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1141  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gender in Gambling [differences between Women and Men in Gambling] on: October 12, 2023, 08:26:16 PM
Maybe there are other times when it's easier for a woman to control herself when she immediately experiences a win in a casino; maybe this is where women get better. Because usually, when a man experiences winning, he doesn't immediately hate or stop.

Unlike a woman, when she wins, she stops; she doesn't want to let go of the opportunity that she has won, no matter how big it is. What matters to a woman is that she has won. But even so, there are still more male gamblers.
No matter who wins, men and women in gambling, greed increases. However, women are a little less greedy. Those who are more greedy start playing again without taking a break if they win gambling. But those who are wise will take a break once they win. There is a kind of greed among gamblers. Women are not easily allowed by their family members to gamble. Because he has to be busy with their family work. People who are very rich and do not have the pressure of family work gamble for fun.
In Gambling, what we normally see is male making bets on a daily basis. Women are very rare in the gambling industry and most time they have more obligation to execute that is why we don't mostly see in the physical casinos playing bets except for few that does not care what anybody says a out them. Why many people go into gambling is to make money for themselves. There are people that do not even have a work but only rely on gambling for survival so gambling does not have a gender and everyone can go into gambling and make bets for earn money for themselves.

When talking in general there is always a possibility of missing the exceptions. I have known women so greedy that they would drive their own families into destruction and  that has also happened in history frequently. I think that you cannot make a case of women in gambling being less prone to excess than men based just on greediness, I would even say the contrary.
1142  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Referral bonuses are waste of time on: October 12, 2023, 05:33:35 PM
There are plenty casinos too that offer referral bonus which you can apply for if you have a huge community that can use your link to register and make a deposit on the casinos. There are people that are very good with making referrals and if you are that kind of person, you can make a living referring gamblers to casinos to earn reasonable profits.

You need to understand that different casinos have different referral bonus plans so you need to ensure you read terms and conditions so that you can understand how the bonus system works and if you can continue with it. There are some casinos that pay less than others with different conditions attached.
Yes I have seen such offers almost in all the casinos we have around and for such program to really pay off,  the gambler must first make sure that he do already have a large down lines that he have to work with,  and some times,  in some cases you that sign up for the referral program may have to go out of your way to invest in the program,  in such a way that,  you give those under your referral some amount of money to wager with,  and you share in the profits and at the same time earn more in the commission.

Since your referral commosions are calculated based on the total amount of wager from your down lines,  so those that register using your referral code are of the obligation to wager in other for you to earn your commission,  so there is a need to build a large community to profits from referral program.

To be honest many of the offers look good, but they are rarely that good as to make me re-think about the casino to play. It is a lot based on trust so once you trust place a referral bonus is good from them, but not if it intends to make you change you usual site to another just because that referral. You would need first to convince me that the conditions are fair and that I am effective going to get the promised bonus.
1143  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Advice when you are going a bit far in gaming and betting on: October 12, 2023, 02:25:40 PM
Call yourself to order whenever you're gambling and having nothing to tell concerning your experience in what you do, have a time to run a check on the kind of gambling lifestyle you've had in couple of times, access yourself on a grade level to see if you're proud about what you're doing or not, also check if there's need for an improvement to be implemented, consider the benefits it has served you in many ways and that which you may have lost at the same cause and weigh them all together, if you think you're going too far already, then try to apply wisdom and gamble moderately.
Yes, gambling is not an isolated activity in life, it is part of your habits and life and should be integrated into your lifestyle, the people you are with and you job or occupation if you have any. This context can be a help in putting gambling into perspective and use it properly and only while it is fun. Just remember, see around you and will get a better hold on your behavious.
1144  Economy / Gambling / Re: - UGA - a Gamblers Union on: October 12, 2023, 02:16:11 PM
It would be difficult to judge your personal case and why Stake decided to retire your account without knowing how did the discussion go. It is not possible either if your were right and mistreated or if you wanted something that was not really fair, but on regards to creating a Union, it is not a bad idea. This forum already gives some basis as you can check complaints and reputations.
1145  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: do anyone have done this? with gambling platforms on: October 12, 2023, 01:32:13 PM
anyone deposited very less amount and luckily won a big jackpot like a 100x or 500x or 1000x of base bet and withdrawn without kyc or without facing any problem from the platform?

if yes, how much was that amount? and what was the casino?

i seen many people complaining about they don't give big wins easily or just don't give by making unanswerable queries like very hard KYC, freezing accounts, etc. this problem is very common with trusted casino's also/

do anyone withdrawn successfully the winning amount and if yes what was the process, it was seamless or you need to pass a hard kyc?

If you are playing "provably fair" there should be no issue with getting a very rare yet not impossible super-win. If you are playing with any other site or casino, my guess is that it is not going to happen. I am sure many site are profiling the player to check how to keep them hooked to it, so try to go to reputed sites or crypto provably fair sites if you want to see any of that.
1146  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: October 11, 2023, 08:13:35 PM


And now, the winter missile campaign - same tactics, same results (e.g. convincing the US to send a few more Patriots.)


32 patriot missiles could not stop single Russian missile

I will take your word for that, sure, but you see, the problem is that other people less informed than you, such as the Pentagon, may think that they actually have been quite successful in defending the key areas. What a strange thing Branko, how can they be so wrong and you be so right when they have all that fancy stuff gathering information for them?

Unfortunately Branko, it is that less informed than you people who will make that decision - but it is ok, because "Patriot does not work" right?

But the good thing is that they Air defence forces of Ukraine now have a great ally! The Ruzzian Air defence forces!

https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-accidentally-downed-own-su-35-fighter-jet-uk-intel-2023-10?r=US&IR=T#:~:text=been%20taken%20out.-,Russia%20shot%20down%20one%20of%20its%20own%20Su%2D35%20fighter,shot%20down%20the%20advanced%20jet.

