Meanwhile: https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-raises-military-age/31867388.htmlMOSCOW -- Russian parliament's lower chamber, the State Duma, has approved a bill that would raise the upper age limit for military personnel serving in the Russian Army on a contractual basis.
According to the bill, which had all three readings approved on May 25, men up to age 65 will now be eligible to serve in the army. The new limit also applies to foreign nationals wishing to serve in the army as well. Any volunteer? Branko, you can go there an participate of the glory! Come on!  Any volunteer to get inside one of these? |
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Once Belarus embarks on a democratic transition, the EU will activate the €3 billion package, a mix of grants and loans leveraging public and private investments, to help Belarus to stabilise its economy, reform its institutions to make them more democratic and help increase the economy's resilience, growth potential and job creation. EU buys influence in many countries, and it's one of the things I don't like about EU. Lukashenko has shown that, ~, the EU may be the future. How did he show that? From what I've seen, he wants the opposite. Do you think the support to the Russian cause will cause these aids to cease? Is the relationship broken forever? No. EU continuously wants to expand (which is another thing I don't like about EU). There is no "forever". If Russia would play their cards right, I have no doubt EU would send them money too. A new "EU friendly" president in either of those countries would change everything again. I considered myself Belarus a puppet regime, cosy with Adolf Putin and all that. It turns out that is not that much. The opposition in Belarus is much stronger than in the RF and Putin has put Lukash in a very difficult positions. Sanctions have killed the dream of having a tech-hub in the country, the army has opposed strongly any order to help Putin in Ukraine and, on top of that, the opposition has actually sent soldiers to Ukraine... to fight on the Ukrainian side. Lukash has been accepting cooperation with EU, perhaps I overreached when saying he would accept democratic reforms. |
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Signature campaign
Indeed a very good way of advertising any casino but sometimes I feel new casinos struggle to maintain the same pay rate as compared to established ones and if they pay less, it's not that effective. Promotions and giveaways
One of the best possible options of promoting a casino is because it attracts a lot of new players, although there are giveaway abusers always ready to kill most giveaways. But, those can be avoided through wager requirements and maybe KYC if not wager. I personally feel the best way to promote any casino is to let it run for months smoothly without harassing members for withdrawals and slowly start doing some promotions on Twitter and other social media. It takes time to built trust, you cannot just buy trust with any kind of promotions or bonuses. Each casino has also to find its own way, because not all customer types will behave in the same manner. If you are going for the masses, you would need to provide a decent service at an affordable price, but if you are whale hunting the focus should be in help, service, usability,... the moment a whale perceives that there is commercial pressure or any sign of untrustworthiness the site is done. |
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This premium gambling brand domain name is up for grab. Serious gambling startup only. All social media handles secured to match.
I feel like it should be helpful to inform gambling companies through this thread since it's all about brand name.
I'm not sure if this Name is easily to remember and familiarize ? it's even long to rean and memorize lol, the domain that is better to buy in this question is at least one word and followed by .Com or at least .Net or .Io . But what you share is Sossy and looks like in general ? not that appealing in my own opinion . The admin should strive or work to get both a brand name that has a recall or is very much familiar with gambling, everything starts with a name and they will build their trust rating around that domain name, if they got a good brand name then they are on a good start and they can work on building their functionalities, these two go together it's hard not to have one, but the casino can still build its reputation without a good brand name.
if name is available? then its Ok but if not? then the function is better. Yeah, because you don't know much about qualities of good domain names, and probably you're not familiar with English words too. If you do, you'd have known that the name is a top notch premium domain name that is short, easy to pronounce, memorable, brandable, and in fact, an excellent fit for all kinds of gambling niche. And the best part is that all social media handles are secured to match. In case you don't know, "Flexi" is a popular short way of saying "Flexible" and fits perfectly with "Bet" both in meaning and in aesthetic pleasure. The investment in the name was given lots of importance in the past because of the search algorithms of the older search engines. As of today there are other ways of getting people to know your site organically and there is less need on investing in a very "look at me" domain name. Lately, the domains have become words with mistakes such as "Tickr" or "Flikr" and the like, as all things there are trends in naming. |
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You move in the city with thousands street cams, pay everyday with named credit card, post photos with geo in social networks and believe that VPN will save your anonymity. There is no more anonymity in the internet. Using VPN can just give you an access to the blocked sites and, possible, little increase the time that someone needs to find you. The main reason that we are not classified and marked till now - no one is interesting in our personal data.
