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Question: Will we close Nov. at or above Plan B's posited minimum of $98K?
Yes - 42 (38.5%)
No - 67 (61.5%)
Total Voters: 109

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 25490320 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (158 posts by 14 users with 9 merit deleted.)
jojo69
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1/21000000 , the only math you need to know


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January 02, 2020, 07:31:46 PM

Indeed, the price of Bitcoin, as measured in USD, always trends toward WOPCP with an inexorable gravitational pull.

It is just a matter of time.
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Biodom
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January 02, 2020, 07:39:19 PM

For 2019 :

• Nasdaq: +33.98 percent
• S&P 500: +30.80 percent
• Dow Jones: +24.23 percent
• Gold: +17.83 percent
• Bitcoin: +96.81 percent
https://www.coinspeaker.com/bitcoin-hash-rate-buy/



Most profitable investments of the decade:

Bitcoin: +62,500%
Ethereum: +17,900%
Netflix: +4,280%
Domino's Pizza: +3,000%
Abiomed: +2,000%
Lululemon: +1,300%
Amazon: +1,250%
NVIDIA: +1,180%
Mastercard: +1,100%
Apple: +840%
Visa: +760%
Google: +350%
https://www.coinspeaker.com/peter-schiff-btc-uncorrelated-asset/




Actual number (according to CNBC) are
SP500  +28.9%
Nasdaq +35.2%
Dow      +22.33%

I don't want SP500 to be smug about more than 30%, hence the correction Wink
Here is to a faint hope that next decade BTC will rally just 1% of the prior decade, which would be....a cool 90000% (OR 7187 to 6475487, lol)
Can we get that small 1% of prior gains? I hope so.
johant123
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January 02, 2020, 07:41:22 PM


In 2021 for sure, I’m not certain of that in 2020 but would love to be wrong.

My feeling as well ... the increase in 2020 is probably modest, but I expect / hope that we reach a new ATH in 2021 or 2022.

Main reason; the cycles are getting more spread out, and the halving is probably more anticipated now than the last time (more energy efficient miners, and so on). So I don't expect any fireworks starting before Q3 / Q4 2020.

I'd love to be wrong as well though, of course!
Biodom
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January 02, 2020, 07:46:41 PM


In 2021 for sure, I’m not certain of that in 2020 but would love to be wrong.

My feeling as well ... the increase in 2020 is probably modest, but I expect / hope that we reach a new ATH in 2021 or 2022.

Main reason; the cycles are getting more spread out, and the halving is probably more anticipated now than the last time (more energy efficient miners, and so on). So I don't expect any fireworks starting before Q3 / Q4 2020.

I'd love to be wrong as well though, of course!

It would be very nice to hit anywhere between 10-14K in 2020, with the first number being more likely, IMHO.
Gyrsur
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January 02, 2020, 08:10:12 PM
Last edit: January 02, 2020, 08:33:00 PM by Gyrsur

in German we have a meme of Julian Hosp (surfer boy) how he tries to explain what the price will be in the future in front of a whiteboard.

And he is saying: "It could go up but it could also go down."  Grin Grin

some posts forced me to remember on this meme.  Grin

EDIT: you English natives seems to be friends of many words without so much content. how does it come?
AlcoHoDL
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January 02, 2020, 08:21:02 PM

Most natural and man-made processes are periodic.

Clock: 1 hour/minute/second.
Calendar: 1 day/month/year.
Solar activity: 11 years.
Tidal activity: 12 hours.
Menstrual cycle: Around 28 days.
Bitcoin: 4 years (Halving).

Knowing the period of a process allows one to arrive at a reasonably accurate prediction of future behaviour based on past behaviour. It's all there in the open, for those who want to see. You just have to open your eyes and use your brain.

4 Years. Your choice!
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January 02, 2020, 08:24:09 PM
Merited by LUCKMCFLY (1)

They claim that volatility is passive, an aggressive movement in the market is expected.

Quote
$BTC Volatility near ATL's. This chart doesn't indicate that a move is near, but looking at most of the majors' charts I expect the next move to be an aggressive one.
Waiting for the media to complain that lack of volatility is bad. Grin
makrospex
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nothing to see here


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January 02, 2020, 08:30:20 PM
Merited by LUCKMCFLY (1)

They claim that volatility is passive, an aggressive movement in the market is expected.

Quote
$BTC Volatility near ATL's. This chart doesn't indicate that a move is near, but looking at most of the majors' charts I expect the next move to be an aggressive one.
Waiting for the media to complain that lack of volatility is bad. Grin

"Bitcoin volatility is dead"
(When will Bitcoin itself follow? ...)

 Shocked
Raja_MBZ
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January 02, 2020, 08:36:04 PM

What kinds of odds would WO peeps give to this bounce assertion?   Greater than 50/50 odds?

AlcoHoDL
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January 02, 2020, 08:39:44 PM

"Bitcoin volatility is dead"
(When will Bitcoin itself follow? ...)

