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Author Topic: Ryan Pumper: Pumpers Picks (Updated Daily)  (Read 216501 times)
BTCfaucetTIME
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February 18, 2015, 09:06:35 AM
 #1741

... In fact, prices change on a constant basis in the crypto currency market. This is because perceptions change on a constant basis.

You could be buying into a coin because you have completed hours of research and are now dead certain that it’s price is going to climb and provide you with a substantial profit. You will have been pumped up and exited to buy your way into that coin. In your mind, you will have already calculated all of the things that you are going to spend your profits on.... Then, you log onto bitcointalk forums, read one line of negative publicity and, within the space of 5 minutes, your entire perception will have been altered. You will have gone from a state of perceiving value, to now being in a state of panic and fear. This will cause you disregard the dozens of hours you have spent in research, and to sell all of your holdings, even at a loss.

But, just like you determined in your original research – that same coin will begin to creep upwards. Then it will begin climbing powerfully through price range after price range... then it’s will begin to skyrocket in value almost by 150%...

...then, strangely, your perception will have changed yet again. No longer are you fearful because, clearly, this coin has just had a major advancement in value – in fact, now, you will have retuned into a state of perceiving value, and those thoughts of future profits and how you are going to spend them have returned... so what do you do? You buy back in...

Then... and the story is very common... the price begins to plummet directly into the ground almost as soon as you have bought back in.. It drops 20% of value, but this time – you don’t sell.. this time, you hold on – because you just watched this coin climb 100% so now the image of profit is too real for you to let go... The price drops by another 20%, but still – you don’t sell... this time, you continue to hold because everyone on twitter is swearing on their grandmother’s ashes that this coin is going “to the moon”... Eventually, you wind up with a 60% loss and again, you refuse to sell because now, you have decided just to wait for the coin the return back a level where you can get out at even...

But that’s it.. a couple of days go by and the price has still not lifted.. a week has gone by and now you finally decide to sell at a 60% loss.

Then... the price rallies again, this time higher than it did during the last rally.

You see guys, this is a quirk in the way the human mind works in regard to risk and gain. People shy away from risk when it comes to gains, but they will take the largest and most irrational risks when it comes to avoiding losses.

In the above example, there was an initial opportunity to buy and to profit – however, the decision was made to back out of the trade due to the risk of loss.

Then once the coin advanced in price, the buy was locked in and sealed.. but due to jumping in during the wrong stage of the price advancement, the price began to fall.. Yet this time, there was no perception of risk at all, there was no decision made to sell until 60% of the coins value was lost.

The human mind is geared so that you gamble to avoid loss, but you evade and shy away from taking risk when it comes to gains.

This is like how i was spent my first two month trading this is what many have to overcome
you do having to force your mind to make the right decisions because somtime you use too much emotion
and panic that isn't not how i have made money i always do plan my trade before the day even start in evening
so i do my business calm when every one else panic Cheesy
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February 18, 2015, 09:27:05 AM
 #1742

Jump on $kobo before is too late  Wink

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February 18, 2015, 12:47:37 PM
 #1743

This is like how i was spent my first two month trading this is what many have to overcome
you do having to force your mind to make the right decisions because somtime you use too much emotion
and panic that isn't not how i have made money i always do plan my trade before the day even start in evening
so i do my business calm when every one else panic Cheesy

That's great to hear that you're making profits during panics... But, always watch your positions, because whilst panics can make you win, they always have more chance of making you lose... It's your timing to either remain in the trade or just get out with your profits and be happy with that much only... Wink

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February 18, 2015, 01:40:36 PM
 #1744

Noice trade

its all about that decline and how you maneouver on into position to take advantage

it's the rhythm that you have to exploit
thanks for explaining how it works with this percentages etc

I noticed you have done a trade like this based on timing? e.g using the length of the previous rallies to judge entry / exit points

would love to hear more about that

 