You are right, more than ever our privacy is slowly being taken away and it does not seem as if things are going to improve, and if anything they are bound to get even worse. However even if VPNs do not really offer too much protection against a determined attacker, at the same time it is still an additional layer of privacy and as such it is good idea to use it, because as you say since we are not important then no one is really making an attempt to find our data, so our privacy is in fact enhanced. We always want to have our private data, it doesn't matter if they don't give it importance, but the fact is that if I don't want to give them that must be respected, although it is a fact that in a short time privacy and anonymity will no longer exist, the data that we say not caring, they will use it to be able to have control of everything we do, casinos and bookmakers ask for KYC as a license requirement, but those licenses are what allow control and control comes from governments, banks, that is, We are controlled by a technology that Satoshi gave us to escape all control and in a good way we are giving up control, was this something inevitable? The main issue here is compliance. There are laws protecting privacy in most countries and the data captured cannot be freely shared most of the times without special authorisations. But how to make all these data gathering being compliant and being controlled so that rules are followed is a much more complex issue and it is not enough to just make a law and let things take care of themselves. |
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Since when is Ukraine on Atlantic?
While we're at it, let's invade Luxembourg, Czechia, Slovakia, Hungary, and North Macedonia on the grounds of them being illegitimate NATO members because "Atlantic". Or, let Taiwain into it. Since those are in NATO, there are no legitimate reasons to keep Taiwan out Correct. No legal reason... once the US recognises that is an independent nation, which I am not sure it has (US policy on Taiwan / Taipei is ambiguous as long as China does not make a point on getting a clear answer). The other step is to have it accepted by all members of NATO, which may not happen. Anyway, NATO is not the only military alliance. For example, the UK has already made a pact with Finland and Sweden, regardless if they join or not NATO. This is some free consultancy for the RF:
Your objective is competing in a world that is growing fast. If you are left behind your people and the nation as such will not do well, no matter how many wars you fight.
- Develop the east. The territory is immense, the opportunities endless, you do not need to look further. I understand that as of now, there are political reasons why Moscow / St Petersburg would rather not do that, but long term it causes tensions.
- Attract investment, both local and foreign. You cannot do without it. See next point on how to enable that, but, as a hint, you should be seen as a pacific partner and stable on that regards.
- Put in place the enablers of growth: Rule of law, fair and speedy justice. This implies you need to get rid of the Cleptocrats and local despots, no way around that.
- Keep your strengths: good universities, good research, ability to manage complex projects, ...
- Use wisely the money that is coming from exporting natural resources. Try to build up the chain of value (e.g. do not export crude oil, but refined products).
- Do not enter into unnecessary wars. Your territory is quite protected and other than that your real threat is terrorism (the real one, not the guys with the "tatoos").
- Do not spend 11% of your GDP in weapons - it is not needed.
Life could be very different in the RF.
