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Question: When will BTC get back above $70K:
7/14 - 0 (0%)
7/21 - 1 (1%)
7/28 - 11 (10.5%)
8/4 - 16 (15.2%)
8/11 - 7 (6.7%)
8/18 - 6 (5.7%)
8/25 - 7 (6.7%)
After August - 57 (54.3%)
Total Voters: 105

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26461658 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
cygan
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icarus-cards.eu


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March 12, 2023, 04:16:46 PM

“Chancellor on Brink of Second Bailout for Banks”

How can they just keep doing this?
Enough!
It's time for someone to invent decentralized, permissionless money.

goldkingcoiner
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March 12, 2023, 04:51:46 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1), bitcoinPsycho (1)

Once again, centralization is pushing the short term value of Bitcoin down. Broken centralized banks that have bound themselves to centralized exchanges are now teaching everyone, once again, what the phrase "not your keys not your coins" means in practice and bears are now spreading FUD with the aim of pushing Bitcoin further down. But I believe we will see a huge bounce-back. I think anyone who sells now will regret it.

Anyway, best time to fill those bags up.
 
ChartBuddy
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March 12, 2023, 05:01:17 PM


Explanation
shahzadafzal
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March 12, 2023, 05:03:04 PM

I will continue to not contest buddy and hope for a more interesting effect.

No worries you gave him a tough time buddy.
aesma
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fly or die


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March 12, 2023, 05:34:53 PM
Merited by vapourminer (10), Biodom (1), Gachapin (1)

Man I stopped fighting buddy and all hell broke loose.

I will continue to not contest buddy and hope for a more interesting effect.

I will say this SVB appears to have been targeted with a massive run by depositors.

Wonder what Mon and Tues bring us

Unless I missed something SVB had most of its money in government bonds. That's supposed to be the safest thing, aside from just holding cash I guess. But people want returns, so the bank has to do something with the money. They only incurred losses because they had to sell these bonds at lower than face value.

If a bank with the safest investments can be brought down by a bank run in a couple of days, what does that tell us about banks that invest in mortgages, corporate bonds, emerging markets ?
Biodom
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March 12, 2023, 05:46:51 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1)

Man I stopped fighting buddy and all hell broke loose.

I will continue to not contest buddy and hope for a more interesting effect.

I will say this SVB appears to have been targeted with a massive run by depositors.

Wonder what Mon and Tues bring us

Unless I missed something SVB had most of its money in government bonds. That's supposed to be the safest thing, aside from just holding cash I guess. But people want returns, so the bank has to do something with the money. They only incurred losses because they had to sell these bonds at lower than face value.

If a bank with the safest investments can be brought down by a bank run in a couple of days, what does that tell us about banks that invest in mortgages, corporate bonds, emerging markets ?

They should have raised funds proactively, once Fed started to raise rates aggressively, but they waited and tried to raise funds only once they sold MBSes at a loss. As a result, market got spooked and they got hit with large amount of withdrawals.
You are right, though, fractional reserve is fractional reserve, it is all based on confidence. However, the question for most is: withdraw where? Apart from bitcoin, as we learn from the last year the answer is probably: who knows?
ChartBuddy
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March 12, 2023, 06:01:20 PM


Explanation
estenity
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March 12, 2023, 06:05:42 PM
Last edit: March 12, 2023, 07:38:16 PM by estenity

Man I stopped fighting buddy and all hell broke loose.

I will continue to not contest buddy and hope for a more interesting effect.

I will say this SVB appears to have been targeted with a massive run by depositors.

Wonder what Mon and Tues bring us

Unless I missed something SVB had most of its money in government bonds. That's supposed to be the safest thing, aside from just holding cash I guess. But people want returns, so the bank has to do something with the money. They only incurred losses because they had to sell these bonds at lower than face value.

If a bank with the safest investments can be brought down by a bank run in a couple of days, what does that tell us about banks that invest in mortgages, corporate bonds, emerging markets ?

They should have raised funds proactively, once Fed started to raise rates aggressively, but they waited and tried to raise funds only once they sold MBSes at a loss. As a result, market got spooked and they got hit with large amount of withdrawals.
You are right, though, fractional reserve is fractional reserve, it is all based on confidence. However, the question for most is: withdraw where? Apart from bitcoin, as we learn from the last year the answer is probably: who knows?

anyway management error, rapid rate rises are sure to generate  losses in gov bonds detained; banks are under predictable tension presently, and supposed to be able to bear this new charge brought by FED, if too exposed.
BobLawblaw
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March 12, 2023, 06:16:53 PM

All hands to battle stations. We have a rare black bear sighting.

The severity of this occurrence cannot be understated.

Stay frosty. It's going to get ugly tomorrow.

Biodom
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March 12, 2023, 06:20:22 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1)

All hands to battle stations. We have a rare black bear sighting.

The severity of this occurrence cannot be understated.

Stay frosty. It's going to get ugly tomorrow.



it depends
https://techcrunch.com/2023/03/12/fdic-auction-silicon-valley-bank-svb/
goldkingcoiner
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March 12, 2023, 06:28:38 PM

Looks like the march candle wants to eat itself up. Seems like a good buying opportunity to me.

edit: Price is touching the weekly golden Fibonacci ratio too.

Looks like a good time to buy to me too. But, traditional markets appear like they are going to shit the bed so they'll probably take us down with them.

Screw tradition markets. This is Bitcoin, baby.

All hands to battle stations. We have a rare black bear sighting.

The severity of this occurrence cannot be understated.

Stay frosty. It's going to get ugly tomorrow.



We killed the bear. Its dead.
BobLawblaw
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March 12, 2023, 06:37:10 PM


Securing FDIC deposits is peanuts compared to the larger problem.
Hyperjacked
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It's all mathematics...!


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March 12, 2023, 06:40:19 PM
Merited by philipma1957 (1)

Wow this rally will be epic !!! Ppl will fomo into Bitcoin Monday imo
Torque
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March 12, 2023, 06:49:17 PM
Merited by Hyperjacked (1)

Wow this rally will be epic !!! Ppl will fomo into Bitcoin Monday imo


ChartBuddy
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March 12, 2023, 07:01:16 PM


Explanation
dogebearman
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March 12, 2023, 07:10:07 PM
Merited by Toxic2040 (1)

ivomm
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All good things to those who wait


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March 12, 2023, 07:17:08 PM

ChartBuddy
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March 12, 2023, 08:01:16 PM


Explanation
vapourminer
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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March 12, 2023, 08:16:04 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (5), Hueristic (1), bitcoinPsycho (1), Toxic2040 (1)



looks like thats the btc/usdc pair
dogebearman
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March 12, 2023, 08:37:15 PM

looks like thats the btc/usdc pair
Could also be bear/cat.
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