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Author Topic: FOLLOW ME! - (691W - 504L) (+604.35 UNITS WON) FREE Daily Betting Tips  (Read 12586 times)
JanpriX (OP)
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September 15, 2020, 11:00:00 AM
 #621

Pick for September 14, 2020 (MONDAY)
Game will start on 03:15 PM EST, English Premiere League
Match: Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea
WIN!!! - PICK: CHELSEA ML and OVER 1.5 GOALS for 2 UNITS (1.90 ODDS).

SCREENSHOT TO FOLLOW

I'm backing Chelsea to beat Brighton & Hove Albion and the game to go over the adjusted total of 1.5 goals in full time, which includes 90 minutes of regulation and any additional time the referee adds for stoppages. Both the win and the Over must happen for us to win.

Brighton won just 3 of their final 18 premier league games to end last season yet avoided relegation. Their biggest issue has been a lack of offense and while there are a few new faces on the squad they didn't do enough to make a major impact in the offseason. Chelsea made strong moves in the summer transfer window after winning 7 of their final 10 premier matches. They captured a Champions League spot and will now look to close-in on Liverpool and Man City. Chelsea is unbeaten in its last six against Brighton, shutting them out four times. We expect them to fight for a top-4 finish this season, while Brighton & Hove will likely land just ahead of relegation once again. I'm playing Chelsea to win and for the game to see more than 1.5 goals

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

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September 15, 2020, 11:08:49 AM
 #622

Pick for September 14, 2020 (MONDAY)
Game will start on 07:00 PM EST, NFL
Match: New York Giants - Pittsburgh Steelers
WIN!!! - PICK: PITTSBURGH STEELERS -5.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.92 ODDS).


Continuity is key. Chemistry, cohesion and having a solid foundation and culture are crucial in the NFL right now. And few franchises have as strong of a core as the Pittsburgh Steelers. They have the same head coach, same coaching staff, same schemes and same setup as they have had for over a decade. These guys know who they are and what they are all about. And that is going to pay dividends early in the season for this group. Pittsburgh had a Top 5 defense last year and went 8-8 despite starting a traffic cone, wet mop and ice sculpture at quarterback once Big Ben went down. Roethlisberger is back and allegedly healthy. And that gives them the upper hand in this Monday Night Football matchup. The Giants are another team has a brand new head coach, new systems on both sides of the ball, and new players to incorporate on both sides of the ball. The Giants have been one of the worst teams in football over the last three years and I just don't see enough to make me think they are much better this season. This is a short road trip for the Steelers and they aren't going to be rattled by playing on MNF or playing in New York. I think that this team is much more confident and secure in who they are and what they want to do on both sides of the ball. The Giants are still feeling their way around the Joe Judge Era and there are likely to be some bumps and bruises along the way. I have this one at 24-16 for the Steelers.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter
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September 16, 2020, 10:51:19 AM
 #623

Pick for September 15, 2020 (TUESDAY)
Game will start on 03:00 PM EST, French Ligue 1
Match: Montpellier - Olympique Lyonnais
WIN!!! - PICK: MONTPELLIER +0.5 GOAL for 2 UNITS (1.91 ODDS).


As per your selection on Montpellier to grab at least a point in this matchup vs Lyon, we like the form they come into this game with having crushed Nice in their latest game by a score of 3-1. They won both halves of that matchup and should be full of confidence to know that their home form is great as they are unbeaten in six L1 home matches and they have have an average winning margin of 1.40. Lyon on the other hand have been relatively lucky over their last handful of away trips, grabbing a penalty in almost each of their last four games but we don't see that happening here today. Lyon are also winless in their last three league visits to Montpellier and as such we believe this is a game Montpellier can grab a result from.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

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September 16, 2020, 10:59:14 AM
 #624

Pick for September 15, 2020 (TUESDAY)
Game will start on 06:40 PM EST, NBA
Match: Boston Celtics - Miami Heat
WIN!!! - PICK: MIAMI HEAT +1.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.94 ODDS).


