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Author Topic: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread  (Read 594117 times)
hahay
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June 14, 2020, 07:21:09 PM
 #8661

Mainz 05 vs Augsburg
Mainz currently sits at 31 points at the moment, only two points ahead of Dusseldorf and Werder Bremen and the relegation/relegation playoffs. Augsburg has just one point more. So for both teams these 3 points today would mean a lot in the relegation battle. The head-to-head statisics favour Augsburg which has won the last three matches against Mainz but on the other hand they out of their last 7 away games they only won a single one and overall they only managed to get 3 wins out of 15 away games. The home statistics for Mainz don't look that good either with only 4 home wins so far. So for this match, I'd say it can go either way and it's pretty hard to predict a winner. However, out of the last 14 matches between these two team, there was only one draw (in 2015). Even though my gut tells me Mainz, I'd say BTTS (@1.61) is a safer bet.

Schalke vs Leverkusen
With the current performance of Schalke it wouldn't surprise me if they won't get a single point in their remaining matches this season (they only won one game so far this year). And now they have Leverkusen as their guest, which will be eager to take advantage of Gladbachs defeat yesterday to secure at least the fourth place and thus the UCL qualification. Tbh. I don't really see a good chance here for Schalke to steal point(s), especially now that they have to play without Sane, so I'd go with a bet on Leverkusen (@1.44).

How do you see the matches today? Does anyone know if Havertz will be able to play again today?

I had predicted beforehand that if these two matches there would be only a few goals because the performance was greatly reduced but I guess that was not for Leverkusen, I personally predicted beforehand that Leverkusen still had power which basically could still win the match but the final result was only 1 point for both teams. But anyway, my bet about Under 3.5 for both matches brought a good return to my bankroll.

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June 14, 2020, 09:12:16 PM
 #8662

The last game today was the best for me. I have bet on a draw. Exactly 1:1  Grin
But I am a bit surprised about Augsburg. Have not thought they would win. 3 Points are very important for them to keep the relegation place in distance.
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June 15, 2020, 08:20:49 AM
 #8663

I love it how fast the games are coming now. There was a game yesterday and half of the new round is already starting tomorrow.

I feel Werder has no chance against Bayern, they can confirm the title tomorrow. I think I'll go with over 3,5 goals there and with BTTS on Monchengladbach - Wolfsburg pair. Monchengladbach must go for a win and Wolfsburg has nothing to play for so they will probably go for goals.

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June 15, 2020, 11:34:16 AM
 #8664

I love it how fast the games are coming now. There was a game yesterday and half of the new round is already starting tomorrow.

I feel Werder has no chance against Bayern, they can confirm the title tomorrow. I think I'll go with over 3,5 goals there and with BTTS on Monchengladbach - Wolfsburg pair. Monchengladbach must go for a win and Wolfsburg has nothing to play for so they will probably go for goals.

top three teams are playing against relegation trio - Werder with Bayern, Dortmund with Mainz, Leipzig with Dusseldorf, so they will stay at the same level after this round, or one that won any points will be in better situation prior to last two rounds

Bayern is at @1.15 which is now the level that i will put in betting ticket, so will skip, and goals are not that realistic for me, i think that they will play defensively to take a point, or three from one counter attack, Bayern can secure the title tomorrow, but they could it in next rounds as well
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June 15, 2020, 02:17:04 PM
 #8665

For me, Bundesliga has just become the worst league to make bets because after the corona break, all the games are unpredictable with teams who even have hunger for football or teams who forgot to play it. Per example, DOrtmund yesterday was one of the most shady games I ever watched in the last months followed by Mainz today.

( LaLiga is not far from Bundesliga tho )

To be honest, it is not only the Bundesliga and not only football. All sports (at least those that take place again) are very difficult to bet at the moment. I haven't made a bet since the beginning of March. The old approaches are no longer working properly at the moment. For example, the complete home advantage is gone without fans. I will be betting again at the beginning of next season at the earliest. Hopefully the situation will have normalized by then.
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June 15, 2020, 05:30:10 PM
 #8666

I feel Werder has no chance against Bayern, they can confirm the title tomorrow. I think I'll go with over 3,5 goals there and with BTTS on Monchengladbach - Wolfsburg pair. Monchengladbach must go for a win and Wolfsburg has nothing to play for so they will probably go for goals.
I feel like BTTS might be a solid pick in the Werder Bremen match. Bayern are obviously the favorites, but Bremen desperately needs a win since, mathematically, they still have a chance of avoiding relegation. I could see them scoring a goal or two but Bayern will win by a 3 goal difference or more  Roll Eyes

But my main bet tomorrow is: Gladbach ML @2.22

Remember that Wolfsburg does need to secure a top 6 spot to qualify to the next Europa League so the game tomorrow is key, but Gladbach are the better team and they'd want to keep the pressure on Leverkusen in the fight for the CL spots.

