Bitcoin Forum
May 02, 2024, 06:45:24 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: « 1 ... 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 [58] 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 ... 334 »
1141  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: July 11, 2023, 09:44:53 PM

After one or 2 more fights of Nickal I think he could already get a title shot if Dana gives him a fast track. It's too soon but he already said he wants to fight Khamzat and Adesanya.

African fans of UFC has never been this confused, the continent is divided already, all the sport stations on radio in  Nigeria are all debating about the Dricus and Israel Adesayan crash, after Dricus beats Robert W. to qualified to fight his Africa brother for the middle belt champion. @Israel Adesayan the champion, both of them are Africans regardless whats they said in the ring to each other, we are rooting for both of them to succeed.

whosever, wins in this encounter no matter much to Africans, we just want to watch two brothers fighting dirty for the title, and would support the winner.

Dricus looking for support from African people while Adesanya doesn't need much to ask because they can tell he is from Africa by the color of his skin. Dricus point is that he is born in Africa and currently resides in Africa unlike those who claimed to fight for Africa. It feels like it will be a political issue soon.

That's pretty hilarious because by the logic that Du Plessis cannot be African because of being white, Adesanya cannot be New Zealander. Not to mention that RSA, just like most (if not all) of sub-saharan countries was founded by whites and the vast majority of its black population immigrated into it.
It's also funny how Adesanya didn't have a problem performing under the Chinese flag at the beginning of his career, which makes him look like an absolute sell-out who only returned to calling himself Nigerian because it's a huge country with a huge audience.
1142  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Nigel Farage has not been "debanked" on: July 11, 2023, 09:28:46 PM
People are more likely to root for underdogs and nobody likes banks.

Since when are oligarchs the underdog?  He's a career politician who's only in it for the money.  No one in their right mind should feel sorry for this parasitic leech.

Farage is an opportunist who can kick up a stink over literally nothing.  If Farage turned down a personal account, clearly he hasn't been "debanked".  It's the business accounts they're refusing to offer him.  Likely because his so-called businesses are shady as fuck.  I sincerely hope he does leave the UK and some other place can put up with his bullshit.

In what way is he an oligarch? I think you're using this word way too loosely. Not to mention that he stepped down from UKIP a few years ago and is not a member of any party (as far as I know).
You might not like the guy, but there's no denying he has way less actual power than any of the major banking groups.

And it's not as much about people feeling sorry for him, but more about people getting pissed at the fact that one's account can be closed for their political beliefs/affiliations (whether that story is true or not).

And as for "shady" businesses, the logical course of action would be to report such to relevant authorities rather than denying him a service and make him move his shady business elsewhere.

1143  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Why do 90% of Bettors Lose in Sports Betting in the Long-term? on: July 11, 2023, 08:59:54 PM
Even though many people that bet on sportbet are not that knowledgeable, there are people that are still making huge profits from betting. There are people that had gain the knowledge and pattern of betting and having a consistent winning and they don't waste time making money from sport bet. Sport bet is very easy to make profits but some persons had used greed to scatter there possibility of making winnings which is one of the problems of gamblers.

I doubt it. People making a living out of sports betting are like unicorns, everyone has heard about them but no one has seen them in real life.
The only way to make consistent profits would be arbitrage betting. The problems with that are: 1) you have limited opportunities; 2) sooner or later, it'll get you banned from betting platforms.
Other than that I see no realistic option for regular profit. You making consistent wins would require bookies to keep miscalculating odds in your favour, which is unlikely to happen (on a regular basis).
1144  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Betting strategy question on: July 11, 2023, 08:42:15 PM
There shouldn't really be any distinction between the capital and the current profits (from gambling or other). It all should be viewed as one pool of funds.
I think the best way in making financial decisions would be to develop an almost autistic approach when the past (so i.e. the origins of the funds) is irrelevant and you only consider two things: 1) how much funds have I got available; and 2) what's the best way to do with it (invest, spend, gamble etc).

I am of the opinion that all budgets should be separated, your business budget, your own budget and of course the gaming budget should be separate. Only in this way will you be able to properly analyze what you spend where. And if you mix everything into one budget, then it will be very difficult to figure it out, and you will have more opportunities to lose more money if you do not limit yourself in this, just for gambling.

