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2421  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: If we lose in gambling, what do we need to do? on: October 12, 2023, 08:34:33 PM
Most people tend to believe that they can recover their losses with subsequent wins, but the reality is quite the opposite. The more they bet, the more they end up losing. I understand that it's challenging to control oneself in such situations. The thoughts of losses keep nagging at us, tempting us to rush in and recover immediately. As a result, we often end up losing everything. So, what I typically do when facing losses is to shut down the computer, exit gambling websites, and step away. Going somewhere or engaging in sports is a better way to take your mind off them. After a break, I find that my emotions improve, and my thinking becomes clearer, helping me avoid unnecessary losses.

This is the most rational strategy. But I adhere to an even more radical one - I take a “vacation” from betting not even when I lose, but simply when I notice that betting takes up too much of my thoughts and distracts me from my other life. I love betting and sometimes I am very lucky (I have made significant withdrawals of money) but I understand that betting will not change my life as much as I can do it myself.
2422  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: October 12, 2023, 08:27:34 PM
I read in the news today that City still cannot convince Haaland to sign a new contract with an increased release amount and a longer term one. At the moment, his release clause is 173 million and if you look at other transfers, it doesn’t look too expensive or above the market. I have a suspicion that if Real doesn't get Mbappe on good terms, they will buy Haaland. An excellent opportunity for Real Madrid to have a strong position in negotiations with Mbappe.
Getting Mbappe for free is guaranteed if Real Madrid want to wait until the next summer transfer window. Getting Haaland in addition to Mbappe might be a good decision if they can convince him to join them except that I doubt Real Madrid will spend that much even if they have enough money for that.

No, this is fantastic (plus, it seems to me that both guys are mentally weak to decide to be in the same club and compete). When we talk about “free” at the top level, it simply does not exist. PSG spent an amount on extending Mbappe's contract, which is probably more than the compensation for Haaland, and Real Madrid will also have to spend money to get him. Therefore, for all reasons, only one option is possible here - either Haaland or Mbappe.
2423  Local / Разное / Re: Форум недоступен из России on: October 12, 2023, 08:21:41 PM
~ А возможно что приближенные к управлению трафиком будут зарабатывать на услугах по предоставлению черного интернета. Ведь как у нас часто бывает, если какая-то ситуация для одних создает лишь проблемы, то для других является хорошей возможностью заработать.

Надо быть слишком безрассудным, чтобы пользоваться интернетом по черным схемам от поставщиков-контролеров. Сдадут вас потом (ради палки или чтобы вообще всё бабло сшибить какое возможно) и привет. Такие варианты сразу мимо.

А почему бы и не уехать насовсем, если есть возможность? Вы же не думаете, что в ближайшее время что-то лучше может стать, что лично вашу жизнь в РФ улучшит? Интернет привычный ломают, могилизация не прекращается, а людоедские законы штампуются каждый день.

Это точно, я вот пытаюсь "вообразить" идеальный вариант будущего для рфии и что-то из реального ничего в голову не лезет. Даже если завтра (из фантастического) прилетят инопланетяне и с собой заберут пыню и Ко, то остальное население останется - мусора, вояки, чинуши, парни из средних веков + мигранты оттуда же, пенсы. С таким людским капиталом эта страна обречена - все эти категории это не про создание/увеличение благосостояния или хотя бы адекватной жизни.
А из реального по факту имеем кроме бесконечных людоедских законов еще и управление "экономикой" в ручном режиме. Как говорится "конец немного предсказуем".
2424  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: October 12, 2023, 08:06:45 PM
I was amazed that in the first 10 games for Real Bellingham, being a midfielder, was able to break Ronaldo's record - he scored 10 goals and made 3 assists (for Ronaldo it was 10 goals plus one assist). It is obvious that this acquisition of Real was the right decision and perhaps a key one for many years to come. Next summer Real will receive either Mbappe or Haaland and I'm afraid to imagine what the trio Vinny - Bellingham - Mbappe/Haaland will be capable of  Roll Eyes

Real Madrid have found the perfect midfielder for their squad. He is capable of assisting as well as scoring when the team needs it. Bellingham would be a worthy replacement for Luka Modric. And if he continues like this, he will become the best midfielder in the world. Bellingham has the potential to overtake Manchester City's De Bruyne. Bellingham's fitness is good and his performances are very consistent.

Haaland is unlikely to join Madrid from Manchester City. At least as long as Guardiola is the manager of City, I think we will see Haaland with City. Madrid management will try their best to bring Mbappe into the team. Because they understand very well that they need an experienced striker. Otherwise it is very difficult to maintain consistency.