Quote
Russia shot down one of its own Su-35 fighter jets in a recent friendly-fire incident, UK intelligence suggested.



If I would be wrong, they would not quietly stop sending more patriot systems

Shhh... do not tell anyone... they are doing it very quietly, the press is just to smart for them...

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/germany-provide-ukraine-with-an-additional-patriot-air-defence-system-scholz-2023-10-05/

Quote
BERLIN, Oct 5 (Reuters) - Germany is working on the supply of an additional Patriot air defence missile system to Ukraine in the winter months, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said on Thursday.

"This is what is most necessary now - to ensure air defence with this highly efficient system," Scholz said after the first day of the EU Political Community summit in Granada, Spain.

The German chancellor said Russia would try to threaten Ukraine's infrastructure and cities again this winter with missile and drone attacks, and that is what made the air defence system a priority.

But it may be that the German Government also is not as informed as you, they probably read different "reports". However, here you have the opportunity to prove your claim. Why do you say that Patriot have not stopped a single missile? Go for it, your time to publish one of those "articles" that you like so much.

Sure, it is just that the solution you propose (Ukraine simply surrendering) is not a long term solution at all, it will carry war after war from a "victorious" Ruzzia, which is not acceptable outcome to me.

Speaking of meters, I think meters matter. Even 500 meters matter a lot. It is more or less what Ukraine need to take to place a HIMARS in range of hitting Berdiansk. Or any location along the coast or the railway line. Why do you think they are asking for ATACAMS? I think is because they can see a lot, but they cannot hit it (supplies, depots, command centres, logistics...)

So yes, a few meters here and there matter, which is the reason why Ukraine is still fighting for 50 meters at the time.

Yes that's exactly my point. To say that an outcome is not acceptable, you need to consider what cost you are willing to pay to change that outcome,


[... snip the Kremlin propaganda]//*

EDIT:
As far as ATACMS all they're needed for is to raise the moral in Ukrainian. Looks like UA's power grid is unlikely to hold up this winter. UA will need some positive coverage during that time, look we're forbidden to use them in Russia, so look how we can shoot at this one substation in Crimea, to cause some RU village to also loose power...

Ukraine's air force expects a record number of Russian drone attacks on its soil this winter, its spokesperson Yuriy Ihnat said on Sunday, as Kyiv girds for a second winter of mass bombardment of its energy facilities.

Ihnat said that data for September showed the use by Russia of Iranian-designed Shahed kamikaze drones would smash last year's figure.

"This autumn and winter ... is already a record in terms of the number of Shahed drones. Over 500 (were used) in September," Ihnat said in an interview on national television.

He contrasted this number with Russia's air strike campaign on Ukraine last winter, when he said about 1,000 Shahed drones were used in six months.
...
Despite Ukraine bolstering its air defences, officials have warned of the risk of a repeat this winter, with the power grid still far from rebuilt after the last campaign of bombardment.



Oh men... you just called narratives and spins and here you are repeating over and over the mainstream Kremlin propaganda. Your narrative is highly convenient to Ruzzia (I am not surprised) and fits perfectly what the Kremlin wants everyone to believe (I am not surprised). "theres is nothing to be done", "all effort is in vain", "Ruzzia is too big", "Ruzzia has too many people",... The usual propaganda. But the biggest lie is that conceeding anything will stop Ruzzia (more on that below).

It turns out it is false and easily identifiable as false:

- Ruzzia is not fighting Ukraine, is fighting a bunch of angry and well industrialised countries - with quite a big and technically advanced military industry.
- Ruzzia had to retreat from vast amounts of territory because they cannot hold.
- Ukraine has managed to penetrate and is still penetrating well entrenched positions.
- The grinding of military equipment is actually unsustainable for Ruzzia, but it is not for Ukraine and their allies (Japan had an advantage in fleet, but then... they did not, like Ruzzia now).

This are facts not "spins" or "narratives". Even the Kremlin propagandists have gone for "Kiev in 3 days" to "Lets shape a convenient border and hope they do not break our lines".

This of course matches things like wasting missiles in power infrastructure, which is (a) irrelevant to the war effort (b) proven to be inefficient (c) proven to reinforce the will of the people being attacked.
It simply reminds me of Hitler bombing London - zero military effectiveness - to "break the will of the English" - in case you are not in the know, it did not go well for him.

Yes, to call an outcome unacceptable you need to balance this and that (which is never an mathematical exercise, because you may put little price on liberty, while many are ok to die for it). The problem is that a "victorious" Ruzzia (at least in a tactical level, the strategic international level is lost already), would not be an outcome, it would be the first chapter of and endless war hot / cold / proxy and all mixed. It is totally false anything like "if Ukraine conceded the land they will stop there" - it is just not going to happen so the option of "stopping the war now" is a fantasy.

So sure, balance that in your dreams.

No, ATACAMS are a weapon, they are not Ruzzian propaganda nor Kremlin narratives for "moral effects". Ukraine wants ATACAMS to blow up things they cannot blow up now and would very much like to blow up. It is not that difficult to imagine a few "objects" that they would like to convert to a recyclable construction rubbish pile. Objects that are the real strategically relevant, not "the infrastructure grid to lower the morale".

And now, the winter missile campaign - same tactics, same results (e.g. convincing the US to send a few more Patriots.)


Careful, you might be loosing all objectivity. You can't just automatically dismiss something just because it's convenient for Kremlin. These things are not mutually exclusive. Just because it's convenient for Russia doesn't automatically make it a lie, just as not everything that supports Ukraine is a truth.

You once again attempting to spin that war of attrition is somehow more beneficial to Ukraine than to Russia, which is literally opposite to what everyone else is saying. So no, unlike you it's not just me making up stuff that's convenient to Kremlin.

