Bitcoin Forum
May 03, 2024, 06:41:33 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: « 1 ... 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 [81] 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 ... 334 »
1601  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Declaration of cryptocurrencies in the UK on: March 17, 2023, 10:16:01 PM
Just to clarify - it's not like they'll be forcing people to disclose their crypto-holdings, but it's just that taxable gains will be reported separately in the Self-Assessment form. So not much of a change and no idea how they have estimated this will bring an extra £10 mils to the budget. Maybe they're hoping that people who previously didn't bother to report profits from crypto gains will be more likely to do that if the form explicitly asks for such. Makes some sense tbh

This will be effective from April 2024
1602  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Betting strategy question on: March 16, 2023, 07:38:04 PM
I don't quite agree with your statement. Each of us uses a different strategy in both sports betting and casinos. Think about it - even playing without a strategy is a strategy that ultimately leads to winning or losing. In general, a professional bettor who sticks to his strategy, in the long run will be more productive than a bettor who bets, as he thinks, without any strategy.

You're contradicting yourself a little bit here.
Is playing without strategy a strategy or not?

And don't conflate strategy with profitability. As mentioned over a million times in this thread already - having a strategy doesn't guarantee profits. In fact, in most cases, it guarantees losses (for classic casino games). With that in mind, I can easily imagine a casual, for-fun gambler outperforming a strategy-focused one in "productivity" (aka losing less money).

1603  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: 📝[Discussion topic] Overview of Bitcointalk Signature-Ad Campaigns📝 on: March 16, 2023, 07:24:46 PM
R.I.P. ChipMixer

What a bummer. They had probably the most prestigious signature campaign in the history of this forum.
But there's no mention of operators getting arrested, so who knows, maybe we'll see a ChipMixer 2.0 at some point...

55 participants. ChipMixer was in 3rd place in terms of the number of slots, only the Roobet campaign (60 participants) and Duelbits campaign (112 participants) are larger. The only thing is, I don't know how many participants represent Stake campaign.

Do you guys know if anyone has ever compiled any historical stats on signature campaigns, i.e. longest running, the biggest in terms of number of participants, highest paying etc?

If not, is there any source that could be used to get the historical data to produce such stats? The official thread has been pruned with lots of old posts missing (i.e. from between 2014-2017)
1604  Other / Archival / Re: ✅ [ANN] [banned mixer] | Bitcoin Mixer | Bitcoin Tumbler | Since 2019 ✴️✴️ on: March 16, 2023, 07:14:39 PM

Looks like the biggest mixer has been seized by Europol: https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2023/03/15/germany-and-us-seize-over-46m-crypto-tied-to-chipmixer-investigation-europol/
I didn't expect they would craft such wide-spread operation with multiple countries involved. Allegedly almost $50 millions (in bitcoins) have been seized.

As much as it is a great opportunity for smaller mixers like Coinomize to fill the gap and capture a larger share of the market - it's also a sign to never let your guard down. So be careful out there guys.

The articles don't mention if anyone has been arrested though, so hopefully operators are safe.

Nevertheless, it's the end of an era.
1605  Local / Polski / Re: Pospekulujmy o aktualnej i przyszłej cenie BTC. on: March 16, 2023, 06:57:58 PM
jestem w grupach Coingape i Cointelegraph na Telegramie, wrzucaja takie aktualizacje ze wszystkimi najważniejszymi informacjami z ostatniego dnia, tygodnia, łatwo szybko nadrobić

oczywiscie nie wspominam juz o profesjonalnosci tych artykułów, ale takie zestawienie daje dość szybkie rozeznanie w tym co się działo na rynku ostatnio

Dzieki, sprawdze. O cos takiego wlasnie mi chodzi, podsumowanie najwazniejszych wydarzen w pigulce, a jak cos wydaje sie bardziej interesujace to mozna sie bardziej zaglebic itp.

(...) w skrócie paxos ma zakaz emitowania nowych BUSD od Departament Usług Finansowych w Nowym Jorku (NYDFS). Czyli marketcap może iść tylko w dół.