There is a saying in Russia: "It's a pity that everyone who knows how to properly run the state is already working in a taxi."  That goes well with the old USSR saying "The workers pretend to work and the state pretends to pay them". The new one for Adolf Putin is "The soldiers pretend to fight and the Kremlin pretends they are doing well". I do not work in a taxi. The people who are smiling while Adolf Putin drives the RF into a hole do not work in a taxi either. I am aware that it is the new thing of the internet and the brain-dead media to value equally all views and give credibility to anything, but not every opinion and view is the same and not all people who speak on a topic are the same. ... I'm not sure what ramifications would belligerent status bring to this, but pretty sure we're at the stage where neither Russia nor US would care about legalities much. Iran has some disputed Islands in the straight of Hormuz and can claim 20km if internal waters around them, they threaten to close it every few years. Strait is only like 25km at it's narrowest, and Iran has a lot of land exposure around it Plus conveniently a third of the world's liquefied natural gas and almost 25% of total global oil consumption passes through the strait. If Iran gets its hands on some hyper sonic missiles, that can easily take out an aircraft carrier, that might be enough to change it's math to perhaps partial blocking of US military. China getting few hyper sonic missiles (which can take out an airfield) would instantly nullify billions in fighter jets and patriot missiles sold to Taiwan. Seeing how Ukraine is the most corrupt country in Europe, and with it loosing around 20% of its land to Russia i'd guess thousands of javelins, NLAWs and MANPADS can easily find their way to battle grounds where US is involved. Bottom line there are a lot of painful points Russia can escalate at in retaliation, and of course run away escalations lead from cold wars to hot nuclear ones. Russia indicated that Ukraine was a red line for it, and cornered they really have no better option but to escalate, EU clearly indicating that it doesn't care much for the conflict and just wants it to go away, so we're only left with US still pushing it. Regardless of what happens (short of nuke war) Russia knows that it'll be warm (with gas/oil) and fed (grain) this winter, such certainties don't exist for EU. Knowing that, i just don't see how any escalation can make Russia capitulate, admit a loss and return to long term ruined economy, political unrest, shortages in high tech sectors (and most likely full collapse). That's why I'm confused of US end goal with such semi (but not too far) escalations, surely the expectation can't be of Russia folding and willingly collapsing, guess that's why Kissinger said what he said. Becoming "belligerent" means that there is a legal cover for actions directly affecting that country. e.g. blowing refineries and the like. I am aware of the importance of the Ormuz strait. I just do not think that Iran wants to follow through with that strategy. You make too many assumptions on capabilities, corruption and politics here, but they are quite iffy. The EU "not caring", in my view, does not match reality, particularly after the latest sanctions package. |
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This was published in 2021 in the official EU portal: https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/es/ip_21_2685Today, the European Commission is presenting to the Council its outline for a comprehensive plan of economic support to a future democratic Belarus. The plan, of up to €3 billion, reflects the European Union's commitment to support the Belarusian people's wishes for a peaceful democratic transition in the country following the Presidential elections of August 2020, which were neither free nor fair.
Once Belarus embarks on a democratic transition, the EU will activate the €3 billion package, a mix of grants and loans leveraging public and private investments, to help Belarus to stabilise its economy, reform its institutions to make them more democratic and help increase the economy's resilience, growth potential and job creation. Just to put it in context, Belarus has 9 million habitants. This investment would be very significant. Is the opportunity gone? Lukashenko has shown that, while having the RF as largest commercial partner at the moment, the EU may be the future. It may catch you as a surprise but there are actual EU funded projects ongoing. https://euprojects.byDo you think the support to the Russian cause will cause these aids to cease? Is the relationship broken forever? |
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... Now to still try and make it work US need to continue to escalate the conflict (first Javelin will be a game changer, MANPADS, then Switchblades, then much needed M777 howitzers, now even more desperately needed HIMARS, next will be  ) and as you previously noted everything comes at a cost. Where does that leave Russia, either sit back and do nothing or since US is setting a precedent that selling long range missiles is now acceptable practice and doesn't make you a party to a conflict, Russia can starts selling latest anti-air and anti-ship missiles to Iran, how much do you think it'd take for them to close the straight of Hormuz? ... Turkey, Italy and Greece are connected to the Atlantic ocean through the mediterranean sea. Well Taiwan is also connected to the Atlantic ocean through some body of water  don't get tied up on semantics, you need to see the forest behind the trees. Surely if US would deem in beneficial, adding the + to NATO + is the least of the problems. ... Super-funny the comment of the Mediterranean being connected. I guess then Taiwan is connected as well both on the east and the west, north and south through different oceans so all fine. Some legal opinions state that selling weapons to a party in conflict is a legitimate trade according to international law and does not make you a party in the conflict. It does not remove your "non-belligerent" status no matter the precise weaponry, quantity or use - much more questionable to call that "neutrality". To be honest, I think that the RF would not want the US to be officially a belligerent party. https://lieber.westpoint.edu/ukraine-neutrality-co-belligerency-use-of-force/In general, Ukraine is seen as a country unlawfully invaded and defending its territory from an aggression. Most legal opinions would claim that selling weapons to Ukraine is helping restore international legality rather than taking part in a conflict. My personal view is that selling material that will be used to defend the Ukrainian territory is legal and does not remove "non-belligerent" claims, as long as it is not used to strike in Russian territory - again IMHO even that would also bee acceptable if targeting troops or means used for the invasion. That is why US and UK have been very reluctant to send their versions of MLRS (the HIMARS) which have nothing to do with the RF MLRS - much longer range, technologically advanced munitions. So, for now, even M777 that are used within Ukraine are perfectly acceptable IMHO. The switchblades, Javelin, etc.. are pretty much defensive weapons just to provide infantry with a fighting chance against armoured groups. On Iran closing Ormuz, I do not see how that could be a defensive act. Attacking or blockading ships would be an act of war and it would justify a strong response. |
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Since when is Ukraine on Atlantic?
