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1021  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: August 12, 2023, 07:43:18 PM
It also appears everyone has forgotten that we have another sexy fighting kitten in this card and she is the underdog. She is Polyana Viana and she likes cosplay and sharing pictures of herself in onlyfans.com hehe.

If you're simping on OF, you need to seriously reflect on your life. I'm not even joking. Don't pollute the forum with this garbage.

By the way, I see that there is a main card schedule that is quite sensational and will definitely be a very epic battle because it brings together the brutal king of his Adesanya vs Strickland next September.
source : https://twitter.com/ufc/status/1689728321675005953?t=2lWEqUVkB_iJ73-t3_Rz9Q&s=19

Oh wow, I did not see that coming. So apparently Du Plessis is suffering from some injury and refused fighting in Sep, as he would have no chance for a proper training camp. I understand his decision and he'll likely get the title shot next time around so nothing is lost other than time.
As for Stricland, I can't imagine him beating Adesanya but pre-fight interviews and conference will surely be entertaining.

1022  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: August 11, 2023, 09:25:35 PM
After a loss to Jake Paul, Nate Diaz is now on hype and Dana White said that he is glad with Nate performance. With promotion voodoo, Conor and Diaz 3 fight can make good ticket and ppv sales. Welterweight is good division for Nate that gained for Jake Paul fight, and for steroid Conor Cheesy Conor has good chances to beat Nate and retire finally. The bad thing is, it is not clear with Conor, USADA and Conor's constantly changeable decision to fight Chandler, Gaethje or someone else.

Do people really get excited for McGregor Vs Diaz 3? Personally I couldn't care less. Making such fight would have very little to do with sport and would be an open attempt to milk both for their names before throwing them away. But maybe I'm the weird one here, I didn't care about McGregor Vs Mayweather neither. I guess I just don't like freak fights too much.
Luckily I don't think that fight will ever materialise. By accepting it, McGregor would officially rule himself out from aspiring for the title, and he has too much to lose to let the hype die out. Career-wise, Conor has to take a fight against someone from the top 10 (and win) to stay relevant and not fade away.
1023  Local / Polski / Re: Ogólne rozmowy na temat kampanii sygnatur on: August 11, 2023, 09:00:20 PM
Okej, dzięki bardzo za odpowiedź. Zastanawiałem się jednak też nad tym, gdybym promował jakąś stronę krypto (kasyno), czy w przypadku aktywności takiej jak wymagają powyższe kampanie, czy byłyby jakieś konkretne efekty w postaci aktywnych poleconych, czy też korzystanie z usług kampanii jest korzystniejsze, testowaliście może to pierwsze?

Z mojego doświadczenia jest to trochę podobny mechanizm do kopania BTC solo Vs w mining pool. Niby możesz znaleźć blok w pojedynkę ale jest to bardzo ciężkie i kopanie w poolu jest z reguły bardziej opłacalne i daje przychód regularnie.

Moje "sukcesy" w zarabianiu prowizji z poleconych wyglądały głównie w ten sposób że miałem długie miesiące bez żadnych rezultatów a potem trafiała się jedna osoba która robiła duże obroty i generowała większość zysku.
Z punktu widzenia kampanii, nie chodzi tylko o to żeby ludzie zapisywali się klikając w sygnatury, ale także o budowanie rozpoznawalności marki i reputacji wśród społeczności bitcoinowej.

Dobra wiadomość jest też taka że większość kampanii, które mają jakiś program poleconych, nie ma nic przeciwko jeżeli uczestnik wstawi sobie zmodyfikowany referral link w kodzie sygnatury (oczywiście przy wcześniejszym uzgodnieniu). Tak więc niekoniecznie musisz wybierać między jednym a drugim.
1024  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin is going down. on: August 11, 2023, 08:34:58 PM
(...) And it will continue i think. Now everyone should hold stable coin or cash now i think. Because i think anytime Bitcoin can huge dump. That time will best time to buy  Bitcoin or another currency. Because now we are not seeing any sign to increase Bitcoin price. I think Bitcoin price will going to $20k again. And if it go more down there has no surprising i think. (..)

You sure do a lot of thinking. Do you have any justification for that $20k prediction, or are you just saying it might happen?
It's true that anything can happen, but we do have more bullish signs on the horizon than bearish ones, mainly halving and the BlackRock's spot ETF.

