilty of picking a 2nd queen of hearts from the deck is 0 irrespective of everything else
(magic tricks excluded)

As you might have noticed (in fact, actually failed to notice), I didn't ask what the probability of picking a second queen of hearts was. I ask if this probability is of the same kind as the probability of picking next any other card but the queen of hearts. Can you say for sure that these probabilities are alike, or, in a more broad sense, are there different types of probabilities?

I think these are different types of probabilities, and this can be proven

i think youve lost the plot already .......its not improbable to pick a 2nd queen of hearts ,its IMPOSSIBLE

yes ,these are different probabilities since any other card is still probable to some degree if its still in the deck ........
1169  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BurtW arrested on: March 16, 2015, 09:29:18 AM
Yeah, $30K around the house sounds like a lot.
What kind of miraculous force protected him from robbery for all those years?

seeing as he hasnt ever been robbed in all those years i assume whatever safety precautions he used was enough

(just obviously not enough to prevent hijacking from 35 govt pirates with search warrants who can stay as long as they want without fear of anything )
1170  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BurtW arrested on: March 16, 2015, 08:57:56 AM
30K IS NOT A LOT OF MONEY THESEDAYS

if you live in a good area and are wealthy its not unreasable to think some people have cash or even gold well in excess of 30k

maybe  he took precautions ,had it stashed in a safe or split up in various locations around the house

someone who is practically famous for doing big deals face to face for the last few years would need to have operational cash on hand in case the phone rings and someone wants to dump some cheap btc ASAP to take advantage of the situation and make a profit etc
Yeah right. Personal face-to-face trades with anonymous people, done nearly daily for couple of years. With no single instance of violent crime.

Maybe someone will dump some bricks on your head to make you understand what's wrong in your picture.

i guess youre some kid who doesnt know what real money looks like yet (and probably never will ) so il give you a pass lol

kisses
1171  Economy / Speculation / Re: I'm All In - Sold My House! on: March 16, 2015, 08:51:47 AM
A shrewd investment, in a few years I'm sure he'll be glad to have all that btc.
really? and if bitcoin would be dumped to a few dollars only? would you take such huge risks and trade in your house to buy bitcoins? i think that was one of the dumbest decisions made with bitcoin i saw on this forum, and i read this forum a lot

 we have an intellectual in the house  lol Roll Eyes
1172  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Does martingale really works? on: March 16, 2015, 08:49:06 AM
It's a pity that you can't think outside the box. You multiply the two chances, so they are already related, being of the same kind, right? Therefore they are not truly independent of each other since each of them is still dependent on something else common for them. You can't multiply a number with something which is not a number. This is likely not a very good example, but still...

As to me, your example is not relevant to successive rolls

Pick one card from each of two decks then. It doesn't change anything. What's the chance you get a queen from the first and a heart from the 2nd?

Now, of course, the "heart, then red" events *are* independent, and so 1/8 is the chance of the first card being a heart and the 2nd being red.

Why do you think that multiplying the probabilities of two independent events causes the events to stop being independent?

I don't argue with your examples, I know what you say perfectly well myself. But you give examples which are not the same as successive rolls. If you pick a queen of hearts from a deck, will the probability of picking another queen of hearts from the same deck (provided there is only one queen of hearts in the deck) be of the same kind as the probability of picking next a king of spades?

the probabilty of picking a 2nd queen of hearts from the deck is 0 irrespective of everything else
(magic tricks excluded)
1173  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BurtW arrested on: March 16, 2015, 08:44:59 AM
When did she say it was "hidden?" I heard "from around the house."

In my house, at this moment, there's cash in my wallet, in my wife's purse, in the safe, in a drawer and probably a couple of other places I've forgotten about. The amounts are all under $1000 but I'm sure if I was targeted as Burt was it would all be confiscated and I'd describe it in the same way.
There is a miscommunication going on in this thread.

I'm going to guess that most of the posters here don't remember the days when the delivery vans used to have "Driver doesn't cary cash" painted on them.

Again the interesting and unusual part isn't whether it is "legal" or "illegal" to keep that much cash at family residence with small kids. The question is: is it safe and sane? The people who really handle that cash on the daily basis treat it in a way similar to dangerous explosives. Because cash first of all attracts crime.

I'm thinking that maybe BurtW wasn't telling his wife everything, maybe he kept additional job for cover, maybe he tried to keep double and/or cooked books and gotten over his head in it?
Keeping $30,000+ in cash on hand when you're trading bitcoins makes sense to me.
At a family residence with wife and small kid? I think you are either unmarried/childless or homicidal/suicidal/infanticidal.