Putin's plan to wear down support for Ukraine in a war of attrition seems to be working, though it's not risk-free

The Russian president has been playing a long game, wagering that Western resolve in helping Ukraine battle the Russian invasion was weak. In recent days there have been indications that it might be paying off.

In the US, Congress is currently split on whether to send more aid to Ukraine, a move opposed by Republicans in the House who recently unseated its speaker, Kevin McCarthy.

In Slovakia, a far-right party opposed to Ukraine aid won the general election; while in Germany support for the far-right AfD is surging on similar rhetoric.

If this winter brings more high fuel prices and inflation, exacerbated by the war, it could further erode public backing for large aid bills.

A war of attrition, say analysts, plays to Russian strengths, like its ability to manufacture more weapons and ammunition than Ukraine, and its much larger population.

Meanwhile, Ukraine's economy is struggling under the weight of the conflict and it is heavily dependent on Western aid.

"There are more and more signs that he's correct," Beebe told Insider of Putin's bet.

"Ukraine is not meeting its conscription goals, its economy is sagging under the weight of the war, and enthusiasm is waning both in the US and Europe for maintaining high levels of aid to Ukraine."

If Western aid were to dry up and Ukraine's resistance be seriously weakened, it's unclear how long Ukraine would be able to mount a resistance for — but at the very least Russia could transform Ukraine into failed state in permanent crisis.

Dismiss all of the red flags, as if it's just some random forum user claiming them, at your peril. Or rather, if you're US then sure you can ignore all of this as there's really no downside so it's logical to encourage the continuation of this conflict, for EU it's not so definite anymore, and for Ukraine the cost is definitely real, but that cost is not really a cost for anyone else but Ukraine, so keep encouraging more younger and women conscripts  Huh

As far as wasting missiles on power infrastructure, I will take your word for that, sure, but you see, the problem is that other people less informed than you, such as the Pentagon, NATO, and Israel may think that they actually have been quite successful.

Unfortunately paxmao, it is that less informed than you people who will make that decision - but it is ok, because "attacking power infrastructure does not work" right?


NATO officials said the aim of the attacks, which plunged Belgrade into darkness Monday for several hours, was to disrupt military communications, command centers and air defense systems.
...
NATO planes have attacked bridges, oil refineries and other targets in raids that have affected civilians. But until Monday they had refrained from striking the electrical system. The alliance has repeatedly insisted its fight is with President Slobodan Milosevic, not with the Yugoslav people.

"The fact that lights went out across 70 percent of the country shows that NATO has its finger on the light switch now," said NATO spokesman Jamie Shea. "We can turn the power off whenever we need to and whenever we want to."

Though NATO insisted that its attacks on the electrical system would frustrate the Yugoslav and Serbian military, it was not immediately clear whether the forces had been hampered. The allies also say the attacks will not cut power to hospitals and other vital civilian services because they can turn to back-up generators powered by diesel fuel.
...
"We realize the inconvenience that may be caused to the Yugoslav people, but it up to Milosevic to decide how he wants to use his remaining energy resources: on his tanks or on his people," Shea said.

Lights go out in Baghdad as US sends in special forces

No Electricity, No Food, No Fuel’: Israel Orders ‘Complete Siege’ On Gaza Strip

All these world military powers should hire you so you could explain to them how "wasting missiles in power infrastructure, which is (a) irrelevant to the war effort (b) proven to be inefficient (c) proven to reinforce the will of the people being attacked." and i guess it's no surprise to anyone that when Russia does it, instead of all of these recent examples it reminds you of Hilter bombing London Roll Eyes

edit: for everything else that you said there's NATO's article 5, it's silly to attempt to persuade anyone that Ukraine has somehow replaced NATO and it's guarantees to its member nations

They probably would like to hire me, they probably cannot pay the price  Grin

1. The Israelis are not cutting supplies for the "war effort". I leave to your imagination (wild mostly) why have they first put 2 million people in a space that can hold 500k, then limit their movement, control their food, their water, every aspect of their lives and, after the Hamas attack, cut essential life supplies -  but I can tell you is not to achieve military objectives nor to diminish the "military production" of the Gaza strip.

2. The US army and NATO had plenty of military means to spare, if they were limited, they would not have given any priority to the grid for many reasons: (a) It is simply a infrastructure that easy to replace and repair and difficult to destroy beyond repair (particularly with the "precision" of the Ruzzian missiles). (b) Ukraine is too large for that strategy to be effective (c) the military production is mostly done outside Ukraine.

But you know, last winter they did it, and here we are so that proves is not effective, rational people would not need further proof.

For everything else you say, you are wrong. The Ukraine is not going to attack the RF grid with ATACAMS, as they are not doing so with Stormshadow, because they are not as stupid as the RF military and would rather not waste what they have. They will blow up military and economic objectives that really hurt - multi-million oil infrastructure, logistic hubs, we. They can see them thanks to "the gospel" from the sky and the massive infiltration behind Ruzzian lines. They are quite mad they cannot shot at them, but that's about to change.

The Article 5 would not stop Ruzzia from invading further Ukraine. So again, your solution of surrendering is not a solution, is a pause so that Ruzzia repairs the army a goes in the offensive again. You must think that people are stupid seriously - what a bunch of non-sense covered in a trillion words.

EDIT: Ruzzia has thrown plenty of troops in Avdiivka. I mean, thrown into a scrapyard literaly. Tens of BMPs an tanks in ashes (with their crews) in one day. The territorial gain has been... 50 meters? Another successful effort in "self-demilitarising" by Ruzzia.

https://youtu.be/emjwRD2nPqU?t=2674

1147  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Publicly held Trump trials - ongoing on: October 10, 2023, 02:46:59 PM
You jokers are missing it. You are trying to bring in socialism and maybe communism. And maybe you don't even know it.

