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1101  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: October 21, 2021, 03:13:48 PM
Murray vs Schwartzman, weird it's Murray that is now the odds favourite to win @1.82 ML vs Diego's @1.95.

I'd have Schwartzmann as favourite. Murray has more talent and ability, but his injuries mean he's not the player he was, and he can't sustain top-level performance for the duration of a tournament. His first round match was long and draining (3h45m), so I would pick Schwartzmann to win this one. But then my record in tennis betting is awful. Cheesy

Seriously, I have no idea why they would put Murray as a favorite. He does still have his moments, but as you said his health is going to hold him back again and again as he can't have the same trust in his body that he used to have. It is not even something like a home game for Murray.
Especially if it is going to be a three sets game I would most likely bet on Schwartzmann. I wish for Murray to be able to perform at his best though. Always good to see people trying to fight their way back.

Yeah. I think I would probably just steer away from betting either way on a Murray match at the moment. Certainly Schwartzmann should be favourite, but Murray is the more talented player, and if he somehow has recovered and brings his best game and is able to hold it together, then he will win... so whilst Schwartzmann should win, there's just no guarantee at all, because there are such huge question marks over Murray. I think there are easier matches to bet on.
1102  Economy / Speculation / Re: Btc $100k prediction by eoy on: October 21, 2021, 12:56:08 PM
For now you can hope for the best, in the short term you can expect a small correction, but in the long term things are looking very good.

It does look reasonably likely that BTC will hit $100k this year. The question really though is whether it will hit $100k and bounce straight back down, or whether it will break through and hold above that threshold.
Big round numbers often cause a problem, I would think there's a good chance that if BTC hits $100k it will correct downwards very quickly. Long-term I'm very confident the price will be above $100k... I'm just not convinced that we'll hold above it the first time we break through.
1103  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2021/2022 on: October 21, 2021, 12:51:39 PM
Though United has won their last match, but I strongly think that Ole's end to United's career is not that far away. They have bought a goal machine this season and they have Cavani and Rashford and Bruno aside CR7. They are scoring the goals but are lacking a lot in defense. Which was clear in the Atalanta match. They scored 3 but because of bad defense, they conceded 2. This cannot be good in the long run because as some great football mind once said, "Attack wins you games but defense wins you titles."

Yes, I've been saying this since they bought him: Ronaldo was the wrong signing.
Is he a world-class, statement signing? Yes.
Will he add to their attacking threat? Yes.
Will he score goals? Yes.
Does he do anything to solve their weaknesses? Absolutely not.
1104  Economy / Economics / Re: A tale of the two parasites on: October 21, 2021, 10:54:43 AM
Both are parasites, both damage the economy.
That may be true (and I believe it is, though I don't think I'd use the term "parasite" to describe wealthy individuals), but your examples represent two extremes which probably make up just a small percentage of all the citizens of, let's say, the United States.
True, but it's not so much the percentage of people that is important, as the percentage of wealth. I'm also not sure of the wording, but one rich "parasite" has a vastly greater effect than one poor "parasite". And yet it is the poor who are routinely demonised. Someone cheating their way out of a $100 gas bill is less of an issue for society than someone using accounting loopholes to evade a $1,000,000 tax bill.


In the case of rich people, I would say that there are more parasites among those who have inherited wealth, rather than among those who create it.
Certainly. The fact that the very richest obtain most of their wealth not through income but through returns on existing capital is one of the main arguments in favour of a wealth tax (however impractical that may be to implement).

1105  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: October 21, 2021, 10:43:06 AM
Maybe Norrie can make it to ATP Finals for this year?
Maybe if he can get more points it will be very possible to atp finals, before november.

Norrie is currently 10th in the race. If we assume (and I think we can) that Nadal will not take part, then that puts Norrie in 9th.

