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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26965495 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
nutildah
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April 04, 2019, 05:53:22 PM


It is all driven by the block size, and dependent upon how many txs per day the average user makes. Any way you slice it, on chain tx capacity is limited by the block size. And inability to transact on chain also breaks LN - no opens, closes, or repudiation of stale channel state driven theft.

OK but that's never happened.

Absolute twaddle. I know you were here in 2017. Have you already driven the Blockapocalyse I from your memory? Too much "champaign" over the skyrocketing fees?

Oh thats right, the great blockapocalypse. Bitcoin broke, there was chaos in the streets, we all cried, and then died. We're all dead now, same as bitcoin.  Roll Eyes  Besides, Lightning wasn't around then. That's the difference.

Of course it's always "what if" - the "what if" scenarios are the essence of system design.

Get the fuck out of here with your "anti-bitcoiner". Why TF do you think I incessantly harp on these BTC weaknesses? It is because I would like BTC to succeed. I don't take this nonstop, most-often ignorant and/or non-substantive abuse because I like it. I am trying to advocate for Bitcoin -- in all its forks -- to be all it can be.

From your constant assault on bitcoin it would seem that you hate it. But thanks for making this clarification.

OK. I mean, BTC can support a fuckload of people if none of them ever makes a tx. But that's not a usable MoE nor SoV. Not to mention the fact that to even get there will take literally decades. Like forty years for each person alive to make a single tx to buy into the system.

Have you ever considered that it doesn't have to reach every person alive to be a success? It's already an astounding success -- far more than anybody could have possibly imagined when it was getting started.

The next FOMO spike will be aborted due to tx capacity. We may even cap before that can take place.

More unsubstantiated "what if" fearmongering from the man who only beats bitcoin because he loves it so much.

Use of LN requires on-chain txs. Once the chain is full, LN breaks. We're bearing down on Blockpocolypse II, and there is still no relief valve.

1. Blockpocalypse 1 never happened. Its a fear-inducing term used by bcashers and SVers to make themselves feel righteous about choosing their particular shitcoin.

2. The chain has never been full. Again, you're trying to claim that the chain will be unusable which has never happened. Expensive or slow is hardly the same thing as "unusable."

Not to mention the relative irrelevance of LN in general. The average BTC on-chain tx is currently around $20,000.00.

The median transaction amount is a more encompassing measurement, and that is $412. But I'm sure you also point to average tx fees when stating your tired and endlessly-trotted argument that bitcoin sucks.

What's LN channel max value again?

LN isn't meant for huge transactions. Its meant for every-day transacting. It wasn't developed for Wall Street or whales to shift around millions.

What percentage of Bitcoiners operate an LN node? What percentage of LN txs succeed on first submission? How much time does a typical LN-er devote to managing their LN node? Nay, LN is nowhere near being a suitable replacement for good old Bitcoin. It may get there some day. Far in the future.

LN is currently at record participation and continues to grow by the week. OK at least you admit it may get there. That's an important step.

Oh yes. The 'buhbut mah decentralization' canard. For the eleventy-bajillionth time, so-called 'nodes' provide no value to the system as a whole. But let's set that aside, as that's another twenty-page discussion in and of itself. Let's ask the question 'what percentage of LN users also operate a so-called 'node'?'

Again, this is your opinion, shared by relatively few. I don't understand how you arrived at your conclusion but I've never really cared. Nodes have always been a sign of strength and health of any cryptocurrency network. This doesn't change because you say so. Everyone who opens their own LN channel operates a node, as far as I know, but not everybody has to run a node to use Lightning.

How quaint of you to claim that, when SV has processed multiple blocks larger than 100MB.

Why is the BSV blockchain significantly smaller than BTC's then? Surely it should have passed BTC by now at that rate.

That's kind of an aside, however, as the entire point is to have capacity to accommodate the demand. Which is the economic model that nurtured Bitcoin until Blockstream threw out all the sane devs.

What demand? That's the point. There's very little demand and very little reason why there would be in the future. Wright is destroying BSV with his idiotic antics faster than people can give it the time of day. There's really no point in attacking BCH or BSV any more because their "prophets" are killing their projects themselves.
wachtwoord
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April 04, 2019, 05:55:34 PM
Merited by mindrust (1), nutildah (1), DaRude (1)

Can people stop engaging Jbreher. If I want to read his bullshit I'll go to /r/btc. He's beyond salvation.
nutildah
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April 04, 2019, 06:00:18 PM

Can people stop engaging Jbreher. If I want to read his bullshit I'll go to /r/btc. He's beyond salvation.

Sound advice. Obviously nobody's changing his mind about anything. I don't even know why I try. Guess I don't want to change his mind as much as not let him get away with spouting unfettered reams of bullshit.
siggy_77
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April 04, 2019, 06:01:15 PM

we talking BTC nodes here or lightning?

I was just trying to get a count of WO members who ran their own nodes, with or without Lightning.

Full node here as well...

Sigg
DeathAngel
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April 04, 2019, 06:02:32 PM

Can people stop engaging Jbreher. If I want to read his bullshit I'll go to /r/btc. He's beyond salvation.

He seems ok as a person but his bitcoin views seem a bit silly. He’s clearly a really intelligent guy so I see his pro BCH & BCHSV agendas as very suspicious.

I think he’s very likely to be a paid shill.
jojo69
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April 04, 2019, 06:07:00 PM

we talking BTC nodes here or lightning?

I was just trying to get a count of WO members who ran their own nodes, with or without Lightning.

well yeah then, who doesn't run a BTC node?
El duderino_
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April 04, 2019, 06:09:01 PM

Can people stop engaging Jbreher. If I want to read his bullshit I'll go to /r/btc. He's beyond salvation.