Consider. Grandma has an old picture, in reasonable shape, of her wedding to Grandpa, who has passed on some time ago. She is getting kinda old, and is making mistakes in her memory at times. Her kids are in the process of cleaning up her belongings... getting rid of any non-essentials.

The kids come to the picture, and they want to sell it at an auction along with a lot of Grandma's property. They put a value of $5 on the picture. But Grandma wouldn't sell that picture for $10 million.

Who cares what other people think about the value of your property. It's your property, and you can put a value on it that suits you.

Granted, Trump doesn't understand the basics of law in the US. If he did, he would have hired his attorneys as advisors, rather than to speak on his behalf in court. But the point is, he has a right to value his property at any amount he desires... because it is his property. If the whole world says the value is different than Trump says, they don't have the right to change the value of it regarding what Trump says, because it is Trump's property. He has placed the value to be what it is worth to him.

Suppose Trump decided to sell some property that he had given a high value in the eyes of the world. Nobody would buy it from him at that value. He would have to drop the value of it before they would even consider buying it. But that isn't what he was doing. So, he has the right to value it any way he likes.

Since the court is taking away Trump's right to freely say things like this, he's losing things. But it's about him not realizing what the basic rights are in America.

Consider yourselves and your property. You probably wouldn't part with some of your property at just about any price. The precedent that is being set is that government and appraisers can value your property no matter what it is, and for any reason. This kind of precedent is bringing us into socialism and communism. You don't own your property as much as you did before if somebody else can force you to value it like they think.

You jokers are losing it... the American Dream, that is.

Cool

What kind of wonderland do you live in?? Is your troll farm in China??

You can put whatever value on your property at the golf club or in your political meetings but not when you are going to ask for credits based in your assets!! The accurate quantification / representation of the value of your assets and liabilities is called accounting and actually it is one of the pillars of Capitalism.

Valuations are done at market prices when available - before you say something that further proves your ignorance, Real State valuation is done everyday and the price of land (another pillar of Capitalism) is well known and determined for the best part of Trump assets because they are placed in liquid markets. They can vary +/- 5% at most, but not by 200%. Misrepresenting that IS fraud.

The simplest example: market price of you granny's house: 1 million. The bank will happily give you around 750k backed by the value of that house because they will sell it if you do not pay. Saying that your grannie's house is 2 million and borrowing 1.4 against is fraud - read it carefully: you are committing fraud if you do that by misrepresenting information to the bank. Even if you lie in your marital status, your date of birth or in the number of credits you already have. Even the smallest of these "little mistakes" are defined as fraud.

What Trump did is the equivalent of putting Chelsea (NY) prices to a flat in Modesto, California and get business credit based on that value. I personally would also indict the banker for fraud to their shareholders for accepting it.


Edited to add: TRUMP dEPOSITION: https://youtu.be/L_xMe80gQQI

Is a bit long but, basically Trump pleads the 5th and does not answer. As he never answers for anything he does.
1148  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Gaza Strip People - 2 Millions - No Food, Water, Electricity - Complete Blockade on: October 10, 2023, 02:30:31 PM
I'm wondering what did HAMAS expected when they started attack against Israel and when they fully depends on supply of food, water, electricity, fuel and etc from Israel. That Israel won't do anything and won't make harsh response? It's nothing surprising that we already hear some talks from them about possible ceasefire.
Worst part of this war that thousands of people in Gaza is affected and they have nowhere to go. Now they only can wait and try to survive another Israel rocket attack. On the other hand, how many of them celebrated mascare of civilians on Saturday when everything started, now probably it's not so fun anymore.
And no, Mediterranean sea water isn't drinkable without Desalination.

I do not think this a correct and measured response by Israel. Just cutting the most essential supplies to a wide population is not a legitimate action in my view and I am not sure what is they expect that will happen as a result of that. They may hope this ends of a quick negotiation of hostages for water and food, but I think their enemy is not particularly concerned with the faith of the general population in the strip,
1149  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: October 10, 2023, 10:26:06 AM


And now, the winter missile campaign - same tactics, same results (e.g. convincing the US to send a few more Patriots.)


32 patriot missiles could not stop single Russian missile

I will take your word for that, sure, but you see, the problem is that other people less informed than you, such as the Pentagon, may think that they actually have been quite successful in defending the key areas. What a strange thing Branko, how can they be so wrong and you be so right when they have all that fancy stuff gathering information for them?

Unfortunately Branko, it is that less informed than you people who will make that decision - but it is ok, because "Patriot does not work" right?

But the good thing is that they Air defence forces of Ukraine now have a great ally! The Ruzzian Air defence forces!

https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-accidentally-downed-own-su-35-fighter-jet-uk-intel-2023-10?r=US&IR=T#:~:text=been%20taken%20out.-,Russia%20shot%20down%20one%20of%20its%20own%20Su%2D35%20fighter,shot%20down%20the%20advanced%20jet.

Quote
Russia shot down one of its own Su-35 fighter jets in a recent friendly-fire incident, UK intelligence suggested.







1150  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Winning Wisely: Strategies to Protect Your Bankroll on: October 09, 2023, 11:57:16 PM
I only know one thing for a gambler to play wisely: when he wins between $30 and $50, maybe it's a warning to stop; don't try to continue, because what frequently happens to those who continue even after winning is that they finally lose. Numerous gamblers have experienced this numerous times.

Due to their false belief that they can defeat the banker, most gamblers get even more ecstatic and increase their wagers after a win.