It seems to me that the experience of Holland and Mbappe is on the same level, the fact that the level of the French national team and the Norwegian national team is incomparable has nothing to do with club football. Guardiola's opinion doesn't matter, the compensation for Haaland is only 173 million and when compared with Mbappe's signing bonus and his salary, it may even be cheaper. In addition, Haaland looks more professional than Mbappe, who at some point definitely “caught star fever.”
2425  Local / Майнеры / Re: Майнинг здох? on: October 12, 2023, 07:02:46 PM
Чтобы корова давала больше молока...

Quote
Потребители на Дальнем Востоке заплатят за поставки электроэнергии в Китай

Не добившись от Китая повышения платы за электроэнергию, «Интер РАО» предложило правительству увеличить рентабельность своих поставок на китайский рынок за счет потребителей на Дальнем Востоке, рассказали «Коммерсанту» информированные источники.
https://www.moscowtimes.ru/2023/10/11/potrebiteli-na-dalnem-vostoke-zaplatyat-za-postavki-elektroenergii-v-kitai-a109579?ysclid=lnnjjujhac198321834

 Grin Статью гляньте, логика угарная, классический стиль из анекдота "нет это ты будешь меньше есть".
Население будут выжимать досуха, так что на майнинг я бы сейчас вообще не рассчитывал, майнер скоро вообще будет звучать как кулак/мажор/кабанчик (и никого не волнует что там рентабельность околонулевая) с соответствующими последствиями.
2426  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: October 12, 2023, 06:51:40 PM
Guirassy is literally keeping Stuttgart in top places in the standings for now. He has scored more than the half of the number of goals they have scored so far. But we don't know how much longer he can continue to do this work consistently. He is already surprising everyone a lot by showing a much more extra performance compared to the previous season. Reaching the same number of goals he scored last season in such a short time is a really big achievement for Guirassy.

Stuttgart had better develop a Plan B for his absence as well. If they get used to this too much they can struggle a lot when he is absent for some reason.  Sad

Stuttgart needs to prepare to sell him, this is the most realistic thing they can do  Grin
He is 27 and seems to be too late an age to dramatically improve his level, but on the other hand, he has never played in a top club and has not had the opportunities that strikers have with top partners. Who knows, maybe they will buy him in the winter, because he has one more plus - he did not play in the Champions League this season, so if any team decides to strengthen, they will be able to do so with the help of him.
2427  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: October 12, 2023, 06:43:10 PM
That's bad news for Norway, but there is one thing I never fully understood and maybe one of you guys can shed some light on the situation. I read that there are some backdoors for European national teams to also qualify via the so called Nations League. Does this mean that Norway still has a chance to make it to the UEFA Euro 2024 or is it game over for Norway at this point? All these different ways to qualify for the Euro are confusing as there are also play-offs from the group stage I think. Is Norway officially out (apart from the unlikely scenario that KTChampions outlined)?

Norway has a chance to get to the Euro if they win one of the 3 tickets that the losers will compete for in a separate tournament. To qualify for this tournament (for 12 participants) you must have success in the League of Nations, as I understand Norway has no problems with this. There is a very confusing system, but to win the tournament you literally need to win two games, details here:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UEFA_Euro_2024_qualifying_play-offs
2428  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: October 12, 2023, 06:33:26 PM
At the moment, the probability of Newcastle's victory is estimated by bookmakers as 1.84, and the probability of PSG's victory as 1.78. Reasonable odds for teams that are leading the group, but I don’t even know if these odds are profitable from a betting point of view. Dortmund is random, they can win against City, but they can also lose to Braga. PSG is more predictable, but Milan is a firm team and they can either hold on to a 0-0 draw or win in classic style 1-0. It is probably profitable to bet on Newcastle and Milan double chance.
Since Newcastle did very well against PSG in their home ground, I think there's a possibility that they'll still have a better performance as well against Dortmund, Dortmund have a better experience in the UCL than Newcastle but Eddie Howe's team is in a good shape and could take them by suprise like they did against PSG.

 I doubt if PSG would be able to beat Milan tough they've got a good chance, because Acmilan is not performing well in the UCL buy shouldn't be underestimated based on their current form and performance in the league matches, their squad is okay and they've got players that would trouble PSG, anyways I strongly believe Newcastle would reach the next round.