(...) Many crypto whales are telling Bitcoin price will come near about $15k. I wish within this year market will positive and bitcoin price will increase.
I'm going to call you out on this one. Name one. Just one.

p.s. This thread was started in April and was discussing different price action. Bitcoin dropped to $25k region but rebounded to over $31k. Not sure is there any point of keeping this topic alive.
1025  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Why do 90% of Bettors Lose in Sports Betting in the Long-term? on: August 11, 2023, 08:15:31 PM
Generally I will bet when I get a good prediction based on my own research, for example a meeting between the two teams in football and I will see the chances of winning first before deciding to bet.

Chance of winning alone is definitely not enough and is probably the main reason why so many people lose money. What you need to be looking at is the relation of payout rate to the chance of winning (Expected Value of the bet). So what if the team A has 90% chance of winning if the odds are set at x1.05. This wouldn't be a good bet to make. And if the team B has only 10% chance of winning, but the odds are set at x15.0 - that'd be a good value bet.
1026  Local / Polski / Re: Ogólne rozmowy na temat kampanii sygnatur on: August 11, 2023, 07:56:33 PM
Cześć, jestem tu od jakiegoś czasu, ale nie jestem pewien o co chodzi.
Czy chodzi o sygnatury tutaj na bitcointalku, czy o coś innego?
Byłbym wdzięczny jak ktoś by wyjaśnił.

Dokładnie. Chodzi o sygnatury w profilu użytkownika. Jak pewnie zauważyłeś, większość postów na tym forum jest pisana przez osoby które mają jakąś reklamę w "sygnaturze" która pokazuje się na dole (prawie) każdego posta.
Kampanie sygnatur płacą ludziom za pisanie (a więc reklamowanie) na forum. Oczywiście musisz do takiej kampanii zostać zaakceptowany i spełniać wymagania włącznie z wymaganą rangą.
Przegląd aktywnych kampanii (płacących w BTC) znajdziesz w tym wątku:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=615953.0
Możesz kliknąć na każdą poszczególną kampanię i zobaczyć więcej szczegółów.
1027  Local / Polski / Re: Ogólne rozmowy na temat kampanii sygnatur on: August 10, 2023, 09:31:05 PM
Robi wrażenie. 6$ to co najmniej 50% powyżej rynek plus fakt, że ma się pełną swobodę w pisaniu (brak minimum i wysokie maksimum). Chętnie bym doszedł do takiej kampani, ale obawiam się, że po 3-4 tygodniach się zawinie a ja zostanę na lodzie, a moja obecna kampania trwa już 177 tygodni (3 lata) i daje dobrą stabilność i obawiam się, że jak wyjdę to już nie wrócę.

Warto dodać, że w linkowanej kampani nie licza się posty napisane dalej niż 15 strona wątku.

Przy maksymalnej liczbie postów i stawce $6/post, to daje miesięcznie prawie 3,900zł, czyli o 300zł więcej niż wynosi obecna płaca minimalna. Wyżyć z tego raczej się nie da, ale już robi sie poważnie.

Ja mam to samo podejście, wole mniejsze pieniądze w sprawdzonej kampanii z długą historią niż skakanie po kampaniach patrząc jedynie na stawkę.
1028  Bitcoin / Press / [2023-08-09] Forbes: Leak Reveals BlackRock’s Game-Changing Bitcoin Plan That... on: August 10, 2023, 09:08:33 PM
Another bullish press hit from yesterday, relating to the Blackrock's ETF news. According to a leaked information is just a matter of time till BTC spot ETF gets aproved by SEC.

Leak Reveals BlackRock’s Game-Changing Bitcoin Plan That Could Cause Price Chaos For Ethereum, XRP And Crypto

https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-assets/2023/08/09/leak-reveals-blackrocks-game-changing-bitcoin-plan-that-could-cause-price-chaos-for-ethereum-xrp-and-crypto

Quote
The bitcoin price has reclaimed $30,000 per bitcoin this week after dropping under the psychological level as hype around a flurry of U.S. spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) applications returns—boosting the price of ethereum, Ripple's XRP XRP 0.0% and other major cryptocurrencies as traders brace for billionaire Elon Musk to lob a grenade into the crypto market.

