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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 923616 times)
samson
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October 16, 2013, 12:47:06 AM
 #181

I thought I'd check your Casino site out but the IP address is blocked by malwarebytes for some reason.

Maybe it flags up all gambling sites ?
Well, I see my hoster has long history. He doesnt care about copyright and gambling abuses. I should change ip. This is not single false positive Sad

Maybe you could reverse proxy it from a different host or put it behind something like CloudFlare if they allow Casino sites.
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zby
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October 19, 2013, 11:21:57 AM
 #182

Are we starting extension of extension of extension?
masterluc
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October 19, 2013, 04:40:19 PM
 #183

Need to short some coins... Price went too far in short term.

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October 19, 2013, 04:43:39 PM
 #184

Need to short some coins... Price went too far in short term.

I've sold nearly all of mine already
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October 19, 2013, 11:55:18 PM
 #185

I'm trying to be cautious, and have my finger "on the trigger" so to speak, but I don't see the necessity to sell quite yet.

(This is the part that you can quote and come back to later when I'm going to have to eat my words Tongue)

Anyway, I expect lots of resistance on the way up, at all kind of "psychological" barriers (200 mtgox. 200 on real exchanges. 250. etc.) But I don't see that *big* correction yet, i.e. something comparable to the April 10 one.

Why?

Keep in mind the starting point: the March/April "super bull run" started at around 35 or 50 (both are reasonable starting points IMO). Price *quadrupled*, and more, before the April 10 correction took place.

Where did we "start" this time? I'm sure you'll agree, even if you're conservative, that 130 was a fairly stable price over the last month or so (with the exception of course of the SR flash crash).

So my point is, going from 130 to 190/200 (where we are now) is nothing like the movement from 35/50 to 250+ like we saw in April.

tl;dr Smaller corrections will happen. But the trend is still up, IMO.

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molecular
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October 20, 2013, 12:08:26 AM
 #186

I'm trying to be cautious, and have my finger "on the trigger" so to speak, but I don't see the necessity to sell quite yet.

(This is the part that you can quote and come back to later when I'm going to have to eat my words Tongue)

Anyway, I expect lots of resistance on the way up, at all kind of "psychological" barriers (200 mtgox. 200 on real exchanges. 250. etc.) But I don't see that *big* correction yet, i.e. something comparable to the April 10 one.

Why?

Keep in mind the starting point: the March/April "super bull run" started at around 35 or 50 (both are reasonable starting points IMO). Price *quadrupled*, and more, before the April 10 correction took place.

Where did we "start" this time? I'm sure you'll agree, even if you're conservative, that 130 was a fairly stable price over the last month or so (with the exception of course of the SR flash crash).

So my point is, going from 130 to 190/200 (where we are now) is nothing like the movement from 35/50 to 250+ like we saw in April.

tl;dr Smaller corrections will happen. But the trend is still up, IMO.

Something's off here: We haven't even broken all-time-high and yet you put the starting point of the last "super bull run" above the $32 (the old all-time-high from back then). This would mean we haven't even started yet.

I'd rather put the start of the last run to around $15 to $20 (January '13).

In that sense I agree: there will be many corrections along the way, but the top is a looong way off.

PGP key molecular F9B70769 fingerprint 9CDD C0D3 20F8 279F 6BE0  3F39 FC49 2362 F9B7 0769
masterluc
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October 20, 2013, 12:09:02 AM
 #187

I mean short term short possibilities. Very risky. I dont think selling everything during them is a good idea. Trend is goddamn bullish and it is very dangerous.

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October 20, 2013, 02:14:57 AM
 #188

Something's off here: We haven't even broken all-time-high and yet you put the starting point of the last "super bull run" above the $32 (the old all-time-high from back then). This would mean we haven't even started yet.

I'd rather put the start of the last run to around $15 to $20 (January '13).

In that sense I agree: there will be many corrections along the way, but the top is a looong way off.


I should have clarified: I see a clear step up at those price points from bitcoin's "regular" exponential growth to, well, super-exponential growth.

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thefiniteidea
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October 20, 2013, 02:29:44 PM
 #189





https://twitter.com/thefiniteidea

14jNCND1PemxxHD17m2gGjScrPHWcVmduP
masterluc
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October 20, 2013, 11:10:09 PM
 #190

Besides, my midterm count 2 (posted half year ago) materialized in full (except 3 was a bit higher)


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October 21, 2013, 04:08:28 AM
 #191



makes sense right  Cry
notme
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October 21, 2013, 04:40:45 AM
 #192



makes sense right  Cry

OMG, I can see the future!

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
12jh3odyAAaR2XedPKZNCR4X4sebuotQzN
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October 21, 2013, 04:45:06 AM
 #193



makes sense right  Cry

ni hao, lol
There are some studies on arxiv claiming that 4 year old kids outperform top brokers, so..

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keystroke
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October 21, 2013, 05:25:32 AM
 #194



makes sense right  Cry

ni hao, lol
There are some studies on arxiv claiming that 4 year old kids outperform top brokers, so..
Citation? Smiley Would love to check that out.

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kehtolo
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October 21, 2013, 06:33:12 AM
 #195

Besides, my midterm count 2 (posted half year ago) materialized in full (except 3 was a bit higher)



So.. where to next??

The next 24 hours are critical!
Zarathustra
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October 21, 2013, 06:37:59 AM
 #196

Besides, my midterm count 2 (posted half year ago) materialized in full (except 3 was a bit higher)



So.. where to next??

Next to the red 5, anywhere above wave 3. Market Capitalization (weekly) is already at a new alltime high:

http://blockchain.info/charts/market-cap?showDataPoints=false&timespan=&show_header=true&daysAverageString=7&scale=0&address=
kehtolo
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October 21, 2013, 06:45:05 AM
 #197



So.. where to next??
[/quote]

Next to the red 5, anywhere above wave 3. Market Capitalization (weekly) is already at a new alltime high:

http://blockchain.info/charts/market-cap?showDataPoints=false&timespan=&show_header=true&daysAverageString=7&scale=0&address=
[/quote]

..So it is! Wow.. crazy times. Go bitcoin!!!

The next 24 hours are critical!
masterluc
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October 21, 2013, 06:52:54 AM
 #198

Next to the red 5, anywhere above wave 3. Market Capitalization (weekly) is already at a new alltime high:

http://blockchain.info/charts/market-cap?showDataPoints=false&timespan=&show_header=true&daysAverageString=7&scale=0&address=
Everyone probably need to know where price will go after red 5... But I dont wanna scary you before time will come =)

Zarathustra
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October 21, 2013, 07:07:58 AM
 #199

Next to the red 5, anywhere above wave 3. Market Capitalization (weekly) is already at a new alltime high:

http://blockchain.info/charts/market-cap?showDataPoints=false&timespan=&show_header=true&daysAverageString=7&scale=0&address=
Everyone probably need to know where price will go after red 5... But I dont wanna scary you before time will come =)

To wave C, anywhere above USD 32.-?
zby
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October 21, 2013, 07:27:23 AM
Last edit: October 21, 2013, 08:04:14 AM by zby
 #200

Besides, my midterm count 2 (posted half year ago) materialized in full (except 3 was a bit higher)



It was not 3 - it was just the first wave of 3 Smiley

At this growth it really does not make sense to use linear scale.
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