casperBGD
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February 26, 2022, 06:30:44 PM |
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~snip But even with the loss Medvedev will become world number 1 since Djokovic got sent out of the Dubai Open before reaching the finals. Was thinking why didn't Novak play in this tournament instead?
it is because of sponsors, Djokovic played Dubai last year, and Nadal played Acapulco (both won those tournaments), it is not like they are afraid to fight each-other, it is that they will make more money this way Nadal is actually in great shape looking this season, did not watch the match, but Medvedev had 11 break chances, without any break in the end and Nadal is still without lost match this season, with this play he could reach no.1 at RG or even earlier
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aoluain
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February 26, 2022, 07:17:10 PM |
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I said yesterday that I will skip the final but I placed +5.5 handicap on Vesely in the end.
Great calls so far my man, and it led me to have to take this as well -- making it my weird first leg in the you-know-which-sportsbook-gives-free-insurance-on-5-legs daily I'm taking today. I only take +3.5 handicap though, and had to smack myself now as it's already dead, so quick resolution too, I guess we were wrong about the adrenaline pumping him up. Not that I was watching but the loss was pretty tame by the standards he set. Another great call by Trofo with a + handicap bet. As @rdbase asked above if Vesely has more gas in the tank for the final, it looks like he didnt and called well by Trofo. I only followed part of his call, I didnt bet on him for the final or Rublev either. I also didnt bet on either Nadal or Medvedev who went out at the had of Nadal 6-3, 6-3. Would have thought that was heading for a three setter. It looks like Nadal is in flying form ATM.
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Ratash
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February 27, 2022, 07:12:57 AM |
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Nadal comeback was strong recently he had a comfortable win against medvedev 2 0 and today he won against norrie with 2 0 again and he won his second consecutive tournament it seems that we will see a tough competition in the next grand slam especially against djokovic since he will try to be even in term of grand slam won.
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casperBGD
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February 27, 2022, 08:04:15 AM |
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Nadal comeback was strong recently he had a comfortable win against medvedev 2 0 and today he won against norrie with 2 0 again and he won his second consecutive tournament it seems that we will see a tough competition in the next grand slam especially against djokovic since he will try to be even in term of grand slam won.
it is actually third in a row for Nadal, since comeback, since he won Melbourne prior to Australian Open, it is not a major tournament, but counts eventually not typical for Nadal, but he lost gem, when he served for match in second set, and had generally many, two lost service gems in second set, but Norrie looked too tired to play Norrie now has to defend Indian Wells title, which will be very hard, considering all other players, but he is in good form, obviously
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buwaytress
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February 27, 2022, 08:57:37 AM |
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it is actually third in a row for Nadal, since comeback, since he won Melbourne prior to Australian Open, it is not a major tournament, but counts eventually not typical for Nadal, but he lost gem, when he served for match in second set, and had generally many, two lost service gems in second set, but Norrie looked too tired to play
Norrie now has to defend Indian Wells title, which will be very hard, considering all other players, but he is in good form, obviously
Damn man, 3 titles -- minor and major, they all count -- in 2022 and we're not even in March yet. And not so long ago him memed in crutches and I thought wow, it was supposed to be Fedex to drop off first, Nadal beat him to it. Then we get served with this. Federer to get inspired and mount a quick recovery? Youngest and oldest champion. What a legend.
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aoluain
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February 27, 2022, 09:40:00 AM |
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Yup, what a legend. This could be phrased as "the Return of the King" Nadal is definitely back on track showing consistent form and set to continue. 6-4 6-4 against Norrie, thats not a bad result for Norrie no disrespect to him, It almost looks like Nadal is being efficient with his energy and minimising the risk of injury by doing just enough to win.
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Trofo
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February 27, 2022, 10:02:48 AM |
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I said yesterday that I will skip the final but I placed +5.5 handicap on Vesely in the end.