While we're at it, let's invade Luxembourg, Czechia, Slovakia, Hungary, and North Macedonia on the grounds of them being illegitimate NATO members because "Atlantic". And because there are Nazis in Luxembourg. |
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ask yourself why the closer the country is to Russia the more it likes US/NATO and dislikes Russia (Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Georgia), yet the further it is from Russia (Africa, Middle East, South America, Asia) the less they like US and the more they like Russia?
It can't possibly have anything to do with the fact that countries near Russia have suffered its invasions and occupations including the 50-70 years of brutal soviet totalitarian regime that's still in living history. Nah, it has to be some conspiracy from the evil West. Of course, they have sent there T-62 to protect their loving brothers from the bears and deers of the forests. https://youtu.be/LCZU1XdNb_E?t=613They are also recycling arguments: https://youtu.be/H4uLLSuUeDc?t=112... Russia had to conquer Finland to "denazify" it |
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Easiest way to start another war, just offer Taiwan to join NATO sit back and watch the "fireworks" fly. (Don't those poor Taiwanese deserve the freedom cookies and guarantees of freedom??)
Do you know what NATO stands for? North Atlantic Treaty Organization. Now, where is Taiwan located? Answer me. ... What is the support in Taiwan for joining continental China's government? Answer me. Where is Turkey, a NATO member located? An Italy, and Greece, ...? |
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...
The beauty of that is that there is no way Russia can do anything about it they just cannot compete on the soft power field.
...
Only options for Russia is sit back and keep loosing countries in its sphere of influence and ultimately be torn apart, or radicalize become a dictatorship and switch the playing field to hard power.
...
On regards to the RF becoming a dictatorship "in the future", I think that Moskva has sailed. I think you have depicted the problem, but there is a solution. It is difficult for the RF to assume that its influence is in decline. It is not just the US, it is that all the world is moving ahead and the RF is not keeping the pace. Among other things, if you have the GDP of Italy and spend 11% of it in military you need to take it from schools, doctor, civil research, ... It is a problem of mindset. This is some free consultancy for the RF: Your objective is competing in a world that is growing fast. If you are left behind your people and the nation as such will not do well, no matter how many wars you fight. - Develop the east. The territory is immense, the opportunities endless, you do not need to look further. I understand that as of now, there are political reasons why Moscow / St Petersburg would rather not do that, but long term it causes tensions. - Attract investment, both local and foreign. You cannot do without it. See next point on how to enable that, but, as a hint, you should be seen as a pacific partner and stable on that regards. - Put in place the enablers of growth: Rule of law, fair and speedy justice. This implies you need to get rid of the Cleptocrats and local despots, no way around that. - Keep your strengths: good universities, good research, ability to manage complex projects, ... - Use wisely the money that is coming from exporting natural resources. Try to build up the chain of value (e.g. do not export crude oil, but refined products). - Do not enter into unnecessary wars. Your territory is quite protected and other than that your real threat is terrorism (the real one, not the guys with the "tatoos"). - Do not spend 11% of your GDP in weapons - it is not needed. Life could be very different in the RF. Why would US let RF prosper, especially considering it's proximity to China? You know what powerful nations want right? That combination is too dangerous and needs to be stopped at its infancy. Much easier to kneecap RF, take Ukraine out of it's sphere of influence and then it'd be great if that could sustain itself by forcing RF to continue to sell its resources to EU through Ukraine (so UA gets paid transit fees). That's the benefit of having a pact, on top of that you can freeze RF assets and bankrupt it anytime you wish. (That is unless they decide to stop playing such game for some reason) Well, under that premise, you could argue that this war is actually helping US do so. The US is not the only country in the world and, as far as I know, has until now only frozen assets when faced with very serious hostility. Freezing assets is not for free - the US is also getting a reputation hit on this. |
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...
