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Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 62

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26400625 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
ChartBuddy
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March 03, 2023, 11:01:16 PM


Explanation
eXPHorizon
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Precision Beats Power and Timing Beats Speed.


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March 03, 2023, 11:01:56 PM

Still very impressive tech. 1 step closer to the matrix.

In matrix people were used as batteries. In reality, we're not very good for that.

I want off this ride.



As a matter of Fact. Humans could very well be used as Batteries.
philipma1957
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March 03, 2023, 11:27:14 PM


Still very impressive tech. 1 step closer to the matrix.

In matrix people were used as batteries. In reality, we're not very good for that.

I want off this ride.




Maybe more of a cpu network via a chipped brain grid.


Buddy v Phil

buddy = 19
Phil    =  21

sirazimuth
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born once atheist


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March 03, 2023, 11:47:57 PM
Merited by HI-TEC99 (1)

Well, just when one comes up with an awesome concept for AI, for a good laugh, to wit....

Me...."Hey ChatGPT, please write me a Shakespeare sonnet about how Mickey Mouse decided to cheat on Minnie and had an affair with Goofy."


this happens...

Quote from: ChatGPT
Fuck off

.....

...


Your simple succinct paraphrasing made me lol.
philipma1957
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March 03, 2023, 11:58:23 PM



Bart will help us

Obviously a (bear-) traB  Cheesy

EDIT: I'm out for today. The skies are clear, i cleaned the correction lenses of my favourite telescope, time to go combat the nearly full moon. May post OT images soon...
#GN



so this is in

 ______
            L



and you want this

_________________
                              Ll






buddy =19
Phil = 22
ChartBuddy
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March 04, 2023, 12:01:20 AM


Explanation
philipma1957
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March 04, 2023, 12:02:28 AM

so buddy has a bart coming or so we hope.

personally I am guessing some cheap dip








buddy = 20

Phil = 23

ChartBuddy
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March 04, 2023, 01:01:15 AM


Explanation
philipma1957
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March 04, 2023, 01:04:37 AM

 I have buddy on the ropes.

buddy is at 21
Phil is at 24

so I may be 3 for 3 in an hour.
HI-TEC99
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March 04, 2023, 01:35:55 AM
Merited by pawel7777 (1)

...

I used to gamble on horse racing.

I could read very deeply into charts, but even with that ability I lost because the human factor ie jockey loses on purpose.

I feel charts for stocks are basically no different.

...

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March 04, 2023, 01:38:51 AM

... I'm more of a shitcoin trader for more satoshis than a bitcoin trader for more satoshis or fiat, but sometimes small opportunities present themselves. Also those shitcoin opportunities only realistically come around once every 4 years, much like getting cheap Bitcoin to be honest.

...

philipma1957
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March 04, 2023, 01:45:48 AM

...

I used to gamble on horse racing.

I could read very deeply into charts, but even with that ability I lost because the human factor ie jockey loses on purpose.

I feel charts for stocks are basically no different.

...



pretty good photo.
ChartBuddy
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March 04, 2023, 02:01:17 AM


Explanation
ChartBuddy
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March 04, 2023, 03:01:20 AM


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philipma1957
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March 04, 2023, 03:13:29 AM

Buddy's double brings him to 23

but this post gets me to 25 or maybe 26

So 3 of 3 days so far.
Biodom
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March 04, 2023, 03:47:21 AM

Buddy's double brings him to 23

but this post gets me to 25 or maybe 26

So 3 of 3 days so far.

geez, phil, you have a lot of post stamina...respect.
Can't say that I am not entertained by this "battle".
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March 04, 2023, 03:51:13 AM

...........The I-bond rates are brutal attack on all of crypto.
nov 2021 over 7%
april 2022 over 9%
nov 2022 near %
april 2023 over 6% is pretty much a done deal..........

This attack on crypto is not going to end.

Yes.. you have explained this before in regards to how you consider bitcoin and crypto to be close to the same thing..

You seemingly ongoingly lost lil puppy.   Cry Cry Cry

must suck to be uie pooie.. in  terms of your putting so much faith in the USD.. and not recognizing the desperation of the situation as it is.. and of course, the USA has lost a lot of countries and institutions that had been buying the US Dollar related bullshit, and sure if they can get the USA population to maximize their buying of those I Bonds, then maybe the sinking ship will be able to plug some of its holes.. and go on to fight some more unnecessary wars without having to print as much dollars.. because if they cannot convince the citizen's to buy that crap, then they are going to have to print dollars to buy them theirselves.. it is better to get suckers like you philip, and whoever you can convince to buy that crap... and some of them will end up getting diverted from buying bitcoin because they somehow are deceived into believing that investing in dollars (with a yield) is a better investment.. when uie-pooie should know better than that, especially if you already should know about bitcoin, but instead you continue to pump Ibond bullshit.

Another thing.. fuck shitcoins, and stop putting shitcoins in the same (or similar) camp as bitcoin as if they were the same in terms of the strength of their investment theses, which anyone with a half of a brain who had spent enough time** to figure out what bitcoin is (and you should have by now.. but goes to show that someone who has been in bitcoin for even 11 years sometimes does not even understand bitcoin sufficiently enough in order to differentiate it from shitcoins)... .. should be able to understand that bitcoin has more foundational and fundamental strength than any shitcoins (no shitcoins even come close, and this is not the place to be fucking around with making such comparisons or trying to get into conversations regarding which shitcoins are less shitty).


