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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 921417 times)
masterluc
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December 17, 2013, 02:41:03 AM
 #861

No legit target during few years. Fuck it, I go away.

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Lady_Luck
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December 17, 2013, 02:42:45 AM
Last edit: December 17, 2013, 08:31:37 AM by Lady_Luck
 #862

Guys I see no support between now and purple line at all. And purple line support is quite questionable.

Me too, I don't see any support above 2700cny, and I'm curious about your count Lucif, but i don't think we have even completed wave 3 of C (edit : may be 3 starting in a moment).
I'm still unsure whether it's a flat or zigzag, i'm more on the regular 3-3-5 side for now though. What about you ?
2017orso
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December 17, 2013, 04:05:24 AM
 #863

No legit target during few years. Fuck it, I go away.

we both know you're not going anywhere...
cAPSLOCK
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December 17, 2013, 04:08:12 AM
 #864

No legit target during few years. Fuck it, I go away.

we both know you're not going anywhere...

Its his party... He can cry if he wants to.   

I prefer him around though.  And internet suicides are always overvalued.
2017orso
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December 17, 2013, 04:10:35 AM
 #865

No legit target during few years. Fuck it, I go away.

we both know you're not going anywhere...

Its his party... He can cry if he wants to.   

I prefer him around though.  And internet suicides are always overvalued.

no I mean in as much as he provides brilliant analysis he also instills fear on purpose imo
Okurkabinladin
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December 17, 2013, 04:27:31 AM
 #866

No legit target during few years. Fuck it, I go away.

we both know you're not going anywhere...

Its his party... He can cry if he wants to.   

I prefer him around though.  And internet suicides are always overvalued.

Why should he cry? He is one of the few guys here, who consistently made money, playing this market.
oda.krell
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December 17, 2013, 04:28:14 AM
 #867

No legit target during few years. Fuck it, I go away.

Ah, now you're being silly. First, I want us to see below 700 for a bit before I say that one is good for gone. Then, retesting 550 will be interesting (bitstamp prices. always bitstamp prices). Finally, 340. Interesting times ahead.

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seleme
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December 17, 2013, 06:00:36 AM
 #868

No legit target during few years. Fuck it, I go away.

we both know you're not going anywhere...

Its his party... He can cry if he wants to.   

I prefer him around though.  And internet suicides are always overvalued.

no I mean in as much as he provides brilliant analysis he also instills fear on purpose imo

 Wink


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samurai1200
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December 17, 2013, 06:38:57 AM
Last edit: December 17, 2013, 06:51:13 AM by samurai1200
 #869

Recapping, mostly for my own reference:

Sell when/before a whale does, catch the knife, ride out the bull trap, sell on the market-order-frenzy peak, then buy when the dust settles. Easy right?  Roll Eyes

Step 1. sell
Step 2. catch (buy)
Step 3. ride (--> sell)
Step 4. buy



I hope I'm right! Go fractals!

[edit] SORRY these numbers don't have anything to do with EW theory. Please don't confuse  Kiss

So I guess the logical extension of this conversation is... where does #3 land? My guess is 850-900 based on price ranging through this weekend, though volume was pretty low even for a weekend, so that may not be accurate. And yes, #4 should be somewhere in the twilight zone. I would consider $500 reasonably safe based on price action Nov 19-20. I would consider $315 nearly indestructible, and $266 psychologically indestructible. However, momentum may carry us past some of these points for brief periods.

All prices in Gox.

And to keep things in perspective, please notice the double-exponential (exponential on a log scale) over the past couple years:

Hodl for the longest tiem.

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Lady_Luck
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December 17, 2013, 07:33:56 AM
 #870

Hi Samurai Smiley

I'm not trying to say when to buy or sell, but up to now that the general shape I expect.
I don't think it can overlap and go above 850 on gox, support has probably turned into resistance.


http://i.imgur.com/SkYWkTe.png
John999
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December 17, 2013, 10:31:59 AM
 #871

so are we in the midst of a bear market? long and painful, maybe get us down to the $400's?

we are going much lower than that

I agree.
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December 17, 2013, 11:34:17 AM
 #872

Wekkel
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yes


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December 17, 2013, 01:09:35 PM
 #873



So, where are we?

