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Question: Oct. 16 Closing Price:
<$8,000 - 2 (2.2%)
$8,000-$8,500 - 0 (0%)
$8,500-$9,000 - 0 (0%)
$9,000-$9,500 - 0 (0%)
$9,500-$10,000 - 3 (3.4%)
$10,000-$10,500 - 5 (5.6%)
$10,500-$11,000 - 7 (7.9%)
$11,000-$11,500 - 13 (14.6%)
$11,500-$12,000 - 25 (28.1%)
$12,000-$12,500 - 14 (15.7%)
$12,500-$13,000 - 6 (6.7%)
$13,000-$13,500 - 4 (4.5%)
$13,500-$14,000 - 2 (2.2%)
>$14,000 - 8 (9%)
Total Voters: 89

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 23324611 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (148 posts by 37 users deleted.)
hodl_2015
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April 02, 2019, 09:08:15 PM

Can't believe this guy!
https://twitter.com/elonmusk
Twitter handle hacked or what?!?
Don't think it is hacked, he has been trolling with twitter and twitter profiles for years.
Elon knows a thing or two about crypto (see also answers on what money Mars will use) but claims to currently not own any.
(all total speculation below:)
In fact, I think he doesn't have any cash at all, except for some fund for his children that hopefully isn't in his own name.
Except from some toys and pocket cash everything is invested in his companies, then borrowed against his shares and invested that too. He is in well over 100% trying to remain the largest shareholder, and I think that is the right move with his work/home balance. TSLA stock is almost as much fun as BTC and the only stock I own. About 25% of tesla stock is currently shorted, in my opinion without good reason, so it will be fun to watch how that pans out. But stock is totally boring in weekends, that is what I have the BTC for.
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April 02, 2019, 09:08:51 PM
Merited by HairyMaclairy (1)


So Bart get´s Boring over Time . What about Mona lisa  Grin

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April 02, 2019, 09:10:17 PM

What line did you draw? The daily 200 SMA is at 4600 ...

Your probably looking at a simple moving average and what I was showing is a smoothed moving average..that is all. I apologize for any confusion.

JayJuanGee
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April 02, 2019, 09:13:57 PM

anyway i might take some profit on my trading stash
at 5450 Grin

No problema.

You go ahead, kind sir.*


* I understand that "sir" is a term of endearment that trolls tend to make, especially those from India.  I am not from India, yet I assure you, kindly, that "sir" still does seem to fit... hahahahaha.
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April 02, 2019, 09:17:09 PM
Merited by Raja_MBZ (1)

Can't believe this guy!
https://twitter.com/elonmusk
Twitter handle hacked or what?!?
Don't think it is hacked, he has been trolling with twitter and twitter profiles for years.
Elon knows a thing or two about crypto (see also answers on what money Mars will use) but claims to currently not own any.
(all total speculation below:)
In fact, I think he doesn't have any cash at all, except for some fund for his children that hopefully isn't in his own name.
Except from some toys and pocket cash everything is invested in his companies, then borrowed against his shares and invested that too. He is in well over 100% trying to remain the largest shareholder, and I think that is the right move with his work/home balance. TSLA stock is almost as much fun as BTC and the only stock I own. About 25% of tesla stock is currently shorted, in my opinion without good reason, so it will be fun to watch how that pans out. But stock is totally boring in weekends, that is what I have the BTC for.

I bet it his pocket cash is worth way more than my crypto is.
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April 02, 2019, 09:17:57 PM

sir your mother if you want sir
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April 02, 2019, 09:20:58 PM

anyway i might take some profit on my trading stash
at 5450 Grin

No problema.

You go ahead, kind sir.*


* I understand that "sir" is a term of endearment that trolls tend to make, especially those from India.  I am not from India, yet I assure you, kindly, that "sir" still does seem to fit... hahahahaha.

Kind Sir, send bobs & vagene!
JayJuanGee
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April 02, 2019, 09:21:53 PM

When page parity?

JJG: "Hold my beer."
JJG: "There!"

That seems so much of an insider joke, and I don't even get it - even while a named participant in the hypothetical.   Embarrassed

By the way, bitserve, truly and genuinely you must be appreciating my having had posted a defiant, yet BIG ASS rocket, about now, no?   Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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April 02, 2019, 09:23:16 PM

I think we'll retest 3900 in April
Let us retest 5K etc Grin

But I haven't finished accumulating  Undecided

then.... buy the DIP....  Cheesy

If there is one (a dip, that is)... hahahahahaha

fuck the no coiners and the fence sitters.  There were more than 4 months available for them to get their shit straight.

Let's leave their asses behind.. and they can buy in the supra $6k arena.. if they don't continue to remain "undecided and/or leaning bitcoin negative"

Now is when the tears come...

Bitcoin Low:

$ 8K "Buy at $ 6K"
$ 6K "Buy at $ 3K"
$ 3K "Buy at $ 1.5K"

Bitcoin Up:

$ 6K "Buy at $ 3K"
$ 8K "Buy at $ 6K"
$ 14K "Buy at $ 8K"
$ 20K "Buy at $ 14K"

The Result:

You will have less BTCitcoin and you will buy more expensive. Wink
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April 02, 2019, 09:24:12 PM

JJG: "Hold my beer."
JJG: "There!"
JJG: "Bingo bongo bango"

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April 02, 2019, 09:27:46 PM
Merited by RejectedBanana (1)

pit pat piffy wing wong wang
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April 02, 2019, 09:28:52 PM

His reign was short lived though  Grin
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April 02, 2019, 09:29:06 PM

108 days into the new BTCaby BTCbull Market and all is well.  Grin

Bears thank you for your sacrifice. Your diminished quality of life and new found financial hardship is actually a blessing, because your delusional stubbornness has added rocket fuel to the new Bull Run and will help speed the global adoption of sound money.

