It is like treating adults as either babies or slaves. Grow up, take your own responsibility and make your own mistakes! Is freedom so scary or all this is just to justify Putin?
Is adult Ukrainian free to oppose Zelensky, or adult Russian free to oppose Putin, or adult Snowden free to expose his country crimes? I thought so
On the home nations in UK ... belonging to UK is pretty much voluntary - as it should be everywhere.
Many in North Ireland would disagree 1 - Yes, in fact there are many who openly critizice the government, even in Youtube. 2 - No, adult Ruzzian are not free to oppose Putin, that is my point, they should and that is why Ukraine should not be under the Moscow regime. 3 - No, Snowden is not free to speak because he signed off not to do so. He is a spy, so not free to divulge any information (criminal or not) he got access in that capacity. Many in Norther Ireland would disagree and many other would not. Scotland had their referendum and many overseas territories opted for independence without any fuzz. |
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Branko, they want to try something else. They do not want Moscow and a group of kleptocrats ruling them by dictate... you know, bad experiences in the past with other leaders (Ruzzian or not) and the like. Little matters whatever map you show, people in Ukraine no longer accept being the serf / expendable meat / ready to be starved livestock of Moscovians.
It is not them Branko, it is you, they found a new friend and seem to be ok with hanging out for a while and perhaps marry later.
Nation is not biological but sociological construct..."people" rarely know what they want, its usually other factors that push us in some direction, otherwise we would have much more countries, like Wales, Scotland, England, Ireland and maybe even few more just on that single island https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2023/09/the_devolution_of_zelensky.htmlSo much stuff here to go over. So, for you nations do not have much to do with people - how is that? a sociological construct that exists on thin air regardless of the ones that are actually living in it by some "outside" influence? A construct requires components, a sociological construct requires humans (you do not seem to like "people"??) with shared culture, values and beliefs to underpin it. e.g. Monarchy was a "construct" until some "people" decided to cut a few heads and remove it. Overall, you deny people the ability to guide that social superstructure. On what basis? And if it is not going to be the people of a country guiding it, then it has to be some leader out there "that knows what is best for you, regardless of your own view"? which obviously implies that it is ok to use a gun, because "people do not know" and someone has to decide for them", quite convenient to justify a war - so Ukrainians are killed "for their own best interest", since "they do not know what they want". It is like treating adults as either babies or slaves. Grow up, take your own responsibility and make your own mistakes! Is freedom so scary or all this is just to justify Putin? And certainly, given a few choices, people do judge what they think is correct and do know what they want, and most of us can judge quite well how we want to move forward and if I or we make mistakes so be it, we still are free to correct them. I do not recognise someone else's general ability "to know best" (I do respect expertise and knowledge in a field, not "God given missions"). As I suspected, there is something more at play on this war than a few territories. On the home nations in UK ... belonging to UK is pretty much voluntary - as it should be everywhere. The concept of nation nowadays is extremely blurry - there are different grades of belonging and union, all of them legitimate if that is what the humans (better?) living in there decide. |
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So, Ukraine gets invaded by Russia twice during WW1
Really? Can you show me on map where that invasions happened  Branko, they want to try something else. They do not want Moscow and a group of kleptocrats ruling them by dictate... you know, bad experiences in the past with other leaders (Ruzzian or not) and the like. Little matters whatever map you show, people in Ukraine no longer accept being the serf / expendable meat / ready to be starved livestock of Moscovians. It is not them Branko, it is you, they found a new friend and seem to be ok with hanging out for a while and perhaps marry later. |
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The russia ukraine war it's about Europe it's about economy of Europe people been hidden the real truth.
The eu is finished allready and germany france cant hold up eu economy alone it's all very dangerous for banks the european banks must start buy btc gold Silver Asap in order to survive.
The greece Also not interested to cooperation with germany anymore so EU countries intetest Will be divided.
