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Question: 9/19 Closing Price:
0 - 1 (1.6%)
<$10,000 - 3 (4.8%)
$10,000-$10,500 - 2 (3.2%)
$10,501-$11,000 - 13 (20.6%)
$11,001-$11,500 - 19 (30.2%)
$11,501-$12,000 - 8 (12.7%)
$12,001-$12,500 - 7 (11.1%)
$12,501-$13,000 - 2 (3.2%)
>$13,000 - 3 (4.8%)
>$20,000 - 5 (7.9%)
Total Voters: 63

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 22526332 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (148 posts by 37 users deleted.)
gappie
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August 03, 2020, 08:36:45 AM

Newest Update from Pentarudi aka Masterluc

"This is not more than 4 months prediction, as I spotted new bullish channel . According to my idea price may reach ATH area in 2 months with following some triangle-like consolidation. For EW lovers - I think price is in starting local III wave with all 3rd-wave-specific bullish drama around. Wave length is around 2 months."



Update:

"Comment: I see people surprised why am I sharing such bullish idea while Bitcoin experiencing flash crash. This is obvious for me, I didn't mentioned...

$10k area was strong resistance for a long time. Price can't just penetrate it and go up without retesting. So Bitcoin experience a pullback to $10k to ensure it is support now. So I expected this move and it is absolutely normal for me. Of course, if 10k will hold Smiley I am sure it will, if not - this idea is shit"

That would be the usual totally unexpected move by Bitcoin.
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August 03, 2020, 08:57:05 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)




This is a very bearish candle.



What is a Gravestone Doji?
A gravestone doji is a bearish reversal candlestick pattern that is formed when the open, low, and closing prices are all near each other with a long upper shadow. The long upper shadow suggests that the bullish advance in the beginning of the session was overcome by bears by the end of the session, which often comes just before a longer term bearish downtrend.


https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/gravestone-doji.asp

Not surprising from a well-known beartard... have you managed to save enough money for the payment for your LFC bet? I guess you're very close to losing it now...  Grin
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August 03, 2020, 09:01:58 AM

Newest Update from Pentarudi aka Masterluc

"This is not more than 4 months prediction, as I spotted new bullish channel . According to my idea price may reach ATH area in 2 months with following some triangle-like consolidation. For EW lovers - I think price is in starting local III wave with all 3rd-wave-specific bullish drama around. Wave length is around 2 months."




... where is Far-away?

Your guess is as good as mine. However, I can show where masterluc thinks we are in Elliott Wave theory.



We're actually just past the little (2) near my dot. We just began the wave (3).

After we get to....some number, there will be a correction, wave (4). After that, the mother of all bull runs begins, the local wave (5) of historical wave 5. Basically, the blow off top to end all blow off tops.

Then a massive, multi year long bear market. Masterluc previously said he expects a 10 year bear market after the wave 5 top. But we don't need to think about that yet.

Yeah now we need to think about more down to earth things like when to cash out, how to do it closer to the blow off top etc...   Cool
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August 03, 2020, 09:13:15 AM
Last edit: August 03, 2020, 09:27:58 AM by JL0

Newest Update from Pentarudi aka Masterluc

"This is not more than 4 months prediction, as I spotted new bullish channel . According to my idea price may reach ATH area in 2 months with following some triangle-like consolidation. For EW lovers - I think price is in starting local III wave with all 3rd-wave-specific bullish drama around. Wave length is around 2 months."




... where is Far-away?
I dont know. Back when the Bitcoin was at $ 1K, he claimed that the Bitcoin would see the $ 14K and I didn't believe him. What happened ? Bitcoin did a lot more. He also predicted the crash down to $3K. 
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August 03, 2020, 09:49:13 AM
Merited by philipma1957 (2), HI-TEC99 (1)

Too many charts here  Grin I know we should look at the wall but I believe that time has passed.
We need more trains, rockets and spartans.
Forget charts.
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August 03, 2020, 10:03:03 AM
Merited by JimboToronto (1), yefi (1), JayJuanGee (1)

Newest Update from Pentarudi aka Masterluc

"This is not more than 4 months prediction, as I spotted new bullish channel . According to my idea price may reach ATH area in 2 months with following some triangle-like consolidation. For EW lovers - I think price is in starting local III wave with all 3rd-wave-specific bullish drama around. Wave length is around 2 months."