The beauty of that is that there is no way Russia can do anything about it they just cannot compete on the soft power field.
...
Only options for Russia is sit back and keep loosing countries in its sphere of influence and ultimately be torn apart, or radicalize become a dictatorship and switch the playing field to hard power.
...
On regards to the RF becoming a dictatorship "in the future", I think that Moskva has sailed. I think you have depicted the problem, but there is a solution. It is difficult for the RF to assume that its influence is in decline. It is not just the US, it is that all the world is moving ahead and the RF is not keeping the pace. Among other things, if you have the GDP of Italy and spend 11% of it in military you need to take it from schools, doctor, civil research, ... It is a problem of mindset. This is some free consultancy for the RF: Your objective is competing in a world that is growing fast. If you are left behind your people and the nation as such will not do well, no matter how many wars you fight. - Develop the east. The territory is immense, the opportunities endless, you do not need to look further. I understand that as of now, there are political reasons why Moscow / St Petersburg would rather not do that, but long term it causes tensions. - Attract investment, both local and foreign. You cannot do without it. See next point on how to enable that, but, as a hint, you should be seen as a pacific partner and stable on that regards. - Put in place the enablers of growth: Rule of law, fair and speedy justice. This implies you need to get rid of the Cleptocrats and local despots, no way around that. - Keep your strengths: good universities, good research, ability to manage complex projects, ... - Use wisely the money that is coming from exporting natural resources. Try to build up the chain of value (e.g. do not export crude oil, but refined products). - Do not enter into unnecessary wars. Your territory is quite protected and other than that your real threat is terrorism (the real one, not the guys with the "tatoos"). - Do not spend 11% of your GDP in weapons - it is not needed. Life could be very different in the RF. |
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It's easier said than done! When the import of a country is down, it means two things -
1. The country is on the way of becoming independent
2. Their forex reserves are saved from being depleted faster
These are the indicators of a strong economy and not a weak one. Russia has been supplying around 14% of world's oil and gas requirement since long. So it is not very easy to make them bend down in the face of sanctions.
Most hilariously when the sanctions have been imposed by a country responsible for most number of wars in the history of humankind.
The world must end of dollar dominance which gives US an upper hand on almost everything.
Just a correction: The sanctions have been imposed by more than 20 countries. I do not debate your argument in the sense that US and some European nations have a bad track record in regards to peace. |
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Glorious Russian Looting Forces at it again (I mean they've never been not at it, it's just a never-ending cringe and horror).
I don't see Nutella here, so it looks like a fake. You do not see it do you? Looting is a sign of an undisciplined army. The ones who loot are the ones who disobey orders and run if the fight is "too hard". |
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Another sanction approved today. Around 90% of the oil imports will be banned along the next few months from Russia into Europe. This is pretty much what brought Iran to the worst crisis in its recent history. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61638860https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61638860The EU-wide ban will affect oil that arrives by sea - around two-thirds of imports - but not pipeline oil, following opposition from Hungary.
Poland and Germany have also pledged to end pipeline imports, meaning a total of 90% of Russian oil will be blocked.
European Council chief Charles Michel said the deal cut off a huge source of financing for the Russian war machine.