Great calls so far my man, and it led me to have to take this as well -- making it my weird first leg in the you-know-which-sportsbook-gives-free-insurance-on-5-legs daily I'm taking today. I only take +3.5 handicap though, and had to smack myself now as it's already dead, so quick resolution too, I guess we were wrong about the adrenaline pumping him up. Not that I was watching but the loss was pretty tame by the standards he set. Here is my take on tennis handicaps and how I like to play them in regards to tennis scoring and RNG. RNG in this case means who wins coin toss and chooses to serve first. Vast majority of players choose to go first, Nadal was one of the few that chose to receive but not anymore. 3.5 handicap - I am taking only when betting on favorites, never against favorites. If I want to go against favorite, much better option is that underdog takes one set 4.5 handicap - heavily dependent on who goes first, try to avoid it completely since it will often get decided on coin toss 5.5 handicap and higher - sweet spot to bet on underdog, this one passes with one break per set no matter who goes first Basically never take middle handicap @1.85, take one that pays @1.6 and you will pass much more often. This brings to my only problem with Sporstbet and them offering only middle handicap. Going to write about it in their thread once more
Big congrats to Nadal, he won this one day before against Medvedev, never expected Norrie to make things complicated for him
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buwaytress
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February 27, 2022, 12:02:14 PM |
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3.5 handicap - I am taking only when betting on favorites, never against favorites. If I want to go against favorite, much better option is that underdog takes one set 4.5 handicap - heavily dependent on who goes first, try to avoid it completely since it will often get decided on coin toss 5.5 handicap and higher - sweet spot to bet on underdog, this one passes with one break per set no matter who goes first Basically never take middle handicap @1.85, take one that pays @1.6 and you will pass much more often. This brings to my only problem with Sporstbet and them offering only middle handicap. Going to write about it in their thread once more Makes a lot of sense to me, and yeah, Sportsbet problem is this is all you got, and because it looks like a good bet for an acca, I had no hesitation taking it, but I'll bear this in mind (if I don't distract myself with correct scores which is my downfall especially if huge price boosts are available) to take one barely above the min 1.5 required, or to take your sweet spot underdog 5.5.
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casperBGD
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Nil Satis Nisi Optimum
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February 27, 2022, 06:54:40 PM |
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~snip Basically never take middle handicap @1.85, take one that pays @1.6 and you will pass much more often. This brings to my only problem with Sporstbet and them offering only middle handicap. Going to write about it in their thread once more have to stop reading your posts, or I am back to betting, while I do want to stay on beer-money bets for fun joking aside, it could be seen that you analyze all things about sports and odds, and yeah, that was almost identical to my thinking when I was more to betting
no ATP tournaments next week, set for Indian Wells
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KennyR
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February 27, 2022, 07:36:02 PM |
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Yup, what a legend. This could be phrased as "the Return of the King" https://www.dubraybooks.ie/images/thumbs/052/0528324_9780008376086_625.jpegNadal is definitely back on track showing consistent form and set to continue. 6-4 6-4 against Norrie, thats not a bad result for Norrie no disrespect to him, It almost looks like Nadal is being efficient with his energy and minimising the risk of injury by doing just enough to win. What we see is the difference in the experience. Considering the experience of Rafael Nadal what Cameron Norrie have got is small. The result is not bad for Norrie, and throughout the tournament Norrie played the best to reach the final. What he said after the winning is something interesting, I've won against the fittest player of the tournament. Importantly he has won every tournament titles he competed in 2020.
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teddybear
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February 27, 2022, 09:57:40 PM |
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~snip Basically never take middle handicap @1.85, take one that pays @1.6 and you will pass much more often. This brings to my only problem with Sporstbet and them offering only middle handicap. Going to write about it in their thread once more have to stop reading your posts, or I am back to betting, while I do want to stay on beer-money bets for fun joking aside, it could be seen that you analyze all things about sports and odds, and yeah, that was almost identical to my thinking when I was more to betting
no ATP tournaments next week, set for Indian Wells There's Davis cup this week and WTA Lyon happening starting Monday. Is there any news on Djokovic and if he's being allowed to play the US tournaments? It would be a shame to see him miss out on yet another tournament.
