Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[julian071]

D.A.F. - Der Mussolini

One of my fave tracks by DAF.

DAF - Der sheriff (VNV Nation edit)

EDIT: Also, there is some commercial on TV that uses a folksy version of "Opus Dei". Every time it comes on, I start singing the Laibach version in a deep voice. It amuses Rick to no end.

Laibach - Opus Dei (Life is Live) Official Video

Wow never thought I'd meet another Laibach fan! Cheers!

[Phil_S]

Beijing: Ghost Town (NBC News)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QRZTlYNjmso

[fillippone]

PlanB plays it cool:

*** Update: my 2 sats on #bitcoin  price:
- 2020: btc stays above $8200 (so we are NOT dropping to $6k or $4k levels that others are predicting now)
- May 2020 halving: will be above $10k
- 2021: bull run starts after the halving and tops $100k before Dec 2021
#NotFinancialAdvice

https://twitter.com/100trillionusd/status/1226918629213499392?s=21

Could have been way more bullish than that.
Probably is better to underestimate and overachieve, than the other way round.

[gentlemand]

Why have you got "Pink Panties" as your personal text? Is that the colour of knickers you are wearing today?

This is the only explanation you're getting - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnXPqUU6fI0&t=0m51s

[LFC_Bitcoin]

PlanB plays it cool:

*** Update: my 2 sats on #bitcoin  price:
- 2020: btc stays above $8200 (so we are NOT dropping to $6k or $4k levels that others are predicting now)
- May 2020 halving: will be above $10k
- 2021: bull run starts after the halving and tops $100k before Dec 2021
#NotFinancialAdvice

https://twitter.com/100trillionusd/status/1226918629213499392?s=21

Could have been way more bullish than that.
Probably is better to underestimate and overachieve, than the other way round.

Pretty much what we’ve discussed here ourselves, including the numbers there.

What do you think buddy, what’s your estimated top of this coming bull run?

[fillippone]

Pretty much what we’ve discussed here ourselves, including the numbers there.

What do you think buddy, what’s your estimated top of this coming bull run?

I feel a little bit more bullish than that.
In mic's contest I voted for 25,000 by halving. This means ATH before halving, this is going to be a little bit stretchted seeing where are we stand right now.
However, we know how it happens: slowly at start, then all of a sudden.

[fillippone]

Wait! What's the name of this coin??

Trump Could Be About To Unveil A U.S. Answer To Bitcoin To Rival China’s Digital Yuan

he U.S. has said it will do whatever it takes to keep up with China on technology—and with China poised to unveil its digital yuan project, the U.S. could be on the verge of announcing a similar answer to bitcoin.

Last week, it was reported by newswire Reuters the Trump administration will today announce a huge bump in spending for artificial intelligence (AI) and quantum research, amongst other technologies in order to keep pace with China.

[LFC_Bitcoin]

Pretty much what we’ve discussed here ourselves, including the numbers there.

What do you think buddy, what’s your estimated top of this coming bull run?

I feel a little bit more bullish than that.
In mic's contest I voted for 25,000 by halving. This means ATH before halving, this is going to be a little bit stretchted seeing where are we stand right now.
However, we know how it happens: slowly at start, then all of a sudden.

I think I went for $10,xxx by the halving. I’m thinking $150,000 (give or take $10,000 either way) as the top of the next epic rise.

Let’s see how it plays out.

[fillippone]

Pretty much what we’ve discussed here ourselves, including the numbers there.

What do you think buddy, what’s your estimated top of this coming bull run?

I feel a little bit more bullish than that.
In mic's contest I voted for 25,000 by halving. This means ATH before halving, this is going to be a little bit stretchted seeing where are we stand right now.
However, we know how it happens: slowly at start, then all of a sudden.

I think I went for $10,xxx by the halving. I’m thinking $150,000 (give or take $10,000 either way) as the top of the next epic rise.