... where is Far-away?
I dont know. Back when the Bitcoin was at $ 1K, he claimed that the Bitcoin would see the $ 14K and I didn't believe him. What happened ? Bitcoin did a lot more. He also predicted the crash down to $3K. 

I remember him dumping his whole stack in the mid $300's on November 02, 2015. Two days later it mooned up to $500.

Great price to sell?

Yeah in short term, above all existing positive standard deviations )

Last portion of BTC unloaded =) out of ammo =)

Maybe full moon cycles would be as reliable. Today happens to be a full moon,and the price has mooned above $11k.

Hodling is much safer than making gambles based on lines on charts, or full moon cycles.

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August 03, 2020, 10:20:33 AM
Merited by cAPSLOCK (1), JayJuanGee (1)

So masterluc is back ok to follow ??
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August 03, 2020, 10:22:20 AM

Bitcoin be like

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August 03, 2020, 10:26:54 AM
Merited by El duderino_ (10)

So masterluc is back ok to follow ??

Bull market is obvious now so it's just a safe bet...  Cool he's being captain Obvious again...  Grin
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August 03, 2020, 10:31:01 AM

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August 03, 2020, 10:34:33 AM
Merited by nutildah (1)

wait what?

Masterluc predicitng UP movement?

Oh uh...

I have bad feeling about this...
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August 03, 2020, 10:40:06 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1)

Pfiou didn't expect so much upside. I had an order at 10K€ on Kraken that was touched but not executed, many must have had an order there for years, mine is only a few months old. I still can see it gone today.

Nothing too exciting though, just another step on the ladder.

You should not be setting your ladder steps at round numbers, and without getting too caught up in the placement of the orders of other people, of course, you do want to attempt to front-run any order placement locations that might have a lot of resistance/support and therefore even having a decent cushion between your set order and the likely resistance and support points .. some of those resistance / support points are going to be more obvious than others, and other resistance / support points might only develop after you had already placed your orders.

By the way, usually, I personally, don't really monitor or second-guess my ladder orders once I place them.  Except the overall caveat above regarding round numbers and anticipated resistance/support points, I largely place my ladder orders in accordance with my own measurements and preferences rather than giving too many shits about what others might be doing or how they might be changing their orders at specific locations after I had already placed my orders... but hey, I am not saying that there might NOT be some learning involved in such monitoring of how orders are placed and being placed by others and maybe from time to time you might be able to increase the likelihood of your order(s) filling before the price reverses (which tends to be a goal of laddering).  Nonetheless, having said all of that, after you have kind of learned some various strategies, I tend to find it a bit of a waste of time to dicker around very much with my orders or even to monitor how close they are being filled by the behaviors of others, once I have placed my orders.. either they fill or they don't fill.. and once they fill, then I can place the order(s) of the opposite direction.

I tried to offset my orders but since my steps are very small I figured it wasn't worth the complication. Using round numbers is much easier, especially in times like these days when I have to make dozens of orders a day.

Also, since I trade in Euros, I'm already offset randomly compared to the main USD price.

I was right about 10000€, the price went up to 10200€. Then crashed while I was sleeping.

Too bad this action happens during my vacation with family, going to the beach everyday or sailing. While it didn't move for weeks when I was bored silly at work...
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August 03, 2020, 11:30:50 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1), LFC_Bitcoin (1), 600watt (1), infofront (1), Toxic2040 (1), somac. (1)

Ok guys, it looks like the bull market is back in full swing. Get over the 2018 PTSD and start taking risks again. You might not get another opportunity like this for several years.

As I mentioned previously, all genuine upwards momentum must be interrupted by periods of horizontal trading (or even slight decline) to build support walls. Going up too quickly without a break will lead to an equally fast flash crash—like we have seen many times in the past.

We have now been on an uptrend since mid-March, and the $10,000 threshold is now acting as an extremely strong psychological support. While we remain above this threshold, we're still bullish.



The Bitcoin hash rate is now at all-time high;

The next weak resistances are at $1,541 and $11,734—and remember, we absolutely smashed both of these last week. We have strong supports at $11,068 and $10,788—less than 5% away from the current price.



