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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 940400 times)
samurai1200
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December 17, 2013, 12:30:05 AM
 #841

is $400 too greedy? maybe I should back off and say $500.

The thing I am (very slowly) learning is that its better to capture 70% of a drop than to not capture it at all.

Hodl for the longest tiem.

Use it or lose it: http://coinmap.org/
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BrightAnarchist
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December 17, 2013, 01:53:20 AM
 #842

so are we in the midst of a bear market? long and painful, maybe get us down to the $400's?

we are going much lower than that
Brisance
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December 17, 2013, 02:00:46 AM
 #843

Look at the chart posted earlier today and compare to this updated version.

Mt.Gox Is The Red Line

Notice which fib all the ema's cross at.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/NwuJC6tC/
masterluc
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December 17, 2013, 02:27:29 AM
 #844

Guys I see no support between now and purple line at all. And purple line support is quite questionable.


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December 17, 2013, 02:37:39 AM
 #845

Guys I see no support between now and purple line at all. And purple line support is quite questionable.

I was seeing the same thing. I thought the natural progression line should be something like this:

Obviously with a few pit stop along the way.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/WDAjCGrV/
cAPSLOCK
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December 17, 2013, 02:38:35 AM
 #846

Guys I see no support between now and purple line at all. And purple line support is quite questionable.


So you see a legit target range of 275 to 350?

I put q buy in for 511.  That's too high you think?
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December 17, 2013, 02:41:03 AM
 #847

No legit target during few years. Fuck it, I go away.

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December 17, 2013, 02:42:45 AM
Last edit: December 17, 2013, 08:31:37 AM by Lady_Luck
 #848

Guys I see no support between now and purple line at all. And purple line support is quite questionable.

Me too, I don't see any support above 2700cny, and I'm curious about your count Lucif, but i don't think we have even completed wave 3 of C (edit : may be 3 starting in a moment).
I'm still unsure whether it's a flat or zigzag, i'm more on the regular 3-3-5 side for now though. What about you ?
2017orso
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December 17, 2013, 04:05:24 AM
 #849

No legit target during few years. Fuck it, I go away.

we both know you're not going anywhere...
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December 17, 2013, 04:08:12 AM
 #850

No legit target during few years. Fuck it, I go away.

we both know you're not going anywhere...

Its his party... He can cry if he wants to.   

I prefer him around though.  And internet suicides are always overvalued.
2017orso
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December 17, 2013, 04:10:35 AM
 #851

No legit target during few years. Fuck it, I go away.

we both know you're not going anywhere...

Its his party... He can cry if he wants to.   

I prefer him around though.  And internet suicides are always overvalued.

no I mean in as much as he provides brilliant analysis he also instills fear on purpose imo
Okurkabinladin
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December 17, 2013, 04:27:31 AM
 #852

No legit target during few years. Fuck it, I go away.

we both know you're not going anywhere...

Its his party... He can cry if he wants to.   

I prefer him around though.  And internet suicides are always overvalued.

Why should he cry? He is one of the few guys here, who consistently made money, playing this market.
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December 17, 2013, 04:28:14 AM
 #853

No legit target during few years. Fuck it, I go away.

Ah, now you're being silly. First, I want us to see below 700 for a bit before I say that one is good for gone. Then, retesting 550 will be interesting (bitstamp prices. always bitstamp prices). Finally, 340. Interesting times ahead.

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seleme
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Duelbits.com


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December 17, 2013, 06:00:36 AM
 #854

No legit target during few years. Fuck it, I go away.

we both know you're not going anywhere...

Its his party... He can cry if he wants to.   

I prefer him around though.  And internet suicides are always overvalued.

no I mean in as much as he provides brilliant analysis he also instills fear on purpose imo

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samurai1200
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December 17, 2013, 06:38:57 AM
Last edit: December 17, 2013, 06:51:13 AM by samurai1200
 #855

Recapping, mostly for my own reference:

Sell when/before a whale does, catch the knife, ride out the bull trap, sell on the market-order-frenzy peak, then buy when the dust settles. Easy right?  Roll Eyes

Step 1. sell
Step 2. catch (buy)
Step 3. ride (--> sell)
Step 4. buy



I hope I'm right! Go fractals!

[edit] SORRY these numbers don't have anything to do with EW theory. Please don't confuse  Kiss

So I guess the logical extension of this conversation is... where does #3 land? My guess is 850-900 based on price ranging through this weekend, though volume was pretty low even for a weekend, so that may not be accurate. And yes, #4 should be somewhere in the twilight zone. I would consider $500 reasonably safe based on price action Nov 19-20. I would consider $315 nearly indestructible, and $266 psychologically indestructible. However, momentum may carry us past some of these points for brief periods.

All prices in Gox.

And to keep things in perspective, please notice the double-exponential (exponential on a log scale) over the past couple years:

Hodl for the longest tiem.

Use it or lose it: http://coinmap.org/
Lady_Luck
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December 17, 2013, 07:33:56 AM
 #856

Hi Samurai Smiley

I'm not trying to say when to buy or sell, but up to now that the general shape I expect.
I don't think it can overlap and go above 850 on gox, support has probably turned into resistance.


https://i.imgur.com/SkYWkTe.png
John999
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December 17, 2013, 10:31:59 AM
 #857

so are we in the midst of a bear market? long and painful, maybe get us down to the $400's?

we are going much lower than that

I agree.
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December 17, 2013, 11:34:17 AM
 #858

Wekkel
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yes


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December 17, 2013, 01:09:35 PM
 #859



So, where are we?

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Enabling the maximal migration


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December 17, 2013, 01:36:33 PM
 #860

No legit target during few years. Fuck it, I go away.

we both know you're not going anywhere...

Its his party... He can cry if he wants to.   

I prefer him around though.  And internet suicides are always overvalued.

Why should he cry? He is one of the few guys here, who consistently made money, playing this market.

You havent been around long enough to know that that statement is simply not true. He got badly burned a few times turning bearish when he underestimated the honey badger. I dont see this case as any different than that time period.

Bro, do you even blockchain?
-E Voorhees
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