Eu people banks and countries Will fight with each others whos got most of the btc and gold
Funny times coming soon get ready get your popcorn and Enjoy the show i stay home and watch this show as Entertainment a lot fun things to to be happening soecially in Europe
Oh... that is exactly what this forum needs... someone who supposedly has a "better grasp of reality" and comes here to enlighten us about "the hidden truth" that is only know to the few chosen (him / herself). Look dude, anyone can read a newspaper and see that Germany is having a hard time growing, as is the US and Europe in general and anyone can get an even older newspaper and understand that Greece is in Europe because it is worse to be outside. It is not only "not hidden" it is more like published all over every single day. The rest of your claims are of someone who is trying to interpret this without the minimally required understanding of the world. Just go and pretend to be smart somewhere else, here posts like this shit are a cent per 100 units. |
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Wow, so you mean to tell me that you submitted your gambling wallet address to your campaign manager when he requested your payment address? Sorry to say this but that wasn’t a wise decision.
No, that's wrong to assume bro.. haven't you seen casinos in here that make weekly payments to Thier employee's casino wallet?? (On the same casino?)?... I think that was the case here.
You made a very big mistake to have let that happen OP... If you really wanted to gather up them funds for HODLing purposes, then it should be outta whatever wallet it was deposited before sunrise (maybe before you begin thinking of wagering some part of it). There's a tendency that this keeps persisting, unless you learn to stay put. Sandra 🧑🦰 I see very little benefit to pass a gambling account unless you are using an auto-gambling service for ... let's call it "tax purposes". So, at least now you have learnt the lesson and also contributed to others learning about it, which is actually and undoubtedly a very helpful thing. Now, time to go back to the good practices and simply do something that takes so little and is so easy as opening an account. You may find tutorials all over the forum  |
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The evidence seemed to be overwhelming enough for the judge to take the choice and not even required a full trial for it (I did not know that was possible in America, I thought you always needed to be judged in front of a jury if you did not take a plea deal).
There are jury trials and there are bench (judge) trials. Varies by jurisdiction but if both options are available (which is not always, e.g. for some minor misdemeanor crimes, or divorce cases, etc you may not even have the jury option) then usually the defendant can choose. I guess in this case Trump or his lawyers thought it would be easier to deal with a judge and chose a bench trial. It wasn't a bench trial, I don't think, and it wasn't something Trump agreed to allow to happen. Since it's a non federal civil case there is no right to a jury trial. If it were a criminal case, or a federal civil case, he would have a right. But instead the fraud will just be an established fact that the jury will consider when deciding on what the damages are at the trial. There was overwhelming evidence, and the only defense attempts were nonsensical, so there was really nothing to deliberate when it comes to whether or not Trump is a fraud. The same thing happened in Rudys slander case but for another reason. He didn't turn over the documents and other evidence he was legally required to, so the judge found him liable and the trial will proceed to determine damages. But that belongs in the Kraken thread. It seems that Trump himself wanted to get a jury - or that is the official version, because getting jury would mean a much wider spread of news and there is always a chance of getting a massive punitive damage. 250 million is a significant amount. Trump real assets are unknow - which funnily enough is linked to his fraud - but a quarter of a billion is not a slap in the hand, is more like cutting a finger. I wonder if he is going to be able to carry business using a loophole, because he has lost his licence to. https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-no-jury-bench-trial-ny-fraud-case-paperwork-2023-10?r=US&IR=T#:~:text=Trump%20isn't%20getting%20a,failed%20to%20ask%20for%20one&text=Former%20President%20Donald%20Trump%20was,correctly%20fill%20out%20court%20paperwork.Trump isn't getting a jury in his $250 million civil fraud trial because his lawyers failed to ask for one. Former President Donald Trump was entitled to receive a jury trial in his New York civil fraud case. And while he himself wanted a trial by jury, his attorneys didn't correctly fill out court paperwork. |
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Thats not the meaning behind my words...the meaning was "GET THE HELL OUT OF UKRAINE AND SOLVE YOUR POVERTY PROBLEMS, LET RUSSIANS
GET INDOOR PLUMBING INSTEAD BEEN FORCED TO GO TO WAR"