6. Berrettini 4,000
7. Ruud 3,015
8. Nadal 2,985
9. Hurkacz 2,955
10. Norrie 2,795

He won't catch Berrettini. So if Nadal isn't competing, he just needs to overtake either Hurkacz (160 points above) or Ruud (220 points above).
Given how consistent Norrie has been this season, it's certainly possible. Alternatively if someone else above him (as well as Nadal) pulls out, then he's made it so long as he maintains his current position.
1106  Economy / Economics / Re: The Economic Gap has Exceeded the Tolerance Limit on: October 20, 2021, 03:11:07 PM
Do you think this kind of reality is fair?
No, and plenty of others don't, either, including, encouragingly, many of those who benefit from the inequality. Here for example are two groups of millionaires who think it's unfair:
Millionaires Against Pitchforks
Patriotic Millionaires



What seems to me is that the story you tell is the same communist garbage that comes from Marx's time, of fallaciously considering that if the rich are richer, the poor must be poorer. And not only is it not so, but such thinking shows that you don't understand how the world works.

In 1800 there were 1 billion people living on earth and today there are almost 8 billion, and this has not happened because the rich, who are getting richer, have starved the poor. On the contrary, more and more people live on earth because, among other things, with the market economy, there are people who have earned a lot of money by mass producing cheap food and selling it. And today's poor in general (there are exceptions, obviously) have access to many more goods and services than the poor of 1800, so they are richer.

I could write you an encyclopedia on this, but since I see that your previous mentality is that of the falsehood that wealth is like a pie, rather than a dynamic process, I will not try any harder.
You're being both defensive and needlessly aggressive, which suggests that Sterbens may have hit a nerve.
Your argument boils down to: any level of inequality is absolutely fine, because we used to live in caves.
And of course wealth is a pie. And is also dynamic... the two aren't mutually exclusive. The pie may be expanding over time, but it is still finite. We don't live in some post-scarcity sci-fi utopia.

And hello, again. Smiley
1107  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: October 20, 2021, 12:19:52 PM
Murray vs Schwartzman, weird it's Murray that is now the odds favourite to win @1.82 ML vs Diego's @1.95.

I'd have Schwartzmann as favourite. Murray has more talent and ability, but his injuries mean he's not the player he was, and he can't sustain top-level performance for the duration of a tournament. His first round match was long and draining (3h45m), so I would pick Schwartzmann to win this one. But then my record in tennis betting is awful. Cheesy
1108  Other / Politics & Society / Re: It ends now because we said so! on: October 20, 2021, 12:09:24 PM
For the most part, the rich elites (talking billionaires) could kill off most of the world and not bat an eye. Why you might ask? This is because they can use AI and automation machines to replace all of these people doing all of these jobs.
I'd still ask why, though. The people at the top have a psychological need if nothing else to have a mass of 'ordinary' people below them. It's what makes them feel 'special'. A person who has $1 billion can believe himself superior to almost everyone he meets... but if you wipe out everyone who has less than $1 billion, then he's suddenly the poorest, lowest person on the planet.


This is crony capitalism at its worse and may as well be communism as they share many qualities.
They do, yes. Communism and laissez-faire capitalism are both extremist ideologies, and lend themselves to exploitation. You need a counterweight to prevent abuses. This is why in a capitalist democracy, you should vote for a left-wing party. They prevent the capitalism from becoming too extreme.


the NWO (1913-2020)
1987–1991, and then 1999–2002, with live reunions in 2015 and 2016. Straight outta Compton Wikipedia.

1109  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- Group Stage! on: October 20, 2021, 09:16:32 AM
should have been a team-mate to give Messi a chance to make a hat-trick but yes, maybe it is a form of respect among the team.

I think it's respect, yes. Mbappe has explained what happened:

Quote
After the match, Mbappe revealed the reasoning behind their unexpected sharing of penalties.
"[On the penalties] It's normal [that I let Messi take the first], it's about respect," the PSG No. 7 told Canal+.
"He's the best player in the world, it's a privilege that he plays with us, I've always said it. 
"If there's a penalty, he's the one that takes it, full stop. On the second one, he told me 'Take it', it was at the end, he gave it to me and I took it."

Mbappe won the first penalty, and gave it to Messi to take... Probably Messi felt grateful, and then with the second penalty, in injury time, with the match already won, Messi returned the favour.
1110  Other / Politics & Society / Re: It ends now because we said so! on: October 20, 2021, 07:50:12 AM
says a unemployed teenager not even old enough to vote nor have a job to pay tax..