Duration is another thing that is exploitable that ryan touched on in one of his posts. Duration, percentage increases, percentage declines, volume, those are the true patterns of a market becuase they are the only things that can be measured and quantified, because they flow in cycles like ryan says

Those things all combine to form the rhythm of price movement. Sometimes it may be just a recurrent pattern of percentage declines that will make a trade so obvious, but then if you also have a recurrent duration of a rally, from start to finish, that is also another giveaway

As far as timing goes thats more to do with marking resistance levels and buy support levels

If you go on bitcoinwisdom.com and you click on the bitstamp chart, you will see ryans theory play out in real time. Every time huge buy support begins to stack up, the price falls immediately because buy support doesn't "support" those looking to get in it "supports" people who are looking to get out with profits

it's all a backwards thing

Simply, the only reason you would buy into a coin in the first place is because you expect to be able to sell it to someone else at a higher price. That in itself is manipulation – or the attempt to profit because of manipulation.

You have to be fully aware of the fact that if this was a market based on morals, and honour – the price of a coin would never change. Every altcoin would have one sticker price, and that’s it. Clearly though, this isn’t the case...

... In fact, prices change on a constant basis in the crypto currency market. This is because perceptions change on a constant basis.

+ 1

perception changes before the price so if you have a good method on following perception you will always be ahead of the game
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February 18, 2015, 03:02:54 PM
 #1745

If you go on bitcoinwisdom.com and you click on the bitstamp chart, you will see ryans theory play out in real time. Every time huge buy support begins to stack up, the price falls immediately because buy support doesn't "support" those looking to get in it "supports" people who are looking to get out with profits

it's all a backwards thing

It's funny you say that cos btc just dropped from $242 to $237 lol, btc is definitely turning around though $300 isn't that far away

and that whole thing about buy support only being support for people looking to cash in, that is how people are able to maintain careers as daytraders while everyone else fails and cant get it right.
you have people who think they are smart by trying to get in on the buy side,, then you have people who actually are smart because they bought a shit load of bitcoins at $150 in January and are cashing out every time support appears
the same thing happens with alts

it's a funny little game this whole trading stuff
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February 18, 2015, 05:45:45 PM
 #1746

02 Feb - 18 Feb
Total return: 91%
Coins: XBS

Opportunities come in many shapes and sizes in the crypto currency markets. Day after day, there are hundreds of traders who lose some, or all of their money. So, in that same token, there are traders who are on the other side of these losing trades – who are extracting large bundles of money from this market on a daily basis. But, don’t let my use of the word “daily” fool you...

XBS


Altcoin traders that win on a daily basis, will have worked their way into these winning positions over a period of several days, weeks or months. So by the time you see the price of a coin taking off and exploding into new heights, you must realise that you are already too late.

I mean, sure... you can buy into a pump and maybe score a 20% profit on 1 BTC... That’s cool right? ... well, no! That’s not cool... because there will always be a small group of traders who will have already positioned themselves into that coin days before (with much more than 1 BTC) who will most certainly score a 100%+++ profit from that same move – in fact, your entire position in that coin will have only contributed to making sure that a skilled trader scores an abnormally large profit.

You see, this is how the market works.

The altcoin market allows people to “get there first” so that they can lace the territory with an arsenal of landmines, position sharpshooters on the roof tops of near-by buildings and allocate a battalion of troops at strategic locations – all with the sole intent of ambushing each and every outsider who steps even one foot onto the battlefield. 

Most novice traders naively stroll directly into the middle of these “ambushed battlefields,” by placing their trades during the wrong phase of the price cycle... and then they begin to scratch their heads when the market punishes them and swallows their entire trading fund, even though all of the “conventional wisdom” dictated that they should have profited...

Could conventional wisdom be the bait that lures the lamb into the slaughterhouse?