It is part of a sixth package of sanctions approved at a summit in Brussels, which all 27 member states have had to agree on. It has been over two months Russia attacked Ukraine, sanctions followed, but the war is still two months old and counting, more sanctions are still being prepared i am sure, but honestly it does not look like it has had the type of impact the Eu and other countries thought it would have, Russia are still going on with the war, meaning they are still doing their economic business fine, maybe not as well as before, but they will be happy it is not just them that is suffering from their actions, but a lot of other countries. It is getting to that point that we must have to agree that sanctions can't end this war, or force Russia to stop, something more stringent has to be done.
This has only started. |
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Again, you are mixing concepts. The volatility of the rouble is based on the competitiveness of the currency in the global market, not on the GDP. On top of that and if you are speaking of debt in particular, you should look at the interest rates. You cannot keep the rate that the RF central bank has set without damaging growth.  I am afraid that I am going to explain some very basic economic concepts here: Just so that even those with little understanding of what this means: US finances it's debt at 0.75% interest. Russia has to pay 17% (as of today) for people to hold roubles - along with breaching contracts and demanding payment in roubles. Now you got the full picture and why debt at .75% is not really an issue. What happens when people can get a 17% just by lending the money? Very simple: they do not invest and they may choose not to buy beyond the strictly necessary. This situation cannot hold - it is temporary and the valuation of the rouble, in my view, will be permanently damaged with the new diplomatic stance of the RF. Lack of investment has a side consequence on countries that are heavy exporters of commodities - production requires CAPEX. High interest rates make CAPEX projects and productive investment less attractive as just by holding you get 17%. Just to put an example: If you have 1000 USD and you leave them during 5 years at 17% you would get 1873 USD ("risk free"). That is a "trash bond" and the RF has become exactly that: a trash debtor. At this point on the discussion and to make it fair, I would ask you on what do you base your claim that a country with 1/15th of the GDP of the US and subject to sanctions is going to be the "next superpower". OCDE data to 2060 paints a very different picture (unfortunately I cannot link a picture, so just select Russia, US, OCDE and China). The next superpower will not write Latin or Cyrillic characters. https://data.oecd.org/gdp/real-gdp-long-term-forecast.htm Why don’t you say in your reasoning that the Central Bank of the Russian Federation has already lowered the rate twice, most recently by 3%, and now the key rate in Russia is 11% with a tendency to further decrease? Why don't you also say that Russia, unlike Western countries, has a very small debt burden and the issue of debt refinancing is not too acute? Sure... 11%... just around 10 times more than US and several times EU, UK, etc... rates, makes no difference to the argument whatsoever. We can now talk about the recent European oil embargo approved today. THAT will make a difference. |
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that's what civilized societies do
Wonderful. The question was about Kremlin though. Hopefully the trials will be put online in the public domain to remind people (like you) who were duped into being ZioNazi supporters how easy it is to be duped if one listens exclusively to the mainstream media and actually believes the bullshit. The Nazi (actors) who do stand trail will probably have some sleazy lawyer such as Alan Dershewitz defending them. Actually, I don't think that most of the tribalist 'Nazi' play-actors in leadership will be tried by the Russians (or anyone else.) Most of them probably didn't put themselves in a situation to be captured in the first place, and those who did manage to get captured will be quietly bailed out be fellow tribalist oligarchs for some pretty big sums. Tried for what exactly? 'Illegal' tattoos? 'Illegal', anti-Russian thoughts? 'Discrediting' the Russian army? 'Tax evasion'? Oh.. surely he has "that type of source" Oh, I dunno. Killing POW's by stabbing them in the eye? Keeping civilians as human shields? Executing 'collaborators' (who accepted food donations) and using the bodies to stage massacres for the brain-dead Western media viewers. That sort of thing. The members of the ZioNazi groups scattered throughout the Ukrainian government were actually pretty proud of their exploits and put a lot of them on social media. Beyond that, there are usually far more people who are flippable than actually need to be flipped when it comes to these sorts of crimes. I strongly suspect that there was some genuine higher-level scientific behavioral modification going on given the heinousness of a lot of the crimes which went on over the past 8 years since the color revolution/coup. When these victims 'dry out' a bit and get off whatever meds they've probably been pumped full of, I'm expecting a lot of them to be singing like canaries, and probably without even being asked. Again, I hope the trials proceedings are released for all the world to see so that people are more aware of the kinds of filth which enters their country if the don't peel back the cloth a little bit to see the Victoria 'Nuland' (aka, Nudelman-Kagan) types who are pulling the strings. Hopefully also do a little more exploration into the philosophies that drive her ilk to do what they do, and the methods they have used, under these philosophies, for hundreds of years. Give me the name of the Russian POW who was stabbed in the eye, and the name of the Ukrainian serviceman who did that while the POW was in the custody of the Ukrainian army. Time and place, please. Oh, surely he has "that type of source"...