I'm rolling with the Heat. I really like both of these teams and I think that either is capable of winning this series. But I think Miami is going to strike first. I think Boston could have a slight letdown after their hard-fought series against rival Toronto. Miami has had extra time to prepare for this series and I think that they are going to ride the momentum from their monster series win over Milwaukee. The Heat really dispatched an excellent Bucks team with no problems. I don't think that anything the Celtics do defensively is going to bother this Heat team at all and Miami is both physically and mentally tough enough to make this a series. Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games and they actually beat the Celtics in the one meeting here in the bubble. I like the Heat's depth and I think they'll be able to throw a lot of bodies at the Celtics tonight. Boston's starting five has been doing all the heavy lifting and playing major minutes, and I think they will be a little flat here as they shift gears after that seven-game battle with Toronto.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

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September 17, 2020, 06:23:40 AM
 #625

Pick for September 15, 2020 (TUESDAY)
Game will start on 07:00 PM EST, WNBA
Match: Chicago Sky - Connecticut Sun
WIN!!! - PICK: CONNECTICUT SUN +3 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.81 ODDS).

SCREENSHOT TO FOLLOW

We roll with Connecticut here as they could win this game Outright. This line is based on Chicago's success in the past but this is not indicative of the fact they have two star players who are out for the year and expectations for this team is much more dampened given their exits from the bubble. You have a Connecticut team who no one expected much out of after a series of injuries and they were 1-6 to start the year but they have come on strong and have not quit at all. This team is playing well right now, have a no quit attitude and we like the fact they lost to Atlanta to close out the year as they simply did not take that game seriously looking forward to this playoff game. Remember, this is a single elimination game as only the top 4 get straight through and the others have to play single elimination playoff games. This is a Connecticut team that already beat Chicago by 3 earlier this year, beat Indiana by 22, beat Phoenix by 15 points in a game that Phoenix needed to win - and then played Phoenix immediately in the next game and took them to overtime. That's really hard to do to beat a veteran Phoenix team once and not get blown out in the next home and home game. This team also lost to LA by just 4 points and are the 2nd best defensive team in the league. Connecticut is playing on free money right now, they are playing together, they have joy and Chicago is just running through the motions and they are playing a game in which they know long-term they will not win a title which was what the expectation was for this team. The culture and mojo is not there for Chicago frankly. Chicago's defense is also suspect as well and if their shots are not falling, they have nothing to fall back on as well. We will ride the team with the better mojo, better defense and if shots aren't falling, Chicago can indeed start to panic whereas Connecticut has a more consistent half court game to rely on.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

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September 17, 2020, 06:26:47 AM
 #626

Pick for September 15, 2020 (TUESDAY)
Game will start on 08:10 PM EST, NHL
Match: Tampa Bay Lightning - New York Islanders
LOSS - PICK: TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING ML for 2 UNITS (2.04 ODDS).

SCREENSHOT TO FOLLOW

The Tampa Bay Lightning will look to end this series tonight as they continue to dominate the series 3-1 against the New York Islanders. Game 4 was another very physical game and I anticipate the same style again tonight. There were a total 96 hits with each team splitting the number right down the middle in game 4 and it's oblivious who is benefiting from this style. Look, New York wants to throw their weight around and slow this Tampa Bay team down but this style turns into penalties and takes away what New York does best (5 v 5 D) and the Lightning capitalized on it. The Lightning have dominated every game besides the 1 slip up in game 3 and I think the club wants to end this tonight and not give any momentum to New York. The Lightning will also want to end this series tonight after watching the Stars end theirs last night. We are at a point in the season where playing more games then needed in a series can hurt you in the next one. I anticipate the Lightning to come into this game focused and to be just as disciplined as they were in game 4. If New York is going to continue playing this way they will continue taking penalties and they can't afford to give Tampa Bay an extra man on ice or an advantage after a hit. Tampa Bay is just too fast. Even if the Islanders find a way to stay out of the penalty box Tampa still wins this game. I would like to tell you to take the -1.5 puck line with Tampa Bay but I feel this game is going to be another low scoring game. Vasilevskiy continues to impress and stopped 26 of the 27 shots in game 4. He is now posting a .930 save percentage in the post season with a 1.93 goals against average! The fact is the Islanders are 1-5 in their last 6 Tuesdays, 2-5 in their last 7 overall, and 1-4 in their last 5 as an underdog. Tampa Bay is 39-14 in their last 53 games, 68-33 in their last 101 games following a win and the 4-1 in their last 5 games against the Islanders. Take the Lightning to win