I'm not advocating for throwing all the money into one pot and going all in on one thing. Of course you need to budget for all life expenses and carefully plan to achieve your financial goals.
Personally, I do have multiple special purpose reserves (house repairs, holiday fund, car maintenance fund etc) and diversify my investments. But at the same time, I'm looking at it as one big fund and periodically would evaluate it to make sure I manage it in the most optimal way (to the best of my abilities). For example, I have separate funds for investing, but that doesn't mean I cannot also invest money held as a house repair fund. It doesn't make sense to keep it on a low-interest bank account and watch it get eaten by high inflation.

Back to the subject of gambling - what does it even mean to have your money split as "your own budget" and "the gaming budget"? Obviously your gaming budget should be a part of your own budget, unless you're gambling with other people's money. And what's the point of having a hard split (other than to make yourself feel better)? If your gaming budget is low or drained, but you spot an amazing betting opportunity - are you not going to take it (provided you have other funds and can afford to risk them)? Or if your gaming budget grows big (by luck) and you have a great investment opportunity - are you not going to take it just because you earmarked that money for gambling?
1145  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Will debanking Nigel Farage affect Bitcoin? on: July 11, 2023, 05:15:54 PM
I haven't delved too deep into this story, but it's possible that the reasons behind denying Nigel Farage services were not necessarily political. If that was the case, they'd probably do it openly to virtue signal and to scare away people with "incorrect" opinions. But as reported by The Financial Times they offered him a basic NatWest account instead (Coutts is part of the NatWest group). As much of a downgrade as it is, it shows they don't necessarily mind to keep him as a customer.

Anyhow, stories like that will definitely work in his favour in terms of getting public sympathy. People are more likely to root for underdogs and nobody likes banks.
1146  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What term to use? Halving or Halvening? Term history on: July 11, 2023, 04:58:04 PM
Halving = the more 'formal' term
Halvening = the memefied version

If I'm not mistaken the memefied version was an attempt to combine the grammatically correct term of "halving" with the word "happening" from then popular "it's happening" Ron Paul memes.
I believe the same origins can be attributed to the word "flippening" (in reference to the possibility of ETH taking BTC's No. 1 spot).

I also prefer the 2nd version. A little things like this one (or "hodl") gives BTC community some uniqueness.
1147  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2023-06-30] Barrons: Bitcoin Drops After Report SEC Says BlackRock Spot Bitcoin on: July 10, 2023, 10:12:30 PM
Then this is not only good news for Blackrock but the entire cryptospace!

I'm not sure how I feel about BTC price potentially being dictated by institutional investors trading ETFs. This isn't quite the direction early bitcoiners were aiming for, but time will tell.

But wait!!!!!!!!!!!!!
For weeks I've been told that the whole attack on Binance is orchestrated by the Wall Street whales behind Blackrock to push Binance out of the US once through their pawns and puppets in the SEC.

So, what's going to happen to the tin foil industry, going bankrupt?

What does Binance have to do with BlackRocks's filing for ETF and how does this prove SEC is not trying to push Binance out of US? Wrong thread?
1148  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Why do 90% of Bettors Lose in Sports Betting in the Long-term? on: July 10, 2023, 09:58:07 PM
That's true. To a gambler who is betting money on a given outcome every bet is a value bet, because otherwise they wouldn't be placing it. Finding a bookie that gives you a little bit more for the same bet might be seen as a value bet because you can make more if you win, but what if you don't. The odds don't change. One bookie will pay you back $100 and the other $95, but if you lose, you lose it all. This means that if you're unlucky, no amount of value betting and bonus hunting will change that, it will only get your hopes up.

That's not true, most gamblers don't care about value betting and wouldn't run any odds/payout analysing. Instead, they'd be focused on betting on the most probable outcome, oftentimes accepting poor payout rates.
Value betting is not about guaranteed win, but about spotting odds that are higher than they should be. If I offer to pay you $1.20 if you win a coin toss with a wager of $1 - that's a good value, despite of whether you win or lose.
1149  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Declaration of cryptocurrencies in the UK on: July 10, 2023, 09:43:05 PM
Not much of a surprise here, we couldn't expect crypto to have any preferential treatment. So if all kinds of assets that proceeded from crime could be seized, then crypto should not be an exemption.