Now, Mike Novogratz, the chief executive of crypto financial services company Galaxy Digital, has revealed his sources at two of the world's largest asset managers, BlackRock and Invesco, expect a game-changing spot bitcoin ETF to be approved within the next six months, calling it a matter of "when, not if."
...
1029  Economy / Exchanges / Re: *warning* Huobi insolvency rumours on: August 10, 2023, 08:54:01 PM
I will keep your advice in mind maybe at that time i might be not thinking straight. hehe. But thanks to all members for correction and i just edited my statement made in my first reply. I didn't meant to advice anyone to keep there funds in there instead i myself intend to learn from those statements weather that act of withdrawing would be good or not but now i know the truth. Yeah i admit that i am around here for some time but unfortunately half of that time i wasted in bounties and didn't intend to learn the basics of crypto. But even though i am a senior member here i consider my self a student all the time and try to learn things and i accept my mistake.

No worries. We all make mistakes and learning is a constant process. I feel you had good intentions and just confused centralised crypto exchange with a classic fiat banking. The latter allows banks to operate a fractional reserve system, so even a "healthy" banks could go bankrupt if a panic kicks in and too many people rush to withdraw (aka "bank run"). In such case, advising people not to panic and stay calm would make some sense.
1030  Local / Polski / Re: Aktualne konkursy tutaj na forum on: August 10, 2023, 08:24:20 PM
/snip/

Link jest niedostępny. Zgaduję że albo sam usunąłeś posta (z powodu małej aktywności?) albo został usunięty przez moderatorów za złamanie którejś z zasad.
Może spróbuj ponownie, z dłuższym czasem trwania + upewnij się że post jest zgodny z regulaminem.
1031  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: August 10, 2023, 08:15:51 PM
Quote from: owengtam09 link=topic=5139347.mote author=sg62665571#msg62665571 date=1691514138
After watching your video I was also convinced that this is not the same Conor McGregor, well after announcing that he will return I notice that he is getting fat, but I surely ignored it, well 1st I really don't like the guy, but I like his style in fighting, but after seeing your video it really makes sense that this is not the same Conor McGregor that many fans know and love, surely drugs and some illegal medicine is bad for everybody and surely before taking that fight with Chandler he should take a rehab 1st and come clean,

It's important to remember that all videos like that are meant with the sole intention of getting as many views as possible, so they're not necessarily objective and it's possible that he'll manage to get back in shape (even if he indeed used steroids and let himself go in alcohol/drugs use). That's why it would be good to see any recent, proper training or sparring, as you can't fake those.
I feel bad for Chandler right now. He was promised the big money fight that he wanted, but if McGregor keeps stalling and delaying, he might end up wasting a lot of time and miss out on other potential fights.
1032  Economy / Speculation / Re: Volatility and its effect on: August 08, 2023, 03:36:50 PM
Bitcoin will likely remain more volatile than most of the fiat currencies, as it has a fixed supply and is lacking any central authority (such a government or a central bank) to keep its price under control.
There's also no guaranteed demand that fiat currencies have (e.g. you have to use them to pay taxes), which bears extra uncertainty on how long an it drop when market panic kicks in.
But I wouldn't worry too much about volatility at this point. For many traders an investors, this is viewed more as a feature than a bug. The risk is higher, but so is the potential profit yield.
1033  Economy / Gambling / Re: Using ToS against users normal? on: August 08, 2023, 03:20:44 PM
Lately  I have seen this trending and if actually any casino does this, it is an dishonest behaviour and can also be said to be a breach of an agreement. I have also seen Stake heavily linked to this behaviour but I never saw a thread that they (Stake), clarified themselves on this.

Have Stake really changed their ToS without informing their players and used such changes to deny any withdrawals?
I find it hard to believe as Stake appears to be quite caring about being law compliant, and such practices would be illegal in vast majority of civilised countries.
It probably wasn't a breach of agreement if they had a standard clause allowing themselves to make any changes without any notice. But they could be in compliance with the agreement but still break a law, as those are two different things.
1034  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: August 08, 2023, 03:07:02 PM
Nice to see Conor McGregor posting training videos again. It seemed like he was a little quiet there for a minute. He seems to be back in the lab and preparing for his next fight now. I personally can’t wait to see him fight again as he was always the most entertaining MMA fighter. Hopefully he can get himself a win. It’s a long time coming now.

