Ask any friend you have in the military why they want to have a dam they intend to eventually control firstly "in artillery range". Hint 1: When you are not in the enemy's artillery range, the enemy cannot shell your position to dust. Hint 2: if you are under shelling, it is usually a bad idea to stay there. Read carefully: Not the dam, the military positions around the dam. I hope this is correctly understood.

I just said why, but it aaaaalll right... I can say it again: Nearly all the water supply to Crimea comes from the canal on the east bank near the dam. The general is sending a clear message to the world: "The RF is about to loose a critical asset to hold the grip on Crimea".

I rarely say anything categorically, but on this case, it is very clear that it would ridiculously stupid for Ukraine to blow that dam. The sad thing is that, if it ever happens nobody would claim ownership of the f**kup.

The "gas pipes" were blown up by the RF, international experts have expressed serious concerns about Zapo plant being blown as the RF does not accept a demilitarised zone around it. And, most importantly, the control of the dam is key for Crimea as it may restrict (or allow) the water supply, not something to blow up with artillery (another stupid theory - Ukraine blowing up the key to their hold over Crimea) and that is why it may have been mentioned.

Now, go back to the drawing board of your alternate reality. BTW, curiously and as of now, your link points to this headline:

Interesting how people kind of still trust banks  Even after 2008 where all the loses were distributed among poor and rich alike whereas the directives of the banks that had been rescued were still getting bonus bigger than what most people would ever earn in their lives.

Yes Bitcointalk is a good reference point, if a site is scammy it will likely be detected. The contrary is also true, a trusted site advertised here is less likely to run a scam.

Strategies in pure chance games are nearly impossible. The house always wins and, when it does not win, throws you out (I mean, is not like in old Las Vegas where they will leave you in the desert with a punch in your face, or throw you down the stairs French casino style). Now, strategies are perfectly valid and in fact applied systematically in many games such as Poker, which actually admit them as part of the play.

I am not even sure this is intended to be a proper betting. I personally would rather stick to human-interface sites (yep. my current sponsor is one of those) since the whole point of gambling is having a good time playing with the odds and find out how lucky you are that day. Those other sites that have everything so automated, in my very humble opinion are not intended for players but for individuals looking to cover fiscal stuff.

Do not feed the pets please, they are already take a balanced intake of phantasy, delusion, elucubration and wishful thinking that is best for the "piose" as "outsiders" and for a great shiny hair.

First of all basic manual of survival for any slave conscripted into Adolf's Putin army: This is how it is done. Make sure the sheet is clean and does not look like camouflage:

https://youtu.be/br53bjIkehQ?t=1020



Ah sure just enough ... yet here we are - RF loosing ground, thousands at the risk of encirclement and orcs sent to the front with not preparation. Some of the guys out here do not seem to grasp how heroically are they going to die. Like this one here:
https://youtu.be/iqx_-OHE1Hk?t=297 Oh the poor thing... he repeated each night to himself "I am safe in Putin's Russia, Surely Adolf Putin is not going to call the privileged to the army. That's only for the "lower species" in the poor forgotten and politically irrelevant regions."

If you question the world "developed" you probably would like to give your own definition of developed. Go look for anything reasonable that makes the RF look "developed" (PIB, per capita, wealth distribution,... even education and industrial production is failing through the cracks of corruption and kleptocracy).

I remains suspicious of the quality of the vodka your handlers are paying you with. However, I am going to give you something: Adolf Putin has done more for the US than any president of the US could have ever done.


I have heard that Kamchatka offers a better advantage, since they are counting on the winter winning the war for them - yes... that's right ... against Ukrainians.


This needs a special paragraph on its own. Ukrainian are doing run-attacks, precisely you need to avoid densely populated areas, as this will thwart the strategy. If you go to (ye olde) Russian Strategy manual you will find that defences are structured into 3 layers, 5km, 15km and divisional reserves at 30km. This is done so that a penetration by the enemy does not end in full collapse. What the Ukrainian army is finding (they probably knew already thanks to "gospel from the skies") is that the RF army is like everything else in Adolf Putin's RF: Plenty of shell, nothing inside - There were no second lines, there were no noticeable divisional reserves. Ukraine forces have been only stopping to resupply, pretty much like a swimmer sticking his head out to take a breath.

I wonder how much empty land and hollowness in mind, soul and over the terrain are they going to find.