Coinbase did phrase this one a bit oddly though:

Quote
While the House of Lords didn't make changes to crypto aspects of the bill, during earlier proceedings it was amended to ensure the measures extended to terrorism cases and measures to help authorities seize property that can help identify crypto linked to crime were added. Plus, an amendment was added to ensure courts can ask authorities to seize and freeze crypto used for crime.

It reads as if the authorities not only could seize crypto proceeded from crime, but also seize crypto that can help identify crypto from crime. Whatever that means.

I tried to verify it with the bill itself, but it's pretty lengthy: https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2023/29/enacted
1150  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: P2P will safe your life on: July 10, 2023, 09:25:09 PM
Do you then mean that Binance p2p feature is not really a what it is but a peer to intermediary? This is a bit confusing. Care to explain further?
Yes. When you use Binance p2p, you are not trading directly with the other peer, Binance is the third party or intermediary in the trade. P2p means directly from one peer to another and what ensures the safety of the traders isn't a third party but mostly a multi-sig set up, in which both parties will sign the transaction to release coins to the seller if everything goes smooth.

If you don't want to classify a trade as P2P whenever any 3rd party is involved, then you'd be left only with crypto/physical cash transactions. When you want to wire fiat, you'd have to use third-party bank or payment processor services.
A more sensible approach is to assess the nature of the involvement of the 3rd party. In the case of Binance, I'd call it a semi-P2P. If they only provided a platform to connect buyers with sellers, then I wouldn't have a problem in calling it a peer-to-peer platform, but since they also hold crypto in escrow, charge fees and resolve disputes (when needed) then it's indeed not a full P2P.
1151  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Betting strategy question on: July 10, 2023, 09:02:34 PM
That is exactly the thing, even if we say that we only gamble our profits and didn't include our capital, we are not taking things seriously because we do know that we still have the capital left and thought that it's not really a big deal if we lose this next bet or not. But in reality, that was already a wrong mindset as we won't get to where we are planning if we are thinking about it, instead we should learn from it and be mindful that the approach wasn't successful, so it's time to change it as well as the mindset.

There shouldn't really be any distinction between the capital and the current profits (from gambling or other). It all should be viewed as one pool of funds.
I think the best way in making financial decisions would be to develop an almost autistic approach when the past (so i.e. the origins of the funds) is irrelevant and you only consider two things: 1) how much funds have I got available; and 2) what's the best way to do with it (invest, spend, gamble etc).

1152  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2023-07-05] Bloomberg: BlackRock Wants to Make It Cheaper to Trade Bitcoin... on: July 08, 2023, 08:28:16 AM
BlackRock are also quite diversified with their investment, but it is heavily exposed to some large tech stocks. So it makes sense that they will invest in one of the best financial breakthroughs in the last 20 years.

Yes, Bitcoin investments are high risk, but if you have a diversified and balanced portfolio, then you can manage the risk. I think the SEC are stalling the decision to approve their application, because they want to see what happens in the next election.  Roll Eyes

In this case, is not as much about BlackRock investing in Bitcoin, but more about them making it easier for others (especially institutional investors) to invest in it. So they'd be making profits from managing the ETF rather than from Bitcoin appreciating in value. So pretty similar to centralised exchanges, it's the number of users and activity that matters, not the asset's price.
1153  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Why do 90% of Bettors Lose in Sports Betting in the Long-term? on: July 08, 2023, 08:22:13 AM
Even though we have scraped and collected data from past events on sports, there are still quite a few exceptions that will make the 'informed' bet lose. Say, there are last-minute injuries or changes to a team's composition which will definitely affect how they play, that is already something that will make a bet lose no matter how close your informed bets are to the statistics the teams are presenting. There are outliers, and there are also just some bets that were analyzed too much that simple factors were missed which makes the bettor lose. Also, chasing losses and losing self-control helps in making the bettor lose their bets. Overall, there's just a lot of factors out there that will definitely hurt the bettor in sports betting. Some say that luck isn't a factor in this type of gambling, but truth be told, it still is.