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June 15, 2020, 08:00:10 PM
 #8667

I know that 1.15 is not really a worthy odd to bet on and I get it, I wouldn't really bet on that myself neither because it doesn't really bring back that much money (weird how we love 15% return on trades but hate 1.15 odds on sportsbooks). However, if you put it on a parlay that would actually make it more entertaining.

On sportsbet.io the odds are at 1.2 for example and when you combine that with Dortmund and Leipzig that is about 1.9 odds right there, almost double of your money for games that is usually 100% guaranteed to win. Of course you can lose, of course these teams could tie or lose but let's be realistic these teams are top of bundesliga and the others are relegating, which means it is highly unlikely that they would lose games like these and you can almost double your money.
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June 15, 2020, 09:00:39 PM
 #8668

Tomorrow's game seems quite easy for Bayern and Union expecting +3 goals in each game. The other two games are harder to predict tho. Freibourg winning vs Hertha? M'Gladbach winning vs Wolfsburg?

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June 15, 2020, 09:01:36 PM
 #8669

I feel like BTTS might be a solid pick in the Werder Bremen match. Bayern are obviously the favorites, but Bremen desperately needs a win since, mathematically, they still have a chance of avoiding relegation. I could see them scoring a goal or two but Bayern will win by a 3 goal difference or more  Roll Eyes

But my main bet tomorrow is: Gladbach ML @2.22

Remember that Wolfsburg does need to secure a top 6 spot to qualify to the next Europa League so the game tomorrow is key, but Gladbach are the better team and they'd want to keep the pressure on Leverkusen in the fight for the CL spots.

The match between Wolfsburg and Gladbach will be the most interesting tomorrow. If Gladbach wants to keep their chance for the fouth spot to qualify for the UCL, they desperately need these three points. But (if I remember correctly) they have to play without Thuram and Plea, their best scorers this season, and lost their last two matches. So I see good chances for Wolfsburg to get at least a draw or even win this game. Also Wolfsburg won their last two games against Gladbach. I'd probably go for over 2.5 goals or BTTS but since my last betting predictions were really off, I'll enjoy this game without any thought about my bet at the back of my mind.
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June 15, 2020, 09:09:15 PM
 #8670

I feel Werder has no chance against Bayern, they can confirm the title tomorrow.
Yeah, I guess so too. We won't see any surprises and Munich will be champion tomorrow.
But the matchday is interesting. Dortmund vs. Mainz and Leipzig vs. Düsseldorf. Top teams playing against relegation candidate.
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June 16, 2020, 12:00:48 AM
 #8671

Yeah, I guess so too. We won't see any surprises and Munich will be champion tomorrow.
But the matchday is interesting. Dortmund vs. Mainz and Leipzig vs. Düsseldorf. Top teams playing against relegation candidate.
Except if Bayern do their surprising suicide, there will be no chance for Dortmund to catch them at the end. One more win match and Bayer will end the competition with Dortmund.

Dortmund and Leipzig will compete each other to find the runner-up. I don't know how Leipzig can beat Dortmund but it still be a race between two teams. Leipzig has a good news because their very young and talented manager decided to sign a new contract with them.

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June 16, 2020, 04:41:38 AM
 #8672

Yeah, I guess so too. We won't see any surprises and Munich will be champion tomorrow.
But the matchday is interesting. Dortmund vs. Mainz and Leipzig vs. Düsseldorf. Top teams playing against relegation candidate.
Except if Bayern do their surprising suicide, there will be no chance for Dortmund to catch them at the end. One more win match and Bayer will end the competition with Dortmund.

Dortmund and Leipzig will compete each other to find the runner-up. I don't know how Leipzig can beat Dortmund but it still be a race between two teams. Leipzig has a good news because their very young and talented manager decided to sign a new contract with them.
There's no way bayern munich to lose the match against bremen .. history says that bremen has never won against bayern muncih since 2008 .. it's 12 years ago!

Crazy bayern munich, i thought they're fucked up when they lost 2 times consecutively against gladbach and leverkusen in december while gladbach leading the table.
They had perfect result after that.
Moreover i really like how Leipzig play neatly since the league kicked off , they only gets 3 lost! While bayern itself has 4 , the best in the league for that stats.

The next season might be getting serious for Leipzig to chase for the title but eh  .. wait they are ready to sell werner to chelsea 😁

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June 16, 2020, 04:46:57 AM
 #8673

I feel Werder has no chance against Bayern, they can confirm the title tomorrow.
Yeah, I guess so too. We won't see any surprises and Munich will be champion tomorrow.
But the matchday is interesting. Dortmund vs. Mainz and Leipzig vs. Düsseldorf. Top teams playing against relegation candidate.

I sure do hope we don't see any surprises too and hopefully Bayern Munich can confirm their status as the Bundesliga champions for this season, but I won't rule the possibility of an upset, considering what's is at stake for Werder Bremen and for the fact that their also playing at home (that doesn't matter much, though).

I strongly believe that one of the top 3 are likely to drop points, as they are all facing relegation struggling teams Dusseldorf, Mainz and Werder Bremen.