Bitcoin's momentum indicates we are on the cusp of an absolutely meteoric climb, potentially beginning in the next couple of weeks. Are you going to miss out (again?!)


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August 03, 2020, 12:27:14 PM

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August 03, 2020, 12:40:45 PM
Merited by JimboToronto (1), yefi (1), JayJuanGee (1), infofront (1), Last of the V8s (1)

meh, why is this wonderful thread closed?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=163258.1720;topicseen

there are true gems to be found in there:

Quote
This one is a no brainer. Paid roughly 3500 bitcoins for a mini rig. At the time btc was approx 8 bucks a piece. Had I held on to them, I would have become a millionaire a few times over. Had BFL shipped on time, it would been a good bet, but It was bad timing. I also should have invested into friedcats deal. I came really close, but didnt..  It seems like every investment turned out bust. the ones I turned out were the ones i should have invested in.. So, I totally believe in buying and holding.


h o l y  fuck. $35mio for a mini rig. BFL?

it is one of those threads where you can actually learn something.


check this one out:

Quote
Mining 10,000 coins, selling them at $2 a pop because money was tight. I told everyone this is the next big thing, then ignored my own advice. That was an $8,000,000 mistake. Wish I had forgot about a few.

Joining the bay area bitcoin meetups in 2011, meeting lots of entrepreneurs with great ideas who wanted to work with me, even pay in bitcoins, then moving away for a new comfortable salaried job.

Buying in at $200 a few months ago when I again realized I hadn't missed the boat, then selling at $300 for a quick buck thinking I could buy back in.

Buying in again at $1000, then the crash happened.

Getting hacked at MtGox, CampBX, Inputs.io

I made a lot of "almost" right decisions. No more trading for me Tongue

getting nausea just reading this...  Cry

edit: just some measly $100mio mistake.

edit2: sry for necroing..
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August 03, 2020, 01:29:34 PM
Merited by Torque (1), Toxic2040 (1)

Well well well. Turns out Lambie is just some girl. And only a four at that.

https://twitter.com/Jordan_Sather_/status/1290135792027750403
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August 03, 2020, 01:39:11 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

edit: just some measly $100mio mistake.

As a famous (asoiaf) quote tells "If I look back, I am lost."
People often make poor decisions. Some make good decisions that eclipse the bad ones, some just go forward and some live with regrets (maybe it was closed because of the 3rd group, maybe because of getting spammy, I don't know).
Especially before 2017 it came easy to sell cheap. Many didn't think Bitcoin can get this high (or higher!); now we've seen that 20k is easily possible.

Just think on those who didn't sell. Those who didn't sell altcoins that looked great until they crumbled to dust.


The best option may be somewhere in the middle. Then you can say something like "I won some and I've lost some".
Actually one of the known advises is to not hold the whole bag and also don't sell in all in one step (maybe with different words).
But this means that those are 100% money one "affords to lose" (doesn't have to touch for decade/s). Not possible everywhere.
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August 03, 2020, 01:42:19 PM

Well well well. Turns out Lambie is just some girl. And only a four at that.

https://twitter.com/Jordan_Sather_/status/1290135792027750403

Man, trumpverse twitter is nuts.
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August 03, 2020, 02:11:20 PM

https://twitter.com/swedetoshi/status/1290123307124002816
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August 03, 2020, 02:24:22 PM

Terrifyingly important podcast https://twitter.com/ttmygh/status/1289863271131086848

Quote
Bill and Grant welcome Russell Napier to The End Game to discuss the reasons behind the long-term disinflationist's recent decision to step off that train and prepare for the return of inflation.Using examples from the 1690s, 1930s and 1970s, Russell makes the case for inflation in the United States hitting 4% before the end of the year and explains why recent moves by the U.S. government to circumvent the Federal Reserve have changed the game dramatically and, potentially, bring The End Game much closer. Russell offers a primer on real financial repression and explains how dangerously different the world may look in the not-too-distant future. Strap yourself in - this is another head-spinning conversation.

Lots of the others are very good.

related https://twitter.com/blockbain/status/1287859725997084672 thread

Quote
Historical data suggests extreme inflation has already occurred and that we are all boiled frogs.
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