Let’s see how it plays out.

My body is ready.
(I know the Trademark is yours, but I like this catchphrase so much!)

[LFC_Bitcoin]

Pretty much what we’ve discussed here ourselves, including the numbers there.

What do you think buddy, what’s your estimated top of this coming bull run?

I feel a little bit more bullish than that.
In mic's contest I voted for 25,000 by halving. This means ATH before halving, this is going to be a little bit stretchted seeing where are we stand right now.
However, we know how it happens: slowly at start, then all of a sudden.

I think I went for $10,xxx by the halving. I’m thinking $150,000 (give or take $10,000 either way) as the top of the next epic rise.

Let’s see how it plays out.

My body is ready.
(I know the Trademark is yours, but I like this catchphrase so much!)

Your body had better be ready.....for hookers, blow, lambos & moneyyyyyyy!

[AlcoHoDL]

Pretty much what we’ve discussed here ourselves, including the numbers there.

What do you think buddy, what’s your estimated top of this coming bull run?

I feel a little bit more bullish than that.
In mic's contest I voted for 25,000 by halving. This means ATH before halving, this is going to be a little bit stretchted seeing where are we stand right now.
However, we know how it happens: slowly at start, then all of a sudden.

This can be achieved if there's a daily gain of 1.1% on the BTC/USD price.

Not impossible, but if it happens, it will probably be as you say, slow --> sudden. Regardless, I think 2020 will be a good year for Bitcoin, with 2021 breaking 6 figures. The main thing is not to reach it, but to sustain it.

I'd say, keep HoDLing throughout '20-'21 at least.

This is fine.

[yslyv]

Reaching above 9400 and 9600 USD was very important imo. it was kind of a strong return back movement. Of course it is hard to evaluate the price movements with general financial indicators. Bitcoin has mostly its own special indicators.
I guess we can set the next target as 10400 USD. There may be small recessions during this uptrend but i am enough optimistic for a good rise till the halving time.

[VB1001]

Code:

Exchange	      Hacks/Year      Hacks/Year      Hacks/Year

796Exchange 		1/2015
Altsbit			1/2020
Android RNG bug		1/2013
Bancor			1/2018
basic-mining		1/2013
Bidextreme		1/2013
Binance			1/2019
Bips 			1/2013
Bit LC			1/2013
bitcash.cz		1/2013
Bitcoin Gold		1/2018
Bitcoin Rain		1/2013
Bitcoin7		1/2011
Bitcoinica		3/2012
Bitcoins Norway		1/2019
Bitcurex		1/2014		1/2016
Bitfinex		1/2015		1/2016
Bitfloor		1/2012
BitGrail		1/2018
Bithumb			1/2017		1/2018		1/2019
BitMarket		1/2019
Bitomat.pl		1/2011
BitPay			1/2014
Bitpoint		1/2019
Bitrue			1/2019
Bitsane			1/2019
Bitstamp		1/2015
BTC Guild 		1/2013
BTC-e			1/2012
BTER			1/2014		1/2015
Canadian Bitcoins	1/2014
Coinapult		1/2015
Coinbene		1/2019
Coincheck		1/2018
Coinmama		1/2019
Coinrail 		1/2018
Coinsecure		1/2018
Cointrader		1/2016
Cryptopia		1/2019
CryptoRush		1/2014
Cryptsy			1/2014
Dec. Sheep Market	1/2013
DragonEx		1/2019
Flexcoin 		1/2014
Foxbit 			1/2018
Gatecoin		1/2016
GateHub			1/2019
GBL			1/2013
inputs.io		1/2013
Just-Dice		1/2013
KipCoin			1/2014		1/2015
Liqui Crypto		1/2019
LocalBitcoins		1/2015
Mass MyBitcoin		1/2011
MintPal			1/2014
Mooncoin		1/2011
MTGOX			1/2011		1/2014
MyBitcoin		1/2011
Nicehash		1/2017
OKEx			1/2017
Ozcoin 			1/2013
PicoStocks     		2/2013
PlusToken Ponzi		1/2019
Poloniex		1/2014
QuadrigaCX		1/2019
Shapeshift		1/2016
Silk Road  		1/2013		1/2014
Ubitex			1/2011
Upbit			1/2019
Vircurex		1/2013
Yapizon			1/2017
Youbit			1/2017
Zaif			1/2018
ZigGap			1/2013