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Vaskiy
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February 27, 2022, 11:33:05 PM |
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~snip Basically never take middle handicap @1.85, take one that pays @1.6 and you will pass much more often. This brings to my only problem with Sporstbet and them offering only middle handicap. Going to write about it in their thread once more have to stop reading your posts, or I am back to betting, while I do want to stay on beer-money bets for fun joking aside, it could be seen that you analyze all things about sports and odds, and yeah, that was almost identical to my thinking when I was more to betting
no ATP tournaments next week, set for Indian Wells There's Davis cup this week and WTA Lyon happening starting Monday. Is there any news on Djokovic and if he's being allowed to play the US tournaments? It would be a shame to see him miss out on yet another tournament. In this week the qualifier match for the Davis Cup is taking place. From some news sources it looks like Djokovic is added to the entry list of Indian Wells, though it is restricted to vaccinated players. Djokovic have said whatever the tournament I'll go and play if the opportunity is provided.
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aoluain
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February 28, 2022, 07:43:01 AM |
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~snip Basically never take middle handicap @1.85, take one that pays @1.6 and you will pass much more often. This brings to my only problem with Sporstbet and them offering only middle handicap. Going to write about it in their thread once more have to stop reading your posts, or I am back to betting, while I do want to stay on beer-money bets for fun joking aside, it could be seen that you analyze all things about sports and odds, and yeah, that was almost identical to my thinking when I was more to betting
no ATP tournaments next week, set for Indian Wells There's Davis cup this week and WTA Lyon happening starting Monday. Is there any news on Djokovic and if he's being allowed to play the US tournaments? It would be a shame to see him miss out on yet another tournament. and also a 250 tournament in Monterrey Mexico, qualifying is taking place for the second day today and I see Leyla Fernandez is scheduled to play tomorrow, she is seeded #2, Svitolina is on tomorrow seeded #1 and Madison Keys also tomorrow seeded #3. I might throw a few bets on this tournament.
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Trofo
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February 28, 2022, 06:28:56 PM |
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Here is one tip of the blue which I just played and included on some of my multi tickets. This one is not for big stake since it is based just on stats and I haven't seen these girls play recently. Kate Boulter to take at least a set @1.7 Kate Boulter ML @2.9 Kate Boulter to win 2:0 @5.0
Kate is good in these conditions and she won low level futures last week. Konjuh is a better player but this is her first indoors match this year so maybe we can have a nice surprise.
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aoluain
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February 28, 2022, 11:43:54 PM |
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Here is one tip of the blue which I just played and included on some of my multi tickets. This one is not for big stake since it is based just on stats and I haven't seen these girls play recently. Kate Boulter to take at least a set @1.7 Kate Boulter ML @2.9 Kate Boulter to win 2:0 @5.0
Kate is good in these conditions and she won low level futures last week. Konjuh is a better player but this is her first indoors match this year so maybe we can have a nice surprise.
And she won in 3 sets 7-5, 0-6, 3-6 Thats some multi bet combination Trofo, well spotted and good analysis. I have a few straight bets on for tomorrow in Monterrey, I'm a bit fearful of betting on the womens tennis because its so open and I normally bet on the favourites, which means less in the womens game I think. Anyway I have Stephens to beat Sherif, Keys to beat Martic, Fernandez to beat Schmiedlova and in Lyon Cirstea to beat Bolkvadze. I would love to try some handicaps but I'll wait for 1 or 2 more rounds I think.