You can occassionally defeat the banker, but if you try to make this kind of a way of living, you should look for something easier. Even if you achieve some modest results, you will likely be removed from the game or your account cancelled or they will give you "withdrawal headaches". The chance games are specifically designed to make the banker win, so look for something else to do with your life seriously.
1151  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: October 09, 2023, 10:45:33 PM
Sure, it is just that the solution you propose (Ukraine simply surrendering) is not a long term solution at all, it will carry war after war from a "victorious" Ruzzia, which is not acceptable outcome to me.

Speaking of meters, I think meters matter. Even 500 meters matter a lot. It is more or less what Ukraine need to take to place a HIMARS in range of hitting Berdiansk. Or any location along the coast or the railway line. Why do you think they are asking for ATACAMS? I think is because they can see a lot, but they cannot hit it (supplies, depots, command centres, logistics...)

So yes, a few meters here and there matter, which is the reason why Ukraine is still fighting for 50 meters at the time.

Yes that's exactly my point. To say that an outcome is not acceptable, you need to consider what cost you are willing to pay to change that outcome, then consider the probability that after paying such cost the outcome will actually improve and not stay the same or actually make things worse after paying such cost. So to be unacceptable the cost must be little and probability of improving the situation must be high. Then consider the definition of cost, and definition of better/worse outcomes for each party and you'll then realize that there's an inherent conflict of interest in this equation. Ask yourself how much the Ukrainian "collateral damage" is really a cost for the "west", and if loosing all of Ukraine but reducing Russian military capacity by X% would be considered a better or worst outcome for each interested party? So i totally see the logic behind others encouraging Ukrainians to throw their gene pool away, little cost, little risk, the return is some reduction of RU military, what i don't see is why Ukrainians are actually buying into this, and what will happen when this disillusionment goes away and the reality that they were never meant to win anything and were actually made to encourage each other to a certain doom sets in.

EDIT:
As far as ATACMS all they're needed for is to raise the moral in Ukrainian. Looks like UA's power grid is unlikely to hold up this winter. UA will need some positive coverage during that time, look we're forbidden to use them in Russia, so look how we can shoot at this one substation in Crimea, to cause some RU village to also loose power...

Ukraine's air force expects a record number of Russian drone attacks on its soil this winter, its spokesperson Yuriy Ihnat said on Sunday, as Kyiv girds for a second winter of mass bombardment of its energy facilities.

Ihnat said that data for September showed the use by Russia of Iranian-designed Shahed kamikaze drones would smash last year's figure.

"This autumn and winter ... is already a record in terms of the number of Shahed drones. Over 500 (were used) in September," Ihnat said in an interview on national television.

He contrasted this number with Russia's air strike campaign on Ukraine last winter, when he said about 1,000 Shahed drones were used in six months.
...
Despite Ukraine bolstering its air defences, officials have warned of the risk of a repeat this winter, with the power grid still far from rebuilt after the last campaign of bombardment.



Oh men... you just called narratives and spins and here you are repeating over and over the mainstream Kremlin propaganda. Your narrative is highly convenient to Ruzzia (I am not surprised) and fits perfectly what the Kremlin wants everyone to believe (I am not surprised). "theres is nothing to be done", "all effort is in vain", "Ruzzia is too big", "Ruzzia has too many people",... The usual propaganda. But the biggest lie is that conceeding anything will stop Ruzzia (more on that below).

It turns out it is false and easily identifiable as false:

- Ruzzia is not fighting Ukraine, is fighting a bunch of angry and well industrialised countries - with quite a big and technically advanced military industry.
- Ruzzia had to retreat from vast amounts of territory because they cannot hold.
- Ukraine has managed to penetrate and is still penetrating well entrenched positions.
- The grinding of military equipment is actually unsustainable for Ruzzia, but it is not for Ukraine and their allies (Japan had an advantage in fleet, but then... they did not, like Ruzzia now).

This are facts not "spins" or "narratives". Even the Kremlin propagandists have gone for "Kiev in 3 days" to "Lets shape a convenient border and hope they do not break our lines".

This of course matches things like wasting missiles in power infrastructure, which is (a) irrelevant to the war effort (b) proven to be inefficient (c) proven to reinforce the will of the people being attacked.
It simply reminds me of Hitler bombing London - zero military effectiveness - to "break the will of the English" - in case you are not in the know, it did not go well for him.

Yes, to call an outcome unacceptable you need to balance this and that (which is never an mathematical exercise, because you may put little price on liberty, while many are ok to die for it). The problem is that a "victorious" Ruzzia (at least in a tactical level, the strategic international level is lost already), would not be an outcome, it would be the first chapter of and endless war hot / cold / proxy and all mixed. It is totally false anything like "if Ukraine conceded the land they will stop there" - it is just not going to happen so the option of "stopping the war now" is a fantasy.

So sure, balance that in your dreams.

No, ATACAMS are a weapon, they are not Ruzzian propaganda nor Kremlin narratives for "moral effects". Ukraine wants ATACAMS to blow up things they cannot blow up now and would very much like to blow up. It is not that difficult to imagine a few "objects" that they would like to convert to a recyclable construction rubbish pile. Objects that are the real strategically relevant, not "the infrastructure grid to lower the morale".

And now, the winter missile campaign - same tactics, same results (e.g. convincing the US to send a few more Patriots.)



1152  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: October 09, 2023, 06:34:02 PM
Some of the latest news coverage. Is there anyone left who still doesn't see where all of this is going?

...

And now Israel will be competing for resources, funds, intel satellite time etc... Politicians will act surprised and will be convincing people that no one could've possibly predicted such outcome, blame games will ensure, and everything will be done to prevent Ukrainians from even questioning any of this

My appraisal of where is this going is that Iran has done a favour to Ukraine. If there were some GOP members playing with the idea of reducing the support to Ukraine, they may be quite convinced now that "playing soft" gets their Israeli brothers killed (Hamas is an Iran proxy). Israel is unlikely to need much "resources" other than their usual sources - the Jewish community of US, UK,...

