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Author Topic: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It  (Read 3918197 times)
BitCsByBit
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September 16, 2013, 06:35:31 AM
 #12841

You are forgetting there are also:
KnC, Bitmine.ch, BTCGarden, Alydian and MyMiner.

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bobboooiie
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September 16, 2013, 09:54:37 AM
 #12842

Franchising is already bigger than in-house mining!  Shocked (exaggerating, of course ;-) )

http://blockchain.info/address/1HtUGfbDcMzTeHWx2Dbgnhc6kYnj1Hp24i

713,2 BTC in last few hours. Let's say it's for whole difficulty change, so about 1,5% of network (753 / (25*2016))

Question is how to track the speed od the franchises so we know where are we at with the whole AM hashrate...

Why do you need to keep track of it? So you can panic sell/buy with hash rate swings Smiley ?
peterepeat
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September 16, 2013, 10:14:48 AM
 #12843


Similarly, the guys at Cointerra have real industry reputations. I knew about Open Silicon before I'd ever heard of Cointerra (I'm in the semi industry) - Dr. Sherwani is the president of Open Silicon, and he is on Cointerra's advisory board. Plus, Cointerra recieved 1.5M in private equity. That typically implies   they've got more than a plan to scam nerds

Similar to how these guys raised private equity?http://www.prweb.com/releases/2012/6/prweb9611889.htm
VeeMiner
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September 16, 2013, 11:27:29 AM
 #12844

Franchising is already bigger than in-house mining!  Shocked (exaggerating, of course ;-) )

http://blockchain.info/address/1HtUGfbDcMzTeHWx2Dbgnhc6kYnj1Hp24i

713,2 BTC in last few hours. Let's say it's for whole difficulty change, so about 1,5% of network (753 / (25*2016))

Question is how to track the speed od the franchises so we know where are we at with the whole AM hashrate...

Why do you need to keep track of it? So you can panic sell/buy with hash rate swings Smiley ?

of course not, I'm just holding on to my shares... I just love graphs and statistics and this would definitely be interesting to track to add it to the solo hashrate...
VolanicEruptor
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September 16, 2013, 12:19:32 PM
 #12845

Franchising is already bigger than in-house mining!  Shocked (exaggerating, of course ;-) )

http://blockchain.info/address/1HtUGfbDcMzTeHWx2Dbgnhc6kYnj1Hp24i

713,2 BTC in last few hours. Let's say it's for whole difficulty change, so about 1,5% of network (753 / (25*2016))

Question is how to track the speed od the franchises so we know where are we at with the whole AM hashrate...

Why do you need to keep track of it? So you can panic sell/buy with hash rate swings Smiley ?

Some of us like information.  lol

runeks
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September 16, 2013, 12:31:10 PM
 #12846

if FC is currently paying $1.50/GH

where does this number come from?  I've seen you mention it a few times, but I don't think I've ever seen where you got it.  Did FC publish that?

Nope real number is $52/GH based on old gen I assume Vycid just put in a random number for the next gens cointerra is 3/GH though if we assume delivery in January 2013 in my opinion cointerra being labeled better than a BFL monarach on price per GH is kind of suspicious.

If this were the case ASICMiner would be selling USB Block Eruptors at a loss for BTC0.1.

friedcat has stated that "final margin cost for 1TH/s is less than 10k$":

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99497.msg2013118#msg2013118

The point is that Vycid's $1.50/GH estimate is a minimum price, so using this in his calculations is only in favor of ASICMiner.

To me it's very hard to imagine that the cost per GH is less than $1.50. At this price we're talking $15 for a blade:

https://i.imgur.com/Lqepfe3.jpg

Now I'm no expert on the cost of electronics manufacturing, but I'm fairly sure you can't build a board like that including mining chips, PCB, other components, heatsink and labor costs for less than $15.
finlof
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September 16, 2013, 01:16:08 PM
 #12847

If this were the case ASICMiner would be selling USB Block Eruptors at a loss for BTC0.1.

friedcat has stated that "final margin cost for 1TH/s is less than 10k$":

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99497.msg2013118#msg2013118

The point is that Vycid's $1.50/GH estimate is a minimum price, so using this in his calculations is only in favor of ASICMiner.

To me it's very hard to imagine that the cost per GH is less than $1.50. At this price we're talking $15 for a blade:

https://i.imgur.com/Lqepfe3.jpg

Now I'm no expert on the cost of electronics manufacturing, but I'm fairly sure you can't build a board like that including mining chips, PCB, other components, heatsink and labor costs for less than $15.

China FTW!
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September 16, 2013, 01:44:40 PM
 #12848

friedcat has stated that "final margin cost for 1TH/s is less than 10k$":

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99497.msg2013118#msg2013118
I wonder if that price is still accurate.  He made that statement in May, and since then, he's supposedly purchased like 200TH or more worth of chips (or maybe more)


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September 16, 2013, 03:36:32 PM
 #12849

friedcat has stated that "final margin cost for 1TH/s is less than 10k$":

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99497.msg2013118#msg2013118
I wonder if that price is still accurate.  He made that statement in May, and since then, he's supposedly purchased like 200TH or more worth of chips (or maybe more)

Those are rather initial costs since volume and mask process changed since then.