That's true, but the idea behind researching and analysing in sports betting is (or at least should be) not to win every single bet, but to be profitable in the long-run.
So, depending on the type of sports you bet on, you could either completely discount any exceptional events (injuries or other unforeseen things) as they won't matter in the grand scheme of things, or, if such events are likely to happen and can have a tangible effect on your results, you need to account for them when calculating your odds.
And another thing to consider is that such things could also work in your favour, i.e. if something bad happens to the team you're betting against, it all should balance-out.
1154  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Betting strategy question on: July 08, 2023, 08:05:49 AM
As I always do in sports betting with strict control or self-control when I bet with a capital of $ 50 and get a profit of $ 20 and then bet again using my profit of $ 20 without involving my initial capital.
So that when it's unlucky for the club I chose to lose I won't feel like I'm losing because I still have an initial capital of $50 and I will do that continuously with full control.[/left]

I understand where you're coming from and can relate to that, as I was using a similar tactic back in the day. But the truth is, this is a good example of how to NOT approach gambling. As you yourself said, this approach would not make you feel like losing - meaning it's based on emotions and feelings.
What you should be aiming at, is an emotionless, cold-calculated approach, i.e. it doesn't matter if that $20 was previously won, earned, or if your grandma gave it to you, that's completely irrelevant.
1155  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: P2P will safe your life on: July 08, 2023, 07:54:51 AM
Its a common misconception that the Tainted Coins are real. Bitcoin's fungibility is one of its greatest strengths. Bitcoins are interchangeable, and its pointless to try to trace their origins.
Then you need to file a report against this site https://www.chainalysis.com/ because their main service are tracking the coins' origins in order to combat against of money laundering. They are cooperating with centralized exchanges too, so if you use a centralized exchanges to trade your coins, you has a chance being tracked by them.

It's not mean I support chainalysis, but you're wrong if the centralized entities aren't consider about tainted coins.

Whether or not coins are actually "tainted" largely depends on the laws in each jurisdiction, i.e. how they approach a situation where say a merchant gets paid with stolen money (be it bitcoins or physical cash), will such money be confiscated or will it be seen as legitimately earned?
Of course it gets trickier with P2P exchange, and I think it'd usually be approached on case-by-case basis, but in countries like the US, there would be a big chance of them getting seized, because the US loves seizing stuff (see the Civil Forfeiture laws)
1156  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2023-06-30] Barrons: Bitcoin Drops After Report SEC Says BlackRock Spot Bitcoin on: July 08, 2023, 07:37:44 AM
Their track record is great but is this really a valid metric to go from, considering Bitcoin is a completely new kind of asset class that has faced regulatory, publicity and government scrutiny since its inception?

I think justifying the odds of approval based on the track record is not an accurate way to do so. It's still possible that the SEC will turn around and say they are not ready yet, or come up with some reason to delay.

I'd say the odds are 65/35 in favor for imminent approval, all things considered. I think more regulation must come in first and delay due to that feels probable.

I think the general idea is that, given its size, position and connections, BlackRock would not bother filing their application if they didn't know that it'll likely get approved.
I would imagine that people at the very top of the food chain know each other, or are at least closely connected, to the point they could discuss any future moves informally, over a cup of coffee, before doing that officially.
In other words, if SEC had an unwritten rule that no BTC spot ETF will ever get approval, then giants like BlackRock would probably know about it from their unofficial channels.
And it's kind of telling that they haven't filed for BTC ETF until now, despite Bitcoin being around for 14 years. I'm sure they could spot an opportunity much earlier on, but for some reason, they didn't make a move.
1157  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Country rankings in "Bitcoin friendliness" on: July 08, 2023, 07:21:15 AM
For example, I know from my own experience that Germany is friendlier than Britain. What do I mean by this? I mean it is just easier to transfer money from exchanges to banks and the other way around, the German tax people are generally "cool" with people owning Bitcoin, plus you do not pay capital gains tax on any crypto held longer than a year. Meanwhile, British banks are all angsty and I have heard of people getting their accounts shut down because they transfer fiat to/from an exchange.