F**ck, that is cheap compared to what I pay where I live now. I should be learning German, Ja.

No, all that is Kremlin crap:

a) The RF is not winning the war, is loosing it. Only in the last few days it has lost 1000 km2 west of Mykolaiv. Kherson is getting close to encirclement. Crimea is close to having the main water supply to the region in Ukrainian control.
b) Winter may not play a role as much as it did in WWII. Things have changed quite a bit. Particularly near Kherson, the temperature in winter is certainly not enough to stop operations by modern standards. Whoever is counting on that is up for a surprise.
c) The RF is not backfilling with "soldiers" is backfilling the estimated 80.000 soldiers killed with a number of forced conscripts with little training and no will to fight. That is not a "soldier" that is a "slave" wielding a weapon.

As for your knowledge of history, it sucks. Napoleon experienced winter far north, pretty much from  Moscow and on the way back to France with XIX century equipment - and not even winter equipment as such - and no supply lines. Ukraine is fighting at home with the backing of most developed countries.

@Branko

I just saw a video that may make you reconsider if the RF has anything to do with you beloved anti-capitalist figthers.

https://youtu.be/ZAMz5kgb7V4

Income inequality is Moskva size compared to a boat.



Ahhh.... so it is the west who is saying that Putin is using the "N" word... there is nothing real to it? Nothing like Adolf Putin broadcasting an staged meeting with his Chief Psychos telling them to "ready the nuclear forces" nor any program in RF TV where commentators or opinion wannabe leaders speaking about how RF could use the "N" weapons?

You mean is all an invention from the west? Nothing like prime time news Dmitry Kiselyov depicting how the UK would look after an "N" attack. You trolls need to do much much better.

https://youtu.be/YyhTw-ZHTiE?t=36

https://youtu.be/Bn0XfCYhd2U

Any mention of the "N" word is a serious threat, it is not something you mention to your friends over a cup of vodka and has in itself diplomatic weight. There is no other use for it. There is no other point in showing a Satan in a parade.

As of now, there is far too much use of the "N" word in the RF. It could be because internally reinforces the Kremlin narrative of "being the victim and under attack" (ridiculous at it sounds) while "being strong" and "a culture" (even more ridiculous. Killing is not a culture, and destroying is a sign of weakness).

That does not seem what the US ambassador declared on the matter. They did declare that the answer would not be nuclear, but would be devastating. He was not talking about sanctions.

In any case, tactical nukes would not be a good idea. Firstly, most countries in the world would have at least some shift against RF, I thinking China, India. The "N" word is a hated one. Second, the land would be basically be left radioactive and, depending on the winds, it could spread to other countries. One thing is to send Chernobyl radiation to Europe, a different think on-purpose made toxic clouds.

But even if all that is overseen, the effectiveness of tactical nukes is not that great.

Spot on. In fact the EU including Germany are affected, but have plenty of resources and political influence to short the issue. The problem comes when India and Germany are bidding for the same gas tanker (sorry India) or Somalia (on the verge of a massive famine) and Italy are bidding for the same cargo of grain. That is the real consequence of Adolf Putin's war - the poor perish without a cause.

Oh, those claims are true in any manner please let me know. I know of a few EU countries that will send it over gladly. In the places I have been everything is well supplied and you can pretty much buy anything that you could before the war, albeit a bit more expensive - nothing that would make people not buy.

I guess the RF must be doing great as well, you see, people are queuing in the borders surely to do some tourism in Georgia and Turkey.

https://expatguideturkey.com/mobilization-queue-of-3000-vehicles-on-the-russia-georgia-border/

They were not willing to use it because they wanted to take a country just by walking in. Does that solve to you the why? Now they are ok with destroying anything they cannot take, and even for that it seems they somehow are not achieving exceptional results.

Shock and awe was to a scale 20 times bigger than anything the RF could field even before the start of the war, when they still had some of the better weapons platforms operative and in, to a point, in enough quantity. US employed proper cruise missiles (504) and around 1200  proper warplane sorties. It was delivered in a very short period of time and against a country that did not have proper air defences to compete with US.

But even after such a concentrated attack, the war ended up in cleaning Fallujah and Saadr City house by house, street by street and never being able to pacify Irak. Is that how good looks like to you?


I guess you cannot recruit a tank by force, like the slave orcs being sent to the front under threat.