People naively say, all the time.. you must “only buy coins with high volume”... you must “only buy coins with strong buy support”.... “that coin is ‘dead’, stay away”... look, that coin is pumping “buy NOW!” ....you have to “diversify to avoid risk”.. and etc

This is the advice that is naively handed out and actually followed by 99% of the participants in this market, thus this is the “conventional wisdom” of the crypto currency market.

Now... ask yourself... How much money have you made from following this kind of advice? Then (and think about this one, visualise each and every one of your last trades) ask yourself how much money have you lost by following this advice?

Simply... conventional wisdom IS the bait that lures the lamb directly into the slaughterhouse!

There is a lot to be said about ‘doing the opposite’ of the average information deficient trader – this is because, a skilled player knows that novices have been manipulated into believing certain things about the market that just aren’t true. So this skilled player puts himself in position to not only take advantage of this, but to profit from it.

Imagine the altcoin market was actually a game of chess. Of course then, you will have those who are experts at the game of chess who have been trained by the most renowned chess masters in the world, and therefore are themselves masters of strategy and can defeat any opponent – even with their eyes closed...

... however, there seems to be waves of people who have never played a game of chess in their lives, showing up, putting large amounts of money down, and then betting that they can defeat those who have mastered the game...

Clearly each and every one of these guys lose... again and again... and they never seek to expand their skills. They just keep turning up to the chess table and doing the same thing that they did the day before, and thus – they continue to lose. The chess masters wipe the floor with these guys.

This is what happens in the altcoin markets, day after day.... after day.

The market is fashioned in such a way, that if you can put yourself on the opposite side of a novice trader, you will make money – by default.

However, in order to do this.. you must ensure that you aren’t reading from the same playbook as the typical and unprofitable, novice trader.

Tip: New coins that open to high volume rallies offer ‘shorter’ long-term opportunities, to those who are able to take advantage of the decline in value that occurs after each and every rally. Coins that have been on the market for several months, and have managed to maintain a suitable level of activity – are always ripe for the picking, so as long as you are in tune with the price cycle (recurring elements) of each individual coin that fits this description, you will do very well. Trading isn’t about ‘guessing’ what is going to occur in the future – it is about realising that the price chart of every single coin is merely a graphical representation of human behaviour. Human behaviour is very predictable because we all have behavioural patterns that we exhibit again and again. For instance, I may take someone out for lunch twice -  and both times, they may order the exact same meal and drink. So the third time I take them out, I will be able to complete that person’s order on their behalf – by using the ‘behavioural patterns’ that they exhibited in the past. The markets are exactly the same... certain processes repeat again and again. So it is your job, as a trader, to use this information to your advantage.

SIDENOTE: You want to eliminate as many poor-percentage and high risk trades from your repertoire as possible. Once you have done this, you will see a dramatic boost in your overall profitability. Trading less and taking only the best-percentage trades are such an important part of pulling consistent wins. Ask yourself before each trade, “why am I taking this trade?” If you don’t have an answer – or can’t justify the answer, then skip the trade.  To develop the mentality needed to win in Crypto, you must develop a high probability strategy. It is as simple as that. You must have the discipline to sit and wait for only the most optimal trades where all the factors of a bull run are lined up and painfully obvious. Only then should you be putting on a trade.

Note: BTC is a buy right now. Pay attention to the price and execute your buys at the low points.

Twtter: @Pumper_Ryan follow for daily picks, and updates.

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February 18, 2015, 06:50:43 PM
 #1747

Simply... conventional wisdom IS the bait that lures the lamb directly into the slaughterhouse!

+1000 I am glad my first introduction to altcoin trading was through your strategy posts as they say, you can't teach an old dog new tricks  Grin someone mentioned watching bitcoinwisdom.com to see your buy support theory play out live and it did

bitcoin was at $240 only hours ago and now it's at $235 because of buyorders building up and then being used as an exit door
i appreciate the posts and the one on one conversations ryan thanks
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February 18, 2015, 07:33:49 PM
 #1748

You should issue your asset on NXT asset exchange. Much easier than the club thing and more transparent.