Riiiight, I'm sure Zelenskyy is very happy that the world has another war to occupy front pages and attention of already war fatigued world audience. What's next from your "whatever happens is good for Ukraine because..." narrative, how great would it be for Ukraine if China attacked Taiwan now? Then all of those Republicans would surely forget about their home audience and Trump would personally send more money to Ukraine? No, what be good for Ukraine if it's just a one day event, everything calms down and everyone could forget about Israel in a week, so Zelenskyy can get his news coverage back, Israel wont require more funds, worlds eye ball time, Ukraine's lobby in US won't have to compete with Israel's lobby, and Ukraine won't be covered as that "old" war.

Riiiight, when I do not have an argument I just whattabout and call stuff "a narrative", when you actually are delivering mostly narrative. The fact is that what I have said remains: GOP does have links to Israel, Iran is an ally of Ruzzia and this may actually be helpful for these Republicans and for the general public of the US who do not really know where Ukraine is in a map, but they have heard plenty about Iran.

So just a question of making sure they add 2 plus 2 and notice that they, personally, are in danger from this coalition. There are axis forming and Iran is with Ruzzia.

If China attacked Taiwan we would be closer to WW III, so negative for the entire population of the world, who likely would suffer very acute effects.

...

Yes yes, we all realize that there are no absolutes, and instead of even attempting to be objective your whole purpose seems to be to put a positive spin on everything, totally disregarding the other 99% effects of the event and how ridiculous that makes you sound.

...
PS: And look up definition of whataboutism before using it

Edit:

Regarding Israel 'unlikely to need much "resources"'

In addition, the United States government will be rapidly providing the Israel Defense Forces with additional equipment and resources, including munitions. The first security assistance will begin moving today and arriving in the coming days.

Oh yes, what great news for Ukraine  Roll Eyes see how silly you sounded, didn't even take a day.

So you are trying to correct my positive spin by putting a negative spin on everything? If you are counting on any kind of opposite poles attraction, I here and now shall discourage you in full - it is not BAdeker's Gods will. Now, after now being accused of being xenofobic towards sub-atomic particles with spins other than mine, back to serious topics in my next update.

No, we're not entangled on quantum level or on any other level for that matter. This as an attempt to rearrange a world order, and Ukrainians are just being used as a pawns. Somehow propaganda managed to convince Ukrainians that it's their job to die for the west, while ironically expecting Ukraine to be thankful for any scraps of weapons that west provides them while making sure that this weapon doesn't escalate the situation. Ukrainians are being fed hopium of this David vs Goliath fight where this miracle next weapon will surely help them win (but somehow won't escalate the situation), all they have to do is just now to send women and younger soldiers to the front lines. Truth of the matter is no one ever expected Ukraine to win, it's just needed to do maximum damage to Russia and no one is really concerned with the collateral damage in Ukraine. And these people that keep feeding hopium to Ukrainians, to keep them throwing their lives away, are complicit in this, they are not doing Ukrainians any favors and just prolonging the conflict as we watch more and more graveyards being dug up. It's just too easy to manipulate the masses. That's why i don't engage in these silly daily events of who took this meter of land today, but trying to show the overall trends.

Sure, it is just that the solution you propose (Ukraine simply surrendering) is not a long term solution at all, it will carry war after war from a "victorious" Ruzzia, which is not acceptable outcome to me.

Speaking of meters, I think meters matter. Even 500 meters matter a lot. It is more or less what Ukraine need to take to place a HIMARS in range of hitting Berdiansk. Or any location along the coast or the railway line. Why do you think they are asking for ATACAMS? I think is because they can see a lot, but they cannot hit it (supplies, depots, command centres, logistics...)

So yes, a few meters here and there matter, which is the reason why Ukraine is still fighting for 50 meters at the time. Until the "land bridge" is under full artillery control by Ukraine. I think Ruzzian masters know this.
1153  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: October 09, 2023, 03:57:16 PM
Some of the latest news coverage. Is there anyone left who still doesn't see where all of this is going?

...

And now Israel will be competing for resources, funds, intel satellite time etc... Politicians will act surprised and will be convincing people that no one could've possibly predicted such outcome, blame games will ensure, and everything will be done to prevent Ukrainians from even questioning any of this

My appraisal of where is this going is that Iran has done a favour to Ukraine. If there were some GOP members playing with the idea of reducing the support to Ukraine, they may be quite convinced now that "playing soft" gets their Israeli brothers killed (Hamas is an Iran proxy). Israel is unlikely to need much "resources" other than their usual sources - the Jewish community of US, UK,...

Riiiight, I'm sure Zelenskyy is very happy that the world has another war to occupy front pages and attention of already war fatigued world audience. What's next from your "whatever happens is good for Ukraine because..." narrative, how great would it be for Ukraine if China attacked Taiwan now? Then all of those Republicans would surely forget about their home audience and Trump would personally send more money to Ukraine? No, what be good for Ukraine if it's just a one day event, everything calms down and everyone could forget about Israel in a week, so Zelenskyy can get his news coverage back, Israel wont require more funds, worlds eye ball time, Ukraine's lobby in US won't have to compete with Israel's lobby, and Ukraine won't be covered as that "old" war.

Riiiight, when I do not have an argument I just whattabout and call stuff "a narrative", when you actually are delivering mostly narrative. The fact is that what I have said remains: GOP does have links to Israel, Iran is an ally of Ruzzia and this may actually be helpful for these Republicans and for the general public of the US who do not really know where Ukraine is in a map, but they have heard plenty about Iran.

So just a question of making sure they add 2 plus 2 and notice that they, personally, are in danger from this coalition. There are axis forming and Iran is with Ruzzia.

If China attacked Taiwan we would be closer to WW III, so negative for the entire population of the world, who likely would suffer very acute effects.