That's a new one... Ukrainians forced Russians to not have indoor plumbing? Does that qualify as biological warfare? The narrative is that Putin was "forced" to go to war. However it is still unclear how was that the only option left. That is, what would have been so terrible and devastating for Ruzzia is they had simply continued being a good commercial partner to Europe and an active responsible actor in the world. My answer is that Ruzzia does not want to grow as other countries by growing the economy, improving productivity, creating markets, technology or specialising ... oh, or plumbing to avoid gonadic freezing injuries. Ruzzia grows by grabbing. Thus, if they run the risk of not being able to kleptokrat Ukraine... they are "forced" to war. It is a systemic issue, it is far easier to "grab" a mine and get paid for the resources that actually develop anything useful for the world that someone would be happy to pay for. Just look at Ruzzias exports: Weapons, grain, oil, ... nothing that you have to "create". Russia's main exports are: fuels and energy products (63 percent of total shipments, of which crude oil and natural gas accounted for 26 percent and 12 percent respectively); metals (10 percent); does people realize that Wagner used to get paid a percent of the income generated from mines they were able to "grab" (in Africa or anywhere else BTW). https://www.forbes.com/sites/anafaguy/2023/06/25/where-does-wagner-get-its-money-how-russias-mercenaries-turned-rebels-earned-millions-from-contracts-and-mining-deals/ How Russia’s Mercenaries-Turned-Rebels Earned Millions From Contracts And Mining Deals. This is Ruzzias "growth" model. |
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I have seen at least two major content creators that speak about the war in Ukraine, with bias to Ukraine to be honest, complaining about their content being considered "copyrighted", "unsuitable" and either banned, de-monetised or both. One of the guys tried simply reading a nursery rhyme - this is a video of someone simply reading a popular poem for 5 minutes - and got it de-monetised / banned. Another guy got a "copyright infringement" for a video in which he shows his webpage and speaks about the content he creates. No music in the background, no videos not images other than generic pictures of stuff. If anyone in youtube is reading this, please know that your system is being used to stop freedom of speech and stealing money. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2FOGXumeXd8This seems to be the way you can actually help (other than paying the guy or subscribe, etc...) https://youtu.be/2FOGXumeXd8?t=264 |
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It's something that I've talked about for years on this forum, and I've never seen someone from my country live who won the lottery jackpot in my country, I've seen them talk about the first name of the winner on TV, but they hide the person's second name and hide the face of the person who won the maximum prize, but strangely enough, when someone wins another prize in another competition, for example a person wins the prize for a new car which the price of the car costs around 50,000$, all TV channels and newspapers show the winner's face and his full name and the face of the winner's family and where he lives, in other words, everyone has no doubts about whether there really was a real winner
This is because when they show the winner's house, the competition organizers will deliver the new car to the winner's house and the neighbors also appear in the news to serve as witnesses. This shows proof that there really was a real winner. but strangely, in the case of the lottery winner in my country, they don't show the person's full name and face, they don't show where that person lives and they don't go to that person's house. see that many times the winners of the lottery jackpot in my country win when the maximum amount has not yet been reached
win when the value is still very low, something like $20,000, so it doesn't make any sense to hide the face of the lottery winner who won $20,000, hide his full name, his real address, his neighbors and relatives when every month many people they win new cars in many competitions in my country and the price of the car costs above 35000$, and see that the winners of the cars even show their entire neighborhood and house and interview their neighbors, this to me could mean that in the case of lottery the winner is fake or there is no winner, it could be a scheme that makes people spend money every day buying tickets and no one wins. That's why I don't play the lottery, I don't trust the lottery
It would be interesting to know where you live, because it seems that there are huge differences on how lotteries are conducted from country to country. In my case, I don't only know a couple of cases of people who won the Euromillions and are now rich (2nd grade relationship, "friends of friends", unfortunately... otherwise they might have a detail with me  ), but a few years ago a big prize of the Christmas lottery was also paid in the city I live in, and many acquaintances of my neighbourhood won like 250k per ticket, not enough to make you rich, but life changing if well managed. The basis are similar, you need a big big price that pops the eyes of the users, so that they ignore the fact that the probability is so low that it could take them 10 lives of betting to get a minimal chance of getting it. So, local lotteries have only success following either these rules or being based on offering side social benefits or charity giveaways, etc. |
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(coincidentally ~30 million Russians, the equivalent of the entire population of Texas, have no indoor plumbing).