I went to the link, and the image at the start of the video told me everything I needed to know. Some news sources are better than others. I think 'datboivictor_official' is probably towards the lower end of the scale. I particularly like the 'official' at the end, as if he's desperately trying to convince himself that he's some sort of authority on anything, and that there are hordes of would-be-victor pretenders out there, keen to steal some of his nonexistent glory.

Also why is every single article on that website written by either Donna Hancock or Stonewall Jackson Robert Lee? Is this a dodgy husband and wife outfit, masquerading as a legitimate enterprise?
1111  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- Group Stage! on: October 20, 2021, 07:34:28 AM
Last night ucl match was much more interesting, Dortmund with a suprise of not scoring a goal and conceding 4goals, Psg with a solid comeback, Lionel Messi and Mbappe combination was brilliant, Messi deliberately leaving the second penalty for Mbappe to take, and not wanting to score his first hat trick for Psg, wanting to show Neymar that's he Neymar not entitled to the pk alone lol,, quite interesting to see Leo at what's he's doing best

I'm happy for Messi, and glad he scored a couple. Shame he didn't try for the hat-trick with the second penalty!

Yes the Dortmund result was a big surprise for me. I certainly didn't expect them to get hammered 4-0. They are a good side. But I think they will still qualify from the group stage, even if they end up finishing second.
1112  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: October 19, 2021, 01:28:03 PM
Raheem Sterling is reportedly unsettled at Man City, because he's not getting enough game time.

According to Marca, they've put a price tag on him, and are asking €80 million. Sounds a little cheap, but apparently Barca are interested... He may move somewhere, but I can't see how Barca could possibly be able to pay out that sort of fee. Even if he was €80 (without the million) they would struggle.
1113  Other / Politics & Society / Re: RECEIPTS: Patents Expose "Medical Devices" in Jab, Injectable Computing System on: October 19, 2021, 10:31:06 AM
I wonder if anybody even believes anything you say about Covid any more. Search on "94% comorbidities" - https://duckduckgo.com/?t=ffab&q=94%25+comorbidities&ia=web. It means that nobody knows for a fact what percent of a person's death was due to Covid, and what percent was due to something else.

Take a pack camel, and load it up with packs of cancer, heart disease, diabetes, and others. Then add the Covid straw and say, "The straw that broke the camel's back." Then laugh about all the people that believe you.

When you subtract the 94% from 100%, you get 6%. Somewhere near the end of 2020, there were 400,000 deaths supposedly from Covid. But only 6% were NOT from comorbidities. This means that only 24,000 people had died from Covid by that point. Compare that to cancer=650,000 deaths annually, heart disease=600,000 deaths annually, diabetes=300,000 to 400,000 deaths annually, and loads of other deaths from loads of other things.

Statistically Covid deaths become almost the proverbial "drop in a bucket" regarding deaths. And you couldn't even find Covid when compared with all the living people in the world. All that this means is that Covid is a big fat lie, existing only because of all the advertising done by the medical, governments, and the media.

But here is the funny part about it all. They got you!

I can't help it that you don't understand what the term 'comorbidity' means. I've tried explaining it to you plenty of times.
Equally, I've explained plenty of times that you can quibble over reason for death as much as you want, it doesn't change the fact that there has been a huge spike in overall deaths from any reason, across all countries, and that this spike has coincided with the pandemic. I'd ask you to look at the data on excess deaths, but then you never look at any data anyway, so the request would be pointless.


You are so fun.

Thanks!  Smiley
1114  Other / Politics & Society / Re: RIP Colin Powell on: October 18, 2021, 02:11:48 PM
This will surely add more fuel to the fire that vaccines don’t work, as Massachusetts also reported 45% of their covid related deaths last week were fully vaccinated.

The vaccination rate in MA is 68.9%. If 68.9% of the population is vaccinated, and the vaccines have no effect, then you'd expect 68.9% of people who died to be vaccinated.
If only 45% of Covid deaths are vaccinated, then the vaccines work. Obviously a simplification, but the principle is sound... especially as in general the more elderly and vulnerable have a higher vaccination rate than the young and healthy.
1115  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Malaria vaccine in Kenya on: October 18, 2021, 12:53:23 PM
Malaria is just an ordinary illness. It is not a deadly disease as you see it.
Not true. Malaria kills around 500,000 people per year.