Milan has never won yet, but has never lost either. For the Italian team this is a “minimum successful plan” and so far Milan is fulfilling it. In Serie A they had one disastrous match against Inter, but all other games ended in victory for Milan. If we take PSG, they have a failure against Newcastle plus several failures in Ligue 1. I wouldn’t bet on PSG, maybe they are the favorites, but I have too many doubts about this game.
2429  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: October 12, 2023, 06:28:35 PM
Yes, when PSG "stalls", Ligue 1 becomes completely sad. At the moment, the team in first place has 62 percent of victories, and in second place it has 50 percent. Compared to other top leagues, this is a ridiculous indicator, given that PSG will rise and Monaco and Nice will fall, this indicator will be even more eloquent. Ligue 1, as always, is in the pocket of PSG, I think they can easily fully concentrate on the Champions League.

I had to quickly check what the numbers meant that you provided but yes you are right. However, for the sake of entertainment for the fans isn't it better this way? If PSG was once again at a 100% win rate it would already feel as if the league was over less than 10 games. That's what made this league often very boring. But I think it doesn't work that way when you say that PSG could fully concentrate on the Champions League. I believe that a team is always better off when they are challenged almost every week because they have one competitor who keeps up the pressure. When a team only feels pressure every few weeks, I think they are at a disadvantage compared to a team like Manchester City who feel pressure every week. They can cope with it differently and that is what is important in the decisive games in the Champions League. It is not like relaxation leads to better performance all the time.

From an entertainment point of view, I don’t think it really matters since this is definitely not the case like the year before last in Serie A, when 4 strong teams replaced each other like in a kaleidoscope and in the end Milan unexpectedly became the champion. After the 6th round, Brest was the leader... did anyone really think that “wow, Brest is strong this year they will compete for the title”? I doubt it, serious competition is interesting, and not just a crush of average teams which, due to the crisis of the real leader, are temporarily at the top.
As for the influence of competition in the national championship and the tone of the team, you are right, globally this is so. But if you look at individual segments, PSG is definitely in a more advantageous position than Arsenal, which today can play with Bayern in knockout match and three days later with City in a match "for 6 points".
2430  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +91147 units on: October 12, 2023, 05:08:57 PM
Could have sworn I posted this earlier today but I don't even see a copy in my drafts so, I have to back a fighting Scotland with several players at peak physical... the type of play Spain can slip up against. With odds like this, and a certainty Scotland wins more than 1 in 15 games, I say good value.

Perhaps confusing this settles before the previous pick, but I'm sure no one cares.

100 units at Sportsbet on Scotland to WIN vs Spain @15.30. Other odds: 12
Bet ID: 65270eb64149c60001a94bd8
Units advantage: 330

Running advantage after 18 bets: +1787 (+330)
All-time cumulative: +91,737
Running units after 16 bets (2W|14L): +184 (+702)

I am completely sure of this too. Scotland already have their ticket to the Euros in their pocket (I don't think they care about finishing exactly on first or second place in the group) so they can literally play however they want and there will be no pressure on them. For Spain the situation is a little worse and in the home game everyone expects only victory from them. Plus, given the increased randomness of national team games, odds of 15 look like a gift.
2431  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: October 11, 2023, 08:15:48 PM
Newcastle will host Dortmund, even though Newcastle is currently the favorite by the bookies. But that doesn't mean they will win the battle easily. Moreover, currently Dortmund is starting to get back on track. I'm quite sure that this match will be an exciting match. Even though Newcastle is playing at their own headquarters, Dortmund will provide resistance in the next meeting. This match has a chance of a draw. because, for me, Newcastle's performance is still unstable. If Dortmund is able to win the next meeting, that means they will also have 4 points. My hunch is that Dortmund will give us a surprise. However, what is certain is that we are waiting for this fight to take place.

As for the other match in the Group F phase, PSG will host Milan. The odds given by the bookie favor Paris Saint-Germain. no different from other matches in this group F phase, the home team is the favorite. For this match, I would favor PSG if Enrique didn't do something strange with his system and formation pattern. Apart from that, Assensio is ready to appear, either as a supersub player, or as a main starter as a center forward. Well, I suspect PSG will win this match. If this is the result, Milan's position is really cornered and on the verge of slipping in this group phase. but to be more certain, I will say once, we are waiting for this battle to be held on matchday 3 of the Champions League group phase.

At the moment, the probability of Newcastle's victory is estimated by bookmakers as 1.84, and the probability of PSG's victory as 1.78. Reasonable odds for teams that are leading the group, but I don’t even know if these odds are profitable from a betting point of view. Dortmund is random, they can win against City, but they can also lose to Braga. PSG is more predictable, but Milan is a firm team and they can either hold on to a 0-0 draw or win in classic style 1-0. It is probably profitable to bet on Newcastle and Milan double chance.
2432  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: October 11, 2023, 08:05:37 PM
But this is enough - to be better than your opponents. Bayern were terrible last year and won the “clumsily” title at the finish line, but in a few years no one will remember this and the title will be in history.
The prospects of PSG in the Champions League are doubtful, just like last year and the year before when, together with the star trio, they were knocked out in the 1/8 finals. But due to the randomness, it may turn out that this season will be more successful for them. At the moment, they need to qualify and then hope for luck in the draw.
I agree, the fact that they are only 2 points behind the leader, it shows that their "not doing so well" is still better than almost everyone, one more win and they are at the top and that should show you how good they are. I do not think that they are going to end up losing the league like many are claiming, I think they are going to do fine and we are not going to end up with anything crazy like that.