 Shocked

Naaah... Bitcoin has died hundreds of times already...

There's no hope...

"Zed's dead baby, Zed's dead!"
Lauda
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January 02, 2020, 08:41:45 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

"Bitcoin volatility is dead"
(When will Bitcoin itself follow? ...)

 Shocked
Sounds like something they'd write.

Everyone should read this though: https://blog.lopp.net/bitcoin-2019-annual-review/. Essentially most metrics show progress.
makrospex
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nothing to see here


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January 02, 2020, 08:45:08 PM

"Bitcoin volatility is dead"
(When will Bitcoin itself follow? ...)

 Shocked

Naaah... Bitcoin has died hundreds of times already...

There's no hope...

"Zed's dead baby, Zed's dead!"

Thanks, i've watched this movie dozens of times!
Seems it's time for another round  Cool
makrospex
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nothing to see here


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January 02, 2020, 08:46:59 PM
Last edit: January 02, 2020, 08:58:31 PM by makrospex

"Bitcoin volatility is dead"
(When will Bitcoin itself follow? ...)

 Shocked
Sounds like something they'd write.

Everyone should read this though: https://blog.lopp.net/bitcoin-2019-annual-review/. Essentially most metrics show progress.


2020: 1

EDIT: Enuff of the old obituary laughs. Scrolling down further on that page made me bookmark it. Good read!
jojo69
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1/21000000 , the only math you need to know


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January 02, 2020, 08:47:24 PM


EDIT: you English natives seems to be friends of many words without so much content. how does it come?
damn you JJG
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January 02, 2020, 08:51:07 PM


In 2021 for sure, I’m not certain of that in 2020 but would love to be wrong.

My feeling as well ... the increase in 2020 is probably modest, but I expect / hope that we reach a new ATH in 2021 or 2022.

Main reason; the cycles are getting more spread out, and the halving is probably more anticipated now than the last time (more energy efficient miners, and so on). So I don't expect any fireworks starting before Q3 / Q4 2020.

I'd love to be wrong as well though, of course!

It would be very nice to hit anywhere between 10-14K in 2020, with the first number being more likely, IMHO.
Every time when we are entering in new year many hopes and many hate news around here but this time we have very less so surely its going to touch 10K in near future.
LFC_Bitcoin
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January 02, 2020, 08:58:52 PM


In 2021 for sure, I’m not certain of that in 2020 but would love to be wrong.

My feeling as well ... the increase in 2020 is probably modest, but I expect / hope that we reach a new ATH in 2021 or 2022.

Main reason; the cycles are getting more spread out, and the halving is probably more anticipated now than the last time (more energy efficient miners, and so on). So I don't expect any fireworks starting before Q3 / Q4 2020.

I'd love to be wrong as well though, of course!

It would be very nice to hit anywhere between 10-14K in 2020, with the first number being more likely, IMHO.

I think we’ll close 2020 somewhere between 12k - 14k.

I pulled that straight outta my ass though (not investment advice).
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January 02, 2020, 09:00:23 PM

BTC/USD
Long/Short Ratio
87:12
% of supply long:short
0.25:0.037
Long Daily Charge
$42,226
Short Daily Charge
0.28934 BTC
Total Long
45,253 ($316,277,742)
Funded Longs
$131,957,759
Total Short
6,744 ($47,134,490)
Funded Shorts
5,905 BTC


got some shorts to liquidate.

bounce should be near.

observing 6930$
bitserve
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January 02, 2020, 09:12:55 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)


In 2021 for sure, I’m not certain of that in 2020 but would love to be wrong.

My feeling as well ... the increase in 2020 is probably modest, but I expect / hope that we reach a new ATH in 2021 or 2022.

Main reason; the cycles are getting more spread out, and the halving is probably more anticipated now than the last time (more energy efficient miners, and so on). So I don't expect any fireworks starting before Q3 / Q4 2020.

I'd love to be wrong as well though, of course!

It would be very nice to hit anywhere between 10-14K in 2020, with the first number being more likely, IMHO.

I think we’ll close 2020 somewhere between 12k - 14k.

I pulled that straight outta my ass though (not investment advice).

That would be more than fine to me. Even if just consistently over $10K would do.

In fact I would prefer some 2x every year than an unsustainable bubble pump like every other time. That way I wouldn't feel the need to sell too much in preparation for the subsequent dump.

Still 2x every year, even if conservative in comparison to previous years rise, is a bit too much of a dream at this moment. And also if Bitcoin were to make a 2x for two consecutive years, it would be unavoidable to experience some FOMO that would propel it even way higher.

Bleh, Bitcoin doesn't care what we do think or want anyways. Let's just hope for the best but be prepared for the worst. Or just don't expect anything and just let it be, which is what I try to do.
gembitz
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January 02, 2020, 09:14:26 PM

BTC weeeeee

HAPPY NEW YEAR$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
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January 02, 2020, 09:17:34 PM
Last edit: April 18, 2021, 05:47:32 AM by Lambie Slayer

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