Bitcoin Forum
October 31, 2024, 11:21:03 PM *
News: Bitcoin Pumpkin Carving Contest
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Pages: « 1 2 3 4 5 [6] 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 ... 334 »
  Print  
Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 941575 times)
masterluc (OP)
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 938
Merit: 1013



View Profile
September 05, 2013, 03:36:38 PM
 #101

People share opinions here. Nobody is perfect.

BrightAnarchist
Donator
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 853
Merit: 1000



View Profile
September 05, 2013, 05:12:57 PM
 #102

Two months ago on on June 27th when the market droppped  BrightAnarchist said:

Quote from: BrightAnarchist
Absolutely. I'm short everything right now

Then stock market rallies from 1573 to 1700 in two months.  Bitcoin rallies from 70 to 140 USD.  So, general rule is be careful when seeking advice.

But, I suspect BrightAnarchist will make the right call eventually, since if you call a bear market repeatedly then there may be a higher probability you will eventually be correct.  Once a bear market does happen BrightAnarchist will essentially say "I told you so" and everyone will think he is a genius, but in reality he is a human and has made wrong calls in the past.  Sorry for being blunt, BrightAnarchist. Tongue

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=131065.msg2590652#msg2590652

I can be early and still be right about the deflationary hypothesis. It will be very profitable, but I have not yet gotten the signals I need to take particularly aggressive action. Again, I'm hoping that the October time-frame will provide this.

If you think getting every call right at both a long-term and intermediate-term time-frame is an appropriate standard to be held to, then good luck finding that holy grail.
thefiniteidea
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 509
Merit: 564


"In Us We Trust"


View Profile
September 05, 2013, 05:46:06 PM
 #103

I was absolutely wrong about Bitcoin bouncing off a $120 ceiling and heading back down; following a 2011 pattern.

And based off of recent price movements, I don't even know if we'll ever see $50 again at this point... its looking more like the august 2012 "bubble"

I'm waiting and re-assessing my projections for Bitcoin and the equities markets. We may see a divergence in BTC price and overall USD markets this time.

And with all of these analysts/talking heads (CNBC, these bearish threads, and even my favorite analyst Marc Faber agrees) proactively declaring a negative outlook for this upcoming last quarter, like its inevitable (due to typically bearish months, bernanke leaving, stimulus ending), I actually think we may not see these droids that we are all looking for and expecting... and perhaps the market will drift sideways until the new fed chairman... at which point, whoever that is, will continue stimulus and pump the markets up so that this impending crash isn't blamed on them...

I dunno. Lucif's line pretty much sums it up:

"People share opinions here. Nobody is perfect."
RationalSpeculator
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 294
Merit: 250

This bull will try to shake you off. Hold tight!


View Profile
September 06, 2013, 02:11:34 PM
 #104

Two months ago on on June 27th when the market droppped  BrightAnarchist said:

Quote from: BrightAnarchist
Absolutely. I'm short everything right now

Then stock market rallies from 1573 to 1700 in two months.  Bitcoin rallies from 70 to 140 USD.  So, general rule is be careful when seeking advice.

But, I suspect BrightAnarchist will make the right call eventually, since if you call a bear market repeatedly then there may be a higher probability you will eventually be correct.  Once a bear market does happen BrightAnarchist will essentially say "I told you so" and everyone will think he is a genius, but in reality he is a human and has made wrong calls in the past.  Sorry for being blunt, BrightAnarchist. Tongue

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=131065.msg2590652#msg2590652

Thanks for sharing your critical observation. That was valuable for me.

Indeed nobody is perfect, thanks for showing.
masterluc (OP)
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 938
Merit: 1013



View Profile
September 06, 2013, 09:07:46 PM
 #105

Oops....




notme
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002


View Profile
September 07, 2013, 05:40:59 AM
 #106

116, 108, 96, or lower?

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
samurai1200
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 303
Merit: 250


View Profile
September 07, 2013, 07:12:08 AM
 #107

Ah those daily candles make it very clear: we'd been riding the upper bound of the BB for essentially all of August. Time for a dump.

Hodl for the longest tiem.

Use it or lose it: http://coinmap.org/
masterluc (OP)
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 938
Merit: 1013



View Profile
September 08, 2013, 09:23:57 PM
 #108


Odalv
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000



View Profile
September 08, 2013, 09:41:43 PM
 #109



$91 ? :-)
RationalSpeculator
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 294
Merit: 250

This bull will try to shake you off. Hold tight!


View Profile
September 08, 2013, 11:25:01 PM
 #110

I love this ping pong thread Smiley

My guess is it will take some time before we get that final ping bottom, I think around middle November, I estimate somewhere in the order of $60.

By end of December I think we are back over $100. 