Added an ordered list with all hacked exchanges, at the suggestion of @DaveF in a comment.
You can copy the list into a text sheet and you will see the exchange and how many times it has been hacked per year.

- List of all exchanges sorted alphabetically:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5090869.msg48946980#msg48946980

[OutOfMemory]

I got my $3k number by extrapolating....
....
333,333.333333

hodl for 300k

I predicted a low of $3k about a year and a half ago and the next high around $300k..

The $3k low prediction held up pretty well and I'm no less confident in the 300k prediction since then, with about the same seriousness that I was saying "BTC to $10k" in 2014-2015..

I think $100k would be quite a conservative prediction for the peak after this next halving..

Many of the extrapolation results of 2017's bubble top were between about $40k and$50k iirc.?
Just for comparison, if you know or remember better, please let me know.

Huh?

The vast majority of peeps were predicting between about $3k and $7k for 2017.  Of course, there were guys like adam predicting $32k, and there were some $10k folks, but these super bullish predictions were not really the norm.  There were a lot of bearish predictions too.. like we already reached the top... blah blah blah..

Yeah, in retrospect, 2017 might seem all clear, but largely the BTC price move in 2017 went about 3x to 5x beyond expectations....

Now, after reaching $19,666, did people expect 2-3 years to get back to $19,666... I don't think so... Many folks were considering resuming another top, like what happened in 2013.. two tops... but yeah, in retrospect, we see that double top performance did not happen.

I had the last few weeks of parabolic rise in mind, not the actual 2017 predictions, but the "FOMO ones".
And yes, they we're certainly not the norm. But still, i think it made many people still sell their houses to buy bitcoin near the ATH.

[jojo69]

39715

[Cryptotourist]

39715

$ I suppose, 2020 - yearly high?

[Arriemoller]

https://gnews.org/107513/

Unusual activities before the epidemic
The U.S. government will investigate the stock market manipulations took place before the Wuhan epidemic including (but not limited to):

“Exists” from Stock Exchanges in Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Hong Kong.
short-selling
People with knowledge of the viral attack sold a large number of stocks to American, European and Saudis investors. Many people who sold their stocks include Jiang Zhicheng (the grandson of Jiang Zeming, the former president of China), Meng Haijin (the daughter of Meng Jianzhu), and Gao Yanyan, etc.
Li Ka-shing, a pro-CCP tycoon in Hong Kong, unloaded a significant portion of his stock holding after Nov 12, a move he did not take during the Hong Kong pro-democracy protests.
Many Chinese business tycoons have been shorting stocks and selling stock holdings to foreigners while keeping their mouths shut since Nov 12, 2019.

I don't know about the veracity of Miles Guo's theories but we do know that Li Ka-Shing has been heavily involved in bitcoin in the past. If he was exiting Chinese stocks as Miles says then it is possible he was entering bitcoin/gold flight capital assets. There was a good pump in bitcoin mid-late Oct. .... hmmm was that another Li Ka-shing and co. pump?.

Really, hes last name is Ka-shing?

[Arriemoller]

when Kathleen's bike?

jesus...lol

I think he's using it wrong.

[xhomerx10]

39715

$ I suppose, 2020 - yearly high?

 Lincolnshire poacher
 https://archive.org/details/ird059/tcp_d1_06_the_lincolnshire_poacher_mi5_irdial.mp3

[Last of the V8s]

No, Li Kashing's last name is Li
duh