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1461  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: November 30, 2023, 09:24:21 PM
Liverpool played well in the first half, they were able to score two goals already which has made the work easy for them to finish on top of the group ahead of Toulouse.

The group E team matches is interesting to watch, because as expected, Liverpool is leading after winning todays match while Toulouse if they were able to win today against Union Saint, they will qualify to the round of 32.

The rather predictable victory of Liverpool, in my opinion nothing interesting. Another expected victory in the game Hacken vs Bayer. Now Bayer is the leader with a score of 1-0 and if it wins, then it will be the fifth victory in five group stage games and their general victorious series will become even longer. I am impressed.
It is strange that Roma is experiencing problems with Servett (currently score is 1-1) I think they are interested in taking first place in the group and avoid additional games.
1462  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: November 30, 2023, 09:09:52 PM
Even the Greek national team won the Euro (or in the past you can remember Denmark), has Germany really become weaker than such tenacious but average teams? I doubt it. Belgium had a whole golden generation (which is about to end or has already ended, according to the KDB), but they did not win anything at all. A lot is decided by randomness and if tomorrow Germany wins gold they will begin to praise it to the skies even though it will be the same team as today.

Not an apple-to-apple comparison. Greece might have win the Euro Cup in the past. But they never managed to get to the top-5 list in FIFA rankings. The peak they reached was when they were ranked #8 in 2008. On the other hand, Germany was always regarded as one of the powerhouses in football along with England and France in Europe. Even as late as 2018, they were the no.1 ranked team as per FIFA. From that position, their rapid downfall has been nothing short of unbelievable. And currently they are not even in top-10 (current rank is #16 as per FIFA).

Do you want to say that Germany has already fallen below the "that" Greece and so low that they cannot claim the title? My point of view is precisely that although Germany has fallen, but from the area where it now also sometimes champions comes out. In addition, we must expect a return to the average from Germany. Plus, taking into account the fact that the number of shitty tournaments has increased and led to the fact that the ratings have lost their at least some accuracy, I would not rely on them.
1463  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: November 30, 2023, 08:59:25 PM
Leading the Brazilian national team now is a win-win option for any coach - they are a strong team, but for various reasons (and because of randomness) they have not won anything for a long time. With a little luck, Brazil could well take the title. Even a third-rate Copa America would be a great achievement, and if Brazil became world champions again the coach would be idolized. By the way, this is a kind of gambling, but gambling with a positive mathematical expectation.
Any decisions in the football are gambling. People can't really sure if coach or players were taking the right decision. This is why we are calling it as speculation. Real madrid is still preparing a new offer for ancelotti to stay. He may also try to cancel his movement toward brazil national club.
I would prefer to see ancellotti to stay even longer in real madrid rather than seeing him leave from el real. Ancellotti has got its perfect squad again. This coach is so amazing like pep guardiola or jose mourinho.

We shall stop to dream him to go to the brazil. Ancellotti will stay here for another season. Real madrid's offer will make brazil unable to hijack ancellotti from the club. Ancellotti loves madrid and he is also willing to stay.

As reported by https://www.reuters.com/sports/soccer/ancelotti-stays-silent-amid-brazil-v-real-madrid-tug-war-2023-11-28/

Ancellotti is still silent regarding his future but im sure that he will not be going there. Ancellotti is stay in madrid.

Maybe any solution is gambling and there is always a place of chance, but some decisions will bring you profit with a probability of 10% and others with a probability of 90%. Plus there is a difference in prizes and it seems to me that in this case the prize is very large. As for Anchalotti, I think no one doubts his qualifications, it is only not clear to me why you mentioned Guardiola with Mourinho and Ancelotti. The last two proved their qualifications in difficult situations, but Guardiola initially received gold squads and even after that he flooded everything with money.
1464  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io 🥊 Garcia vs Duarte 🥊 (Saturday, 2 December) on: November 30, 2023, 08:50:21 PM
1. Duarte
2. UD
3. 0
1465  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io - UFC on ESPN 52 - Multi Master Challenge - (Saturday, 2 December) on: November 30, 2023, 08:46:17 PM
13. Beneil Dariush
12. Bobby Green
11. Deiveson Figueiredo
10. Sean Brady
9. Punahele Soriano
8. Clay Guida
7. Julia Avila
6. Cody Brundage
5. Drakkar Klose
4. Melquizael Costa
3. Rodolfo Bellato
2. Jared Gooden
1. Veronica Hardy

NOT go the Full Distance 5
1466  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: November 29, 2023, 10:01:41 PM
Germany's results at the last major tournaments look terrible, primarily because the bar for expectations from them is very high. Yes, they are not the same as they were before, but they are definitely in the top group. By the way, any team from the top group can fail - for example, France, being world champions, could not beat Switzerland in the 1/8 at Euro 2020 and dropped out of the tournament.