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June 16, 2020, 05:23:49 AM
 #8674

I strongly believe that one of the top 3 are likely to drop points, as they are all facing relegation struggling teams Dusseldorf, Mainz and Werder Bremen.

I am quite sure one of them will drop points. But which one? I loved the option of lay bets. I think only betfair has them. You can make a multi of few big favourites and play that one of them will not win their match and even get solid odds for that. I think i will have to check if I still know how to login to that account, didn't use it for years.

Bayern looks like the most secure pick of the bunch but they have to drop some points as well.

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June 16, 2020, 07:10:30 AM
Merited by tomahawk9 (1)
 #8675

I know that 1.15 is not really a worthy odd to bet on and I get it, I wouldn't really bet on that myself neither because it doesn't really bring back that much money (weird how we love 15% return on trades but hate 1.15 odds on sportsbooks). However, if you put it on a parlay that would actually make it more entertaining.

Not really funny when you think about it. When opening a trade, it's a risk/reward game. Yes, it is 'only' a 15% return, but you're probably risking 10% of your capital. For sure you're not going all-in and risking everything.

When making a ticket, it's all or nothing so 15% gains is really worthless, because if you miss you lose everything. You basically need to get 7 out of 8 correctly to make a profit, which makes your risk/reward really poor.

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June 16, 2020, 07:15:08 AM
 #8676

I feel Werder has no chance against Bayern, they can confirm the title tomorrow.
Yeah, I guess so too. We won't see any surprises and Munich will be champion tomorrow.
But the matchday is interesting. Dortmund vs. Mainz and Leipzig vs. Düsseldorf. Top teams playing against relegation candidate.


All results will end as expected.
The strong teams are going to win the weaker ones.
This means that Bayern is going to lock the Bundesliga title and provide no interest for the rest of the teams.
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June 16, 2020, 07:34:52 AM
 #8677

...

I strongly believe that one of the top 3 are likely to drop points, as they are all facing relegation struggling teams Dusseldorf, Mainz and Werder Bremen.

it may well be possible that a favourite team will drop the points here and there will be a surprise...

maybe munich wants to celebrate the championship in their own stadium - i believe in werder bremen  Cool Wink

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June 16, 2020, 07:41:25 AM
 #8678

...

I strongly believe that one of the top 3 are likely to drop points, as they are all facing relegation struggling teams Dusseldorf, Mainz and Werder Bremen.

it may well be possible that a favourite team will drop the points here and there will be a surprise...

maybe munich wants to celebrate the championship in their own stadium - i believe in werder bremen  Cool Wink

I'd love it if you were right about Werder but I don't really see a chance for any of these three teams this matchday. Maybe, if I have to pick one, Dusseldorf can steal a point in Leipzig because they played not that bad against Dortmund and Leipzig is hella inconsistent lately.
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June 16, 2020, 08:37:10 AM
 #8679

I feel Werder has no chance against Bayern, they can confirm the title tomorrow.
Yeah, I guess so too. We won't see any surprises and Munich will be champion tomorrow.
But the matchday is interesting. Dortmund vs. Mainz and Leipzig vs. Düsseldorf. Top teams playing against relegation candidate.


All results will end as expected.
The strong teams are going to win the weaker ones.
This means that Bayern is going to lock the Bundesliga title and provide no interest for the rest of the teams.

The only thing that made the excitement still in the league was that Dortmund won against Düsseldorf. If Bayern wins this week, the fight will be slightly reduced.
Now, we can say that all the stones are in place for Bundesliga. In England, Liverpool was already ahead differently. I think our eyes will shift to La Liga now.
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June 16, 2020, 09:01:36 AM
 #8680

I am trying my luck with Paderborn again today, lol Grin I would love to play the away win for 5+ odds, but this match screams too much X for me. Union will be more than happy with a draw here, because it would basically secure them a spot in Bundesliga for next year. Don't see Düsseldorf/Werder getting 3 points today and with a draw Union would be 100% safe then. If Düsseldorf/Bremen draw today - which is very unlikely - Union would even be sort of safe with a loss today. They would have 6 point cushion with a -18(+) goal difference, while Düsseldorf has -28 and Bremen -29.

Paderborn were horrible against Werder in a do or die game. They will play in 2. Bundesliga next year and can start planning for it, there will be no miracle. The players, coach and officials know it and they are fine with it. Through all these 31 rounds, there were never talks about coach Baumgart getting sacked, the players never complained. They just gave their best knowing that it probably wouldn't be enough for Bundesliga. Was a nice adventure for them (again) and they will start all over in a few weeks one division lower. If there ever was some pressure, that is gone now and they can just enjoy playing football again, what was their big strenght last season in 2. Bundesliga. They do have a lot of talented players and can play very attractive football. I expect Union to play very destructive football today to get that X, while having one eye on Düsseldorf/Werder matches, but the odds for Paderborn to get 1+ points are very tempting imo.

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