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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 923519 times)
seleme
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December 04, 2013, 01:37:48 AM
 #461

Well, this time I won't agree with him. He was bull 3-4 days ago and now suggests that Sheepmarket theft will cause price to go down.

That's obvious bullshit as there's no single chance that guy will start selling his coins for fiat anytime soon. He'd be busted in no time.

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December 04, 2013, 04:00:31 AM
 #462

The wedge that is forming is a continuation pattern. Rally will continue.

http://i.imgur.com/8PB0fWk.jpg

http://www.trending123.com/media/free/patterns/b4a50500.png
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December 04, 2013, 05:53:34 AM
 #463

You drew the lower line with only one price point touching it?

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December 04, 2013, 07:03:13 AM
 #464

You drew the lower line with only one price point touching it?

Yes, the blue line will create the second bounce, there might even be a third if its an ABCDE thing.
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December 04, 2013, 07:25:24 AM
 #465

Yes, the blue line will create the second bounce
Nostradamus, is that you?
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December 04, 2013, 07:57:27 AM
 #466

Yes, the blue line will create the second bounce
Nostradamus, is that you?

Maybe 'will' was a bit to strong. But: It was a top, there was a correction, since bitcoin started trading those wave 3 -> 4 corrections have been 95% wedges of this exact kind. Its like bitcoin love wedges when its rallying. It takes a lot of guts to make such a prediction on a public forum. I'm really putting my head out there for ridicule. Lets see how it plays out. If the bullmaket is strong enough it wont even do the second bounce, it will just penetrate the trend line and continue.
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December 04, 2013, 08:08:29 AM
 #467


Maybe 'will' was a bit to strong. But: It was a top, there was a correction, since bitcoin started trading those wave 3 -> 4 corrections have been 95% wedges of this exact kind. Its like bitcoin love wedges when its rallying. It takes a lot of guts to make such a prediction on a public forum. I'm really putting my head out there for ridicule. Lets see how it plays out. If the bullmaket is strong enough it wont even do the second bounce, it will just penetrate the trend line and continue.

I was just wondering what bitcoin corrections are most likely.



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December 04, 2013, 08:22:01 AM
 #468

Yes, the blue line will create the second bounce
Nostradamus, is that you?

Maybe 'will' was a bit to strong. But: It was a top, there was a correction, since bitcoin started trading those wave 3 -> 4 corrections have been 95% wedges of this exact kind. Its like bitcoin love wedges when its rallying. It takes a lot of guts to make such a prediction on a public forum. I'm really putting my head out there for ridicule. Lets see how it plays out. If the bullmaket is strong enough it wont even do the second bounce, it will just penetrate the trend line and continue.

Wedge is different from triangle - at least use the same terminology as the other people here!
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December 04, 2013, 08:38:04 AM
 #469


Maybe 'will' was a bit to strong. But: It was a top, there was a correction, since bitcoin started trading those wave 3 -> 4 corrections have been 95% wedges of this exact kind. Its like bitcoin love wedges when its rallying. It takes a lot of guts to make such a prediction on a public forum. I'm really putting my head out there for ridicule. Lets see how it plays out. If the bullmaket is strong enough it wont even do the second bounce, it will just penetrate the trend line and continue.

I was just wondering what bitcoin corrections are most likely.

http://www.acrotec.com/elliottwave/ew5.jpg

http://www.elliottwave.net/educational/basictenets/basics_images/fig18.gif

In my experience bitcoin 'loves' those Ascending Triangles and Contracting Symmetrical Triangles. They are present on all scales and occur extremely often, and have done so from the very start.

It was masterluc and his (I think) unorthodox way of drawing the 4th wave correction in his elliot wave analysis that made me aware of just how often these patterns occur. It may be so simple that bitcoin is in a persistent long-term bull market and that this continuation pattern is a natural occurrence in bull markets. We are just so spoilt that get to see them so often.

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December 04, 2013, 12:33:28 PM
 #470

I think it should reach $2k-$4k in near future in a final push, especially if it will draw a triangle now 7-14 days long.

But I don't want to take a part in further market actions. I reached all my targets, dreams and so on. And now I cashed out for 80%. Thanks China. Thanks US Senate. Thanks uncle Ben, I like your Franklins in my hands.

I think selling in wave 4 of final historical 5 is not bad. I left 20% coins for final wave.

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December 04, 2013, 12:37:36 PM
 #471

Congratulations Lucif & masterluc, well done!
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December 04, 2013, 12:42:33 PM
 #472

I think it should reach $2k-$4k in near future in a final push, especially if it will draw a triangle now 7-14 days long.

But I don't want to take a part in further market actions. I reached all my targets, dreams and so on. And now I cashed out for 80%. Thanks China. Thanks US Senate. Thanks uncle Ben, I like your Franklins in my hands.

I think selling in wave 4 of final historical 5 is not bad. I left 20% coins for final wave.

Target for me now is ~$3k.

Who knows how high it will go. But $2k to $3k is nice good target.

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December 04, 2013, 01:13:11 PM
 #473

Ah, of course thanks Satoshi and community, but I am still here =) Next entering point for me is in 2016-2017 year.

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December 04, 2013, 01:16:59 PM
 #474

Ah, of course thanks Satoshi and community, but I am still here =) Next entering point for me is in 2016-2017 year.

Don't speak too soon.

I don't think the bear market will last that long. 3-4 years?...Unlikely with how Bitcoin has moved previously since inception.

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BrightAnarchist
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December 04, 2013, 02:08:22 PM
 #475

Ah, of course thanks Satoshi and community, but I am still here =) Next entering point for me is in 2016-2017 year.

Agree completely on this, fits with my timeframe projections as well.

All of these epic, once-in-a-lifetime super-bubbles (stocks, bonds, housing, crypto-currency, and more) will ultimately collapse. Comparing now to the end of the roaring 20s doesn't do today justice... you'd have to go all the way back to the South Sea bubble to find comparable financial psychology.
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December 04, 2013, 02:14:25 PM
 #476

Yes, it's once in lifetime epic event. And I am happy I was participated. Such stories live in generations.

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December 04, 2013, 02:17:54 PM
 #477

Yes, it's once in lifetime epic event. And I am happy I was participated. Such stories live in generations.

Are you saying that more or less this was/is a bubble and its more likely to go to $100 than $10000?

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December 04, 2013, 02:18:54 PM
 #478

Ah, of course thanks Satoshi and community, but I am still here =) Next entering point for me is in 2016-2017 year.

Don't speak too soon.

I don't think the bear market will last that long. 3-4 years?...Unlikely with how Bitcoin has moved previously since inception.


So smoothie, aren't you going to mock lucif in your usual 'who sold at <xxxx way?  Cheesy'
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December 04, 2013, 02:22:11 PM
 #479

Ah, of course thanks Satoshi and community, but I am still here =) Next entering point for me is in 2016-2017 year.

Agree completely on this, fits with my timeframe projections as well.

All of these epic, once-in-a-lifetime super-bubbles (stocks, bonds, housing, crypto-currency, and more) will ultimately collapse. Comparing now to the end of the roaring 20s doesn't do today justice... you'd have to go all the way back to the South Sea bubble to find comparable financial psychology.

Nothing compared to Bitcoin. The price of stocks of the South Sea Company started at roughly 100 GBP - the peak was 1.000 GBP. A ten-fold increase from 1719 to 1720.

We just had a ten-fold increase in BTC only in the last month. There's has been NOTHING comparable to Bitcoin in history.

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December 04, 2013, 06:47:35 PM
 #480



?

Is it a bull? Is it a bear? No, it's just another sheep.
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