As for strength, here are the official games in the League of Nations: Germany has only one defeat in the group with Italy and England (from Hungary haha). Considering that England are now among the favorites in every tournament, this is significant.

The Germany that we used to love, the current Germany is not the same anymore. Yes, there are a few players who are really good in the squad. But that is not going to be enough for any team to win a major trophy. And obviously, the current Germany team has some problems. To put it simply, the team is just not working. And the performance of the Germany team has definitely not been up to the mark. That's even if we do not count the friendly matches.

Even the Greek national team won the Euro (or in the past you can remember Denmark), has Germany really become weaker than such tenacious but average teams? I doubt it. Belgium had a whole golden generation (which is about to end or has already ended, according to the KDB), but they did not win anything at all. A lot is decided by randomness and if tomorrow Germany wins gold they will begin to praise it to the skies even though it will be the same team as today.
1467  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: November 29, 2023, 09:56:03 PM
~
Going to Manchester United will only tarnish his good name as one of the best coaches in the world and Ancelotti should consider his decision before going any further. Being in Brazil would be very good for him and currently Brazil needs a very experienced coach like him. After his term as Real Madrid coach ends, he will head to Brazil and I believe in that.

Leading the Brazilian national team now is a win-win option for any coach - they are a strong team, but for various reasons (and because of randomness) they have not won anything for a long time. With a little luck, Brazil could well take the title. Even a third-rate Copa America would be a great achievement, and if Brazil became world champions again the coach would be idolized. By the way, this is a kind of gambling, but gambling with a positive mathematical expectation.
1468  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: November 29, 2023, 09:03:22 PM
Liverpool still have obstacles and it's not easy for Liverpool to get the trophy anyway, if Liverpool don't get obstacles then why Liverpool can be defeated by Toulouse. So yes, although Liverpool can still be confirmed to qualify for the next round but still, there will always be obstacles and unexpected results that Liverpool will get. I think, many people overestimate Liverpool and they think Liverpool will easily get the trophy. But in reality, to get a trophy anywhere it is still not easy, because even though Liverpool are the favorite team but it still does not guarantee 100% Liverpool will get the trophy easily.

The trend is that the winners of the Europa League are no-name (no offense, I’m comparing with top clubs) clubs: the last three years the trophy was won by: Sevilla, Eintracht Frankfurt, Villarreal. Four years ago Sevilla was also the winner, but then they were not such a weak team as they are now. All this is due to the fact that even if a strong club gets into the Europa League, such a “European Cup” is not a priority. It is obviously more important for Liverpool to try to overtake City in the Premier League than to win the Europa League, so it is wrong to argue that since Liverpool is stronger on paper than the other participants, it will take the cup.
1469  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: November 29, 2023, 08:53:49 PM
Maybe Inter can take Serie A and the Italian Cup, but it’s hard for me to imagine what kind of draw should be in the playoffs for Inter to reach the Champions League final again. Maybe this year the line-up of contenders is a little weaker than last year (there are no Liverpool and Chelsea), but it’s hard to believe that Inter will be as lucky as last year, and with any strong opponent from the big three, Inter will be an underdog. Even now in the lightweight group they are in second place and all their victories are with a minimum score.
Inter's performance in the Italian Serie A and the Champion League could be a pointer that they still have better quality than last season. They are still tough teams in the UCL but I think Inter has what it takes to still go to the finals. Their journey to the finals last season cannot be seen as just luck but they put in some good effort. Real Sociedad, FC Red Bull Salzburg and S.L. Benfica are not weak teams. Salzburg is topping the Austrian Bundesliga, while Benfica is number one in the Liga Portugal, so Inter should be commended for surviving in Group D.
~

 Grin 0-3 after the first 45 minutes against Benfica (which scored exactly zero points before this game) and it looks like first place will go to Sociedad, and Inter risks getting to the top team right away in the 1/8. Despite local successes, Inter is still far from the European top clubs, and although theoretically they can win the Champions League, the likelihood of this is very small.
1470  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 29, 2023, 08:43:22 PM
Galatasaray's main advantage is that United only need a win today, so they won't be able to play purely defensively (as they have often done this season). The game will be very random, but due to the fact that United is forced to try to win at any cost, there is hope that this will not be such a dull game as basically all of their recent games (even successful ones).

