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Author Topic: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker  (Read 1811506 times)
molecular
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March 26, 2013, 11:09:33 AM
 #15641

Have you guys noticed the EUR price at Bitcoin24? It's at 64 right now compared to 60 at MtGox and has been to 69.6 which translates to $89. One could easily make a handsome profit by doing some arbitrage.

How long does it take to withdraw Euros from Bitcoin24 then get the deposit to clear at MtGox? What can happen to the Bitcoin price in that time?

For short-term arbitrage, you just need to keep funding the accounts with BTC and $ then flip. You don't have to move the $ around at short notice.


Problem is: those EUR markets have been higher than mtgoxEUR for weeks now.

PGP key molecular F9B70769 fingerprint 9CDD C0D3 20F8 279F 6BE0  3F39 FC49 2362 F9B7 0769
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Enabling the maximal migration


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March 26, 2013, 11:22:33 AM
 #15642

Have you guys noticed the EUR price at Bitcoin24? It's at 64 right now compared to 60 at MtGox and has been to 69.6 which translates to $89. One could easily make a handsome profit by doing some arbitrage.

How long does it take to withdraw Euros from Bitcoin24 then get the deposit to clear at MtGox? What can happen to the Bitcoin price in that time?

For short-term arbitrage, you just need to keep funding the accounts with BTC and $ then flip. You don't have to move the $ around at short notice.


Problem is: those EUR markets have been higher than mtgoxEUR for weeks now.

Yeah I have a theory actually that mtgox's authentication time lags are the reason for this price swap between them and the other exchanges. If thats true, not only is it pushing more people into other exchanges (good for decentralization/ resiliency), its also insanely bullish.

Bro, do you even blockchain?
-E Voorhees
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March 26, 2013, 11:27:08 AM
 #15643

Have you guys noticed the EUR price at Bitcoin24? It's at 64 right now compared to 60 at MtGox and has been to 69.6 which translates to $89. One could easily make a handsome profit by doing some arbitrage.

How long does it take to withdraw Euros from Bitcoin24 then get the deposit to clear at MtGox? What can happen to the Bitcoin price in that time?

For short-term arbitrage, you just need to keep funding the accounts with BTC and $ then flip. You don't have to move the $ around at short notice.


Problem is: those EUR markets have been higher than mtgoxEUR for weeks now.

When you want to capitalize on this, you should act very fast, not moving euros around. You could for instance send 420 BTC to Bitcoin24 and sell for 63+, gaining EUR 26460. Then simultaneously buy 420 BTC for 61 EUR at MtGox with fiat you have in your account there. You just made 840 euros. A couple of these trades each week and you could give up your job.

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March 26, 2013, 11:29:23 AM
 #15644



Looks like 30 bucks well spent.

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March 26, 2013, 11:29:33 AM
 #15645

Have you guys noticed the EUR price at Bitcoin24? It's at 64 right now compared to 60 at MtGox and has been to 69.6 which translates to $89. One could easily make a handsome profit by doing some arbitrage.

How long does it take to withdraw Euros from Bitcoin24 then get the deposit to clear at MtGox? What can happen to the Bitcoin price in that time?

For short-term arbitrage, you just need to keep funding the accounts with BTC and $ then flip. You don't have to move the $ around at short notice.


Problem is: those EUR markets have been higher than mtgoxEUR for weeks now.

Yeah I have a theory actually that mtgox's authentication time lags are the reason for this price swap between them and the other exchanges. If thats true, not only is it pushing more people into other exchanges (good for decentralization/ resiliency), its also insanely bullish.

The problem is can other exchanges properly secure their users' money? Arbitrage is only profitable when there is large money flow, i.e., big traders feel confident enough.

So, rpietila, feeling profitable today?

https://tlsnotary.org/ Fraud proofing decentralized fiat-Bitcoin trading.
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March 26, 2013, 11:29:54 AM
 #15646


Bitcoin will show the world what hard money really is.
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March 26, 2013, 11:32:45 AM
 #15647

Have you guys noticed the EUR price at Bitcoin24? It's at 64 right now compared to 60 at MtGox and has been to 69.6 which translates to $89. One could easily make a handsome profit by doing some arbitrage.

How long does it take to withdraw Euros from Bitcoin24 then get the deposit to clear at MtGox? What can happen to the Bitcoin price in that time?

For short-term arbitrage, you just need to keep funding the accounts with BTC and $ then flip. You don't have to move the $ around at short notice.


Problem is: those EUR markets have been higher than mtgoxEUR for weeks now.

So if I deposit BTC from MTGox to Bitcoin 24 and withdraw there in Euro, transfering by wiretransfer the cash back to my Bank / MTGOX  i can practically make extra cash, especially when selling out my BTC?

Currently at Bitcoin24 EURO 64.33, thats $ 82.73, means about $ 4 profit / 1 BTC.

For my 500 BTC it makes a difference in profit of $ 2000 !!!   Is that real?

EDITED
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March 26, 2013, 11:33:30 AM
 #15648

When you want to capitalize on this, you should act very fast, not moving euros around. You could for instance send 420 BTC to Bitcoin24 and sell for 63+, gaining EUR 26460. Then simultaneously buy 420 BTC for 61 EUR at MtGox with fiat you have in your account there. You just made 840 euros. A couple of these trades each week and you could give up your job.

So what happens when the price keeps rising and you've done a few trades like this and now all your money is in Euro on Bitcoin24 and you've ran out of BTC on MtGox ?

Then you need to start sending wires right ?

If you just wait a bit they will catch up in value anyway, unless there's some kind of reverse trend, correction or crash.
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March 26, 2013, 11:34:46 AM
 #15649

$77.777

This is a good presage.  Cheesy
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March 26, 2013, 11:36:48 AM
 #15650

$80 USD???