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

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September 17, 2020, 06:35:15 AM
 #627

Wednesday Baseball Bonanza - MLB  
*The leans below will not count to my stats here in this thread. Follow or fade, it's up to you! Wink


LOST - Take Colorado over Oakland (3 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 16th)

I'm going to keep betting against the A's a bit here. I just think they are out of gas. They have played one of the most brutal stretches I've ever seen. Over the last eight days they have played 14 games in four different cities. Tomorrow they have an off day before a rivalry series with the Giants. This team hasn't had a day off yet this month. This game looks like the perfect situation for them to just completely mail it in and limp toward that rest day tomorrow.


LOST - Take Boston over Miami (6:40 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 16th)

I don't think that the Marlins should be favored this heavily against many teams in the Majors. The Red Sox aren't one of them.


WIN - Take N.Y. Yankees -1.5 Runs over Toronto (7 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 16th)

OK, so maybe the Blue Jays are NOT ready to challenge the Yankees in the Bronx. New York bombed Toronto yesterday and now the Jays have to face off against Gerrit Cole. I know Cole's numbers haven't been elite. But the stuff is still there. He's only allowed one earned run in his last two starts (13 innings) and he has 19 strikeouts to just three walks in that stretch. Somehow Toronto hasn't seen Cole yet this year so he definitely has the upper hand.


LOST - Take Chicago White Sox over Minnesota (8 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 16th)

The White Sox are going for what would be a surprising sweep. They have a huge advantage on the mound today with Lucas Giolito going against Jake Odorizzi. Odorizzi is one of those guys that can throw gas on a fire really quickly. He's a home run waiting to happen and the White Sox lineup swings with a ton of confidence in their home ball park. The White Sox are 14-1 in their last 15 home games and I think that they sense an opportunity to drive a stake through the heart of Minnesota's division title hopes.
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September 17, 2020, 09:47:40 AM
Merited by babo (1)
 #628

Pick for September 16, 2020 (WEDNESDAY)
Game will start on 06:40 PM EST, MLB
Match: Miami Marlins - Boston Red Sox
WIN!!! - PICK: OVER 8.5 RUNS for 4 UNITS (1.92 ODDS).


If you trot out Triple-A pitching against Major League lineups you should see some runs as a result. These two teams played a quiet 2-0 game last night. But with Mike Kickham and Trevor Rogers on the mound here I think we'll see some better execution at the plate and with runners on base than we saw last night. Rogers gave up nine runs in just three innings in his last start and the rookie has gotten worse every time out. Teams are catching up to him now that they have some tape. Even in a decent start against Tampa Bay (he had 10 strikeouts) he allowed three home runs. Boston is one of the best teams in the Majors against lefties and I think they will get their cuts in against a guy that was in Single-A last year. Same goes for Mike Kickham. His career ERA in 17 MLB appearances is 9.61. Prior to this year he hadn't pitched in the Majors since 2014. He's been average in Triple-A the last few years, toiling away in Miami's farm system. While I think he has some revenge motivation against his former organization I'm not going to read too much into that aspect of it. But the reality is that he hasn't made an appearance in 11 days and we don't know what we're going to get out of this guy. Based on his history, I'm not expecting much. Miami is No. 25 in bullpen ERA and Boston is NO. 27. So if/when these starters get bounced early I'm not expecting a lot of backup. This number should be 9.5 or 10.0, and even that that number I'd lean 'over'. I can see a 7-4 game and I like this one getting 'over'.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