Give me the name of the Russian POW who was stabbed in the eye, and the name of the Ukrainian serviceman who did that while the POW was in the custody of the Ukrainian army. Time and place, please.
Patience, patience. It's virtue, you know? Trials for capital offenses take time, as they should given the punishment options available. No need to hurry this stuff. The Russians have all the time in the world. When the earlier POW killings were first distributed, I figured that it was a pretty strong possibility that it was a Russian psy-op to develop support back home (which it did.) Later on, as more info about the unbelievable evil that the ZioNazis were capable of came to the fore, I changed my mind and now figure it's more likely than not that this stuff went on and that it probably wasn't even a terribly rare one-off event. What do you mean? In the old USSR the guy would confess to have killed his mother before he was born within a week of "re-education". Are Adolf Putin's services less effective at torturing? |
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Are you sure? And than what? Add Ukrainian territory to Russian Federation? I thought the goal of this "military operation" was to protect people of LNR and DNR, and to make Ukraine to accept them as an independent republics.
If their goal is to protect these self proclaimed states and not occupy territory of Ukraine, why did occupied Kherson, part of Zaporishia oblast, why they bombing Odessa or why they tried to took Kiev? I have already said before that Putin's first offer is usually the most beneficial for partners. If they do not agree to it, then a worse offer follows ... He makes an offer that "cannot be rejected" is what you mean? This has not ended be.open. You can wall the thread with Russian supremacy propaganda, and even being blinded by the narcotic effects of the "toys of war", but the Russian Federation and particularly Adolf Putin are not the winners of this war. Sanctions, diplomatic relations broken, NATO expansion, conscription of soldiers even above 40 years of age, thousands of death, months to take a small city... if that is a "victory" to you is because you must have had little contact with success. You are looking for an answer in the use of brute force an coercion, when you should be looking into how the future is going to look like for the unfortunate people living the RF.  |
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Again, you are mixing concepts. The volatility of the rouble is based on the competitiveness of the currency in the global market, not on the GDP. On top of that and if you are speaking of debt in particular, you should look at the interest rates. You cannot keep the rate that the RF central bank has set without damaging growth. I am afraid that I am going to explain some very basic economic concepts here: Just so that even those with little understanding of what this means: US finances it's debt at 0.75% interest. Russia has to pay 17% (as of today) for people to hold roubles - along with breaching contracts and demanding payment in roubles. Now you got the full picture and why debt at .75% is not really an issue. What happens when people can get a 17% just by lending the money? Very simple: they do not invest and they may choose not to buy beyond the strictly necessary. This situation cannot hold - it is temporary and the valuation of the rouble, in my view, will be permanently damaged with the new diplomatic stance of the RF. Lack of investment has a side consequence on countries that are heavy exporters of commodities - production requires CAPEX. High interest rates make CAPEX projects and productive investment less attractive as just by holding you get 17%. Just to put an example: If you have 1000 USD and you leave them during 5 years at 17% you would get 1873 USD ("risk free"). That is a "trash bond" and the RF has become exactly that: a trash debtor. At this point on the discussion and to make it fair, I would ask you on what do you base your claim that a country with 1/15th of the GDP of the US and subject to sanctions is going to be the "next superpower". OCDE data to 2060 paints a very different picture (unfortunately I cannot link a picture, so just select Russia, US, OCDE and China). The next superpower will not write Latin or Cyrillic characters. https://data.oecd.org/gdp/real-gdp-long-term-forecast.htm |
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