With a little as a dollar, a sick person can cure himself of malaria in my country. The only thing that makes the illness a problem is only when the patients refuse to seek medical attention early, like within a week when it is discovered. Some of them want to self medicate at early stage and only rush to hospital when it begins to get severe.
Is it safe to assume that your country is not in Sub-Saharan Africa? Many people in malaria-ridden countries do not have access to even basic healthcare.
The best thing you can do to help, as an individual, is to donate nets: https://www.againstmalaria.com/
$2 buys one net.


I do not see any need for a malaria vaccine.
Malaria is a devastatingly severe problem in many countries.
1116  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: October 18, 2021, 12:45:40 PM
this tournament also showed us that there is no "new big three", all these players that are trying to replace big trio, are far lower quality, and we will have probably four different winners on four grand slams in a year, as soon as Novak retires

Definitely, it's the end of an era (or getting towards it). Those three are all-time greats, and it was bizarre to have them all playing at the same time. We've been waiting for years for the next big player to step up, but understandably no-one has been able to match these three so far. But at least it will be interesting having diferent winners all the time, with no-one really dominant.
1117  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ English Premier League Season: 2021/2022 on: October 18, 2021, 12:35:54 PM
Newcastle had already announced that despite the new investor, they do not plan any major investments in the winter.
Yes, they've set a budget of £50 million, which is quite a surprise as they are allowed a maximum of £190 million under FFP rules.
It's doubly surprising when you think that Newcastle are in relegation trouble. You would imagine the new owners would pay anything they can to ensure premier league survival.

I see at the moment hardly any good players who are on the market and want to go to Newcastle.
They're unlikely to attract world-class players right away, they'll have to go the Man City route of just bringing in players that are better than the current squad, then repeat and repeat until you are buying the best in the world. It might take a few years.
1118  Other / Politics & Society / Re: RECEIPTS: Patents Expose "Medical Devices" in Jab, Injectable Computing System on: October 18, 2021, 09:45:16 AM
They are turning the vaxxed people into cyborgs.
I must admit, since taking the vaccine I have been experiencing an inexplicable urge to time-travel back to the 1980s and hunt down Sarah Connor.


Do these jokers that continue to fight the truth really believe what they say? Or are they trolls or something worse?
I think you genuinely believe what you say.


I doubt the government could pull off anything like this.  You're giving them way too much credit.
This is why, even if you don't trust the vaccines, you shouldn't believe that Covid is a fake disease as part of some covert government plan. Governments tend to be corrupt and more or less incompetent, and they bicker with one another constantly. There is absolutely no way that national governments could come together, hatch a secret plan to create a global pandemic, actually achieve their objective, and then manage to keep the whole thing secret.
1119  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ English Premier League Season: 2021/2022 on: October 18, 2021, 09:19:17 AM
Its really sad to see Man Utd has lost 3rd time consecutively. However its ok to see them scoring 2 goals from Mason and Marcus each. What they really lack? As you say, Ole has to teach them technics to tackle the opponent? or Man Utd committee has to look for other coach as I have seen many saying Ole is not upto the expectation. On the other side, really appreciate Leicester for the thrilling goals from Jamie,Cauglar, Patson and Youri.  3rd win to Leicester after 4 games.

I've been saying since they signed him that I don't think Ronaldo was the right purchase. He can score goals, but he doesn't solve their problems. There was a good analysis on the BBC over the weekend, which covered the situation perfectly. Whenever Leicester got the ball they could just cut straight through. They have too many players who don't or can't defend. It's the classic example of how a bunch of good players don't necessarily make a good team.

If you want to understand why Man U are losing, this gives some great insights: https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/av/football/58943495
1120  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Are covid “vaccines” giving people AIDS? Immune system functions are dropping... on: October 18, 2021, 09:09:57 AM
Are covid “vaccines” giving people AIDS?

No, they're not.
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