Binance sie poddało i wyraźnie rezygnuje z BUSD i nawet wspierania płynności na tej parze:
(...)

O paxosie wiem. Ale jak na razie likwidacja BUSD nie jest jeszcze oficjalna choc wydaje sie kwestia czasu.
Teoretycznie Paxos moze jeszcze obslugiwac istniejace tokeny, o ile sie nie myle. Binance moglby tez teoretycznie zastapic Paxosa kims innym, ale pewnie musieliby szukac poza zasiegiem wplywow USA, wiec bedzie ciezko.

Ze stablecoinow Binance calkiem zrezygnowac nie da rady, wiec najpewniej skoncza z regulowanym USDC. Choc szkoda by bylo.
1606  Economy / Gambling / Re: SwC Poker RELAUNCH ♣️♣️ BITCOIN POKER 3.0 ♣️♣️ Win✅ Mac✅ Android✅ HTML5✅ on: March 16, 2023, 06:36:26 PM
I'm sure SwC has also prepared promotional or marketing campaigns as well as several other ways to gain more loyal and new customers.
Regarding budgetary funds in carrying out promotions or marketing, they must already have it and everything has been prepared.
They already have a casino that has been running successfully until now so income in their business or profits can be obtained, moreover, the owner of this casino must also have a lot of money that can be used at any time to carry out a development or other things that can make a casino they are advancing rapidly.
In fact, I do not really agree with using jackpot funds to be used for casino marketing because the existence of a large jackpot fund can also be one of the factors that can attract gamblers to use SwC with the aim of chasing the jackpot.

You are making assumptions on them having loads of money, which could be true or not, whereas I have pointed out one of the option to obtain more marketing funds.
You also make assumptions on owner having lots of money - even if that's the case, the goal of sustainable business is to make money for itself, i.e. marketing pool should be built up from profit from operations.

So what if the jackpot is huge if no one had won it in years. If something seems impossible to achieve, it loses its appeal. They could slash it in half and it'll still be huge. And they could use that money to increase activity, and, in turn making jackpot pool growing at a higher rate.
1607  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Researching Bitcoin for a Presentation - coming here to fact check on: March 15, 2023, 09:11:28 PM

What hard fork do you mean exactly?


Thanks for asking. I'm want to address the 2017 events as factually and sans conclusions as possible. I just want to give facts and let people come to their own conclusions.

Here is what I have so far...

'In 2016 there was a scaling conflict within the Bitcoin community addressing the need to accommodate more transactions. The community could increase the size of each block or defer smaller more frequent transactions to a second layer of the network.'

'Soon after August 1st of 2017 the segregated witness ( or SegWit ) update was activated. A hardfork followed eventually resulting in several more forks and projects with varying views. Ultimately, those that wanted a smaller blocksize won the conflict and this what the market has accepted as Bitcoin.'

What do you think?  

I think that event was actually a "hard fork" not happening. Depends on how we define the term. If we assume that hard fork is a radical change to the protocol of Bitcoin's blockchain - then it wasn't really a hard fork, as the BCH and other forks have indeed introduced radical changes the blockchain, but those changes were made to their new brands of blockchain, not to the Bitcoin blockchain.
So it's not like the Big blockers tried to push their new fork as Bitcoin.

But yes, all that Big Vs Small blocks civil war was definitely a significant episode in Bitcoins history. It exposed some ugliness and some dirty plays, but also had some bright sides, and all seems to end up quite well.

1608  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Betting strategy question on: March 15, 2023, 08:51:32 PM
in every casino betting game there are usually many names for the strategy, for example the popular martingale and maybe there are others, but for sports betting you don't need such a strategy because it requires luck even if you are an expert at predicting sports. usually what requires luck is gambling such as lotteries or sports betting. that's what I know while playing gambling  Wink

Almost everything in life requires some element of "luck". Even going to regular work, you're relying on some luck (or lack of bad luck) to net get struck by the lightning or not get hit by a bus.
Not only you can apply betting strategies to sports betting, but, as the odds are somewhat judgemental and are not purely based on maths, there's a bigger chance that the strategy will be successful, as compared to the classic casino games.
1609  Economy / Economics / Re: How SVB fall going to affect bitcoin, crypto in general? on: March 15, 2023, 08:42:29 PM
At first Bitcoin reacted negatively, as it declined to $20k, then it reacted positively and reached $26k, as I write this post it fell again to $24.5k. So it's hard to tell were the price will be when this drama is over.