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September 18, 2020, 06:27:02 AM
 #629

I wanted to congratulate you, I have been reading you for a while and I must say that in any case your performances are very good
251w vs 190l is great performance... near 57%

57% means that you are profitable (definitely) and therefore it is a great performance

keep it up, I'll read you

.
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JanpriX (OP)
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September 18, 2020, 10:52:03 AM
Last edit: September 18, 2020, 11:05:51 AM by JanpriX
 #630

I wanted to congratulate you, I have been reading you for a while and I must say that in any case your performances are very good
251w vs 190l is great performance... near 57%

57% means that you are profitable (definitely) and therefore it is a great performance

keep it up, I'll read you


Thanks for the drop-by here. Wink And yes, as you can see, I'm still profitable in my picks in the last few months. I'm not gonna lie, it has been ups and downs and most of the time, my picks are struggling but I managed to get back on track by doing extensive research and by using proper bankroll management.

I'll be probably doing this in the foreseeable future and would like you to be on board with my picks on a daily basis. See you around and best of luck for both of us in our betting adventures.  Wink
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September 18, 2020, 11:12:27 AM
 #631

Pick for September 17, 2020 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 07:10 PM EST, MLB
Match: Houston Astros - Texas Rangers
LOSS - PICK: OVER 8.5 RUNS for 2 UNITS (1.87 ODDS).


It's Jordan Lyles! I seriously can't believe that the Rangers are going back to him and giving him another start. Savor every Lyles start, my friends, because every one could be his last and this guy is the gift that keeps on giving. He's allowed at least four runs in six of his last eight starts and Lyles has allowed 27 runs in his last 26 innings of work. The 'over' has hit in five of his last six starts and the guy is carrying an ERA of nearly 8.00 on the season. Not great! One of those starts that he failed to allow four or more runs actually came against Houston on Sept. 1 in a 6-5 Texas win. I don't see the Rangers and Lyles beating the Astros again. It is pretty amazing how bad Houston's lineup is when they don't know what pitch is coming. But if they were ever going to break out it should be in this spot. They've only scored 24 runs in their last 10 games and got shutout yesterday. That's pathetic. But I also think it means that they are due after going 'under' in 8 of 10. The Rangers are batting just .199 against left-handed pitching this year. That is incredible. And, like with Houston, it is screaming for some regression. Framber Valdez is one of those guys that tries to strike every batter out. But he's allowed 20 runs in his last 26 innings of work and has given up four home runs and 8 walks in his last four starts. Valdez has gone 'over' in six straight starts and has surrendered at least three earned runs in five straight. After yesterday's 1-0 snoozer between these two teams I actually expect some bats to show up. I see Houston winning this one 8-3 and this one should tuck 'over' the number.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter
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September 18, 2020, 11:31:07 AM
 #632

Pick for September 17, 2020 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 07:00 PM EST, WNBA
Match: Minnesota Lynx - Phoenix Mercury
LOSS - PICK: OVER 166.5 POINTS for 1 UNIT (1.83 ODDS).


Both teams have been averaging way over 80ppg and tonight in this WNBA Playoff bubble game I see offense racking up quick points. The Mercury squeaked out a playoff victory over Washington 85-84 and that total went 'Over' and I see another 'Over' winner. Minnesota comes into this playoff game trending 'Over' games cashing 4-Straight and 6-1 O/U in their last 7 games. I see Minnesota winning this game and again this total flies 'Over'. Phoenix is 6-0-1 O/U last 7 playoff games and the Mercury is 10-2 O/U following a ATS loss. Minnesota is 9-2 O/U against Western Conference opponents and the Lynx are 17-5 O/U as a favorite.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter
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September 18, 2020, 03:08:54 PM
 #633

Pick for September 17, 2020 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 07:00 PM EST, WNBA
Match: Los Angeles Sparks - Connecticut Sun
WIN!!! - PICK: CONNECTICUT SUN +4.5 POINTS for 4 UNITS (1.93 ODDS).