...

Yes yes, we all realize that there are no absolutes, and instead of even attempting to be objective your whole purpose seems to be to put a positive spin on everything, totally disregarding the other 99% effects of the event and how ridiculous that makes you sound.

...
PS: And look up definition of whataboutism before using it

Edit:

Regarding Israel 'unlikely to need much "resources"'

In addition, the United States government will be rapidly providing the Israel Defense Forces with additional equipment and resources, including munitions. The first security assistance will begin moving today and arriving in the coming days.

Oh yes, what great news for Ukraine  Roll Eyes see how silly you sounded, didn't even take a day.

So you are trying to correct my positive spin by putting a negative spin on everything? If you are counting on any kind of opposite poles attraction, I here and now shall discourage you in full - it is not BAdeker's Gods will. Now, after now being accused of being xenofobic towards sub-atomic particles with spins other than mine, back to serious topics in my next update.
1154  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: October 08, 2023, 06:33:26 PM
Includes Youtube video.
...
Fierce battles are underway in Bakhmut.

----------

Cool

Are you aware that there have been attacks and counterattacks in the area for the last 16 months? There is no combat inside the city itself, the artillery has been there for quite a while and Ukrainians are pressing on the north and south to avoid direct urban conflict.

So far, HIMARS + drones are being extremely effective in dealing with Ruzzian artillery... nearly 25 pieces a day, and some of them are not Soviet era shit.

BTW I recently read that Abrams tanks are already in Ukraine. Still in time for the summer "party" -  all Ruzzian T-55. T-60, T-72, T-80 and T-90 are invited. It seems that the fabulous Armata has declined the invitation for technical reasons.
1155  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: October 08, 2023, 11:45:37 AM

Sure, you just get $70M (which is likely to be a gross understatement) but you are not a proxy.



And if some country provide you with 120 BILLION, using your logic, what are you to them?

Using my logic, you are an ally - Ukraine did not attack Ruzzia, however the point stays: you have said Hamas is not a proxy for Iran, but it clearly seems to be.

The Ukrainian conflict is much more straightforward than the Israeli - Palestinian conflict, which is something that has not been resolved in... 70 years now?. The growth model of the current Ruzzia is grabbing natural resources - they have nothing else to offer to the world (well, also overhyped arms that rarely deliver to their claims) - they will permanently be involved in anyplace where they can "grab".

edit:

Friends, I would like to remind you that this is a topic about Russia's invasion of Ukraine. For discussion of events in Israel and everything related to it, there are specialized topics. Thanks.

I do not discuss that conflict, just the possible effect in the Ruzzian attack on Ukraine, similarities,... I think that Israel and the conflicts around are very difficult to make sense of.

1156  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: October 08, 2023, 09:18:43 AM
Some of the latest news coverage. Is there anyone left who still doesn't see where all of this is going?

...

And now Israel will be competing for resources, funds, intel satellite time etc... Politicians will act surprised and will be convincing people that no one could've possibly predicted such outcome, blame games will ensure, and everything will be done to prevent Ukrainians from even questioning any of this

My appraisal of where is this going is that Iran has done a favour to Ukraine. If there were some GOP members playing with the idea of reducing the support to Ukraine, they may be quite convinced now that "playing soft" gets their Israeli brothers killed (Hamas is an Iran proxy). Israel is unlikely to need much "resources" other than their usual sources - the Jewish community of US, UK,...

Riiiight, I'm sure Zelenskyy is very happy that the world has another war to occupy front pages and attention of already war fatigued world audience. What's next from your "whatever happens is good for Ukraine because..." narrative, how great would it be for Ukraine if China attacked Taiwan now? Then all of those Republicans would surely forget about their home audience and Trump would personally send more money to Ukraine? No, what be good for Ukraine if it's just a one day event, everything calms down and everyone could forget about Israel in a week, so Zelenskyy can get his news coverage back, Israel wont require more funds, worlds eye ball time, Ukraine's lobby in US won't have to compete with Israel's lobby, and Ukraine won't be covered as that "old" war.

Riiiight, when I do not have an argument I just whattabout and call stuff "a narrative", when you actually are delivering mostly narrative. The fact is that what I have said remains: GOP does have links to Israel, Iran is an ally of Ruzzia and this may actually be helpful for these Republicans and for the general public of the US who do not really know where Ukraine is in a map, but they have heard plenty about Iran.

So just a question of making sure they add 2 plus 2 and notice that they, personally, are in danger from this coalition. There are axis forming and Iran is with Ruzzia.

If China attacked Taiwan we would be closer to WW III, so negative for the entire population of the world, who likely would suffer very acute effects.


Some of the latest news coverage. Is there anyone left who still doesn't see where all of this is going?

...

And now Israel will be competing for resources, funds, intel satellite time etc... Politicians will act surprised and will be convincing people that no one could've possibly predicted such outcome, blame games will ensure, and everything will be done to prevent Ukrainians from even questioning any of this

My appraisal of where is this going is that Iran has done a favour to Ukraine. If there were some GOP members playing with the idea of reducing the support to Ukraine, they may be quite convinced now that "playing soft" gets their Israeli brothers killed (Hamas is an Iran proxy). Israel is unlikely to need much "resources" other than their usual sources - the Jewish community of US, UK,...

No, Hezbollah is Iran proxy, not Hamas.
Iran is Shiite, Hezbollah is Shiite, Hamas is Sunni...without Israel in picture, they actually hate each other

...

I am going to try to believe you but it is going to be difficult if you keep publishing links to "cultural organisations"

https://www.iranintl.com/en/202201038619

Yes that is what they say, but also in the same sentence...