That's about 10 million less than people who would starve to death in USA if not for food stamps Whenever you post something I can't help but imagine you as the guy in this poster:  But hey, if you aspire to poop in an outhouse just because 'murricans have food stamps, who am I to argue. The issue here is that some people in this thread are somehow thinking of Ruzzia as the USSR - the soviet times. It is well said that the USSR was mostly dysfunctional, but it did have at least, in a very general sense, some level of interest in the wellbeing of Ruzzians. People will queue for potatoes, but they would mostly have at least one potato per person and a place to sleep, with another 4 of their family, but warm. Am I may hear some ask how that can be "good", and my answer is that before they had the Tzars, which did not give much of a deer's excrement for the general population, so, believe it or not, an improvement. Now, we have... Putin & Co. Which effectively do not give a deer's poo for the general wellbeing of the population, but have certainly kept the highly effective and non-at-all dysfunctional mass control systems of the communism. Kremlin tea or window fly experience are only for the chosen few, but filtration and torture are for the many. As o now, people may speak about the massive traffic jams or the closing of airports, but they dare not speak in public of the "SVO" as they may just get a first row ticket to the front of said event for doing so. But still, some in here are still talking about "poverty" and comparing Ruzzia with US or the west as they were still talking about the Soviet Union in economy, influence and power. That is gone - as the stockpiles of Soviet equipment are now going to never be replaced. |
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For me, the best practice is to have a separate account for games, an email and phone number that I use only for this activity. It’s easier to separate the industry and everyday life, and thus the chance of my account being hacked is much less since it doesn’t appear almost anywhere.I know several people who do the same.
Using a burner is not a bad idea, and keeping mail separate is kind of a must have for nearly all your life deals regardless is you are going to be playing on-line or not. It is not that easy to actually keep your information private and unlinked from your different "lifes" to be honest, one would need to follow a 200 pages manual to make sure the information remains segregated. |
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The evidence seemed to be overwhelming enough for the judge to take the choice and not even required a full trial for it (I did not know that was possible in America, I thought you always needed to be judged in front of a jury if you did not take a plea deal).
There are jury trials and there are bench (judge) trials. Varies by jurisdiction but if both options are available (which is not always, e.g. for some minor misdemeanor crimes, or divorce cases, etc you may not even have the jury option) then usually the defendant can choose. I guess in this case Trump or his lawyers thought it would be easier to deal with a judge and chose a bench trial. In this case it must have been terribly clear how, when and to what point was the fraud out there in ink, to be read and permanently recorded. It was declared a summary trial. The judge decided that it was not even necessary to call witnesses of validation with expert opinion, what was being proposed by the accusation was simply correct. It also affects that image of Trump as "self-made", which he was never since his father pretty much created the family wealth in the construction industry, but is also now clear that he stole (by not paying) public money in vast amounts and committed fraud to massive extents. I wonder if this could have been put as criminal case, with evidence classed as so overwhelming by the judge. |
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Some current news on the subject. Funny that republicans just want to separate Ukraine funding so it could be voted on separately instead of lumping it together with US budget, but of course it's being spun differently. Think we all know that Ukrainian aid will pass in some form this time around, but of course its only a start and will have to repeat again in November/December and then every few months leading closer and closer to US presidential election Pentagon makes last-minute push to save Ukraine aid as shutdown looms
Pentagon officials are making a last-minute lobbying push on Capitol Hill Saturday to prevent Congress from stripping aid to Ukraine from a funding agreement
[...]
“Republicans are forcing us to choose between supporting Ukraine and averting a shutdown, and the administration is very concerned,” a congressional aide said.
[...]
“They are willing, and they are able, to abandon our allies,” DeLauro said of the GOP. “Let us continue to support Ukraine’s fight for freedom.”
There are also elections in Slovakia With Kremlin apologist leading the polls, Slovakia vote threatens country’s support for Ukraine
Slovaks have been voting in a knife-edge parliamentary election on Saturday that could radically reshape Slovakia’s approach to Ukraine and create deep rifts within NATO and the European Union.