The question is how much of that positive movement can be attributed to Binance reducing their exposure to USD and converting $1 billion worth of BUSD into native crypto. The other question is - what happens when they finish converting? Will we tank or will this trigger an uptrend?
1610  Local / Polski / Re: Pospekulujmy o aktualnej i przyszłej cenie BTC. on: March 15, 2023, 08:30:22 PM
Tytanowy napisał że Binance likwiduje BUSD i to prawda, 1 miliard dolarów z jakiegoś funduszu (chyba) ratowania rynków krypto (poprawcie mnie jak sie mylę) w BUSD zostanie wydany na BNB, BTC i ETH właśnie


OK, widocznie zle zrozumialem, wyglada na to ze Binance po prostu przeznacza 1 miliard BUSD (z " Industry Recovery Initiative funds") na podratowanie rynku (albo po prostu boja sie miec za duzej ekspozycji na dolary), ale o co chodzi z "likwidowaniem" BUSD? Macie jakies zrodlo? Nic mi nie wyskakuje na ten temat na necie.

W te parę dni wydarzyło się więcej niż w ostatni rok Smiley Wymieniając na szybko to, upadki 3 banków w usa, depeg USDC, pozew kucoina, eth jako security według stanu nowy jork, nowy podatek dla kopaczy w usa, powiększony podatek od zysków z krypto w usa. Masz co nadrabiać Smiley

Nom, chyba musze wrocic do starego zwyczaju robienia porannego przegladu prasy heh
1611  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in-$200 FreeBTC⭐Win Lambo🔥0.2BTC DailyJackpot🏆$32,500 Wager Contest on: March 15, 2023, 08:12:47 PM
However, when you gamble here, you also end up getting a chance to get free faucet (doesn't require gambling), then free lambo ticket, and free weekly ticket, and free reward points all at the same time as well. That means you are actually getting so much in price of just one, and it doesn't even require you to lose, if you gamble 100 dollars and win that bet, that is all you need, you just got 100 dollars wagered even if it was a win.

As they say: There's no such thing as free lunch. Sure, there is a free faucet and and free WoF spins, but at the end of the day the site needs to generate profit to be able to continue to operate. To get some meaningful amount out of freebitco.in you either need to risk your money (dice, betting or just keeping your funds deposited to earn interest) or at least invest your time to to promote the site and try to get a lot of referral sign ups. Chances of getting rich from just taking advantage of free features are rather slim.
1612  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Researching Bitcoin for a Presentation - coming here to fact check on: March 14, 2023, 11:38:03 PM
(...)
Gonna share the salient historical events over the last 10 years, please add any I am overlooking:

* The hard fork
(...)

What hard fork do you mean exactly?

What would you say defines Bitcoin?

There's no clear answer to this one. Hashing power dominance is very flawed definition, so is the majority of nodes. The lazy answer would be that Bitcoin is defined by wide community consensus, but then we'd have to define what's "community" exactly.

What would you say is the best concise ( yet factually accurate ) explanation for how Bitcoin works?

You are skeptical of Bitcoin, your intelligent but are not interested in becoming a dev or reading pages apon pages of text ( yet ) to understand how it works. You are bombarded with information from all sides, your attention is taken for granted and abused, everyone is claiming doom and gloom trying to convince you of their thing ...and it would be a part time job to try and qualify and validate all of it. you just want concise objective facts.

I like 3Blue1Brown's video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bBC-nXj3Ng4 - but it is a bit technical and of course, not concise, lol.