I would still not say that the performance of Manchester United has improved. Because they have been able to win three matches, but the opponent that they were facing, were not world-class, to be honest. So I will still wait and see how they perform in some more upcoming matches. If they can win five out of the next seven matches and draw one, I will say that they have improved. But until then, the way Manchester United has been so consistent in this season I am not going to take any chances and make any statement about them getting better interrupts of performance, especially long-term.

Quite right - they were lucky to beat weak opponents, but today they just failed to beat Galatasaray in a game of life and death. And we see all the same weaknesses as before: the incomprehensible actions of Ten Hag, the leaky Onana and the inability of United to play adequately for all 90 minutes. With all due respect to Galatasaray, in the Premier League they would not be contenders for the top 4 and United will not be contenders for this this season either.
1471  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: November 29, 2023, 08:35:38 PM
Galatasaray - Manchester United ended with score of 3-3.
Although Manchester United led in the first half, but Galatasaray was able to equal the score in the second half. I thought Manchester United would win when they could increase their score in the second half to 3, but unfortunately what happened at there? Galatasaray was able to score two goals in 10 minutes. Ten Hag and his squad will go home with a deep of sadness.

I think, now the situation is really difficult for Ten Hag. Especially on matchday 6, Manchester United will face against Bayern Munich. Although that match will be played at their home, but I am not too sure Manchester United can secure full points, and seems like the possibility of qualifying is very small for the Red Devils.

Coincidence or not, the game was broken by Ten Hag's substitutions, I don't know why he decided to make a double substitution when United were in the lead? Well, Onana is most likely to blame for the second goal.
United can now only hope for the Europa League, as in order to qualify for the 1/8 there must be too many other favorable results for United, and I am not even sure that United can beat Bayern for which this game will mean nothing.
1472  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How Many Bets to Know How Good Enough You Are? on: November 29, 2023, 06:11:30 PM
A 60% win ratio might be deceiving.... let's say 60% of those wins was on bets with low risk and only 40% of those were on high risk bets, then that statistics means nothing. Anyone can cherry pick low risk bets and achieve a high win ratio... but the true professional can take medium and high risk bets and continuously have wins on them.

The ability to spot good bets on medium to high risk bets, come from proper research and lots of experience. You should also be consistent in a large variety of Sports .....not just in one of two of the Sports that you love.  Wink

I completely agree with the first statement (regarding the importance of such statistics and cherrypiking) and disagree with the second (about consecutive victories). It is impossible to constantly receive winnings at any odds since the dispersion of the result can be large, only the result over the distance matters. Roughly speaking, if there is a profit at a distance of 1000 bets, then this is a confirmed success, but if at a shorter distance we see profits or losses, then it is too early to judge.
1473  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: November 29, 2023, 06:05:04 PM
Juventus without doubt stands a better chance among other top Italian teams that are trying to overtake Inter Milan in the league standings because of the fact that they're currently not playing in any European competition but that doesn't automatically mean that Inter can't hold on as the league leaders till the end of the season if they truly want to achieve that feat despite their involvement in the UEFA Champions League competition.

In 2010, a Jose Mourinho's Inter Milan won the UEFA Champions League title, the Italian Serie title as well as the Italian Cup and the current Simone Inzaghi's squad can still replicate the same result this season if they work very hard for it.

Maybe Inter can take Serie A and the Italian Cup, but it’s hard for me to imagine what kind of draw should be in the playoffs for Inter to reach the Champions League final again. Maybe this year the line-up of contenders is a little weaker than last year (there are no Liverpool and Chelsea), but it’s hard to believe that Inter will be as lucky as last year, and with any strong opponent from the big three, Inter will be an underdog. Even now in the lightweight group they are in second place and all their victories are with a minimum score.
1474  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: November 29, 2023, 05:55:27 PM
Leipzig celebrated or satisfied too early and then it make them get comeback by Manchester City, if they're focus control the ball possession, they will win. Only the Leipzig's strikers were played good, while the rest almost not giving any contribution.

It's nice to see Foden can play as good as his last 2 years.

It is naive to think that Leipzig could dry up the game and bring it to victory. Last year (and by the way, in the first game of this season when City beat Leipzig in Leipzig with a score of 3-1), in the return game City showed the balance of power in this pair (although in the first game the score was a draw). Initially, City were not in the mood for this game (because they had qualified a long time ago), but after 0-2 they just turned on 50% of what they could and made a comeback. But in fact, there was nothing interesting here since both teams had already received a ticket to the 1/8 even before this meeting.
1475  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 29, 2023, 05:43:45 PM
Manchester United do look improved, but at the same time, they also have performances that are not predictable at all, or in other words, their consistency is still questionable. Galatasaray is a club that cannot be underestimated, especially when they can beat Mamnchester United in the first leg, it is a signal that they are still very likely to beat Manchester United again in their second meeting this time. Moreover, as you said, this will be a home match for Galatasaray, so they have an advantage over Manchester United.