Bismuth - New Language, Interpretation Engines, Free Set of DAPPs https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1896497
Bitrated user: HCLivess.
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February 18, 2015, 07:38:38 PM
 #1749

Simply... conventional wisdom IS the bait that lures the lamb directly into the slaughterhouse!

and it makes it real easy for smart folk to rake in them coins Cheesy
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February 19, 2015, 01:20:33 AM
 #1750

ok here's a dead coin/opportunity
got $10 in UIS. It was $20 when I put it in "at the bottom"
Now the coin's two days from delisting.  Amount is trivial, I know. 
But the question is one of the core ones on the thread - hold for a pump? conditions are optimal but not much volume & coin may be dying... lost some money on ESC like that.
I decided to hold as it's only a tenner & now the volume's coming in.  Looks like this one will stay for another pump.
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February 19, 2015, 01:28:01 AM
 #1751

Simply... conventional wisdom IS the bait that lures the lamb directly into the slaughterhouse!

and it makes it real easy for smart folk to rake in them coins Cheesy

Yh yh the super smart folk who make so much money but sit on here chatting crap all day, what do you shills get paid now a days 50cent a post?

 
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February 19, 2015, 01:43:19 AM
 #1752

Imagine the altcoin market was actually a game of chess. Of course then, you will have those who are experts at the game of chess who have been trained by the most renowned chess masters in the world, and therefore are themselves masters of strategy and can defeat any opponent – even with their eyes closed...

... however, there seems to be waves of people who have never played a game of chess in their lives, showing up, putting large amounts of money down, and then betting that they can defeat those who have mastered the game...

Clearly each and every one of these guys lose... again and again... and they never seek to expand their skills. They just keep turning up to the chess table and doing the same thing that they did the day before, and thus – they continue to lose. The chess masters wipe the floor with these guys.

This is what happens in the altcoin markets, day after day.... after day.

 Wink a wise person once told me if you want something different to happen, you have to do something that you've never done before

because for many people, they keep doing the same things and losing money but they never change what they are doing

how does that saying go? insanity is doing the same thing over again but expecting different results

The market is fashioned in such a way, that if you can put yourself on the opposite side of a novice trader, you will make money – by default.

i have just fully realized this week how true that is.the simplicity and accuracy really does differ from the shit piles of things people incorrectly do while trying to trade

all you need to do is be on the opposite side of incompetent traders and things really start to happen
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February 19, 2015, 10:24:33 AM
 #1753

Imagine the altcoin market was actually a game of chess. Of course then, you will have those who are experts at the game of chess who have been trained by the most renowned chess masters in the world, and therefore are themselves masters of strategy and can defeat any opponent – even with their eyes closed...

... however, there seems to be waves of people who have never played a game of chess in their lives, showing up, putting large amounts of money down, and then betting that they can defeat those who have mastered the game...

Clearly each and every one of these guys lose... again and again... and they never seek to expand their skills. They just keep turning up to the chess table and doing the same thing that they did the day before, and thus – they continue to lose. The chess masters wipe the floor with these guys.

This is what happens in the altcoin markets, day after day.... after day.

 Wink a wise person once told me if you want something different to happen, you have to do something that you've never done before

because for many people, they keep doing the same things and losing money but they never change what they are doing

how does that saying go? insanity is doing the same thing over again but expecting different results

The market is fashioned in such a way, that if you can put yourself on the opposite side of a novice trader, you will make money – by default.

i have just fully realized this week how true that is.the simplicity and accuracy really does differ from the shit piles of things people incorrectly do while trying to trade

all you need to do is be on the opposite side of incompetent traders and things really start to happen

You people love talking crap do you not?

This thread is filled with mind numbing crap that could have been explained in to sentences but no you have to go over the top  Angry

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February 19, 2015, 12:43:17 PM
 #1754

You people love talking crap do you not?