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▀▀▀▀▀▀▀██████▄▄ ████████████████ ▀▀▀▀█████▀▀▀█████ ████████▌███▐████ ▄▄▄▄█████▄▄▄█████ ████████████████ ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄██████▀▀ | LLBIT | | | 4,000+ GAMES███████████████████ ██████████▀▄▀▀▀████ ████████▀▄▀██░░░███ ██████▀▄███▄▀█▄▄▄██ ███▀▀▀▀▀▀█▀▀▀▀▀▀███ ██░░░░░░░░█░░░░░░██ ██▄░░░░░░░█░░░░░▄██ ███▄░░░░▄█▄▄▄▄▄████ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ | █████████ ▀████████ ░░▀██████ ░░░░▀████ ░░░░░░███ ▄░░░░░███ ▀█▄▄▄████ ░░▀▀█████ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ | █████████ ░░░▀▀████ ██▄▄▀░███ █░░█▄░░██ ░████▀▀██ █░░█▀░░██ ██▀▀▄░███ ░░░▄▄████ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ |
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aoluain
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March 02, 2022, 12:54:06 PM Last edit: March 02, 2022, 01:33:40 PM by aoluain |
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The first article on the sports news on this mornings radio was Svitolina v Potapova. Svitolina didnt want to play Potapova under the Russian flag. The match in the end went ahead with Potapova playing under a neutral flag and Svitolina dressed in the Ukrainian colours. Svitolina was super pumped and won 6-2, 6-1 https://www.skysports.com/tennis/news/12110/12555330/elina-svitolina-ukraine-tennis-star-beats-russian-anastasia-potapova-at-the-monterrey-open
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Cnut237
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March 02, 2022, 04:07:00 PM |
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Nadal comeback was strong recently he had a comfortable win against medvedev 2 0 and today he won against norrie with 2 0 again and he won his second consecutive tournament it seems that we will see a tough competition in the next grand slam especially against djokovic since he will try to be even in term of grand slam won.
Tremendous from Nadal, yes, and you'd expect him to beat Norrie every time. The Medvedev match though I think needs to be considered with regard to the Russian invasion of Ukraine... I would think a lot of Russian and Ukranian (especially Ukranian) sportspeople might be somewhat distracted at the moment, and so not competing at 100%. Obviously sport is not the most important thing in the world, and when something like this is happening, sportspeople are trying to continue, but it's not surprising if their results are affected.
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bitbollo
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March 02, 2022, 04:28:19 PM |
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I would think a lot of Russian and Ukranian (especially Ukranian) sportspeople might be somewhat distracted at the moment, and so not competing at 100%. Obviously sport is not the most important thing in the world, and when something like this is happening, sportspeople are trying to continue, but it's not surprising if their results are affected.
Interesting theory... We have seen a lot of emotional reactions by athletes from several competition and probably the events of these days could have an impact... but it's really hard to estimate at what level this would impact. These are professional players, earning a living from these activity mostly of their times living abroad and so on... I don't know if we have recent examples by professional players from other conflicts....
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aoluain
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March 02, 2022, 07:53:01 PM |
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I am thinking that the Ukranian players are even more driven now to win their matches. Svitolina after beating Potapova said she would be sending any prize money she gets to Ukraine to help the war effort.
I also watched the match last 2 sets between YastremskaUkraine and Bogdan Romania. Bogdan had match point in the second set but Yastremska battled hard to bring that set to a tie break and won it, same in the 3rd set to take the match.
The war may affect the Russian players more negatively maybe because of the case that the whole world is criticising Russia.
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aoluain
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2254
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March 03, 2022, 08:16:22 PM |
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Just heard the news that Djokovic has split with his long term 15 year coach Marian Vajda. https://www.atptour.com/en/news/djokovic-vajda-split-march-2022Could this Djokovic began his season at the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, where Jiri Vesely upset him in the quarter-finals. On Monday, Daniil Medvedev passed the Serbian for the No. 1 ATP Ranking. have had anything to do with this move? or maybe there were tensions relating to COVID vaccines in the team? This is a big move, will it result in a short term lul in performance/winning from Djokovic?
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