Galatasaray's main advantage is that United only need a win today, so they won't be able to play purely defensively (as they have often done this season). The game will be very random, but due to the fact that United is forced to try to win at any cost, there is hope that this will not be such a dull game as basically all of their recent games (even successful ones).
1476  Other / Archival / Re: Таблица Подписных Кампаний за Bitcoin on: November 29, 2023, 05:31:19 PM
~
Upd. Ага, больше подробностей подоспело. На сайте нидерландской Службы налоговой разведки и расследований FIOD есть-таки статья о конфискации сайта Sinbad.io, а также о том, что ещё 27 ноября были конфискованы серверы миксера в Нидерландах и Финляндии. На сайте Департамента казначейства США также есть публикация о том, что они намерены противодействовать деятельности миксера Синбад.

Я так понимаю от конфискации сети биткоина (как бы это странно ни звучало) правительства отделяет лишь техническая невозможность такого поступка. Отсюда вопрос - неужели до сих пор нет децентрализованных серверов? Еще с ICO слышу о чем только ни децентрализованном - и о мессенджерах, и о казино, и о видеостриминге даже, но реально востребованная вещь до сих пор не реализована  Huh
1477  Local / Oбcyждeниe Bitcoin / Re: NFT на биткоине: BRC-20 on: November 29, 2023, 05:20:07 PM
То есть они тоже записывают картинку в блокчейн?
DIBA в своём FAQ-е пишут, что картинки хранятся в Arweave Permaweb, а в блокчейне Bitcoin хранятся только хеши от картинок. То есть, ничего принципиально нового по сравнению с классическими NFT они не предлагают.

Хм... а есть НФТ которые именно записывают картинку в блокчейн? Я в технические детали не вдавался и был уверен что ординалсы это вот уже оно (так как опять же из новостей слышал что они съедают много места). Неужели опять ссылка на ссылку и в итоге в "хранилище" может быть мусор (либо ничего не быть)?
1478  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 28, 2023, 11:21:37 PM
Funny title quotes:

Manchester City 1.10

Arsenal 1.83

Liverpool 2.38

Newcastle United 9.00

Tottenham Hotspur 11.00

I get the impression that the bookmakers are in cahoots with the City to morally destroy all other competitors. How can their chances be 1.1 if they are not even in first place now and we are not in the Bundesliga where Bayern can have such quotations even if they are fifth? This season, City is not doing as well as the previous one, at least they don’t look stronger, but the way the bookmakers rate them makes me feel like I don’t know something.
1479  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [banned mixer] 🦁 Fantasy Premier League Pool ⚽ Discussion Thread on: November 28, 2023, 11:15:22 PM
I totally forgot to check this week my fantasy team, but ended up being a very good one week for me, cutting a little bit the gap with some of the guys uppon me. It was a very smart move to put Sterling in the eleven starter and cut down one forward like Darwin Nuñez who played against City with low chance of score.

But i need some big points to catch the front wagon.

On the contrary, I made some small changes (I don’t see the point in paying points for additional transfers) and seemed to be happy with the team, but in this round I scored less than my usual result of 50 points.
I don’t know what can pull me out of the bottom half of the table, although theoretically speaking, even gap even between first and last place is not so great that it no longer has a chance.
1480  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: November 28, 2023, 11:06:43 PM
Group F already has one representative to qualify for the round of 16 and that belongs to Dortmund. Now there is one place left for one more team to qualify for the round of 16 and this opportunity will most likely belong to the other 3 teams below Dortmund ranking. With the draw achieved by Psg in the match against Newcastle United, it certainly gives AC Milan one leg of hope if they can take advantage of the last opportunity when they face Newcastle United.

I think if in the last match Dortmund is able to beat PSG then there is no chance for PSG if the match of Newcastle United vs AC Milan can be won by this one team then PSG will be eliminated early in this tournament. I think in Group F 3 the teams below Dortmund still have one lucky chance to change their fate in the last match of the second leg. I am more confident that Dortmund and Newcastle United will qualify and PSG will join the European League.

I think you should place a bet if you are confident in this result, since the odds for such an outcome will definitely be more than 10. It is unlikely that bookmakers rate PSG weaker than Dortmund + Dortmund has no motivation to achieve victory at any cost (PSG draws are enough). Plus, don’t forget that in the Newcastle - Milan game there is approximately a 25-30% chance that the game will end in a draw. Taken together, these factors will force bookmakers to give very good odds that PSG will not qualify.
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