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runeks
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September 16, 2013, 03:51:36 PM
 #12850

friedcat has stated that "final margin cost for 1TH/s is less than 10k$":

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99497.msg2013118#msg2013118
I wonder if that price is still accurate.  He made that statement in May, and since then, he's supposedly purchased like 200TH or more worth of chips (or maybe more)

Those are rather initial costs since volume and mask process changed since then.


What do you mean by "mask process"?
Vycid
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September 16, 2013, 05:30:40 PM
 #12851

friedcat has stated that "final margin cost for 1TH/s is less than 10k$":

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99497.msg2013118#msg2013118
I wonder if that price is still accurate.  He made that statement in May, and since then, he's supposedly purchased like 200TH or more worth of chips (or maybe more)

Those are rather initial costs since volume and mask process changed since then.


What do you mean by "mask process"?

I think he is referring to the NRE for the Gen 1 mask set and is ignoring the Gen 2 NRE on masks.

runeks
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September 16, 2013, 05:34:46 PM
 #12852

friedcat has stated that "final margin cost for 1TH/s is less than 10k$":

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99497.msg2013118#msg2013118
I wonder if that price is still accurate.  He made that statement in May, and since then, he's supposedly purchased like 200TH or more worth of chips (or maybe more)

Those are rather initial costs since volume and mask process changed since then.


What do you mean by "mask process"?

I think he is referring to the NRE for the Gen 1 mask set and is ignoring the Gen 2 NRE on masks.
friedcat is talking about marginal cost, so I don't see why NRE should be included in that figure. But it's entirely possible that the price has changed since then, I'm no expert on what takes up the marginal cost of producing a chip.
Vycid
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September 16, 2013, 07:05:08 PM
 #12853

friedcat has stated that "final margin cost for 1TH/s is less than 10k$":

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99497.msg2013118#msg2013118
I wonder if that price is still accurate.  He made that statement in May, and since then, he's supposedly purchased like 200TH or more worth of chips (or maybe more)

Those are rather initial costs since volume and mask process changed since then.


What do you mean by "mask process"?

I think he is referring to the NRE for the Gen 1 mask set and is ignoring the Gen 2 NRE on masks.
friedcat is talking about marginal cost, so I don't see why NRE should be included in that figure. But it's entirely possible that the price has changed since then, I'm no expert on what takes up the marginal cost of producing a chip.

Well, if you want to ramp up production with more than one manufacturing line, you might need a second mask set. For FC's volume that should be totally unnecessary, even for Gen 2.

Marginal costs shouldn't change much for the same process unless you make a new deal with the foundry.

Anyway, after actually MAKING the hardware (and doubtless encountering some speedbumps), I do wonder how accurate that estimate is.

runeks
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September 16, 2013, 07:19:33 PM
 #12854

Well, if you want to ramp up production with more than one manufacturing line, you might need a second mask set. For FC's volume that should be totally unnecessary, even for Gen 2.

Marginal costs shouldn't change much for the same process unless you make a new deal with the foundry.

Anyway, after actually MAKING the hardware (and doubtless encountering some speedbumps), I do wonder how accurate that estimate is.
As I understand it it's not an estimate. That comment about $10k per TH was posted in the beginning of May. ASICMiner started hashing i February. Or am I misunderstanding you?
Vycid
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September 16, 2013, 07:27:50 PM
 #12855

Well, if you want to ramp up production with more than one manufacturing line, you might need a second mask set. For FC's volume that should be totally unnecessary, even for Gen 2.

Marginal costs shouldn't change much for the same process unless you make a new deal with the foundry.

Anyway, after actually MAKING the hardware (and doubtless encountering some speedbumps), I do wonder how accurate that estimate is.
As I understand it it's not an estimate. That comment about $10k per TH was posted in the beginning of May. ASICMiner started hashing i February. Or am I misunderstanding you?

I thought FC's estimate cited here was forward-looking to the scaled-up 200 TH production run (which has since completed) - i.e. he expected to spend less than $2M more to make that hardware.

That was just my interpretation, though. The word "final" makes me think you might be correct.

freedomno1
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September 17, 2013, 04:40:11 AM
Last edit: September 17, 2013, 05:21:26 AM by freedomno1
 #12856

You are forgetting there are also:
KnC, Bitmine.ch, BTCGarden, Alydian and MyMiner.

True enough can discount Alydian late, Myminer and btcgarden had their ipo's canceled other two hmm well I know KnC should have mentioned them the avalon clone seems interesting enough https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=215431.msg3159989#msg3159989
But generally this just adds to the general disdain of mining companies not really hashing still
Thanks for pointing it out Smiley
( I do acknowledge the hash rate is rising fast though )
if FC is currently paying $1.50/GH

where does this number come from?  I've seen you mention it a few times, but I don't think I've ever seen where you got it.  Did FC publish that?

Nope real number is $52/GH based on old gen I assume Vycid just put in a random number for the next gens cointerra is 3/GH though if we assume delivery in January 2013 in my opinion cointerra being labeled better than a BFL monarach on price per GH is kind of suspicious.