The frontrunner, former Prime Minister Robert Fico, has made no secret of his affinity for the Kremlin during the election campaign. He has criticized the West for supporting Ukraine and adopted a strong anti-US message, even accusing Slovakia’s President Zuzana Čaputová of being an “American agent.” He has said that if elected, he would stop sending weapons to Ukraine and block Ukraine’s NATO ambitions.
[...]
And now to Serbia NATO bolsters forces in Kosovo as US urges Serbia to withdraw from border
White House calls Serbian military deployment ‘very destabilizing.’
[...]
Of course there is also Africa, Armenia etc... Soviet Union collapsed because they overestimated their strength, and had no mechanism to scale down, so the west just opened as many fronts as they could to smartly overextend the Soviets. Ironically i believe this is exactly what we're seeing now. What is unclear is who those "fronts" may be playing in favour of. My guess is that Putin is trying some payback where he can harm European interests for a cheap price, but there is plenty of time for pay-back. One thing at a time, let's first continue to allow Ruzzia to self-demilitarise itself. Regarding US funding, we all know there are many Republicans that are keen on allowing Putin to achieve something that could be interpreted as victory. Things sometimes are seen different once you are in government if they ever get there, but for now, Ukraine has enough to have the initiative. RE Serbia, the "front" was already open, is not really that new. I guess Serbia is just checking how big may the appetite of the US to replay Balkans war II. Regardless, the war in Ukraine requires an strategy shift. The best outcome at this point would be taking Tokmak, which would fall short of a more decisive outcome that could make Ruzzia rethink their plans. My guess is that with sufficient aviation and the right munitions, the front dynamics could be changed, but that will not happen until Ukraine gets proper support, instead of timid packages. |
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At this moment, several of the proxy indicators for the intensity of combat and even the official figures from both sides seem to indicate that Ukraine is pressing ahead stronger that in the last month. There is also media quietness in general, so only a few unofficial sources indicate that more armoured means are being used in the Verbove / Robotina section of the Zapo front, but also that there is movement in the banks of the dnipro.
Meanwhile, the usual youtube Kremlin propagandists speak of "meatgrinders", "massive losses" without mention to Ukrainian advances, which is a clear indication on who is got the initiative.
Oh... good luck trying to get anything resembling truth from any of this guys.
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To gain territory you need to attrite and degrade the enemy response. This does not require massive number nor a "x5". A basic example: you blow up the Kerch bridge, all supplies to Crimea have to make a dangerous route of hundreds of kilometres more. You have killed 0 people, but the frontline is not getting ammo and they are forced to retreat.
...
I don't want to piss in your Cheerios, but when the 'Ukrainians' went full al-Qaeda and did the suicide truck bombing back in 2022 it stopped rail traffic for a whole two days or something IIRC. Vehicle traffic was inconvenienced by having to share a span while the collapsed one was re-built. Supposedly there was a later British attack with Storm Shadow missiles, but info on that is sparse at best. May even be just another 'Institute for the Study War' (familiar neo-con Jewish clans working their American gimps) fantasy. In any event if/when necessary there are ferry boats that can work the straights as they have for about 100 years. But even then, why bother? The alternate route through now-Russian Federation properties adjacent to Crimea and all the way over and up into the Motherland are not much more dangerous than any highway in the West. This is me questioning why people do not seem to understand the concept of "example" within a theoretical discussion and if BA's latest answer is an very effective attempt to win the "poorest math award" on this thread |
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The techniques are not really that specific. Mask thyself with a VPN, only use trusted sites that have a reputation and mostly good comments and good marketing on this forum and exercise common sense - if it looks too good be sure it is too good. Anyone in crypto that has not learned this should not be surprised if thing go south. Think very carefully in any situation in which your money and you are parting ways.
