Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[realr0ach]

Trollgoossen copy and paste post as usual

That post contradicts itself because a lot of it is the same thing I say concerning Bitcoin cost of production, and it's simply not possible for the cost of production to go up an order of magnitude or higher making it use more power than the entire United States to allow these stupidly high prices people claim.  So get ready for disappointment and the failure of Bitcoin growth which will probably cause the entire Ponzi scheme to unravel.

[1714114258]

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[1714114258]

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[1714114258]

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[bitcoinPsycho]

Roach your so desperate but no one GIVES a shit about your opinion.  So funny .you weak and out of date. Go fuck yourself. I know you secretly have Jewish roots

[tranthidung]

It is a little delayed-update, but I think it is interesting for WO-citizens.

Update:

ABSTRACT

(1) Last two months, Bitcoin fell ~14% in price, while figures for total replies, total pages, total views between last two periods (31/7/2019-31-8/2019 and 31/8/2019-30/9/2019) fell 23.7%, 23.2%, and 23.8%, respectively.  (Details, please see in the last table in the bottom of the post).
(2) In medians, figures for monthly new replies, views, and pages are 428941, 54258 and 269, respectively

Data source (from @VB1001):
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg52028093#msg52028093
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg52029308#msg52029308
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg52325977#msg52325977
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg52614459#msg52614459

Converted dataset:

Code:

. list id day month2 year date rep repchange prep2 views viewchange pview2 pages pagechange ppages2 btc pbtc, abb(30)

     +-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
     | id   day   month2   year        date      rep   repchange    prep2      views   viewchange   pview2   pages   pagechange   ppages2     btc     pbtc |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  1. |  1    31       10   2017   31oct2017   361446           .        .   19386138            .        .   18703            .         .    6380        . |
  2. |  2    30       11   2017   30nov2017   368288        6842        .   19749672       363534        .   18415         -288         .    9786    53.39 |
  3. |  3    31       12   2017   31dec2017   380800       12512    82.87   20076512       326840   -10.09   19041          626         .   13186    34.74 |
  4. |  4    31        1   2018   31jan2018   386480        5680    -54.6   20118498        41986   -87.15   19325          284    -54.63   10138   -23.12 |
  5. |  5    28        2   2018   28feb2018   396480       10000    76.06   20185277        66779    59.05   19825          500     76.06   10629     4.84 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  6. |  6    31        3   2018   31mar2018   402460        5980    -40.2   20222795        37518   -43.82   20109          284     -43.2    7119   -33.02 |
  7. |  7    30        4   2018   30apr2018   407457        4997   -16.44   20247143        24348    -35.1   20288          179    -36.97    9275    30.29 |
  8. |  8    31        5   2018   31may2018   410507        3050   -38.96   20280891        33748    38.61   20526          238     32.96    7559    -18.5 |
  9. |  9    30        6   2018   30jun2018   416730        6223   104.03   20315481        34590     2.49   20787          261      9.66    6457   -14.58 |
 10. | 10    31        7   2018   31jul2018   419443        2713    -56.4   20341078        25597      -26   20975          188    -27.97    7848    21.54 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
 11. | 11    31        8   2018   31aug2018   424622        5179     90.9   20413924        72846   184.59   21132          157    -16.49    6935   -11.63 |
 12. | 12    30        9   2018   30sep2018   426942        2320    -55.2   20474102        60178   -17.39   21288          156      -.64    6633    -4.35 |
 13. | 13    30       10   2018   30oct2018   430939        3997    72.28   20650285       176183   192.77   21447          159      1.92    6642      .14 |
 14. | 14    30       11   2018   30nov2018   437199        6260    56.62   20782977       132692   -24.69   21810          363     128.3    4015   -39.55 |
 15. | 15    31       12   2018   31dec2018   446510        9311    48.74   20926425       143448     8.11   22296          486     33.88    3800    -5.35 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
 16. | 16    31        1   2019   31jan2019   452916        6406    -31.2   21006158        79733   -44.42   22563          267    -45.06    3459    -8.97 |
 17. | 17    28        2   2019   28feb2019   459605        6689     4.42   21042628        36470   -54.26   22974          411     53.93    3901    12.78 |
 18. | 18    31        3   2019   31mar2019   465823        6218    -7.04   21079099        36471        0   23292          318    -22.63    4103     5.18 |
 19. | 19    30        4   2019   30apr2019   473225        7402    19.04   21133357        54258    48.77   23662          370     16.35    5270    28.44 |
 20. | 20    31        5   2019   31may2019   480783        7558     2.11   21193583        60226       11   24040          378      2.16    8501    61.31 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
 21. | 21    30        6   2019   30jun2019   488192        7409    -1.97   21256108        62525     3.82   24410          370     -2.12   11262    32.48 |
 22. | 22    31        7   2019   31jul2019   493567        5375   -27.45   21307690        51582    -17.5   24679          269     -27.3   10052   -10.74 |
 23. | 23    31        8   2019   31aug2019   497611        4044   -24.76   21343127        35437    -31.3   24881          202    -24.91    9605    -4.45 |
 24. | 24    30        8   2019   30aug2019   502612        5001    23.66   21386769        43642    23.15   25131          250     23.76    8247   -14.14 |
     +-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