Quote
Iran Funded Hamas Missiles With $70 Million, Haniyeh Says
Monday, 01/03/2022
Middle East - Persian Gulf
Iran
Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh has revealed that the Iran paid a total of $70 million to the Palestinian group to help it develop missiles and defense systems.

During an interview with Al-Jazeera Haniyeh said different countries help in financing the group, but Iran is the biggest donor.
...

He said that Hamas is not fighting a proxy war for Iran, stressing they are in it together against “the common Israeli enemy.”

Sure, you just get $70M (which is likely to be a gross understatement) but you are not a proxy.


1157  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: October 07, 2023, 09:42:01 PM
Some of the latest news coverage. Is there anyone left who still doesn't see where all of this is going?

...

And now Israel will be competing for resources, funds, intel satellite time etc... Politicians will act surprised and will be convincing people that no one could've possibly predicted such outcome, blame games will ensure, and everything will be done to prevent Ukrainians from even questioning any of this

My appraisal of where is this going is that Iran has done a favour to Ukraine. If there were some GOP members playing with the idea of reducing the support to Ukraine, they may be quite convinced now that "playing soft" gets their Israeli brothers killed (Hamas is an Iran proxy). Israel is unlikely to need much "resources" other than their usual sources - the Jewish community of US, UK,...
1158  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gender in Gambling [differences between Women and Men in Gambling] on: October 07, 2023, 09:38:58 PM
When women play gambling, they already know the risks they will face, but women will think twice about going crazy at the gambling table, if women are still within normal limits, but if they are addicted, women will be the same as men and without shame they will say they lost ,
from my point of view with experiences that I see directly from my neighbors

The truth is that women were not as bold as men, they can't take the same level of risk as men do, they like making savings than spending or loosing to gambling, this may also be because they have always rely on men for their financial backups in most cases and also have weak or lower affinity fornany of the gambling related activities unlike men, women were known to have low tolerance for gambling or taking risk.
Women who gamble may already know the risk and are ready to face the risk,  but another question about that os that,  are women as risky as men,  because from research,  it shows that women are fewer risk takers compared to men and that can be true since women's position in the society and family os. Not for financial provisions which limit their risk exposure.

So that has affected the general perceptions toward risk at every point of the way and that is why some people have seen and said that women lack the boldness to risks in gambling compared to the male forks.

I would not call it boldness, because risk is not about boldness is about appraisal and assessment. I will explain: Risk is one of the things that humans are worst at predicting and that is specially true for men. I have seen many times how the wise voice comes from the women and the men ignore them to make massive mistakes in risk appraisal. I think this applies to betting perfectly.
1159  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Publicly held Trump trials - ongoing on: October 07, 2023, 09:36:03 PM
While not about the trials, it seems that Forbes does no longer consider Trump as one of the 400 richest persons in the US, mostly due about the massive devaluation of the "Truth" platform that he owns at 90%.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/danalexander/article/the-definitive-networth-of-donaldtrump/

Quote
He’s nowhere near as rich as he boasts, nor as poor as some critics claim. Donald Trump’s real net worth? $2.6 billion, according to our most recent tally, conducted in September 2023. Below, Forbes offers an asset-by-asset breakdown of the former (and possibly future) president’s fortune.

I wonder if he ever gives a honest figure, but the point is that the penalty of 250 million is not a small thing for Trump, and the removal of the license to do business in NY is probably worth as much as that, I will be following and reporting on the consequences of it.
1160  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: October 07, 2023, 12:52:05 PM
Meanwhile, when the Ukrainian offensive seems to have exhausted its potential, the initiative once again passes to Russia. The main interest is now focused on the Kupyansk direction, at least this is clearly indicated by a series of successful bomb attacks on road bridges across the Oskol River. As a result, all Ukrainian positions between Oskol and Zherebets become extremely inconvenient for defense from a logistics point of view, and I think here in the near future we can expect directed efforts to level the front line and increase pressure on Seversk from the north. The timing of the political crisis in the United States was chosen quite well.
You certainly have something wrong in your brain speaking of potential "exhausted" when the Ruzzian loses of this month are higher than ever. do not overestimate what the maps and your trolls tell you, the meat grinding and artillery destruction are at the peak - not to mention the increasing difference in technical means.
In the conditions of aggressive propaganda on both sides of the conflict, only maps can be trusted. The fact that the Ukrainian counter-offensive has completely fizzled out is already a fait accompli. Ukraine never managed to reach Tokmak, and all other areas of military activity are distracting and media (Zelensky’s painful fixation on Bakhmut is generally a topic for a separate study, but I’m not a psychiatrist to deal with this). The weather factor also cannot be discounted; with the autumn rains, it becomes physically impossible for Ukraine to continue the offensive in the Zaporozhye direction.

These bridges you speak about (two) are pretty much irrelevant to the logistics and can be re-built elsewhere in a day.
In a couple of weeks, Russian aviation bombed four road bridges across the Oskol River, in Kupyansk and downstream (in Senkovka and Kovsharovka); there are no more bridges in this area. Oskol is not the largest river, but it is very specific - with a bunch of branches, bends, and separate “puddles”. That is, it is not so easy to guide pontoons through it; the overall width there is quite large and the area is marshy. To you it may seem like an accident or a coincidence that all the bridges on a short section of the front were destroyed in a short time, but I don’t think so. This looks more like purposeful preparation for increasing Russian pressure in the Kupyansk direction or for a tactical offensive with the goal of pushing Ukraine beyond Oskol. We'll see soon.

Just to make things cleat: what are in your view the Ruzzian losses per ay? What logistics did those TWO bridges filmed two times served and how many armoured brigades has Ukraine in reserve? Why are elite paratrooper Ruzzian troops in Verbove?

You can trust video evidence, I suggest for anyone interested following this guy. Pro-Ukranian but only showing evidence based facts.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H8vZfZXFCrQ&t=850s
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