If this were the case ASICMiner would be selling USB Block Eruptors at a loss for BTC0.1.

friedcat has stated that "final margin cost for 1TH/s is less than 10k$":

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99497.msg2013118#msg2013118

The point is that Vycid's $1.50/GH estimate is a minimum price, so using this in his calculations is only in favor of ASICMiner.

To me it's very hard to imagine that the cost per GH is less than $1.50. At this price we're talking $15 for a blade:

https://i.imgur.com/Lqepfe3.jpg

Now I'm no expert on the cost of electronics manufacturing, but I'm fairly sure you can't build a board like that including mining chips, PCB, other components, heatsink and labor costs for less than $15.

Not sure if I read it right on the $1.50/gh estimate or the USB miners
Clarification note:
Erupter USB $75/GH
Blade $52/GH
Old Gens

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BitCsByBit
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September 17, 2013, 06:01:30 AM
Last edit: September 17, 2013, 07:50:25 AM by BitCsByBit
 #12857

You are forgetting there are also:
KnC, Bitmine.ch, BTCGarden, Alydian and MyMiner.

True enough can discount Alydian late, Myminer and btcgarden had their ipo's canceled other two hmm well I know KnC should have mentioned them the avalon clone seems interesting enough https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=215431.msg3159989#msg3159989
But generally this just adds to the general disdain of mining companies not really hashing still
Thanks for pointing it out Smiley
( I do acknowledge the hash rate is rising fast though )
if FC is currently paying $1.50/GH

where does this number come from?  I've seen you mention it a few times, but I don't think I've ever seen where you got it.  Did FC publish that?

Nope real number is $52/GH based on old gen I assume Vycid just put in a random number for the next gens cointerra is 3/GH though if we assume delivery in January 2013 in my opinion cointerra being labeled better than a BFL monarach on price per GH is kind of suspicious.

If this were the case ASICMiner would be selling USB Block Eruptors at a loss for BTC0.1.

friedcat has stated that "final margin cost for 1TH/s is less than 10k$":

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99497.msg2013118#msg2013118

The point is that Vycid's $1.50/GH estimate is a minimum price, so using this in his calculations is only in favor of ASICMiner.

To me it's very hard to imagine that the cost per GH is less than $1.50. At this price we're talking $15 for a blade:

https://i.imgur.com/Lqepfe3.jpg

Now I'm no expert on the cost of electronics manufacturing, but I'm fairly sure you can't build a board like that including mining chips, PCB, other components, heatsink and labor costs for less than $15.

Not sure if I read it right on the $1.50/gh estimate or the USB miners
Clarification note:
Erupter USB $75/GH
Blade $52/GH
Old Gens

Although BTC Garden had their IPO cancelled, they are still progressing with their own ASIC design and hardware sales. I'm not sure if Myminer are still progressing, but I wouldn't count them out just yet.

Bitmine.ch have moved on from the Avalon clone service and now they have their own ASIC as well: https://bitmine.ch/?page_id=863

Edit: Added Bitmine.ch details

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Strange Vlad
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September 17, 2013, 07:28:13 AM
Last edit: September 17, 2013, 09:40:21 AM by Strange Vlad
 #12858

1.5$/GH looks very realistic to me, and it would mean that the blade production cost is ~0.1BTC. So the current margin is like 97,5%, which is still huge enough to remain profitable for the coming two or three months before gen.2 is here. I mean look, say in November they can sell blades for 1BTC each, the folk would still happily buy them for that price while the margin would be 90%. They can even sell them in December for 0,5BTC and still have a margin of 80%. For the sticks the margin is obviously lower, but then the blades are phasing the sticks out in a way.

That's pretty much why I'm holding on to my shares tight.

P.S. Above margin values are assuming constant BTC/USD rate. If the rate continue to grow, the margins will decline slower, because the costs are in USD but the price AND the value are in BTC. Not that I believe BTC/USD could rise anywhere close to as rapidly as the network hashpower.

Do not try and bend the spoon. That's impossible. Instead... only try to realize the truth. There is no spoon. Then you'll see, that it is not the spoon that bends, it is only yourself.
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September 17, 2013, 09:14:48 AM
 #12859

1.5$/GH looks very realistic to me, and it would mean that the blade production cost is ~0.1BTC. So the current margin is like 97,5%, which is still huge enough to remain profitable for the coming two or three months before gen.2 is here. I mean look, say in November they can sell blades for 1BTC each, the folk would still happily buy them for that price while the margin would be 90%. They can even sell them in December for 0,5BTC and still have a margin of 80%. For the sticks the margin is obviously lower, but then the blades are phasing the sticks out in a way.

That's pretty much why I'm holding on to my shares tight.

i would love to buy blade rack for 5 btc... Smiley
bitsalame
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September 17, 2013, 01:49:17 PM
 #12860

I just had a dream that Friedcat came to these forums to say: "Today we will disclose a well guarded secret: actually our Gen 2 are not 55nm but 14nm. We finished the deployment and they are all operational right now."
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