Notes on variables:
- rep: total replies
- repchange: change of total replies between two months
- prep2: percent of change in rep (replies) between two continuous months.

- views: total views
- viewchange: change of total views between two months
- pview2: percent of change in total views (views) between two continuous months.

- pages: total pages
- pagechange: change of total pages between two months
- ppages2: percent of change in total pages (pages) between two continuous months.

- btc: BTC price
- pbtc: percent of change in BTC price (btc) between two continuous months.
Since this update, I use new variables, pview2, prep2, ppages2, because variables for percentage of changes between two months in OP look stupid, so I decided to change.
Now, let I explain the formula for variable prep2:
To make it simple, I have a simple dataset like:

Code:

month rep repchange prep2
1 10 na na
2 50 40 na
3 80 30 x

How to calculate x?
x = (80-50)/(50-10)*100
It means I calculate percentage of changes in two period: period 1 (from month 1 to month 2), period 2 (from month 2 to month 3)


Results:
Period of observations (23 months, Oct. 2017 - 30^th Sep. 2019)

In medians, figures for monthly new replies, views, and pages are 6221, 57218 and 277, respectively

Code:

. tabstat rep repchange viewchange pagechange, s(n mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max) c(s)

    variable |         N      mean        sd       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
         rep |        24  434609.9  41774.22  428940.5  404958.5    469524    361446    502612
   repchange |        23  6137.652  2344.077      6218      4997      7402      2320     12512
  viewchange |        23  86983.96  90363.87     54258     36470     79733     24348    363534
  pagechange |        23  279.4783  172.9043       269       188       370      -288       626
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Plots

Code:

. list id day month2 year date prep2 pview2 ppages2 pbtc, abb(30)

     +---------------------------------------------------------------------------+
     | id   day   month2   year        date    prep2   pview2   ppages2     pbtc |
     |---------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  1. |  1    31       10   2017   31oct2017        .        .         .        . |
  2. |  2    30       11   2017   30nov2017        .        .         .    53.39 |
  3. |  3    31       12   2017   31dec2017    82.87   -10.09         .    34.74 |
  4. |  4    31        1   2018   31jan2018    -54.6   -87.15    -54.63   -23.12 |
  5. |  5    28        2   2018   28feb2018    76.06    59.05     76.06     4.84 |
     |---------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  6. |  6    31        3   2018   31mar2018    -40.2   -43.82     -43.2   -33.02 |
  7. |  7    30        4   2018   30apr2018   -16.44    -35.1    -36.97    30.29 |
  8. |  8    31        5   2018   31may2018   -38.96    38.61     32.96    -18.5 |
  9. |  9    30        6   2018   30jun2018   104.03     2.49      9.66   -14.58 |
 10. | 10    31        7   2018   31jul2018    -56.4      -26    -27.97    21.54 |
     |---------------------------------------------------------------------------|
 11. | 11    31        8   2018   31aug2018     90.9   184.59    -16.49   -11.63 |
 12. | 12    30        9   2018   30sep2018    -55.2   -17.39      -.64    -4.35 |
 13. | 13    30       10   2018   30oct2018    72.28   192.77      1.92      .14 |
 14. | 14    30       11   2018   30nov2018    56.62   -24.69     128.3   -39.55 |
 15. | 15    31       12   2018   31dec2018    48.74     8.11     33.88    -5.35 |
     |---------------------------------------------------------------------------|
 16. | 16    31        1   2019   31jan2019    -31.2   -44.42    -45.06    -8.97 |
 17. | 17    28        2   2019   28feb2019     4.42   -54.26     53.93    12.78 |
 18. | 18    31        3   2019   31mar2019    -7.04        0    -22.63     5.18 |
 19. | 19    30        4   2019   30apr2019    19.04    48.77     16.35    28.44 |
 20. | 20    31        5   2019   31may2019     2.11       11      2.16    61.31 |
     |---------------------------------------------------------------------------|
 21. | 21    30        6   2019   30jun2019    -1.97     3.82     -2.12    32.48 |
 22. | 22    31        7   2019   31jul2019   -27.45    -17.5     -27.3   -10.74 |
 23. | 23    31        8   2019   31aug2019   -24.76    -31.3    -24.91    -4.45 |
 24. | 24    30        8   2019   30aug2019    23.66    23.15     23.76   -14.14 |
     +---------------------------------------------------------------------------+