YOU SHALL NOT PASS!!!

[Daniel BTC] - 9 AB (after bitcoin)
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OTC: DanielBTC Bitrated user: DanielBTC.
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March 26, 2013, 11:42:56 AM
 #15651


who in their right mind do this... LOL
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March 26, 2013, 11:51:16 AM
 #15652

Have you guys noticed the EUR price at Bitcoin24? It's at 64 right now compared to 60 at MtGox and has been to 69.6 which translates to $89. One could easily make a handsome profit by doing some arbitrage.

How long does it take to withdraw Euros from Bitcoin24 then get the deposit to clear at MtGox? What can happen to the Bitcoin price in that time?

For short-term arbitrage, you just need to keep funding the accounts with BTC and $ then flip. You don't have to move the $ around at short notice.


Problem is: those EUR markets have been higher than mtgoxEUR for weeks now.

When you want to capitalize on this, you should act very fast, not moving euros around. You could for instance send 420 BTC to Bitcoin24 and sell for 63+, gaining EUR 26460. Then simultaneously buy 420 BTC for 61 EUR at MtGox with fiat you have in your account there. You just made 840 euros. A couple of these trades each week and you could give up your job.
I guess the reason many are not doing this is is because it requires keeping fiat on MtGox and is it worth keeping it really worth keeping a chunk in fiat watching the price sail away for the occasional opportunity to arb?
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March 26, 2013, 11:52:55 AM
 #15653

who in their right mind do this... LOL

I guess this is the exchange equivalent of posting 'first' in the comments section.
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March 26, 2013, 11:57:16 AM
 #15654


who in their right mind do this... LOL
this was a glitch, got the info that it has been fixed.
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March 26, 2013, 12:05:31 PM
 #15655

10K wall again - everytime i see this a rally occurs!

Probably the guy who wants to buy huge amounts tries to prevent others from buying! What do you think?
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March 26, 2013, 12:07:45 PM
 #15656

So if I deposit BTC from MTGox to Bitcoin 24 and withdraw there in Euro, transfering by wiretransfer the cash back to my Bank / MTGOX  i can practically make extra cash, especially when selling out my BTC?

Currently at Bitcoin24 EURO 64.33, thats $ 82.73, means about $ 4 profit / 1 BTC.

For my 500 BTC it makes a difference in profit of $ 2000 !!!   Is that real?

EDITED

So what happens when the price keeps rising and you've done a few trades like this and now all your money is in Euro on Bitcoin24 and you've ran out of BTC on MtGox ?

Then you need to start sending wires right ?

If you just wait a bit they will catch up in value anyway, unless there's some kind of reverse trend, correction or crash.

You shouldn't have to transfer fiat from Bitcoin24 to MtGox for the trade itself, you should do this with some extra fiat you'd otherwise wouldn't invest in Bitcoin. Selling at Bitcoin24 and buying at MtGox should be done within a few seconds, to minimize the risk the price moves within your trade. When the trade is done, you could send some or all of your excess fiat from Bitcoin24 to MtGox when you expect another situation where Bitcoin24 trades at a premium.

The risk is that if you're inexperienced, it's easy to make some stupid mistake which could cost you lots of money. For that reason I prefer a buy and hold strategy.

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March 26, 2013, 12:07:51 PM
 #15657

78$

Told ya!
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March 26, 2013, 12:08:36 PM
 #15658

So if I deposit BTC from MTGox to Bitcoin 24 and withdraw there in Euro, transfering by wiretransfer the cash back to my Bank / MTGOX  i can practically make extra cash, especially when selling out my BTC?

Currently at Bitcoin24 EURO 64.33, thats $ 82.73, means about $ 4 profit / 1 BTC.

For my 500 BTC it makes a difference in profit of $ 2000 !!!   Is that real?

EDITED

So what happens when the price keeps rising and you've done a few trades like this and now all your money is in Euro on Bitcoin24 and you've ran out of BTC on MtGox ?

Then you need to start sending wires right ?

If you just wait a bit they will catch up in value anyway, unless there's some kind of reverse trend, correction or crash.

You shouldn't have to transfer fiat from Bitcoin24 to MtGox for the trade itself, you should do this with some extra fiat you'd otherwise wouldn't invest in Bitcoin. Selling at Bitcoin24 and buying at MtGox should be done within a few seconds, to minimize the risk the price moves within your trade. When the trade is done, you could send some or all of your excess fiat from Bitcoin24 to MtGox when you expect another situation where Bitcoin24 trades at a premium.

The risk is that if you're inexperienced, it's easy to make some stupid mistake which could cost you lots of money. For that reason I prefer a buy and hold strategy.

Same strategy for the same reason...
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March 26, 2013, 12:12:21 PM
 #15659

10K wall again - everytime i see this a rally occurs!

Probably the guy who wants to buy huge amounts tries to prevent others from buying! What do you think?

I'm really not sure, it's strange behaviour.

I wonder if someone's doing this to prevent the price from rising too high too quickly and to try and keep the growth at a sustainable rate.
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March 26, 2013, 12:16:21 PM
 #15660

10K wall again - everytime i see this a rally occurs!

Probably the guy who wants to buy huge amounts tries to prevent others from buying! What do you think?

I'm really not sure, it's strange behaviour.

I wonder if someone's doing this to prevent the price from rising too high too quickly and to try and keep the growth at a sustainable rate.

As a money-making strategy this makes very little sense, so I tend to agree it's someone trying desperately to cool down things. Whether to Bitcoin's benefit or detriment is unclear, though.

It also makes little sense to dump on a weekend or first thing on a Monday, yet that's also happened.

Oh well, someone loses BTC, someone else makes BTC... so the wheel spins round and round  Cheesy
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