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Let's keep this as simple as possible and let's not shitpost! I see thousands of posts about football, a few hundred about other sports, and the rest are just almost non-existent. I'm a gambler myself but I stopped a while ago betting on soccer, all the Nxx in American sports and I'm just betting now and then on horse racing, from one penny at a time to some larger sums in case of a grade 1 event or festival. But here it seems like there is little interest in this, is that because horse racing is just unpopular or is it because, well,.... the casinos that sponsor most signatures here are not promoting it? So no post quota to make? My old local gambling forum that covered this is also near death, I'm sitting in the sun 8 hours a day boring myself to death, so here comes feedback next part : - Do you honestly think running a prediction game (run with my own funds) would attract genuine interest in this and not just shitposting quota? - Would let's say 1-2 mbtc (per event, about one or two per month) be enough for people here to at least open a few links and take a look at what hoses are running and what their timeform is? - Is anyone here actually gambling on horse racing? The odds of horse race betting look alluring but anyone who has participated in a few races will tell you they are often won by sheer luck. There may be strategies to skim a profit, especially when making use of the many offers available out there on a regular basis, but it's probably not worth the effort at the lower levels. I remember first stumbling across them and got a bit carried away with the massive odds, then quickly realized that it'sm completely random, especially when you're looking at races with 20 horses in them. I don't see the effort of you creating a forum only pool of horse betting would be worth it, there are already way better odds out there than you could hope to provide and most of the money would follow those top predictions anyway. Marketing in the forum would be helpful indeed but it is not going to be enough, now, if you are worried about too much shitposting, you can self-moderate the thread which will take you some more work, but also allow for a better control and more focused business thread. However, you should be counting on promoting the activity, just a post is not going to be enough I think. |
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[lots of stuff...] Of course the estimates of losses are all over the place, but the consensus seems to be that artillery brings the most casualties in this conflict, and so far Russia has fired more artillery shells than Ukraine (there are reports that RU scaled back now but is either still outpacing Ukraine by a bit or both sides fire equal amounts of shells now). RU has also been firing exponentially more missiles to the rear, UA only now just started to fire on Crimea (which as you pointed out is considered breakthrough in UA), and UA is pretty much forbidden from attacking inside Russia elsewhere with provided missiles. Judging by videos and reports, drone attacks have been at par at first but Russia seems to have scaled up faster now. UA had more anti-tank weapons and lit up more thanks in the begging of the conflict. To achieve higher kill rate, from your link, the US coalition strength was "Over 950,000 soldiers" and Iraq at "Over 650,000 soldiers" so they had overwhelming manpower, and a total control of airspace, both of which Ukraine lacks. Are you seriously trying to compare Ukraine to USA and Russia to Iraq, and claim that resourceful uber Ukrainian super soldiers (and ghosts of Kyiv) sustained an average kill rate of 5:1 for continuous 19 month? And will now increase that ratio even further to over 5 RU killed for every 1 UA loss, with some groundbreaking gamechanger weapon? I mean i saw anecdotal reports that Russians were attacking with shovels as Ukrainians are mowing them down with machine guns, but surely no one actually believed that right? Maybe Ukraine could achieve such odds against indigenous tribesman of amazon or Papua New Guinea, but the sober reality is that there's just no weapon in existence that would allow Ukraine to achieve such ratios against Russia. That's why no one really thought that Ukraine could defeat Russia on the battlefield. Objectively, UA's only realistic chance was for economical/political collapse inside RU, but we now see that China would not allow that to happen. Russia dodges G7 price cap sanctions on most of its oil exports
Russia has succeeded in avoiding G7 sanctions on most of its oil exports, a shift in trade flows that will boost the Kremlin’s revenues as crude rises towards $100 a barrel.
Almost three-quarters of all seaborne Russian crude flows travelled without western insurance in August, a lever used to enforce the G7’s $60-a-barrel oil price cap, according to an analysis of shipping and insurance records by the Financial Times.
That is up from about 50 per cent this spring, according to data from freight analytics company Kpler and insurance companies. The rise implies that Moscow is becoming more adept at circumventing the cap, allowing it to sell more of its oil at prices closer to international market rates.
The Kyiv School of Economics (KSE) has estimated that the steady increase in crude prices since July, combined with Russia’s success in reducing the discount on its own oil, means that the country’s oil revenues are likely to be at least $15bn higher for 2023 than they would have been.
The shift is a double blow for western efforts to restrict Russia’s revenues from oil sales — which make up the biggest part of the Kremlin’s budget — following its full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
Not only is a higher proportion of Russian oil being sold outside the cap, but Moscow’s increasing independence as a seller has coincided with a strong rally in oil prices, which topped $95 a barrel for the first time in 13 months this week.