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DeepOnion
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lebing
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December 17, 2013, 01:36:33 PM
 #874

No legit target during few years. Fuck it, I go away.

we both know you're not going anywhere...

Its his party... He can cry if he wants to.   

I prefer him around though.  And internet suicides are always overvalued.

Why should he cry? He is one of the few guys here, who consistently made money, playing this market.

You havent been around long enough to know that that statement is simply not true. He got badly burned a few times turning bearish when he underestimated the honey badger. I dont see this case as any different than that time period.

Bro, do you even blockchain?
-E Voorhees
oda.krell
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December 17, 2013, 02:10:33 PM
 #875

No legit target during few years. Fuck it, I go away.

we both know you're not going anywhere...

Its his party... He can cry if he wants to.  

I prefer him around though.  And internet suicides are always overvalued.

Why should he cry? He is one of the few guys here, who consistently made money, playing this market.

You havent been around long enough to know that that statement is simply not true. He got badly burned a few times turning bearish when he underestimated the honey badger. I dont see this case as any different than that time period.


Quoted for truth (sorry for the memespeak).


The newcomers to this thread need to understand one thing about (master)luc(if):

The guy is, as far as we can tell, a pretty competent trader, but he made wrong calls as well in the past. Which means he's not infallible, and/or he sometimes has a different goal in mind when he posts, i.e. he withholds something he knows or believes on purpose.


Shock! Gasp! Someone on the Internet might have an ulterior motive! Why I never would have imagined that!


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T.Stuart
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December 17, 2013, 03:24:17 PM
 #876

I have a sneaking suspicion that there are just as many analysts keeping quiet as they make losses. The short-term movements seem difficult to predict, no matter how many different types of charts get wheeled out (and of course in the end one of them will probably be right and we will certainly hear about it if it is). For everyone who pipes up after a crash claiming to have "caught the knife" there are more who didn't manage it despite analysis.

Please excuse my layman's bullshit intuition  Smiley

                                                                               
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ft73
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December 17, 2013, 03:55:11 PM
 #877


The newcomers to this thread need to understand one thing about (master)luc(if):
The guy is, as far as we can tell, a pretty competent trader, but he made wrong calls as well in the past. Which means he's not infallible, and/or he sometimes has a different goal in mind when he posts, i.e. he withholds something he knows or believes on purpose.

Shock! Gasp! Someone on the Internet might have an ulterior motive! Why I never would have imagined that!


I think nobody is infallible, yet his last call was spot on.
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December 17, 2013, 03:59:01 PM
 #878


The newcomers to this thread need to understand one thing about (master)luc(if):
The guy is, as far as we can tell, a pretty competent trader, but he made wrong calls as well in the past. Which means he's not infallible, and/or he sometimes has a different goal in mind when he posts, i.e. he withholds something he knows or believes on purpose.

Shock! Gasp! Someone on the Internet might have an ulterior motive! Why I never would have imagined that!


I think nobody is infallible, yet his last call was spot on.


His last call was nothing special at all, many, many people guessed it.

His call for rally was very, very impressive though. He is speaking utter nonsense now though though and want to turn his followers to help market moves in his direction.


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December 17, 2013, 04:22:19 PM
 #879

Relax, take a deep breath and realize this is just your interpretation. Not his words.

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December 17, 2013, 05:12:43 PM
 #880

[...]

I think nobody is infallible, yet his last call was spot on.


His last call was nothing special at all, many, many people guessed it.

His call for rally was very, very impressive though. He is speaking utter nonsense now though though and want to turn his followers to help market moves in his direction.

On shaky ground? Maybe. "Utter nonsense"? No, absolutely not. If you absolutely cannot comprehend the possibility anymore that bitcoin price might enter a multi-month-to-a-year bear market, you should re-evaluate.

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