**Of course people are different in terms of how much time they need to study bitcoin in order to understand it in such a way to be able to understand and be able to differtiate from shitcoins.. .. perhaps 100 hours would be a good start to studying it?.. even though 11 years seems to have not been enough for some people name philip.. not trying to bring deservedly shame to any seemingly stubborn and retarded shameless one specifically.. hahahahahaha
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March 04, 2023, 04:01:16 AM


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philipma1957
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March 04, 2023, 04:21:53 AM
Merited by xhomerx10 (1)

Buddy's double brings him to 23

but this post gets me to 25 or maybe 26

So 3 of 3 days so far.

geez, phil, you have a lot of post stamina...respect.
Can't say that I am not entertained by this "battle".


My battle has been a bit tough It was my wife's birthday.

We went to a late lunch had a nice dessert and watched Amsterdam on blu-ray

I also cut a deal for 7 more s-19 pros.

It was a busy day today.

So one more for me giving me 26 or 27.

It is 1123pm in NJ.



JayJuanGee
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March 04, 2023, 04:25:30 AM

[edited out]
Those charts a big part of your life?

Do you really think they help you calculate what will happen next?

Or are they a way to cope because "the future is not ours to see Que Sera Sera"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xZbKHDPPrrc
I am not even suggesting that I agree with dragonvslinus in a majority of cases (actually, I am not sure how much I agree with him, but I recall that I used to disagree with him a lot more when he used to be more bearish.. but either he has come around or I have come around.. I am not sure?), and sometimes, I do consider that he is putting too much weight into aspects of the predictive capabilities of his charts (and likely limitations in regards to what could happen) based on such charting techniques.
Yeh for clarity I was a lot more bearish once Bitcoin broken below $18K to $15.5K, after initially thinking the bottom was likely in with initial capitulation to $17.5K, as well as had little to no conviction that price would hold $15.5K, as instead thought $12K or $14K was looking more likely. Took me a couple of months to be convinced that it was possible after enough consolidation, then was bullish again with the break above around $19K.

I'm thinking that I had more troubles accepting and/or understanding your various presentations in 2018 / 2019 and maybe not as much recently and I am not even sure if it had to do with our going through some kind of bear market or some other reason(s).  Sure, even recently from time to time, there have been some situations in which I don't agree with you and I believe that you are either assigning weights badly or you are relying on some indicators that I don't consider to be as important or I might not really like your explanation, yet frequently, I will still send you smerits whether I agree or not because sometimes you will present some angle that seems generally informative. even if other conclusions might be reached, there can be some aspects of your posts/analysis that might help me or others to better think about why we might believe that the BTC price is going to move in one direction or another, but then your analysis could give us some things to lock onto, even if some of us might sometimes not agree with the conclusions reached therein.

I'm never been one for being accurate on bear market bottoms to be honest, as all the technicals are always screaming bearish, I'm better on trend changes as the technicals are a lot more obvious.

I don't necessarily put a lot of weight into predictions or prognostics merely because they end up being right, since we likely know/realize that many times, minority scenarios end up playing out, so I am not going to necessarily give credit to someone merely because they either got it right or got it wrong.. and it does sometimes urk me when guys (and gals) want to get more credit than they likely deserve merely for getting some prediction right...

The irony being that during those 200-ish days a DCA average would have been around $19.5K, whereas $20K dip buying and $19K break-out got me the same price, with less effort, while being completely wrong. Just saying.

Sure, sometimes that can by funny (or ironic) how some kinds of persistent buying practices (such as DCA) might end up equally performing or even out performing guys who might spend 100s of hours studying charts and attempting to employ buying (and risk management) strategies based on their hundreds of hours assessing and timing their purchases in regards to their assessments of the situation.

I am not even proclaiming that DCA might not be beatable, even in the long term, but it is quite the challenge to plug in some kind of a long term DCA assessment and to compare the extent to which the performance is better or not.. and then to consider whether time is being fruitfully used when the performance difference might not be enough to justify the time spent... and sure sometimes there might be some other benefits in staying in touch with BTC price performance dynamics, besides merely trading on them... I have watched BTC price charts for the overwhelming majority of the more than 9 years that I have been involved in bitcoin, and I would proclaim that any kind of trading or position changes that I make based on my assessments of BTC price direction are surely rare events. or at least they are largely tweaks rather than being materially significant.

Anyway, my theories of where price could next, whether back down to $20K or upto $30K shouldn't really be considered limitations just my perceived likelihoods. For sure we could double bottom at $15K (especially since we've seen a local double top), or otherwise continue onto $30K. It's purely my belief in the likelihoods/probabilities or these scenarios, which I find relatively low right now.  Probably the key point here is that I'm able to change my perception on bullish/bearish based on price change/action, unlike many others who are fixated on only one reality or the other, unable to change opinion etc.

Sure.. it is a good quality to tweak some of the predictions from time to time based on market changes, and some of us still might come to differing conclusions in terms of our level of confidence, so there may be some of us who might be able to see how your position had changed, but not willing to make our own changes to whatever bets that we are willing to just ride out, even if you happened to have seen something (and disclosed it) that was materially relevant enough in order to potentially make some tweaks to the already outstanding bets.  I don't mind seeing some of those kinds of views, even if it may well take a whole hell of a lot more convincing to get me to budge in terms of changing a system that I already have in place and I tend to change based on a variety of my own circumstances that count "views about price  direction" to usually not change the systems that are already in place.. .so I am frequently willing to just let it ride.. even if some of my bets could be tweaked a wee bit to account for some kind of thing that I consider to have become more likely to occur than it had been  at an earlier time.

...
...... just found myself a new girl as very recently
 Grin Grin

El Duderina

That does not sound very good, in the "departamento de feminina"... especially if "she" has an "el" prefix.

Pouring one out for dee dude... and dee dudette.

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