Now back to the real world, Women with a medical or pharmaceutical education must register at military enlistment offices from Oct. 1, Fedir Venislavskyi, President Volodymyr Zelensky's representative in parliament, said on Sept. 7.
This will mean that these women, like Ukrainian men aged between 18 and 60, will not be able to leave the country without special permission.
Under martial law, they must stay in Ukraine as they may be called up at any moment for military service.
According to the report, amendments to the law were made on Aug. 18 and entered into force on Aug. 25.
From now on, people with clinically cured tuberculosis, viral hepatitis, slowly progressing blood diseases, thyroid gland diseases with minor functional disorders, and those who are HIV-positive but without symptoms, are considered still fit for military service.
In addition, people suffering from mild mental disorders, neurotic disorders, slowly progressive diseases of the central nervous system and others have been added to the list.
On Aug. 30, President Volodymyr Zelensky announced a mass review of decisions by military medical commissions to issue medical certificates of disability or unfitness for military service, which have been made since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24, 2022.
Another of those funny syllogisms that you frequently fall into:"Ruzzia shells more, shells kill, ergo Ruzzia kills more". HIMARS has been a game changer, you speak about volume of shelling, but I will take a HIMARS rather than 30 pieces of Soviet equipment shooting with rusty barrels and likely to miss a target by 20 meters or more (which is actually the case in the front). The quality counts - the reports speak of more than 25 Ruzzian artillery pieces destroyed per day in artillery duels. Guess what is destroying them? I think that many weapons have been a game changer (e.g. drone economics) and before you say anything about mines, notice that these do not fly and do not change anything... unless you are still WW II gaming. But perhaps the clear proof of what is happening, and that is actually reality, is that Ruzzia has stopped any minimally significant gain while Ukraine is taking territory. That is what is happening "in real life".Re recruiting, I have that information yes... but it is a duma decree, plus some sources... https://www.newsweek.com/russia-recruiting-soldiers-mental-asylum-ukraine-war-1739963Russia Recruits Soldiers From Mental Health Unit to Make Up Troop Shortfall F16 will also change the game. Those GBUs modified to "fly" may be just to risky to launch any longer. All these things together are effectively game changers. Also for Ukraine, as attacking in large formations or with over abundance of mechanized means is no longer a good option. Yes yes lets concentrate on how this one sniper is so great and killed 100s, just don't talk about overall state of affairs, and lets pretend as if i'm arguing that simple numerical majority is what wins wars. You're picking some specific UA weapon/system and claim how great it is. That might even be true but regardless of how great these miracle systems might be, it's simply impossible for them to be so great that they make up for all other casualties and bring OVERALL kill ratio (meaning all kills including planes, choppers, ships, submarines, drones, tanks, missiles, mines, handguns, knifes etc etc etc...) to over 5x in Ukraine's advantage. And without that Ukraine just can't win on the battlefield. From your example US actually did achieve 10x+ casualty rates in Iraq and Afghanistan. But even the most craziest UA propagandists make up casualty numbers at maximum 3x over RU, so even if we consider those ridiculous numbers, that would still mean that UA is loosing 2x faster of its relative population to RU, which is clearly not sustainable. The grim reality is that if RU casualties are less than 5x of UA (which is globally acknowledged) this means that UA is loosing % of their population faster. Ukraine does not need a x5 advantage, that is just a number you made up and keep repeating. Is false logic and sad math but also unrelated to the dynamics of modern warfare. Nor any warfare. “It is better to be on hand with ten men than absent with ten thousand.” — Timur (born in 1336) To gain territory you need to attrite and degrade the enemy response. This does not require massive number nor a "x5". A basic example: you blow up the Kerch bridge, all supplies to Crimea have to make a dangerous route of hundreds of kilometres more. You have killed 0 people, but the frontline is not getting ammo and they are forced to retreat. Once you understand these dynamics, you will be able to understand why the "kill ratio" is not the limiting factor for a victory. |
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Achieving even kills is crazy devastating for Ukraine, simply because of population difference. After loosing the territory with the people on them, and considering everyone that left, UA population is at less than 30MM, while Russia is at 150MM. Meaning with everything else being equal, UA needs to sustain 5x more drones than RU just to stay equal and have a chance to freeze the conflict at current lines. Put in another way, even if Ukraine somehow manages to achieve 4 kills for every 1 loss they're still doomed to loose. That's why to objective outside observer Ukraine's position is futile and set to fail from the start, and no weapon (outside some weapon of mass destruction) can change that.