This thread is filled with mind numbing crap that could have been explained in to sentences but no you have to go over the top  Angry

Lol, just chill... Everyone does and in markets, sentiments is what it takes in order to have those sentences written out here, but yes, such things can help out a lot of people since everyone learns from experience... Some through their own, and some learn through others'. Wink

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February 19, 2015, 01:19:57 PM
 #1755

Wink a wise person once told me if you want something different to happen, you have to do something that you've never done before

because for many people, they keep doing the same things and losing money but they never change what they are doing

how does that saying go? insanity is doing the same thing over again but expecting different results


Everyone starts out like this, it's the process of learning anything. First you will be bad, then good, then great and then legendary. But with trading some people start out bad, then get worse and worse.......because they can't grow since their whole approach is what is making them lose, not the market itself. then they get one win and then start trying to recreate that one win and their whole performance goes even further down hill

it's all in the approach, that's what helped me anyway so just my 2 cents
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February 19, 2015, 02:25:36 PM
 #1756

What software are you using that allows the trading of all the different coins, you can't possibly be doing this manually.

Thanks in advance.
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February 19, 2015, 03:11:25 PM
 #1757

From this low of 505, the price has since climbed to 5319 Satoshi... another high percentage yield: 953%.. judging from the last rallies, there may be some distance left for XQN to travel.

Overall, this analysis illustrates how to use a coins price rhythm to your advantage. It shows how you can “be 10 steps ahead” of the average trader.

XQN is a coin that tends to decline by 90% every time it rallies, which makes it all too simple to predict.

xqn's price hit 1btc today with extreme volume Cheesy Cheesy talk about a coin being untouched lool, I won't even mention the % profit pulled off on this one...... All i'm gonna do is show public appreciation, for getting us into xqn early and allowing us to be "10 steps ahead”!! kudos ryan
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February 19, 2015, 03:29:12 PM
 #1758

From this low of 505, the price has since climbed to 5319 Satoshi... another high percentage yield: 953%.. judging from the last rallies, there may be some distance left for XQN to travel.

Overall, this analysis illustrates how to use a coins price rhythm to your advantage. It shows how you can “be 10 steps ahead” of the average trader.

XQN is a coin that tends to decline by 90% every time it rallies, which makes it all too simple to predict.

xqn's price hit 1btc today with extreme volume Cheesy Cheesy talk about a coin being untouched lool, I won't even mention the % profit pulled off on this one...... All i'm gonna do is show public appreciation, for getting us into xqn early and allowing us to be "10 steps ahead”!! kudos ryan

yeah right, surprised me aswell, too bad i sold mine off already as i tend to see the coins is declining day by day, i regret it , but oh well, gonna make another profit from another one

Multiply BTC x2 :- 1GpD2LzVkiyyuTerVHAWZKCG9eqxGa46px
Lol jk, it won’t work, don’t even try
TRYpolar
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February 19, 2015, 03:47:22 PM
 #1759

From this low of 505, the price has since climbed to 5319 Satoshi... another high percentage yield: 953%.. judging from the last rallies, there may be some distance left for XQN to travel.

Overall, this analysis illustrates how to use a coins price rhythm to your advantage. It shows how you can “be 10 steps ahead” of the average trader.

XQN is a coin that tends to decline by 90% every time it rallies, which makes it all too simple to predict.

xqn's price hit 1btc today with extreme volume Cheesy Cheesy talk about a coin being untouched lool, I won't even mention the % profit pulled off on this one...... All i'm gonna do is show public appreciation, for getting us into xqn early and allowing us to be "10 steps ahead”!! kudos ryan

CSD is still going crazy too, just pulled another 2btc
The cycle will never steer you wrong Grin

Wish I had more XQN i could have been rolling in coins today lol
Piston Honda
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February 19, 2015, 04:45:20 PM
 #1760

gridpay?

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