I personally liked this old video by James D'Angelo explaining the concept of Bitcoin's private keys. Easy to grasp and easy to digest even by non tech-savvy people:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZloHVKk7DHk
1613  Economy / Economics / Re: How SVB fall going to affect bitcoin, crypto in general? on: March 14, 2023, 09:19:20 PM
The customers aren't the issue that I'm concerned of because the FDIC already would have insured up to 250k of deposits to begin with as per their own guarantee. What about the uninsured creditors? Their money is completely gone and there isn't any indication that they'll have remedy with the federal government (not that I think they should). The issue this creates is that there's a lot of companies out there that don't have liquidity who need it.

The FDIC $250k insurance was almost meaningless in this case. According to the Financial Times almost 96% of client deposits were not covered by insurance, as the SVB's client base was dominated by start ups and venture capital backing them.

But as mentioned above, regulators refused the bail-out but, at the same time, promised that customers (of both, SVB and Signature bank) will regain access to their finds.

It's all a confidence game at this point. If people lose confidence and do another bank runs, the financial system could run into much bigger trouble.
1614  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Betting strategy question on: March 14, 2023, 09:01:13 PM
Betting has no strategy because the more you think you know the more deceitful the odds become in other for your bookies to fail, gambling to my understanding is pure luck because some people can pick games in sports bet to be precise for the first time and win so all is dependent on individual involved. In this game nobody is sure and final outcome most times can not be ascertained.

Not true, there are plenty of betting/gambling strategies, including martingale, reverse-martingale, card-counting, using kelly criterion etc. The problem is, using strategy doesn't necessarily mean making profit.
The fact that there's (almost) always an element of luck, doesn't mean that all gambling is "pure luck" as you put it. It's all abut trying to find opportunities when the edge is on your side.
Good example is sports betting - to determine odds of an event, bookies have to rely on statistical analysis, and sometimes those could be wrong (e.g. not everything is factored in). So it's possible to spot and take advantage of such opportunities from time to time.
1615  Local / Polski / Re: Pospekulujmy o aktualnej i przyszłej cenie BTC. on: March 14, 2023, 08:49:40 PM
Bitcoin ruszył w swój rajd o 18:20 bez jakiegoś newsa. Sam z siebie robiąc 10%
O 5:12 w nocy CZ ogłosił, że likwidują BUSD i zamieniają na BNB, BTC, ETH
O 5:42 wykonali przelew:
https://etherscan.io/tx/0x84ca583046bf011fa040eb9da219e9397d32d54bda7ea99d548a9cdf0a996b4d

Od tamtej pory bitcoin zrobił kolejne 10%. tu się ślad urywa więcej nic nie wiadomo. 980 mln $ wpłynęło na binance hot wallet "binance 14" na którym jest obecnie 1.2 mld $.

Z tego co wiem, to CZ nie obiecywał transapentości w zakupach onchain a ostrzegał, że duży kapitał może latać po sieci, by uniknąć fudu, że binance został zhakowany i ktoś zabrał 980 mln $.

Dzieki za info, czlowiek byl zajety przez pare dni i nie mial czasu sledzic wiadomosci a tu takie rewelacje. Az zajrzalem z ciekawosci na Binance, jak na razie BUSD jeszcze nie skonwertowany, i zadnego oficjalnego maila jeszcze nie przyslali.
Z nieciekawych wiadomosci, ponoc Skrill konczy wspolprace z Binance i nie beda w stanie obslugiwac wplat/wyplat w GBP, przynajmniej dopoki nie znajda dostawcy. Ale to ponoc tylko ok 1% ich transakcji fiat.
1616  Economy / Gambling / Re: SwC Poker RELAUNCH ♣️♣️ BITCOIN POKER 3.0 ♣️♣️ Win✅ Mac✅ Android✅ HTML5✅ on: March 14, 2023, 08:39:46 PM
Any plans on how to grow the site?

They have busy and quiet days just as any other sites. But a well-designed promotional/marketing campaign could definitely help drive more people in.