In any case, I don't sell anymore coins just in case it goes up from here, hope to buy more if it goes down but will stop buying if it would drop below $30. Maximum exposure to btc of my portfolio: 40%. Current exposure: 18%.

Happy trading brothers and sisters Smiley (any ladies here btw?)
Miz4r
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1246
Merit: 1000


View Profile
September 09, 2013, 12:08:12 AM
 #111

Does anyone else think the Pings and Pongs should be reversed? In my mind a Ping is a high and Pong should be a low. Just a minor OCD thing lol. Tongue Anyway my guess is $98 will be the next low around Sept 25th. German elections will be over by then and it's time for the Euro crisis to come back in full force.

Bitcoin = Gold on steroids
byronbb
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000


HODL OR DIE


View Profile
September 09, 2013, 02:42:28 AM
 #112

Does anyone else think the Pings and Pongs should be reversed? In my mind a Ping is a high and Pong should be a low. Just a minor OCD thing lol. Tongue Anyway my guess is $98 will be the next low around Sept 25th. German elections will be over by then and it's time for the Euro crisis to come back in full force.

Ya but the sequence started at a low, you don't go "Pong-Ping" ldo.

notme
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002


View Profile
September 09, 2013, 06:33:06 AM
 #113

Does anyone else think the Pings and Pongs should be reversed? In my mind a Ping is a high and Pong should be a low. Just a minor OCD thing lol. Tongue Anyway my guess is $98 will be the next low around Sept 25th. German elections will be over by then and it's time for the Euro crisis to come back in full force.

Ya but the sequence started at a low, you don't go "Pong-Ping" ldo.

Just think of a Ping as an upwards force and Pong as a downwards force.  A price in motion will stay in motion until acted upon by an outside force.

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
masterluc (OP)
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 938
Merit: 1013



View Profile
September 11, 2013, 04:26:22 PM
 #114

http://www.sierrachart.com/SupportBoard.php?ThreadID=3045

Quote
Currently there is a problem with the MTGox Bitcoin data feed. It should be back up by this evening.

We are having to recode the interface. For some reason the web socket interface they provide keeps giving us an error. After reviewing the documentation they provide for that interface, it is unclear and a mess.

rampantparanoia
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 516
Merit: 283



View Profile
September 11, 2013, 05:06:08 PM
 #115

http://www.sierrachart.com/SupportBoard.php?ThreadID=3045

Quote
Currently there is a problem with the MTGox Bitcoin data feed. It should be back up by this evening.

We are having to recode the interface. For some reason the web socket interface they provide keeps giving us an error. After reviewing the documentation they provide for that interface, it is unclear and a mess.

lol, they should switch to the json feed. Updates are a little slower, but more reliable.
here I thought I was the only one who had trouble understanding their documentation.
Leo
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 620
Merit: 10

Trident Protocol | Simple «buy-hold-earn» system!


View Profile
September 11, 2013, 10:12:21 PM
 #116


Simple «buy-hold-earn» system!      │     TRIDENT PROTOCOL     │      HIGH FIXED APY  >>> 382,945%
THE HIGH PAYING AUTO-STAKING & AUTO-COMPOUNDING PROTOCOL
████████████|           Twitter           |          Telegram          |            Reddit            |████████████
samurai1200
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 303
Merit: 250


View Profile
September 11, 2013, 11:52:43 PM
 #117

So a PONG to $115 within a couple of weeks would establish that trend. Seems unlikely considering how strong that middle upward band has been. I'm really trying to be bearish but nearly every day I'm being proven wrong. Liquidity (or lack thereof) is making this a whale's game.

Hodl for the longest tiem.

Use it or lose it: http://coinmap.org/
lebing
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1288
Merit: 1000

Enabling the maximal migration


View Profile
September 12, 2013, 05:53:35 AM
 #118



Some seems to be interested in making the upward option happen.


Bro, do you even blockchain?
-E Voorhees
notme
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002


View Profile
September 12, 2013, 06:02:11 AM
 #119



Some seems to be interested in making the upward option happen.



Or letting the bids fill in around him so he can pull it and dump... His real bids will be scattered below where he sells it to.

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
lebing
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1288
Merit: 1000

Enabling the maximal migration


View Profile
September 12, 2013, 06:11:48 AM
 #120



Some seems to be interested in making the upward option happen.



Or letting the bids fill in around him so he can pull it and dump... His real bids will be scattered below where he sells it to.

Maybe, but a bit too risky for most whales taste I suspect. There is virtually no spread between his bid and the current bid, far too easy for one to dump right into it should one be so inclined.

Bro, do you even blockchain?
-E Voorhees
Pages: « 1 2 3 4 5 [6] 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 ... 334 »
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!