As per this selection, Connecticut is in a great spot as no one is expecting much from them as they face a team like the LA Sparks who is perennially expected to do well. But, despite all the injuries here for the Connecticut Sun, they have really come together of late and are playing with a lot of juice. We took Connecticut against Chicago in a single elimination game and they got it done and we think they have a great shot at winning outright here as well. This is a Connecticut team that is 2nd defensively, they have revenge against the Sparks as well, and have 5 legitimate players who can score double-digits. It is truly a team that has balance, they have a great defense which they can rely on if they're shots are not falling, and have Jones who scored 12 points last game, Thomas who dropped 28 points last game, 23 points for Bonner, January who had 7 but who took 11 shots and she will bounce-back, Charles with 13 points and even J.Thomas with 8 points last game too. Look for the Sun to be fantastic this game, play with a lot of juice, a lot of chemistry and have a great shot to win outright and the points are certainly nice. Connecticut was up by 4 against the Sparks the last game heading into the 4th quarter, but this time around, I think they have the juice all game especially with everything on the line in the single elimination game.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

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September 19, 2020, 11:34:35 AM
 #634

Pick for September 18, 2020 (FRIDAY)
Game will start on 05:30 AM EST, Korean Baseball League
Match: Kt Wiz - Doosan Bears
WIN!!! - PICK: KT WIZ ML for 2 UNITS (1.89 ODDS).


This is a pick'em game at most spots but just feel the Wiz will take care of business at home. So Hyeong-jun is on the mound for KT and he has not lost a game since 6/26. He has not allowed more than 3 earned runs in any start since then and that includes a 5 inning, 1 run performance the last time he faced Doosan. Choi Won-joon is his opponent and he has been a converted starter since July after starting the season in the bullpen. He will be lucky to last five innings in this game and has a 7.20 E.R.A. against KT this season. He is coming off his only loss of the season last time out and I believe starting this many games are beginning to take its toll on him. KT is coming off a 3-0 win last night and Doosan has just scored a total of 3 runs during this losing streak.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

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September 19, 2020, 11:48:44 AM
 #635

Pick for September 18, 2020 (FRIDAY)
Game will start on 07:30 PM EST, MLB
Match: Boston Red Sox - New York Yankees
LOSS - PICK: NY YANKEES -1.5 RUNS for 2 UNITS (1.72 ODDS).


The Yankees have beaten the Red Sox ten straight times including all seven matchups this season and I think that will continue tonight. New York has won eight straight games and hit a major league record 6 home runs in three consecutive contests. They will be facing Martin Perez who has been awful at Fenway Park this season going 0-3 with a 5.48 ERA in four starts and his ERA against the Yankees in 6 career starts is 9.85. Jordan Montgomery has allowed 2 earned runs or less in four out of his last five starts and he is 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA over 9.1 innings against Boston this season. Gotta stay with the hot team that has so many guys that can beat you.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

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September 19, 2020, 12:16:40 PM
 #636

Pick for September 18, 2020 (FRIDAY)
Game will start on 08:15 PM EST, MLB
Match: Chicago Cubs - Minnesota Twins
WIN!!! - PICK: CHICAGO CUBS ML for 4 UNITS (1.81 ODDS).

SCREENSHOT TO FOLLOW

Since 2014 Chicago Cubs starter Kyle Hendricks has very quietly been one of the best pitchers in MLB when pitching at home posting the 4th lowest ERA overall (300 IP minimum) only behind Jacob deGrom, Corey Kluber and Clayton Kershaw. Hendricks has an ERA more than a full run lower when pitching at Wrigley Field than he does when pitching on the road. This year he has been no different either as his 2.27 ERA is more than two runs lower than when he's pitching away from home. He's razor sharp right now with an ERA of just 1.67 in his last 3 starts to go along with 17 strikeouts and only 2 walks. The key to Hendricks success comes from the fact hitters don't make good contact against him as his exit velocity is 2nd lowest in the league the last two years from all qualified pitchers.