No idea if SwC have any marketing funds lying around to spare, but maybe re-structuring the jackpot requirements to something more achievable could help, together with shifting some funds from the jackpot pool to the marketing fund. Then maybe use it to run a series of guaranteed prize tournaments and start giving away entry tickets i.e. as a reward for social media engagement or simple promo tasks, small contest etc.

Just my 2 cents.
1617  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in-$200 FreeBTC⭐Win Lambo🔥0.2BTC DailyJackpot🏆$32,500 Wager Contest on: March 14, 2023, 08:25:01 PM
I noticed today that the size of the base prize from the wheel of fortune has already decreased from 50 to 48 sats. So if BTC continues to grow at the same rate, you should think about using those 300+ spins now rather than waiting until you have 1000 spins in your account. In other words, you could potentially miss out on a lot of sats and RP as well as lottery tickets.

That's a big "if" and this is entering a speculation territory. The logic behind the timing of using the spins is no different than trying to time the market. But things are rarely the way that everyone expects.
If we agree that dollar cost averaging i a sensible way of investing in Bitcoin, then, consistently, using WoF spins on a regular basis, rather than waiting for the right moment, should also make sense.
1618  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sports arbitrage on: March 12, 2023, 12:14:46 PM
Arbitrage strategies in sports betting are usually hedges.

If you have a 5 play accumulator (parlay) with the first 4 plays being successful.

Savvy gamblers will often make the opposite bet from what they need to finish the final segment of their accumulator, producing arbitrage conditions where they will be nearly guaranteed to win something. Unless the rare event of a draw occurs.

I have not seen or heard about casinos or sportsbooks cracking down on hedging practices. There are other methods to setup arbitrage scenarios.

The hedge you described is not really what is generally understood as "arbitrage". There's no real reason for sports betting sites to crack down on such hedging.
1619  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sports arbitrage on: March 10, 2023, 10:26:33 PM
Not necessarily a lot of work.

You can find sites that show you sure bets. When I did arbitrage betting in the past (...)

Why did you stop? Did you get banned or was it just not worth the time?

Real hard to get anything real from arbitrage.  You can spend all day bouncing from sports games, to sites ,etc.  I don't think it's worth the squeeze.  Back in the day it was a little easier, with all the tracking software by the time there is an opportunity people have already grabbed it and it levels out. 

Yeah, I think the most arbitrage opportunities nowadays would have a profit rate in a range of 1%. One could think it's still great since it's a guarantee, but things are not so rosy when you consider that to win a lousy $100 you'd have to put in $10k. And since a lot of the gambling sites are registered in some exotic jurisdictions, if one of them decides to freeze your funds for "suspicious" activity, there's not much you can do legally. So the risk is still there.
1620  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Betting strategy question on: March 10, 2023, 10:14:14 PM
The thing is that for many people, myself included, gambling without earning anything significant, or even losing a bit of your money, is not wasting of time. We use gambling for entertainment and relaxation, not for income generation. Hence the formula: the longer you last with the money allocated for gambling the better.

It's not always like that, of course. Every gambler knows that there are times when you can't stop, and you keep betting, and you feel exhausted in the end, and some money lost on top of that, and stuff. But with those gambling for fun this happens much less often than with those playing for profit.

I missed this post, just noticed it quoted by LUCKMCFLY.

What you wrote makes some sense but I don't quite buy it. What's entertaining in gambling is the hope of winning and making a profit. That's the underlying appeal of it. I don't think you'd even enter any casino or log in to any gambling site if you 100% knew you will end up poorer than you were before entering. i.e. would you play roulette if every field was a losing one, but the max bet was $0.01, meaning you could last long hours with say $10. Probably not, spending $10 just to watch the wheel spin would be a waste of time.

Personally, I hated times when I spent hours on a poker site and ended up with a loss or in a break-even position. Not because of the money lost, but because of the realisation of the wasted time. Sure, there was some entertaining factor in it, but it's not like entertainment is a primary goal in life. You could spend that time doing something more meaningful and fulfilling.
Pages: « 1 ... 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 [81] 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 ... 334 »
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!