I know that it's going to be tough deal without a doubt, I do not think that they are going to win the title by like 20 points or something, but they are still by far the best team and even with all the things that has been going on with them, they still managed to keep it close so far and I bet they will take the lead soon.

Yes, when PSG "stalls", Ligue 1 becomes completely sad. At the moment, the team in first place has 62 percent of victories, and in second place it has 50 percent. Compared to other top leagues, this is a ridiculous indicator, given that PSG will rise and Monaco and Nice will fall, this indicator will be even more eloquent. Ligue 1, as always, is in the pocket of PSG, I think they can easily fully concentrate on the Champions League.
2433  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: October 11, 2023, 07:59:12 PM
If I understand correctly, taking into account the fact that Spain and Norway will have a head-to-head meeting in the penultimate round, there is simply no chance that both Spain and Norway will overtake Scotland. Impressive result from Scotland, but it's a shame that Norway (it's unlikely that Spain will fall that low) will go to play in the tournament for the losers, I don't think it will be easy there, so we may see the Euros without Haaland.

You are forgetting the fact that Spain has 4 matches remaining. If they win all these 4 matches, then they will end up with 21 points. On the other hand, Scotland has 3 matches remaining and they are currently at 15 points. So I would say that there is a good chance that Spain will be able to overtake Scotland. That said, I don't have much hope for Norway. They are at 7 points after 5 matches. Even if they win all the remaining matches, they may not be able to qualify for the main tournament. Hard luck for quality players such as Erling Håland and Martin Ødegaard.

No, I didn’t forget (how can i forget if the standings are in front of my face hehe). I gave my reasoning that both teams will overtake Scotland. This is unrealistic. Purely mathematically this is possible, but for this it is necessary for Scotland to score 0 points in the remaining 3 games, Norway to win all 3 games (including the game with Spain) and Spain to win the 3 remaining games. Any deviation from this plan automatically qualifies Scotland. I think if you bet ten bucks on such a general outcome, you can get an odds close to 1000  Wink
2434  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: October 11, 2023, 07:51:35 PM
Yep. It is quite difficult to expect other quotes when a team becomes champion 11 times in a row. If you look at it from this point of view, 1.25 can even be called a generous coefficient. However, if things continue the same way for Bayern, then I will begin to doubt them. They concede a lot of goals (in the Bundesliga this is not the case, but in the season on average yes) and so far their results are very far from the expected dominance.
As for Stuttgart, they have no chance in the long term, but it will be interesting how long they can stay at the top. Bayer is naturally the more serious contender.

Calling this a generous coefficient is a bit too much I think, but yes this is also owed to the fact that Dortmund is quite inconsistent at times. They have had some good results now for a while, but all too often they fall back into their weak game again and also make massive individual mistakes. As this will be punished by Bayern more than by any other team, I think the odds are about fair. Frankly, if I had to place a bet, I would probably go with a tiny bet on a Dortmund win although history proves me also wrong I think. I can't remember when Dortmund won their last game against Bayern in Munich.

I checked and Dortmund won their last game in 2018 at home against them. And it was in April 2014 when Dortmund won their last game in Munich 3-0. Ok, my hypothetical bet would likely fail Wink but that is why the odds are the way they are.

Why? Last year, Bavaria's quotes were consistently around 1.05-1.06 even when it was clear that it was in a deep crisis. I reason from this point of view; naturally, I will not make such a long-term bet for the sake of 25% (which, by the way, is not guaranteed). If I were to bet, it would be more likely on Bayer, Dortmund missed their ten-year chance last year, now they have to wait another 10 years  Grin
2435  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: October 11, 2023, 07:46:55 PM
Bellingham in Real Madrid is something out of this world, he is having so much luck asides of his mega skills. I dont remember a transfer so good for real since Cristiano Ronaldo one. Plus in this time where any team paid quirky ammount of money for random players or youths stars and ended up being a piece of shit, this seems to be not that case, and he is making a super season.