30K IS NOT A LOT OF MONEY THESEDAYS

if you live in a good area and are wealthy its not unreasable to think some people have cash or even gold well in excess of 30k

maybe  he took precautions ,had it stashed in a safe or split up in various locations around the house

someone who is practically famous for doing big deals face to face for the last few years would need to have operational cash on hand in case the phone rings and someone wants to dump some cheap btc ASAP to take advantage of the situation and make a profit etc


1174  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Photos from a Mexican drug lord's home after it was raided last year. on: March 15, 2015, 08:26:33 PM
Why didn't they convert the cash to Bitcoins? Could have put some money away. Love to sleep on that pile.


thats probably just a small % of cash they couldnt launder through their existing network of HSBC accounts legit  banks and offshore investments etc

1175  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Let me know if I am getting this right. on: March 15, 2015, 06:55:02 PM
lol
I said a few thousand , not a few hundred.

theres a lot of police stations in the world,we could be talking millions by the time youre finished  lol Cheesy
1176  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Let me know if I am getting this right. on: March 15, 2015, 05:57:45 PM
I deal with information gathering, not drugs or porn or anything like that. Like right now I was requested to locate some info that is worth a few thousand $. After several weeks I got the info needed. Now we have negotiated a price but I am putting off the final transfer of $ and info so I can work a way to get the funds so they don't know who they are sending it to or where the funds were sent after I got them. But I will need it turned into cash pretty fast. I don't mind losing 10% or a little more because I have fireguard it all together. My thing is I cannot be traced after I take the funds and I cannot be traced because it is rather dangerous. Being an information broker for years I had an issue come up when dealing with dollars just before Thanksgiving and I was shot and decided then I would find a better and safer way.

So I laid it out to give you a sense of my urgency in this. I have to be safe.

http://thehackernews.com/2015/02/cryptoware-ramsomware-bitcoin.html

Keep up the good work lol !   Cheesy
1177  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Let me know if I am getting this right. on: March 15, 2015, 03:48:30 PM
I hope you guys here have mot gotten completely tired of me yet.
My deal is that I will soon have an income stream that I cannot take in cash. So I am under a tight schedule to learn as much here as I can so when this begins I am ready.
I have been asking a lot about buying bitcoin without KYC/AML (New Phrase To Me) concerns. I want to relay a little of what I think I have learned and see if you guys can confirm my thinking here.

My wanting to pull in bitcion anonymously and maintain that so I can move it around using mixers or a wallet like "Rush Wallet" or "Dark Wallet" is not going to work. What I need to do is put the cash into Bitcoin and the next move is to move it into another crypto such as Monero, Darkcoin, Ripple, Litecoin or whatever. Doing this will break the blockchain connected to Bitcoin thus the trace to me is lost. I can then rebuy some bitcoin with a clean blockchain and without any worries be able to sell the bitcoin somewhere like  LocalBitcoins-com without a concern of it coming back to me and the person that I sell my coin to is safe and getting clean coin. Using mixers or wallet from what I am finding WILL NOT IN ANY WAY MAKE THE COIN CLEANER AND UNTRACEABLE. It is only when I break the blockchain by moving to another crypto that I am really getting rid of the blockchain and any way the chain of custody from the sender to me is broken.

I need you all to confirm this for me or correct my thinking if I am wrong.

And so far thank you all for answer my questions and teaching me here.

the thing i dont like about anonymous mixers is you have to trust someone anonymous with your money ,also the fact that anyone  else  using an anonymous mixer is probably doing something equally
or maybe even more illegal than whatever your doing

for example ,you maybe just avoiding tax or  selling a class C drug and then you mix your proceeds in with someone else whos done something worse like maybe selling child porn or class A drugs etc  .....so the coins you get back may also be "dirty money"

there are probably some legal reasons why someone might want to risk total loss using an anonymous mixer but none that i  would believe myself  or like to have to explain to a judge if the situation arose
1178  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Does martingale really works? on: March 15, 2015, 03:39:06 PM
It works but only for a small time. Best not to use it for longer betting streaks. You can also use its variations to last longer though.

whats the point in lasting longer  just to lose your money again ? Roll Eyes
1179  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: All property and money taken because of miners?! (Ireland) on: March 15, 2015, 03:35:10 PM
Yes absolutely, a spike in electricity usage is perfectly acceptable grounds for them to get a search warrant on suspicion of growing hash using high watt lamps

No, far from it. Aren't there lawyers in Ireland?


they are fairly modern and up to date in comparison to the rest of europe but the police are cunts just about everywhere thesedays .......since 9-11 the world has just gotten more shitty and privacy and rights
have been compromised more or less globally
1180  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Will Bank ask questions if I withdraw too much Bitcoin? on: March 15, 2015, 02:57:52 PM
So I opened a regular checking bank account and I have Bitcoins from 2012s.
Would bank ask questions if I were to withdraw about ~10-20k USD per month through exchanges?

Do banks do that?

extra $20,000 a month lol
if you  think that will slip under the radar your nuts

its not illegal but i would get  ready to answer some questions anyway

dont be too quick to tell lies  because they will already  know the account transferring  you the money
belongs to a bitcoin exchange so telling them the money isnt bitcoin related is just silly advice .....

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