Same with USA (335MM) vs China (1.413MM), US would need to sustain over 4x kills just to "level" the playing field.
This gotta be the stupidest math in this thread so far, and that's a high (or is it low?) bar to clear. I am not sure, I would need to re-read all BA's posts because he may hold the record, and I am not ready for such a experience. The Rude guy here draws conclusions with absolute disregard for caveats, wrong assumptions, logic flaws... I tend to answer just to the core of the issues, I just cannot go over all the seemly random assertions shamelessly dumped in walls an walls of text. The core of this is if population size matters. The answer is yes, it matters, but it is just a factor because in modern war technology, good intel and good strategies eat the numbers for breakfast. Now, I am going back to the trench, I suspect a wall of text is going to be fired at me - with the accuracy of a Soviet WW II gun of course. |
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F16 will also change the game. Those GBUs modified to "fly" may be just to risky to launch any longer.
All these things together are effectively game changers. Also for Ukraine, as attacking in large formations or with over abundance of mechanized means is no longer a good option.
You forget one major thing regarding the F16s, In the past Russia had no reason to maintain a technologically competitive war force. But since the US is stubbornly pushing Nato's growth, and since the US won't back down regarding treaties to stop this, Russia is pushing its own growth in every way. By now Russia's military growth acceleration has more than doubled; it might even have tripled since the beginning of the war. In the same time, the US and Nato, because of the way they gave their military toys to Ukraine only to lose them, are far behind Russia in rebuilding their military strength. Russia doesn't want a major war. But she has been bolstering her relations with BRICS countries, and with the 41 (or so) countries who want to join BRICS. These countries should start by kicking the US military bases off their lands, and see what the US wants to do about it.  You are thinking of Ruzzia as the Soviet Union, they are not even half of what it was during the soviet period. Gunshells sure... they can produce, basic artillery, low tech drones, a couple of hundred T90 per year, a couple of hundred of missiles (IF at all),... Certainly not at the rate they have to if trying to sustain a high intensity war. But - planes such as the ILs destroyed by drones, S-400 systems like the two recently destroyed, ships like the ones they have lost or planes like the ones that they do not even dare to use in the frontline (yes... Sukoy, I am talking to you),... that is gone for quite a few years if they are ever to come back. Billions of technologically advanced products. RE BRICS, well, you know... https://www.reuters.com/world/india/russia-cannot-meet-arms-delivery-commitments-because-war-indian-air-force-says-2023-03-23/Russia cannot meet arms delivery commitments because of war, Indian Air Force says
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Russia is unable to deliver vital defence supplies it had committed to India's military because of the war in Ukraine, the Indian Air Force (IAF) says.
New Delhi has been worried that Moscow's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 could affect military supplies from India's largest source of defence equipment. The IAF statement is the first official confirmation of such shortfalls.
The IAF statement was made to a parliamentiary committee, which published it on its website on Tuesday. An IAF representative told the panel Russia had planned a "major delivery" this year that will not take place.
Looks like production may not be ramping up in everything uh? https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2023/9/8/g20-summit-is-india-breaking-up-with-russiaG20 Summit: Is India breaking up with Russia?
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India is unlikely to formally break up with Russia anytime soon. But some experts warn that their friendship has grown into a liability for New Delhi’s geopolitical ambitions, including as a trustworthy peacemaker in the current war in Ukraine. And the trajectory of the India-Russia relationship is clear: It is in steady decline, while the Modi government has bolstered ties with the West.
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RE Brazil... “The Security Council has been progressively losing its credibility. This frailty is the specific result of actions from its permanent members who wage unauthorized wars or regime change. Its paralysis is the most eloquent proof of the urgent need to reform it, which will bring it greater representation and efficacy.”
This is Lula da Silva speaking at the United Nations. It does not sound like in support of an illegal war from Ruzzia does it? |
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