I was amazed that in the first 10 games for Real Bellingham, being a midfielder, was able to break Ronaldo's record - he scored 10 goals and made 3 assists (for Ronaldo it was 10 goals plus one assist). It is obvious that this acquisition of Real was the right decision and perhaps a key one for many years to come. Next summer Real will receive either Mbappe or Haaland and I'm afraid to imagine what the trio Vinny - Bellingham - Mbappe/Haaland will be capable of  Roll Eyes
2436  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: October 11, 2023, 04:35:53 PM
I read in the news today that City still cannot convince Haaland to sign a new contract with an increased release amount and a longer term one. At the moment, his release clause is 173 million and if you look at other transfers, it doesn’t look too expensive or above the market. I have a suspicion that if Real doesn't get Mbappe on good terms, they will buy Haaland. An excellent opportunity for Real Madrid to have a strong position in negotiations with Mbappe.
2437  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: October 11, 2023, 04:29:51 PM
If I remember correctly, before the start of the season when City’s hegemony was undisputed, City’s quotes were approximately 1.7 (or slightly less). Now, after KDB was injured and does not play, after City, after the easiest part of the championship, found themselves only in 3rd place, their quotes have fallen only quite a bit. This seems illogical to me. There are games ahead with direct competitors, and based on the logic of the bookmakers, what should be the odds, for example, for the game City - Liverpool? 1.5 - 3.5 - 6.4? LOL
If so then of course i will bet against City.

If those are the odds then it is logical to bet against them.They are showing signs of weakness in these last two games that they lost in a row and add to them their loss in the cup with Newcastle things does not look well for them.They are lucky that they have 2 weeks time because of International break during this week otherwise I don't know what would have happened next.

For Liverpool though I am quite a bit disappointed as they were winning against Brighton and could not hold up and if they cannot hold up against Brighton then most likely they cannot hold up against City.

But if you think this way, it turns out that if City could not resist Wolves and Arsenal, then they will not be able to resist Liverpool  Cheesy

Is that the outrights for winning the league?  I'd say the books got it right.  City's squad is deep and that will come into play when the other clubs start fading in the final stretch of the season.  Remember last year when everybody thought that Arsenal was gonna get the EPL trophy?  City just kept at it and won the League, the FA Cup and the UCL.  And if anything I'd say gamble on Klopp and Liverpool at that line.  They have the grit to push on through.  If they could get it together, they could win imho.

Yes. Yes, everyone knows the advantages of the City, but they also have disadvantages. And I don't think the difference between City and everyone else is the same as in the Bundesliga where Bayern can win the title by giving their opponents almost any head start at the start of the tournament. There are decisive games ahead, let's see if the bookmakers are right.
2438  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: October 11, 2023, 04:22:14 PM
There's a new story at Man United. Casemiro is now seen as the team's weakest link. However, being the weakest link doesn't mean he's out of position. Casemiro is a good player, but age is catching up. He's giving his best, but he's slowing down, struggling to cover ground quickly or make swift decisions. Consequently, he's committing more fouls.
Every player has their ups and downs. Currently, he's not in top form, but it's hope that he'll bounce back.

Casemiro is a defensive midfielder, not a playmaker. Just because Ten Hag is bad at using the tools at his disposal does not mean that the tools are bad, but rather that Ten Hag is a fool. In addition, the fouls he commits do not mean that he is to blame for them, for example recently when Onana made a bad pass and Casemiro had to make a foul to save the team from a goal, it was Onana's fault and not Casemiro.
2439  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: SINBAD.IO Mixer October Bitcoin Price Prediction Challenge on: October 11, 2023, 04:10:10 PM
Prediction 1: $26,768
bech32 address: bc1q0cahcke77x2pvcy59p5kuppyjryz5y8a23qe20
2440  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: If we lose in gambling, what do we need to do? on: October 11, 2023, 04:06:28 PM
Gambling is a place to spend money, although many gamblers consider casinos to be a place to earn money. But in reality, more gamblers lose their money at casinos or gambling sites. So I think all of us here probably have almost the same experience, namely losing a lot of money gambling

I also lost money because I lost on gambling, but maybe not that much. But I know there are people who spend a lot of money for gambling. In your opinion, what should we do if we have lost a lot of money on gambling? Do we keep gambling to win so we can cover up previous losses? or stop and work normally and leave gambling? Or do you have other suggestions?

I think we should take out the maximum loan from the bank and try to recoup. If this does not help, you need to borrow money from everyone you can (even from criminals) and try to win back again  Grin

Of course I'm joking. But it seems to me that after we lost big, it’s too late to think about what needs to be done - a much smarter move would be to think about options before we lose big. Those who are more or less smart will protect themselves already at this stage by simply refusing to play for money that is beyond their means.
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