BTC-wise agree
Toxic2040
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April 04, 2019, 06:13:48 PM

Whats not to like at court today..



+1 WOsMerit Elon.

https://twitter.com/thesheetztweetz/status/1113856552493035520

El duderino_
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April 04, 2019, 06:14:30 PM

Dammit go back to 5K Roll Eyes
JayJuanGee
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April 04, 2019, 06:20:09 PM

[edited out]

From "time to time"  Cheesy

Its Thursday, so Ill think Ill drop some truth on you old friend Smiley

You really wonder if Mic being so friendly to others on this forum is healthy? Of course it is. Being consistently cranky, salty, confrontational, toxic etc in your every day life to everyone around you is extremely unhealthy and wreaks havoc on your physical and mental health. Study after study has demonstrated the negative health consequences of living life as an obstinate prick. It shortens your lifespan and decreases your health and quality of life(Thursdays for instance) for the duration of your shorter life.

Instead of jealously criticizing Mr. Goose for being friendly and well liked here, you should emulate some of his character traits and you will stay alive to hodl longer and maybe bag on JJG thursdays will be called off even. 

You are offering like a two for one service there, lambie.



For free, too.

What would this thread be without you?  Thank you so much for the much needed and frequently not so well said input regarding these kinds of current ongoing thread/forum dynamics.   Wink

Surely, you are an "asset" and in case anyone did not know, we could just ask you.  Perhaps we don't even need to ask?  Thanks again.
cAPSLOCK
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April 04, 2019, 06:25:45 PM


How many people in this thread run their own node? One? Two?

One!


Cool. I'm actually interested to know the answer to that question...

Was it LFC that was running a Lightning node for a while? I know somebody was...

Everyone who runs a node please raise your hand.

3 Full BTC nodes.  2 LND nodes.
JayJuanGee
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April 04, 2019, 06:26:54 PM

To quote JJG ‘Doing donuts in my Lambo, blow & hookers’

You got your priorities all fucked up, LFC.  or should I say backwards?   Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

But hey, when you reach "fuck you" money status, you can do them and repeat any order that you like...

NOT going to get boring, for at least a few years, right?
Toxic2040
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April 04, 2019, 06:33:35 PM

Dammit go back to 5K Roll Eyes

Had a few outstanding stops to clear out for the MSM boys. Dont panic.   Cool

https://twitter.com/CNBCFuturesNow/status/1113853830305853440

JayJuanGee
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April 04, 2019, 06:34:52 PM

[ edited out]

Jbreher should be joining his BCHABC - BTC-SV friends at r/btc. He can shit on Segwit/LN and Core dev. 24/7.

He will be loved over there  but here he's  just a moron.

Likely, jbreher "feels" as if he is performing a greater service these here parts.  Doing "god's work," so to speak.*


* NO jbreher.  I don't mind at all putting words into your mouth(or brain)...  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy  The only kind of contributory service that you seem to be providing around here is as a common grounds "punching bag."  Thanks for that.  Roll Eyes NOT
infofront (OP)
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April 04, 2019, 06:45:20 PM

re: the blow off top of the blow off top

Another great post infofront, thank you.

but I have to say, it is just this kind of thinking that prevented me from cashing in last time...

Thanks and "Ditto". I'm determined to cash some in next time though.
JayJuanGee
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April 04, 2019, 06:48:34 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1)

Where’s our pal JJG?

It’s THURSDAY !!!!!

Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Here I am.  Here I am.  

Me, me me....   It's my day... It's my day....






Ssssssssooo Xciteeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!!!!!!!


What a dumb idea you guys (and gal) have.  Roll Eyes

It's like dumb, totally dumb... like so dumb.  Did I say it is a dumb idea?



For real.  Tongue
bitserve
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April 04, 2019, 06:49:29 PM

re: the blow off top of the blow off top

Another great post infofront, thank you.

but I have to say, it is just this kind of thinking that prevented me from cashing in last time...

Thanks and "Ditto". I'm determined to cash some in next time though.

We all are. Which leads me to think that the next "bubble" will not be as much explosive as the previous ones.

Who knows.... Bitcoin never stops to surprise us in every possible way.
DeathAngel
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April 04, 2019, 06:50:16 PM

$4,883

I’m expecting a test of $4,200. Hopefully it holds!
gembitz
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April 04, 2019, 06:59:05 PM

4k close >_> WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE

 Kiss

lol
JayJuanGee
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April 04, 2019, 07:01:30 PM
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re: the blow off top of the blow off top

Another great post infofront, thank you.

but I have to say, it is just this kind of thinking that prevented me from cashing in last time...

Thanks and "Ditto". I'm determined to cash some in next time though.

We all are. Which leads me to think that the next "bubble" will not be as much explosive as the previous ones.

Who knows.... Bitcoin never stops to surprise us in every possible way.

A lot of people said the same things when we were in the $350 to $450 zone for 6 months in late 2015 and early 2016.  They also said the same thing throughout 2016...  Gonna sell... gonna sell.. and a lot of those peeps sold too much too soon, and even sold a lot in the sub $1k arena, while patting themselves on the back for 3xing their investment with "profits". 

It's happened after that too... so the fact that bitcoin adoption is so god damned low establishes a considerable likelihood that newcomers will outweigh the sellers and profit-takers by so much that your selling is not going to have a whole hell of a lot of an effect on preventing the BTC price from going up and continuing to go up.. even while you prematurely believing that it has already reached a "blow-off top".
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