Yes, there were some reports of some of the UK banks cancelling services to customers involved in crypto trading, but I don't think it was necessarily due to those banks hating on crypto, but more about the fact that such transactions would fall under "suspicious" in their systems. That could mean that such transactions triggered internal investigations, and since the cost of employees' time is not cheap, keeping those customers would mean making losses, so it was easier to just kick them out.
But still, most major banks would not cause you any problems for transferring to/from crypto exchanges. And I think, as crypto becomes more mainstream, "unfriendly" banks will be changing their stance as well, if they haven't already.
Anyhow, just because a few private businesses are not very keen on crypto that doesn't mean the whole country is as well.
1158  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Betting strategy question on: July 07, 2023, 04:14:12 PM
Not always, but they never think mathematically, because as you said, if someone thinks mathematically and calculates the results even before gambling, they would know that it is not going to provide them with any income because winnings in gambling cannot be constant, you might lose constantly but you can't win constantly in gambling because of the house edge which is why they say that the house always wins.

Those people who take gambling as a way to earn income are emotional and have no control over their emotions at all and that is the reason why they barely get anything out of the money they put into their gambling activities because someone with enough control would stop when they are losing constantly and try their luck later with the same money which is a wise decision.

I would imagine that the portion of gamblers who are aiming for constant profits or even are hoping to make a living out of it is probably very small. Those who do, will likely have some idea of how can they "beat the system" and would not rely solely on luck. For the rest of the gamblers, they're probably thinking of themselves as occasional gamblers, and as such would not even bother to even think about long-term consequences or try to come up with some sort of winning strategy. But what starts as a fun, once-in-a-while activity, can imperceptibly turn into a dangerous and financially-draining habit.
But yeah, if one wants to place an occasional wager on their favourite team just to get more kicks out of watching a game, then they won't be diving deep into analysing odds etc
1159  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: SEC vs Binance on: July 07, 2023, 04:00:24 PM
So things are really looking worse and worse everyday for Binance, they keep getting bashed from every side. We have reports of massive net outflows of customers' funds (which is understandable), but what puzzles me is how come Binance's proof of funds does not seem to reflect the situation at all:
https://www.binance.com/en/proof-of-reserves
It's showing snapshots of customers'/exchange's balances at the 1st of each month, and comparing BTC and USDT balances at 1 July with balances at 1 Feb (before all the drama started), the customers' funds actually went up. ETH balances went down compared to Feb, but are still higher than at 1 April. This doesn't make much sense to me, or maybe I'm just missing something here.
1160  Bitcoin / Press / [2023-07-05] Bloomberg: BlackRock Wants to Make It Cheaper to Trade Bitcoin... on: July 07, 2023, 03:33:09 PM
Some bullish news, BlackRock's CEO, Larry Fink sees Bitcoin as a good opportunity and wants to "democratize crypto". After having their initial ETF application rejected (apparently for trivial reasons) they re-filed it recently.

BlackRock Wants to Make It Cheaper to Trade Bitcoin, Larry Fink Says

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-05/blackrock-wants-to-make-it-cheaper-to-trade-bitcoin-fink-says

Quote
BlackRock Inc. Chief Executive Officer Larry Fink called Bitcoin an “international asset” and said the money manager wants to use its heft to make it less expensive and easier to invest in the cryptocurrency.

“It costs a lot of money right now to transact Bitcoin,” Fink said Wednesday in an interview on Fox Business. “We hope our regulators look at these filings as a way to democratize crypto.”

The money management giant filed paperwork last month to set up an exchange-traded fund that invests directly in Bitcoin, which prompted a flurry of similar applications from rival issuers and a rally in Bitcoin’s price to more than $30,000. Bitcoin rose more than 12% in June alone and is up more than 80% year-to-date.
...

ps. they seemed to intend to subscribe-wall this article but I can read it fine, and hope you are too.
Pages: « 1 ... 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 [58] 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 ... 334 »
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!