Sure, that is why the SUs and MIG are all over Ukraine supporting the ground forces -  Except for the fact that they are absolutely absent since day 0. RF air superiority, which was taken for granted even by Ukraine allies has proven to be non-existant. It is just another of the myths about the RF army that have been vanished after this botched aggression that has benefited only the US.

Russia is using drones and missiles, many of which are intercepted and many of which are inaccurate to the point of being useless because they cannot risk planes and pilots to missions in a relatively well defended sky. Trying to win a war by cutting civilians from water, electricity, hospitals and schools is useless.

Pretty much all irrelevant to the case. Adolf Putin ordered a few fakeferedums to make annexations as something demanded by the population. It is impossible for a population to express a will a gunpoint. Trying to pass the the illegal (thanks) annexations as something demanded by the population, but is simply impossible to recognise in the middle of a war, mass graves, killing and soldiers forcing people to vote. For those who want to understand, it is fairly simple.

As for you legal quotes ... well, sure... all annexations are illegal. No problem is that is what you are trying to prove?? So that would include the recent ones by Adolf Putin, sure, thanks - illegal they are - pretty much my point.

It is very clear for whoever wants to understand - for a change is the status of a region you would allow people to express views, pros and cons openly and in peace and then let the majority decide. It does not matter if it is one month, or two months or a year, it is about a large majority of countries and institutions considering the polling and campaigning free and pacific (pacific enough sometimes).

Is it relative? Yes. Does anything fly as you suggest? No, it does not. There is a minimum. Times are changing so much (thanks Trump, Boris, Putin, Xi,...) that is easy to put everything into doubt and make facts appear as "maybes" and you are just trying to relativize and put forward some legal opinions as if that was an exact science - it is not. The citizens of a territory can chose to organise themselves however they please, and that could be joining an existing country or abandoning an existing one.

If you are here to argue about semantics just do not use "annexation", but rather voluntarily joining or voluntary union  - short of what happens when a country joins the EU (and that sometimes is without referendum).  Does secession or annexation always require a referendum... I would say that it would also be acceptable that a government elected with full democratic guarantees and a program of claiming secession clearly expressed would be valid.

Now, all the whattabout:

- Catalonia held a referendum that did not have any guarantee so it was not accepted by any country in EU, nor US, nor pretty much anyone. It was very clear that it did not have the basics. Apart, is well known that of the four regions of Catalonia, two (including the capital Bacelona!) are not in favour of secession.

- The referendum on independence of Scotland, agreed with the UK government, resulted on a no. It did have all guarantees.

- Referendums in the old USSR were probably not required by the existing law (the USSR law did allow secession as far as I know). If you want to argue that they were illegal you would need something more that just saying so and if you are trying to make them like a "west" doing you would also need some evidence. No wonder you are using a source in Russian  


BTW, please see here a list of countries that declared their independence from UK. Do you think the west did accept these just for benefit?.

Again, and just for the shake of following your logic - not agreeing with it - it is impossible to win in a battlefield when the opposing party controls the money printing machine, has a larger, better trained and better equipped army and is not sending their own to die, but rather arming another country.

Perhaps one could conclude that Adolf Putin's RF is throwing a very expensive and deadly tantrum.


More than half of the incoming attacks are being shot down. Those numbers are likely to increase once Germany sends their systems and the US sends the AMRAAM based systems (kind of cheap, effective and with a virtually unlimited supply of spares).

The reason Adolf Putin has to throw expensive and many time inaccurate missiles is precisely because the airspace dominance has been denied by the effectiveness of the Ukrainian defence and, to be fair, by corruption, incompetence and lack of real resources from the RF since day 1.

I play few games myself, an rarely dice for fun, however Poker among friends sometimes yields good results. It is very rare that I make more than 10 USD, but once  I woun a predition game about a football game Madrid-Barca and that really made my day as my colleages had to pay for my drinks during that day. I think that I got around 100 euro out of the bet 

I think it also has to do with competitiveness. Many societies tend to generate and encourage competition rather than collaboration. It is much easier to compete than to collaborate and that also leads to some initial betting at early ages - I bet that I am faster, I bet that I can do whatever better than you,... If that becomes a habit I think it may be a problem in the long term.

It is a question of attitude. Many casinos and many companies or business in general kind of have a blind eye on regards to vulnerabilities. It is a question of having the right professionals or else it may just go unadvertised. A good safety consultancy is expensive, not to mention hiring personnel to deal with it, so unless they are really motivated they will eventually run into trouble.