Play the Chicago Cubs.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

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September 19, 2020, 12:20:47 PM
 #637

Pick for September 18, 2020 (FRIDAY)
Game will start on 09:00 PM EST, NBA
Match: Los Angeles Lakers - Denver Nuggets
WIN!!! - PICK: LA LAKERS -6.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.94 ODDS).


LA has been great in the playoffs, but they have yet to win a game one so tonight has some extra juice on it for Lebron and AD. They have cruised passed the Blazers and Rockets with little push back and now they get a Cinderella Nuggets squad, so the numbers favor the Lake show in this series. Denver is playing on borrowed time and that is bound to run out at some point and this series will show what kind of heart and readiness these youngsters have. Jamal Murray and Jokic are still so inexperienced so LA will lean on this years and years of experience they must take care of business. Defense is the name of the Lakers game now so look for a top-notch effort and get a game one W finally!

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

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September 19, 2020, 12:26:52 PM
 #638

Pick for September 19, 2020 (SATURDAY)
Game will start on 04:00 AM EST, Korean Baseball League
Match: Lotte Giants - NC Dinos
WIN!!! - PICK: UNDER 11 RUNS for 2 UNITS (1.92 ODDS).

SCREENSHOT TO FOLLOW

This total completely confuses me as I thought the odds makers would post a solid 10 with the juice around -125 but when they posted 11 I knew we could have a nice Saturday morning winner. The Dinos are still in first place with a 2 game lead over the Heroes and they are coming off a 9-5 win over the Wyverns. The Dinos pitching staff have giving up a total of 8 runs in 3 games and 2 of them have gone 'Under'. The Giants won on Friday beating the Twins 5-3 and that total went 'Under' and if they can keep the ball down I see Giants keeping the Dinos bats silent. One of the main reasons why we like the 'Under' is because Song Myung-gi will start and keeps the ball down and throws strikes and will be completely shocked if this game goes 'Over' the total 11.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

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September 20, 2020, 02:19:41 PM
 #639

Pick for September 19, 2020 (SATURDAY)
Game will start on 07:00 PM EST, MLB
Match: Cincinnati Reds - Chicago White Sox
WIN!!! - PICK: UNDER 8.5 RUNS for 2 UNITS (1.72 ODDS).


Dallas Keuchel is a big reason the Chicago White Sox are headed to the postseason for the first time in 12 years. Trevor Bauer, meanwhile, has played a major role as the Cincinnati Reds have charged into contention for a playoff spot. Two of the majors' top pitchers are scheduled to square off tonight! Keuchel is having an excellent season at 6-2, with a 2.19 ERA, while Bauer (4-3, 1.71 ERA) is the majors' ERA leader. In looking at the total, Chicago is 12-3 UNDER in September games, with Keuchel 10-2 UNDER after giving up two or less earned runs in his last two outings. Bauer is 7-2 UNDER this season and the Reds are 14-3 UNDER after three straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

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September 20, 2020, 02:28:20 PM
 #640

Pick for September 19, 2020 (SATURDAY)
Game will start on 08:00 PM EST, NCAA American Football
Match: North Carolina State Wolfpack - Wake Forest Demon Deacons
WIN!!! - PICK: NORTH CAROLINA STATE WOLFPACK +1.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.89 ODDS).


Wake Forest has the advantage of having played last week, but the home team has dominated this series. The home team has won 19 of the last 23 meetings and is also 18-5 ATS. NC State is coming off a rare down year in 2019, winning just 4 games, but the track record of Dave Doeren suggests they will bounce back and have a winning record this year. Wake Forest has allowed 36.3 points per game in their last 6 games. Wake Forest is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win in their previous game.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter
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