[fillippone]

The clock is ticking
activity is growing
I am now hero(*)



(*)Haiku

[El duderino_]

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5188987.msg52700639#msg52700639

^
Please take a vote if interested

[El duderino_]

The clock is ticking
activity is growing
I am now hero(*)



(*)Haiku

Deserved promotion
A wel established member
Soon to be LEGEND

Though the road is long
Activity is a bitch
Keep writing content


(*)Haiku attempt

[Last of the V8s]

congrats to fillip, a true hero.

now legendaries on the other hand, seems like they let any old rifraf in:


https://i.imgur.com/d6O8jdU.mp4

anyone else get promoted?


no but seriously congrats to FairlyMcHairy love you man no homo

[HairyMaclairy]

Buulllllsshhheeeet. 


I thought you were pulling my leg and wasted 20 minutes looking for rude gifs. 

And then I thought to actually check my profile.   Dammmm. 

I guess I can sit at the big boys table now. 

[realr0ach]

There's no hope for JayJuanGee
He speaks in tongues
Walls of text block out the sun
Even devils run
The crooked Bitcoin young

[BitcoinGirl.Club]

I see gang bang #Fatman 🤪
Why?
Did he sold under $8k?

[El duderino_]

Buulllllsshhheeeet. 


I thought you were pulling my leg and wasted 20 minutes looking for rude gifs. 

And then I thought to actually check my profile.   Dammmm. 

I guess I can sit at the big boys table now. 

Dammit you got me.... I really was waiting to post

Aaaah Hairy now you can claim your seat at the Legendary table when we meet again......

F*** me, now i'm the last one in rank again, you out-activity-perform me....

[BitcoinGirl.Club]

By the way, almost forgot
Good afternoon WO!
Observing @ $8,176

[Dabs]

Oy. Grats @HairyMaclairy  ... it took awhile.

[LFC_Bitcoin]

Buulllllsshhheeeet. 


I thought you were pulling my leg and wasted 20 minutes looking for rude gifs. 

And then I thought to actually check my profile.   Dammmm. 

I guess I can sit at the big boys table now. 

Dammit you got me.... I really was waiting to post

Aaaah Hairy now you can claim your seat at the Legendary table when we meet again......

F*** me, now i'm the last one in rank again, you out-activity-perform me....

But the highest in Merit?

[Oxstone]

-Snip-

Thanks man. That was fucking interesting.

I'm long for a pullback to 9500$. Then short to 6500 I guess.

[JayJuanGee]

[[edited out]

just a troll. 

Yes, I doubt that he has much of anything, and just talks in theory and acts as if he is actually trading.

[LUCKMCFLY]

Good sign of buy, in addition the candles are increasing with little volume, the offer may be running out, the price will rise more.
 

Source: https://twitter.com/CryptoWizzaaard/status/1181856745565642753

[JayJuanGee]

Oh, and by the way, it's not me that's childish, it's you that's a turd.

Repetitive posts that harp on the same theme is not childish?  You think that adds any value to have you repeat the posts of any particular poster, especially some dumbass like fatty who does not really tend to have any meaningful value to add anyhow, and then you go ahead and quote his posts and add your tag of emotion to each one of them, and you believe that deserves any other label?  Maybe there are some better labels, such as "thread-clogging" or "unnecessary," but childish does seem to fit pretty well, off the cuff, too, no?

[d_eddie]

Buulllllsshhheeeet. 


I thought you were pulling my leg and wasted 20 minutes looking for rude gifs. 

And then I thought to actually check my profile.   Dammmm. 

I guess I can sit at the big boys table now. 

I said as much just a couple days ago - "the last merit I can award to nonlegendary Hairy".
Long overdue if you ask me.
GRATZ!

[JayJuanGee]

There's no hope for JayJuanGee
He speaks in tongues
Walls of text block out the sun
Even devils run
The crooked Bitcoin young

Brings a tear to my eye, roach, and you even did not place any no homo label, which makes me feel even moar special.