Did he post any vids in which he throws any fast and complex combinations (other than classic one-twos)? That'd be a good showcase of his real form.
I have to admit, I kind of wrote him off in my mind after seeing videos like this one:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v_HoqOuLR30 and after pretty much every commentator in the industry agreeing that he was likely on steroids.
And to be fair, it made sense for him to try his luck with HGH (human growth hormone) to speed up the broken leg recovery, but that could have backfired with an unintentional side-effects.
1035  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Why do 90% of Bettors Lose in Sports Betting in the Long-term? on: August 08, 2023, 02:47:41 PM
i believe, there are few of these sportsbettors who can win in the long-term. but those sportsbettors somehow invested some of their winnings to businesses, so even if they go back to betting, they have other means to earn money, so they are not totally broke.

Have you actually met or heard about any real-life long-term profitable sports-bettors, or do you just believe they exist?
If the story is real, the very fact they they had chosen to take their capital and invest it somewhere else would indicate that they themselves didn't have much faith in their betting skills working long-term.
1036  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: MicroStrategy Turns Profitable with Bitcoin and Plans for More Growth on: August 08, 2023, 09:19:29 AM
To say they turned profitable is a bit of a stretch. The recorded profit after tax of $22.2m was due to the $60.3 of tax credit they accounted in the 2nd quarter.
Their loss before tax was $38.1m and operating loss was $26.7m including "digital asset impairment losses" (which I'm guessing represents changes in BTC value) of $24.1m.
Adjusting for the mentioned impairment losses, they actualy did a bit worse than in the same quarter of 2022.

Link to the announcement:
https://www.microstrategy.com/content/dam/website-assets/collateral/financial-documents/press-release-archive/microstrategy-announces-second-quarter-2023-financial-results_08-01-2023.pdf
1037  Economy / Exchanges / Re: *warning* Huobi insolvency rumours on: August 07, 2023, 08:12:07 AM
Overall, i think we should not panic and do not recommend others to withdraw there funds until they make some announcements because such panic and quick withdrawals will left that exchange no other choice but bankrupt only. I know it's not an acceptable option for the members who have there funds on that exchange but still i think a little patience is necessary.

Disagree. First of all, nobody should be using centralised exchanges as wallets. But most of all, if you claim that people withdrawing funds will make them go bust, that would mean they've been using fractional reserves banking, which alone would be a good reason the get out of there.
But if the rumours are true, maybe at least some of their customers will manage to escape before it implodes.
And frankly, if you had any funds in there, I don't think you would take your own advice of just sitting and waiting for the announcement, so don't advise that to others.
1038  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Why do 90% of Bettors Lose in Sports Betting in the Long-term? on: August 07, 2023, 08:02:29 AM
That's why most of bettors always lose, even though many people say it's a skill based game, but it's still not enough to give a higher guarantee the gambler will win and beat the house.

As much as I agree that some types of games that are considered gambling are actually skill games (namely poker) I wouldn't say the same thing about sports betting. Sure, if you have good analytical skills and knowledge of the particular sport you could potentially spot opportunities when the odds are misplaced by bookies giving you the mathematical advantage, but that's more about finding anomalies. By design, sports betting is not far away from "classic" casino games where the house has the edge. That's why we don't see many (or at all?) professional sports bettors.
1039  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: August 07, 2023, 07:46:32 AM
Here are the results of my betting on the UFC fight
/snip/

That's 3 out of 3, congrats and well done, especially on the Dustin Jacoby pick. He was a slight underdog but managed to run over Dustin Jacoby in just over a minute of round one. I think he now has like 12 or 13 first-round knockouts in his records, which says a lot and is not a coincidence.
1040  Economy / Exchanges / *warning* Huobi insolvency rumours on: August 07, 2023, 07:28:34 AM
Credit to Tytanowy Janusz for posting this on our local board.

If you hold any funds on Huobi, you may want to consider withdrawing asap.

As reported by Adam Cochran on his twitter: https://twitter.com/adamscochran/status/1687959096316542976, looks like Huobi might only hold a fraction of the reserves declared in the "Merkle Tree Audit", which they stopped updating last month.

We have some fresh press hits already:
https://cointelegraph.com/news/huobi-tvl-drops-amid-rumors-insolvency-investigations-china
https://decrypt.co/151535/huobi-insolvency-police-rumors-adam-cochran-justin-sun
https://ambcrypto.com/unraveling-the-link-between-justin-sun-huobi-usdt/

Huobi's twitter account is active but they didn't bother to address this accusation so far.

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