Bitcoin will be the new Global Reserve Currency.

Nocoiners, non believers and infidels will be harvested for blood and organs.
JayJuanGee
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April 02, 2019, 09:32:43 PM


I am not sure about how to read that, exactly.  I can see that longs are increasing, and therefore incentivizing a dump, but it seems like it is going to be a bit difficult, short term to change the current momentum.. prior to $6k-ish..
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April 02, 2019, 09:35:36 PM

24777

21-04-2019 gentlemand
20-02-2020 romneymoney
18-12-2021 luckygenough56

12288

15-04-2019 Spaceman_Spiff_Original
20-06-2019 bitebits
13-12-2019 nikauforest
10-04-2020 yefi
05-09-2020 samson
23-06-2021 fortune143

favorites??

Haha! Come back to this board for the first time in months and see my name pop up randomly. I forgot I had made such a conservative prediction Cheesy

You are an apathetic bear, who "really means it".... hahahahahaha
El duderino_
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April 02, 2019, 09:37:40 PM

24777

21-04-2019 gentlemand
20-02-2020 romneymoney
18-12-2021 luckygenough56

12288

15-04-2019 Spaceman_Spiff_Original
20-06-2019 bitebits
13-12-2019 nikauforest
10-04-2020 yefi
05-09-2020 samson
23-06-2021 fortune143

favorites??

Haha! Come back to this board for the first time in months and see my name pop up randomly. I forgot I had made such a conservative prediction Cheesy

You are an apathetic bear, who "really means it".... hahahahahaha

24777 could be won by just eliminating the second last price Smiley
JayJuanGee
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April 02, 2019, 09:43:03 PM



Massive Bitcoin Whale Triggered BTC Surge With $100 Million Order, Says Crypto Investment Firm CEO

The CEO of cryptocurrency firm BCB Group says Bitcoin’s massive pump was triggered by a single Bitcoin whale, in a coordinated effort to buy nearly $100 million worth of BTC across three crypto exchanges.

Oliver von Landsberg-Sadie told Reuters a 20,000 BTC buying spree executed simultaneously on Coinbase, Kraken and Bitstamp is largely responsible for the surge, which briefly boosted the price of BTC above $5,000.

https://dailyhodl.com/2019/04/02/massive-bitcoin-whale-triggered-btc-surge-with-100-million-order-says-crypto-investment-firm-ceo/

Should take those "single whale" explanatory assertions with a BIG ASS grain of salt.
StartupAnalyst
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April 02, 2019, 09:44:15 PM

Would like to think of such a cute pet as your friend?  Cheesy
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April 02, 2019, 09:44:48 PM
Merited by Globb0 (2)

A wild guess: today is the last day to get bitcoin below $3900.

Yes.  The odds of the truth of that assertion are in the less than 25% arena.

So far so good:



Maybe the odds of going below $3,900 again became slightly better than what they were on March 25, but they have not changed by a lot.. I would not even put them above 45% and that 45% is a bit charitable.  You may end up being correct, regarding your guess, but I am not sure what that would be saying, besides you having had gotten lucky in your guess.  Do you find that valuable in how you live your life?  I certainly try to minimize gambling and guessing in how I live my life, but surely once in a while it is fun.. but that is it.. merely fun rather than something to attach much if any significance.

What are the odds of going below $3900 (again) now, @JJG? Grin

Are you trolling me, Raja?

Partially

I am certainly no soothsayer, but merely because something happens, like you predict does not suggest that you are anything but lucky when it happens, especially if it remains a kind of 50/50 event or even 70/30... or something like that. 

True!

I largely outlined my current thinking in my post two posts above this one, which describes some thinking that we are going up before we go down... so one seemingly decent scenario would be to go to the $6k arena first and then have a 30% plus correction, which would bring us to $4,340 (that is if we presume something like $6,200 x 70%), but then there could be a further spike down, or the BTC price might not make it to $6,200 before experiencing a 30% plus correction...  So in such a scenario, bringing BTC prices down to $4,340 could cause additional downwards spiking, and we have seen that many times in bitcoinlandia...   

And even a scenario of a $5,500 local top in this particular cycle and then a 30% plus correction would bring BTC prices below $3,900.... in the $3,850 arena... which are not unreasonable price wave scenarios...

We all know that anything (literally anything) can happen in bitcoinlandia - within an hour, we can either get a nice green $1k candle or a dark red $1k candle. We've seen it before and we should definitely be ready to see it again. However, the reason why I quote that wild guess, again & again after each pump, is to enjoy a new value of odds that is a little more closer to 100%, and I guess that it makes everybody around feel a bit better.

Imagine looking at these posts after a few years, when the probability of going below $3900 will actually be close to zero; it'd be pure pleasure.

Some nice progress has already been made in the last few days... From:

less than 25% arena

to:

maybe we are getting close to the 50/50 arena..

BTW, I don't think that we're close to that 50/50 arena yet. If I were you, I'd call it 50/50 once we break above ~$5700. But then again, it's all pure speculation... This thread is all about speculation anyways.



NO matter what we should be preparing for both up and down, if you don't want to end up being disappointed, even if your "never below $3,900 again" dart-throwing sorcery-wannabe pronouncement ends up coming true.   Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Well, let's just hope that it does come true! Smiley
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April 02, 2019, 09:45:08 PM

When page parity?

Dunno.

I'm shooting for post count parity some time in 2024.

Whoaza, jbreher... that is a pretty damned conservative timeline, but hey I don't have any problem(s) with either conservative thinking or preparing for conservative outcomes.
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